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Tropical Medicine and International Health

volume 10 no 4 pp 379–386 april 2005

Seroprevalence of dengue antibodies, annual incidence and risk


factors among children in southern Vietnam
Khoa T. D. Thai1, Tran Quang Binh2, Phan Trong Giao1,2, Hoang Lan Phuong1,2, Le Quoc Hung1,2, Nguyen Van
Nam3, Tran Thanh Nga1,4, Jan Groen5,6, Nico Nagelkerke7 and Peter J. de Vries1
1 Division of Infectious Diseases, Tropical Medicine and AIDS, Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
2 Department of Tropical Diseases, Cho Ray Hospital, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
3 Malaria and Goitre Control Center of Binh Thuan Province, Phan Thiet, Vietnam
4 Department of Microbiology, Cho Ray Hospital, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
5 Institute of Virology, Erasmus Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
6 Focus Technologies Inc., Cypress, CA, USA
7 Department of Medical Statistics and Bioinformatics, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands

Summary Dengue is highly endemic in southern Vietnam and all four serotypes of dengue virus have already been
identified. To determine the age-specific prevalence of dengue and associated risk factors, we conducted
a serological study at two primary schools and assessed risk factors by analysing children’s
questionnaires and household surveys. Sera were collected from 961 primary schoolchildren in Binh
Thuan Province and tested for the presence of dengue virus serum antibodies using an indirect
immunoglobulin G (IgG) enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). The antibody prevalence of the
total population was 65.7% (n ¼ 631) which increased from 53.0 to 88.2% with age. The annual
incidence of a first dengue infection, estimated by binary regression of the seroprevalence by age, was
11.7%. Interestingly, the prevalence of dengue IgG antibodies was significantly higher in children who
confirmed using a pit latrine (RR 1.467, 95% CI: 1.245–1.730) and whose domestic environment
contained discarded cans (RR 1.238, 95% CI: 1.042–1.470) and pigs (RR 1.228, 95% CI: 1.002–1.504).
The epidemiology of dengue in southern Vietnam is stable with a constantly high annual incidence of
first infections. Transmission occurs mainly peri-domestically, which has important public health
implications.

keywords dengue, seroepidemiological studies, incidence, risk factors, regression analysis, Vietnam

distinguished neither on the basis of clinical disease nor of


Introduction
epidemiological characteristics (Chambers et al. 1990).
Dengue has become one of the most important vector- Infection with a dengue serotype provides lifelong immu-
borne diseases over the last six decades with a steady rise of nity without cross-protective immunity to the other sero-
global incidence, increasing geographic distribution and a types (Gubler 1998; Halstead 2002). Immunoglobulin G
transition from epidemic transmission with long interepi- (IgG) antibodies against dengue are detectable after
demic intervals to endemic with seasonal fluctuation 10–14 days and remain for life (World Health Organiza-
(Gibbons & Vaughn 2002; Guzman & Kouri 2002). Not tion 1997; Gubler 1998). It is assumed that in Vietnam the
in the least cause of this is the enlarging habitat of the main incidence of dengue increased over the last years, presum-
dengue vectors Aedes aegypti and A. albopictus to almost ably by the rapid socioeconomic changes and increased
all tropical and subtropical zones of the world. Aedes urbanization of the last decade. However, the validity of
aegypti, in particular, is highly adapted to human settle- the existing incidence data is unclear because notification
ments and the main reason why dengue also thrives in and surveillance were only recently put into place (World
urbanized areas (Gubler 1988; Rodhain & Rosen 1997; Health Organization 2000). In addition, the high popula-
Black et al. 2002). To date it is estimated that over two- tion density and ecological conditions in the rural areas of
fifths (2.5 billion) of the world population live in dengue Vietnam have been favourable for dengue transmission for
endemic areas, of which 50 million (2%) are infected many decades, suggesting a rather stable endemic trans-
annually. The four antigenically distinct serotypes of mission pattern. Binh Thuan, a rural province in southern
Dengue virus, DEN-1, DEN-2, DEN-3 and DEN-4, can be Vietnam, is highly endemic for dengue and all four

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Tropical Medicine and International Health volume 10 no 4 pp 379–386 april 2005

K. T. D. Thai et al. Dengue seroprevalence in Vietnam

serotypes have already been identified (Ha et al. 2000). (ELISA). Dengue-specific IgM serum antibodies were
However, the real infection pressure and household and screened in febrile children with an IgM-capture (MAC)-
environmental risk factors were not known (Koopman ELISA. Both the MAC-ELISA and IgG-ELISA were per-
et al. 1991; Kuno 1995; Reiskind et al. 2001). To esti- formed according to the manufacturer’s instructions (Focus
mate the annual incidence of primary infections and Technologies Inc., Cypress, CA, USA; World Health
fluctuations in the previous years and to determine risk Organization 1997; Groen et al. 2000). Optical density
factors for dengue infection, we surveyed the primary (OD) values were measured at 450 nm with 620 nm as a
schools of two rural communes. reference with a Benchmark microplate reader (Bio-Rad
Laboratories, Inc., Hercules, CA, USA). Results were
expressed as the ratio between the sample OD value and
Material and methods the OD value of the kit calibration serum (ODR), both
after subtraction of the OD of an enclosed blank specimen.
Study site and population
ODR values of >1 were considered positive. Acute primary
The study was conducted at two primary schools in Binh dengue in febrile children was diagnosed when IgM ODR
Thuan Province, Vietnam. Binh Thuan is one of the most was >1 and exceeded the ODR of the IgG; if the IgM ODR
arid provinces of Vietnam, ranging from the Truong Son was positive but lower than the ODR of the IgG, this was
forested mountains in the west to the South Chinese sea, interpreted as a possible acute secondary infection (World
150 km northeast of Ho Chi Minh city. Binh Thuan has a Health Organization 1997).
tropical climate with a mean temperature of 27 C, a
rainfall of 1.152 mm/year and a rainy season is from
Questionnaire
May to October. The primary schools are situated in the
villages Ham Kiem and Ham Hiep, 5 km west and 15 km All children were interviewed using a questionnaire con-
south of the provincial capital Phan Thiet. From 2002 cerning age and gender, recent episodes of fever and certain
census data, the total populations in Ham Kiem and Ham risk factors. The following risk factors were addressed: the
Hiep were 6.467 and 11.131. In cooperation with the presence of domestic animals (chicken, oxen or pig) on the
People’s Committee of the village, the local health post compound of the children’s houses, the source of water
staff and school teachers, all pupils of the primary school used for consumption and personal hygiene, exposure to
and their parents were informed about the study. The study surface water and soil, location of the house near a market
protocol was approved by the provincial Ministry of (assumed to be a predilection spot for different mosqui-
Health and the Health Department of Ham Kiem and Ham toes), peri-domestic mosquito breeding sites, such as
Hiep. All parents provided verbal informed consent to littering coconut husks, plastics and cans and the presence
draw blood from their children. All children from 7 to of plants with stagnant water spaces such as bromeliads
14 years of age of the two primary schools belonged to the and the saucers on which potted plants are placed, and
study population. This is 60.8% (n ¼ 508) of the entire vector control measures taken. We also asked whether a pit
child population in Ham Kiem and 32.5% (n ¼ 469) in latrine, which is being flushed by pouring water from a
Ham Hiep. barrel, was present. All questionnaires were filled in by the
Using a standardized questionnaire, children were ques- interviewing medical doctor or by the child with the help of
tioned and a selection of children was visited at their home. the teacher.
Dengue virus-specific IgG serum antibodies were deter-
mined in all samples, whereas children with fever were also
Household survey
tested for dengue virus-specific IgM serum antibodies.
Children who mentioned not feeling well were examined Both villages were divided in four quarters. In every
and had their temperature taken. quarter, 50 houses were randomly selected from the
households of the children in the study population,
before the serological results were available. These 400
Dengue virus serodiagnosis
houses, home to 533 primary schoolchildren, were
About 1 ml of blood was collected by finger puncture in visited for obtaining information on peri-domestic risk.
plain vials (Greiner, Minicollect); serum was transferred In Ham Kiem we included 199 houses, inhabited by
to a sterile vial for storage at )20 C until testing. All 269 children. In Ham Hiep 201 houses with 264
samples were tested for the presence of dengue-specific children were enrolled. The household survey was
serum antibodies against dengue virus using a commercial performed 2 months after drawing blood. Detailed data
available indirect IgG enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay were collected, based on observation, on house

