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Suresh Rathi
R E P O RT 0 8 0 9 / 0 0 6
13 JUNE 2008
Reporting-
Phone: +91-22-22666178
Fax: +91-22-66344007
E-mail: rahulb@srspl.com
Suresh Rathi
Jaiprakash Associates Limited
The flagship company of the Jaypee Group, promoted by Shri Jaiprakash Gaur is a well
Research Report No known leader in the construction of multi-purpose river valley and hydropower projects
0809/006 and has been involved in construction of major engineering projects for the last four
decades, including Hydro power, River Valley projects, Expressways, Real Estate
13 June 2008 Development, etc. The company also has it presence in Cement, Hospitality and Real
Estate Business.
CMP: Rs. 179/- Jaiprakash Associates (JAL), promoted by erstwhile Jaiprakash Industries was
incorporated in 1995 under the name Bela Cement. Its name was changed to Jaypee
Rewa Cement in Aug, 2000 and then to Jaypee Cement in 2002. The company was a
wholly owned subsidiary of erstwhile Jaiprakash Industries and was engaged in the
manufacture and marketing of cement. Pursuant to the Scheme of Amalgamation of
erstwhile Jaiprakash Industries with the company, the name was changed to present one
w.e.f 11th March 2004. Subsequently the companies cement division was also
transferred to the company. During 2005-2006, the company initiated steps for
amalgamation of erstwhile Jaypee Greens Ltd (JGL) with itself.
At A Glance
Equity (Rs Cr.) 234.50 The company has got eight subsidiaries as given below.
Book Value 33.28
EPS 5.20
SUBSIDIARIES - Jaiprakash Associates Ltd (Rs in Cr.)
PE Ratio 35.80
Market Cap (Rs Cr.) 21009.23 Year End 2007
52 Week High/Low 510 /129 Share Investment Sales Profit
Dividend Yield (%) 0.39 Holding Cost Turnover After Tax
Last Dividend (%) 36.00 %
Gujarat Anj. Cement 98.88 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jaiprakash Hydro Power 63.34 413.76 356.52 199.53
Share Holding Pattern as on Jaiprakash Power Venture 84.28 429.00 216.59 71.78
31 March 2008 Jaypee Cement Ltd 100.00 45.05 0.00 0.00
Foreign 28.02 Jaypee Hotels Ltd 72.18 65.42 130.80 13.63
Institutions 11.80 Jaypee Karchan Hydro 100.00 750.00 0.00 0.00
Non Promoter Hold 4.98 Jaypee Power Grid 79.37 0.00 0.00 0.00
Promoters 44.55
Madhya Pradesh Jay 70.00 10.50 0.00 0.00
Public & Others 10.66
Total 100
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Jaiprakash Associates Limited
This development is likely to sustain in 11th plan & the 12th one also. Most important
factor negating India’s growth is the fact that the infrastructure consisting of Roads,
railways, ports, airports, communication and electric power is not up to the standard of
competitors. Thus keeping a single point agenda – India has set out to circumvent this
worrisome factor & has aligned various infrastructures projects to help attain this vision.
Realizing there is a huge demand base for infrastructure in the rapidly growing economy,
investments worth USD 85 billion (Rs. 3, 41,308 crore) are planned by the business
houses in the sectors like core, physical and service Infrastructure. This makes up for the
maximum 81% of the total planned Investments during the third quarter of current
financial.
T o t a l I n v e s t m e n t O u t la y ( $ 8 5 .3 B n )
ste e l
0%
6%3 % 4 % O il
7% 36%
Pow er
T e le c o m
10% R e a l Esta te
C e me n t
S h ip p in g & Lo g is t ic s
15%
19% P o rts
A v ia t io n
Indian Infrastructure
Capacity as Added in Inv.in 10th Added in Investments
on 2007 10th Plan Plan (Rs. 11th Plan in 11th plan
(Physical) Billion) (2008-12) (Rs. Billion)
NHAI 66590 KM 4673 km 1148 54082 km 3118
Railways 108850 km 945 km 1196 10300 km 2580
Capex
Port Capacity 680 165 41 830 739
(mn tones)
Power 127753 31000 2918 78000 6165
Generation
MW
Telecom 210.50 mn 160.7 mn 1234 480 mn 2670
(Subscribers)
Airports 87 mn 160.7 mn 68 118.7 mn 347
(Passengers)
Steel Capacity 57 16.5 577 37 1440
(mn tones)
Cement 166 31 105 132 530
(mn tones)
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Jaiprakash Associates Limited
Indian Cement Industry on growth trajectory. . .
The Cement industry has continued its growth trajectory over the past seven years.
