Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
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June2011
ShortTermEnergyOutlook
June7,2011Release
Highlights
Worldbenchmarkcrudeoilpricesreachedtheirhighestlevelofthisyearatthe
endofApril,fellbyabout10percentbyMay9andhavechangedverylittle
sincethen.EIAstillexpectsoilmarketstotightenthrough2012givenprojected
worldoildemandgrowthandslowinggrowthinsupplyfromcountriesthat
arenotmembersoftheOrganizationofthePetroleumExportingCountries
(OPEC).TheprojectedU.S.refinercrudeoilaverageacquisitioncostrisesfrom
$104perbarrelin2011to$108perbarrelin2012,aboutthesameaslast
monthsOutlook.
BasedontheoutlookfromtheNationalOceanicandAtmospheric
Administration(NOAA)forthecurrentAtlantichurricaneseason,EIA
estimatesmedian(mean)outcomesfortotalshutinproductionintheFederal
GulfofMexico(GOM)duringtheupcominghurricaneseason(Junethrough
November)ofabout19(27)millionbarrelsofcrudeoiland53(78)billioncubic
feet(Bcf)ofnaturalgas(see2011OutlookforHurricaneRelatedProduction
OutagesintheGulfofMexico).Actualshutinsarelikelytodiffersignificantly
fromthisestimatedependingonthenumber,track,andstrengthofhurricanes
astheseasonprogresses.
Regulargraderetailgasolinepriceaveragedabout$3.96pergallonduringthe
firsthalfofMayasunexpectedrefineryoutagesanddisruptionsindistribution
causedbythefloodingoftheMississippiRiveranditstributariestemporarily
counterbalancedtheimpactoflowercrudeoilprices.Inrecentweeks,
gasolinepriceshavebeenfalling,however,astherefinerysituationhasbegun
torecover.EIAexpectstheMayaveragepriceof$3.91pergallonwillbethe
peakmonthlyaveragepricethisdrivingseason.Still,EIAforecaststhatthe
regulargrademotorgasolineretailpricewillaverage$3.75pergallonduring
thissummersdrivingseason(fromApril1throughSeptember30),upfrom
$2.76pergallonlastsummer,but6centspergallonlowerthanlastmonths
Outlook.
NaturalgasworkinginventoriesendedMay2011at2.2trillioncubicfeet(Tcf),
about10percent,or245billioncubicfeet(Bcf),belowthe2010endofMay
level.EIAexpectsthatworkinggasinventorieswillbuildstronglyduringthe
summerandapproachrecordhighlevelsinthesecondhalfof2011.The
projectedHenryHubnaturalgasspotpriceaverages$4.25permillionBritish
thermalunits(MMBtu)in2011,$0.13perMMBtulowerthanthe2010average.
EIAexpectsthenaturalgasmarkettobegintighteningin2012,withtheHenry
Hubspotpriceincreasingtoanaverageof$4.58perMMBtu.
GlobalCrudeOilandLiquidFuels
CrudeOilandLiquidFuelsOverview.EIAprojectsthattotalworldoilconsumption
willgrowby1.7millionbarrelsperday(bbl/d)in2011,whichisabout0.3million
bbl/dhigherthanlastmonthsOutlook,primarilybecauseofhigherforecastsof
consumptionforelectricitygenerationinChina,Japan,andtheMiddleEast.
Projectedworldconsumptionincreasesby1.6millionbbl/din2012,unchangedfrom
lastmonthsOutlook.ProjectedsupplyfromnonOPECcountriesincreasesbyan
averageofabout0.6millionbbl/din2011and0.5millionbbl/din2012.
EIAexpectsthatthemarketwillrelyonbothadrawdownofinventoriesand
increasesinproductionfrombothOPECandnonOPECcountriestomeetprojected
demandgrowth.WhileOPECcrudeoilproductiondeclines0.4millionbbl/din2011
becauseofthedisruptionforecasttoLibyanproduction,OPECnoncrudeliquids
productiongrowsby0.6millionbbl/d.EIAexpectstheworldcrudeoilmarketwill
continuetotightenin2012,withforecastOPECcrudeoilproductionincreasingby0.7
millionbbl/dandOPECnoncrudeproductiongrowingby0.4millionbbl/d.
Amongthemajoruncertaintiesthatcouldpushcrudeoilpricesaboveorbelowour
currentforecastare:continuedunrestinproducingcountriesanditspotentialimpact
onsupply;decisionsbykeyOPECmembercountriesregardingtheirproductionin
responsetotheglobalincreaseinoildemand;therateofeconomicgrowth,both
domesticallyandglobally;fiscalissuesfacingnationalandsubnationalgovernments;
andChinaseffortstoaddressconcernsregardingitsgrowthandinflationrates.
GlobalCrudeOilandLiquidFuelsConsumption.EIAexpectsthatworldliquidfuels
consumption,whichreachedarecordlevelof86.7millionbarrelsperdayin2010,will
growby1.7millionbbl/din2011andbyanadditional1.6millionbbl/din2012,
resultingintotalworldconsumptionof90.0millionbbl/din2012.Countriesoutside
theOrganizationforEconomicCooperationandDevelopment(OECD)willmakeup
almostallofthegrowthinconsumptionoverthenexttwoyears,withthelargest
increasescomingfromChina,Brazil,andtheMiddleEast.Forecastsof2011
Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy OutlookJune 2011
2
consumptioninChina,Japan,andtheMiddleEastwereraisedby120thousandbbl/d,
80thousandbbl/d,and110thousandbbl/d,respectively,fromlastmonthsOutlook
becauseofhigherexpecteddemandforpetroleumfueledelectricpowergeneration.
EIAnowexpectsconsumptioninChinatoincreaseby700thousandbbl/din2011.
NonOPECSupply.EIAprojectsthatnonOPECcrudeoilandliquidfuelsproduction
willincreaseby590thousandbbl/din2011andby490thousandbbl/din2012.The
greatestincreasesinnonOPECoilproductionduring2011occurinBrazil(130
thousandbbl/d),Canada(170thousandbbl/d),China(140thousandbbl/d),Colombia
(110thousandbbl/d)andcountriesthatwereformerlypartoftheSovietUnion(210
thousandbbl/d).In2012,EIAexpectsproductiongrowthtoremainstronginCanada,
China,Brazil,andColombia,butforecastproductiongrowthintheformerSoviet
Unioncountriesslowsto80thousandbbl/d.OthernonOPECareasareexpectedto
decline,includingadecreaseinNorthSeaproductionof110thousandbbl/din2011
andafurtherdecreaseof200thousandbbl/din2012.
OPECSupply.ForecastOPECcrudeoilproductiondeclinesby370thousandbbl/din
2011,followedbyanincreaseof660thousandbbl/din2012.EIAassumesthatabout
onehalfofLibyaspredisruptionproductionwillresumebytheendof2012.
EstimatedOPECcrudeoilproductionduringthefirstquarterof2011averagedalmost
30millionbbl/d.EIAprojectsthatOPECsurpluscapacitywillfallfrom4.0million
bbl/dattheendof2010to3.6millionbbl/dattheendof2011,followedbyafurther
declineto3.1millionbbl/dbytheendof2012.EstimatedOPECproductionofnon
crudeliquidstotals6.0and6.4millionbbl/din2011and2012,respectively.
OECDPetroleumInventories.EIAexpectsthatOECDinventorieswilldeclinein2011
followingthesteepdropinfloatingstoragethathasalreadyoccurred.Projected
onshoreOECDstocksfallbyabout120millionbarrelsin2011,followedbyan
additional110millionbarreldeclinein2012.Daysofsupply(totalinventories
dividedbyaveragedailyconsumption)dropsfromarelativelyhigh57.9daysduring
thefourthquarterof2010to54.6daysinthefourthquarterof2011,and52.4daysof
supplyinthefourthquarterof2012.
CrudeOilPrices.WTIcrudeoilspotpricesaveraged$103perbarrelinMarch,$110
perbarrelinApril,and$101perbarrelinMay.TheWTIcrudeoilpricewas$113per
barrelatthebeginningofMaybutfellto$97perbarrelbytheendofthefirstweekof
themonth.FortheremainderofMay,WTIpricesfluctuatedwithinarelatively
narrowrangeofbetween$96and$103perbarrel.EIAstillexpectsoilmarketsto
tightenasgrowingliquidfuelsdemandintheemergingeconomiesandslowing
growthinnonOPECsupplymaintainupwardpressureonoilprices.EIAexpects
thatWTIspotprices,whichaveraged$79perbarrelin2010,willaverage$102per
Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy OutlookJune 2011
3
barrelin2011and$107perbarrelin2012,aboutthesameasexpectedinlastmonths
Outlook(WestTexasIntermediateCrudeOilPriceChart).
GrowingvolumesofCanadiancrudeoilimportedintotheUnitedStatescontributed
torecordhighstoragelevelsatCushing,Oklahomaofover41millionbarrelsatthe
endofMarch2011(86percentofworkingcapacityatCushing),andapricediscount
forWTIcomparedwithsimilarqualityworldcrudessuchasBrent.Adiscountfor
WTIisexpectedtopersistuntiltransportationbottlenecksimpactingthemovementof
midcontinentcrudeoiltotheGulfcoastarerelieved.Consequently,theprojected
U.S.refineraverageacquisitioncostofcrudeoil,whichwasabout$2.70perbarrel
belowWTIin2010,is$1.60perbarrelaboveWTIin2011and$1.10perbarrelabove
WTIin2012.
Energypriceforecastsarehighlyuncertain(EnergyPriceVolatilityandForecast
Uncertainty).WTIfuturesforAugust2011deliveryoverthe5dayperiodendingJune
2averaged$101.49perbarrelandimpliedvolatilityaveraged29percent,establishing
thelowerandupperlimitsofa95percentconfidenceintervalforthemarkets
expectationsofmonthlyaverageWTIpricesinJulyof$83perbarreland$124per
barrel,respectively.Lastyearatthistime,WTIforAugust2010deliveryaveraged$75
perbarrelandimpliedvolatilityaveraged39percent.Thecorrespondinglowerand
upperlimitsofthe95percentconfidenceintervalwere$58perbarreland$97per
barrel.
U.S.CrudeOilandLiquidFuels
U.S.LiquidFuelsConsumption.Totalconsumptionofliquidfuelsincreasedby270
thousandbbl/d(1.4percent)duringthefirstquarter2011overthesameperiodthe
yearbefore(U.S.LiquidFuelsConsumptionGrowthChart).Consumptiongrowth
duringthefirstquarterwasledbydistillatefueloil(160thousandbbl/d)andliquefied
petroleumgas(70thousandbbl/d).Motorgasolineconsumptionfellby50thousand
bbl/d.Consumptiongrowthisexpectedtoslowovertheforecast.ProjectedtotalU.S.
liquidfuelsconsumptionincreasesbyanaverage150thousandbbl/d(0.8percent)in
2011,andbyafurther130thousandbbl/d(0.7percent),to19.4millionbbl/din2012,
whichisstillwellbelowtherecordhigh20.8millionbbl/din2005.Distillatefuel,
buoyedbycontinuedincreasesinindustrialproduction,accountsfortwothirdsofthe
projectedincreaseinliquidfuelsconsumptionin2011.Motorgasolineisthefastest
growingconsumptioncategoryin2012,reflectinggrowingpopulation,rising
employmentandincome,andapredictedendtotherecentsteeprunupinretail
gasolineprices.
U.S.LiquidFuelsSupplyandImports.Domesticcrudeoilproduction,which
increasedby150thousandbbl/din2010to5.51millionbbl/d,remainsatthatlevelin
2011beforedecliningby80thousandbbl/din2012(U.S.CrudeOilProductionChart).
EIAexpectsthatproductiondeclinesfromtheGOMandAlaskatobeoffsetby
projectedincreasesinlower48nonGOMproductionof230thousandbbl/din2011
and110thousandbbl/din2012becauseofanincreaseinoildirectedonshoredrilling
activity.
BasedontheoutlookfromNOAAforthecurrentAtlantichurricaneseason,EIA
estimatesthemedianoutcomefortotalshutincrudeoilproductionintheGOM
duringtheupcominghurricaneseason(JunethroughNovember)of19millionbarrels
(anaverage105thousandbbl/doverthe6months).Thereisawiderangeof
uncertaintyaroundthisforecast(seethe2011OutlookforHurricaneRelatedProduction
OutagesintheGulfofMexico).Thebulkofoutagesareexpectedduringthelate
summerandearlyfallmonthsofAugust,September,andOctober.
Liquidfuelnetimports(includingbothcrudeoilandrefinedproducts)fellfrom57
percentoftotalU.S.consumptionin2008to49percentin2010,primarilybecauseof
thedeclineinconsumptionduringtherecessionandrisingdomesticproduction.EIA
forecaststhatliquidfuelnetimportswillaverage9.4millionbbl/din2011and9.7
millionbbl/din2012,representing49percentand50percentoftotalconsumption,
respectively.
U.S.PetroleumProductPrices.EIAforecaststhattheannualaverageregulargrade
gasolineretailpricewillincreasefrom$2.78pergallonin2010to$3.60pergallonin
2011andto$3.67pergallonin2012.Thesizablejumpinretailpricesthisyearreflects
notonlythehigheraveragecostofcrudeoil,butalsoanincreaseinU.S.refinery
marginsongasoline(thedifferencebetweenrefinerywholesalegasolinepricesand
theaveragecostofcrudeoil)fromanaverageof$0.34pergallonin2010to$0.47per
gallonin2011,still6to9centspergallonbelowtherecordmarginssetin2006and
2007.UnexpectedshutdownsofU.S.refiningcapacityinMarchandAprilwitha
largedropingasolinestocksontheEastCoast,alongwithfloodingoftheMississippi
riverinMay,contributedtotheincreaseinmarginsthisyear.Theprojectedrefinery
gasolinemargindeclinesto$0.44pergallonin2012.
EIAexpectsthatonhighwaydieselfuelretailprices,whichaveraged$2.99pergallon
in2010,willaverage$3.87pergallonin2011and$3.95pergallonin2012.Projected
U.S.refinerydieselfuelmarginsincreaseby21centspergallon,fromanaverage$0.38
pergallonin2010to$0.59pergallonin2011,thenfallto$0.53pergallonin2012.
NaturalGas
U.S.NaturalGasConsumption.EIAexpectstotalnaturalgasconsumptionwillgrow
by1.4percentto67.1billioncubicfeetperday(Bcf/d)in2011(U.S.TotalNaturalGas
ConsumptionChart).Forecastindustrialandelectricpowerconsumptionare
expectedtorise3.1percentto18.7Bcf/din2011and0.4percentto20.3Bcf/d,
respectively.Growthintheelectricpowersectorin2011issomewhatmoderatedby
expecteddeclinesincoolingdemand,withforecastedcoolingdegreedaysfalling14.2
percentcomparedwithlastyear.
Projectedtotalconsumptionrisesslightlyin2012to67.2Bcf/d.Growthcontinuesin
theindustrialsectorat1.6percent,asthenaturalgasweightedindustrialproduction
indexrises2.7percent.Consumptionalsoincreasesintheelectricpowersector(2.1
percent).Residentialandcommercialconsumption,however,declineby2.8percent
and2.2percent,respectively,stemmingfromtheforecastdeclineinheatingdemand
fornaturalgas.
U.S.NaturalGasProductionandImports.The2011productionforecasthasbeen
revisedupwardsignificantlydueinparttounexpectedlystrongMarchproduction
reportedinthelatestEIANaturalGasMonthly.TotalU.S.marketednaturalgas
productionisexpectedtoincreaseby4.5percent(to64.6Bcf/d)in2011,upfrom2.3
percent(to63.2Bcf/d)forecastinlastmonthsOutlook.
Productioncontinuestogrowatastrongpacedespiteasignificantdeclineingas
directeddrillingactivity.AccordingtoBakerHughes,totalworkingnaturalgasrigs
nownumber881,down11percentfromtheAugust2010level.However,growthin
oildirecteddrillingactivitycouldleadtosignificantincreasesinassociatednatural
gasproduction.EIAexpectsrisingnaturalgaspricesin2012tocontributetoan
increaseindrillingactivity.
Growingdomesticnaturalgasproductionhasreducedrelianceonnaturalgas
imports,andcontributedtoincreasedexports.EIAexpectsthatpipelinegross
importsofnaturalgaswillfall4.2percentto8.7Bcf/dduring2011andby3.7percent
to8.4Bcf/din2012.IncreasedpipelinegrossexportstoMexicoandCanadaduring
thefirstpartof2011haveledtoanupwardrevisionforboth2011and2012.Pipeline
grossexportsareexpectedtoaverage4.1Bcf/din2011and3.9Bcf/din2012,
comparedtojust3.1Bcfin2010.
EIAprojectsU.S.importsofliquefiednaturalgas(LNG)willfallfromanaverage1.2
Bcf/din2010to1.0Bcf/din2011and0.95Bcf/din2012.Becauseoftheearthquakein
Japanandsubsequentnucleargenerationoutages,JapansdemandforLNGasa
Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy OutlookJune 2011
6
replacementfuelforelectricpowergenerationisexpectedtoincrease,contributingto
higherglobalLNGprices.
U.S.NaturalGasInventories.OnMay27,2011,workingnaturalgasinstoragestood
at2,107Bcf,whichis237BcfbelowlastyearslevelinlateMay(U.S.WorkingNatural
GasinStorageChart).EIAexpectsthatinventories,thoughlowerthanlastyear,will
remainrobustgivenhigherforecastproductionthroughoutthe2011injectionseason.
