Maths Oct Nov 2010

UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE INTERNATIONAL EXAMINATIONS General Certicate of Education Advanced Subsidiary Level and Advanced Level
MATHEMATICS Paper 6 Probability & Statistics 1 (S1)
9709/61
October/November 2010 1 hour 15 minutes
Additional Materials:
Answer Booklet/Paper Graph Paper List of Formulae (MF9)
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READ THESE INSTRUCTIONS FIRST If you have been given an Answer Booklet, follow the instructions on the front cover of the Booklet. Write your Centre number, candidate number and name on all the work you hand in. Write in dark blue or black pen. You may use a soft pencil for any diagrams or graphs. Do not use staples, paper clips, highlighters, glue or correction uid. Answer all the questions. Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 signicant gures, or 1 decimal place in the case of angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specied in the question. The use of an electronic calculator is expected, where appropriate. You are reminded of the need for clear presentation in your answers. At the end of the examination, fasten all your work securely together. The number of marks is given in brackets [ ] at the end of each question or part question. The total number of marks for this paper is 50. Questions carrying smaller numbers of marks are printed earlier in the paper, and questions carrying larger numbers of marks later in the paper.
This document consists of 3 printed pages and 1 blank page.
UCLES 2010
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2 1
Anita made observations of the maximum temperature, t C, on 50 days. Her results are summarised by t = 910 and (t t )2 = 876, where t denotes the mean of the 50 observations. Calculate t and the standard deviation of the observations. [3]
On average, 2 apples out of 15 are classied as being underweight. Find the probability that in a random sample of 200 apples, the number of apples which are underweight is more than 21 and less than 35. [5]
The times taken by students to get up in the morning can be modelled by a normal distribution with mean 26.4 minutes and standard deviation 3.7 minutes.
(i) For a random sample of 350 students, nd the number who would be expected to take longer than 20 minutes to get up in the morning. [3] (ii) Very slow students are students whose time to get up is more than 1.645 standard deviations above the mean. Find the probability that fewer than 3 students from a random sample of 8 students are very slow. [4]
The weights in grams of a number of stones, measured correct to the nearest gram, are represented in the following table. Weight (grams) Frequency 1 10 2x 11 20 4x 21 25 3x 26 30 5x 31 50 4x 51 70
A histogram is drawn with a scale of 1 cm to 1 unit on the vertical axis, which represents frequency density. The 1 10 rectangle has height 3 cm.
(i) