Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
EMAMI LIMITED
Microsec Research
Emami Limited
Table of contents
To pic Company Profile and History.. Products and Brands. Industry Analysis. Investment Thesis Key M anagement Personnel Peer Group Analysis. Valuations Risks. Financials.. Disclaimer.. P age N um ber 4 5-6 7-8 9 - 12 13 - 15 16 16 17 18 - 19 20
Emami Limited
BUY
Market Data Current Market Price (INR) Target Price (INR) Upside (%) 52 Week High / Low (INR) Market Capitalization (In INR Mn) 278.45 466.70 67.61% 332 / 175 17,304.32
Emami Limited
Sector- FMCG
We rate Emami Limited (Emami) a BUY. Our rating is driven by the companys strengthening presence across the product verticals, wide distribution network, strategic fit provided by Zandu Pharmaceutical Works Limiteds (Zandu) acquisition, and the companys well planned growth strategy. However, high competition in the Indian FMCG space impedes our optimism.
Investment Highlights Strengthening presence across the product verticals continue to drive growth. Emamis product portfolio consists of some of the most successful brands in the Indian market, across beauty, health and personal care products. Emamis power brand portfolio comprises of Boroplus Anti-septic Cream, Navratna Oil, and Menthoplus Balm etc. This factor coupled with the companys well established geographical reach helped it to witness incremental market share in most of the product categories. Spread out global presence augers well. Emami possesses a wide distribution channel across
the country with more than 2,800 distributors and direct coverage to over four lac retail outlets. The company also has an extensive international presence across 60 nations. We expect Emamis large distribution network to support its performance by providing the company a direct connection with large number of end users.
30
Return (%)
-30
Ema mi
S e nse x
STOCK SCAN BSE Code NSE Code Bloomberg Ticker Face Value (INR) Equity Share Capital (INR mn) Diluted EPS FY09 (INR) Current P/E (on FY2009P EPS) Average P/E (3 years) Beta vs Sensex Average Daily Volmes
Sha reho ld ing Corporate Bodies 7.43% Institutions 1.54% Individuals 3.17% Others 0.01%
531162 EMAMILTD HMN IS 2.00 124.30 14.66 19.0x 22.5x 0.67 26,532
Acquisition of Zandu provides a viable fit. Emami recently acquired ~70.3% stake in Zandu for approxiamtely INR7.35 Bn. The acquisition provided the company with the targets strong R&D capabilities and well known branded products. Emami complements these products with its established presence, both domestic and abroad, and production facilities at tax efficient locations. As a result, we foresee Zandu as a strategic fit for the company. Well planned growth strategy boasts optimism. Emami outlined a well built corporate and marketing strategy focused on revenue growth and margins improvement. While the company plans to boost the revenues by new launches, extension of existing product categories, and concentration on new export geographies; it aims at improving profitability by rationalized advertisement and cost control initiatives. Its marketing theme Ghar-Ghar mein Emami also gels well with the companys corporate strategy.
Exhibit 1. Emami Consolidated Financial Data
P a rtic ula rs Net Sales
Growth (%) EBIDTA EBIDTA Margins (%) Net Profit
2007A 5158.0
71.70% 654.8 12.70% 659.2 34.39% 12.78% 10.61
2008A 5837.1
13.17% 960.2 16.45% 927.5 40.70% 15.89% 14.92
2010E 10486.4
19.71% 2378.9 22.69% 1928.6 67.11% 18.39% 23.57
2011E 12092.8
15.32% 2869.4 23.73% 2582.4 33.90% 21.35% 31.29
Head of Research:
Ajay Jaiswal (ajaiswal@microsec.in)
Analysts:
Nitin Prakash Daga (npdaga@microsec.in) Sumit Jatia (sjatia@microsec.in)
-3Microsec Research
26 May 2009
Emami Limited
Emami UK Ltd
Emami Limited
Therapeutic Healers
Navratna Oil Navratna oil, a potent therapeutic oil, is rated as one of the most trusted brands by ORG Marg. The total market size of the product is INR3,970 Mn. Emami is a market leader in this category with a healthy 54 per cent market share as on 2007-08 by volume and 50.0 per cent market share by value. The other major players in the segment are Himgange, Marico Maha thanda, Dabur super thanda, Banphool and Rahat rooh. In April 2008, the company has launched two strategic variants of Navratna Navratna Extra Thanda and Navratna Lite. Himani Fast Relief Himani fast relief, a product endorsed by Mr. Amitabh Bachchan, is expert in pain management and providing instant relief. The total market size of the product is INR2,007 Mn and the company enjoys a market share 12.0 per cent by volume and 11.0 per cent by value as on 2007-08. The other major brands in the segment are Moov and Iodex. The product has a wide acceptance in the states of Delhi, UP and Punjab.
