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Portfolio Strategy
Jan-Jun 2011
Islamic Saving
Options
STABILITY
S U S TA I N A B I L I T Y
RELIABILITY
IN V E S T A B I L I T Y
P RO F I T A B I L I T Y
You get your salary at month end, what do you do next? Chances are that
you let it lie in your bank account and withdraw as and when you need it
throughout the month. It may be hard to believe but for many of us, there is
still some money left in the bank account at the time when our next pay cheque
arrives. The money resting in the bank earns no or negligible return.
For regular readers of Fundamentals, the Portfolio Strategy article needs no introduction. For
Chief Investment Officer
new readers, this is where we recommend portfolio asset allocations for investors of different risk
profiles while also reviewing the performance of the portfolios we have recommended in the past.
30% Commodities
portfolios we recommended for the
Moderate Aggressive
Portfolio period Jul-Dec 2010 achieved the
Portfolio
20% desired Risk / Return mix using the
GoP Schemes available asset classes.
Term deposit
Real Estate Diversification in the portfolios helped
Cash Conser vative
10%
Portfolio Income Funds reduce risk and added to the
portfolios return per unit risk.
0%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Risk
Real Estate Cash
Risk: Moderate | Return: High | Investment Horizon: 10Y Risk: Low | Return: Low | Investment Horizon: 3M - 6M
Lack of transparency in the Real Estate market is a major obstacle We recommended Money Market funds for parking liquidity.
in calculating Real Estate returns. We have estimated the return These funds are structured to return yields similar to the prevailing
of the asset class through inflation data collected by the Federal interest rate environment. Therefore, with the rise in discount
Board of Statistics. According to the data, the Real Estate index rate over the last month, the yield of this asset class has also
(Building & Construction material) rose from 220.3 (Jun 2010) improved. The stable returns of these funds also provide a hedge
to 222.7 (Nov 2010), generating an absolute return of 1.09% against the volatile nature of local capital markets.
during the period. However, the figure can be misleading as the
actual volume of Real Estate transactions is very low due to
liquidity constraints.
Commodities (Gold)
Risk: Moderate | Return: High | Investment Horizon: 1Y
Real Estate,
Income 15% Real Estate,
Funds, 30% 15%
Income Funds,
GoP Schemes, Income Funds, GoP Schemes,
10%
GoP Schemes, 55% 20% 20% 15%
Benefits of investing
in mutual funds By: Colin Miranda, Research Analyst
Diversification By dividing your funds evenly between the two stocks, you would
One of the primary benefits of investing in a mutual fund is the attain a modest return of 6% while significantly reducing the
high level of diversification that can be achieved. Diversification overall risk to which you would be exposing yourself.
refers to a technique that is often used by professional investors
to reduce the overall risk that is inherent in their investment Thus, diversification is the opposite of "putting all your eggs in
portfolio. Consider the table below: one basket"; in the equity markets, this is achieved by purchasing
stocks of a variety of companies in different sectors of the
economy e.g. oil and gas production, banks, power generation
Weights and so on. In the debt markets, diversification can be attained
by spreading investments across instruments with different tenors
Return 1 2 3
and instruments with different credit-ratings. Furthermore, by
Stock A 20% 100% 50% 0% purchasing units of a composite fund i.e. a fund that invests in
Stock B -8% 0% 50% 100% fixed-income instruments as well as equities, you can also achieve
cross-asset diversification. Doing this on their own for the
Portfolio Return 20% 6% -8% individual investor can be quite costly. However by investing in
mutual funds, investors are provided with the immediate benefit
of instant and cost-effective diversification and asset allocation
The second column in the table indicates the return generated
without the large amounts of cash needed to create ones own
by the two stocks, A and B, respectively in a particular year. In
individual portfolios.
the third column, we see the return that you could realize if you
were to place all (100% of) your funds in Stock A; however,
achieving this rate of return would expose you to a high level Professional Investment Management
of risk, and you would also have to carry out extensive research As mentioned earlier, in order to maximize the returns on your
in order to find stocks whose price would rise by 20% within investments, thorough research is necessary. However,
one year. Conversely, if you were to invest all (100% of) your conducting that research will most likely take up a significant
funds in Stock B, you would suffer a loss of 8% on your amount of your precious time. All investment actions in mutual
investment (as indicated in the last column). The middle ground funds are backed by thorough research that includes analysis of
is to distribute your investments across stocks A and B. economic trends, identification of sectors that are poised for
When presented with a steaming, aromatic cup of tea, there are two
ways to savor it - gulp it down at a go, or drink it sip by sip. Needless
to say, the easier and immensely enjoyable way would be one sip at
a time
As the global economy is struggling to get out of the current The Finance Act, 2010 also removed the exemption available on
recessionary cycle, it has become a challenge for most capital gains on listed securities including mutual funds, though
governments around the world to manage their public finance there are avenues open to minimize or avoid its incidence. From
either through increasing the revenues or by cutting a pure legal perspective, section 37A has been inserted in the
expenditures. Since a major chunk of the government's revenue Income Tax Ordinance, 2001 to make way for capital gains taxes.
