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We are also developing a new website that will be We will continue to develop our list of price
available soon. We expect it to become a valuable assessments and our methodology, listening carefully
resource for up to date information and historical data, to the participants in the rice industry in order to keep
catering to all sectors of the industry from farmers to them relevant to the international rice market. Updates
the point of sale. will be published in our report and on our website.
All our price assessments will be determined in line We hope that this will become a useful and reliable
with the “LRI Methodology” with particular attention resource for the industry.
to those that we have chosen to be benchmarks,
marked with this symbol: B For more information on
our benchmarks and assessment principles please
refer to our methodology statement available on our
new web site:
www.livericeindex.com
Page 02
THAILAND - LONG GRAIN WHITE RICE +/- PRICE PAKISTAN - LONG GRAIN WHITE RICE +/- PRICE U.S.A. - GULF LONG GRAIN RICE +/- PRICE
100% Grade B B -5 $485 IRRI-6 5% Broken B 10 $500 U.S. #2, 4% Broken, Hard Milled 0 $520
5% Broken B -5 $460 IRRI-6 10% Broken 10 $495 U.S. #3, 15% Broken, Hard Milled 0 $489
10% Broken -5 $455 IRRI-6 15% Broken 10 $485 U.S. #5, 20% Broken, Hard Milled 0 $460
15% Broken -5 $450 IRRI-6 25% Broken 13 $458 U.S. #1, Parboiled Milled 4% Broken 0 $610
25% Broken -5 $440 386 2% Broken - n/a U.S. #2, Paddy, 55/70 Yield (ex-spout) 0 $280
A1 Super Broken -5 $405 Broken Rice - n/a Southern Flour Quality Broken Rice 0 $330
Southern Pet Food Quality Broken Rice 0 $300
THAILAND - LONG GRAIN PARBOILED RICE +/- PRICE PAKISTAN - LONG GRAIN PARBOILED RICE +/- PRICE
Parboiled Milled Rice 100% STX B -5 $485 IRRI-6 Parboiled Milled Rice 5% Broken STX 20 $550 U.S.A - CALIFORNIAN MEDIUM GRAIN RICE +/- PRICE
Parboiled Milled Rice 100% -5 $475 IRRI-6 Parboiled Milled Rice 15% Broken STX 20 $540 U.S. #1, 4% Broken 0 $865
Parboiled Milled Rice 5% STX -5 $480 IRRI-9 Parboiled Milled Rice 5% Broken - n/a U.S. #1 Paddy, 58/69 Yield 0 $550
Parboiled Milled Rice 5% -5 $470
PAKISTAN - BASMATI RICE +/- PRICE
385 Long Grain White Basmati Rice 2% 45 $870 S. AMERICA - LONG GRAIN WHITE RICE +/- PRICE
THAILAND - LONG GRAIN FRAGRANT RICE +/- PRICE D-98 Long Grain White Basmati Rice 2% 25 $825 (FOB FCL)
Hom Mali White Rice 100% Grade B New B 0 $965 Super Kernel White Basmati Rice 2% 5 $980 Uruguayan 5% Broken 0 $525
Hom Mali White Rice 100% Grade B Old - n/a Super Kernel Parboiled Milled Basmati Rice 2% 5 $1,020 Argentine 5% Broken 0 $520
Hom Mali White Rice A1 Super B 0 $465 Brazilian 5% Broken 0 $570
Pathumthani Fragrant 100% Grade B 0 $645 INDIA - LONG GRAIN WHITE RICE +/- PRICE Brazilian Broken Rice (1/2 Grain Brokens) 0 $415
IR 64 5% Broken - n/a
THAILAND - LONG GRAIN GLUTINOUS RICE +/- PRICE IR 64 25% Broken - n/a S. AMERICA - LONG GRAIN PARBOILED RICE +/- PRICE
White Glutinous Rice 10% Broken 0 $870 PR 106 5% Broken - n/a (FOB FCL)
White Glutinous Rice 10% Broken (Sanpathong) 0 $1,000 PR 106 25% Broken - n/a Brazilian Parboiled Milled Rice 5% Broken STX 0 $500
White Glutinous Broken Rice A1 0 $750 1001 / PANT 4 25% Broken - n/a Uruguayan Parboiled Milled Rice 5% Broken STX 0 $530
VIETNAM - LONG GRAIN WHITE RICE +/- PRICE INDIA - LONG GRAIN PARBOILED RICE +/- PRICE
5% Broken B -3 $460 IR 64 Parboiled Milled Rice 5% STX - n/a
EGYPT - WHITE RICE +/- PRICE
10% Broken -3 $452 Medium Grain #2 6% Broken - n/a
PR 106 Parboiled Milled Rice 5% STX - n/a
15% Broken -3 $442 Medium Grain #3 12% Broken - n/a
25% Broken -9 $429 INDIA - BASMATI RICE +/- PRICE Round Grain #2 6% Broken - n/a
