Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
DDI 2008 SS
Risha, Richie, Neeraja
Index
Index..........................................................................................................................................................................................1
1AC 1/14...................................................................................................................................................................................3
1AC 2/14...................................................................................................................................................................................4
1AC 3/14...................................................................................................................................................................................5
1AC 4/14...................................................................................................................................................................................6
1AC 5/14...................................................................................................................................................................................7
1AC 6/14...................................................................................................................................................................................8
1AC 7/14...................................................................................................................................................................................9
1AC 8/14.................................................................................................................................................................................10
1AC 9/14.................................................................................................................................................................................11
1AC 10/14...............................................................................................................................................................................12
1AC 11/14...............................................................................................................................................................................13
1AC 12/14...............................................................................................................................................................................14
1AC 13/14...............................................................................................................................................................................15
1AC 14/14...............................................................................................................................................................................16
Inherency – Nanotech Leadership Low..................................................................................................................................17
Inherency – Recession Now....................................................................................................................................................18
Inherency – Solar Power Now – World..................................................................................................................................19
Inherency – Solar Power Now - World...................................................................................................................................20
Inherency – Solar Power Now – China...................................................................................................................................21
Inherency – Solar Power Now – India....................................................................................................................................22
Inherency – Solar Power Now - Expensive............................................................................................................................23
Inherency – Solar Nanotech Now...........................................................................................................................................24
Inherency – Solar Tax Credits Now........................................................................................................................................25
Inherency – Solar Tax Credits Now........................................................................................................................................26
Inherency – Need Alt Energy Nano........................................................................................................................................27
Inherency – Need Alt Energy Nano........................................................................................................................................28
Competitiveness – Nanotech Key – Innovation/Jobs..............................................................................................................29
Competitiveness – Nanotech Key – Innovation/Jobs..............................................................................................................30
Competitiveness – Nanotech Key – Innovation/Jobs..............................................................................................................31
Competitiveness – Nanotech Key...........................................................................................................................................32
Competitiveness – Nanotech Key...........................................................................................................................................33
Competitiveness – Tech Key...................................................................................................................................................34
Competitiveness – US Action Key - Innovation/Spillover.....................................................................................................35
Competitiveness – US Action Key - Innovation/Spillover.....................................................................................................36
Competitiveness – Innovation Happens..................................................................................................................................37
Competitiveness – Alternative Energy Key............................................................................................................................38
Competitiveness – Alternative Energy Key............................................................................................................................39
Competitiveness – Alternative Energy Key............................................................................................................................40
Competitiveness – Alternative Energy Key............................................................................................................................41
Competitiveness – Alternative Energy Key............................................................................................................................42
Competitiveness – Alternative Energy Key............................................................................................................................43
Competitiveness – Alternative Energy Key............................................................................................................................44
Competitiveness – Solar Power Solves...................................................................................................................................45
Competitiveness – A2: Education = Alt Cause.......................................................................................................................46
Leadership – Science Leadership Key to Soft Power.............................................................................................................47
Leadership – Science Leadership Key to Soft Power.............................................................................................................48
Leadership – Science Leadership Key to Soft Power.............................................................................................................49
Leadership – No Oil Dependency Key to Soft Power............................................................................................................50
Leadership - Solar Nanotech Other Nanotech...................................................................................................................52
Leadership - Solar Nanotech Other Nanotech...................................................................................................................53
Leadership – Nanotech Good - Everything.............................................................................................................................54
Leadership – Nanotech Good - Disease..................................................................................................................................55
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Risha, Richie, Neeraja
Leadership – Nanotech Good - Disease..................................................................................................................................56
Leadership – Nanotech Good – Cancer...................................................................................................................................57
Leadership – Nanotech Good – Cancer Ext............................................................................................................................58
Leadership – Nanotech Good – Cancer Ext............................................................................................................................59
Leadership - Nanotech Good: Clean Water 2AC....................................................................................................................60
Leadership - Nanotech Good: Clean Water Ext......................................................................................................................61
Leadership – Nanotech Good – Clean Water Ext..................................................................................................................62
Leadership – Nanotech Good - Poverty..................................................................................................................................63
Leadership – Nanotech Good - Terrorism...............................................................................................................................64
Leadership – Nanotech Good – Military Readiness................................................................................................................65
Leadership – Nanotech Good – Hegemony............................................................................................................................66
Leadership – Nanotech Good - Environment..........................................................................................................................67
Leadership – A2: Nanotech Bad – Government Regulations Solve.......................................................................................68
Leadership - A2: Grey Goo - Impossible................................................................................................................................69
Leadership - A2: Grey Goo – No Self Replication Now........................................................................................................70
Leadership – A2: Grey Goo – Government Regulations Solve..............................................................................................71
Leadership – A2: Grey Goo....................................................................................................................................................72
Solvency – Nanotech Key - Renewables................................................................................................................................74
Solvency – Nanotech Key – Solar Power...............................................................................................................................75
Solvency – Nanotech – Solar Power.......................................................................................................................................76
Solvency – Solar Nanotech – Energy Crisis...........................................................................................................................77
Solvency – Federal Incentives - Innovation............................................................................................................................78
Solvency – Tax Credits - Innovation.......................................................................................................................................79
Solvency – Tax Credits - Innovation.......................................................................................................................................80
Solvency – Tax Credits – Innovation......................................................................................................................................81
Solvency – Tax Credits – Innovation......................................................................................................................................82
Solvency – Tax Credits – Innovation......................................................................................................................................84
Solvency – Tax Credits – Commercialization.........................................................................................................................85
Solvency – Incentives – Semiconductors/Economy...............................................................................................................86
Competitiveness – Incentives Tech Spillover....................................................................................................................87
***Add-Ons***......................................................................................................................................................................88
Global Warming 2AC – Solar Nano Solves............................................................................................................................89
Solar Power - Global Warming Ext – Solar Power Solves.....................................................................................................90
Solar Power - Global Warming Ext – Solar Power Solves.....................................................................................................91
Solar Power - Global Warming Ext – Solar Power Solves.....................................................................................................92
Solar Power - Global Warming Ext – A2: Other Countries Necessary..................................................................................93
***A2: Neg Arguments***....................................................................................................................................................94
A2: Market Solves...................................................................................................................................................................95
A2: Public Backlash – International Institutions Solve..........................................................................................................96
A2: Plan is Expensive.............................................................................................................................................................97
Politics – Solar Energy Popular..............................................................................................................................................98
Politics – R&D Popular - Congress.........................................................................................................................................99
Politics – Nanotech Popular - Congress................................................................................................................................100
Politics – Nanotech Popular – Companies/Scientists............................................................................................................101
Politics – Tax Credits Unpopular - Congress........................................................................................................................102
Politics – Nanotech – Bush Not Perceived............................................................................................................................103
Solar > Nuclear – 2AC..........................................................................................................................................................104
Solar > Nuclear Ext...............................................................................................................................................................105
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1AC 1/14
The debate over how we power this province has been heating up ever since Queen's Park made an announcement in June to
build new nuclear reactors. Some people are wondering - in the rush to go nuclear - whether Ontario may have overlooked a
more practical solution: solar power. Rob McMonagle believes it's not just practical. It's inevitable. He's executive director of
the Canadian Solar Industries Association. He spoke to Matt Galloway about the new solar technologies and products coming
on the market. Matt Galloway: What's new in terms of technology, in terms of how solar could be practical energy source?
Rob McMonagle: There are all sorts of fascinating technologies starting to be developed, but the great thing happening right
now in Canada is that we're becoming aware of solar's potential. We're about 10, fifteen years behind the rest of the world. But
particularly in Ontario with the support of the government, we're starting to see more and more people looking at solar as a
viable option. MG: Is there new technology in terms of panels that are more efficient batteries that will hold more power? Is
that coming online now?
RM: Well, we're seeing incremental improvements. There are long-term potential innovative products. For example, you're
starting to see solar modules that look like windows, that act like windows, that also produce electricity. There are products
being developed where you can actually paint your solar panels onto the side of your house. You can shingle your roof using
solar panels. Those will all be available in the next 10 or 15 years.
MG: As I suggested in the introduction, you believe that solar power is becoming affordable and practical. But it's also
inevitable, you say, that there's a point at which this is just the way of the future. Why is that so?RM: Well, we're seeing that
around the world with the support of governments. For example in Austria, which has a worse solar resource than in Canada,
one out of every 7 homes has solar. In Spain, it's legislated. All new buildings have to have solar on it. They're expecting
100,000 systems installed next year alone in Spain whereas we only see 20 or 40 a year in Canada.
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1AC 2/14
And, some solar nanotech is being developed now – more research is necessary
Dr. Pradeep Haldar, professor of nanoengineering at the University at Albany’s College of Nanoscale Science
and engineering, chair of the Clean Energy Alliance – created by the US Department of Energy, 7/13/07, “The
‘Power’ of Nanotechnology”
Meanwhile, the field of alternative energy provides a platform for some of nanotechnology's most exciting contributions.
Today, the renewables industry represents the fastest-growing energy market in the world: global wind generation has
grown threefold over the past five years and the production of photovoltaic solar cells is more than six times greater than
in 2000 - and nanoscale science and engineering are playing an increasingly critical role.
Silicon-based photovoltaic solar cells, for example, currently account for about 95 percent of commercial solar panels
available on the market. Silicon-based cells already utilize nanoscale processes, materials and devices utilized in
semiconductor manufacturing. Moreover, discoveries in nanotechnology have led to what many consider the next
generation of solar technology: ultra-thin amorphous silicon, organic and inorganic solar cells derived from nanocrystals
that convert sunlight into electricity at a fraction of the cost of silicon-based solar cells. They are also more flexible , less
brittle, and can even be painted onto structures, allowing more possibilities for building integrated architectural design,
and helping to ensure that more of our future electricity generation will be derived from the clean energy of the sun.
Greater research investment in these technologies is yielding continually higher sunlight-to-electricity conversion
efficiencies, bringing them closer to full-scale commercialization .
Clearly, the pursuit of cleaner and more efficient ways of generating power is of critical importance to our future. Through
innovation, we can improve the efficiencies of the technologies we have and discover new ways by which we can prosper.
Nanotechnology provides us with the opportunity to attain sustainable development - and to overcome one of the greatest
challenges of our time - by using some of the simplest and smallest means at our disposal.
Nanotech solar power is uniquely key to wide-scale adoption – more government funding is necessary
Sarah E. Douglass, VP Investment Research Publications at Wells Fargo Bank, 2005, “Identifying the opportunities in
Alternative Energy,” http://209.85.165.104/search?
q=cache:NyFG_q_oQZ0J:https://www.wellsfargo.com/downloads/pdf/about/csr/alternative_energy_IMT.pdf+
%22nanotechnology%22+AND+%22alternative+energy%22+AND+%22incentive
%22&hl=en&ct=clnk&cd=3&gl=us&client=firefox-a
More wide-scale adoption of solar power is likely to depend on technological breakthroughs that can reduce the cost of both
the PV cells and solar-thermal energy. It also may be contingent on government support. Such support may give manufacturers
and companies that supply solar power sufficient ability to achieve economies of scale, which ultimately reduce costs. For
companies working to achieve technological breakthroughs, the aim is to reduce the cost of producing electricity to 50 cents
per watt. Various companies are working to produce thinner and more effective materials for use in PV cells. The U.S.
