1

STPM 950/2, (EXCEL II 2011 JPN Sabah)

Marking Scheme MATHEMATICS S (Paper 2)

1. (a) The information can simplified as:
Male Female Total
Wearing spectacles 20 44 64
Without glasses 28 28 56
Total 48 72 120


(| ) =
( )
( )


=

[1 mark]

=

[1 mark]


(b)

() =

() =

() () =

( ) =

( ) () () [2 marks]
Therefore events A and B are not independent. [1 mark]

2. (a) (i) Plot scatter diagram correctly. [2 marks]
(ii) Plot scatter diagram correctly. [2 marks]

(b) Farthers height has a strong linear relationship with sons height.
Because points lie very close to each others. [2 marks]

3. 95% confidence interval for is:

= [1 mark]
Thus,

= 0.4 [1 mark]

= 0.4 [1 mark]

=
(

[1 mark]
Hence, sample size, n = 600 [1 mark]

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*This question paper is CONFIDENTIAL until the examination is over.

4. (a)

Stem Leaf
5 1
5 9
6 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
6 5 7 8 8 8 9 9
7 0 2 2 3
7 6 7

Key: 5 9 mean 59 [2 marks]

Number of observations, n = 23
Median , Q
2
=

(23 +1)th observation

= 12
th
observation
= 67 [1 mark]

(b) Q
1
= 6
th
observation = 64
Q
3
=18
th
observation = 70 [1 mark]

Refer graph. [3 marks]

5.


























(a) Let X be a random variable representing the number of free telephones at 11 a.m.
on that Monday.
Then X~B(8, 0.2)
P(X = x) =
8

(0.2)
x
(0.8)
8 x
[1 mark]

=
( )
( )

If

then
( )
( )
1

( )
( )
1 [2 marks]
8 x 4 (x + 1)
5 x 4
x 0.8 [1 mark]

Thus,

So, X = 1 has the highest probability, i.e. the most likely number of free telephones
is 1. [1 mark]






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*This question paper is CONFIDENTIAL until the examination is over.

5. (b) (i) P(X = 2) =
8

(0.2)
2
(0.8)
6
= 0.2936
The probability that exactly 6 telephones are used is 0.294. [2 marks]

(ii) P(X 2) = 1 P(X1)
= 1 P(X = 1) P(X = 0)
= 1 0.3355 0.1678
= 0.4967
The probability that at least 2 telephones are free is 0.497. [2 marks]



6. Population mean, = 32.5 years
Population standard deviation,

= 9.2 years
Finite population size, N = 400
Random sample size, n = 50
Since sampling is done at random without replacement from finite population, thus
the sample mean will have a sampling distribution with:
Mean,

= 32.5
and standard error,

[1 mark]
= 1.2186 [1 mark]

Now as sample size n = 50 30, then by Central Limit Theorem, we have

) =

( )
[1 mark]

P(

) = (

)
[1 mark]
= ( )
= 1 0.0202
= 0.9798 [1 mark]










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*This question paper is CONFIDENTIAL until the examination is over.

7.
(a)

[

()

][

()

]

=
()()
[()()

][()

]

=

= 0.9707
0.971 [3 marks]

The coorrelation coefficient r = 0.971 indicates that a strong positive relationship
exists between the sales, y (in thousand RM) and the weekly advertising expense, x
(in thousand RM). [1 mark]


(b) The least squares regression line is
y = bx + a


1 1 1
2
2
1 1
n n n
i i i i
i i i
n n
i i
i i
n X Y X y
b
n X X
= = =
= =

=
(
| |
(
|
\ . (




=
()()
()

= 2.2468
2.25 [2 marks]

a y bx =
=

)
= 74.0667
74.1 [2 marks]

Thus the regression line is y = 2.25x + 74.1 [1 mark]

b = 2.25 indicates that a one-unit change in x is associated with 2.25 units change in
y. This means that each one thousand ringgit in advertising expense is associated
with 2250 ringgit increase in sales. [1 mark]









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*This question paper is CONFIDENTIAL until the examination is over.

8. (a) Graph drawn correctly [3 marks]
(b) Median = 1291
Semi interquartile
Q
1
= 121.5, Q
3
= 138
Semi interquartile =

(Q
3
Q
1
)
= 8.25 [5 marks]
(c) Mean =

= 129.7 [2 marks]
Standard Deviation =

= 13.1 [2 marks]



9. (a)












[5 marks]

(b) The critical path is A D F H - I [1 mark]
(c) Minimum time to complete the project is 17 weeks [1 mark]
(d)
Task Independent float (in weeks)
A 4 -0 -4 =0
B 6-0 -3=3
C 9 -4 -5 = 0
D 6 4 2 = 0
E 15 6 -1 = 8
F 13 6 7 = 0
G 17 11 6= 0
H 15-13-2=0
I 17-15-2=0
[2 marks]


0 0
1
4 4
2
6 6
3
A


4


D


G


C


B


E


S
1


I


H


F


3


2


5


1


7
7


6


2


2


9
11
4
13 13
5
15 15
6
17 17
7
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10. Lasperyres price index for year 2009
=
( )( ) ( )
( ) ( )( )

= 111.35 [2 marks]

Lasperyres price index for year 2010
=
( )( ) ( )
( ) ( )( )

= 119.86 [2 marks]

For the base year 2008, price increased about 11.35% and continuous to increase
19.86% from 2009 up to 2010. [2 marks]




11.































(a) Plot time series correctly. [3 marks]
(b) Linear trend is not appropriate for the given time series data because there is no
clear increasing or decreasing trend. [1 mark]
(c)
Year Quarter
Fixed
Deposits
(RM 000)
Moving
average
2007
1 13
2 20
3 35 22.625
4 22 23.250
2008
1 14 23.750
2 24 24.000
3 35 24.500
4 24 25.250
2009
1 16 26.750
2 28 28.750
3 43 30.000
4 32 30.500
2010
1 18 29.500
2 30 28.875
3 50
4 20





[3 marks]
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*This question paper is CONFIDENTIAL until the examination is over.




















































(d)
Year Quarter
Fixed
Deposits
(RM 000)
Moving
average

2007
1 13
2 20
3 35 22.625 12.375
4 22 23.250 1.250
2008
1 14 23.750 9.750
2 24 24.000 0.000
3 35 24.500 10.500
4 24 25.250 1.250
2009
1 16 26.750 10.750
2 28 28.750 0.750
3 43 30.000 13.000
4 32 30.500 1.500
2010
1 18 29.500 11.500
2 30 28.875 1.125
3 50
4 20


Quarter

Year
1 2 3 4
2007 12.375 1.250
2008 9.750 0.000 10.500 1.250
2009 10.750 0.750 13.000 1.500
2010 11.500 1.125
Average
seasonal
variation
10.667 0.125 11.958 1.000
Adjusting
value
0.104 0.104 0.104 0.104
[Adjusted
seasonal
varation
10.771 0.021 11.854 1.104

[2 marks]
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*This question paper is CONFIDENTIAL until the examination is over.



12. (a) Let x = number of Alpha to produce
y = number of Beta to produce

Maximize profit Z = 5x + 8y

Subject to
16 x + 8y 8000
4 x + 12y 4800
6 x + 6y 3600
x [5 marks]

(b) Graph correctly drawn. [4 marks]
Number of Alpha = 300
Number of Beta = 300
Maximum Profit = 5(300) + 8 (300)
= RM 3900 [4 marks]
































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80
x
0
50 55
60
65 70 75
51 is
outliers
boundary
59 64 67 77 79
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100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
y
700
800
x
16 x + 8 y = 8000
6X + 6y =
3600
4x + 12y = 4800