Projectedinventoriessurpass3.8TcfattheendofOctober2011asaresultofhigh
productionlevelsandamildsummerrelativetolastyear.
U.S.NaturalGasPrices.TheHenryHubspotpriceaveraged$4.31perMMBtuin
May,6centshigherthantheAprilaverageand11centshigherthanforecastinlast
monthsOutlook(HenryHubNaturalGasPriceChart).EIAexpectsthattheHenry
Hubpricewillaverage$4.25perMMBtuin2011,adeclineof13centsfromthe2010
average.EIAexpectsthattheslowinggrowthinproductionwillcontributetoa
tighteningdomesticmarketnextyearwiththeHenryHubpriceaveraging$4.58per
MMBtuin2012.
Uncertaintyovernaturalgaspricesislowerthisyearcomparedtolastyearatthis
time(EnergyPriceVolatilityandForecastUncertainty).Naturalgasfuturesfor
August2011delivery(forthe5dayperiodendingJune2)averaged$4.66perMMBtu,
andtheaverageimpliedvolatilitywas33percent.Thelowerandupperboundsfor
the95percentconfidenceintervalforAugust2011contractsare$3.91perMMBtuand
$5.47perMMBtu.Atthistimelastyear,thenaturalgasAugust2010futurescontract
averaged$4.47perMMBtuandimpliedvolatilityaveraged47percent.The
correspondinglowerandupperlimitsofthe95percentconfidenceintervalwere$3.22
perMMBtuand$6.20perMMBtu.
Electricity
U.S.ElectricityConsumption.EIAexpectslittlechangeintotalU.S.electricity
consumptionbetween2010and2011(U.S.TotalElectricityConsumptionChart).
Coolingdegreedaysduring2011areassumedtobe14percentlowerthanlastyear,
whichdrivestheprojected2.5percentdeclineinretailelectricitysalestothe
residentialsector.Improvedeconomicconditionsshouldleadtoa3.6percent
increaseinsalestotheindustrialsector,whilecommercialsectorelectricitysalesshow
littlechangein2011.During2012,totalU.S.electricityconsumptiongrowsby2.0
percent.
U.S.ElectricityGeneration.EIAprojectsthattotalgenerationbytheelectricpower
sectorduring2011willremainclosetolastyearslevel(U.S.ElectricPowerSector
Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy OutlookJune 2011
7
GenerationGrowthChart).Weathereventshavesignificantlyaffectedgeneration
dispatchingpatternsthisspring.Preliminarydataindicatethathydroelectric
generationduringMarchreacheditshighestlevelsince1999asaresultofheavy
precipitationintheNorthwest,whilestrongthunderstormsandtornadoscauseda
numberofunplannednuclearplantoutagesduringApril.Theincreasein
hydroelectricgenerationthisyearcontributestoadeclineintheshareoftotal
generationfueledbycoalandflatnaturalgasgenerationduring2011.EIAexpectsa
2.0percentincreaseintotalelectricpowersectorgenerationin2012,fueledprimarily
byincreasesincoalandnaturalgasfiredgeneration.
U.S.ElectricityRetailPrices.EIAexpectstheaverageU.S.residentialelectricityprice
torisefrom11.58centsperkilowatthourin2010to11.83centsperkilowatthourthis
year,anincreaseof2.2percent(U.S.ResidentialElectricityPricesChart).Thecostof
coalandnaturalgastotheelectricpowersectorthisyearisexpectedtostayflat,
whichshouldflattenretailelectricitypricesnextyearbecauseofregulatorylagsinthe
passthroughofgenerationcoststoretailprices.
Coal
U.S.CoalConsumption.Coalconsumptionintheelectricpowersectorgrewby4.5
percentin2010,primarilytheresultofhigherelectricitydemandduringthesummer.
EIAprojectsthatcoalconsumptionintheelectricpowersectorwilldecreaseby1.5
percentin2011,aselectricitydemandremainsflatandgenerationfromotherenergy
sourcesincreases.Forecastcoalconsumptionintheelectricpowersectorgrowsby2.9
percentin2012(U.S.CoalConsumptionGrowthChart).
U.S.CoalSupply.Coalproductionin2010grewbyonly1.0percentdespitethe5
percentincreaseintotalU.S.coalconsumption.Adrawdowninstocks,particularly
intheelectricpowersector,metthedemandincrease(U.S.ElectricPowerSectorCoal
StocksChart).EIAprojectsthatcoalproductionwillremainflatin2011,followedbya
2.5percentincreasein2012(U.S.AnnualCoalProductionChart).
U.S.CoalTrade.Strongglobaldemandforcoal,particularlymetallurgicalcoalused
toproducesteel,resultedinsharpincreasesinU.S.coalexportsin2010.U.S.coal
exportsroseabout50%duringthefirstquarterof2011comparedto2010,reaching
26.6millionshorttons(mmst),thehighestlevelsince1992.Whilecokingcoalremains
theprimaryexport,exportsofsteamcoalledrecentgrowth,rising160%overthe
sameperiod. EIAexpectsU.S.coalexportstoremainelevatedin2011,particularlyin
thefirsthalfoftheyear,reachinganannuallevelof98mmst.ForecastU.S.coal
exportsfallbacktomoretypicalhistoricallevels(approximately80mmst)in2012as
supplyfromothermajorcoalexportingcountriesrecovers.
Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy OutlookJune 2011
8
EIAalsoexpectsthestrongglobaldemandforcoaltocontinuetosuppresscoal
imports,withimportsatlevelsbelow19mmstinboth2011and2012.U.S.coal
importsaveragedabout31mmstannuallyfrom2004through2009.
U.S.CoalPrices.Electricpowersectordeliveredcoalpriceshavebeenrising
relativelysteadilyoverthelast10years,reflectinglongertermcoalcontractsinitiated
duringaperiodofhighenergyprices,risingtransportationcosts,andincreased
consumption.However,EIAexpectsthatthepowersectorcoalpricewillremain
stablein2011and2012ascoalcompeteswithnaturalgasforgenerationmarketshare.
Theprojectedpowersectordeliveredcoalprice,whichaveraged$2.26perMMBtuin
2010,averages$2.28perMMBtuand$2.26perMMBtuin2011and2012,respectively.
U.S.CarbonDioxideEmissions
EIAestimatesthatfossilfuelCO2emissionsincreasedby3.8percentin2010(U.S.
CarbonDioxideEmissionsGrowthChart).ForecastfossilfuelCO2emissionsremain
flatin2011asemissionincreasesfromhigherpetroleumandnaturalgasconsumption
areoffsetbydeclinesincoalconsumption.Expectedincreasesinconsumptionofall
fossilfuelsin2012contributetoa1.6percentincreaseinfossilfuelCO2emissions.
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Jan 2010
Jul 2010
Jan 2011
Jul 2011
Jan 2012
Jul 2012
Note: Confidence interval derived from options market information for the 5 trading days ending June 2, 2011
Intervals not calculated for months with sparse trading in "near-the-money" options contracts
4.50
3.50
Forecast
4.00
3.00
Retail Regular Gasoline
3.50
2.50
Crude Oil
3.00
2.00
2.50
1.50
2.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
1.00
Jan 2007
0.00
Jan 2008
Jan 2009
Jan 2010
Jan 2011
Crude oil price is refiner average acquisition cost. Retail prices include State and Federal taxes
Jan 2012
4.80
3.50
Forecast
3.00
3.80
2.50
Crude Oil
3.30
2.00
2.80
1.50
2.30
1.00
1.80
0.50
1.30
Jan 2007
0.00
Jan 2008
Jan 2009
Jan 2010
Jan 2011
Jan 2012
Crude oil price is refiner average acquisition cost. Retail prices include State and Federal taxes
10
0
Jan 2010
Jul 2010
Jan 2011
Jul 2011
Jan 2012
Jul 2012
Note: Confidence interval derived from options market information for 5 trading days ending June 2, 2011
Intervals not calculated for months with sparse trading in "near-the-money" options contracts
20
15
10
0
Jan 2007
Jan 2008
Jan 2009
Jan 2010
Jan 2011
Jan 2012
Total consumption
90
7.0
6.0
85
5.0
80
4.0
Annual growth
75
3.0
2.0
70
1.0
65
0.0
-1.0
60
-2.0
55
-3.0
2004
2005
2006
2007
China
2008
United States
2009
2010
2011
2012
Other Countries
Forecast
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5
2010
OECD*
2011
Non-OECD Asia
2012
Other
Forecast
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5
-2.0
2010
2011
OPEC countries
North America
North Sea
2012
Russia and Caspian Sea
Latin America
Other Non-OPEC
2012
0.5
2011
0.4
2010
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
United Kingdom
Mexico
Norway
Malaysia
Australia
Syria
Gabon
Egypt
Sudan
India
Oman
Russia
Vietnam
Azerbaijan
Kazakhstan
Brazil
Colombia
China
United States
Canada
-0.4
Forecast
80
60
2
40
1
20
0
-20
-1
-40
-2
-60
-3
-80
-4
2008-Q1
-100
2009-Q1
2010-Q1
2011-Q1
2012-Q1
2002
2004
2006
2008
Note: Shaded area represents 2000-2010 average (2.7 million barrels per day)
2010
2012
Jan 2007
Jan 2008
Jan 2009
Jan 2010
Jan 2011
Jan 2012
Note: Colored band represents the range between the minimum and maximum obeserved inventories from Jan. 2006 - Dec. 2010.
Total production
million barrels per day
Forecast
9.0
Total production
8.0
1.4
1.2
7.0
1.0
6.0
0.8
5.0
0.6
Annual change
4.0
0.4
3.0
0.2
2.0
0.0
1.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.4
2001
2002
2003
Fuel ethanol
2004
2005
Crude oil
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Jan 2008
Jan 2009
Jan 2010
Jan 2011
Jan 2012
Note: Colored bands represent "normal" range published in EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report, Appendix A.
600
2.0%
0.8%
2010
2011
0.7%
400
200
0
-200
-400
-600
Total
Motor gasoline
2012
Jet fuel
Distillate fuel
Other
Forecast
240
220
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
600
Jan 2007
Jan 2008
Jan 2009
Jan 2010
Jan 2011
Jan 2012
Note: Colored bands represent "normal" range published in EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report, Appendix A.
68
66
16%
Consumption
64
14%
62
12%
60
10%
58
54
3.9%
8%
6.5%
Annual growth
56
5.7%
6%
3.5%
4%
52
50
1.4%
0.5%
0.2%
0.3%
2%
0%
48
46
-2%
-1.6%
-1.4% -1.5%
-3.2%
44
-4%
-4.4%
42
2000
2001
-6%
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Storage level
4,000
120%
3,000
100%
2,000
80%
1,000
60%
40%
0
Deviation from 2005 - 2009 average
-1,000
20%
-2,000
0%
-3,000
Jan 2007
-20%
Jan 2008
Jan 2009
Jan 2010
Jan 2011
Jan 2012
Note: Colored band around storage levels represents the range between the minimum and maximum from Jan. 2006 - Dec. 2010
2011
Electric power sector
2012
Coke plants
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Total U.S.
Western region
Appalachian region
Interior region
2010
2011
2012
Jan
2004
Jan
2005
Jan
2006
Jan
2007
Jan
2008
Jan
2009
Jan
2010
Jan
2011
Jan
2012
Note: Colored bands represent "normal" range published in EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report, Appendix A.
12
20%
Consumption
11
18%
16%
10
14%
12%
10%
Annual growth
8%
6%
4.3%
2.8%
2.8%
2.1%
1.2%
0.8%
2.0%
1.9%
0.2%
4%
2%
0.0%
0%
6
-0.7%
-2%
-0.9%
-4%
-3.4%
5
-6%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
14
13
Forecast
36%
12
11
30%
10
9
24%
8
7
18%
6
Annual growth
10.3%
12%
4
4.2%
3
2
5.7%
5.4%
3.2%
2.6%
2.4%
0.9%
6%
2.2%
0.6%
2.2%
0.1%
0%
1
0
-1.6%
-6%
-1
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
-0.3%
2.0%
200
100
0
-100
-200
-300
-400
2010
Coal
2011
Natural Gas
Nuclear
2012
Hydropower
Other Renewables
Note: Percent change labels refer to growth in total generation. Not all generation sources are shown.
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2011
Coal
Petroleum
2012
Natural Gas
2012
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
Data source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Weather Service
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/cdus/degree_days/
2007/08
2008/09
2009/10
2010/11
2011/12
Normal
1000
800
600
400
200
0
OCT
NOV
DEC
JAN
FEB
MAR
Data source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Weather Service
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/cdus/degree_days/
Pacific
WEST
MIDWEST
NORTHEAST
WA
ND
MT
MN
OR
W
ID
NV
Mountain
CO
CA
West
North
Central
SD
Pacific
NE
VT
W
IA
MO
KS
Middle
Atlantic
PA
IN
IL
UT
WV
NM
Pacific
HI
VA
KY
OK
AZ
TX
EastTN
AR
South
West
Central
South
AL
LA MS
Central
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
NC
South
Atlantic
SC
GA
LEGEND
REGION
Division
State
FL
SOUTH
ME
New
NY England
East
MI
North
Central OH
2011
Year-over-year Change
(percent)
Q2
Q3
Season
Q2
Q3
Season
Q2
Q3
Season
1.85
1.81
1.83
2.48
2.48
2.48
33.9
36.7
35.3
1.77
1.75
1.76
2.53
2.52
2.53
42.8
44.6
43.7
1.79
1.76
1.78
2.53
2.52
2.53
41.0
43.1
42.0
2.18
2.10
2.14
3.13
3.01
3.07
43.9
43.4
43.6
2.20
2.15
2.17
3.15
3.10
3.13
43.1
44.4
43.8
2.81
2.72
2.76
3.82
3.68
3.75
36.3
35.3
35.8
3.03
2.94
2.98
4.01
3.92
3.97
32.6
33.4
33.0
9.201
9.288
9.245
9.171
9.323
9.248
-0.3
0.4
0.0
7.604
7.699
7.652
7.473
7.691
7.583
-1.7
-0.1
-0.9
2.1
0.1
1.1
26.3
-12.7
5.0
0.858
0.879
0.868
0.876
0.879
0.877
0.101
-0.049
0.026
0.016
0.090
0.053
Net Imports f
0.639
0.759
0.700
0.807
0.663
0.735
89.0
88.8
88.9
85.1
87.8
86.5
224.0
214.8
224.0
214.9
213.4
214.9
Ending
214.8
219.3
219.3
213.4
205.2
205.2
13,195
13,279
13,237
13,551
13,654
13,602
2.7
2.8
2.8
Real Income
10,252
10,277
10,264
10,434
10,475
10,454
1.8
1.9
1.8
Notes: Minor discrepancies with other Energy Information Administration (EIA) published historical data are due to rounding. Historical data
are printed in bold. Forecasts are in italic. The forecasts were generated by simulation of the Short-Term Integrated Forecasting System.
Sources: Historical data: latest data available from: EIA,Petroleum Supply Monthly, DOE/EIA-0109; Monthly Energy Review, DOE/EIA0035; U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis (GDP and income); Reuters News Service (WTI crude oil spotprice).
Macroeconomic projections are based on IHS Global Insight Macroeconomic Forecast Model.
2nd
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
Energy Supply
Crude Oil Production (a)
(million barrels per day) ..............................
5.47
5.48
5.49
5.61
5.57
5.54
5.41
5.54
5.55
5.48
5.34
5.39
5.51
5.51
5.44
57.93
58.56
59.28
60.66
60.95
62.62
61.85
61.73
61.75
61.56
61.62
62.19
59.12
61.79
61.78
Coal Production
(million short tons) .......................................
265
265
278
277
271
263
275
275
284
270
281
278
1,085
1,085
1,112
Liquid Fuels
(million barrels per day) ..............................
18.82
19.01
19.49
19.26
19.09
19.21
19.52
19.38
19.33
19.32
19.58
19.50
19.15
19.30
19.43
Natural Gas
(billion cubic feet per day) ...........................
83.41
54.42
57.93
68.95
83.78
55.68
57.84
71.19
83.39
55.77
58.55
71.29
66.12
67.06
67.24
Coal (b)
(million short tons) .......................................
265
247
286
250
254
245
275
258
275
245
283
260
1,048
1,032
1,064
Electricity
(billion kilowatt hours per day) ....................
10.61
10.02
12.01
9.92
10.60
10.13
11.81
10.04
10.86
10.31
12.03
10.23
10.64
10.65
10.86
Renewables (c)
(quadrillion Btu) ...........................................
1.77
1.95
1.80
1.84
2.06
2.24
2.03
1.90
2.02
2.21
2.04
2.03
7.36
8.23
8.31
25.75
22.96
24.65
25.04
26.02
23.52
24.60
25.12
26.62
23.68
24.95
25.44
98.41
99.27
100.69
75.89
75.34
74.05
81.70
94.01
106.21
105.98
107.50
108.50
107.50
108.00
108.50
76.72
103.54
108.12
4.79
4.07
4.11
3.67
3.99
3.94
3.98
4.28
4.35
4.06
4.23
4.57
4.15
4.05
4.30
Coal
(dollars per million Btu) ...............................