Department of Energy believes that it may be possible to break through the 50 percent efficiency level by using new materials
based on nanotechnology (the science of building devices from single
molecules or atoms). Venture capital companies have increased funding in this area over the past few years, and there is a
positive investment environment in both Europe and Japan for these types of companies.
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1AC 3/14
Plan: The United States federal government should provide tax credits to companies that develop
nanotechnology-based solar power.
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1AC 4/14
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1AC 5/14
Additionally, energy is the crucible for economic competition – a lack of a strong national alternative
energy policy dooms us
Al Quinlan and : B.S. at Penn state, Masters at University of Massachusetts in Public administration, president of Greenberg
Quinlan Rosner—heads a team of US political analysts and campaign pollsters Mike Bocian: BA in history at Princeton University,
Masters in public policy at Harvard, vice president of Greenberg Quinlan Rosner, 8/23/06, “clean energy: key to america’s future
economy,” http://www.greenbergresearch.com/articles/1726/2170_CleanEnergy0806.pdf
A larger and more pressing debate taking place among voters is that more political candidates should take the lead in defining
the major role that new energy, cars and fuel efficiency can play in America’s future economy. The global economy is rapidly
changing, and the public is deeply concerned that America is losing ground to countries throughout the world. Americans are
very anxious and worry about the threats posed by China, India and other rising economic competitors. Most frightening to
people is that the political leadership has failed to develop a forward-looking plan that keeps America strong economically and
in the lead for future generations. Energy can play a huge role within this changing economy and presents, perhaps, the best
opportunity for a truly forward-looking economic agenda that creates American jobs. What we know through our research and
by listening to people is that they find the connection between clean energy and fuel efficiency and tangible economic benefits
(good jobs, opportunities and consumers saving money) a natural fit. We can now say that this agenda is critical to the
country’s economic future, and not simply an acceptable tradeoff for keeping the air, land and water clean. This agenda
means a stronger economy, a promise of future jobs, higher incomes and real financial savings for families. American jobs,
higher incomes, more money in people’s pockets, and the ability to continue to lead the world economy all fit within a new,
lean energy plan. Once we establish the connection, a clean energy agenda becomes much more meaningful in a political
environment shaped by economic and financial uncertainty at both the micro and macro levels. In our recent national survey,
an economic message on American jobs and savings scored near the top of all messages tested. The following is an initial,
general framing of this theme that captures the essence of the argument. America can do anything when we make a
commitment to it. It is time to use America’s technological know-how to reduce dependence on foreign oil and build a stronger
economy by leading the world in the creation of new, clean energy. Clean energy means American jobs now and in the future.
We should stop giving oil companies huge tax subsidies and instead invest in clean, renewable energy. Investing in new
technology and clean energy like solar, wind and biofuels will reinvigorate the American economy and create the jobs of today
and tomorrow. The time has come to increase mileage standards for cars, build more hybrids and make them more affordable
so people can save money, use less gas and cut pollution. This is a moment for America to take the lead – to own its energy
future, create good jobs, and lead the world economy.
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Risha, Richie, Neeraja
1AC 6/14
And, nanotech is the frontier of innovation – necessary for global competitiveness
Aatish Salvi ‘8, Vice president of the NanoBusiness Alliance.
[“A global technology race the U.S. must win,” 2/25, http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/la-op-salvi-
kimbrell25feb25,0,5524858.story]
A common misconception about nanotech is that it is a single technology. Unlike biotechnology (which focuses on genes and
DNA) or information technology (which focuses on microchips and software), nanotechnology encompasses a collection of
methods and tools for dealing with all matter at the nano scale. It is best thought of as a new approach to building things.
Working at the nano scale allows us to manufacture with unparalleled precision and efficiency . Rather than mining tons of ore
at a great cost to the environment to find a handful of diamonds, nanotechnologists can start with carbon and build a flawless
diamond one atom at a time. Because they are so precise, nanotech processes waste less material, consume less energy and
produce better results. Nanotechnology is the frontier of innovation; given its potential, it is not surprising that it is the focus of
a global scientific race. The prize for winning this race is leadership in the production of renewable energy, clean water, cancer
cures and next-generation computing. The U.S. government took an early lead in 2002 with the 21st Century Research and
Development Act, which pledged $5 billion over four years to become a leader in nano science. That lead has steadily been eroded.
Japan announced an equivalent initiative within months of ours. Since then, France, Germany, Britain, Russia, China,
Taiwan, India and Singapore have stepped up to the plate with significant investments. The 21st Century Research and
Development Act expires this year, and we have not been in a technology race this close since the Apollo project. Given what is
at stake and the degree to which the U.S. relies on innovation to fuel its economy, nanotechnology is a global competition that
America can ill-afford not to win.
US industry and the Federal Government are the primary pillars of financial support for the U.S. research and development
(R&D)2 enterprise. The National Science Board (Board) observes with concern the indicators of stagnation, and even decline
in some discipline areas, in support for U.S. R&D, and especially basic research, by these two essential patrons and
participants. A decline in publications by industry authors in peer reviewed journals suggests a de-emphasis by U.S. industry
on expanding the foundations of basic scientific knowledge. More specifically, research contributions by U.s. industry authors
in the physical and biomedical sciences through publications in peer reviewed journals have decreased substantially over the
last decade. In addition, in this century the industry share of support for basic research in universities and colleges, the primary
performers of U.S. basic research, has also been declining. Likewise, Federal Government support for academic R&D3 began
falling in 2005 for the first time in a quarter century, while Federal and industry support for their own basic research has
stagnated over the last several years. These trends are especially alarming in light of the growing importance of knowledge-
based industries in the global economy. The confluence of these indicators raises important questions about implications for the
future of U.S. competitiveness in international markets and for the future existence of highly skilled jobs at home. The net
economic and workforce effects on the Nation and on industry of these negative changes are complex, and the Board finds that
requisite data for an adequate analysis of current conditions and future trends do not presently exist. Nevertheless, the Nation
must be acutely aware of the current trends as future resource allocations for basic research are debated and decided in industry
and by the Federal Government. Global Competition in Science and Technology: A Strong National Response Required.
Innovation is a key to economic competitiveness and the technological breakthroughs that improve our lives. Basic research
fuels technological innovations and is critical in fostering the vitality of the U.S. science and technology enterprise and the
growth of highly-skilled jobs. The scienctific and technological advances that have led to our Nation’s remarkable ability to
create new industries and jobs, improve the standard of living for people, and provide sophisticated technology that ensures our
national security can be traced back to the outcomes of basic research.
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Risha, Richie, Neeraja
1AC 7/14
Economic collapse leads to nuclear war
Walter Russell Mead, Senior Fellow for U.S. Foreign Policy at the Council on Foreign Relations, World Policy
Institute, 1992
Hundreds of millions – billions – of people have pinned their hopes on the international market economy. They and their
leaders have embraced market principles – and drawn closer to the west – because they believe that our system can work for them.
But what if it can’t? What if the global economy stagnates – or even shrinks? In that case, we will face a new period of
international conflict: South against North, rich against poor. Russia, China, India – these countries with their billions of
people and their nuclear weapons will pose a much greater danger to world order than Germany and Japan did in the 30s.
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1AC 8/14
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1AC 9/14
Semiconductor technology is key to US nanotech leadership – it provides the basis for necessary
innovations
AZoNano ‘5, Online Journal of Nanotechnology
[“U.S. Could Lose Race for Nanotechnology Leadership,” 3/17/05, www.azonano.com/news.asp%3FnewsID%3D635]
The coming transition to nano-scale semiconductor devices means that leadership in information technology is up for grabs,
warned the Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA). At a news conference in Washington, D.C., today chief executives of U.S.
semiconductor makers and a leading economist stressed the importance of continued progress and leadership in semiconductor
technology. The industry is observing the 40th anniversary of Moore's Law -- an observation made in 1965 by industry pioneer
Gordon Moore that the number of components on a computer chip was doubling approximately every 12 months with a commensurate
reduction in costs. Following the vision of Moore's Law, the U.S. semiconductor industry has led the worldwide industry, contributing
key innovations that have helped drive America's economic growth. Speaking at the news conference were Steve Appleton, chief
executive officer of Micron Technology and 2005 chairman of the SIA; Craig Barrett, chief executive officer of Intel Corporation;
Dale Jorgenson, Samuel W. Morris University Professor at Harvard University; and George Scalise, president of the SIA. The industry
executives noted that four decades of continuous advances in microchip technology have led to creation of entirely new industries,
including personal computers, the Internet, and cellular telephones, while enabling major advances in biotechnology, medicine, and
environmental protection. Professor Jorgenson discussed the contributions semiconductors have made to economic growth and
productivity gains during the past decade. SIA called for stepped up support for basic research in the physical sciences to assure
continued U.S. technology leadership. Experts believe current semiconductor technology could run up against physical, technological,
and economic limits around 2020. "U.S. leadership in technology is under assault," said Barrett. "The challenge we face is global in
nature and broader in scope than any we have faced in the past. The initial step in responding to this challenge is that America must
decide to compete. If we don't compete and win, there will be very serious consequences for our standard of living and national
security in the future." Barrett said that industry scientists believe current CMOS scaling to support Moore's Law can remain in effect
for at least another 10 to 15 years. When the smallest features on a chip shrink to less than 10 nanometers -- 10 one-billionths of a
meter -- current chipmaking technology will reach its ultimate limits. To keep Moore's Law alive, the industry will have to leave
Newtonian physics behind and transition to the realm of quantum physics -- the era of nanotechnology. "U.S. leadership in the
nanoelectronics era is not guaranteed," noted Barrett. "It will take a massive, coordinated U.S. research effort involving academia,
industry, and state and federal governments to ensure that America continues to be the world leader in information technology."
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Nanotech Aff
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Risha, Richie, Neeraja
1AC 10/14
Nanotech leadership is critical to winning humanity’s most important arms race
John Robert Marlow, 2004, Interview on the Superswarm Option Nanotechnology Now, February,
http://www.nanotech-now.com/John-Marlow-Superswarm-interview-Feb04.htm
Marlow's 2nd Paradox As stated in the Nano novel, Marlow's Second Paradox is this: "Nanotechnology must never be developed,
because it is too dangerous a thing to exist; nanotechnology must be developed-because it is too a dangerous a thing to exist in the
hands of others." The first rationale-Bill Joy's relinquishment option-will be ignored. The second will drive the race for
nanosuperiority. The first nanopower will, if it plays its cards right, remain unchallenged for the foreseeable future-assuming there
remains a future to foresee. This is so because it will be possible to use the technology itself to prevent all others from deploying it, or
to simply annihilate all others. In the entire history of the human race, there has never been such a prize for the taking, and there likely
never will be again.
We are embarked upon what is quite possibly Mankind's final arms race. Caution may not be a factor, because the losers in the
nanorace will exist only at the whim of the winner, and many will see themselves as having nothing to lose, and the world to gain.
