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AIP Headlines: FINANCIAL MATTERS: The choices before our new democracy

By: Ifeanyi Uddin


http://234next.com/csp/cms/sites/Next/Home/5698561-146/financial_matters_the_cho
ices_before_our.csp
I readily confess to a fascination with the “theory of unintended consequences”. But
, a small clarification before anything further is written. My interest is not i
n the certainty that everything that may go wrong about a policy choice/decision
is bound to. Confronted by almost six decades of inept and often cynical manage
ment of this economy, it is to be expected that we have come to associate “uninten
ded consequences” with “negative outcomes”.
In truth, put this way, my central narrative is but a variant of Murphy’s Law. Ins
tead, my enthralment is with the benefits, losses, or wrong signals arising from
a particular action, but which were not conceived of in or intended as part of
the original action plan.
Newspaper headlines on workers’ day, May 1, were all of one flavour. In their addr
esses to the different labour rallies, state governors all pledged to implement
the new minimum wage. Not too long ago, the same persons had argued that their s
tate government budgets could not bear the extra financial burden from paying th
e new minimum wage. What had changed since then? I could think of only one proxi
mate explanation: the events of late April, this year.
On balance, the last polls in the country appear to have moved the social engage
ment envelope several notches up. The “voice” of the people was heard loud and clear
, amidst the din of many a strong man’s battered ego. That was the intended conseq
uence of the clamour over the years for a democracy in which every vote is count
ed, and every vote counts.
To the extent that it acts as counter-weight to the dominant culture of impunity
that has come to define our polity, a representative democracy ought to improve
both the collective capacity to choose, and the different cabinet’s will to execu
te.
Perverse results
However, to the extent that politicians interpret “re-election” as the main challeng
e of a democracy, then even the best voting process could have perverse results.
One such result is the rise of populist politics. Because the masses may now ha
ve the power of the vote, what is to stop unscrupulous politicians from panderin
g to its basest instincts? To take but a few examples, a thin line separates the
need for higher taxes on the affluent in aid of society’s redistribution responsi
bilities from a restraint on commerce as part of an ill-advised process of democ
ratising poverty; a no less blurred space sits between the need to protect emplo
yment for locals and xenophobia.
A less than honest treatment of the policy choices at the heart of these two exa
mples could lead politicians in a race to the bottom of the dump yard; more so i
n a democracy where people have only just begun to savour the power that rightfu
lly belongs to them. Our best bet is a lot more conviction at the top. For leade
rship is not solely about bending resources and capacity to the discharge of the
popular will. It is more about shaping the choice space. Agreeing a desired des
tination, and selling this to the electorate. It is, in this very narrow sense,
a question ultimately of shaping the popular will. Of leading it down paths wher
e only visionaries have travelled previously.
Again as between a visionary leader and a demagogue, the thinnest of lines demar
cate. So we arrive at the point where we must agree that even under the best of
representative democracies, the threat of continued misrule in this country does
not evaporate overnight. This danger is heightened by the prevalent low levels
of education in the country, both of the classroom variety, and of the civic one
, which can only come from a long thriving civil society.
In the absence of such a society, then, our hopes for a better tomorrow, in the
short-term, at least still depend on the quality of leadership we get. In the ab
sence of a functioning democracy, a benevolent caudillo almost became a popular
fancy. One, who, understanding the need for progress along modern lines, a la Si
ngapore and Malaysia, rammed that vision through society. Once we change the rul
es of the game through trying to run elections properly, we deny this possibilit
y. Instead, the new need is for conviction politicians, prepared to argue their
corner as strenuously as the most modern constitution permits, while eschewing p
opular lines.

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