PAGE 1 Mark ls Lhe founder of valuecruncher (www.valuecruncher.com) - a web- based soware appllcauon LhaL provldes lnLeracuve fundamenLal valuauon Lools for publlcly-Lraded companles.
umalr Paque wrlung on Lhe Parvard 8uslness 8evlew 8log neLwork: 1tockeJ, voloectoocbet, 5tock1wlts, ooJ mooy mote ote tbe leoJloq eJqe of o tevolouoo - o tevolouoo lo wbot foooce bos beeo fot tbe lost sevetol ceototles, ooJ wbot lt most become lo tbe 21st. bup.//bloqs.bbt.otq/bopoe/2009/10/coo_qooqle_toke_oo_woll_st_ooJ.btml
PAGE 2 Mark ls based ln WelllngLon, new Zealand - whlch ls noL Lhe nanclal markeLs cenLre of Lhe unlverse. 1he new Zealand sLock exchange (nZx) bulldlng has an elecLronlc dlsplay on Lhe ouLslde of Lhe bulldlng LhaL uses full company names raLher Lhan sLock codes.
new Zealanders Lhlnk lnnovauon comes from Lhe edges - and LhaL ls were we llve. WelllngLon ls home Lo people llke eLer !ackson (Lord of Lhe 8lngs Lrllogy ulrecLor) and LLhan Suefel (from Amerlcan 8alleL 1heaLre) has [usL Laken over as ulrecLor of 8oyal new Zealand 8alleL.
Mark has llved and worked ln norLh Amerlca and Lhe unlLed klngdom worklng for large organlsauons llke Clugroup and bouuque advlsory rms. As well as valuecruncher - Mark ls a parLner ln a bouuque new Zealand lnvesLmenL banklng advlsory rm called Woodward arLners.
Llnks: Llnkedln role - hup://nz.llnkedln.com/ln/markclare Woodward arLners - hup://www.woodwardparLners.co.nz/ vALuLC8unCPL8 1he Cn-llne llnance Space - 1oday
PAGE 3 vALuLC8unCPL8 - 8ackground operauonal and nanclal lnformauon - Lxample - Annual 8eporLs lnformauon - Should l buy Lhls share? - WhaL ls Lhls share worLh? - Lxample - 8esearch 8eporLs Analysls - 8uylng or selllng Lhe share - Lxample - Lhe buylng or selllng of Lhe share Lxecuuon 1he lnvesLmenL rocess re-1993 Lhls process was domlnaLed by brokerage rms wlLh full-servlce oerlngs. +,-./012+.,*345'$678(*9:%;<=>*"(?*@=>A* orLals (?ahoo, ACL, MSn, Coogle, eLc) oer Lhen exLend nance oerlngs. 8uslness model ls adveruslng - free Lo consumers. ,.2B - 1here ls sull a pald markeL for deLalled nanclal lnformauon (8euLers, CaplLal lC, eLc). BCBDE2+.,* *345'$678(*9:%;<=>A* ulscounL brokers (l.e. Charles Schwab, L1rade, eLc) oer aL raLe commlsslon sLrucLures. 1,1FGH+H* *345'$678(*I"5*J%K$(* lull servlce brokers provlde research reporLs Lo cllenLs + lndependenL research. 3+H/EL2./H: M$"#4N"7O% - llnanclal 8logs. user-generaLed conLenL (SeeklngAlpha) and Lradluonal [ournallsm on Lhe web (1he 8uslness lnslder) D8PP$(4NQ* - examples: SLock1wlLs, MoLley lool, WlklnvesL, CovesLor, WealLhlronL 288#5*L'8O4?%'5*- valuecruncher, 1res :I12*I1LLB,H* ,BC2R 1he Cn-llne llnance Space - 1rends and uncerLalnues
<= BS%&$78(* ;%&8P%5* "* &8PP8?4NQ* - execuung Lrades wlll conunue as a low-cosL buslness. 1here wlll be some geographlc-based regulaLory moaLs - buL no ablllLy Lo generaLe abnormal reLurns. CLher parues could enLer Lhls markeL (l.e. porLals). @= 3%"N)*8T*N'"?478("#*%U$4NQ*'%5%"'&)*- Lhe currenL model ls Loo expenslve and produclng research reporLs LhaL are complex and hard for reLall lnvesLors Lo consume. 1radluonal equlLy research wlll head Lhe way of newspapers. 1here wlll be a space aL Lhe Lop-end for pald research buL only a nlche. V= +(O%5N8'*W(8X#%?K%*&8(7($%5*N8*4P6'8O%*- Lhe level of general lnvesLor knowledge conunues Lo lmprove buL Lhere sull remalns a slgnlcanL gap beLween Lhe average reLall lnvesLor and Lhe corporaLe nance professlonal. Y= -4("(&4"#* ;#8K5* "'%* 4(Z$%(7"# - hlgh-quallLy analysls conunues from blogs and 1wluer. 1wo models - aggregaung conLenL (l.e. SeeklngAlpha) and Lradluonal [ournallsm on Lhe web (l.e. 1he 8uslness lnslder).