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Nanotech Aff
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Risha, Richie, Neeraja
1AC 11/14
Contention 2 is Solvency:
Tax credits incentivize nanotech development and production
John F. Sargent 5 – 15 – 08, Specialist in Science and Technology Policy in the Resources, Science, and Industry Division
[“Nanotechnology and U.S. Competitiveness,” http://fpc.state.gov/documents/organization/106153.pdf]
Indirect Support. In addition to direct funding mechanisms, a variety of indirect approaches might be used by the federal government
if it chose to support additional nanotechnology research and development. The tax code could be used to increase private investment
in nanotechnology companies, or to create incentives for companies to expand and accelerate their research, development, and
production activities. Tax options might include general provisions to induce greater corporate investment, such as the current
research and experimentation (R&E) tax credit; 62 targeted tax provisions that support a particular technology, application, industry,
or sector; consumer tax deductions or credits designed to induce the purchase of targeted technologies and products, such as tax
credits currently provided for the purchase of hybrid and flex-fuel vehicles; or incentives for the formation of capital pools to support
R&D, such as favored tax treatment for research and development limited partnerships (RDLPs). (For additional information, see CRS
Report RL31181, Research and Experimentation Tax Credit: Current Status and Selected Issues for Congress, by Gary Guenther.)
Only the federal government can fund the necessary long-term research
Jacob Heller and Christine Peterson, No Date, “U.S. Federal Nanotech R&D Funding”, Foresight Nanotech
Institute Policy Issues Brief, <http://www.foresight.org/policy/brief1.html>
However, even many libertarians — the group most skeptical of government involvement — take the position that private firms
are unlikely to engage in long-term basic research when those firms will be unable to reap the full benefits of their investment.
This type of basic research may constitute a public goods problem, in which market processes working alone may not function
optimally.8 Foundation funding can make a difference, but is generally focused on specific applications such as the nanoemulsion-
based vaccine delivery system recently funded by the Gates Foundation.
Sustained expansion in federal R&D funding may be critical to the development of US nanotech-based industries. The federal
government can fund long-term and risky research that companies are unwilling and unable to conduct; these types of research
usually have the largest payoff for society in the long-run. Also, at current budget levels, the federal government cannot fund many meritorious
research efforts. The ratio of serious proposals to funded projects is too high; for example, in 2004 the NSF received 48 proposals for funding nanotech research
centers, but could only afford to finance six.9 Even when researchers do receive federal funding, the amounts are usually inadequate to completely and fully
research a subject.10
Investments in nanotech are stagnated without federal funding because of perceptual technical risks
John F. Sargent 5 – 15 – 08, Specialist in Science and Technology Policy in the Resources, Science, and Industry Division
[“Nanotechnology and U.S. Competitiveness,” http://fpc.state.gov/documents/organization/106153.pdf]
Much of the public dialogue on how the government can advance U.S. strength in nanotechnology has focused on federal technology
funding. Advocates for increased federal support put forth a variety of arguments. Some believe that the federal government should
provide increased funding for “downstream research,” i.e., applied research and development closer to commercial products, including
production prototypes. 52 Those who advocate this position generally assert that many promising research breakthroughs and early
technology developments fail to make it to market. This failure, they argue, results from inadequate funding mechanisms to bring the
technology to a state of maturity in which private corporations and other sources of capital are willing to invest in the technology — or
in the company that holds the technology — to bring it to market. For example, they assert that investor demand for short-term returns
can result in companies being unable to invest in higher-risk, longer-term technology development projects needed to sustain their
viability in the future. Similarly, according to these advocates, venture capitalists and other investors often have exit strategies and/or
seek returns in a timeframe (generally three to five years) inconsistent with the longer-term development horizons of emerging and
enabling technologies. With federal investments, say supporters, technical risk could be reduced to a level that enables promising
research and early-stage technologies to overcome “the valley of death” 53 and reach the marketplace where the nation would be
able to capture their economic and societal benefits.
1AC 12/14
IPR, financing, federal prototypes, safety standards all make federal funding necessary.
John F. Sargent 5 – 15 – 08, Specialist in Science and Technology Policy in the Resources, Science, and Industry Division
[“Nanotechnology and U.S. Competitiveness,” http://fpc.state.gov/documents/organization/106153.pdf]
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Survey of Industry Views on the Federal Role A survey of U.S. nanotechnology business leaders indicated this community was
divided on the desired level of government involvement in the development of nanomanufacturing technologies with 45% wanting
“government to take the lead in R&D and commercialization incentives” and 43% wanting “limited participation.” Another 11% of
respondents said they wanted government to “stay out of it.” Among the most significant barriers to growth identified by U.S.
nanotechnology business leaders in a survey conducted by Small Times magazine and the University of Massachusetts-Lowell were:
intellectual property issues (46%), lack of financing (45%), lack of available prototype facilities (43%), and lack of nanotechnology
safety standards (36%). Ninety-two percent of respondents identified access to unique equipment and facilities as very important, and
91% identified access to processes and tools to reduce time-to-market from R&D as very important. Nearly three of five respondents indicated
that they use or planned tIo use shared- use facilities at local universities, with science and engineering labs (25%), electronic labs (24%), and biotech labs (17%)
topping the list, followed by specific diagnostic equipment (14%) and microfabrication labs (12%). More than three-fourths of the nanotechnology executives surveyed
identified internal R&D as the primary source of expertise for the development of products and processes. Another 9% of executives identified industry associations or
consortiums as their primary source of expertise, while only 7% identified collaboration with universities. Source: “Survey of U.S. Nanotechnology Executives,”
conducted by Small Times Magazine and the Center for Economic and Civic Opinion at the University of Massachusetts-Lowell, Fall 2006.
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Nanotech Aff
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Risha, Richie, Neeraja
1AC 13/14
Additionally, Grey goo theories are outdated and don’t assume newly developed methods which prevent
the production. Even if Grey Goo was developed, it couldn’t survive.
Center for Responsible Nanotechnology, 12/14/03, “Grey Goo is a Small Issue” http://www.crnano.org/BD-
Goo.htm
Fear of runaway nanobots, or “grey goo”, is more of a public issue than a scientific problem. Grey goo as a result of out of control
nanotechnology played a starring role in an article titled "The Grey Goo Problem" by Lawrence Osborne in today's New York Times
Magazine. This article and other recent fictional portrayals of grey goo, as well as statements by scientists such as Richard Smalley,
are signs of significant public concern. But although biosphere-eating goo is a gripping story, current molecular manufacturing
proposals contain nothing even similar to grey goo. The idea that nanotechnology manufacturing systems could run amok is based on
outdated information.
The earliest proposals for molecular manufacturing technologies echoed biological systems. Huge numbers of tiny robots called
“assemblers” would self-replicate, then work together to build large products, much like termites building a termite mound. Such
systems appeared to run the risk of going out of control, perhaps even “eating” large portions of the biosphere. Eric Drexler warned in
1986, “We cannot afford certain kinds of accidents with replicating assemblers.”
Since then, however, Drexler and others have developed models for making safer and more efficient machine-like systems that
resemble an assembly line in a factory more than anything biological. These mechanical designs were described in detail in Drexler's
1992 seminal reference work, Nanosystems, which does not even mention free-floating autonomous assemblers.
Replicating assemblers will not be used for manufacturing. Factory designs using integrated nanotechnology will be much more
efficient at building products, and a personal nanofactory is nothing like a grey goo nanobot. A stationary tabletop factory using only
preprocessed chemicals would be both safer and easier to build. Like a drill press or a lathe, such a system could not run wild. Systems
like this are the basis for responsible molecular manufacturing proposals. To evaluate Eric Drexler's technical ideas on the basis of
grey goo is to miss the far more important policy issues created by general-purpose nanoscale manufacturing.
A grey goo robot would face a much harder task than merely replicating itself. It would also have to survive in the environment, move
around, and convert what it finds into raw materials and power. This would require sophisticated chemistry. None of these functions
would be part of a molecular manufacturing system. A grey goo robot would also require a relatively large computer to store and
process the full blueprint of such a complex device. A nanobot or nanomachine missing any part of this functionality could not
function as grey goo.
Development and use of molecular manufacturing will create nothing like grey goo, so it poses no risk of producing grey goo by
accident at any point. However, goo type systems do not appear to be ruled out by the laws of physics, and we can't ignore the
possibility that someone could deliberately combine all the requirements listed above. Drexler's 1986 statement can therefore be
updated: We cannot afford criminally irresponsible misuse of powerful technologies. Having lived with the threat of nuclear weapons
for half a century, we already know that.
Grey goo eventually may become a concern requiring special policy. However, goo would be extremely difficult to design and build,
and its replication would be inefficient. Worse and more imminent dangers may come from non-replicating nano-weaponry. Since
there are numerous greater risks from molecular manufacturing that may happen almost immediately after the technology is
developed, grey goo should not be a primary concern. Focusing on grey goo allows more urgent technology and security issues to
remain unexplored.
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1AC 14/14
Government nanotech allows us to develop adequate defenses to grey goo
Ronald Bailey, Science Correspondent for Reason and former FERC analyst, 12-1-2004. “The smaller the better: the limitless
promise of nanotechnology--and the growing peril of a moratorium.” http://goliath.ecnext.com/coms2/gi_0199-3334354/The-smaller-
the-better-the.html
The second nanotechnology risk that worries ETC Group activists is runaway self-replication. Mooney points to a scenario suggested by Eric Drexler
himself in The Engines of Creation: Self-replicating nanobots get out of control and spread exponentially across the landscape,
destroying everything in their path by converting it into copies of themselves. In this scenario, the biosphere is transformed by
rampaging nanobots into "gray goo." But according to Nobelist Richard Smalley, "Self-replicating nanorobots like those
envisioned by Eric Drexler are simply impossible to make." Mihail Roco likewise dismisses such nanobots as "sci fi," insisting
there is "common agreement among scientists that they cannot exist." So let's suppose Smalley and Roco are wrong, and
such nanobots are possible. How dangerous would self-replicating nanobots be? One of the ironies of the debate over regulation of
nanotechnology is that it was nanotech boosters like Drexler who first worried about such risks. To address potential dangers such as the
uncontrolled self-replication envisioned in his gray goo scenario, Drexler and others founded the Foresight Institute in 1989. Over the years,
Foresight devised a set of guidelines aimed at preventing mishaps like a gray goo breakout. Among other things, the Foresight
guidelines propose that nanotech replicators "must not be capable of replication in a natural, uncontrolled environment." This
could be accomplished, the guidelines suggest, by designing devices so that they have an "absolute dependence on a single artificial fuel source or artificial 'vitamins' that don't exist in any natural environment." So if
some replicators should get away, they would simply run down when they ran out of fuel. Another proposal is that self-replicating nanotech devices be "dependent on broadcast transmissions for replication or in some
cases operation." That would put human operators in complete control of the circumstances under which nanotech devices could replicate. One other sensible proposal is that devices be programmed with termination
"The moratorium is not a new proposal," says Foresight Institute
dates. Like senescent cells in the human body, such devices would stop working and self-destruct when their time was up.
President Christine Peterson. "Eric Drexler considered that idea a long time ago in The Engines of Creation and dismissed it as not a safe option. With a
moratorium, we, the good guys, are going to be sitting on our hands. It's very risky to let the bad [people] guys be the ones
developing the technology. To do arms control on nanotechnology, you'd better have better nanotechnology than the bad
guys." Software entrepreneur Ray Kurzweil is confident that nanotech defenses against uncontrolled replication will be
stronger than the abilities to replicate. Citing our current ability to reduce computer viruses to nuisances, Kurzweil argues that we will be even more
vigilant against a technology that could kill if uncontrolled. Smalley suggests we can learn how to control nanotech by looking at biology. The
natural world is filled with self-replicating systems. In a sense, living things are "green goo." We already successfully defend
ourselves against all kinds of self-replicating organisms that try to kill us , such as cholera, malaria, and typhoid. "What do we do about
biological systems right now?" says Smalley. "I don't see that it's any different from biotechnology. We can make bacteria and viruses that have never existed
before, and we'll handle [nanobots] the same way." Nanotech theorist Robert Freitas has written a study, "Some Limits to Global Ecophagy by Biovorons
Nanoreplicators With Public Policy Recommendations" which concludes that all "scenarios examined appear to permit early detection by
vigilant monitoring, thus enabling rapid deployment of effective defensive instrumentalities." Freitas persuasively argues that
dangerous self-replicating nanobots could not emerge from laboratory accidents but would have to be made on purpose using
very sophisticated technologies that would take years to develop.