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Tropical Medicine and International Health volume 10 no 4 pp 379–386 april 2005

K. T. D. Thai et al. Dengue seroprevalence in Vietnam

construction, condition and type of toilets facilities yields the overall annual incidence. Independently, the
around the house. effect of risk factors, bj, can also be analysed in the same
model, univariate or multivariate, and expressed as relative
risks (RR). All tests were carried out at a significance level
Statistical analysis
of 0.05. For analysis of risk factors, the questions with
The parameter of interest, the annual incidence of dengue unclear or unknown answers were omitted.
infection, was calculated by binary regression of the
prevalence of IgG antidengue antibodies to age, using a
Results
complementary log–log link function, using S-plus 2000
for Windows (Mathsoft Inc., Seattle, WA, USA). The A total of 977 children were registered as pupils of both
probability pi of testing positive for antibodies of an schools, 508 in Ham Kiem and 469 in Ham Hiep. All were
individual i, experiencing a constant incident rate (force of included in this study except 16 children (seven girls, nine
infection) of ki, at age ti is an exponential function of the boys) who were absent at the time of sampling blood, thus
incident rate (Clayton & Hills 1994): leaving 961 (98.4%) subjects for analysis. Table 1 shows
their characteristics. The male:female ratio was approxi-
1  pi ¼ expðkti Þ ð1Þ mately equal in all age groups. Twenty-one (2.2%)
children had fever at the time of the examination. Dengue-
Hence, specific IgM antibodies were detected in 11 (1.1%)
children, of whom six (0.6%) were classified as having
logð log½pi Þ ¼ logðti Þ þ logðki Þ ð2Þ acute primary dengue and five (0.5%) as probably a
secondary dengue infection.
Covariables affecting the force of infection of individual
i are taken into account by letting log (ki) depend linearly
Seroprevalence stratified by age
on observed covariables (risk factors) xij
logð log½1  pi Þ ¼ logðti Þ þ a þ Rbj xij ð3Þ Of all schoolchildren 631 (65.7%, 95% CI: 62.6–68.6)
tested positive for IgG antibodies against dengue, with
in which constant a and the coefficients bj are estimated by comparable proportions in Ham Kiem 307 (62%, 95% CI:
maximum likelihood. 58–66) and Ham Hiep 324 (70%, 95% CI: 65–74).
If in Equation 2 age is chosen for ti, then binary Figure 1 shows the seroprevalence per age group. The total
regression of the seroprevalence over the consecutive ages seroprevalence of dengue IgG of the total population

Table 1 Characteristics of 977 primary schoolchildren in two villages in Binh Thuan Province, Vietnam, participating in a dengue
serosurvey

Ham Kiem Ham Hiep Total

Total village population (males/females) 6467 (3215/3252) 11 131 (5343/5788) 17 598 (8558/9040)
Total number of children (age 0–15 years) 2084 2891 4975
Total primary schoolchildren 835 1442 2277
Number of children included 508 469 977
Number of children tested for 496 (256/240) 465 (260/205) 961 (516/445)
dengue immunoglobulin G
(IgG; males/females) by age group (years)
7 70 62 132
8 86 98 184
9 115 80 195
10 98 104 202
11 92 90 182
12 26 18 44
13 7 10 17
14 2 3 5
Total households 1246 2168 3414
Households surveyed (representing percentage 199 (54.2) 201 (56.8) 400 (55.5)
of tested schoolchildren)

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K. T. D. Thai et al. Dengue seroprevalence in Vietnam

160
Ham Kiem Ham Hiep Total Population
140
Prevalence of dengue IgG (%)

120

100

80

60

40

20

0
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Figure 1 Age-specific prevalence of Ham
Age (years) Kiem, Ham Hiep and total population.