2.26
2.26
2.28
2.25
2.35
2.29
2.26
2.21
2.29
2.27
2.25
2.22
2.26
2.28
2.26
13,139
2.4
13,195
3.0
13,279
3.2
13,381
2.8
13,439
2.3
13,551
2.7
13,654
2.8
13,771
2.9
13,855
3.1
13,934
2.8
14,031
2.8
14,139
2.7
13,248
2.9
13,603
2.7
13,990
2.8
110.0
0.5
110.5
0.8
111.1
1.2
111.2
1.3
111.7
1.6
112.6
1.9
113.1
1.8
113.3
1.9
113.7
1.8
113.9
1.2
114.5
1.2
115.1
1.6
110.7
1.0
112.7
1.8
114.3
1.5
10,113
0.7
10,252
0.6
10,277
2.0
10,324
2.4
10,399
2.8
10,434
1.8
10,475
1.9
10,532
2.0
10,487
0.8
10,573
1.3
10,618
1.4
10,668
1.3
10,241
1.4
10,460
2.1
10,587
1.2
85.0
2.2
86.9
7.5
88.1
7.2
89.0
6.6
91.1
7.1
92.3
6.2
94.2
6.8
95.6
7.4
96.5
6.0
97.2
5.2
98.1
4.2
98.8
3.4
87.3
5.8
93.3
6.9
97.6
4.7
2,311
12
422
445
68
937
1,659
73
2,285
33
515
377
100
771
1,632
77
2,249
35
537
344
100
778
1,618
83
4,460
1,467
4,532
1,258
4,504
1,240
Energy Consumption
Energy Prices
Macroeconomic
- = no data available
Prices are not adjusted for inflation.
(a) Includes lease condensate.
(b) Total consumption includes Independent Power Producer (IPP) consumption.
(c) Renewable energy includes minor components of non-marketed renewable energy that is neither bought nor sold, either directly or indirectly, as inputs to marketed energy.
EIA does not estimate or project end-use consumption of non-marketed renewable energy.
(d) The conversion from physical units to Btu is calculated using a subset of conversion factors used in the calculations of gross energy consumption in EIAs Monthly Energy Review (MER).
Consequently, the historical data may not precisely match those published in the MER or the Annual Energy Review (AER).
(e) Refers to the refiner average acquisition cost (RAC) of crude oil.
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports:Petroleum Supply Monthly, DOE/EIA-0109;
Petroleum Supply Annual, DOE/EIA-0340/2; Weekly Petroleum Status Report, DOE/EIA-0208; Petroleum Marketing Monthly, DOE/EIA-0380; Natural Gas Monthly, DOE/EIA-0130;
Electric Power Monthly, DOE/EIA-0226; Quarterly Coal Report, DOE/EIA-0121; and International Petroleum Monthly, DOE/EIA-0520.
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model. Macroeconomic projections are based on Global Insight Model of the U.S. Economy.
Weather projections from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
2nd
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
78.64
75.28
75.89
77.79
74.33
75.34
76.05
73.32
74.05
85.10
81.03
81.70
93.50
94.27
94.01
104.14
106.18
106.21
104.00
105.99
105.98
106.00
107.50
107.50
107.00
108.50
108.50
106.00
107.50
107.50
107.00
108.00
108.00
108.00
108.50
108.50
79.40
75.87
76.72
101.91
103.64
103.54
107.00
108.12
108.12
211
209
205
218
220
212
210
215
204
227
240
234
267
286
275
313
315
306
301
310
303
293
311
309
299
308
309
309
308
306
304
311
306
295
314
311
217
221
215
294
306
295
302
310
309
210
172
219
170
214
166
238
182
287
218
316
241
309
242
311
246
309
247
307
244
310
246
313
251
220
173
306
236
310
247
This price series discontinued beginning with the June 2011 edition of the Short-Term Energy Outlook. This row will no longer appear
beginning with the July 2011 edition.
271
277
285
292
281
286
303
293
272
277
294
282
288
294
315
310
329
335
363
359
382
388
401
391
368
373
392
390
357
363
393
401
362
367
393
410
374
379
394
404
372
377
396
400
360
365
399
408
278
283
299
298
360
365
387
378
367
372
395
408
This price series discontinued beginning with the June 2011 edition of the Short-Term Energy Outlook. This row will no longer appear
beginning with the July 2011 edition.
Natural Gas
Average Wellhead (dollars per thousand cubic feet) ......
Henry Hub Spot (dollars per thousand cubic feet) ..........
Henry Hub Spot (dollars per Million Btu) .........................
End-Use Prices (dollars per thousand cubic feet)
4.79
5.30
5.15
4.07
4.45
4.32
4.11
4.41
4.28
3.67
3.91
3.80
3.99
4.31
4.18
3.94
4.38
4.25
3.98
4.24
4.12
4.28
4.59
4.45
4.35
4.80
4.66
4.06
4.40
4.27
4.23
4.60
4.46
4.57
5.08
4.93
4.15
4.52
4.39
4.05
4.38
4.25
4.30
4.72
4.58
6.51
9.30
10.59
4.98
9.25
12.54
5.07
9.63
15.47
4.89
8.66
10.56
5.40
8.66
9.98
5.23
9.04
12.00
5.25
9.63
15.98
5.87
9.83
12.11
6.25
9.71
11.08
5.44
9.73
12.66
5.51
10.19
16.64
6.22
10.27
12.66
5.40
9.14
11.18
5.44
9.18
11.35
5.87
9.94
12.19
Coal ...............................................................................
Natural Gas ..................................................................
Residual Fuel Oil (c) ......................................................
Distillate Fuel Oil ...........................................................
End-Use Prices (cents per kilowatthour)
2.26
6.06
12.10
15.84
2.26
4.89
12.36
16.48
2.28
4.88
12.36
16.18
2.25
4.69
14.19
17.94
2.35
5.05
15.58
20.82
2.29
4.88
17.55
23.34
2.26
5.02
17.80
23.39
2.21
5.28
18.03
23.74
2.29
5.51
18.30
23.66
2.27
5.09
18.32
23.47
2.25
5.29
18.21
23.67
2.22
5.63
18.13
23.88
2.26
5.08
12.63
16.60
2.28
5.05
17.40
22.74
2.26
5.36
18.25
23.67
6.53
9.87
10.88
6.75
10.30
11.90
7.17
10.71
12.02
6.67
10.06
11.50
6.67
10.02
11.25
6.76
10.42
12.06
7.15
10.90
12.32
6.68
10.22
11.65
6.56
10.02
11.11
6.79
10.46
12.11
7.20
10.96
12.37
6.73
10.29
11.75
6.79
10.26
11.58
6.82
10.41
11.83
6.83
10.46
11.84
- = no data available
Prices are not adjusted for inflation.
(a) Average for all sulfur contents.
(b) Average self-service cash price.
(c) Includes fuel oils No. 4, No. 5, No. 6, and topped crude.
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
Prices exclude taxes unless otherwise noted
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports: Petroleum Marketing Monthly , DOE/EIA-0380;
Weekly Petroleum Status Report , DOE/EIA-0208; Natural Gas Monthly , DOE/EIA-0130; Electric Power Monthly , DOE/EIA-0226; and Monthly Energy Review , DOE/EIA-0035.
Natural gas Henry Hub and WTI crude oil spot prices from Reuter's News Service (http://www.reuters.com).
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.
Table 3a. International Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Supply, Consumption, and Inventories
Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy Outlook - June 2011
2010
2011
2012
Year
2011
2012
21.39
9.65
3.59
2.90
3.73
1.52
65.46
35.15
29.77
5.39
13.17
4.27
12.87
86.84
21.43
9.72
3.76
2.85
3.62
1.48
66.26
35.40
29.40
6.00
13.38
4.41
13.07
87.68
21.36
9.64
3.97
2.83
3.43
1.49
67.91
36.49
30.06
6.44
13.46
4.55
13.41
89.27
52.67
51.69
52.28
52.78
45.96
19.58
0.27
2.32
14.28
4.03
5.47
44.30
4.71
0.82
10.44
9.95
18.38
90.26
46.64
19.50
0.27
2.32
14.40
4.40
5.76
43.70
4.67
0.82
10.34
10.18
17.69
90.34
46.03
19.15
0.27
2.24
14.45
4.42
5.50
40.70
4.40
0.80
9.17
9.72
16.60
86.73
46.11
19.30
0.27
2.26
14.32
4.44
5.52
42.32
4.52
0.79
9.87
10.02
17.11
88.43
46.15
19.43
0.27
2.29
14.17
4.34
5.65
43.87
4.61
0.80
10.42
10.24
17.80
90.02
-0.39
0.26
0.44
0.31
-0.13
0.50
0.84
1.22
0.54
0.00
0.01
0.55
-0.05
0.01
-0.08
-0.12
0.09
0.23
0.42
0.75
0.02
0.27
0.45
0.75
1,062
2,504
1,073
2,470
1,024
2,420
1,067
2,647
1,033
2,529
1,024
2,420
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
21.44
9.46
3.45
2.95
4.08
1.51
64.55
34.51
29.40
5.11
13.11
4.16
12.78
86.00
21.30
9.56
3.58
2.87
3.74
1.54
65.29
35.02
29.65
5.37
13.15
4.23
12.88
86.59
20.97
9.67
3.55
2.87
3.36
1.53
66.14
35.71
30.15
5.57
13.18
4.31
12.94
87.11
21.83
9.91
3.77
2.89
3.76
1.49
65.82
35.35
29.85
5.49
13.22
4.37
12.89
87.65
21.54
9.77
3.75
2.91
3.68
1.44
66.03
35.48
29.77
5.70
13.27
4.31
12.98
87.57
21.64
9.73
3.75
2.87
3.79
1.50
66.32
35.16
29.11
6.05
13.51
4.45
13.20
87.96
21.15
9.63
3.71
2.81
3.49
1.50
66.22
35.41
29.34
6.07
13.36
4.41
13.05
87.37
21.38
9.75
3.82
2.81
3.51
1.47
66.45
35.55
29.37
6.18
13.39
4.45
13.06
87.82
21.58
9.69
3.93
2.86
3.61
1.49
67.53
36.08
29.70
6.38
13.65
4.51
13.29
89.11
21.45
9.66
3.95
2.84
3.51
1.49
67.69
36.20
29.78
6.42
13.53
4.56
13.40
89.13
21.11
9.57
3.99
2.82
3.23
1.50
67.93
36.56
30.11
6.45
13.37
4.57
13.43
89.04
21.30
9.62
4.02
2.81
3.38
1.47
68.48
37.12
30.63
6.49
13.28
4.58
13.51
89.79
51.49
51.56
51.40
52.31
52.10
52.81
51.96
52.28
53.02
52.93
52.48
45.09
19.01
0.27
2.21
14.12
4.04
5.44
41.14
4.34
0.77
9.31
9.93
16.79
86.23
46.55
19.49
0.27
2.28
14.79
4.33
5.38
40.92
4.49
0.83
8.89
9.47
17.25
87.47
46.66
19.26
0.27
2.26
14.69
4.54
5.64
41.08
4.45
0.83
9.60
9.69
16.52
87.75
46.29
19.09
0.27
2.29
14.17
4.85
5.62
41.52
4.42
0.78
9.65
10.18
16.49
87.81
45.07
19.21
0.27
2.18
14.01
3.95
5.45
42.78
4.47
0.76
10.11
10.20
17.24
87.85
46.24
19.52
0.27
2.29
14.48
4.33
5.36
42.94
4.62
0.81
10.02
9.74
17.74
89.18
46.81
19.38
0.27
2.28
14.59
4.65
5.64
42.05
4.58
0.81
9.71
9.97
16.97
88.86
46.81
19.33
0.27
2.30
14.17
4.93
5.80
43.21
4.50
0.79
10.32
10.40
17.19
90.02
45.19
19.32
0.27
2.21
13.82
4.00
5.57
44.26
4.55
0.77
10.58
10.42
17.93
89.44
-0.20
0.36
0.19
0.36
0.69
0.19
-0.78
0.09
0.27
-0.10
0.07
0.24
-0.36
0.09
0.15
-0.11
-0.09
0.73
1.17
1.81
0.56
0.19
0.29
1.03
0.07
0.33
0.51
0.91
1,130
2,727
1,067
2,647
1,043
2,632
1,075
2,656
1,084
2,597
1,033
2,529
1,026
2,492
1,112
2,742
2010
- = no data available
OECD = Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland,
France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Luxembourg, Mexico, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal,
Slovakia, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom, and the United States.
OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries: Algeria, Angola, Ecuador, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Venezuela.
Former Soviet Union = Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Estonia, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine and Uzbekistan.
(a) Supply includes production of crude oil (including lease condensates), natural gas plant liquids, biofuels, other liquids, and refinery processing gains.
(b) Includes offshore supply from Denmark, Germany, the Netherlands, Norway, and the United Kingdom.
(c) Consumption of petroleum by the OECD countries is synonymous with "petroleum product supplied," defined in the glossary of the EIA Petroleum Supply Monthly , DOE/EIA-0109.
Consumption of petroleum by the non-OECD countries is "apparent consumption," which includes internal consumption, refinery fuel and loss, and bunkering.
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the International Petroleum Monthly ; and International Energy Agency, Monthly Oil Data
Service, latest monthly release.
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.
Table 3b. Non-OPEC Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Supply (million barrels per day)
Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy Outlook - June 2011
2010
2011
2012
Year
2011
2012
16.14
3.59
2.90
9.65
16.33
3.76
2.85
9.72
16.44
3.97
2.83
9.64
5.27
0.76
3.04
1.01
0.46
4.78
0.78
2.74
0.80
0.46
5.00
0.77
2.87
0.91
0.46
5.21
0.77
2.99
0.98
0.46
4.06
1.98
1.00
0.26
4.21
2.03
1.09
0.25
4.60
2.13
1.32
0.28
4.46
2.14
1.20
0.28
4.26
2.07
1.10
0.26
13.53
1.20
1.81
10.14
0.21
0.39
13.37
1.15
1.82
10.03
0.21
0.38
13.28
1.13
1.83
9.94
0.22
0.38
13.17
1.04
1.61
10.12
0.20
0.39
13.38
1.14
1.70
10.14
0.21
0.39
13.46
1.18
1.81
10.08
0.21
0.38
1.57
0.88
0.38
0.25
1.55
0.88
0.38
0.25
1.54
0.88
0.37
0.24
1.54
0.88
0.37
0.25
1.58
0.87
0.40
0.26
1.55
0.87
0.38
0.25
1.55
0.88
0.37
0.25
9.07
0.55
4.45
0.98
1.02
0.64
0.42
9.22
0.55
4.51
1.01
1.03
0.65
0.45
9.26
0.55
4.56
1.00
1.03
0.63
0.48
9.30
0.56
4.57
1.00
1.03
0.63
0.50
9.33
0.53
4.58
1.01
1.03
0.65
0.52
8.85
0.55
4.27
0.95
1.03
0.67
0.36
9.00
0.54
4.41
0.99
1.01
0.65
0.39
9.28
0.55
4.55
1.00
1.03
0.64
0.49
2.56
0.66
0.30
0.21
0.48
2.56
0.67
0.29
0.21
0.48
2.59
0.68
0.29
0.21
0.49
2.58
0.68
0.29
0.21
0.49
2.58
0.68
0.29
0.20
0.49
2.59
0.68
0.29
0.20
0.49
2.58
0.66
0.32
0.23
0.51
2.56
0.67
0.30
0.21
0.49
2.59
0.68
0.29
0.21
0.49
52.81
51.96
52.28
53.02
52.93
52.48
52.67
51.69
52.28
52.78
6.05
58.86
6.07
58.03
6.18
58.45
6.38
59.41
6.42
59.35
6.45
58.94
6.49
59.16
5.39
57.08
6.00
58.29
6.44
59.21
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
15.86
3.45
2.95
9.46
16.02
3.58
2.87
9.56
16.09
3.55
2.87
9.67
16.58
3.77
2.89
9.91
16.42
3.75
2.91
9.77
16.35
3.75
2.87
9.73
16.15
3.71
2.81
9.63
16.39
3.82
2.81
9.75
16.48
3.93
2.86
9.69
16.45
3.95
2.84
9.66
16.37
3.99
2.82
9.57
16.45
4.02
2.81
9.62
4.72
0.80
2.68
0.77
0.47
4.80
0.79
2.75
0.79
0.46
4.80
0.79
2.75
0.80
0.46
4.81
0.73
2.80
0.83
0.45
4.90
0.77
2.80
0.88
0.46
5.11
0.78
2.96
0.91
0.46
4.99
0.76
2.87
0.91
0.45
5.00
0.76
2.86
0.93
0.45
5.08
0.77
2.89
0.96
0.47
5.22
0.77
3.02
0.97
0.46
5.25
0.77
3.02
0.99
0.47
Europe ...............................................
Norway .................................................
United Kingdom (offshore) ..................
Other North Sea ..................................