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The solar panel market has other important, demand-side, friends: solar enjoys hearty governmental subsidies in several rich countries,
and widespread political support from anyone looking for symbolic and real ways to reduce carbon emissions. While the rigorous
strategic economics and environmental arguments are still somewhat weak, nevertheless the "global climate change" concern tips the
balance making this decision easy sell to large groups of people. Support extends to some really big business buyers yearning to be
green.
Solar power has usually been thought of as a way of supplying electricity or hot water to a single building. But in several countries,
solar power plants capable of powering thousands of homes are under construction. These include plants in Spain, Portugal, Australia
and the US capable of generating between 20MW and 100MW – enough to power thousands of homes, but still much smaller than a
conventional mid-sized coal-fired power plant of about 500MW. Once built, however, the fuel is free.
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Many other countries investing in and developing solar power technology now
Seeking alpha, Seeking Alpha is the leading provider of stock market opinion and analysis from blogs, money
managers and investment newsletters, and a provider of its own high-value, complementary financial content,
4/22/08, "solar power will be transformational in the next decade," http://seekingalpha.com/article/73251-solar-
power-will-be-transformational-in-the-next-decade
If that prediction turns out to be correct, it will also mean that solar will survive even if incentives are not as robust as I expect
them to be. Of course, if incentives are cut, solar penetration will definitely be slowed down, and solar stocks will be substantially
hurt, but the solar genie will not go back into the bottle now that we are at, or very close to, grid parity. However, I actually expect
collective global incentives to INCREASE over the next few years, rather than stay the same or decrease. Although the US isn't
among them, quite a few countries are aiming for the vast majority of their electricity to be renewably-generated, and several
countries are well on their way (Germany and Spain come to mind). And although federal incentives in the US won't be as good as
those in Europe and elsewhere, the size of our power market is such that even if only ten percent of our electricity is to be PV-
generated, that will mean multi-gigawatts-per-year domestic demand for PV. Keep in mind that quite a few states have very nice
incentives in place and other states are coming onboard, so total incentives in the US (federal and state) may well be sufficient to
generate more total demand for PV than in the very pro-PV countries such as Germany and Spain, which have much smaller
power markets than we do.
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China is one of the global leaders in development of solar power – increased US R&D key to maintain
competitiveness.
Shanghai daily, 6/26/08, “China generates solar-power guidelines,” http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2008-
06/26/content_8441329.htm
BEIJING, June 26 -- China is speeding up the development of industry standards to guide solar-power generation, officials
and experts told a conference. The nation is one of the leading manufacturers of photovoltaic cells, which convert sunlight to
electricity, although it exports virtually all the products as solar generation is not economic without subsidies from
governments or local authorities. But forming standards has lagged behind the development of the PV cell manufacturing
sector, said Li Aixian, director of the Sub-Institute of Resource and Environment Standardization of the China National
Institute of Standardization. China has promulgated 15 national standards for the solar water-heating sector, with another six
under development, but there is no related standard yet for solar-power generation, Li said. The only forms of renewable
energy that are competitive in the Chinese mainland without subsidies are solar heaters and hydropower projects. "Now we
have three standards under development for the solar-power generation sector, and a standardization committee will be set up
soon," Li told a three-day workshop hosted by U.S. National Institute of Standards and Technology and testing and
certification organization Underwriters Laboratories, which concluded yesterday in Shanghai. The standards for solar
generation will cover sectors such as fundamentals, components and materials, generation systems and technological design, Li
said.
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With the fluctuating high cost of petroleum, minimizing dependence on importing conventional energy resources, stewardship
to protect the Planet and providing affordable energy to all, countries including India have stepped up their energy path for
harnessing indigenous renewable resources. To tap the infinite energy and transform as well as transmit it to each household,
the Indian government has accelerated promotion of the use of universally available Solar Energy. India due to its geo-physical
location receives solar energy equivalent to nearly 5,000 trillion kWh/year, which is far more than the total energy
consumption of the country today. But India produces a very negligible amount of solar energy - a mere 0.2 percent compared
to other energy resources. Power generation from solar thermal energy is still in the experimental stages in India. Up till now,
India's energy base has been more on conventional energy like coal and oil. However, India has now attained 7th place
worldwide in Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Cell production and 9th place in Solar Thermal Systems. Grid-interactive renewable
power installed capacity as on 31.10.2006 aggregated 9,013 MW corresponding to around 7 percent of the total power installed
capacity which equates to over 2 percent of total electricity.
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Solar energy is, perhaps, the first energy source that comes to mind when most people think of renewable sources of energy, but
— unlike wind — solar power is still a long way from being mainstream. In fact, it accounts for less than 1 percent of the world’s
energy. 19 There are two main ways to harness the power of the sun to generate electricity: photovoltaic (PV), where sunlight is
directly converted into electricity via solar cells, and solar-thermal power. PV is a proven technology that is most appropriate for
small-scale applications to provide heat and power to individual houses and businesses. Sunlight falls on a layer of
semiconductors, which jostles electrons. This, in turn, creates an electrical current that can be used as a source for heat. Solar PV
cells are already cost effective for powering houses and businesses in some regions. As with wind power, technological
developments have reduced costs considerably over the last few years. Unlike wind power, however, large-scale electricity
production using solar energy costs about 22 cents per kilowatt-hour, significantly more expensive than its fossil fuel competitors
and nuclear energy.
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BOSTON - With a big new solar power plant in the Nevada desert and thousands of wind turbines sprouting nationwide, US
renewable energy seems poised for a boom as long as federal tax credits don't suddenly evaporate.
After years of start-and-stop growth, wind-and solar- power industries soared in 2007, thanks to three consecutive years of tax
credits that provided a critical lift for both sectors. But whether the fledgling industries can fly without tax credits, due to
expire at the end of this year, is a question being debated on Capitol Hill this week. As demand grows for a stimulus package
for the faltering US economy, green-energy advocates argue that wind and solar – both left out of the new energy law passed
last month – should be part of the package. "The wind and solar investment project decisions made in this quarter will be
halted without these critical tax credits," says Anna Aurilio, federal legislative director for US Public Interest Research Group
in Washington. "It would be a tragedy to bypass industries that are going to meet US energy needs and create jobs." The 2005
energy bill provided exactly the kind of multiyear support the wind industry says it needs. The impact has been dramatic.
Nearly one-third of all US power capacity added last year – about 5,244 megawatts – was in wind. Overall wind-generating
capacity soared 45 percent last year, adding the clean-energy equivalent of 10 large coal-fired power plants, the American
Wind Energy Association (AWEA) reported last week.
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This is a book about the future of energy. Even without a deep analysis of the energy industry, most people fundamentally
understand that our current energy system is ultimately unsustainable and that renewable energy (including solar energy) will
be an inevitable part of our common future. Global economic, environmental, and social pressures are driving our species and
our economies to change how we harness vital energy, and these pressures will intesigy as we approach the middle of the
twnty-first century and expand to an estimated population of ten billion inhabitants on the planet. Many of the greatest hurdles
we will face in the next fifty years will be a direct result of how we currently and eventually decide to procure the energy
necessary to sustain our lives and our standard of living. Human-induced climate change, resource wars over energy supplies,
and cucles of deforestation, famine, and poverty that result from our insatiable appetite for energy are not new problems.
Humans have tese problems have accelerated in scale and potential repercussions to global proportions. Inevitable, the thrests
that our relationship to energy creates will be mitigated when motivation and opportunity collide. This could happen whem
businesses and government compensate for the risks and costs of our current energy system with effective foresight and
coordinated planning or, alternatively, when we are forced to change in response to a 1970’s-style energy crisis. Whatever the
catalyst, the industrialized and developing nations of the world will eventually address these isseus by using energy more
efficiently and by developing and deploying local, sustainable renewable energy sources.
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Will nanotechnology be the driver of the next economic boom? No one can be sure. What is certain is that many metropolitan
regions across the country (and the world) are preparing for the era of good times brought from tiny things. The Massachusetts
Nanotechnology Initiative is one of more than fifteen statewide or regional initiatives in the United States designed to promote
nanoscale science and tech- nology. At the national level, the President's 2005 Budget request pro- vides for nearly $1 billion in
funding for the multi-agency National Nanotechnology Initiative (NNI). Even so, the U.S.does not dominate spending on
nanotechnology, and it has been matched or outspent by countries in Europe and Asia in what some characterize as an R&D
‘dogfight’. Lacking a crystal ball to see the future implications of this global investment and competition in nanotechnology, I
look back to former technological revolutions for lessons learned that might aid policymakers shepherd in the age of
nanotechnology. What analogies to the past are relevant? Biotech is sometimes referred to as the nanotech of the nineties. The
analogy to biotech- nology highlights the issues surrounding interdisciplinary research, a universally recognized characteristic
of nanotechnological efforts. Comparisons to other historical precedents are also useful. Drawing an analogy to the assembly
line illustrates that many of the benefits of nanotechnology will not be obvious to the ordinary consumer, since they will be
hidden away in manufacturing processes. Likening nanotechnology to electricity suggests that it will create pervasive and long-
lasting adjustments to the economy as the many facets of nan- otechnology compound and interact, but that will take decades
to effectuate. Each antecedent from history is distinct and underscores a separate aspect of nanotechnology. However, all
technological changes affect the workforce in one way or another. The first set of workers that nanotechnology has already
affected are scientists and engineers— highly educated experts with the knowledge, skills, and brainpower to do research and
development, whether basic or applied. National and local policies regarding funding of education and research, stipends and
scholarships, and immigration and visas greatly affect the development of this work force. Jobs and Productivity The economic
impact of a new technology can be analyzed in terms of two effects: (1) the creation of new products and services, and (2) the
reduction of the cost of existing products and services. The inven- tion of the daguerreotype in the mid 1800s represented the
introduc- tion of a new product that lead directly to the inception of the pho- tography industry. In contrast, Henry Ford's
improvement of the assembly line resulted in the latter effect, that is, it reduced the cost of automobiles (an item already
enjoyed by the wealthy) by boosting the productivity of the workers manufacturing them. In practice, the two effects—novel
products vs.cost reduction—represent two ends of a continuous spectrum. It is sometimes difficult to distinguish whether a new
product or service is truly novel or instead the result of extreme improvements in efficiency. For instance, when the commer-
cial electric refrigerator appeared, was it a novel product or merely an icebox that obviated the need for ice delivery? Further, a
new tech- nology may impact the economy in multiple ways that appear on both ends of the spectrum. On which end will
nanotechnology be more heavily weighted? At this juncture it appears that nano will reduce the costs of producing existing
products to a greater extent than creating new products. One thing is certain. Nanotechnology will not create a single ‘nanoin-
dustry.’ Instead, the technology will become integral to many indus- tries—a general-purpose array of technologies that affects
everything, analogous to electricity. Electricity enabled the modern economy and continues to sustain it. Just to name a few
highlights: the electric telegraph revolutionized communications prior to the Civil War, elec- tric machine tools greatly
increased productivity in factories after World War I, and all consumer-grade computers use electricity to process information.