Domestic cement demand growth has surpassed the economic growth rate of the
country for the past couple of years. Over the past five years (FY03-07), cement demand
has grown at a CAGR of 8.37% higher than the CAGR of supply at 4.84%. Demand for
cement in the country is expected to continue its buoyant ride on the back of robust
economic growth and infrastructure development in the country. The key drivers for
cement demand are real estate sector, infrastructure projects and industrial expansion
projects. Among these, real estate sector is the key driver and accounted for almost 55%
of cement demand in FY 07. During the period FY 03 – 07, capacity additions in the
country (30.6 mn tonnes) were at a slower rate compared to demand growth leading to
higher average capacity utilization rates from 81.3% in FY 03 to 93.8% in FY 07. This
exerted pressure on average prices which have increased from Rs. 156 per bag in FY 03
to Rs. 216 per bag in FY 07. In December 2007, prices stood at Rs. 245 - Rs. 250 per
bag.
Low capacity addition coupled with higher utilization rate also led to increase in
proportion of blended cements in product mix. Cement is a bulky commodity and cannot
be easily transported over long distances making it a regional market place, with the
nation being divided into five regions. Each region is characterized by its own demand-
supply dynamics. The Southern region dominated the cement consumption at 44.5 mn
tonnes in FY 07, accounting for about 30% of total domestic cement consumption.
Average realizations have increased from Rs. 1,880 per tonne in FY 03 to Rs. 3,133 per
tonne in FY 07, at a CAGR of 13.6%, which has resulted in higher profit margins of the
industry. To reduce the cost of production, the industry is increasing its focus on captive
power generation. Proportion of cement production through captive power route has
increased over the years. Also, cement movement by rail has increased over the years.
Market share of top five players in the industry has increased from 42% in FY 02 to 56%
in FY 07. Domestic Cement industry is highly insulated from global cement markets.
Exports have been constant at about 6% of total cement demand for past few years.
With GoI intervention, making cement duty free, cement is being imported from
neighboring countries. However, due to logistics issues and lack of port handling
capabilities, imports of cement will remain negligible and do not pose a threat to
domestic industry. Cement demand is expected to remain buoyant driven by boost in
construction sector in the country.
It is estimated that the domestic cement demand will grow at a CAGR of approximately
10% for the next 5 years. The current tight demand - supply situation is expected to
extend up to end of calendar year 2008 owing to delays in capacity expansion
programmes by various companies. Expected prices will remain firm till the end of
CY2008 due to tight demand - supply situation and increase in input costs.
Jaypee group is the 4th largest cement producer in the country. Cement facilities are
located in the Satna Cluster (U.P), which has one of the highest cement production
growth rates in India. The group produces Ordinary Portland Cement and Pozzolana
Portland Cement under the brand names “Buland” and “Buniyad”. Rewa & Bela
cement plant located in Rewa, Madhya Pradesh has an aggregate capacity of 7 million
tones p.a.
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Jaiprakash Associates Limited
Further the company is setting up a green field cement plant at Baga and
blending/grinding plant at Bagheri, both in Himachal Pradesh, a clinker grinding plant at
Panipat in Haryana and one plant at Sidhi in Madhya Pradesh. Besides this, the company
has its grinding and blending units in Uttar Pradesh.
To reduce the freight and handling cost on cement dispatches as well as coal and
gypsum in Cement Division a railway siding inside the Jaypee Bela Plant has been
Thermal Power commissioned in August, 2006 also commissioned a thermal power plant of 38.5 MW at
Plant Rewa Plant in August, 2006. The company has also undertaken creation of
new/enhancement of existing capacities of cement/cement products, directly or through
Joint Venture Special Purpose Vehicles over a period of next five years with an
approximate capital outlay of Rs.3000 crores. The group currently has a Captive Thermal
Power generation capacity of 88.5 MW at its cement complex at M.P. Each of the new
cement plants coming up would be having captive Thermal plants from day one to
ensure most cost effective source of power, taking the total captive generation to 250
MW by 2010.
Jaypee Bela Keeping pace with the advancements in the IT industry, all the 120 cement dumps are
networked using TDM/TDMA VSATs along with a dedicated hub to provide 24/7
connectivity between the plants and all the 120 points of cement distribution in order to
ensure “track – the – truck” initiative and provide seamless integration. This initiative is
the first of its kind in the cement industry in India. In the near future, the group plans to
expand its cement capacities via acquisition and Greenfield additions to maximize
economies of scale and build on vision to focus on large size plants from inception.
With its plans of adding capacities in different regions of the Country, the Group is
Jaypee Rewa poised to be a 25 MTPA cement producer by the year 2010 and 30.5 MTPA by 2011.
Thus, it is likely to be third largest cement producer in the country.
Civil Engineering
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Jaiprakash Associates Limited
Recent Construction Projects:
The company is also the first among Indian Companies to be pre- qualify for EPC
contracts for large hydro-power projects abroad.
Company has completed the work for construction of Dam and Power House of 1,000
MW Indira Sagar (Narmada Sagar) Hydro-electric Project during the period 2005-2006.
Chamera
For the past three decades the company has not only successfully executed large and
prestigious projects, but in this process has acquired a pool of knowledge, skills and
experience in their field of technological excellence. The company has been assigned "CR
1" grade by ICRA indicating Very Strong Contract Execution Capacity with best prospects
of timely completion of projects without cost overruns, etc. for hydropower EPC contracts
of value greater than Rs.2500 Crores.
Integrated Township:
The Jaypee Group is synonymous with creating premium lifestyle experiences through
exclusive real estate development. The existing 452-acre development at Jaypee Greens,
Greater Noida integrates homes with landscaped greens, resort, living and commercial
spaces amidst an 18 hole Greg Norman golf course. It is a complete lifestyle destination
offering individual homes and luxury apartments. After the success of Greater Noida
project, company will now unveil its latest venture in premium real estate — Jaypee
Greens, in Noida. Covering 500 acres, this is India’s largest township with an 18+9 hole
Jaypee Greens Graham Cooke golf facility combined with world class residences, natural reserves,
landscaped parks and various recreational options. The golf course is very popular with
the avid lovers of the game.
Power Generation:
Estate Homes Ever increasing demand… Broadening supply gap… India has still to go a long way in
becoming self sufficient in Power. Huge expenditure from within the country & overseas
is being planned in this area. Our country is potentially, one of the largest power markets
in the world. Power for All – will be India’s motto to achieved by 2012.
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Jaiprakash Associates Limited
3.2% Average
annual % change
against 1.2% USA,
2.5% Brazil &
4.2% China.
The Group has been a major contributor in building Hydro-based power Projects. In
recent years to diversify from the hydropower sector, it has taken up the task of
exploiting the rich coal resources that exist within the state of Madhya Pradesh. To this
effect the company has formed a Joint Venture company with Madhya Pradesh State
Mining Corporation Limited (MPSMCL) to undertake coal production and sale of coal from
coal block/blocks which might be allotted to MPSMCL. The company has been selected
by MPSMCL as a joint venture partner through competitive bidding process. The joint
venture has been formed in the name and style of MADHYA PRADESH JAYPEE
MINERALS LIMITED.
Hydropower - a renewable source of energy on which the future of our country rests. It
conserves our nations fossil fuel reserves, is in abundant supply and simultaneously is
non-polluting in nature.
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Jaiprakash Associates Limited
Keeping all this in the backdrop of mind, Government of India opened up the doors in
1991 to private companies for the setting up of private hydropower projects. The
Government of India has an ambitious plan of providing power for all by the year 2012.
For this the government identified an optimal hydro thermal mix of 40:60, to meet the
peak shortage demand.
Seeing the vast potential present in the hydro power generation, the house of Jaypees
ventured into private power generation on Build Own Operate (BOO) basis. JAL has so
far the distinction of participating in 54 % of new hydropower projects under India’s
Baspa-II Tenth Five Year Plan.
Transmission System:
The group will venture into the development of transmission systems with the Power
Grid Corporation of India Ltd (PGCIL) to lay a 230 km (approx.) long transmission system
to evacuate power from the 1000 MW Karcham-Wangtoo Hydro Electric Project in
Himachal Pradesh expected to be completed by 2011.
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Jaiprakash Associates Limited
Hospitality:
Jaypee Siddhartha The hotel industry went through a rough patch between FY00 to FY04 owing to factors
like the Asian financial crisis, Afghan war, Middle East unrest, September 11 attacks,
SARS and domestic riots. India occupies the 46th position among the sixty tourist
destinations in the world. The flourishing economy helped boost the demand for the
industry. Also, Efforts to diversify tourist attractions by offering new products such as
adventure tourism, wellness tourism, medical tourism and golf tourism are expected to
have a positive effect on both foreign tourist arrivals and domestic tourist arrivals.
To boost up the growth of tourism in India, the government invested Rs. 520 crore in
2007-2008. Tourism in expected to grow further over the next few years due to the
Jaypee Palace changes taking place on the demand and supply sides. The factors that will account for
the further growth of tourism will include the following:
The group owns and operates 4 Five Star Deluxe hotels through Jaypee Hotels Limited
and is a significant player in north of India. Also owns a holiday Resort- the Jaypee
Jaypee Residency Residency Manor at Mussoorie which is being managed by Jaypee Hotels. Consequent up
Manor on the merger of Jaypee Greens Limited with the company, the company now also owns
a Golf Resort at Greater Noida, Uttar Pradesh.