Emami Limited
Mentho Plus Balm Mentho plus balm, a pain relief balm and headache reliever, is another strong brand of the company. Despite the product not being endorsed by any celebrity, it grew at a CAGR of 29.0 per cent in the last three years. The company extended its product presence through 110,000 incremental outlets. With a strong distribution network, the company aims to achieve an aggressive brand growth in 2008-09. The major competitor brands in the segment are Zandu Balm (which is now aquired), Amrutanjan Balm, Tiger Balm, and Monisons Balm.
Emami Limited
1.0%
Penetration Levels
Source: Company
Inflation levels during mid FY2009 also supported the growth of industry by providing room to increase prices. This factor, however, was not lucrative for the industry players due to a similar hike in raw material prices during the same period. Nevertheless, the raw material costs started declining in the latter part of the year, which is expected to help the companies, in the sector, to witness an upturn in the margins. Major companies in the industry include Hindustan Unilever Limited (HUL), Procter & Gamble Hygiene and Health Care Limited (P&G), Dabur India Limited (Dabur), Marico Limited (Marico), Emami, and Godrej Consumer Products Ltd (Godrej).
Emami Limited
Furthermore, Emami is aggressively taking initiatives to extend its product line as well as product width across the product categories. The acquisition of Zandu is also likely to help the company increase its market share especially in therapeutic healers category. These initiatives, in our view, will help the company to garner a greater share of the Indian personal care, and thereby FMCG pie, going forward.
Emami Limited
Investment Thesis Strengthening presence across the product verticals continue to drive growth - Emamis
product portfolio consists of some of the most successful brands in the Indian markets, across beauty, health, and personal care products. Emamis power brand portfolio comprises of the following brands: Boroplus Anti-septic Cream Navratna Oil Menthoplus Balm etc. Most of Emamis power brands have very high growth prospects. In addition, the companys ability to introduce value-added products and brand extensions, are likely to drive revenue growth, going forward. This factor, coupled with the companys well-established geographical reach, helped it to witness incremental market share in most of the product categories during FY2008. Exhibit 5 reflects the companys performance vis--vis the overall product categories during FY2008. Exhibit 5. Emami performance against the overall product categories
35.0% 27.4% 25.0% 23.9% 19.2% 15.0% 13.8% 17.2% 11.4% 6.2% 5.0% -3.2% 0.3% 0.8%
14.7% 11.9%
-5.0% Thick Oil Antiseptic Cream Chyawanprash Industry Growth Balm Emami Growth Rubificient Prickly Heat Powder
Emami strategically develops new products for some of the least penetrated markets. This factor enables a first mover advantage for the company, which in turn helps it in gaining higher margins and larger share of the target market. In line with this, the company posted incremental market share across most of its product categories, as reflected in the following exhibit. Exhibit 6.Market share across the product categories
80.0%
20.0%
70.0%
15.0%
60.0%
10.0%
50.0%
5.0%
40.0% FY2005 FY2006 Boroplus Antiseptic Cream FY2007 FY2008 Navratna Oil
0.0% FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 Mentho Plus Balm Boroplus Prickly Heat Powder Sona Chandi Chyawanprash Fast Relief
Emami Limited
Spread out global presence continues to support performance - Emami complements its
strategy Nukkad Nukkad pe Emami with its wide spread distribution channel. The companys distribution network comprises of over 2,800 distributors, connecting it to more than 400,000 retail outlets. The large distribution network provides Emami a large foothold in the rural markets of India. Emami products are available across 2.6 Mn outlets in India enabling it to garner uniform sales across all directions. The highest revenue contribution is from north (33.0 per cent) followed by west, east and south contributing 26.0, 22.0 and 19.0 per cent respectively. Exhibit 7 demonstrates the companys wide domestic distribution network. Exhibit 7. Emami Distribution Channel across India
Source: Company
In addition, the companys distribution network entails unique support from the rural promotion initiatives such as Emami Mobile Traders, Small Village Shops, and alliances with ITC e-Choupal, Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) Petrol Pumps, and Indias postal network. The company also introduced Low Unit Packs (LUPs) to attract first time and price sensitive customers in the rural areas. In urban regions, Emami promote the products
Emami Limited
through malls, retail chains, grocery stores, and specialized distributors. The following exhibit reflects the companys geographical promotion strategy. Exhibit 8. Emami Promotion Strategy
Rura l Urb an
Retail Network
Besides strong domestic presence, the company has established its presence in nearly 60 countries in CIS, Indian sub-continent, Middle East, Europe & North America. Emamis ability to develop different product ranges based on different consumer preferences at different locations bodes well for its future performance.
Acquisition of Zandu provides a viable fit - Emami recently acquired ~70.3% stake in Zandu, a multi product entity for approximately INR7.35 Bn. This acquisition provided the company with the targets strong R&D capabilities and well-known branded products. Emami complement these products with its established presence, both domestic and abroad, and production facilities at tax efficient locations. As a result, we foresee the acquisition as a strategic fit for the company. Emami financed the acquisition through issue of new shares worth INR3.50 Bn, new debt of INR1.61 Bn and sale of investments.
Zandu is mainly engaged in the promotion of ayurveda and bringing the benefits of ayurveda to the common persons. The acquired company has four existing manufacturing facilities with the fifth one at Uttarakhand to commence production shortly. Zandu has a strong R&D capability, recognized by the Department of Scientific and Industrial Research, Ministry of Science and Technology, and Government of India. It produces more than 300 health promoting products using as many as 200 medicinal plants and their extracts. Zandu also owns renowned brands like Zandu balm, Zandu special chyawanprash and other ayurvedic and ethical products. The company expects the following synergies from Zandu acquisition, going forward: Scale buying Improved packaging Removal of redundant and unnecessary expenses Advertisement rationing and reduction of commission in the middle of the value chain Strategic use of factory locations
Emami Limited
Income tax benefits Synergies from offering Zandu products in domestic and export markets through Emamis wide distribution channel, etc. With this, the acquisition of Zandu is seen as a strategic fit for Emami due to the resultant distribution and production synergies. The company deployed a team of 80 Chartered Accounts and 140 MBAs to drive the integration process across the departments. Additionally, under its integration process Emami is planning to limit consolidated number of its manufacturing locations to six. Currently, Emami produces goods from nine locations while Zandu manufactures goods at 6-7 locations. Since both the companies have rich heritage and experience, they are now better poised to exploit the emerging opportunities because of this acquisition.
Well planned growth strategy boosts optimism - Emami outlined a well built corporate strategy focused on revenue growth and margins improvement. While the company plans to boost the revenues by new launches, extension of existing product categories, and concentration on new export geographies, it aims at improving profitability by rationalized advertisement and cost control initiatives. The company has been able to successfully upgrade its existing product portfolio and stregthen its distribution channel. Added to this, new product launches and aggressive branding helped the company to register a healthy revenue growth. Emami plans to expand its presence into Baby Care, Female Hygiene, Hair Dye, Shampoo, Cold Cream, Body Lotions, Glycerin Soap, and OTC product categories in near term. Its marketing initiatives, aimed at the concepts of Ghar-Ghar mein Emami, Sabke Dimag pe Chaya Emami, Jahan Dekho wahan Emami, and Har Jaroorat ke Liye Emami etc. are expected to support its expansion plans in the country.