Nanotechnology is likely to diffuse to some areas where electrification has not been important: (a) combustion engine
automobiles, and (b) chemical based pharmaceuticals. ‘Nano’is an umbrella term that embodies a collection of technologies,
i.e., carbon nanotubes, molecular electronics, designer proteins, etc. In this sense, nanotechnology is comparable to information
technology (IT). IT is a convergence of many separate technologies—personal computers, packet switching technology, fiber
optic telecommunica- tions—that allow us to effectively handle information as a commo- dity. For nanotechnology, the NNI
states that its distinctive feature is that it binds together ultrasmall “devices and systems that have novel properties and
functions because of their small and/or intermediate size.” The power to boost productivity lies in this emergence of novel
properties at the nanoscale. Manufacturing processes tend to be complex recipes of many ingredients and steps.
Nanotechnology will provide a greatly expanded palette of new materials and techniques. Nanoengineers will find a multitude
of opportunities to use
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WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - The United States is at risk of falling behind other countries in nanotechnology research,
according to researchers testifying Wednesday at a House subcommittee. Nanotechnology, which involves the manipulation of
atoms and molecules to create new products and processes, needs more funding and more scientists to keep up, the panelists said.
Floyd Kvamme, co-chair of the President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology Policy and a partner emeritus in
venture capital firm Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, told the subcommittee that while the United States is still the leader in
nanotechnology research and development, "other countries are aggressively chasing U.S. leadership." While the U.S. spends
more than any other country - $3.3 billion out of the $8.6 billion world total - it is exceeded by many Asian countries on a per
capita basis, according to New York nanotech analysis firm Lux Research Inc. Per capita investment in South Korea is $5.62; in
Japan, $6.30; and in Taiwan, $9.40. The U.S. spends $5.42 per capita. Asian countries are also piggy-backing on U.S. research by
ignoring patent laws, said Matthew Nordan, vice president of research at Lux. Rep. Michael Sodrel, R-Ind., asked how the U.S.
can maintain any technological breakthroughs when other countries, such as China, show little respect for intellectual property
laws. The panelists suggested various means of getting other countries to play by the rules, from appealing to the World Trade
Organization to blocking the sale of products of stolen U.S. technology. Nordan told the lawmakers that protectionist methods
alone would be ineffective. "It's a question of staying one step ahead," he said. "The way that the U.S. can maintain its
dominance ... is to have an unrelenting, relentless flow of new ideas that take time [to implement] and keep the U.S. three, four,
five years ahead." The Brain Drain Problem A significant barrier to maintaining an edge in innovation is the scientific brain drain
to other countries, the panelists said. Nordan cited Nobel Laureate Richard Smalley's prediction that by 2010 90 percent of the
world's physical scientists in 2010 will be from Asian countries and 50 percent will be working in Asian countries. Kvamme said
that while many scientists are trained at U.S. universities, fewer are choosing to stay in the United States after they get advanced
degrees. The United States must find a way to reward people for sticking with difficult scientific fields instead of pursuing more
lucrative and easier paths, he said. More Funding, More Vision Nanotechnology has helped to create synthetic bone replacement
material that helps bones heal faster. It is also being used to create a substitute for the ordinary light bulb that uses one-tenth the
energy. And it is helping to create membranes that can remove contaminants in water. Those are a few applications of technologies
that have the potential to be used in fuel cells, video displays, computer chips, clothing and tools, as well as in agriculture,
medicine, defense and engineering. However, many of the gee-whiz applications of nanotechnology are a decade or more away,
and getting funding for the concept stage of the science is harder than for developing a marketable nanotech product. New venture
capital funding has remained "relatively flat," with between 30 and 40 venture-backed nanotech startups per year, said Sean
Murdock, executive director of the NanoBusiness Alliance. Venture capital funding has actually declined 48 percent from $385
million in 2002 to $200 million in 2004, according to Lux Research. "Since the private sector is not willing to take the risk, the
government must bridge the gap," Murdock testified. Nordan compared research into nanotech to government-funded research into
information networks decades ago. No one knew then that that research would pay off many times over with the Internet, he said.
Nordan predicted that nanotechnology will affect nearly every type of manufactured good over the next 10 years, and will be
incorporated in 15 percent of the world's products, worth $2.6 trillion. Committee chairman Rep. Bob Inglis, R-S.C., would review
the panelists' testimony and determine whether there was a need for further legislation, said spokesman Joseph Pouliot. End of
Story Edward Welsch is a reporter for Medill News Service in Washington.
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Innovation spillovers flow through at least three distinct channels. First, “knowledge spillovers” occur because knowledge
created by one firm cannot typically be contained within that firm, and thereby creates value for other firms and other firms’
customers. Second, “market spillovers” occur when an innovation creates benefits for consumers and non-innovating firms that
are not fully captured by the innovating firm due to competition and other market forces. Third, because the profitability of a
set of interrelated and interdependent technologies may depend on achieving a critical mass of success, each firm pursuing one
or more of these related technologies creates economic benefits or “network spillovers” for other firms and their customers.
Technical standards often have an important role to play in the context of markets with significant network effects.
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The single most powerful incentive for innovation in energy, of course, is the price of oil—and that too, thanks to OPEC and
the pressure of global demand, is pushing the same way. For environmental reasons, the bosses of many energy-producing and
energy-consuming industries are convinced that new restrictions on carbon emissions are coming anyway. So the commercial
reward for innovation in alternative energy and conservation could be enormous.
One could go further—as Clinton typically did—and argue that global warming and expensive oil are not setbacks for the
United States so much as wonderful opportunities. Bizarrely, when you recall that he sees global warming as so grave a danger,
he compared innovation in energy to the leap forward in information technology of the 1980s and 1990s. The energy economy,
he argued, is the next big thing. It could be as good for living standards and the creation of new high-wage jobs as the IT-led
economic expansion that began toward the end of the 20th century.
In any event, it might take less than one would think to push America and the rest of the world much faster down the
alternative-energy path. The meeting at Aspen also heard from Amory Lovins, whom Clinton lauded. Lovins, the head of the
Rocky Mountain Institute, has long advocated alternative energy and energy conservation. Earlier predictions of his about
rising energy efficiency, dismissed at the time, have come true. His view is that the economy is poised to make huge new
economic, environmental, and geopolitical savings over the next 20 to 30 years—through better conservation and switches to
new fuels, such as hydrogen and biofuels.
Lovins argues that a relatively light-handed new energy policy might be enough to show business where things are going. By
consistently advocating a new energy economy, and backing that up with relatively modest interventions here and there, the
government, he believes, could unlock faster innovation and a far more rapid turnover of the installed stock of old-energy
capital. If Lovins is right, America's dependence on oil will shrink much faster than people think. With a gentle push, it could
shrink even faster than that, and it would be good if it did.
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Without reducing our oil dependence there is no way to prevent economic collapse
Seeking Alpha, economy news, 7/20/08, “Does Al Gore Finally Get It?” <
http://seekingalpha.com/article/85852-does-al-gore-finally-get-it>
However, in some ways, Al Gore has done a disservice to his own cause by warning about the consequences of global warming
instead of the realities of worldwide oil production versus demand. As I have said for years now, the biggest, most imminent
threat to the US economy and indeed to worldwide civilization as a whole, will be the inability of worldwide oil production to
meet worldwide oil demand while our economies is still oil based.
Global warming or climate change, however one chooses to refer to the "phenomenon", IS real and IS happening. However, it
will not pose a serious threat to our economy or our lives for another couple of decades. Oil, on the other hand, has the
potential to wreck havoc on our economy, our way of life, and our entire civilization by 2015 if we continue to do nothing.
That is only 7 years away.
We're seeing the very real effects already today - but people want to erroneously blame it on speculators, "big oil", politicians ,
etc. Very few, for whatever reason, want to believe in peak oil (even though it has happened in reservoir after reservoir all over
the world), or the fact that just maybe the US isn't entitled to cheap and convenient oil for the next 200 years. Being 4% of the
world's population and using 25% of the world's oil production (importing 65% of that) leaves the US the most exposed and the
most threatened by the realities of worldwide oil production and demand. This as billions of Chinese and Indians are trading in
bicycles for gasoline (oil) powered automobiles. Still, we ignore the facts and continue merrily on our way.
Meanwhile, oil is at $130/barrel, gasoline at $4/gallon, the S&P is on the skids (returning nearly 0% over the last 10 years), the
US trade deficit balloons as we send $750 billion dollars (and rising...) every year to foreign oil producers, inflation is raging
(but the Fed can't raise rates), and of course as a result, the US dollar is down 50% since Bush took office. Still, our "leaders"
cannot or will not see the wisdom of enacting a comprehensive energy policy to regain control of our economy, our financial
future, and our national security.
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What has changed is the urgency of the situation and the scope of opportunity posed by the economic benefits of investing in
clean energy and efficiency measures. And that is the purpose of this memo: to point to a broader debate over American jobs,
our future economy and our role in the world. Energy clearly has power as a separate issue, but it can play a much bigger role
in a broader and more powerful agenda. Clean energy can be a big part of the debate over how America advances
economically, in both micro and macro terms: how we develop good American jobs, how America leads the world
technologically and economically, and how we help Americans save money
and maintain their standard of living. We as a party and as candidates have a huge opportunity that should not be missed—one
that addresses not only core economic insecurities of Americans, but defines us as a forward looking, prescient party. Our
argument is not based on a single poll or set of focus groups, but instead listening to people in dozens of focus groups and polls
who are very worried about the future of this country and their place in that future. This memo aims to pull together their
concerns, along with their support for the development of clean energy into a broader economic debate that is central to
people’s lives now and in the years to come.
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Investing in new, clean energy that creates jobs. Invest in new, clean sources of energy that will make us more secure,
strengthen our economy by creating good jobs, and protect our air, water and land. Frankly, people view these new sources of
energy as the present and the future, and readily accept the notion that investment here provides economic benefits. In addition,
we should realize that oil is viewed as producing economic benefits in a few specific regions, while wind, solar, and biofuels
present an opportunity for any region. We have seen this economic argument work everywhere -- states in the Midwest, Mid-
Atlantic, Southwest, and South.
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I read the article "Into an antiwar state, defense dollars flow" (Globe NorthWest, Nov. 19) with interest. Although we seem to reap
benefits from the flow of these dollars in terms of jobs, if that tax money were spent on the needs of our communities and our citizens
(housing, healthcare, transportation, education, alternative energy), we would have a healthier economy with more jobs created. A
small number of companies and individuals are reaping huge profits from the arms industry, while use of the products (cluster bombs)
kills women and children. Perhaps the reason people are against war is because we recognize this terrible reality and want things to be
different
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Thus, in the case of the turbojet, insight derived from aeronautics in the1920s created a presumption among a few aircraft engineers
that over the longer term, fundamental constraints would be encountered in the performance of the piston-propeller system of aircraft
propulsion. Another example was the realization by Marvin Kelly, director of research at Bell Telephone Laboratories, that the heat
generated by vacuum tubes would become a constraint on the development of rapid telephone switching technology. A more
contemporary example is the realization, because of the impact of carbon dioxide emission on global temperature, that efficient
alternatives to carbon based fuels must be found if economic growth is to be sustained (Ruttan 2001: 515-521; National Research
Council and National Academy of Engineering 2004; Pacala and Socolow 2004). It is not necessary that the insight that gives rise to a
presumption of anomaly be derived from science. Advances in engineering, agronomic or medical knowledge may also give rise to
presumptive anomaly. 10 When a radically new technology is initially envisaged it will almost certainly be judged to be less efficient
than the system it is designed to replace. Furthermore, a radical new general purpose technology will generally, over time, do much
more than perform existing functions more efficiently. As emphasized in the previous section it will also give rise to the proliferation
and further evolution of new application technologies—it will “fertilize” technical and institutional innovation. Thus, the electronic
digital computer and the transistor gave rise to the evolution of entirely new communication technologies. This process was in turn
reinforced by the further evolution of computer and microprocessor technology.