This leading chain of deluxe hotels in India offers luxurious accommodation, exquisite
dining facilities, interesting leisure options and a pleasant environment to provide a
comfortable stay. The first two five star hotels in the capital were set up in the back drop
of the Asian Games in 1980 - Hotel Siddharth and Hotel Vasant Continental. An ode to
the cosmopolitan culture of Delhi – these two five star hotels unfold the finest lifestyle
experiences. Pioneering the concept of deluxe hotels – Hotel Jaypee Palace Agra, is a
hotel and convention centre. The hotel is a fine blend of the Mughal architectural
brilliance and it combines classic qualities, simultaneously blending luxury and exclusivity
with modern style, flair and sophistication.
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Jaiprakash Associates Limited
Revenue Generation of JAL Segment:
SEGMENT REVENUES
SALES NET PROFIT
2008 2007 % Var 2008 2007 % Var
Cement/Cement Products 2069 1928 7.31 688 566 21.55
Construction 1755 1634 7.41 254 315 -19.37
Hydro Electric & Wind Power 747 568 31.51 671 504 33.13
Hotel/Hospitality 164 140 17.14 34 33 3.03
Real Estate 256 -- -- 81 -- --
Unallocated 95 41 131.71 -- -- --
Total 5086 4311 17.98 1728 1418 21.86
Less: Inter Segment Revenue 679 283 139.93 -- -- --
Total 4407 4028 9.41 1728 1418 21.86
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Jaiprakash Associates Limited
Peer Comparison:
Punj Lloyd 60.69 4488.57 221.44 280.00 0.40 7.81 37.40 221.44 79.40 12.65 4.93
Jaiprakash Assoc 234.50 3985.00 610.00 43.00 1.00 5.42 38.70 610.00 33.30 34.78 15.31
IVRCL Infrastruc 26.69 3698.11 210.48 48.00 1.40 16.08 24.00 210.48 120.10 9.90 5.69
Nag. Constructn. 45.76 3472.94 161.95 21.00 1.30 7.51 25.60 161.95 68.50 10.52 4.66
Hind.Construct. 25.62 3082.76 111.22 198.00 0.80 4.24 30.00 111.22 38.60 13.12 3.53
Sector PE - 31.19%
PE Compare (%)
Hind.Construct. 30
IVRCL Infrastruc 24
0 10 20 30 40 50
Concerns:
With the inflation figures touching 8.75%, Government is pressurizing all cement manufacturers to lower prices despite
increase in raw material prices. It has already banned export of cement leading to further stocking in local markets &
consequent pressure on prices.
Company faces peer pressure due to heavy competition in the construction sector.
High cost of Steel shall have an escalating effect on the margins.
Synopsis:
One of the market leaders in the construction sector. Belongs to a very reputed house. It shall be playing a very dominant part
in this sector in the near future. With companies large pool of knowledge, skill & experience it is equipped to execute all
projects without cost overruns. This gives it an edge over others in this field. Operating profit margins in construction are very
strong. As capacity expansion plans of cement units materialize, it shall soon become the 3rd largest producer in the country.
Share Price seems very attractive at current levels.
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Jaiprakash Associates Limited
KEY LOCATIONS
-: REGISTERED OFFICE :-
Lalit Mundra
11 & 12 ‘A’ Mithila C.H.S. J.B.Nagar, Andheri (E), Mumbai – 400059.
Tel: 022-28354000, 28216446 Fax: 022-28205533
Email: mumbai@srspl.com
-: CORPORATE OFFICE :-
Kailash Sarda
Mahesh Hostel Complex, Opp Bombay Motors,
Chopasni Road, Jodhpur – 342003
Tel: 0291-2654000 Fax: 0291-2430913
Email: jodhpur@srspl.com
-: INSTITUTIONAL SALES :-
Aashish Chitlangi
9, Parekh Vora Chambers, 66 N.M.Road, Fort, Mumbai – 400023.
Tel: 022-22666178, 22691103 Fax: 022-56344007
Email: fort@srspl.com
Rahul Bhandawat
Research Department
Disclaimer: This document has been prepared and distributed by SURESH RATHI SECURITIES PVT LTD. The information in the document
has been compiled by the research department. Due care has been taken in preparing the above document. However, this document is not,
and should not be construed, as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any securities. Any act of buying, selling or otherwise dealing in any
securities referred to in this document shall be at investor’s sole risk and responsibility. This document may not be reproduced, distributed or
published, in whole or in part, without prior permission from the SURESH RATHI SECURITIES PVT LTD.
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