Broken Rice -3 $405 Traditional White Basmati Rice 2% 0 $1,230 Round Grain #3 12% Broken - n/a
Traditional Brown Basmati Rice 2% 0 $1,060 Broken Rice Grade 0 8 $473
VIETNAM - LONG GRAIN FRAGRANT RICE +/- PRICE Traditional Parboiled Milled Basmati Rice 2% 0 $1,050
Fragrant Rice 5% Broken New 0 $590 Pusa White Basmati Rice 2% 0 $1,080
Fragrant Rice 5% Broken Old - n/a Pusa Brown Basmati Rice 2% 0 $900
Pusa Parboiled Milled Basmati Rice 2% 0 $1,050 B = INDICATES BENCHMARK
1121 White Basmati Rice 2% 0 $1,040
1121 Parboiled Milled Basmati Rice 2% 0 $1,090
Page 03
The market is rather quiet and prices farmers. Given that this could double the THAILAND - LONG GRAIN WHITE RICE +/- PRICE
are slightly softer in reflection of the low price that farmers are receiving under 100% Grade B B -5 $485
activity. The Thai Bhat has weakened the current scheme this policy should 5% Broken B -5 $460
against the US Dollar which is also go some way to ensuring that Pheu Thai 10% Broken -5 $455
contributing to this softer market. The only gain significant support from the farmers. 15% Broken -5 $450
exceptions are with fragrant varieties, However, implementing such a policy 25% Broken -5 $440
where Hom Mali prices remain firm and seems extremely problematic, that is, A1 Super Broken -5 $405
the price of Pathamthani fragrant rice has without burdening the country with huge
stabilised as expected. debts. THAILAND - LONG GRAIN PARBOILED RICE +/- PRICE
Parboiled Milled Rice 100% STX B -5 $485
Parboiled Milled Rice 100% -5 $475
Glutinous rice prices remain stable and
with the Indonesian quota for glutinous Export Statistics: Parboiled Milled Rice 5% STX
Parboiled Milled Rice 5%
-5
-5
$480
$470
imports fast approaching, prices may
strengthen moderately. Arrivals from the Unofficial Thai rice exports from the
latest dry season harvest have slowed 9th of May 2011 to the 15th of May THAILAND - LONG GRAIN FRAGRANT RICE +/- PRICE
and there are limited supplies of paddy 2011 were 194,850 MTS, excluding Hom Mali White Rice 100% Grade B New B 0 $965
rice available for milling and parboiling. Hom Mali White Rice 100% Grade B Old - n/a
fragrant rice. This represents a
We should see a pick-up in supplies again Hom Mali White Rice A1 Super B 0 $465
decrease of 28,652 MTS from the
in the second half of July. Pathumthani Fragrant 100% Grade B 0 $645
previous week.
THAILAND - LONG GRAIN GLUTINOUS RICE +/- PRICE
ThaiFex begins this week and the busy Exports of white and parboiled rice White Glutinous Rice 10% Broken 0 $870
schedule may interrupt some export from January 1st until May 15th 2011 White Glutinous Rice 10% Broken (Sanpathong) 0 $1,000
activities. totaled 3,718,813 MTS, which is an White Glutinous Broken Rice A1 0 $750
increase of 67.8% from the same
Focus will now be drawn to the upcoming period last year.
elections in Thailand with each party’s
respective rice policy at the centre of Source: Thai Rice Exporters.
many discussions. The opposition party
(Pheu Thai) is proposing a guaranteed
CURRENCY THB
price intervention scheme to support
1 USD $ 30.38
INVERSE 0.033
Page 04
medium grain and round grain varieties, prices Although we expect the crop to rebound
From the 1st January to May 19th 2011,
are firm and in the case of the medium grain, significantly following last year’s floods, it
Vietnam shipped 2.869 million MTS.
the prices are no longer attractive. remains to be seen whether farmers may
choose to plant different crops. In a situa-
Shipments between May 1st and May 19th
Vietnam remains on target to meet forecasts of tion similar to that experienced by farmers
2011 reached 301,500 MTS.