4.92
2.32
1.46
0.30
4.60
2.11
1.35
0.29
4.23
1.93
1.18
0.25
4.64
2.18
1.30
0.28
4.55
2.10
1.29
0.28
4.63
2.27
1.24
0.29
4.32
2.14
1.08
0.27
4.34
2.06
1.18
0.27
4.44
2.14
1.20
0.27
4.34
2.12
1.12
0.26
13.11
1.00
1.61
10.10
0.20
0.41
13.15
1.05
1.57
10.14
0.20
0.39
13.18
1.05
1.61
10.14
0.20
0.38
13.22
1.06
1.66
10.12
0.21
0.39
13.27
1.00
1.67
10.20
0.21
0.39
13.51
1.16
1.72
10.23
0.21
0.40
13.36
1.20
1.70
10.06
0.21
0.39
13.39
1.19
1.72
10.09
0.21
0.39
13.65
1.23
1.79
10.23
0.21
0.39
1.59
0.86
0.40
0.27
1.58
0.86
0.40
0.26
1.57
0.87
0.40
0.25
1.58
0.88
0.40
0.25
1.58
0.88
0.39
0.26
1.57
0.87
0.39
0.26
1.53
0.85
0.38
0.25
1.53
0.86
0.38
0.25
8.68
0.56
4.16
0.91
1.02
0.68
0.35
8.82
0.58
4.23
0.92
1.04
0.67
0.36
8.95
0.55
4.31
0.98
1.04
0.65
0.39
8.94
0.53
4.37
1.00
1.00
0.66
0.36
8.82
0.48
4.31
1.00
1.00
0.66
0.36
9.08
0.56
4.45
1.00
1.00
0.65
0.39
9.04
0.58
4.41
0.98
1.02
0.66
0.40
Africa ..................................................
Egypt ....................................................
Equatorial Guinea ................................
Gabon ..................................................
Sudan ..................................................
2.61
0.66
0.33
0.23
0.51
2.60
0.66
0.33
0.23
0.51
2.57
0.66
0.32
0.23
0.51
2.55
0.66
0.31
0.22
0.51
2.57
0.67
0.31
0.22
0.50
2.56
0.68
0.31
0.20
0.49
51.49
51.56
51.40
52.31
52.10
5.11
56.60
5.37
56.93
5.57
56.96
5.49
57.80
5.70
57.80
2010
- = no data available
FSU = Former Soviet Union
OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries: Algeria, Angola, Ecuador, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Venezuela.
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
Supply includes production of crude oil (including lease condensates), natural gas plant liquids, biofuels, other liquids, and refinery processing gains.
Not all countries are shown in each region and sum of reported country volumes may not equal regional volumes.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the International Petroleum Monthly ; and International Energy Agency, Monthly Oil Data
Service, latest monthly release.
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.
Table 3c. OPEC Crude Oil (excluding condensates) Supply (million barrels per day)
Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy Outlook - June 2011
2010
2011
2012
Year
2011
2012
1.30
1.85
0.49
3.75
2.37
2.28
1.65
2.05
0.85
8.78
2.30
2.11
29.77
29.40
30.06
6.49
5.39
6.00
6.44
36.56
37.12
35.15
35.40
36.49
33.38
33.56
33.74
1.30
1.85
0.49
3.75
2.37
2.60
1.65
2.05
0.85
12.19
2.60
2.11
33.76
33.03
33.49
3.60
3.45
3.11
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.32
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.41
0.30
0.00
3.99
3.63
3.44
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
Crude Oil
Algeria ...........................................
Angola ...........................................
Ecudaor .........................................
Iran ................................................
Iraq ................................................
Kuwait ............................................
Libya ..............................................
Nigeria ...........................................
Qatar .............................................
Saudi Arabia .................................
United Arab Emirates ....................
Venezuela .....................................
OPEC Total ................................
1.35
1.97
0.47
3.80
2.42
2.30
1.65
2.03
0.84
8.20
2.30
2.07
29.40
1.30
1.94
0.48
3.80
2.37
2.23
1.65
1.95
0.85
8.70
2.30
2.09
29.65
1.27
1.79
0.49
3.70
2.32
2.30
1.65
2.08
0.85
9.30
2.30
2.10
30.15
1.27
1.70
0.50
3.70
2.40
2.30
1.65
2.12
0.85
8.90
2.30
2.17
29.85
1.27
1.70
0.50
3.70
2.53
2.33
1.09
2.13
0.85
9.03
2.43
2.20
29.77
29.11
29.34
29.37
29.70
29.78
30.11
30.63
5.11
5.37
5.57
5.49
5.70
6.05
6.07
6.18
6.38
6.42
6.45
34.51
35.02
35.71
35.35
35.48
35.16
35.41
35.55
36.08
36.20
1.35
1.97
0.47
3.80
2.42
2.60
1.65
2.03
0.85
12.00
2.60
2.07
33.69
1.30
1.94
0.48
3.80
2.37
2.60
1.65
1.95
0.85
12.25
2.60
2.09
33.85
1.27
1.79
0.49
3.70
2.32
2.60
1.65
2.08
0.85
12.25
2.60
2.10
33.70
1.27
1.70
0.50
3.70
2.40
2.60
1.65
2.12
0.85
12.25
2.60
2.17
33.81
1.27
1.70
0.50
3.70
2.53
2.62
1.09
2.13
0.85
12.25
2.66
2.20
33.50
32.71
32.94
32.97
33.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.37
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.55
0.30
0.00
4.19
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.95
0.30
0.00
3.55
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.35
0.30
0.00
3.95
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.29
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.22
0.23
0.00
3.73
3.60
3.60
3.60
3.60
2010
- = no data available
OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries: Algeria, Angola, Ecuador, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Venezuela.
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the International Petroleum Monthly ; and International Energy Agency, Monthly Oil Data
Service, latest monthly release.
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.
Table 3d. World Liquid Fuels Consumption (million barrels per day)
Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy Outlook - June 2011
2010
2011
2012
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23.16
2.19
2.14
18.82
23.40
2.21
2.17
19.01
23.90
2.28
2.12
19.49
23.67
2.26
2.14
19.26
23.50
2.29
2.11
19.09
23.62
2.18
2.22
19.21
23.99
2.29
2.17
19.52
23.85
2.28
2.18
19.38
23.87
2.30
2.23
19.33
23.80
2.21
2.27
19.32
24.12
2.32
2.21
19.58
24.04
2.32
2.22
19.50
6.15
2.51
6.40
2.61
6.39
2.67
6.38
2.65
6.29
2.63
6.55
2.74
6.54
2.80
6.53
2.77
6.50
2.78
6.77
2.89
6.76
2.96
Europe .......................................................................
14.97
14.90
15.62
15.52
14.95
14.78
15.29
15.41
14.96
14.60
4.32
2.92
4.34
2.94
4.49
3.04
4.45
3.00
4.42
2.95
4.47
3.01
4.62
3.10
4.58
3.06
4.50
2.99
6.56
7.30
7.87
7.05
7.15
7.69
8.25
7.43
26.89
8.88
4.79
3.36
26.57
9.31
4.04
3.33
25.96
8.89
4.33
3.05
27.35
9.60
4.54
3.30
28.20
9.65
4.85
3.54
27.51
10.11
3.95
3.41
27.29
10.02
4.33
3.13
Africa ..........................................................................
3.37
3.34
3.25
3.34
3.29
3.24
45.79
39.63
45.09
41.14
46.55
40.92
46.66
41.08
46.29
41.52
85.41
86.23
87.47
87.75
104.79
4.0
105.81
4.5
106.55
4.2
97.58
-6.4
99.82
-1.1
98.69
0.7
2010
2011
2012
23.54
2.24
2.14
19.15
23.74
2.26
2.17
19.30
23.96
2.29
2.23
19.43
6.75
2.93
6.33
2.61
6.48
2.73
6.69
2.89
15.11
15.22
15.25
15.11
14.97
4.55
3.04
4.71
3.14
4.67
3.10
4.40
2.98
4.52
3.03
4.61
3.07
7.55
8.07
8.58
7.83
7.20
7.63
8.01
27.81
9.71
4.65
3.37
29.24
10.32
4.93
3.66
28.32
10.58
4.00
3.52
27.70
10.44
4.03
3.24
28.47
10.34
4.40
3.49
26.69
9.17
4.42
3.26
27.70
9.87
4.44
3.36
28.43
10.42
4.34
3.48
3.20
3.26
3.38
3.33
3.29
3.36
3.32
3.25
3.34
45.07
42.78
46.24
42.94
46.81
42.05
46.81
43.21
45.19
44.26
45.96
44.30
46.64
43.70
46.03
40.70
46.11
42.32
46.15
43.87
87.81
87.85
89.18
88.86
90.02
89.44
90.26
90.34
86.73
88.43
90.02
107.37
3.8
108.21
3.3
109.10
3.1
110.24
3.5
111.42
3.8
112.43
3.9
113.43
4.0
114.43
3.8
115.53
3.7
106.14
4.1
109.75
3.4
113.96
3.8
96.17
0.8
97.30
-0.3
97.00
-2.8
96.43
-2.3
95.88
-0.3
95.65
-1.7
95.73
-1.3
95.79
-0.7
95.84
0.0
98.06
-1.6
96.65
-1.4
95.75
-0.9
- = no data available
FSU = Former Soviet Union
OECD = Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland,
France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Luxembourg, Mexico, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal,
Slovakia, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom, and the United States.
(a) Weighted geometric mean of real indices for various countries with weights equal to each country's share of world oil consumption in the base period. Exchange rate is measured in foreign currency per U.S.
dollar.
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the International Petroleum Monthly ; and International Energy Agency, Monthly Oil Data Service.
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.
Table 4a. U.S. Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Supply, Consumption, and Inventories
Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy Outlook - June 2011
2010
1st
Supply (million barrels per day)
Crude Oil Supply
Domestic Production (a) .........................................
Alaska .................................................................
Federal Gulf of Mexico (b) ...................................
Lower 48 States (excl GOM) ...............................
Crude Oil Net Imports (c) ........................................
SPR Net Withdrawals ............................................
Commercial Inventory Net Withdrawals .................
Crude Oil Adjustment (d) ........................................
Total Crude Oil Input to Refineries ............................
Other Supply
Refinery Processing Gain .......................................
Natural Gas Liquids Production .............................
Renewables and Oxygenate Production (e) ...........
Fuel Ethanol Production ......................................
Petroleum Products Adjustment (f) ........................
Product Net Imports (c) ..........................................
Pentanes Plus .....................................................
Liquefied Petroleum Gas .....................................
Unfinished Oils ....................................................
Other HC/Oxygenates ..........................................
Motor Gasoline Blend Comp. ..............................
Finished Motor Gasoline .....................................
Jet Fuel ................................................................
Distillate Fuel Oil .................................................
Residual Fuel Oil .................................................
Other Oils (g) .......................................................
Product Inventory Net Withdrawals ........................
Total Supply ...............................................................
2nd
2011
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
5.47
0.64
1.70
3.12
8.77
0.00
-0.34
0.08
13.98
5.48
0.58
1.68
3.22
9.71
0.00
-0.08
0.14
15.24
5.49
0.57
1.59
3.34
9.46
0.00
0.03
0.14
15.13
5.61
0.61
1.59
3.41
8.54
0.00
0.31
0.07
14.53
5.57
0.56
1.54
3.47
8.68
0.00
-0.34
0.31
14.23
5.54
0.53
1.52
3.49
9.09
0.00
-0.04
0.05
14.67
5.41
0.48
1.42
3.50
9.56
0.00
0.19
0.04
15.20
5.54
0.54
1.45
3.54
8.91
0.00
0.20
-0.01
14.63
5.55
0.54
1.46
3.54
9.19
0.00
-0.24
0.07
14.56
5.48
0.52
1.38
3.57
9.63
0.00
0.08
0.10
15.27
5.34
0.50
1.22
3.62
9.73
0.00
0.15
0.04
15.26
5.39
0.48
1.20
3.70
9.17
0.00
0.15
-0.01
14.69
5.51
0.60
1.64
3.27
9.12
0.00
-0.02
0.11
14.72
5.51
0.53
1.48
3.50
9.06
0.00
0.01
0.10
14.68
5.44
0.51
1.31
3.61
9.43
0.00
0.03
0.05
14.95
1.02
1.96
0.86
0.83
0.14
0.56
-0.03
0.07
0.53
-0.03
0.60
-0.12
0.02
-0.11
-0.02
-0.35
0.30
18.83
1.06
1.99
0.89
0.84
0.15
0.26
0.00
-0.01
0.58
-0.05
0.75
-0.11
0.00
-0.48
-0.04
-0.38
-0.57
19.01
1.09
1.99
0.91
0.87
0.19
0.41
0.00
-0.02
0.66
-0.07
0.88
-0.12
0.02
-0.55
-0.06
-0.34
-0.22
19.49
1.09
2.06
0.95
0.91
0.20
0.05
0.00
0.03
0.68
-0.05
0.65
-0.30
-0.01
-0.58
0.02
-0.39
0.38
19.26
1.03
2.04
0.95
0.91
0.18
0.05
0.01
0.04
0.62
-0.10
0.65
-0.30
-0.04
-0.44
0.02
-0.39
0.61
19.09
1.02
2.07
0.94
0.89
0.16
0.71
0.00
-0.01
0.71
-0.06
0.94
-0.13
0.02
-0.43
-0.01
-0.32
-0.32
19.25
1.04
2.10
0.94
0.91
0.14
0.40
-0.01
0.02
0.71
-0.08
0.68
-0.02
0.02
-0.48
-0.04
-0.41
-0.28
19.54
1.04
2.10
0.94
0.91
0.13
0.19
-0.01
0.00
0.65
-0.07
0.64
-0.19
0.01
-0.41
-0.02
-0.41
0.35
19.39
1.01
2.07
0.94
0.91
0.13
0.31
-0.01
0.01
0.63
-0.07
0.68
-0.19
0.02
-0.44
-0.01
-0.31
0.31
19.33
1.03
2.07
0.95
0.91
0.13
0.33
-0.01
-0.02
0.64
-0.07
0.72
-0.09
0.02
-0.43
-0.02
-0.42
-0.47
19.32
1.05
2.09
0.95
0.92
0.13
0.37
-0.01
-0.01
0.72
-0.07
0.73
-0.02
0.02
-0.51
-0.06
-0.43
-0.28
19.58
1.05
2.11
0.95
0.92
0.13
0.18
-0.01
-0.01
0.64
-0.07
0.69
-0.20
0.02
-0.38
-0.05
-0.47
0.40
19.50
1.06
2.00
0.90
0.86
0.17
0.32
-0.01
0.02
0.61
-0.05
0.72
-0.16
0.01
-0.43
-0.02
-0.36
-0.03
19.15
1.03
2.08
0.94
0.91
0.15
0.34
0.00
0.01
0.67
-0.08
0.72
-0.16
0.00
-0.44
-0.01
-0.38
0.09
19.32
1.04
2.08
0.95
0.91
0.13
0.30
-0.01
-0.01
0.66
-0.07
0.71
-0.12
0.02
-0.44
-0.04
-0.41
-0.01
19.43
0.08
2.38
0.05
0.07
1.80
0.03
0.10
1.99
0.01
0.08
2.25
-0.01
0.10
2.45
0.06
0.08
1.92
-0.02
0.10
2.01
0.00
0.10
2.24
0.01
0.08
2.39
0.01
0.08
1.91
0.00
0.09
2.02
0.00
0.10
2.26
0.02
0.08
2.10
0.02
0.09
2.15
0.01
0.09
2.14
0.01
8.65
1.39
3.79
0.56
1.92
18.82
9.20
1.44
3.70
0.53
2.24
19.01
9.29
1.47
3.75
0.54
2.34
19.49
8.99
1.40
3.94
0.57
2.04
19.26
8.60
1.36
3.95
0.60
1.96
19.09
9.17
1.45
3.83
0.53
2.24
19.21
9.32
1.48
3.79
0.52
2.30
19.52
9.01
1.43
4.00
0.55
2.03
19.38
8.80
1.42
4.02
0.59
2.02
19.33
9.21
1.47
3.86
0.58
2.22
19.32
9.35
1.49
3.82
0.51
2.30
19.58
9.06
1.45
4.06
0.53
2.02
19.50
9.03
1.42
3.79
0.55
2.14
19.15
9.03
1.43
3.89
0.55
2.14
19.30
9.11
1.46
3.94
0.55
2.14
19.43
................................
9.33
9.97
9.88
8.59
8.74
9.79
9.95
9.09
9.50
9.95
10.10
9.35
9.44
9.40
9.73
355.4
9.4
73.2
86.3
22.0
224.0
81.9
142.1
41.9
146.0
40.6
54.0
1,053
727
2.0
362.7
11.5
121.8
83.4
20.6
214.8
71.8
143.0
44.9
157.9
42.3
52.2
1,112
727
2.0
360.1
11.9
141.2
82.3
18.9
219.3
70.2
149.1
46.8
166.7
39.8
43.2
1,130
727
2.0
332.0
12.5
108.8
80.8
19.4
219.5
63.4
156.1
43.2
164.5
41.3
45.1
1,067
727
2.0
362.6
10.8
68.7
87.4
23.2
214.9
60.8
154.1
40.0
148.5
37.1
49.6
1,043
727
0.0
366.2
13.0
109.0
82.8
21.3
213.4
59.0
154.4
39.9
145.0
37.6
47.1
1,075
727
0.0
348.4
14.4
140.5
83.6
21.4
205.2
56.0
149.1
41.3
151.5
37.4
40.0
1,084
727
1.5
329.9
12.2
107.4
80.2
20.8
212.2
59.6
152.6
40.1
149.8
38.4
41.6
1,033
727
2.0
351.4
12.1
75.4
89.6
22.7
212.8
57.9
154.9
40.7
131.3
38.4
51.4
1,026
727
2.0
344.4
14.2
115.2
85.8
21.8
210.7
62.0
148.7
41.6
141.0
37.6
49.0
1,061
727
2.0
331.0
15.4
141.6
84.8
22.3
207.5
59.9
147.6
42.8
148.7
37.2
42.0
1,073
727
2.0
317.5
13.1
106.6
79.3
21.8
216.1
61.0
155.0
40.5
147.7
38.0
43.0
1,024
727
2.0
332.0
12.5
108.8
80.8
19.4
219.5
63.4
156.1
43.2
164.5
41.3
45.1
1,067
727
2.0
329.9
12.2
107.4
80.2
20.8
212.2
59.6
152.6
40.1
149.8
38.4
41.6
1,033
727
2.0
317.5
13.1
106.6
79.3
21.8
216.1
61.0
155.0
40.5
147.7
38.0
43.0
1,024
727
2.0
- = no data available
(a) Includes lease condensate.
