Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
1 549
2 492
3 686
4 503
5 671
6 584
7 723
8 764
9 809
10 699
11 600
12 641
13 584
14 819
15 658
16 700
17 784
18 683
19 803
20 701
21 533
22 735 Pendiente b2(0) =
23 639 Corte eje a1(0) =
24 759 Corte b1(0) =
25 607
26 719
27 704
28 700
29 698
30 634
31 599
32 605
33 490
34 845
35 669
36 0 778 694.1361843 688.12672
37 1 664 687.65 688.02 701.79 -37.79
38 2 709 692.25 688.93 687.17 21.83
39 3 625 677.77 686.53 696.47 -71.47
40 4 716 686.00 686.42 666.61 49.39
41 5 848 720.86 693.83 685.47 162.53
42 6 841 746.72 705.21 755.31 85.69
43 7 918 783.58 722.08 799.61 118.39
44 8 848 797.45 738.30 861.95 -13.95
45 9 1028 847.06 761.71 872.81 155.19
46 10 973 874.17 785.91 955.83 17.17
47 11 780 853.90 800.54 986.63 -206.63
48 12 805 843.38 809.76 921.89 -116.89
49 13 984 873.64 823.51 886.21 97.79
50 14 799 857.58 830.84 937.52 -138.52
51 15 889 864.43 838.07 891.65 -2.25
52 16 964 885.90 848.36 898.01 66.20
53 17 711 848.17 848.32 933.73 -223.13
54 18 1027 886.75 856.59 847.98 179.42
55 19 731 853.14 855.85 925.17 -194.57
56 20 1012 887.22 862.60 849.69 161.81
57 21 1175 949.09 881.22 918.60 256.10
58 22 914 941.48 894.18 1035.58 -121.88
59 23 1036 961.88 908.75 1001.73 34.54
60 24 978 965.27 920.92 1029.57 -51.95
61 25 1 1021.78 Pronóstico en tiempo real
62 26 2 1033.94
63 27 3 1046.11
1800
1600
1400
1200
Demanda - Unidades
1000
800
600
400
200
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
Semanas
400
200
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
Semanas
Error absoluto Error Cuadr. Error Porcentual Inv. Máximo
1.648005148005
640.8174603175
700.1456456456
30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
Semanas
30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
Semanas
C. MANTENIMIENTO INV. ( r) 17% Anual
VALOR DEL PRODUCTO (v) $ 40,000 $/Unidad
C. ORDENAMIENTO (A) $ 50,000 $/órden
T. COSTO DE FALTANTES B2 30%
SEMANAS ANUALES 52 Semanas
883.95 Unidades
TAMAÑO OPTIMO DE LOTE (EOQ)
1000 Unidades
VALOR ESPECIFICADO DE Gz(k) 0.009445
P2 99.91%
1000
800
R² = 0.37411247579098
1400
1200
35541.513777 53% 891.7242706143
147.66895714 3% 823.3516115286 1000
64.585753512 2% 822.1631736531
800
8082.3543402 23% 829.1016149712 R² = 0.37411247579098
3142.3712502 14% 794.2565571607
600
305791.62575 57% 769.8154091701
90403.487443 31% 1004.927972819
400
4879.1155757 9% 1157.050366114
43758.285187 20% 1163.614888781 200
26677.3045 21% 1287.049584379
3644.435803 6% 1259.83053718 0
59470.392037 20% 1321.334179469 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31
46.988098319 1% 1464.616486389
Demanda Linear (Demanda
27448.739615 17% 1511.276311413
4140.0067317 5% 1489.256815782
31199.040031 21% 1558.571062807
176.63249993 1603.170357547
1647.769652288
Grafico pronostico doble con ECM
17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 63