come in the form of direct taxes, which is squeezed due to Though the income from this source is made taxable from the
dismal profitability of companies, thereby forcing governments current financial year, beginning from July 01, 2010, their incidence
to increase tax incidents on individuals. has been kept low and only short-term capital gains are being
charged to tax currently. As per the amendments in tax laws,
Pakistan is of no exception, the nation recently faced a massive individuals realizing capital gains with a holding period of less
setback due to unprecedented floods, which tested its emotional than 6 months have to pay 10% on such gains, while for a
and economic strengths. While it is arguable to gauge the holding period of between six months and one year, the same
Government's capacity to weather such eventuality in the future, would be taxable at 7.5% on such gains. For a holding period
the tendency is clear, which is to pass on the burden to the of over a year, capital gains are not taxable.
population in despair. The very nature of the skewed tax structure
of the country, with the tax base languishing at only around 2 The same tax principles are applicable on mutual funds, with
million registered tax payers out of a total population of 170 the only difference that the tax on capital gains on mutual funds
million, many with considerable income at their disposal, do not are subject to be withheld by asset management companies.
pay taxes, eventually leaving the burden on the salaried class to An individual, while filing his/her return of income for that year
manage their taxes legally. The overall tax incidence on the can adjust the losses under this head and determine their final
salaried class is also on the rise for quite some time as can be
tax liability. In case of any unabsorbed losses under this head,
seen by the imposition of IDP taxes a couple of years back and
the same are not allowed to be carried forward to the subsequent
more recently when the threshold for maximum tax rate (20%)
years.
on salaried individuals was reduced from Rs. 8.65 million to Rs.
4.55 million in the last budget.
As by now you are aware that capital gains are treated as a
Fortunately, Pakistani tax laws provide some relief to tax payers separate block of income as defined in the income tax laws and
in the form of tax credits and rebates, however awareness of are subject to maximum 10% on the gains, the tax incidence is
such benefits remain low. If the tools for tax credit and rebates still very low considering the corporate tax rate of 35% and
are effectively utilized, they can bring annual savings of more maximum tax slab of 20% for the salaried individual.
than Rs. 360,000 (total tax saving for 20% tax slab) for a high
tier salaried individual drawing in excess of Rs. 4.55 million in While having considered the current tax scenario in Pakistan,
annual salaries and other taxable benefits and more than lets take a look at how an individual investor can reduce his or
Rs.132,000 (total tax saving for 10% tax slab) for individuals her tax liability by investing smartly.
drawing an annual salary of around Rs. 1.2 million.
Lets consider the example of Mr. Hypothetical who earns an annual salary of Rs. 1.2 million. His profile is as follows:
Age: 35 years
Annual income: Rs. 1.2 million, growing @ 10% per annum
Annual expenditure: Rs. 0.84 million, growing @ 15% per annum
Current savings: Rs. 2 million, placed in a PLS Saving Bank Account earning interest @ 8% per annum
Annual donations to approved charitable institutions: Rs. 0.05 million
Annual mark-up on house loan: Rs.0.30 million
Investment possibilities: His savings can be placed in bank deposits, in mutual funds and pension funds
in accordance with his risk profile and financial planning can be done based on the
His risk profiling determines following scenarios:
his asset allocation as
follows: Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
He continues with He invests in mutual He invests in
Equities: 25% his current saving funds and pension mutual funds and
Money Market: 75% habit by placing funds as per his risk pension funds as
the money in profile without per his risk profile
Estimated Return: PLS Saving claiming tax with tax
Account @ credit / rebates. credit / rebates.
8% per annum.