increased from 53% in children of 7 years of age to 88% in were entered in a multivariate model. Of all variables
children of 13 years of age. In Ham Kiem, the seroprev- recorded at household visits on house construction and
alence increased from 53% in children of 7 years of age to environment none was associated with the presence of
86% in children of 13 years of age. Similarly, the dengue IgG antibodies (Table 3).
seroprevalence in Ham Hiep increased from 53% at the
age of 7 years to 90% at 13 years. The dengue IgG
Discussion
prevalence was similar among boys and girls.
Our study shows that the prevalence of dengue antibodies
among primary schoolchildren in Binh Thuan Province,
Incidence rate
Vietnam, increases at a rather constant rate with age,
The overall annual incidence of primary infections (sero- indicating high, relatively stable, transmission rates over
conversion), applying binary regression on the sero- many years. Binary regression of the seroprevalence data
prevalence data, was 11.7% (Table 2) with small differences gave an estimate of the seroconversion rate, corresponding
between Ham Kiem (10.5%) and Ham Hiep (13.1%). to the incidence rate of first dengue infections, with a
narrow confidence interval. Other studies in dengue
endemic areas with similar seroprevalence, also showed
Epidemiological and household risk factors
that antibody prevalence increases with age, but did not
Several variables in the questionnaires were significantly calculate the annual incidence from this (Ha et al. 1994;
associated with the presence of dengue IgG antibodies in Strickman et al. 2000; Reiskind et al. 2001; Bartley et al.
univariate binary regression analysis (Table 2). These were 2002; Wilder-Smith et al. 2004). Although the indirect
peri-domestic littering of discarded cans and pigs. The type IgG-ELISA used is a suitable tool to detecting dengue IgG
of sanitary facilities was also significantly associated with antibodies and has shown high sensitivity and specificity
the prevalence dengue IgG antibodies. In general, there are (Groen et al. 2000), cross-reactivity may occur with other
three types in use in the two communes. The most common flavivirus antibodies (Rigau-Perez et al. 1998; Vaughn
type is a pit latrine on the premise outside the house, et al. 1999). It cannot be ruled out that infection with other
flushed by pouring water from an open water barrel. Other flaviviruses such a Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV) may
less frequently used types are a wooden facility for have caused some of the seroconversions. This number is
squatting above an open ditch or stream and, rarely, an in- probably low because the reported incidence of clinical
house water closet with a closed flushing system. Children encephalitis is generally low.
who use the pit latrine type had a higher prevalence of The incidence rate, calculated on the basis of the point
dengue antibodies. The questionnaire variables that were prevalence of febrile children with acute primary dengue,
significant in the individual univariate analysis (P < 0.05) is a very crude estimate. Several assumptions would be

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Tropical Medicine and International Health volume 10 no 4 pp 379–386 april 2005

K. T. D. Thai et al. Dengue seroprevalence in Vietnam

Table 2 Relative risk of age (approximate annual incidence), household and environmental factors, assessed by interview, for positive
dengue IgG antibodies