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Solar projects totaling more than 10,000 MW have land requests from the Bureau of Land Management in Southern Nevada. If
constructed, these solar plants would bring over $40 billion of investment to Nevada. Power plants benefit the economy in the
short-term by creating large quantities of construction jobs. In the long-term, they create plant operations jobs, tax revenue,
raise property values, and generate income through land leases. A recent example is Acciona’s Nevada Solar One, located in
Boulder City, NV. As the third largest solar concentrated plant in the world, its maximum output is 75 MW of electricity. It
generates enough power for 15,000 homes annually and had a cost of $260 million. Operating since June, 2007, there are 300
acres of solar fields. The plant will produce peak power, with nearly zero carbon emissions and created approximately 28
operations related jobs.
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NINE brings together government lab and industry scientists, students and faculty to do research in leading-edge technical areas.
NINE partners provide students—high school through grad school—team research experiences generally unavailable in
traditional academic environments. In addition to showing students how science is done in professional settings, NINE also
http://www.innovation-america.org/index.php?articleID=306 (1 of 3)11/5/2007 12:31:35 PM exposes students to the non-
technical aspects of nano-engineering, including business, legal, political and social issues through courses, seminars and
mentoring. Those social issues, for example, reducing greenhouse gases, are key to attracting today’s students. According to
Justine Johannes, a Sandia manager and co-director of NINE, “Important social issues can pull the next generation into
engineering and the sciences. Their ability to make an impact on those issues can keep them engaged.” Regan Stinnett, Sandia’s
NINE manager, likens this nanotechnology era to the moon program in the 1960s. “Nanotechnology, like the early space program,
brings excitement to students. And like the early moon shots, the multidisciplinary aspects of nano call on a variety of academic
disciplines, including electrical engineering, physics, chemistry, material science. The challenge for universities will be how to
provide the breadth of learning that the new technology needs without sacrificing the depth of the academic disciplines. It’s
possible that NINE can provide some of that scientific breadth, as well as the societal aspects, and help create innovative leaders
who understand all the different disciplines, all the varying points of view.”
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Our outreach program to the Muslim world is indicative of the Department’s broad interest in seeing S&T being used as a way
to build bridges, promote development, and enhance U.S. scientific progress and capacity. Each year the DOS reviews its
priority objectives with each of the regional bureaus to ensure that science and technology is advancing American national and
foreign policy interests and promoting the freedom and dignity of others. This is followed up with detailed discussions at the
bureau leadership level. Input from our missions abroad is factored into these deliberations, through the review of mission-
specific strategic planning documents.
Conclusion
S&T is universally perceived as apolitical. This inherent characteristic makes S&T an excellent means for engaging societies,
such as those in the Middle East, where the United States has become progressively more unpopular. While there has been no
definitive study on the topic of what makes science diplomacy effective, we have learned through years of engagement that
some of the key elements are:
finding areas that break new ground, sometimes in a neglected area of science or development
finding areas that are educationally and developmentally transformative, that are highly motivational for the participants
finding areas that address core developmental issues of poverty and human development
finding areas that promote sustainable uses of natural resources
finding programs that stimulate job creation and private sector investment
finding collaborative projects that bear tangible results
The appeal of American science and technology creates a more favorable atmosphere in which to explain other American
policies and interests. S&T allows the United States to engage in mutually beneficial dialogue with foreign nations, and creates
a foundation for international exchange of ideas, scientists, data, and students. Science education provides opportunities for
upward mobility for youth worldwide. S&T empowers individuals, in America and around the world, to find dignified,
independent solutions to pressing social, economic, and environmental problems.
We are proud of the work we are doing to strengthen our S&T ties with other nations. Nonetheless, there is a lot more that
could be done to further harness the soft power of S&T. Last month, the Secretary of State’s Advisory Committee on
Transformational Diplomacy recommended that the DOS “expand its investment in Science, Engineering, and Technology
expertise, presence, and global engagement. This includes expanding the Department’s engagement in global science,
engineering, and technology networks through exchanges, assistance, and joint research activities addressing key issues.” I
look forward to hearing from the Committee how we might work together to broaden our international cooperation on science
and technology.
Thank you for this opportunity to testify and I would be pleased to respond to any questions you may have.
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"The natural synergy of scientific and technological problems of electronics, photonics and renewable energy based on commonly
used materials, such as semiconductors, ceramics and organic polymers will stimulate cross-disciplinary exchanges of ideas and
potential solutions," said Dr. Mascher. "Technology and business leaders will be able to accelerate the transfer of ideas from 'lab to
fab' and to use the meeting as a convenient way to review new developments and innovations."
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Nanotechnology may have a significant impact on all areas of human endeavor. According to Richard Smalley, a nanotechnology
pioneer who was awarded the Nobel Prize in chemistry in 1996 for his discovery of fullerenes, “the impact of nanotechnology on
health, wealth, and the standard of living for peo- ple will be at least the equivalent of the combined influences of
microelectronics, medical imaging, computer-aided engineering, and man-made polymers in this century” (Smalley 1999).
Nanotechnology is likely to be particularly important in the developing world, because it involves little labor, land, or
maintenance; it is highly productive and inexpensive; and it requires only modest amounts of materials and energy.
Nanotechnology products will be extremely productive, as energy producers, as materials collectors, and as manufacturing
equipment. Nanotechnology can contribute new tools with which to address sustain- able development problems, and it can
strengthen the technologies already available and make them more efficient. It will coexist with rather than replace established
technologies. Its impact will be felt in multiple ways, depending on how other technologies converge and align themselves around
it.
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From 2003 to 2004, cancer deaths fell by 3,014, considerably more than the previous year’s decline, 369. (These are the latest
years for which figures are available.) Although the drop is notable, it still pales in comparison with the number of cancer
deaths, 553,888 in 2004. Cancer is the second leading cause of death in the United States, after heart disease.
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Nanotech has potential to detect and cure cancer in early stages – R&D key.
NIH, National Institutes of health, 11/7/01, “Nanotechnology and Cancer,” http://cancerweb.ncl.ac.uk/cancernet/400388.html
How can nanotechnology be used in cancer detection and diagnosis? Detection of cancer at an early stage is a critical step in
improving cancer treatment. Currently, detection and diagnosis of cancer usually depend on changes in cells and tissues that
are detected by a doctor's physical exam or imaging expertise. Instead, scientists would like to make it possible to detect cancer
when the earliest molecular changes are present, long before a physical exam or imaging technology is effective. To do this,
they need a new set of tools. Nanotechnology is uniquely promising as an early detection tool for several reasons: To
successfully detect cancer at its earliest stages, scientists must be able to detect molecular changes even when they occur only
in a small percentage of cells. This means the necessary tools must be extremely sensitive. The potential for nanostructures to
enter and analyze single cells suggests they could meet this need. Many nanotechnology tools will make it possible for
clinicians to run tests without physically altering the cells or tissue they take from a patient. This is important because the
samples clinicians use to screen for cancer are often in limited supply. Scientists would like to perform tests without altering cells, so
they can be used again if further tests are needed. Reductions in the size of tools means that many tests can be run on a single small device.
This will make screening faster and more cost-efficient. What specific nanotechnology tools are being developed for early detection?
The cantilevel is one tool with potential to aid in cancer diagnosis . Nanoscale cantilevers - tiny bars anchored at one end - can be
engineered to bind to molecules associated with cancer. They may bind to altered DNA sequences or proteins that are present
in certain types of cancer. When the cancer-associated molecules bind to the cantilevers, changes in surface tension cause the
cantilevers to bend. By monitoring whether or not the cantilevers are bent, scientists can tell whether the cancer molecules are
present. Scientists hope this bending will be evident even when the altered molecules are present in very low concentrations.
This will be useful in detecting early molecular events in the development of cancer. Other technologies will focus on improved
methods of reading the genetic code on single strands of DNA to detect errors that may contribute to cancer. Scientists believe nanopores,
tiny holes that allow DNA to pass through one strand at a time, will make DNA sequencing more efficient. As DNA passes through a
nanopore, scientists can monitor the shape and electrical properties of each base on the strand. Because these properties are unique for each of
the four bases that make up the genetic code, scientists can use the passage of DNA through a nanopore to decipher the encoded information,
including errors in the code known to be associated with cancer.
Leadership – Nanotech Good – Cancer Ext
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B. Dirty water kills more than 3 million a year—outweighs war, terrorism and WMD’s combined.
Jessica Berman, Science and Medicine writer, 3/17/05, “WHO: Waterborne Disease is World's Leading Killer”
http://www.voanews.com/english/archive/2005-03/2005-03-17-voa34.cfm?CFID=93767752&CFTOKEN=55192494
The World Health Organization says that every year more than 3.4 million people die as a result of water related diseases,
making it the leading cause of disease and death around the world. Most of the victims are young children, the vast majority of
whom die of illnesses caused by organisms that thrive in water sources contaminated by raw sewage. VOA's Jessica Berman
has more on the story. A report published recently in the medical journal The Lancet concluded that poor water sanitation and a
lack of safe drinking water take a greater human toll than war, terrorism, and weapons of mass destruction combined.
According to an assessment commissioned by the United Nations, 4,000 children die each day as a result of diseases caused by ingestion of filthy water. The
report says four of every 10 people in the world, particularly those in Africa and Asia, do not have clean water to drink.
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Frost & Sullivan, a global growth consulting company that partners with clients to support the development of innovative growth
strategies. For more than 40 years, the company has leveraged its comprehensive market expertise to offer industry research and
market strategies, provide growth consulting and corporate training, and support clients to help grow their businesses, December
2006, “Impact of nanotechnology in water and wastewater treatment,” http://www.mindbranch.com/Impact-Nanotechnology-Water-
R1-5570/
The quality of water that is obtained after the adoption of nanotechnology is well within the requirements of agencies such as
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). It has been determined that these nano-based filters are able to achieve 99.95 percent
efficiency, when compared to conventional technologies. As a result, the water or effluent that is obtained after the treatment could be
reused for various domestic and industrial applications. Nanotechnology even removes protozoan cysts, oocysts, and helminth ova
and in some cases bacteria and viruses from the water. "Nanotechnology also provides more effective alternatives to the treatment of
contaminants such as mercury, arsenic, and perchlorate," explains the analyst. "As the impact of these contaminants on humans is
gradually realized, it has become increasingly essential to monitor them at trace levels, which is impossible with conventional
treatment methods."
Nanotech can provide clean water more efficiently than current purification methods.