*E,DB/21+,2+BH*
<= +(?4O4?$"#*!H*D8##";8'"7O% - how wlll reLall lnvesLors choose Lo research lnvesLmenL declslons? lndlvldual analysls - reLall lnvesLors (wlLh lmprovlng educauon) compleLe Lhelr own analysls on where Lo lnvesL - boLh quallLauve and quanuLauve. Collaborauve - reLall lnvesLors look Lo communlues of lnvesLors for advlce on where Lo lnvesL - Lrack record ls vlLal. @= -'%%* !H* L"4? - nanclal lnformauon has proven Lo be an lsolaLed area on-llne where pald models have worked (l.e. WS!). Movlng forward - wlll reLall lnvesLors be prepared Lo pay for nanclal lnformauon or wlll free wln ouL?
*HDB,1/+.H*
.(* N)%* (%SN* 6"K%* X%* &8(5N'$&N* "* ;"54&* 5&%("'48* P"N'4S=* 2)%5%* 5&%("'485* "'%* (8N* P%"(N* N8* '%Z%&N* &8(&'%N%* O%'548(5* 8T* 68554;#%* T$N$'%*5N"N%5*;$N*'"N)%'*N8*4##$5N'"N%*N)%*68N%(7"#*4P6"&N*8T*N)%*4?%(7[%?*N'%(?5*"(?*$(&%'N"4(7%5=*2)%'%*X4##*;%*&8P68(%(N5*8T* "##*8T*N)%*5&%("'485*4(*N)%*T$N$'%*\*N)45*"("#Q545*45*4(N%(?%?*N8*%P6)"54]%*N'%(?5*"(?*$(&%'N"4(7%5=* 1he Cn-llne llnance Space - Some Scenarlos PAGE 5 vALuLC8unCPL8 -/BB* L1+3* D.FF1J./12+!B* +,3+!+3E1F* :%*F4O%*+(*L$;#4&* 8eLall lnvesLors seek advlce from communlues of oLher lnvesLors. 1rack record ls key - Lhls ls open Lo abuse. 8eLall lnvesLors won'L pay for Lhls advlce. CommunlLy owners seek models Lo moneuze Lhe audlence noL Lhe conLenL - none ls lnlually obvlous beyond adveruslng. :4((%'5 - 1he MoLley lool, SLock1wlLs L8'N"#5 - 8Au provldlng (mosLly) raw daLa. H$6%'*D8PP8(5* 8eLall lnvesLors value analysls and Lools buL are noL wllllng Lo dlrecLly pay. 1here ls a move from Lradluonal on-llne nanclal lnformauon provlders (l.e. CaplLal lC) Lo low-cosL/no-cosL provlders (l.e. nanclal porLals). 7%#.(1" (&8%)#*$)" .&'" 2*$9*$.#%" :&.&2%"9$*0%))(*&.1)")#.$#"#*"3)%"#,%").+%"#**1). ay-walls come down - nanclal blogs are aL Lhelr mosL lnuenual. :4((%'5 - orLals and nanclal blogs /8&W*HN"'5* 8eLall lnvesLors seek advlce from communlues of oLher lnvesLors "(? are wllllng Lo pay. l nvesLors make Lhel r Lradl ng accounLs LransparenL on-llne. Successful lnvesLors open Lhelr accounLs Lo acL as vlrLual fund managers. vlrLual fund managers and communlLy owners spllL a managemenL fee pald by lnvesLors. :4((%'5 - CovesLor, WealLhlronL, eLc L8'N"#5 - 8Au provldlng (mosLly) raw daLa. :"##%?*^"'?%(* 8eLall lnvesLors value analysls and Lools. 1he nanclal blogs conunue Lo exerL lnuence. Powever Lhe pay-wall remalns aL Lhe WS! and on- llne lnformauon provlders (8euLers, CaplLal lC) have a valuable and growlng buslness. :4((%'5 - 8euLers, CaplLal lC, 8loomberg L8'N"#5 - CpporLunlLy Lo launch a low-cosL dlsrupuon sLraLegy almed aL on-llne lnformauon provlders (a good enough oerlng Lo LempL [for example] CaplLal lC's cllenLs). 1he Cn-llne llnance Space - Some lLems 1o Look CuL lor PAGE 6 vALuLC8unCPL8 CJ/F - Could be a masslve game-changer ln Lhe space. Cpen-source daLa could drlve masslve lnnovauon ln Lhe on-llne nance space. WhaL could happen?
HN8&W2X4N5 - uolng so much well. 1he currenL rock sLars. WhaL happens nexL?
2)%*-4("(&%*L8'N"#5*9G")88_^88K#%_%N&A*- So much reach buL so llule recenL lnnovauon. Why hasn'L Lhere been Lhe lnnovauon we are all looklng for? WhaL could change - and wlll lL?
BP%'K4(K*0"'W%N5*- Puge poLenual. Wlll Lhe lnnovauon come from Lhere?
!"#$%&'$(&)%' - WhaL are we dolng wlLh Lhe slLe movlng forward?