BULAN

TAHUN
Jan Feb Mar Apr Mei Jun Jul Agt
2000 96 76 57 44 28 94 43 54
2001 76 87 57 119 124 47 142 67
2002 36 82 111 144 52 88 86 147
2003 96 32 48 166 164 45 38 100
2004 106 82 166 72 46 85 44 124
2005 56 79 74 65 74 58 51 98
2006 50 22 64 69 48 74 38 14
2007 184 98 32 58 42 67 64 71
2008 106 82 30 72 104 58 51 98
2009 37 11 34 73 134 72 46 134
2010 61 6 80 74 224 39 82 39
2011 73 31 57 49 106 36 118 39
2012 21 124 43 43 134 37 24 53
2013 114 15 47 57 80 95 57 78
2014 37 11 34 73 104 109 48 90
2015 53 45 139 89 50 64 54 93
2016 88 45 54 66 124 100 99 104
2017 66 87 95 89 115 77 89 93

X 4
XX 24
XXX 224

(LogXi- (LogXi-
NO TAHUN Xi (Max) Xi-x̄ (Xi-x̄)^2 Log Xi
Logx̄)^2 Logx̄)^3
1 2000 96 -42.61 1815.71 1.9823 0.0223 -0.0033
2 2001 142 3.39 11.48 2.1523 0.0004 0.0000
3 2002 147 8.39 70.37 2.1673 0.0013 0.0000
4 2003 167 28.39 805.93 2.2227 0.0083 0.0008
5 2004 166 27.39 750.15 2.2201 0.0078 0.0007
6 2005 98 -40.61 1649.26 1.9912 0.0197 -0.0028
7 2006 143 4.39 19.26 2.1553 0.0006 0.0000
8 2007 188 49.39 2439.26 2.2742 0.0203 0.0029
9 2008 106 -32.61 1063.48 2.0253 0.0113 -0.0012
10 2009 134 -4.61 21.26 2.1271 0.0000 0.0000
11 2010 224 85.39 7291.26 2.3502 0.0478 0.0104
12 2011 127 -11.61 134.82 2.1038 0.0008 0.0000
13 2012 134 -4.61 21.26 2.1271 0.0000 0.0000
14 2013 129 -9.61 92.37 2.1106 0.0004 0.0000
15 2014 109 -29.61 876.82 2.0374 0.0089 -0.0008
16 2015 139 0.39 0.15 2.1430 0.0001 0.0000
17 2016 127 -11.61 134.82 2.1038 0.0008 0.0000
 18 2017 119 -19.61 384.60 2.0755 0.0031 -0.0002
Σ 2495 17582.28 38.37 0.1540 0.0065

DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS GUMBEL

1. Hitung paramater statistik data
x̄ = Σ Xi/n
= 2495
= 138.61
18
S = √((Σ(Xi-x̄)^2)/(n-1))
= 17582.28
= 32.16
18-1

2. Hitung K
n Yn Sn
15 0.5128 1.0210
18 0.5193 1.0462
20 0.5236 1.0630
(Interpolasi)
Y = ((X - X1) * Y2) + ((X2 - X) * Y1)
(X2 -X1)
Yn = ((18 - 15) * 0,5236 ) + ((20 - 18) * 0,5128 )
(20 -15)
= 1.5708 + 1.0256
= 0.5193
5
Sn = ((18 - 15) * 1,063 ) + ((20 - 18) * 1,021 )
(20 -15)
= 3.189 + 2.042
= 1.0462
5
Yt = -LN(-LN((T-1)/T))
Yt 14 = 2.6022
Yt 22 = 3.0679
Yt 52 = 3.9416
K = (Yt-Yn)/Sn
K 14 = 2.6022 - 0.5193
= 1.9910
1.0462
K 22 = 3.0679 - 0.5193
= 2.4360
1.0462
K 22 = 3.9416 - 0.5193
= 3.2711
1.0462

3. Hitung nilai hujan rencana

X = x̄ + S x K
X 14 = 138.61 + 32.16 x 1.9910 = 202.64
X 22 = 138.61 + 32.16 x 2.4360 = 216.95
X 52 = 138.61 + 32.16 x 3.2711 = 243.81
 DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS NORMAL
1. Hitung paramater statistik data
x̄ = 138.61
S = 32.16

2. Hitung KT
T KT
10 1.28
14 1.42
20 1.64
22 1.67
50 2.05
52 2.06
100 2.33
(Interpolasi)
Y = ((X - X1) * Y2) + ((X2 - X) * Y1)
(X2 -X1)
KT 14 = ((14 - 10) * 1,64) + ((20 - 14) * 1,28)
(20 -10)
= 6.56 + 7.68
= 1.42
10
KT 22 = ((22 - 20) * 2,05) + ((50 - 22) * 1,64)
(50-20)
= 4.1 + 45.92
= 1.67
30
KT 14 = ((52 - 50) * 2,33) + ((100 - 52) * 2,05)
(100-50)
= 4.66 + 98.4
= 2.06
50
3. Hitung nilai hujan rencana
XT = x̄ + KT x S
XT 14 = 138.61 + 32.16 x 1.42 = 184.41
XT 22 = 138.61 + 32.16 x 1.67 = 192.23
XT 52 = 138.61 + 32.16 x 2.06 = 204.90

DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS LOG NORMAL

1. Hitung paramater statistik data
Log x̄ = Σ LogXi/n
= 38.3694
= 2.1316
18
S Log X = √Σ(LogXi-Logx̄)^2/(n-1)
= 0.1540
= 0.0952
17
 2. Hitung KT
KT (Interpolasi)
KT 14 = 1.42
KT 22 = 1.67 =
KT 52 = 2.06

3. Hitung nilai hujan rencana

LOG XT = Log x̄ + KT + S Log X
LOG XT 14 = 2.13 + 1.42 + 0.10 = 3.65
LOG XT 22 = 2.13 + 1.67 + 0.10 = 3.89
LOG XT 52 = 2.13 + 2.06 + 0.10 = 4.29

XT = 10^Log XT (Inverse Log), Maka

XT 14 = 4475.18
XT 22 = 7836.89
XT 52 = 19409.33

DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS LOG PEARSON TYPE III

1. Hitung paramater statistik data
Log x̄ = 2.1316
S Log X = 0.0952
Cs = n . Σ(LogXi-Logx̄)^3
(n-1).(n-2).(SLogX)^3
= 18 x 0.0065
(17) (16) 0.0009
= 0.1169
= 0.7060 = 0.7
0.2345

2. Hitung KT
CS 10 14 22 25 50 52 100
0.3 1.309 1.849 2.211 2.544
0.7060 1.341 1.510 1.848 1.975 2.414 2.431 2.832
0.4 1.317 1.88 2.261 2.615
(Interpolasi)
Y = ((X - X1) * Y2) + ((X2 - X) * Y1)
(X2 -X1)
Y(10;0,37) = ((0,3767- 0,3) * 1,317) + ((0,4 - 0,3767) * 1,309)
(0,4 -0,3)
= 0.5347 + -0.4005
= 1.341
0.1
Y(25;0,37) = ((0,3767- 0,3) * 1,88) + ((0,4 - 0,3767) * 1,849)
(0,4 -0,3)
= 0.7632 + -0.5658
= 1.975
0.1
Y(50;0,37) = ((0,3767- 0,3) * 2,261) + ((0,4 - 0,3767) * 2,211)
 (0,4 -0,3)
= 0.9179 + -0.6765
= 2.414
0.1
Y(100;0,37) = ((0,3767- 0,3) * 2,615) + ((0,4 - 0,3767) * 2,544)
(0,4 -0,3)
= 1.0616 + -0.7784
= 2.832
0.1
(14;0,37) = ((14- 10) * 1,874) + ((25 - 14) * 1,315)
(25-10)
= 7.8994 + 14.7563
= 1.510
15
(22;0,37) = ((22- 10) * 1,874) + ((25 - 22) * 1,315)
(25-10) buat cek doang dengan X1 14
= 23.6983 + 4.0244 15.7988 +
= 1.848
15 11
(52;0,37) = ((14- 10) * 1,874) + ((25 - 14) * 1,315) wih sama
(25-10)
= 5.6645 + 115.8716
= 2.431
50

3. Hitung nilai hujan rencana

Log XT = Log x̄ + KT x S Log X
Log XT 14 = 2.1316 + 1.510 x 0.0952 = 2.2754
Log XT 22 = 2.1316 + 1.848 x 0.0952 = 2.3075
Log XT 52 = 2.1316 + 2.431 x 0.0952 = 2.3630

XT = 10^Log XT (Inverse Log), Maka

XT 14 = 188.5332
XT 22 = 203.0202
XT 52 = 230.6667
Sep Okt Nov Des
60 74 73 36
38 56 48 83
126 75 40 42
167 53 54 119
93 83 74 42
76 76 67 91
143 78 98 124
50 65 188 130
76 76 47 96
37 24 53 24
120 63 89 71
97 127 94 38
24 30 58 96
61 129 60 54
40 76 109 76
29 112 134 72
111 118 127 119
110 112 114 119
doang dengan X1 14
4.5311
= 1.848
 Metode Chi-Kuadrat (χ2) χ2
1. Data hujan diurut dari besar ke kecil.
Xi
NO TAHUN Xi (Max)
(berurut)
1 2000 96 109
2 2001 142 109
3 2002 147 119
4 2003 167 120
5 2004 166 127
6 2005 98 129
7 2006 143 129
8 2007 188 134
9 2008 106 139
10 2009 134 139
11 2010 224 142
12 2011 127 143
13 2012 134 149
14 2013 129 166
15 2014 109 169
16 2015 139 189
17 2016 127 098
18 2017 119 099
Σ 2495

2. Menghitung jumlah kelas

n = 18
K = 1 + 3,3 log n = 1 + 33 log 18
= 5.1 ~ 5

3. Menghitung derajat kebebasan (Dk) dan χ²cr

P = 2
Dk = K-(P + 1) = 5-(2+1)
= 2
α = 5%
χ²cr = 5.9910

4. Menghitung kelas distribusi

Kelas Distribusi
(BELUM SIAP)