Emami is actively seeking growth opportunities in the overseas markets as well. The companys brand Boroplus in antiseptic cream space is not only a market leader in India but also in Ukraine, Russia and Nepal. Going forward, the company plans to boost its foreign presence by aggressive promotion and introduction of new product categories. Exports contributed around 10% of Emamis total sales in FY2008. With the companys strengthening presence across more than 60 countries, including SAARC, Gulf, African, European, and CIS nations, we expect this share to increase in the coming quarters. The company also expects its international promotion initiatives to push the export realizations by 50% in the forthcoming year. Moreover, Emami expects the exports to touch INR3.0 Bn in next three years and INR7.0 Bn in next five years from the current levels of INR1.0 Bn. In addition, Emami continues to foresee a robust demand for Fair and Handsome in export markets. The company also focuses on incremental margins led by its strong brand, helping it reduce advertising and promotion burden and its cost control initiatives, going forward.
Emami Limited
Emami Limited
Mr. Sushil Kumar Goenka Education Commerce Graduate Work Experience Secretary of Aradhana Trust, Vishwa Jagriti Mission Trust (Kolkata) and Vivekananda Hospital and Research Centre, Kolkata Former president of the Lions Club of North Calcutta and a member of Shri Ramkrishna Matrimangal Pratishthan, Ariadaha. Mr. Viren J. Shah Education AMP from the Harvard Business School, USA Special expertise in general business management Work Experience Served as West Bengal Governor from December 1999 to December 2004. Was the Chairman of Mukund Limited for 27 years. Former President of ASSOCHAM, IMC and other associations. Member of the Parliament for 16 years in the Lok Sabha and Rajya Sabha and of several parliamentary committees Mr. K.N. Memani Education Chartered Accountant Specializes in business and corporate advisory, foreign taxation, financial consultancy, etc. and is consulted on corporate matters by several domestic and foreign companies Work Experience Former Chairman and country managing partner of Ernst & Young, India Was the member of Ernst & Young Global Council for a decade Chairman of the Audit Committee and other committees in DLF Limited, Hindustan Times, ICICI Venture Funds Management Company Limited, HEG, Indo Rama, NEI, Aegon, etc Former member of the Expert Committee constituted by the Ministry of the Company Law for the amendment of the Companies Act for two consecutive years Served in the External Audit Committee (EAC) of the International Monetary Fund and was appointed the Chairman of EAC for 1999-2000 the only Indian appointed in this committee by the IMF Mr. Shrawan Kumar Todi Education M.Com Work Experience Chairman of Shrachi group of companies On the Board of Advance medicare and research institute Limited Bengal NRI research Complex Ltd
Emami Limited
Bengal Shrachi housing Development ltd, etc Mr. Shyamanand Jalan Education & Work Experience Commerce graduate LLB Attorney and member of the Incorporated Law Society, India, and the Bar Council of India Former Vice-Chairman of the Central Sangeet Natak Academy Formal Chairman of the Science City and the Birla Industrial & Technological Museum Director of many other prominent companies Mr. Krishna Kumar Khemka Education & Work Experience Science Graduate Former Chairman of the Indian Paper Mills Association Former president of the Rotary Club of Calcutta, Indo-American Chamber of Commerce, Indo-Italian Chamber of Commerce, etc. Committee member of the Bharat Chamber of Commerce and associated with other