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1.1
10
1.2
10
2.1
23
2.2
29
2.3
30
2.41990-1996
34
2.51997-2003
35
2.62004-2010
35
2.7
36
2.8
41
2.9
44
3.1
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3.2
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3.3
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3.4
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4.2
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4.3
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4.5
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4.6
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4.7
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4.8
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4.9
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5.1
137
5.2
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5.31995-2025
145
5.4 1995-2025
146
5.5
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5.6
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5.7
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5.8
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5.9
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5.10
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6.1
180
6.21972
182
6.3
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6.4
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6.5
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6.7
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6.8
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7.1
226
7.2
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7.3
240
8.1
257
8.2
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8.3
265
8.4
267
8.5
269
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1980
personification
national interest
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1949
1980
1999
2001 2008
China rising
2002
2006
11
12 15
9
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1989
2005
2006
2005 11
CSIS
Bates Gill 2004
2006
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2005 48%
43%2005 38% 5 20%
Pew Research Center 2011
47%
58% 2008
41% 30%
20
A. Iain Johnston
1970-80
China Study
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typology
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Napoleon
Robert Gilpin
16
clash of civilization
system
re-constructing
1950-60 1970
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NIEs
20
Splendid Isolation
2003
Angus
Madison 1990 PPP
1978-95 GDP 50%
109% GDP 230% 520%
WEF
PPP 1999
2005 GDP
10% 50%
GDP 2004 2005
2008 2010
William Overholt
Oded
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Shenkar 20
Economist
2010 2019
Conference Board
PPP 2012
Goldman Sachs 2003 BRIC
2041 2027
Standard Chartered 2010 GDP
2020
20
1989
Richard Nixon
2004
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7 20
1.1
1.2
1950-70
1980
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1.1
1.2
1950-70s
1950-70s
1980-90s
2000s-
1950-70s
1980-90s
2000s-
1980s-
1980s-
1980s-
1990s-
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1990
1989 1990
911
Arnold Toynbee
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12
1980
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1949
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revolutionary
diplomacy
objection
1860-94
1900
Diana Preston
populist
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15
1920
1922
Comintern
1924
1919
1925
1926
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1925-31
1925
1927
19 8
1930
1931
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1949
1950
1960
1970 1980
1990
William Tow
1950
1960
Nixon
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1972
1980
1970
1966
1966 10 1967 5
117 14 80
40
1967 2 7
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1979
19
1890
1920 1960
2002
2007
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1947
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. .
, 2011.08
ISBN 978-957-11-6300-0 ()
1.2.
574.18
100009971
1PU4
367.2
P. Design
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