Frequency (%) Univariate binary regression Multivariate binary regression

Variable Total IgG-positive RR 95% CI P-value RR 95% CI P-value

Age (approximate annual incidence) 0.117 0.108–0.127 <0.0001


Ham Kiem 0.105 0.094–0.118 <0.0001
Ham Hiep 0.131 0.116–0.147 <0.0001
Gender 0.981 0.905–1.064 0.647
Peri-domestic animals
Chicken 63 63 1.022 0.618–1.691 0.797
Oxen 36 35 0.880 0.743–1.043 0.141
Pigs 19 21 1.228 1.002–1.504 0.048 1.307 1.053–1.621 0.015
Water source
River Water 5 4 0.841 0.565–1.251 0.392
Tap Water 22 21 0.955 0.781–1.168 0.656
Well Water 80 80 1.025 0.835–1.26 0.812
Water tanks 59 59 1.040 0.878–1.231 0.652
Water and soil contact
Living near rice field 8 9 1.131 0.847–1.51 0.405
Bare feet contact with mud 35 36 1.061 0.895–1.257 0.494
Waded through river 15 15 1.015 0.808–1.275 0.897
Swam/washed in river 12 12 1.021 0.799–1.306 0.866
Living near market 12 14 1.021 0.799–1.306 0.167
Peri-domestic hygiene
Bromeliads 46 47 1.114 0.944–1.316 0.202
Coconut husk 59 59 1.001 0.846–1.185 0.988
Discarded cans 40 44 1.238 1.042–1.47 0.015 1.266 1.063–1.508 0.008
Plant saucers 45 47 1.116 0.946–1.318 0.194
Littering plastics 31 32 1.118 0.929–1.346 0.236
Sanitary
Toilet 43 49 1.467 1.245–1.73 <0.0001 1.407 1.183–1.673 <0.0001
Vector-borne transmission
Use of bed net 98 97 0.772 0.454–1.312 0.339
Bed net recently re-impregnated 4 4 1.116 0.711–1.752 0.632
Spraying of residual insecticides 26 25 0.901 0.742–1.095 0.295
Modern convenience
Electricity 82 84 1.196 0.963–1.487 0.106
Television 76 77 1.082 0.893–1.311 0.419

The results of multivariate models are presented only for factors which were significant in the univariate models.
IgG, immunoglobulin G; RR, relative risk; CI, confidence interval.

needed to translate the point prevalence of acute primary seasonality of dengue. All samples were collected in
dengue to incidence rates. For example, assuming that March, at the end of the dry season, when the incidence is
dengue fever lasts 1 week (Gubler 1998; Rigau-Perez at its lowest. Therefore, the IgG seroprevalence data are a
et al. 1998), and that the dengue season in Binh Thuan better basis for calculating the annual incidence than
lasts approximately 5 months (21 weeks), then the annual using IgM.
incidence of primary dengue would be approximately A key parameter for understanding the epidemiology of
21 · 0.6 ¼ 13%. This calculation is unrealistic because it dengue in a community is its basic reproductive number,
does not take into account absent children, who may also R0 (Dietz 1993). In the case of dengue this estimation is
have had fever, and the delay between onset of disease complicated by the cross-reactivity of dengue IgG anti-
and IgM becoming detectable. This also applies to the bodies among the four strains and the fact that IgG

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Tropical Medicine and International Health volume 10 no 4 pp 379–386 april 2005