Space daily, Charles Q. Choi – writer at space daily which brings the space industry professional daily news from the frontier, with
contract, bid, launch and on-orbit satellite news, 3/18/05“water, water everywhere nano,” http://www.spacedaily.com/news/nanotech-
05zb.html
Nanotechnology could lead to advanced water-filtering membranes "that can purify even the worst of wastewater,"
Modzelewski added, noting that KX Industries in Orange, Conn., has developed an anti-bacterial and anti-viral filter "that you
can pure raw sewage into, and come out with clear water on the other end." The key lies in how nanotechnology - science and
engineering on the scale of molecules - can make pores tiny enough to filter out the smallest of organism. "You can have new
polymer materials that can self-assemble into artificial membranes and be cheaper, more effective," Yaniv said. At the same
time, nano-engineered membrane pores can be far straighter than conventional filters using natural ingredients such as zeolite,
where the pores are very crooked. This means water actually can flow through faster.
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The implications of nanotechnology are significant, particularly for homeland security. Nanomaterials have the potential to save the
military billions of dollars by providing wear resistant coatings and protective armors. More importantly however, breakthroughs in
many of the areas impacted by nanotechnology will provide significant political and military leverage to the entity that develops them.
The ability to cheaply produce renewable energy on a massive scale will put a political faction in the position to suddenly
destabilize the petroleum economy or greatly increase industrial throughput for military applications. The next generation of
super-computers will be able to crack high-security codes with greater ease, better process intelligence data and advance the rate of
military research. Access to these computers by potential terrorists would set us back on our global war on terror. In addition, as the
number of nanotech products in U.S. households increases, the country or countries that control the manufacturing and benefit from
the commercialization of nanotech products will have significant influence over U.S. access to them and thus on the U.S. quality of
life.
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Without an international convention to control the proliferation of MNT, nations can regulate the development of MNT within their
own borders more effectively. The United States can control the development of technology in three different ways: regulation of
interstate commerce, regulation of exports, and regulation of medical and consumer products. Also, the federal government plays an
enormously influential role in technology development by deciding what areas to fund and what restrictions and incentives are tied to
that funding. Though not often used for the regulation of technological matters, Congress has the authority to regulate interstate
commerce. 78 This broad power has ebbed and flowed based on judicial review, but it has recently been interpreted to allow the
regulation of channels of commerce, instrumentalities of commerce, and regulation of activities bearing a substantial relationship to
interstate commerce. 79 After Lopez, the standards for regulating activities that are not specifically “commerce” are stricter and no
longer construed to reach everything that could be connected with commerce, as earlier Supreme Court jurisprudence allowed. 80
Still, Congress has recently approached “non economic” subjects like human cloning with the 2001 Human Cloning Prohibition Act.
81 This act attem pts to prohibit any human cloning activities that result in interstate commerce, seeking a ban on a technology that is
at a very early stage of development, but is controversial enough to motivate the House to act. Though the Act has been criticized for
its vagueness in defining a human embryo for the purposes of research, the mechanisms provided by the Act could be a model for
structuring a regulation of MNT within U.S. jurisdiction by restraining unauthorized experimentation and research and development
on potentially equally controversial technology. The efficacy of the Congressional response to human cloning will need to be
evaluated if the resolution passes and is held to be constitutional—First Amendment challenges claiming a right to free speech through
scientific research are likely. Nonetheless, it provides a national mechanism for at least theoretically controlling MNT distribution.
Article I of the Constitution also provides for Congressional power over commerce with foreign nations and thus co ntrol over exports
from within the United States. 82 Most relevant to control of sensitive technology export is the International Trade in Arms
Regulations (IT AR) Act. 83 Congress delegated to the President the power to control the import and export of certain defense items
under the Arms Control Export Act (ACEA). 84 The ACEA authorizes the President to create a list, the United States Munitions List,
of items subject to export and import restrictions. 85 Included in this list, among items like tanks, missiles, and armaments, are
encrypting devices, software, and source code. 86 This last category caused significant controversy, as well as providing a mechanism
for the control of the proliferation of MNT beyond the United States. Under ITAR, the Secretary of State determines whether an item
is within the scope of the Munitions List. If the Department of State determined the item to be within the scope of the Munitions List,
that item cannot be exported without a license. If an item is on the Munitions List, that means that exporters and manufacturers of that
item must register with the government as arms dealers or manufacturers. 87 That encryption devices and software are considered to
be within the ambit of the Munitions List and subject to ITAR restrictions was justified on the basis that encryption products could be
used by enemy forces or terrorists to conceal information that could not be accessed by the U.S. military or National Security Agency.
88 The United States has promulgated further restrictions on supercomputers to designated nations like China, Syria, and Libya, which
is consistent with its determinations on encryption devices. Therefore, placing MNT technology on the Munitions List would be
reasonable because of the potentially catastrophic misuse of the technology by enemy states. This mechanism might be more effective
in accomplishing control of MNT than regulation of interstate commerce because it serves the interests of the United States more to
prohibit the export of MNT than to suppress its development completely. An export control regime coupled with a national
incentive program would allow the development of MNT while preventing its international distribution , much as encryption
technology developed within the United States.
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Given this enormous gap in the potential that Drexler imagines and the promising steps in 2002, perhaps scientists should focus more
on encouraging development of MNT rather than proscribing development limits a priori. Nonetheless, with an eye on managed
control of the technology, there are current mechanisms that could be adapted for promoting MNT while limiting its dangerous
potentials. Some of these pathways include economic incentives such as patent-like grants and development prizes; governmental
controls like research partnerships and nationalization; and mandatory controls like disabler technolo- gies, “defense shields,” and blueprint “escrow”
plans. Under the U.S. federal system, Congress has the power to grant patent rights to inventions for “limited times.” 113 The general purposes of the
patent system are to encourage the development of technology by rewarding inventors with exclusive rights for a limited period of time, currently 20
years under U.S. law. Patent systems worldwide generally provide a quid pro quo exchange of exclusive rights for an enabling disclosure of how to
make and use the invention that the patent application describes . Another interesting economic incentive for MNT development, either
outside of or as an added inducement to patent grants, would be the encouragement of national competitions and prizes for MNT
application development. Richard Feynman spoke of using prizes in his now-famous talk, “There’s Plenty of Room at the Bottom,”
delivered to the American Physical Society in 1959. 127 He imagined $1,000 prizes for creating micron-scale motors and machines
and successively larger prizes for larger accomp lishments. 128 Analogous to this initial nanotechnology “dare” is Carl Zubrin’s
promotion of a Mars expeditionary mission, in which he calls for establishment of a “Mars prize” sponsored by the government to
spur innovation and accomplishment of certain key goals in a manned mission to Mars. 129 Zubrin emphasized the economy and
ingenuity of asking private entrepreneurs to develop technology when there own money is at stake, spurred on by the monetary as well
as marketing incentives of accomplish- ing the objectives. 130 As Zubrin noted, Charles Limburgh set off to cross the Atlantic
encouraged by a government-sponsored prize to do so. Explorers in the past set sail for unknown lands on the promise of state-sanctioned
prizes and grants. Zubrin proposed successive stages of development to reaching M ars, in increasing complexity and increasing value of the prize.
Fundamental steps to landing a private manned mission to Mars include placing an imaging mission in Mars orbit, a robotic landeron Mars, and a
long-term life support system in space, all with certain strict conditions . Though costly to attain, these accomplished challenges would be met
with equally impressive prizes, on the order of $500 million to $1 billion. Another advantage of sponsoring such prizes is that desired
protocols and standards can be imposed as a condition for winning. The government could specify that later stages of MNT
development must conform to the Foresight Guidelines or variations thereof. A similar nanotechnology challenge pro gram could be
created to spur private development of key MNT steps. For example, some fundamental steps to creating self-replicating nanosystems would be
Brownian assembly of med ium-scale materials, mechanosynthetic assembly of small building blocks, first generation solution-based systems, and
creation of complex diamond-like materials in an inert environment. 131 More advanced challenges would be to create simple manipulators and
sorting and ordering molecules. 132 Notice that even these more advanced stages are still decades away from self-replicating super-
machines that threaten to churn the world into grey goo. Yet they represent Drexler’s basic vision for MN T development as an optimistic
scenario. By providing generous prizes for meeting these steps, a mature MNT might be accomplishable in the private sector without enormous
government funding. Engineering companies like IBM, Xerox, or perhaps biotechnology companies like Monsanto or chemical companies like Dow
Chemicals will have the funding to pursue such a competi- tion , though if the history of innovative technology is any guide, early MNT
applications will come from spin-off ventures from these corporate giants. 133
The risk involved with some of these technologies is just too great, in the eyes of many technology critics, to believe that private companies will
undertake the burden alone, without some assurance of government assistance and risk-sharing. 134 Others disagree; they point to the excessive
waste generated in the development process of “government darlings” and point out that the Japanese Ministry of International Trade and Industry
(MITI) has not been very impressive in picking and assisting “key” technologies. 135 Nonetheless , much as in space exploration, if a mature
MNT is desired within a reasonable time, then govern- ment assistance and direction will be required to coordinate the diverse fields
that will contribute to MNT. 136 In addition, a cooperative private-government venture will have the advantage of built-in government
oversight and management of nascent risks in the technology, rather than overseeing the technology after it has been released to the
general scientific and public com munity.
.Private-government cooperative ventures are increasingly promoted for complex, uncertain, and capital-intensive technology
development. In such fields as alternative fuels, nuclear power, low-emission vehicles, aerospace, and biotechnology, government
funding and incentives like access to exclusive development rights have made dramatic advances in otherwise unapproachable
technologies.
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In the energy sector, given rising global populations and power-hungry economies in Asia, the world will require, as a conservative
estimate, approximately 900 MBOE (million barrels of oil per day), corresponding to 60 terawatts of energy daily – more than four
times as much as we use today. As a comparison, 175,000 terawatts of solar energy hit the earth daily. Capturing 0.3% of this would
solve the energy crisis. Nanotechnology is the only technology which promises an order of magnitude reduction in cost and increase in
efficiency of solar cells. It is involved in the materials for making solar cells, the power lines that would carry the generated energy
and the hydrogen fuel cells that would store the energy.
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In a series of seminal papers Bresnahan and Trajtenberg addressed the problem of how to establish “a link between the economic
incentives for developing specific technologies and the process of growth” (1995: 84). They suggested that at any point in time a
limited number of general purpose technologies, characterized by pervasive use across a wide range of sectors, account for a relatively
large share of productivity growth. “As a GPT evolves and advances it spreads throughout the economy, bringing about and fostering
generalized productivity gains” (1995: 84). Electric power and information technology have been regarded as the prototypic general
purpose technologies (Jovanovic and Rosseau 2005).
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***Add-Ons***
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Solar energy has the power to reduce greenhouse gases and provide increased energy efficiency, says a scientist at the U.S.
Department of Energy's Argonne National Laboratory, in a report (view it online) published in the March issue of Physics
Today. Last month, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) of the United Nations released a report
confirming global warming is upon us and attributing the growing threat to the man-made burning of fossil fuels. Opportunities
to increase solar energy conversion as an alternative to fossil fuels are addressed in the Physics Today article, co-authored by
George Crabtree, senior scientist and director of Argonne's Materials Science Division, and Nathan Lewis, professor of
Chemistry at Caltech and director of its Molecular Materials Research Center. Currently, between 80 percent and 85 percent of
our energy comes from fossil fuels. However, fossil fuel resources are of finite extent and are distributed unevenly beneath
Earth's surface. When fossil fuel is turned into useful energy through combustion, it often produces environmental pollutants
that are harmful to human health and greenhouse gases that threaten the global climate. In contrast, solar resources are widely
available e. “Sunlight is not only the most plentiful energy resource on earth, it is also one of the most versatile, converting
readily to electricity, fuel and heat,” said Crabtree. “The challenge is to raise its conversion efficiency by factors of five or ten.