6.4 million MTS for 2011 as they have signed in the US, certain crops now compare PAKISTAN - LONG GRAIN WHITE RICE +/- PRICE
contracts for 3.9 million MTS to be shipped by favourably to rice in terms of returns to IRRI-6 5% Broken B 10 $500
Source: VFA Report.
the end of June. Exports so far this year are the farmer. We should have a clearer idea IRRI-6 10% Broken 10 $495
valued at US $1.356 billion. The VFA currently come June. IRRI-6 15% Broken 10 $485
has around 1.7 million MTS of rice stocks CURRENCY VND IRRI-6 25% Broken 13 $458
and, in total, local businesses have stocks of In Sindh, the availability of long grain rice 386 2% Broken - n/a
around 300,000 MTS. 1 USD $ 20,560.00 is sufficient whilst in Punjab the region Broken Rice - n/a
Page 05
could also face quality issues. Net sales for the period from the 13th of
May 2011 to the 19th of May 2011 were of
As of 22nd May planting in Louisiana, 59,000 MTS. Major buyers were:
Mississippi and Texas has caught up to
the level we would expect given the five Mexico 16,700 MTS
year average. In Arkansas only 84% of Japan 9,800 MTS
the acreage has been planted (the five Taiwan 5,700 MTS
year average is 90%) and in Missouri only Canada 4,700 MTS
53% of the rice acreage has been planted Jamaica 3,600 MTS
where we would normally expect 92%
to be complete at this stage. Planting in Exports for the same period reached
California is right on track. However, all of 1074,000 MTS and were mainly to:
these states, excluding Mississippi and
Louisiana, are significantly behind on the Panama 27,100 MTS
percentage of rice that has emerged in Mexico 22,200 MTS
comparison to the 5 year average. Japan 10,800 MTS
Canada 6,100 MTS
South Korea 6,000 MTS
Source: USDA
Page 06
Page 07
Australia
domestic prices.
In response, the Government ordered that the Three
South Korea
Gorges Dam release more water to boost levels in the
The harvest is complete and the estimates were met river. From May 20th to May 24th, the dam increased its
as Australia achieved a total rice production around discharge rate to 10,000 cubic metres and between May
800,000 MTS basis paddy with yields ranging from 7.5 The Government had previously planned to increase 25th and June 10th the discharge rate will increase to
MTS per hectare to 13 MTS per hectare. The outlook tariffs of rice imports in 2015. However, it now seems 11,000 and then 12,000 cubic metres per second.
for next year’s crop also looks very positive with most likely that these plans will be brought forward to next
farmers expecting to increase their planted area and year. South Korea is self sufficient in rice production and The Yangtze River is China’s longest river and supports
good water availability through the rice growing regions. rising stock levels coupled with declining domestic con- irrigation of 65% of China’s paddy fields. Following the
Offshore demand for the current crop is likely to come sumption mean that the Government will have to take action taken at the Three Gorges Dam, water levels
from traditional markets in the Far East such as Taiwan these steps to protect the already heavily subsidised in the Yangtze have increased. However, one likely
and Japan. The long awaited vote by Sunrice sharehold- industry. The consumption for 2011/2012 is estimated at consequence of discharging the water from the dam
ers on the takeover by Ebro Foods takes place on the around 350,000MTS. The Agricultural Minister will look is that Chinese oil demand could increase by 200,000
31st of May. to encourage rice consumption as well as expanding to 300,000 barrels a day to compensate for lost Hydro
exports from 50,000MTS to 100,000MTS by 2015. Electric power.
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Offering A Grain
Of Truth...
Page 09