chambers. Honorary Consul General of the Philippines Mr. Mohan Goenka Education & Work Experience Commerce graduate with an MBA from UK. Possesses extensive knowledge and experience in marketing and brand development Vice- Chairman of the Marketing Committee of the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII), Eastern Region Member of the Merchants Chamber of Commerce (MCC) and Young Entrepreneur Organization Mr. Aditya Vardhan Agarwal Education & Work Experience Commerce graduate Extensive knowledge and experience in marketing and brand development. Past Ex. Director, Committee Member and Chairman (FMCG) of ASSOCHAM Vice-President of West Bengal Basketball Association Advisor of the Academy of Ayurvedic Doctors of India, Kolkata Mr. Harsh Vardhan Agarwal Education and Work Experience Commerce graduate Possesses extensive knowledge in marketing and brand development and served as a Director of several companies
Emami Limited
HU L (FY 0 9 )*
Dabur (FY0 9 ) 28309.80 4916.20 3908.00 17.37% 13.80% 4.52 112.45 24.88 9.46 11.89
M arico (FY0 9 ) 23884.20 3002.20 1886.80 12.57% 7.90% 3.10 65.20 21.03 7.44 8.76
(FY0 9 ) 8759.60 1587.17 1154.08 18.12% 13.18% 14.66 278.45 19.00 96.67 2.88
(FY0 9 ) 13929.70 2073.90 1732.50 14.89% 12.44% 6.83 164.75 24.12 22.05 7.47
208695.70 30713.80 25099.30 14.72% 12.03% 11.49 230.15 20.03 9.80 23.48
Valuations
We adopted a comparable valuation method to value Emami based on Price-to-Earnings (P/E) multiples. Historically, the company traded on a three year average closing P/E multiple of 18.3x. This reveals a discount to the peer group average P/E of 23.3x for the same period. While valuing Emami, we also considered historical average P/E multiples of Zandu, as the latter was acquired by the company. Though Zandu also traded at a discount vis--vis peer group average P/E historically, it traded at a premium over Emami. The target company traded at an average P/E multiple of 21.3x based on last three years closing P/E. To arrive at our target P/E multiple for Emami, we averaged the three year closing P/E multiples of Emami and Zandu. This resulted in a P/E multiple of 19.8x for the company, which on FY2010E EPS of INR23.57, reflects a target price of INR466.70 for the stock. Our target price translates a 67.6% upside over Emamis current stock price. The target price reflects a Price-to-Book Value (P/BV) multiple of 3.26x on FY2010E Book Value per Share.
Emami Limited
Risks
Competitive environment with global giants dominating FMCG space The FMCG market in India comprises of some of the worlds biggest giants in this business. These players, including HUL and P&G, have more resources and highly diversified operations. As a result, they are better positioned to command a price as well as quality edge over the competitors. However, Emamis expertise in skincare, therapeutic, and Ayurvedic food supplement segments are likely to help it differentiate its products. This factor is also visible in the companys historical performance. Furthermore, Emamis innovative product launches, proposed entry into new business areas, and acquisition of Zandu, in our view, will enhance its competency, going forward.
Emami Limited
Financials
Consolidated Profit and Loss Account