(b) Crude oil production from U.S. Federal leases in the Gulf of Mexico (GOM).
(c) Net imports equals gross imports minus gross exports.
(d) Crude oil adjustment balances supply and consumption and was previously referred to as "Unaccounted for Crude Oil."
(e) Renewables and oxygenate production includes pentanes plus, oxygenates (excluding fuel ethanol), and renewable fuels.
(f) Petroleum products adjustment includes hydrogen/oxygenates/renewables/other hydrocarbons, motor gasoline blend components, and finished motor gasoline.
(g) "Other Oils" inludes aviation gasoline blend components, finished aviation gasoline, kerosene, petrochemical feedstocks, special naphthas, lubricants, waxes, petroleum coke, asphalt and road oil, still
gas, and miscellaneous products.
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
SPR: Strategic Petroleum Reserve
HC: Hydrocarbons
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports: Petroleum Supply Monthly , DOE/EIA-0109;
Petroleum Supply Annual , DOE/EIA-0340/2; and Weekly Petroleum Status Report , DOE/EIA-0208.
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.
Table 4b. U.S. Petroleum Refinery Balance (Million Barrels per Day, Except Utilization Factor)
Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy Outlook - June 2011
2010
1st
2nd
2011
3rd
4th
2012
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
13.98
0.14
0.30
0.87
0.42
0.47
0.00
16.17
15.24
0.15
0.22
0.95
0.58
0.70
0.00
17.86
15.13
0.16
0.23
0.99
0.66
0.85
0.00
18.02
14.53
0.17
0.36
1.01
0.70
0.62
0.00
17.38
14.23
0.17
0.34
0.96
0.48
0.60
0.00
16.78
14.67
0.16
0.25
0.98
0.78
0.88
0.00
17.72
15.20
0.16
0.25
0.96
0.71
0.69
0.00
17.97
14.63
0.17
0.38
0.96
0.68
0.58
0.00
17.40
14.56
0.15
0.31
0.97
0.51
0.62
0.00
17.12
15.27
0.15
0.25
0.99
0.68
0.74
0.00
18.10
15.26
0.16
0.26
0.98
0.74
0.70
0.00
18.09
14.69
0.17
0.38
0.98
0.68
0.59
0.00
17.50
14.72
0.16
0.28
0.96
0.59
0.66
0.00
17.36
14.68
0.17
0.30
0.97
0.66
0.69
0.00
17.47
14.95
0.16
0.30
0.98
0.65
0.66
0.00
17.70
1.02
1.06
1.09
1.09
1.03
1.02
1.04
1.04
1.01
1.03
1.05
1.05
1.06
1.03
1.04
0.57
8.58
1.35
3.69
0.61
2.39
17.19
0.85
9.09
1.47
4.31
0.59
2.60
18.91
0.75
9.35
1.47
4.39
0.57
2.58
19.11
0.44
9.16
1.38
4.50
0.56
2.45
18.47
0.52
8.76
1.37
4.21
0.53
2.41
17.80
0.83
9.17
1.43
4.22
0.55
2.53
18.74
0.77
9.21
1.48
4.36
0.56
2.63
19.01
0.43
9.16
1.40
4.39
0.59
2.47
18.44
0.53
8.90
1.41
4.26
0.60
2.44
18.13
0.83
9.25
1.46
4.39
0.59
2.61
19.13
0.77
9.25
1.49
4.41
0.57
2.65
19.14
0.43
9.20
1.40
4.43
0.59
2.50
18.55
0.65
9.05
1.42
4.23
0.58
2.51
18.43
0.64
9.08
1.42
4.30
0.56
2.51
18.50
0.64
9.15
1.44
4.38
0.58
2.55
18.74
14.32
17.58
0.81
15.65
17.59
0.89
15.62
17.59
0.89
15.05
17.59
0.86
14.69
17.70
0.83
15.06
17.70
0.85
15.54
17.70
0.88
14.99
17.70
0.85
14.90
17.70
0.84
15.59
17.70
0.88
15.60
17.70
0.88
15.06
17.70
0.85
15.16
17.59
0.86
15.07
17.70
0.85
15.29
17.70
0.86
- = no data available
(a) "Other Oils" includes aviation gasoline blend components, finished aviation gasoline, kerosene, petrochemical feedstocks, special naphthas, lubricants, waxes, petroleum coke, asphalt and road oil, still
gas, and miscellaneous products.
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports: Petroleum Supply Monthly, DOE/EIA-0109;
Petroleum Supply Annual, DOE/EIA-0340/2; Weekly Petroleum Status Report , DOE/EIA-0208.
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.
2nd
2012
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
299
2nd
309
3rd
304
4th
2010
295
Year
2011
2012
217
294
302
361
358
349
352
386
362
367
370
370
360
370
402
374
379
368
367
357
375
400
372
377
358
354
346
358
385
360
365
275
274
264
277
303
278
283
358
357
346
352
383
360
365
364
362
353
364
393
367
372
59.9
48.9
72.5
6.4
27.2
214.8
55.3
52.5
73.9
6.5
31.1
219.3
52.7
49.1
78.4
7.0
32.3
219.5
55.0
50.5
70.3
6.5
32.7
214.9
54.3
48.7
71.7
6.8
32.0
213.4
52.4
48.7
66.9
6.6
30.5
205.2
55.5
49.4
69.1
7.0
31.4
212.2
55.1
50.2
70.5
6.6
30.4
212.8
55.3
50.0
69.5
6.3
29.6
210.7
52.8
50.3
69.0
6.5
28.9
207.5
56.0
51.0
71.7
7.0
30.3
216.1
52.7
49.1
78.4
7.0
32.3
219.5
55.5
49.4
69.1
7.0
31.4
212.2
56.0
51.0
71.7
7.0
30.3
216.1
13.3
24.3
25.2
4.1
4.9
71.8
10.1
24.8
25.9
4.2
5.3
70.2
8.9
23.0
22.7
4.7
4.2
63.4
7.9
24.0
20.7
4.3
3.9
60.8
9.6
22.8
17.7
4.5
4.3
59.0
9.3
22.6
16.1
4.4
3.7
56.0
11.0
23.5
18.2
4.5
2.4
59.6
9.3
22.9
18.0
4.4
3.4
57.9
10.5
23.2
20.3
4.3
3.7
62.0
9.1
23.1
20.1
4.3
3.4
59.9
10.5
23.5
20.6
4.5
2.0
61.0
8.9
23.0
22.7
4.7
4.2
63.4
11.0
23.5
18.2
4.5
2.4
59.6
10.5
23.5
20.6
4.5
2.0
61.0
46.6
24.6
47.3
2.2
22.2
143.0
45.3
27.8
48.0
2.3
25.8
149.1
43.8
26.2
55.6
2.3
28.1
156.1
47.1
26.4
49.7
2.2
28.8
154.1
44.6
25.9
54.0
2.2
27.7
154.4
43.1
26.2
50.8
2.3
26.8
149.1
44.5
25.9
50.8
2.4
29.0
152.6
45.8
27.3
52.6
2.2
27.0
154.9
44.8
26.8
49.2
2.0
25.9
148.7
43.7
27.2
49.0
2.2
25.6
147.6
45.6
27.6
51.1
2.5
28.3
155.0
43.8
26.2
55.6
2.3
28.1
156.1
44.5
25.9
50.8
2.4
29.0
152.6
45.6
27.6
51.1
2.5
28.3
155.0
- = no data available
Prices are not adjusted for inflation.
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
Regions refer to Petroleum Administration for Defense Districts (PADD).
See Petroleum for Administration Defense District in EIAs Energy Glossary (http://www.eia.doe.gov/glossary/index.html) for a list of States in each region.
Historical data : Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports: Petroleum Marketing Monthly , DOE/EIA-0380;
Petroleum Supply Monthly , DOE/EIA-0109; Petroleum Supply Annual , DOE/EIA-0340/2; and Weekly Petroleum Status Report , DOE/EIA-0208.
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.
Table 4d. U.S. Regional Heating Oil Prices and Distillate Inventories
Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy Outlook - June 2011
2010
1st
2nd
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
Outlook
2012
2nd
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
Outlook
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
2011
2012
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
60.59
1.16
6.67
52.77
57.93
11.41
9.86
1.55
3.12
8.29
0.20
16.26
82.67
0.75
83.41
61.27
0.98
6.22
54.07
58.56
9.65
8.44
1.22
2.77
6.89
0.16
-11.94
53.67
0.75
54.42
61.97
0.89
5.94
55.14
59.28
9.93
8.99
0.94
2.71
7.22
0.19
-8.22
58.47
-0.53
57.93
63.46
1.11
5.82
56.54
60.66
9.97
8.95
1.02
3.85
6.12
0.19
4.08
71.05
-2.10
68.95
63.72
1.12
5.60
57.00
60.95
11.10
9.87
1.23
4.39
6.71
0.20
16.97
84.83
-1.06
83.78
65.48
1.03
5.64
58.82
62.62
8.96
7.93
1.03
3.92
5.04
0.16
-11.09
56.73
-1.05
55.68
64.68
0.94
5.19
58.54
61.85
9.51
8.62
0.88
3.81
5.70
0.17
-10.93
56.79
1.05
57.84
64.56
1.07
5.42
58.07
61.73
9.19
8.32
0.87
4.11
5.08
0.19
4.45
71.45
-0.26
71.19
64.58
1.14
5.52
57.92
61.75
10.22
9.33
0.89
4.22
6.00
0.19
15.16
83.10
0.29
83.39
64.37
0.94
5.40
58.04
61.56
8.86
7.86
1.00
3.82
5.04
0.16
-10.90
55.86
-0.09
55.77
64.44
0.97
5.10
58.37
61.62
9.34
8.35
0.99
3.80
5.55
0.17
-9.23
58.11
0.44
58.55
65.04
1.09
5.21
58.75
62.19
8.80
7.90
0.90
3.86
4.94
0.19
4.25
71.57
-0.28
71.29
61.83
1.03
6.16
54.64
59.12
10.24
9.06
1.18
3.11
7.12
0.18
-0.01
66.41
-0.29
66.12
64.61
1.04
5.46
58.11
61.79
9.68
8.68
1.00
4.05
5.63
0.18
-0.21
67.38
-0.32
67.06
64.61
1.03
5.31
58.27
61.78
9.31
8.36
0.95
3.92
5.38
0.18
-0.19
67.15
0.09
67.24
7.33
5.73
17.12
19.11
3.62
1.43
0.09
54.42
3.76
4.24
17.01
27.66
3.66
1.52
0.09
57.93
16.70
10.45
18.53
17.62
3.75
1.81
0.09
68.95
26.17
14.66
20.23
16.67
3.76
2.19
0.09
83.78
7.50
5.81
17.79
19.06
3.87
1.57
0.09
55.68
3.66
3.96
17.45
27.28
3.82
1.59
0.09
57.84
17.64
10.55
19.14
18.09
3.81
1.86
0.09
71.19
25.11
14.12
20.65
17.31
3.81
2.30
0.09
83.39
6.93
5.48
18.07
19.85
3.80
1.56
0.09
55.77
3.67
3.95
17.76
27.70
3.80
1.57
0.09
58.55
17.58
10.58
19.34
18.00
3.84
1.86
0.09
71.29
13.57
8.78
18.08
20.21
3.65
1.73
0.09
66.12
13.69
8.72
18.65
20.30
3.81
1.80
0.09
67.06
13.31
8.53
18.95
20.73
3.81
1.82
0.09
67.24
2,741
962
1,330
450
3,500
1,092
1,913
495
3,107
1,077
1,591
439
1,581
739
622
220
2,590
1,021
1,213
356
3,595
1,181
1,941
473
3,186
1,101
1,683
402
1,807
781
762
265
2,798
1,026
1,366
407
3,647
1,139
2,018
490
3,256
1,082
1,733
440
3,107
1,077
1,591
439
3,186
1,101
1,683
402
3,256
1,082
1,733
440
2010
Year
2011
1st
2012
- = no data available
(a) Marketed production from U.S. Federal leases in the Gulf of Mexico.
(b) The balancing item represents the difference between the sum of the components of natural gas supply and the sum of components of natural gas demand.
(c) Natural gas used for electricity generation and (a limited amount of) useful thermal output by electric utilities and independent power producers.
(d) For a list of States in each inventory region refer toMethodology for EIA Weekly Underground Natural Gas Storage Estimates (http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/oog/info/ngs/methodology.html).
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
LNG: liquefied natural gas.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports:Natural Gas Monthly , DOE/EIA-0130; and Electric Power Monthly ,
DOE/EIA-0226.
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.
Table 5b. U.S. Regional Natural Gas Prices (dollars per thousand cubic feet)
Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy Outlook - June 2011
2010
1st
Wholesale/Spot
U.S. Average Wellhead ......
Henry Hub Spot Price ........
Residential
New England .....................
Middle Atlantic ...................
E. N. Central ......................
W. N. Central .....................
S. Atlantic ..........................
E. S. Central ......................
W. S. Central .....................
Mountain ............................
Pacific ................................
U.S. Average ..................
Commercial
New England .....................
Middle Atlantic ...................
E. N. Central ......................
W. N. Central .....................
S. Atlantic ..........................
E. S. Central ......................
W. S. Central .....................
Mountain ............................
Pacific ................................
U.S. Average ..................
Industrial
New England .....................
Middle Atlantic ...................
E. N. Central ......................
W. N. Central .....................
S. Atlantic ..........................
E. S. Central ......................
W. S. Central .....................
Mountain ............................
Pacific ................................
U.S. Average ..................
2nd
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
4.79
5.30
4.07
4.45
4.11
4.41
3.67
3.91
3.99
4.31
3.94
4.38
3.98
4.24
4.28
4.59
4.35
4.80
4.06
4.40
4.23
4.60
4.57
5.08
4.15
4.52
4.05
4.38
4.30
4.72
14.33
12.79
9.54
9.09
12.61
10.50
9.72
9.24
10.43
10.59
15.56
15.17
12.24
11.89
18.74
14.81
13.93
9.83
10.47
12.54
17.74
18.46
16.66
16.50
24.07
17.75
18.19
13.03
11.10
15.47
14.29
12.74
9.37
9.34
12.28
10.73
10.22
9.25
9.89
10.56
13.99
11.90
8.88
8.84
11.98
9.91
8.60
8.87
9.98
9.98
15.15
14.17
11.10
11.03
17.29
13.84
13.64
9.27
9.79
12.00
17.58
18.31
16.46
17.15
24.48
18.20
18.46
12.62
10.36
15.98
15.08
14.42
10.84
10.10
15.58
12.84
11.48
9.42
10.35
12.11
14.63
13.23
9.88
9.14
13.65
12.15
10.37
8.45
10.53
11.08
15.53
14.58
11.81
11.70
18.08
15.14
14.42
9.41
10.38
12.66
18.44
18.67
17.20
18.01
25.07
19.43
19.41
13.31
11.08
16.64
15.79
14.78
11.35
10.70
16.25
13.86
12.27
10.01
10.91
12.66
14.78
13.46
10.24
9.91
13.71
11.33
10.94
9.63
10.37
11.18
14.77
13.38
10.20
9.97
14.51
11.61
10.76
9.40
10.09
11.35
15.39
14.24
11.01
10.43
15.71
13.35
12.10
9.44
10.67
12.19
11.68
10.76
8.85
8.36
10.53
9.42
8.48
8.33
9.48
9.30
11.68
9.77
9.24
8.38
10.74
10.12
9.06
8.11
8.97
9.25
11.45
9.51
9.67
9.54
10.74
10.23
9.17
8.89
9.21
9.63
11.01
9.70
8.14
7.70
9.50
9.08
7.62
8.12
9.10
8.66
11.15
9.80
8.18
7.92
9.75
8.80
7.34
7.99
9.15
8.66
11.68
9.54
8.76
7.98
10.22
9.82
8.21
7.69
8.69
9.04
11.71
9.70
9.43
9.38
10.80
10.57
9.18
8.44
8.68
9.63
12.25
11.02
9.04
8.25
11.11
10.77
9.09
8.49
9.44
9.83
12.34
10.83
9.08
8.39
10.93
10.28
8.55
8.38
9.40
9.71
12.38
10.38
9.47
8.50
11.24
10.72
8.86
8.29
8.72
9.73
12.33
10.26
9.89
10.01
11.60
11.14
9.69
9.21
8.96
10.19
12.70
11.34
9.49
8.63
11.70
11.31
9.58
9.01
9.76
10.27
11.47
10.15
8.76
8.28
10.28
9.51
8.48
8.29
9.21
9.14
11.59
10.07
8.62
8.13
10.35
9.66
8.22
8.13
9.05
9.18
12.44
10.82
9.32
8.60
11.29
10.70
9.02
8.63
9.28
9.94
11.41
10.04
7.98
6.73
7.61
7.21
5.58
7.32
7.77
6.51
9.74
9.01
7.01
5.65
6.14
5.64
4.36
6.36
7.01
4.98
9.07
9.01
6.96
5.59
6.28
5.61
4.59
6.59
7.01
5.07
10.21
9.54
6.88
5.74
6.09
5.44
3.98
6.40
6.92
4.89
10.67
9.58
7.39
6.28
6.52
5.83
4.24
6.81
7.23
5.40
10.54
8.48
7.12
5.27
6.79
6.05
4.59
6.20
6.10
5.23
10.30
8.56
7.17
5.16
7.06
6.37
4.68
6.68
6.19
5.25
11.40
10.28
7.45
6.04
7.75
7.25
4.80
7.71
7.61
5.87
12.42
10.52
7.98
6.68
7.79
7.60
4.91
7.99
8.12
6.25
11.43
8.90
7.35
5.43
6.90
6.33
4.77
6.88
6.81
5.44
10.85
8.79
7.48
5.54
7.46
6.69
4.91
7.26
6.65
5.51
12.24
10.82
7.95
6.44
8.25
7.53
5.11
8.25
8.16
6.22
10.37
9.60
7.38
6.01
6.61
6.06
4.62
6.72
7.21
5.40
10.80
9.38
7.33
5.72
7.05
6.39
4.58
6.89
6.83
5.44
11.91
10.04
7.79
6.10
7.62
7.08
4.92
7.68
7.52
5.87
- = no data available
Prices are not adjusted for inflation.