For Equities: 25%
For Money Market: 12% Rupees in millions
Overall Return: 14%* Annual Income 1.2 1.2 1.2
Annual Expenditure 0.96 0.96 0.96
Current annual savings 0.24 0.24 0.24
Current net worth:
* Weighted Average Return on
Investments Bank account 2 - -
Equity funds 0.5 0.5
Money market funds - 1.5 1.5
2 2 2
Tax credits and rebates:
Mutual funds - - 0.012
Pension funds - - 0.024
Markup - house loan - - 0.030
Charitable Institution - - 0.005
- 0.071
Investment value:
After 5 years 4.840 6.273 6.784
After 10 years 7.452 13.039 14.572
After 15 years 6.149 20.477 24.062
Islamic Saving Options By Wahaj Aslam
Fund Manager - Siraj Islamic Funds
Islamic Finance Products fall into two broad categories - those 4) Investment in non-Shariah compliant
that have the characteristics of Equity and those that have the activities and income from non-Shariah
characteristics of Debt. Equity products are considered "more" compliant investments
Shariah-compliant since these promote the Shariah principle that
reward should come from sharing the risk of a venture. The total investment of the investee company in non-
Nonetheless, debt products do have a place in the modern Islamic Shariah compliant business should not exceed 33% of
finance industry - e.g. Profit and loss sharing bank accounts. the total assets. The income from non-Shariah compliant
investment should not exceed 5% of the gross revenue.
Islamic Equity Finance Subsequently, giving the proportionate portion of non-
compliant income to charity is required to purify the
Investment in shares of a company (without the element of dividend income from these stocks.
speculation or intra-day trading) is de facto Shariah compliant
since Islamic finance values equity partnership as the ideal method
of investment as long as the underlying business is compliant
5) Net liquid assets versus share price
with the screening criteria. However, investors are prohibited The net liquid assets per share should be less than the
from investing in preferred shares of stock due to the guaranteed market price of the share. [Net Liquid Assets = Total
rate of profit they entail. Islamic equity funds have experienced Assets - (Tangible Fixed Assets + Inventory) - Liabilities]
tremendous growth and have proved to be an attractive
investment vehicle for investors looking for Islamic modes of
investment.
Performance is an investment managers calling card. It is what There are two major advantages to complying with GIPS and
keeps clients and wins new ones. The ability to promote a firms getting third-party verification. One is the additional credibility
performance is a competitive necessity and equally essential is the claim of compliance brings to performance numbers in sales
that clients and prospects can also trust the integrity and fairness presentations, advertising, media relations, and marketing
of a firms performance claims. literature. This added credibility can help reinforce existing client
relationships and open doors to more potential clients. A second
advantage is that GIPS compliance provides a framework that
That is why the CFA Institute implemented the Global Investment helps strengthen a firms internal control structure. Processes run
Performance Standards or GIPS®. Based on the underlying smoother and portfolios are managed more cohesively as a result
principle of full disclosure and fair representation, GIPS is just of established policies and procedures.
what the name implies - a worldwide set of standards for
measuring, calculating, and reporting investment returns. GIPS Compliance requires Firms to learn the GIPS standards,
implement new processes and controls, and understand the
Advantages of GIPS Compliance intricacies of creating portfolio composites. This initiative requires
an investment of time, labor, resources, and commitment. The
Institutional investors now require their portfolio managers in the price of GIPS compliance, however, is far outweighed by the
international markets to be in compliance with GIPS and often potential costs of noncompliance that may be fewer growth
even require verification of GIPS compliance by an independent opportunities, damage to a firms reputation by not keeping up
party, thus making GIPS the international best practice in with the industry international best practices, and ultimately, lost
performance reporting. business.
For asset managers the advantages are less obvious and of course Constructing and maintaining composites is perhaps the second
there is the cost of compliance to be offset, however the following greatest challenge and the one that consumes a lot of time and
advantages significantly outweigh the cost of GIPS compliance. resources in GIPS compliance, while formulation of GIPS Policy
Framework is probably the foremost challenge in achieving GIPS
- Competitive Advantage compliance.
- Level Playing Field International Passport
- Increased Professionalism Managers need to define composites, select portfolios correctly,
- Risk Control and deal with portfolios that do not fit neatly into composites
- Business efficiency and data quality avoiding too many overly narrow composites or too few overly
broad, meaningless composites.
The advantages of GIPS for investors are obvious; they can select
asset managers based on good quality information with Conclusion
confidence that the performance numbers presented are a fair
and honest representation of that firms track record as well as
being consistent, comparable and transparent. GIPS Standards Adhering to the GIPS standards is in the best interest of any
prevent firms from: investment firm that wants to compete effectively and fairly. It
helps the firm to build a framework for implementing industry
- Cherry picking of accounts/portfolios or time periods international best practices, while providing a competitive
- Use of inappropriate benchmarks advantage. Most significantly, it helps engender trust on the part
- Inadequate disclosures of clients and prospects.
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FUNDAMENTALS is a semi-annual magazine for existing and potential clients of UBL Fund Managers.