K. T. D. Thai et al. Dengue seroprevalence in Vietnam

Table 3 Relative risk of observed house construction and between the strains did not occur, estimates of R0 for each
environmental factors for positive dengue IgG antibodies strain would range from 1.25 to 1.75. These estimates are
somewhat uncertain and depend critically on assumptions
Univariate binary
regression such as random mixing and equal R0 for all four strains.
For example, Ferguson et al. (1999) analysed multitypic
Variable RR 95% CI P-value seroprevalence data from Thailand, where overall age
seroprevalence patterns are similar to our findings (Sang-
House situation
Near highway 1.246 0.851–1.825 0.258 kawibha et al. 1984; Ferguson et al. 1999). Using mathe-
Near paved road 0.683 0.446–1.046 0.080 matical models that take into account the interaction
Near unpaved road 1.013 0.768–1.336 0.927 between different strains and immunological response,
Near red dragon 0.961 0.770–1.199 0.723 their strain-specific estimates of R0 ranged from approxi-
fruit orchard mately 4 to 8.
Roof type
The results show that dengue transmission is high and
Flat roof 0.974 0.606–1.566 0.914
Diagonal roof 1.027 0.639–1.650 0.914
stable over the years in Binh Thuan. The experience of the
Flat/diagonal roof 1.373 0.626–3.011 0.429 health service indicates that there is a strong seasonal
fluctuation, starting with the highest incidence in the rainy
Roof construction material
season. There are no firm data to support this clinical
Corrugated iron 0.885 0.662–1.184 0.412
Cement 0.979 0.587–1.631 0.934 experience because dengue surveillance and notification are
still in their infancy in Vietnam. However, seasonal
Wall construction material
fluctuation is a common finding in most high transmission
Cement 1.115 0.893–1.393 0.337
Bricks 0.990 0.638–1.535 0.963 areas with monsoon climates (Gibbons & Vaughn 2002;
Wood 0.916 0.688–1.219 0.548 Guzman & Kouri 2002).
Clay 0.924 0.681–1.252 0.608 The risk factor analysis was based on questionnaires
Other 0.927 0.495–1.737 0.813 completed by all children guided by the interviewing
Floor construction material medical doctor or teacher. This approach and the added
Cement 0.977 0.780–1.225 0.843 value of the actual observation of households ensure that
Clay 0.941 0.728–1.217 0.645 the results of the risk factor analysis are accurate. More-
Tiles 1.163 0.850–1.592 0.347 over, the large sample size and the incorporation of age in
Door construction material the risk factor analysis were strategies to ensure that
Wood 0.954 0.743–1.225 0.712 findings were also precise. Among the investigated risk
Metal 1.155 0.884–1.509 0.291 factors, pit latrines and discarded cans on the domestic
Other 0.741 0.435–1.264 0.272 premises were associated with a higher prevalence of
IgG, immunoglobulin G; RR, relative risk; CI, confidence interval. dengue antibodies. An explanation for having pit latrines
may be that uncovered water storage containers were
found in or next to every latrine used for flushing. Long-
seroconversion thus demonstrates primary infection by any term storage of water provides breeding sites for A. aegypti
of the four strains. IgG antibodies provide only strain- (Koopman et al. 1991; Mcbride & Bielefeldt-Ohmann
specific, lifelong, immunity and thus the incidence of acute, 2000). In Vietnam, people are inclined to cover the
primary and secondary, dengue is higher than the sero- containers with drinking water to keep it clean. Instruc-
conversion rate. Moreover, prior exposure to heterogonous tions to improve the lids so that mosquitoes cannot enter
strains initially provides some short-lived protection, but, are easily followed. The containers in pit latrines are
conversely, later enhances viral replication (Kuno et al. usually not covered and the Aedes control programmes in
1993). In endemic areas with random mixing, R0 is Vietnam will have to pay special attention for this. Litter
inversely related to the proportion of susceptibles in the such as discarded cans and plastics around the house may
population. Hence, for a stationary population R0 equals also contain water, especially in the rainy season. This also
1 + L/A, where L is the average lifespan of the host and A requires special attention. The weak but significant
is the average age of infection (¼1/annual risk of infection). association between the presence of pigs and seropositivity
Had there been only a single dengue strain, then our data is possibly an effect of cross-reactivity between dengue and
would suggest that the R0 of this one dengue virus serotype Japanese encephalitis B (JEB). The pig is an amplifying host
in Vietnam lies between 5 and 7. However, as all four for JEB (Yang et al. 2004). However, an association
strains circulate this is unrealistic. Assuming all four between raising pigs and creating habitats for Aedes larvae
serotypes are equally represented and cross-reactivity is also possible. This needs further exploration.

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K. T. D. Thai et al. Dengue seroprevalence in Vietnam

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Authors
Tran Quang Binh, Phan Trong Giao, Hoang Lan Phuong, Le Quoc Hung and Tran Thanh Nga, Department of Tropical Diseases, Cho
Ray Hospital, 201 B Nguyen Chi Thanh, District 5, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
Khoa T. D. Thai and Peter J. de Vries (corresponding author), Division of Infectious Diseases, Tropical Medicine and AIDS, Academic
Medical Center F4–217, PO Box 22700, 1100 DE Amsterdam, The Netherlands. Tel.: +31 20 5664380; Fax: +31 20 6972286;
E-mail: p.j.devries@amc.uva.nl
Nguyen Van Nam, Malaria and Goitre Control Center of Binh Thuan Province, 133A Hai Thuong Lan Ong, Phan Thiet, Vietnam
Jan Groen, Institute of Virology, Erasmus Medical Centre, PO Box 1738, 3000 DR Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Nico Nagelkerke, Department of Medical Statistics and Bioinformatics, Leiden University Medical Center, PO Box 9604,
2300 RC Leiden, The Netherlands.

386 ª 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd

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