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
Regions refer to U.S. Census divisions.
See "Census division" in EIAs Energy Glossary (http://www.eia.doe.gov/glossary/index.html) for a list of States in each region.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the Natural Gas Monthly , DOE/EIA-0130.
Natural gas Henry Hub spot price from Reuter's News Service (http://www.reuters.com).
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
2012
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
265.3
84.4
37.7
143.3
-2.4
4.8
17.8
14.2
3.6
249.9
265.1
84.4
37.8
142.8
1.5
5.1
22.0
15.6
6.4
249.7
278.2
83.5
41.4
153.3
6.2
4.7
21.1
13.0
8.0
268.0
276.6
83.8
40.7
152.1
0.3
4.8
20.9
13.3
7.6
260.8
271.2
87.5
38.8
145.0
4.8
3.4
26.6
17.2
9.5
252.8
263.4
85.7
38.8
138.9
-1.7
4.2
26.8
18.2
8.6
253.7
274.8
83.8
36.8
154.2
1.0
5.1
22.4
15.3
7.1
258.5
275.4
84.7
37.5
153.2
1.2
4.8
22.0
15.0
7.0
259.3
283.6
84.8
40.3
158.5
-4.6
4.5
18.7
14.5
4.1
264.9
269.7
83.1
38.6
148.1
0.5
4.4
22.3
15.3
7.0
252.3
280.6
86.4
38.0
156.1
3.8
5.2
21.6
13.5
8.1
267.9
278.0
85.9
38.2
153.9
-0.2
4.8
20.7
13.7
7.0
261.8
1085.3
336.1
157.6
591.6
5.6
19.4
81.7
56.1
25.6
1028.5
1084.7
341.6
151.9
591.3
5.2
17.5
97.7
65.6
32.1
1024.3
1111.9
340.2
155.1
616.6
-0.5
18.9
83.3
57.1
26.2
1047.0
13.1
3.1
266.1
-3.8
3.3
249.1
18.1
3.2
289.4
-12.5
3.2
251.6
9.4
3.2
265.4
-11.4
3.2
245.5
13.1
3.2
274.8
-4.5
3.2
258.0
6.9
3.2
275.0
-10.3
3.2
245.2
12.3
3.2
283.4
-4.6
3.2
260.4
14.9
12.7
1056.1
6.6
12.7
1043.6
4.3
12.8
1064.0
4.9
246.3
13.4
1.0
12.4
264.6
5.4
229.8
12.3
0.6
11.7
247.4
5.5
267.9
12.8
0.6
12.1
286.1
5.4
231.6
13.2
0.8
12.4
250.1
5.4
235.1
13.0
1.1
11.9
253.9
5.1
228.5
11.9
0.6
11.2
245.5
6.0
257.2
11.6
0.6
11.0
274.8
5.7
240.2
12.0
0.9
11.2
258.0
6.5
256.0
12.5
1.0
11.4
275.0
6.3
227.1
11.8
0.8
11.0
245.2
7.0
264.6
11.9
0.8
11.0
283.4
6.5
241.2
12.7
1.2
11.5
260.4
21.1
975.6
51.6
3.1
48.5
1048.3
22.2
961.0
48.5
3.1
45.3
1032.1
26.3
988.9
48.9
3.9
44.9
1064.0
1.5
1.7
3.2
1.4
11.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
7.8
11.5
0.0
48.7
187.8
181.1
4.3
2.0
42.4
169.7
162.8
4.5
1.9
42.2
182.2
175.2
4.5
1.9
37.3
172.8
166.8
3.8
1.6
39.1
184.2
177.5
4.1
2.0
38.1
171.1
163.9
4.7
2.0
36.9
175.6
168.1
5.0
2.0
41.5
168.7
162.1
4.3
1.8
41.0
179.0
171.7
4.6
2.2
37.2
166.7
158.8
5.2
2.1
37.4
171.3
163.1
5.5
2.2
42.2
182.2
175.2
4.5
1.9
36.9
175.6
168.1
5.0
2.0
37.4
171.3
163.1
5.5
2.2
5.58
5.58
5.59
5.60
5.57
5.57
5.57
5.57
5.70
5.70
5.70
5.70
5.59
5.57
5.70
0.234
0.253
0.245
0.237
0.257
0.263
0.272
0.257
0.267
0.281
0.273
0.256
0.242
0.262
0.269
2.26
2.26
2.28
2.25
2.35
2.29
2.26
2.21
2.29
2.27
2.25
2.22
2.26
2.28
2.26
Discrepancy (c)
- = no data available
(a) Waste coal includes waste coal and cloal slurry reprocessed into briquettes.
(b) Coal used for electricity generation and (a limited amount of) useful thermal output by electric utilities and independent power producers.
(c) The discrepancy reflects an unaccounted-for shipper and receiver reporting difference, assumed to be zero in the forecast period.
(d) Primary stocks are held at the mines and distribution points.
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
Historical data : Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports: Quarterly Coal Report , DOE/EIA-0121; and Electric Power Monthly ,
DOE/EIA-0226.
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.
2011
2012
2010
Year
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2012
12.65
12.22
0.40
0.02
0.06
12.71
0.70
10.58
10.19
0.37
0.02
0.04
10.62
0.70
11.02
10.64
0.36
0.02
0.08
11.10
0.50
10.89
10.50
0.37
0.02
0.09
10.98
0.85
12.44
12.00
0.41
0.02
0.11
12.55
0.74
10.66
10.25
0.39
0.02
0.08
10.74
0.70
11.32
10.89
0.41
0.02
0.08
11.41
0.55
11.10
10.69
0.39
0.02
0.08
11.18
0.87
12.69
12.24
0.42
0.02
0.11
12.80
0.76
10.85
10.43
0.40
0.02
0.07
10.93
0.70
11.29
10.88
0.38
0.02
0.07
11.36
0.72
11.26
10.85
0.38
0.02
0.09
11.35
0.70
11.49
11.07
0.41
0.02
0.09
11.58
0.72
11.62
4.74
4.09
2.76
0.02
0.39
12.01
9.56
3.48
3.45
2.61
0.02
0.36
9.92
10.25
4.15
3.46
2.62
0.02
0.35
10.60
9.78
3.40
3.59
2.76
0.02
0.35
10.13
11.42
4.48
4.06
2.85
0.02
0.39
11.81
9.67
3.47
3.50
2.68
0.02
0.37
10.04
10.47
4.20
3.51
2.73
0.02
0.39
10.86
9.94
3.44
3.65
2.83
0.02
0.37
10.31
11.63
4.57
4.12
2.92
0.02
0.40
12.03
9.84
3.52
3.55
2.75
0.02
0.38
10.23
10.27
3.97
3.64
2.64
0.02
0.37
10.64
10.28
3.88
3.65
2.73
0.02
0.37
10.65
10.47
3.93
3.71
2.81
0.02
0.39
10.86
2.28
4.88
12.36
16.18
2.25
4.69
14.19
17.94
2.35
5.05
15.58
20.82
2.29
4.88
17.55
23.34
2.26
5.02
17.80
23.39
2.21
5.28
18.03
23.74
2.29
5.51
18.30
23.66
2.27
5.09
18.32
23.47
2.25
5.29
18.21
23.67
2.22
5.63
18.13
23.88
2.26
5.08
12.63
16.60
2.28
5.05
17.40
22.74
2.26
5.36
18.25
23.67
12.02
10.71
7.17
11.50
10.06
6.67
11.25
10.02
6.67
12.06
10.42
6.76
12.32
10.90
7.15
11.65
10.22
6.68
11.11
10.02
6.56
12.11
10.46
6.79
12.37
10.96
7.20
11.75
10.29
6.73
11.58
10.26
6.79
11.83
10.41
6.82
11.84
10.46
6.83
- = no data available
Prices are not adjusted for inflation.
(a) Electric utilities and independent power producers.
(b) Includes transmission and distribution losses, data collection time-frame differences, and estimation error.
(c) Direct Use represents commercial and industrial facility use of onsite net electricity generation; and electrical sales or transfers to adjacent or colocated facilities
for which revenue information is not available. See Table 7.6 of the EIA Monthly Energy Review .
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports: Electric Power Monthly , DOE/EIA-0226; and Electric Power
Annual , DOE/EIA-0348.
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.
Table 7b. U.S. Regional Electricity Retail Sales (Million Kilowatthours per Day)
Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy Outlook - June 2011
2010
1st
Residential Sector
New England ...............
Middle Atlantic .............
E. N. Central ................
W. N. Central ...............
S. Atlantic .....................
E. S. Central ................
W. S. Central ...............
Mountain ......................
Pacific contiguous .......
AK and HI .....................
Total ..........................
Commercial Sector
New England ...............
Middle Atlantic .............
E. N. Central ................
W. N. Central ...............
S. Atlantic .....................
E. S. Central ................
W. S. Central ...............
Mountain ......................
Pacific contiguous .......
AK and HI .....................
Total ..........................
Industrial Sector
New England ...............
Middle Atlantic .............
E. N. Central ................
W. N. Central ...............
S. Atlantic .....................
E. S. Central ................
W. S. Central ...............
Mountain ......................
Pacific contiguous .......
AK and HI .....................
Total ..........................
Total All Sectors (a)
New England ...............
Middle Atlantic .............
E. N. Central ................
W. N. Central ...............
S. Atlantic .....................
E. S. Central ................
W. S. Central ...............
Mountain ......................
Pacific contiguous .......
AK and HI .....................
Total ..........................
2nd
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
141
394
579
337
1,129
405
595
243
424
15
4,261
114
326
456
250
878
291
514
227
346
13
3,414
150
444
639
350
1,232
428
771
325
391
13
4,742
122
335
481
261
891
294
467
225
390
15
3,482
145
405
578
332
1,043
373
574
247
439
15
4,152
114
322
450
255
868
277
528
227
349
14
3,403
143
414
583
330
1,148
398
734
326
391
14
4,480
123
335
485
269
870
286
475
227
384
15
3,468
144
405
576
337
1,068
382
586
251
438
15
4,202
116
324
454
258
877
289
520
237
355
14
3,443
143
415
589
335
1,176
407
750
336
400
14
4,566
125
342
494
275
883
293
475
232
389
15
3,523
132
375
539
300
1,032
354
587
255
388
14
3,975
131
369
524
296
982
333
578
257
390
14
3,876
132
372
528
302
1,001
343
583
264
396
14
3,934
123
443
490
266
792
220
442
234
420
17
3,447
120
434
491
267
852
228
479
251
432
16
3,571
137
506
555
302
965
271
578
285
478
17
4,092
119
425
481
261
804
213
450
241
442
17
3,453
123
435
502
268
788
216
448
237
423
18
3,456
122
433
496
269
856
227
485
256
433
17
3,594
137
494
546
302
965
264
565
289
483
17
4,063
121
429
485
266
821
214
457
247
440
17
3,497
128
450
500
271
815
217
445
243
428
18
3,514
123
437
501
273
873
229
494
262
438
17
3,646
138
498
552
306
984
267
576
295
489
18
4,122
122
433
490
269
837
216
465
252
445
18
3,548
125
452
504
274
853
233
487
253
443
17
3,642
126
448
507
276
858
231
489
258
445
17
3,654
128
455
511
280
877
232
495
263
450
17
3,708
76
178
523
222
360
336
397
195
214
13
2,514
77
186
544
235
397
334
432
209
228
14
2,655
83
192
551
245
406
334
464
232
245
14
2,765
76
181
534
233
379
334
421
207
229
14
2,607
75
195
543
233
377
343
422
204
219
14
2,624
80
197
560
242
410
339
459
223
236
14
2,761
83
203
568
254
416
342
477
239
254
15
2,850
79
191
545
244
389
346
437
212
228
14
2,685
78
197
565
243
394
359
441
211
228
13
2,731
80
202
572
249
417
356
469
231
238
14
2,829
83
208
580
262
423
358
487
247
256
15
2,920
79
196
557
250
395
363
446
219
230
14
2,751
78
184
538
234
385
334
429
211
229
14
2,636
79
197
554
243
398
343
449
220
235
14
2,731
80
200
569
251
407
359
461
227
238
14
2,808
342
1,027
1,594
825
2,286
960
1,433
672
1,061
45
10,246
312
957
1,492
752
2,130
854
1,425
687
1,008
43
9,660
371
1,152
1,746
897
2,606
1,032
1,813
842
1,117
44
11,620
318
952
1,498
755
2,078
842
1,338
673
1,063
45
9,562
345
1,046
1,625
832
2,212
932
1,444
688
1,084
47
10,254
317
963
1,507
766
2,138
843
1,472
707
1,020
44
9,779
364
1,123
1,699
887
2,532
1,004
1,776
854
1,131
45
11,416
325
968
1,516
779
2,083
846
1,368
687
1,054
46
9,672
352
1,065
1,642
851
2,280
958
1,472
705
1,097
46
10,470
321
974
1,529
780
2,171
874
1,484
730
1,033
44
9,940
366
1,135
1,722
903
2,587
1,032
1,813
878
1,148
46
11,631
328
983
1,542
795
2,119
872
1,386
704
1,066
47
9,844
336
1,022
1,583
808
2,275
922
1,503
719
1,063
45
10,274
338
1,025
1,587
816
2,242
907
1,516
734
1,072
46
10,282
342
1,039
1,609
833
2,290
934
1,539
754
1,086
46
10,473
- = no data available
(a) Total retail sales to all sectors includes residential, commercial, industrial, and transportation sector sales.
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
Retail Sales represents total retail electricity sales by electric utilities and power marketers.
Regions refer to U.S. Census divisions.
See "Census division" in EIAs Energy Glossary (http://www.eia.doe.gov/glossary/index.html) for a list of States in each region.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports: Electric Power Monthly , DOE/EIA-0226; and Electric Power
Annual , DOE/EIA-0348.
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.