That requires understanding the fundamental conversion phenomena at the nanoscale. We are just scratching the surface of this
rich research field.”
B. Impact
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WHY SOLAR? Clean the Air, Fight Global Warming. Global warming is the greatest environmental threat facing the planet
today. The evidence is in and the debate about whether it is happening is over. As just one piece of evidence, Frank Nutter,
President of the Reinsurance Association of America, recently was quoted saying that because of the high property losses due
to extreme weather during the past two decades, climate change "could bankrupt the industry.(Source: Northwest Council on
Climate Change) So how do we fight this problem? The single largest contributor to global warming is pollution from energy
generation. We cannot reverse global warming without a transition to renewable energy. (Source: EPA) Everyone agrees that
renewable energy could clean the air, stave off global warming, and help eliminate our nation's dependence on fossil fuels from
overseas. Is it just a dream? Not anymore. Not when we can find ways to make renewable energy pay for itself. Invest in
Energy Independence, Increase Energy Security. Investing in solar power increases our nation's energy independence and
energy security. California's energy crisis was just the latest in a long cycle of price fluctuations. The energy market will
always be volatile, particularly since the fossil fuels that power it come from abroad and will eventually dry up completely.
Ultimately, the best way for cities to reduce their vulnerability to unstable energy markets is to produce more of their own
electricity sustainably with substantial investments in solar and other renewable sources. Moreover, renewables offer a smart
way to create a diverse energy portfolio. Limited sources of energy make consumers more vulnerable to unpredictable price
fluctuations. Just as a smart investor invests in a diverse range of stocks, it is prudent for cities to have an energy portfolio that
includes a range of generation technologies.
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A by-product of burning fossil fuels is carbon dioxide, perhaps the greatest contributor to global warming. This warming trend
is evident in continuing changes in local and regional climates all over the world. PV systems do not cause emissions of carbon
dioxide or other greenhouse gases, so using PV energy helps to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and thus mitigate global
warming. Recognizing the potential threat of global climate change, the World Meteorological Organization and the United
Nations Environment Programme established the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 1988. The IPCC
assesses a growing body of peer-reviewed and published scientific, technical, and socioeconomic information relevant to
understanding the risk of human-induced climate change. Visit the IPCC Web site for more information on global warming.
The United States also produces periodic "Climate Action Reports" as part of its commitment as one of the parties to the
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate C
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The report concludes that with leadership at the state and federal level and the right policies, that, putting 80 gigawatts, enough
to power 25 million homes, of concentrating solar power in place by 2030 is within reach. This would have the potential to
generate between 75,000 and 140,000 permanent jobs and cut global warming pollution from U.S. electric power plants by at
least 6.6 percent by the year 2030. Electricity generation accounts for more than a third of America's emissions of global
warming pollution, and approximately 20 percent of Maine’s global warming pollution. “Concentrating solar power can make
a large contribution toward reducing global warming pollution in the United States, and do so quickly and at a reasonable
cost,” said Davis. “This is just one more example of proven technology we already have that can solve our energy and climate
woes.”
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China is home to some of the most polluted cities on the planet and likely will overtake the U.S. as the biggest emitter of
greenhouse gases by the end of the decade. Yet while China's "dirty dragon" image is well-deserved, Beijing officials are also
deadly serious about investing in solar power capacity at home and eventually becoming a dominant player in this rapidly-
emerging, clean energy technology. Consider that some 1,100 solar panels are being installed over the curved roof of Beijing's
National Indoor Stadium, ahead of the 2008 Summer Olympics. In October, SunTech Power (STP), based in the old industrial
city of Wuxi in Jiangsu Province will begin installing a 130 kilowatt solar energy system in the main venue of the games—
Bird's Nest Stadium. Beijing has also been installing solar powered streetlights throughout the Olympic Village as well as in
less urbanized areas of the Chinese capital's suburbs.
This isn't just environmental posturing, but a serious and sustained push to diversify China's energy mix, local officials
contend. Beijing has pledged to install three megawatts of solar power for the 2008 Olympics. However, "If you add up all the
solar energy investment in the Olympic Village, National Indoor Stadium, Bird's Nest, and rural villages, it is entirely possible
that Beijing could have six megawatts by 2008," says Zhu Wei Gang, a vice-president with Beijing Corona Science &
Technology, the company which is installing the solar panels in the National Indoor Stadium.
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Small businesses may lack the resources needed to bring their nanotechnology innovations to market. Federal programs, such
as the Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) program and the Small Business Technology
Transfer (STTR) program, support leading-edge nanotechnology research by small innovative firms. Federally funded
university research can produce small start-up ventures. These small businesses may develop commercially valuable
technology, and even successfully develop new nanotechnology materials, tools, processes, or products, but lack the capital,
infrastructure, or sales and distribution channels to effectively bring such advances to market.
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WASHINGTON, DC Scientists are working to produce cheap, sustainable solar energy by imitating nature. nanotechnology
researchers like California Institute of Technology professor Nate Lewis are exploring nanoscale materials that mimic the
architecture of grass and photosynthesis to capture and store the suns energy.
A new podcast looks at how Dr. Lewis and his CalTech research team are trying to imbed tiny nanoparticles into simple,
inexpensive everyday products like house paint and roof tiles to revolutionize the way solar energy is produced. More energy
from the sun hits the earth in an hour than all the energy consumed by human beings on our planet in an entire year. So, if we
are going to find an efficient, environmentally-friendly substitute for fossil fuels, it makes sense to exploit the sun, says Dr.
Lewis. nanotechnology offers us a way, in principle, to make very cheap materials like the paint you buy at Home Depot act as
solar cells and batteries. Ordinary-looking, nano-enabled house paint, roofs or shingles could replace today’s black, glasslike
photovoltaic cells which are usually composed of crystalline silicon and are unwieldy, unsightly and very expensive to
manufacture. In addition to homes, this innovative technology someday could power cell phones, laptops and even
automobiles.
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But here's something all Americans — except maybe Exxon shareholders — should be able to agree on, regardless of where they fall
on the green spectrum: more renewable power would be a good thing. Greens support alternative energy, like wind or solar, because it
helps de-carbonize our energy supply and reduce pollution. Skeptics support it because with rocketing fossil fuel prices — and the
U.S.'s increasing dependence on oil imported from less-than-friendly regimes — renewables can offer homegrown, politically safe
price relief. It's a win-win in a world that seems ever more zero-sum.
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***Note – “America COMPETES Act” included provisions for funding nanotech R&D***
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June 9, 2008 -- NanoBusiness Alliance Executive Chairman Sean Murdock on June 5 commended the House of
Representatives for passing the National Nanotechnology Initiative Amendments Act of 2008 (H.R. 5940). The
bill, which reauthorizes and updates the successful federal interagency nanotechnology research and
development program, passed by an overwhelming, bipartisan margin. "We are pleased that Congress
continues to recognize the importance of nanotechnology," said Murdock. "It is imperative that the United
States maintain its lead in the global nanotechnology race, and this bill will help make that happen."
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If the renewable credits do expire (Congress, jammed in a partisan gridlock, refuses to renew them), they'll save taxpayers a little
money — maybe $1 billion, or less than half a week of the Iraq war. But the cost to the economy — not to mention the fight against
climate change — will be far greater. Navigant Consulting, an international firm that studies the energy industry, estimates that the
expiration of the renewable tax credit would result in approximately $19 billion in lost investment, and 119,000 lost job opportunities
in the U.S. That's because renewables, while getting cheaper all the time, still cost more than fossil fuels. Subsidies can help bridge the
gap as renewable technology improves — but that will happen only if businesses can produce solar or wind power at scale, which will
happen only if investors can be assured that the tax credits won't suddenly disappear, says Rhone Resch, president of the Solar Energy
Industries Association. (Hear Resch talk about the renewable tax credits on this week's Greencast.)
This year, Congress has repeatedly found itself stalemated over the renewal of renewable credits. Supporters of the credits haven't
been able to overcome opposition by Republican senators, the White House and a handful of fiscally conservative Democrats, who
won't vote for the credits unless they're paid for as they go. Supporters have tried paying for the credits by rescinding tax breaks for oil
companies; they've also tried raising the funds by eliminating tax loopholes that benefit hedge fund managers. Even though oil
executives and hedge fund managers are perhaps the most widely hated two groups in America, neither plan has worked.
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As a U.S. senator, I have championed several initiatives over the past several years to nurture U.S. leadership in innovation. Perhaps
none was more exciting than sponsoring the 21st Century Nanotechnology Research & Development Act, which was signed into law
by President Bush on December 3, 2003. Together with my hardworking friend and colleague, Senator Ron Wyden (D-Oregon), we
were successful in launching the National Nanotechnology Program, which became the single largest federally funded, multiagency
scientific research initiative since the space program in the 1960s, securing $3.63 billion over four years
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My focus is on nano & clean technology conferences, commercialization of nano technology in solar applications, companies,
fundings, solar power policy issues, and other areas of interest to the solar power community. The focus for this column is the cost
structure of solar photovoltaic & what can be "reasonably" projected over the next few years. I believe that solar is a more realistic
solution to global warming than carbon sequestration and other "magic" technologies. All quotations and sources are referenced. All
opinions are the opinions of the columnist & not of Nanotechnology-Now. The fundamental driver for solar PV & solar thermal is the
efficiency & cost of conversion of sunlight to electricity or to heat. The competition is either fossil fuels or nuclear energy. Nuclear
has three basic problems with no solutions in sight: (i) the nuclear industry only exists because the promoters do not have to pay for
the billions to trillions of dollars of damage that will be caused from a large scale accident - check out the Price Anderson act which
limits damage claims in the US to $500 million - the nuclear industry is basically uninsurable because the upside of a major accident is
incalculable by actuarial tables, despite all the "media fog" put out by nuclear advocates(ii)the nuclear fuel cycle enables the
production of nuclear weapons - see North Korea, Iran, etc.(iii) nobody wants a nuclear reactor and especially the long term waste
products in their back yard. Fossil fuels all depend on the "carbon subsidy" for current pricing - current coal, oil, gas prices depend on
not having to pay for the destruction of the global environment upon which all life (including humans) depends by the mechanism of
global warming. We need to get a grip on greenhouse gases before the industrialization of Brazil, China, India, Russia gets anywhere
close to US, Japanese, or Western European levels.
B. Impact
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For all of these great potential solutions, there's a catch. Every one of these technologies requires an initial input of energy—energy to
manufacture catalysts or membranes in the first place, energy to power a hydrogen generator. If that energy comes from a fossil fuel
burning power plant, the problem has not been solved. The ultimate goal for greenies is to have a clean power source at every step.
The options? Nuclear or solar power. Nuclear power hasn't been ruled out, but it comes with a batch of big concerns, the main one
being that it would make it much harder to regulate the development of nuclear weapons. The ideal power source, then, is the sun, but
to harvest it on a mass scale today's solar cells need to increase in efficiency and decrease in cost.
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