P articulars N et Sales % YoY Growth E BI TDA E BI TDA M argin % Interest Depreciation Other Income P BT Tax FY0 9 P 8 ,7 5 9 .6 50.1% 1 ,5 8 7 .2 1 8 .1 % -87.9 -131.9 23.5 1 ,3 9 1 .0 -236.9 17.0% 1 ,1 5 4 .1 24.4% 0.0 -81.9 1 ,0 7 2 .2 14.7 5.4 FY1 0 E 1 0 ,4 8 6 .4 19.7% 2 ,3 7 8 .9 2 2 .7 % -127.2 -146.5 87.6 2 ,1 9 2 .9 -264.3 12.1% 1 ,9 2 8 .6 67.1% 2,340.0 -204.7 4 ,0 6 3 .9 23.6 8.9 FY1 1 E 1 2 ,0 9 2 .8 15.3% 2 ,8 6 9 .4 2 3 .7 % -38.5 -163.0 269.5 2 ,9 3 7 .3 -355.0 12.1% 2 ,5 8 2 .4 33.9% 0.0 -293.6 2 ,2 8 8 .8 31.3 11.9 FY 1 2 E 1 3 ,9 3 3 .2 15.2% 3 ,4 5 4 .7 2 4 .8 % -38.5 -180.6 421.9 3 ,6 5 7 .6 -440.8 12.1% 3 ,2 1 6 .7 24.6% 1.0 -340.7 2 ,8 7 7 .1 39.3 17.3 FY1 3 E 1 6 ,0 5 3 .6 15.2% 4 ,0 3 1 .1 2 5 .1 % -38.5 -198.2 609.8 4 ,4 0 4 .2 -529.3 12.0% 3 ,8 7 4 .8 20.5% 2.0 -379.5 3 ,4 9 7 .4 47.8 20.9 FY1 4 E 1 8 ,5 1 6 .5 15.3% 4 ,7 0 6 .6 2 5 .4 % -38.5 -215.9 840.6 5 ,2 9 2 .7 -634.5 12.0% 4 ,6 5 8 .2 20.2% 3.0 -422.2 4 ,2 3 9 .0 58.0 25.8
Emami Limited
FY0 9 P 1,072.2 8.3 131.9 -251.2 -97.2 507.4 498.8 657.8 1,870.2 -741.9 -5,466.2 -6,208.1 1,613.4 22.0 3,478.0 -391.5 308.6 5,030.5
FY1 0 E 4,063.9 0.0 146.5 -131.7 -81.6 -601.4 559.4 -255.3 3,955.1 -250.0 -50.0 -300.0 -1,611.8 0.0 0.0 -654.2 902.5 -1,363.5 0.0
FY1 1 E 2,288.8 0.0 163.0 -116.8 -84.4 214.0 -79.0 -66.1 2,385.7 -280.0 -50.0 -330.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -871.6 164.8 -706.8 0.0 1,348.9 3,012.1 4,361.0
FY 1 2 E 2,877.1 0.0 180.6 -133.5 -97.1 -216.8 290.3 -157.0 2,900.6 -281.0 -50.0 -331.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -1,266.6 187.7 -1,077.9 1.0 1,491.7 4,361.0 5,852.7
FY1 3 E 3,497.4 0.0 198.2 -153.4 -112.4 -250.0 334.9 -180.9 3,514.6 -282.0 -50.0 -332.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -1,525.7 200.8 -1,323.9 2.0 1,858.8 5,852.7 7,711.5
FY1 4 E 4,239.0 0.0 215.9 -177.7 -131.2 -290.8 389.6 -210.2 4,244.7 -283.0 -50.0 -333.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -1,886.6 214.2 -1,671.4 3.0 2,240.4 7,711.5 9,951.9
Net Profit Change in Deferred Tax Liability Depreciation Change in Inventories Chg in Debtors Chg in Loans & Advances & others Chg in CL & Provisions Change in Working Capital Cash Flo w fro m Operatio ns Capex Change in Investments/Assets Cash Flo w fro m I nv esting Activ ities Change in Debt Change in Equity Change in Reserves Dividend and Dividend Tax Change in Minority Interest Cash Flo w fro m Financing Activ ities Cash flow from sale of Real Estate Assets Increase/(Decrease) in Cash Opening Cash and Bank Balance Closing Cash and Bank Balance
Emami Limited
Disclaimer
This document is prepared by the research team of Microsec Capital Ltd. (hereinafter referred as MCL) circulated for purely information purpose to the authorized recipient and should not be replicated or quoted or circulated to any person in any form. This document should not be interpreted as an Investment / taxation/ legal advice. While the information contained in the report has been procured in good faith, from sources considered to be reliable, no statement in the report should be considered to be complete or accurate. Therefore, it should only be relied upon at ones own risk. MCL is not soliciting any action based on the report. No indication is intended from the report that the transaction undertaken based on the information contained in this report will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Investors must make their own investment decisions based on their specific investment objectives and financial position and using such independent advisors, as they believe necessary. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees, including persons involved in the preparation or issuance of this material may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The same persons may have acted upon the information contained here. The Firm, nor its directors, employees, agents, representatives, neither shall be liable for any damages whether direct or indirect, incidental, special or consequential including lost revenue or lost profits that may arise from or in connection with the use of the information.