2nd
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
16.56
14.82
10.50
8.33
10.46
8.81
10.28
9.71
12.03
10.88
16.60
16.16
11.88
10.08
11.31
9.90
11.00
10.83
12.47
11.90
16.46
16.65
11.82
10.61
11.42
10.02
10.79
11.22
13.37
12.02
16.43
15.39
11.38
9.45
10.94
10.05
10.46
9.97
12.20
11.50
15.99
15.21
11.03
9.06
10.87
9.77
10.08
9.76
12.03
11.25
16.33
16.53
12.05
10.34
11.42
10.57
10.89
10.84
12.57
12.06
16.28
17.32
12.05
10.86
11.68
10.35
11.03
11.24
13.87
12.32
16.31
15.65
11.52
9.52
11.18
10.15
10.48
10.23
12.26
11.65
16.43
15.24
10.92
8.90
10.55
9.32
10.15
9.81
11.99
11.11
16.62
16.73
12.10
10.45
11.42
10.31
11.00
10.99
12.63
12.11
16.71
17.56
12.11
10.97
11.71
10.21
11.06
11.39
13.89
12.37
16.68
15.89
11.57
9.61
11.27
10.08
10.55
10.38
12.32
11.75
16.51
15.79
11.39
9.61
11.03
9.66
10.64
10.50
12.51
11.58
16.22
16.20
11.65
9.95
11.30
10.19
10.65
10.57
12.67
11.83
16.61
16.36
11.66
9.97
11.24
9.96
10.71
10.70
12.70
11.84
15.27
13.23
9.17
7.08
9.13
8.86
8.95
8.20
10.78
9.87
14.71
13.93
9.51
7.93
9.33
9.33
8.80
9.04
12.20
10.30
15.33
14.60
9.59
8.60
9.42
9.54
8.74
9.25
14.05
10.71
14.46
13.43
9.28
7.58
9.35
9.75
8.53
8.40
11.40
10.06
14.38
13.26
9.33
7.60
9.46
9.67
8.59
8.31
10.98
10.02
14.36
14.01
9.54
8.36
9.51
9.65
8.76
8.97
12.39
10.42
15.02
15.05
9.68
8.86
9.68
9.60
8.88
9.20
14.16
10.90
14.56
13.46
9.41
7.70
9.57
9.57
8.51
8.63
11.94
10.22
14.68
13.28
9.26
7.50
9.29
9.38
8.71
8.30
11.16
10.02
14.68
14.20
9.56
8.31
9.47
9.65
8.78
9.00
12.57
10.46
15.32
15.24
9.71
8.86
9.69
9.74
8.90
9.24
14.28
10.96
14.79
13.64
9.45
7.72
9.60
9.73
8.54
8.68
12.06
10.29
14.96
13.83
9.40
7.83
9.31
9.38
8.75
8.76
12.17
10.26
14.60
13.99
9.50
8.15
9.56
9.62
8.70
8.80
12.43
10.41
14.88
14.13
9.50
8.12
9.52
9.63
8.74
8.83
12.58
10.46
12.33
8.50
6.34
5.43
6.45
5.31
6.08
5.69
7.29
6.53
12.91
8.52
6.48
5.74
6.53
5.85
6.00
6.17
7.84
6.75
12.78
8.71
6.71
6.45
7.00
6.33
6.14
6.87
8.73
7.17
12.62
8.30
6.52
5.67
6.54
5.97
5.80
5.65
7.68
6.67
12.71
8.69
6.41
5.79
6.57
5.89
5.83
5.63
7.41
6.67
12.49
8.36
6.48
6.03
6.58
5.98
5.96
6.02
7.72
6.76
12.64
8.68
6.73
6.56
7.01
6.25
6.12
6.67
8.64
7.15
12.46
8.16
6.43
5.70
6.65
5.85
5.82
5.79
7.83
6.68
12.70
8.24
6.28
5.60
6.45
5.65
6.02
5.75
7.29
6.56
12.53
8.43
6.48
5.97
6.59
6.01
6.02
6.19
7.81
6.79
12.66
8.73
6.72
6.57
7.08
6.37
6.17
6.81
8.73
7.20
12.47
8.25
6.43
5.72
6.73
5.95
5.86
5.90
7.92
6.73
12.66
8.51
6.51
5.84
6.64
5.87
6.01
6.13
7.91
6.79
12.57
8.47
6.51
6.03
6.71
5.99
5.94
6.05
7.93
6.82
12.59
8.42
6.48
5.98
6.72
6.00
6.02
6.19
7.96
6.83
15.12
13.01
8.72
7.14
9.37
7.60
8.71
8.02
10.57
9.47
14.92
13.63
9.13
7.96
9.63
8.16
8.74
8.76
11.30
9.89
15.19
14.40
9.50
8.80
9.99
8.70
8.95
9.35
12.64
10.40
14.74
13.13
8.97
7.64
9.52
8.36
8.35
8.08
10.89
9.66
14.65
13.15
8.94
7.67
9.63
8.30
8.36
8.03
10.77
9.66
14.57
13.69
9.15
8.28
9.73
8.47
8.65
8.64
11.36
9.96
14.95
14.72
9.51
8.94
10.15
8.76
9.03
9.27
12.80
10.52
14.68
13.16
9.01
7.71
9.70
8.24
8.34
8.28
11.16
9.75
14.93
13.07
8.81
7.51
9.39
7.96
8.47
8.07
10.68
9.56
14.82
13.82
9.16
8.27
9.71
8.39
8.69
8.76
11.48
9.99
15.23
14.86
9.52
8.98
10.18
8.76
9.06
9.38
12.89
10.57
14.92
13.32
9.04
7.74
9.76
8.27
8.37
8.37
11.25
9.82
15.00
13.58
9.09
7.91
9.64
8.21
8.71
8.60
11.37
9.88
14.72
13.71
9.16
8.17
9.82
8.46
8.62
8.60
11.55
9.99
14.98
13.80
9.14
8.15
9.78
8.35
8.67
8.69
11.60
10.00
- = no data available
Prices are not adjusted for inflation.
(a) Volume-weighted average of retail prices to residential, commercial, industrial, and transportation sectors.
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
Regions refer to U.S. Census divisions.
See "Census division" in EIAs Energy Glossary (http://www.eia.doe.gov/glossary/index.html) for a list of States in each region.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports: Electric Power Monthly , DOE/EIA-0226; and Electric
Power Annual , DOE/EIA-0348.
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.
Table 7d. U.S. Electricity Generation by Fuel and Sector (Billion Kilowatthours per day)
Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy Outlook - June 2011
2010
Electric Power Sector (a)
Coal .............................................
Natural Gas ..................................
Other Gases ................................
Petroleum ....................................
Residual Fuel Oil .......................
Distillate Fuel Oil .......................
Petroleum Coke ........................
Other Petroleum .......................
Nuclear ........................................
Pumped Storage Hydroelectric .....
Other Fuels (b) .............................
Renewables:
Conventional Hydroelectric ........
Geothermal ...............................
Solar .........................................
Wind .........................................
Wood and Wood Waste ............
Other Renewables ....................
Subtotal Electric Power Sector .....
Commercial Sector (c)
Coal .............................................
Natural Gas ..................................
Petroleum ....................................
Other Fuels (b) .............................
Renewables (d) ............................
Subtotal Commercial Sector .........
Industrial Sector (c)
Coal .............................................
Natural Gas ..................................
Other Gases ................................
Petroleum ....................................
Other Fuels (b) .............................
Renewables:
Conventional Hydroelectric ........
Wood and Wood Waste ............
Other Renewables (e) ...............
Subtotal Industrial Sector .............
Total All Sectors ...........................
2011
2nd
2012
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
5.227
2.134
0.011
0.096
0.039
0.018
0.034
0.006
2.230
-0.016
0.019
4.611
2.403
0.011
0.084
0.035
0.014
0.032
0.003
2.181
-0.015
0.019
5.283
3.368
0.012
0.097
0.043
0.014
0.036
0.004
2.321
-0.018
0.021
4.811
2.224
0.012
0.073
0.027
0.013
0.029
0.003
2.152
-0.017
0.019
5.017
2.461
0.008
0.094
0.039
0.020
0.033
0.002
2.211
-0.011
0.019
4.865
2.474
0.010
0.091
0.036
0.015
0.037
0.003
2.155
-0.016
0.019
4.983
2.534
0.011
0.087
0.036
0.015
0.033
0.004
2.221
-0.016
0.019
0.611
0.044
0.002
0.298
0.029
0.044
10.252
0.727
0.044
0.003
0.345
0.030
0.044
10.894
0.842
0.043
0.008
0.427
0.028
0.046
10.687
0.668
0.044
0.008
0.357
0.033
0.048
12.242
0.639
0.044
0.003
0.392
0.031
0.046
10.430
0.700
0.043
0.004
0.259
0.032
0.044
10.880
0.810
0.050
0.004
0.317
0.029
0.043
10.851
0.719
0.044
0.005
0.380
0.031
0.046
11.065
0.003
0.013
0.000
0.002
0.005
0.023
0.003
0.012
0.000
0.002
0.004
0.022
0.003
0.011
0.000
0.002
0.004
0.022
0.003
0.011
0.000
0.002
0.005
0.022
0.003
0.013
0.000
0.002
0.005
0.024
0.003
0.012
0.000
0.002
0.005
0.022
0.003
0.012
0.000
0.002
0.005
0.023
0.003
0.012
0.000
0.002
0.005
0.022
0.003
0.012
0.000
0.002
0.005
0.023
0.043
0.208
0.022
0.006
0.010
0.046
0.242
0.025
0.007
0.011
0.044
0.227
0.023
0.006
0.010
0.045
0.239
0.024
0.007
0.009
0.042
0.225
0.024
0.007
0.010
0.046
0.250
0.026
0.007
0.011
0.044
0.233
0.024
0.007
0.010
0.051
0.216
0.023
0.006
0.010
0.045
0.220
0.023
0.006
0.010
0.044
0.237
0.024
0.007
0.010
0.005
0.070
0.002
0.366
10.890
0.003
0.076
0.002
0.411
12.438
0.004
0.075
0.002
0.391
10.664
0.006
0.075
0.002
0.407
11.324
0.005
0.074
0.002
0.391
11.101
0.003
0.078
0.002
0.423
12.690
0.004
0.077
0.002
0.401
10.854
0.004
0.072
0.002
0.385
11.288
0.004
0.072
0.002
0.383
11.256
0.005
0.076
0.002
0.406
11.493
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5.181
2.011
0.009
0.094
0.034
0.023
0.034
0.003
2.249
-0.008
0.017
4.750
2.306
0.009
0.095
0.042
0.016
0.034
0.002
2.116
-0.008
0.020
5.450
3.329
0.008
0.111
0.054
0.019
0.035
0.002
2.314
-0.015
0.020
4.688
2.188
0.006
0.078
0.027
0.020
0.028
0.003
2.164
-0.014
0.019
4.883
2.040
0.008
0.082
0.025
0.017
0.037
0.003
2.258
-0.011
0.017
4.620
2.303
0.010
0.095
0.039
0.015
0.037
0.003
2.012
-0.016
0.020
5.147
3.309
0.011
0.108
0.049
0.014
0.041
0.003
2.257
-0.018
0.021
4.807
2.231
0.010
0.080
0.030
0.013
0.033
0.003
2.093
-0.017
0.019
0.697
0.044
0.001
0.235
0.032
0.042
10.605
0.797
0.043
0.005
0.291
0.029
0.045
10.497
0.658
0.042
0.005
0.221
0.034
0.044
12.221
0.647
0.043
0.002
0.290
0.030
0.045
10.187
0.900
0.058
0.003
0.328
0.030
0.042
10.636
0.968
0.053
0.006
0.363
0.026
0.043
10.503
0.765
0.046
0.006
0.278
0.031
0.045
12.004
0.003
0.011
0.000
0.002
0.004
0.022
0.003
0.011
0.000
0.002
0.005
0.022
0.003
0.014
0.000
0.002
0.005
0.025
0.003
0.012
0.000
0.002
0.005
0.022
0.003
0.011
0.000
0.002
0.004
0.022
0.003
0.011
0.000
0.002
0.005
0.021
0.052
0.216
0.022
0.007
0.009
0.047
0.211
0.023
0.007
0.010
0.055
0.228
0.024
0.007
0.011
0.048
0.211
0.022
0.006
0.009
0.049
0.205
0.021
0.006
0.008
0.006
0.072
0.002
0.384
11.011
0.005
0.072
0.002
0.377
10.897
0.003
0.075
0.002
0.404
12.650
0.004
0.072
0.002
0.374
10.583
0.005
0.067
0.002
0.363
11.021
1st
- = no data available
(a) Electric utilities and independent power producers.
(b) "Other" includes non-biogenic municipal solid waste, batteries, chemicals, hydrogen, pitch, purchased steam, sulfur, tires and miscellaneous technologies.
(c) Commercial and industrial sectors include electricity output from combined heat and power (CHP) facilities and some electric-only plants.
(d) "Renewables" in commercial sector includes wood, black liquor, other wood waste, biogenic municipal solid waste, landfill gas, sludge waste, agriculture byproducts, other biomass,
geothermal, solar thermal, photovoltaic energy and wind.
(e) "Other Renewables" in industrial sector includes black liquor, biogenic municipal solid waste, landfill gas, sludge waste, agriculture byproducts, other biomass, geothermal, solar thermal,
photovoltaic energy and wind.
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
Values of 0.000 may indicate positive levels of generation that are less than 0.0005 billion kilowatthours per day.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports:Electric Power Monthly , DOE/EIA-0226; and Electric Power Annual ,
DOE/EIA-0348.
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.
2nd
2011
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
2.72
15.48
0.17
0.06
0.04
0.07
0.01
2.51
18.25
0.17
0.07
0.03
0.07
0.00
2.90
26.72
0.20
0.09
0.04
0.07
0.00
2.51
16.78
0.14
0.04
0.04
0.05
0.01
2.60
15.71
0.15
0.04
0.03
0.07
0.00
2.50
18.20
0.17
0.07
0.03
0.07
0.01
2.79
26.29
0.20
0.08
0.03
0.08
0.01
2.60
17.04
0.15
0.05
0.03
0.07
0.01
2.80
16.18
0.18
0.06
0.03
0.07
0.01
2.49
18.82
0.15
0.06
0.03
0.06
0.01
2.87
26.58
0.18
0.07
0.03
0.07
0.01
2.61
16.90
0.14
0.04
0.03
0.06
0.01
2.66
19.33
0.17
0.07
0.04
0.06
0.00
2.62
19.33
0.17
0.06
0.03
0.07
0.01
2.69
19.63
0.16
0.06
0.03
0.07
0.01
0.00
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.11
0.00
0.00
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.11
0.00
0.00
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.09
0.00
0.02
1.48
0.01
0.02
1.44
0.01
0.02
1.57
0.01
0.02
1.44
0.01
0.02
1.46
0.01
0.02
1.49
0.01
0.02
1.74
0.01
0.02
1.63
0.01
0.02
1.70
0.01
0.02
1.63
0.01
0.02
1.79
0.01
0.02
1.67
0.01
0.02
1.48
0.01
0.02
1.58
0.01
0.02
1.70
0.01
2.75
17.05
0.18
2.53
19.79
0.18
2.93
28.40
0.21
2.53
18.32
0.15
2.62
17.26
0.16
2.52
19.78
0.18
2.80
28.12
0.21
2.62
18.76
0.16
2.82
17.97
0.19
2.50
20.54
0.16
2.88
28.48
0.19
2.63
18.67
0.15
2.68
20.91
0.18
2.64
21.01
0.18
2.71
21.42
0.17
175.2
16.7
17.1
5.4
166.8
15.4
16.6
2.9
177.5
16.6
16.6
3.0
163.9
15.1
16.8
3.0
168.1
15.7
17.0
2.8
162.1
15.7
16.4
2.9
171.7
16.4
16.4
2.9
158.8
14.9
16.5
3.0
163.1
15.2
16.8
2.7
175.2
16.7
17.1
5.4
168.1
15.7
17.0
2.8
163.1
15.2
16.8
2.7
- = no data available
(a) Electric utilities and independent power producers.
(b) Petroleum category may include petroleum coke, which is converted from short tons to barrels by multiplying by 5.
(c) Commercial and industrial sectors include electricity output from combined heat and power (CHP) facilities and some electric-only plants.
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
Physical Units: mmst/d = million short tons per day; mmb/d = million barrels per day; bcf/d = billion cubic feet per day; mmb = million barrels.
Values of 0.00 may indicate positive levels of fuel consumption that are less than 0.005 units per day.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports:Electric Power Monthly , DOE/EIA-0226; and Electric Power
Annual , DOE/EIA-0348.
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.
2nd
2011
3rd
2012
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
0.618
0.053
0.025
0.208
0.490
0.267
0.013
0.110
1.784
0.713
0.053
0.029
0.261
0.491
0.274
0.011
0.115
1.946
0.593
0.053
0.029
0.200
0.508
0.284
0.009
0.114
1.791
0.585
0.054
0.026
0.263
0.497
0.298
0.007
0.115
1.844
0.798
0.070
0.026
0.291
0.474
0.293
0.015
0.107
2.088
0.873
0.117
0.029
0.326
0.474
0.290
0.023
0.113
2.250
0.696
0.103
0.029
0.252
0.515
0.298
0.026
0.120
2.039
0.558
0.100
0.026
0.270
0.508
0.297
0.027
0.117
1.903
0.658
0.099
0.026
0.309
0.508
0.295
0.026
0.115
2.037
0.760
0.097
0.031
0.382
0.499
0.296
0.026
0.122
2.214
0.609
0.100
0.032
0.324
0.528
0.300
0.027
0.127
2.046
0.583
0.100
0.027
0.355
0.520
0.300
0.028
0.122
2.035
2.509
0.212
0.109
0.933
1.986
1.122
0.040
0.454
7.365
2.925
0.391
0.110
1.139
1.971
1.178
0.090
0.457
8.280
2.610
0.396
0.116
1.371
2.055
1.193
0.107
0.485
8.332
0.618
0.038
0.001
0.208
0.048
0.060
0.975
0.715
0.038
0.005
0.261
0.044
0.064
1.127
0.596
0.038
0.005
0.200
0.049
0.063
0.952
0.587
0.039
0.002
0.263
0.046
0.064
1.001
0.798
0.056
0.002
0.291
0.044
0.060
1.266
0.868
0.102
0.005
0.326
0.039
0.061
1.401
0.693
0.088
0.005
0.252
0.046
0.065
1.151
0.554
0.085
0.002
0.270
0.044
0.063
1.019
0.652
0.085
0.002
0.309
0.045
0.063
1.156
0.755
0.082
0.007
0.382
0.041
0.066
1.333
0.606
0.085
0.008
0.324
0.049
0.070
1.141
0.579
0.085
0.003
0.355
0.046
0.067
1.136
2.516
0.153
0.013
0.933
0.189
0.252
4.055
2.913
0.332
0.014
1.139
0.173
0.250
4.837
2.592
0.337
0.020
1.371
0.181
0.266
4.766
0.005
0.001
0.321
0.041
0.372
0.005
0.001
0.324
0.042
0.376
0.003
0.001
0.335
0.042
0.385
0.003
0.001
0.326
0.042
0.378
0.004
0.001
0.308
0.038
0.356
0.005
0.001
0.314
0.043
0.367
0.003
0.001
0.347
0.046
0.401
0.004
0.001
0.343
0.045
0.397
0.005
0.001
0.340
0.044
0.394
0.005
0.001
0.337
0.047
0.395
0.003
0.001
0.357
0.048
0.413
0.004
0.001
0.352
0.046
0.408
0.016
0.004
1.307
0.168
1.511
0.015
0.004
1.312
0.173
1.521
0.017
0.004
1.386
0.185
1.609
0.000
0.005
0.017
0.008
0.031
0.000
0.005
0.018
0.009
0.033
0.000
0.005
0.018
0.008
0.032
0.000
0.005
0.018
0.008
0.032
0.000
0.005
0.018
0.008
0.032
0.000
0.005
0.016
0.009
0.031
0.000
0.005
0.017
0.008
0.031
0.000
0.005
0.017
0.008
0.031
0.000
0.005
0.018
0.008
0.032
0.000
0.005
0.017
0.009
0.032
0.000
0.005
0.018
0.009
0.032
0.000
0.005
0.017
0.008
0.032
0.001
0.019
0.070
0.034
0.127
0.001
0.018
0.068
0.033
0.125
0.001
0.018
0.070
0.034
0.128
0.009
0.104
0.024
0.136
0.009
0.105
0.024
0.138
0.009
0.106
0.024
0.140
0.009
0.106
0.024
0.140
0.009
0.103
0.024
0.136
0.009
0.105
0.024
0.138
0.009
0.105
0.024
0.138
0.009
0.104
0.024
0.137
0.009
0.104
0.024
0.137
0.009
0.104
0.024
0.138
0.009
0.104
0.024
0.137
0.009
0.104
0.024
0.137
0.037
0.420
0.097
0.554
0.036
0.416
0.096
0.549
0.037
0.417
0.096
0.550
0.256
0.012
0.278
0.010
0.288
0.010
0.296
0.008
0.263
0.015
0.284
0.021
0.288
0.024
0.292
0.025
0.283
0.026
0.294
0.026
0.293
0.027
0.297
0.027
1.118
0.040
1.128
0.085
1.167
0.106
1.773
1.949
1.796
1.843
2.062
2.239
2.028
1.897
2.024
2.212
2.039
2.032
7.361
8.226
8.306
- = no data available
(a) Conventional hydroelectric power only. Hydroelectricity generated by pumped storage is not included in renewable energy.
(b) Fuel ethanol and biodiesel supply represents domestic production only. Fuel ethanol and biodiesel consumption in the transportation sector includes production, stock change, and imports
less exports. Some biodiesel may be consumed in the residential s
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
Historical data: Latest data available from EIA databases supporting the following reports: Electric Power Monthly , DOE/EIA-0226 and Renewable Energy Annual , DOE/EIA-0603; Petroleum
Supply Monthly , DOE/EIA-0109.
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.
2011
2012
2010
Year
2011
2012
14,139
13,248
13,603
13,990
10,618
10,668
10,241
10,460
10,587
1,970
2,035
2,107
1,695
1,809
2,009
22.89
17.84
13.44
12.28
18.12
29.99
16.61
123.5
123.6
123.6
123.7
123.8
123.5
123.5
123.8
131.6
132.2
132.8
133.4
133.9
134.5
129.8
131.3
133.7
89.2
89.8
90.3
90.9
91.4
91.8
92.2
87.8
89.5
91.6
93.1
91.1
102.9
90.2
94.1
92.3
103.0
91.2
95.4
94.2
103.7
92.1
96.5
95.6
104.3
92.7
97.3
96.5
104.8
93.1
97.8
97.2
105.4
93.6
98.4
98.1
106.1
94.3
98.9
98.8
106.8
94.9
90.1
87.3
102.3
89.0
94.8
93.3
103.5
91.5
98.1
97.6
105.8
94.0
87.1
98.0
69.1
85.2
79.1
92.4
87.5
89.1
97.2
67.8
89.7
78.3
97.5
88.8
90.3
97.9
67.8
92.0
79.3
99.8
89.8
91.2
98.0
68.1
93.3
80.8
101.6
90.8
91.8
98.0
69.1
93.3
81.5
101.8
91.2
92.3
98.1
70.3
93.7
81.9
101.9
91.5
92.9
98.3
72.1
94.4
82.3
101.9
92.1
93.7
98.6
74.3
95.9
83.2
102.1
92.9
94.2
98.8
76.4
97.1
83.9
102.1
93.6
86.7
96.5
67.6
83.3
77.0
94.0
86.5
90.6
97.8
68.2
92.1
80.0
100.2
90.1
93.3
98.4
73.3
95.3
82.8
102.0
92.6
2.18
2.19
2.22
2.25
2.26
2.27
2.28
2.28
2.30
2.31
2.18
2.25
2.29
1.83
1.82
1.90
1.99
2.02
2.03
2.04
2.04
2.03
2.05
2.07
1.85
2.02
2.05
2.17
2.26
2.20
2.38
2.76
3.13
3.06
3.03
3.05
3.09
3.09
3.06
2.25
3.00
3.07
110.0
110.5
111.1
111.2
111.7
112.6
113.1
113.3
113.7
113.9
114.5
115.1
110.7
112.7
114.3
7,663
8,555
8,523
8,127
7,654
8,573
8,553
8,144
7,855
8,639
8,605
8,212
8,219
8,233
8,328
491
530
546
526
510
530
552
543
538
551
570
562
523
534
555
293
330
341
323
302
329
347
337
320
341
357
354
322
329
343
266.4
282.0
282.2
282.2
298.2
308.3
310.7
315.5
311.1
301.6
297.1
299.1
278.2
308.2
302.2
0.234
0.253
0.245
0.237
0.257
0.263
0.272
0.257
0.267
0.281
0.273
0.256
0.242
0.262
0.269
600
283
542
1,425
596
338
473
1,406
575
405
479
1,459
591
270
463
1,325
600
284
519
1,403
598
350
488
1,435
588
405
521
1,514
593
271
465
1,329
602
287
536
1,426
601
350
494
1,445
2,351
1,285
1,985
5,621
2,364
1,308
1,949
5,621
2,385
1,313
2,016
5,714
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
13,139
13,195
13,279
13,381
13,439
13,551
13,654
13,771
10,113
10,252
10,277
10,324
10,399
10,434
10,475
1,631
1,703
1,709
1,737
1,740
1,783
21.04
-3.40
29.63
25.20
34.13
123.5
123.6
123.6
123.5
129.3
130.0
129.9
87.3
87.6
1st
2nd
3rd
13,855
13,934
14,031
10,532
10,487
10,573
1,826
1,888
1,923
27.22
29.56
29.06
123.5
123.5
123.5
130.1
130.5
131.1
87.9
88.2
88.6
89.5
86.9
101.4
89.5
91.0
88.1
103.3
88.8
91.7
89.0
103.9
89.1
85.5
86.3
96.9
68.0
84.1
74.7
93.2
86.2
86.5
98.0
68.8
82.1
78.1
89.5
86.6
2.18
2.17
1.85
4th
Macroeconomic
Real Gross Domestic Product
- = no data available
(a) Natural gas share weights of individual sector indices based on EIAManufacturing Energy Consumption Survey, 2002.
(b) Total highway travel includes gasoline and diesel fuel vehicles.
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
Historical data: Latest data available from U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis; Federal Reserve System, Statistical release G17; Federal Highway Administration;
and Federal Aviation Administration.
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Macroeconomic projections are based on the Global Insight Model of the U.S. Economy and Regional Economic Information and simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.
2011
2012
2010
Year
2011
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
733
1,974
1,852
880
2,455
627
1,560
896
2,401
738
1,990
1,864
887
2,477
632
1,575
904
2,421
744
2,004
1,876
893
2,498
637
1,589
911
2,440
749
2,021
1,892
900
2,520
642
1,604
918
2,461
753
2,032
1,904
905
2,537
647
1,617
925
2,474
756
2,042
1,914
910
2,553
651
1,629
930
2,487
761
2,054
1,925
916
2,572
655
1,642
937
2,505
765
2,069
1,936
922
2,594
661
1,656
945
2,527
723
1,950
1,832
868
2,420
620
1,528
882
2,363
741
1,998
1,871
890
2,487
635
1,582
907
2,431
759
2,049
1,920
913
2,564
653
1,636
934
2,498
93.5
91.1
87.8
94.6
86.7
87.7
96.0
90.6
92.0
94.5
92.2
88.9
95.9
87.8
89.0
97.4
91.8
93.4
96.2
93.9
90.5
97.6
89.4
91.0
99.4
93.7
95.4
97.6
95.1
91.7
98.9
90.6
92.7
101.1
95.3
97.1
98.3
95.8
92.6
99.9
91.4
93.9
102.2
96.2
98.0
98.5
96.3
93.4
100.7
92.0
95.0
103.1
96.8
98.5
99.1
97.0
94.4
101.7
92.9
96.3
104.1
97.6
99.2
99.5
97.7
95.2
102.7
93.6
97.4
105.0
98.3
99.8
89.5
87.4
84.0
90.4
83.8
84.2
91.3
86.2
88.3
95.5
93.1
89.7
96.7
88.6
90.1
98.5
92.9
94.5
98.8
96.7
93.9
101.3
92.5
95.6
103.6
97.2
98.9
652
1,753
1,625
749
2,161
573
1,293
745
1,964
654
1,759
1,628
752
2,170
575
1,300
748
1,972
657
1,770
1,633
756
2,184
578
1,310
753
1,984
661
1,784
1,639
758
2,200
581
1,320
759
1,998
660
1,782
1,634
757
2,202
580
1,321
759
1,997
665
1,799
1,647
763
2,222
586
1,334
767
2,014
669
1,811
1,656
767
2,236
590
1,345
773
2,027
672
1,823
1,665
771
2,252
594
1,355
779
2,042
641
1,722
1,594
730
2,119
561
1,260
731
1,925
656
1,767
1,631
754
2,179
577
1,306
751
1,980
667
1,804
1,650
764
2,228
587
1,339
769
2,020
5,497
15,240
17,687
8,094
22,374
7,123
12,950
7,998
17,056
5,494
15,243
17,675
8,101
22,407
7,126
12,978
8,016
17,078
5,497
15,257
17,680
8,115
22,456
7,136
13,021
8,041
17,113
5,502
15,273
17,688
8,134
22,515
7,153
13,071
8,071
17,158
5,510
15,290
17,713
8,156
22,587
7,172
13,130
8,110
17,215
5,521
15,313
17,748
8,182
22,675
7,194
13,192
8,151
17,280
5,532
15,336
17,784
8,208
22,771
7,219
13,255
8,193
17,346
5,545
15,360
17,824
8,233
22,873
7,244
13,322
8,237
17,410
5,498
15,231
17,697
8,085
22,342
7,117
12,921
7,980
17,033
5,502
15,273
17,688
8,134
22,515
7,153
13,071
8,071
17,158
5,545
15,360
17,824
8,233
22,873
7,244
13,322
8,237
17,410
6.8
18.0
20.0
9.9
24.8
7.4
15.1
9.1
19.3
6.8
18.1
20.1
9.9
24.9
7.4
15.2
9.1
19.3
6.8
18.2
20.1
10.0
25.1
7.4
15.3
9.2
19.4
6.8
18.2
20.2
10.0
25.2
7.5
15.3
9.2
19.5
6.9
18.3
20.3
10.0
25.3
7.5
15.4
9.2
19.6
6.9
18.4
20.4
10.1
25.4
7.5
15.5
9.3
19.7
6.9
18.4
20.5
10.1
25.5
7.6
15.6
9.3
19.8
6.9
18.5
20.5
10.2
25.7
7.6
15.7
9.4
19.9
6.7
17.9
20.0
9.8
24.7
7.3
14.9
9.0
19.2
6.8
18.1
20.1
9.9
25.0
7.4
15.2
9.1
19.4
6.9
18.4
20.4
10.1
25.5
7.5
15.5
9.3
19.7
- = no data available
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
Regions refer to U.S. Census divisions.
See "Census division" in EIAs Energy Glossary (http://www.eia.doe.gov/glossary/index.html) for a list of States in each region.
Historical data: Latest data available from U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis; Federal Reserve System, Statistical release G17.
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Macroeconomic projections are based on the Global Insight Model of the U.S. Economy.
2012
2nd
Heating Degree-days
New England ................
2,948
634
Middle Atlantic ..............
2,805
477
E. N. Central .................
3,217
523
W. N. Central ................
3,475
536
South Atlantic ...............
1,804
144
E. S. Central .................
2,297
169
W. S. Central ................
1,608
79
Mountain .......................
2,313
780
Pacific ...........................
1,312
678
U.S. Average ............
2,311
422
Heating Degree-days, 30-year Normal (a)
New England ................
3,219
930
Middle Atlantic ..............
2,968
752
E. N. Central .................
3,227
798
W. N. Central ................
3,326
729
South Atlantic ...............
1,523
247
E. S. Central .................
1,895
299
W. S. Central ................
1,270
112
Mountain .......................
2,321
741
Pacific ...........................
1,419
556
U.S. Average ............
2,242
543
Cooling Degree-days
New England ................
0
129
Middle Atlantic ..............
0
261
E. N. Central .................
0
282
W. N. Central ................
1
320
South Atlantic ...............
34
772
E. S. Central .................
8
679
W. S. Central ................
27
950
Mountain .......................
11
370
Pacific ...........................
7
120
U.S. Average ............
12
445
Cooling Degree-days, 30-year Normal (a)
New England ................
0
81
Middle Atlantic ..............
0
151
E. N. Central .................
1
208
W. N. Central ................
3
270
South Atlantic ...............
113
576
E. S. Central .................
29
469
W. S. Central ................
80
790
Mountain .......................
17
383
Pacific ...........................
10
171
U.S. Average ............
34
353
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
Year
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
2011
2012
135
61
134
153
6
19
6
84
71
68
2,265
2,085
2,353
2,434
1,243
1,487
832
1,768
1,122
1,659
3,314
3,023
3,306
3,517
1,501
1,866
1,273
2,338
1,481
2,285
846
636
769
769
189
255
102
754
613
515
182
124
158
185
25
33
9
175
108
100
2,254
2,053
2,313
2,510
1,057
1,375
885
1,939
1,144
1,632
3,226
2,964
3,220
3,356
1,532
1,908
1,270
2,336
1,434
2,249
923
740
783
727
244
295
110
732
556
537
192
127
158
183
24
32
7
176
103
100
2,252
2,045
2,299
2,495
1,040
1,359
878
1,940
1,118
1,618
5,982
5,428
6,228
6,598
3,197
3,973
2,525
4,945
3,183
4,460
6,596
5,836
6,546
6,981
2,772
3,529
2,269
5,206
3,346
4,532
6,593
5,875
6,460
6,762
2,839
3,594
2,265
5,184
3,211
4,504
190
127
156
183
25
33
9
183
108
101
2,272
2,064
2,316
2,512
1,058
1,377
896
1,964
1,145
1,638
3,219
2,968
3,227
3,326
1,523
1,895
1,270
2,321
1,419
2,242
930
752
798
729
247
299
112
741
556
543
190
127
156
183
25
33
9
183
108
101
2,272
2,064
2,316
2,512
1,058
1,377
896
1,964
1,145
1,638
3,219
2,968
3,227
3,326
1,523
1,895
1,270
2,321
1,419
2,242
930
752
798
729
247
299
112
741
556
543
190
127
156
183
25
33
9
183
108
101
2,272
2,064
2,316
2,512
1,058
1,377
896
1,964
1,145
1,638
6,611
5,911
6,497
6,750
2,853
3,604
2,287
5,209
3,228
4,524
6,611
5,911
6,497
6,750
2,853
3,604
2,287
5,209
3,228
4,524
6,611
5,911
6,497
6,750
2,853
3,604
2,287
5,209
3,228
4,524
549
714
693
769
1,310
1,280
1,586
924
548
937
5
1
4
3
162
37
198
72
55
73
0
0
0
1
99
9
113
11
2
33
73
146
190
257
679
536
922
370
121
377
354
516
492
640
1,084
997
1,430
851
508
771
0
5
8
12
210
63
177
68
41
77
0
0
1
3
114
31
82
15
7
35
69
141
199
263
571
462
784
374
150
344
354
512
511
659
1,091
1,012
1,432
842
517
778
1
5
8
15
223
66
190
78
55
83
683
976
980
1,093
2,278
2,005
2,761
1,377
730
1,467
427
666
690
910
2,072
1,605
2,642
1,300
672
1,258
424
658
719
940
1,999
1,570
2,488
1,309
729
1,240
361
508
511
661
1,081
1,002
1,424
839
526
775
1
7
10
14
213
66
185
68
49
80
0
0
1
3
113
29
80
17
10
34
81
151
208
270
576
469
790
383
171
353
361
508
511
661
1,081
1,002
1,424
839
526
775
1
7
10
14
213
66
185
68
49
80
0
0
1
3
113
29
80
17
10
34
81
151
208
270
576
469
790
383
171
353
361
508
511
661
1,081
1,002
1,424
839
526
775
1
7
10
14
213
66
185
68
49
80
443
666
730
948
1,983
1,566
2,479
1,307
756
1,242
443
666
730
948
1,983
1,566
2,479
1,307
756
1,242
443
666
730
948
1,983
1,566
2,479
1,307
756
1,242
- = no data available
(a) 30-year normal represents average over 1971 - 2000, reported by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
Regions refer to U.S. Census divisions.
See "Census division" in EIAs Energy Glossary (http://www.eia.doe.gov/glossary/index.html) for a list of States in each region.
Historical data: Latest data available from U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA).
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Based on forecasts by the NOAA Climate Prediction Center.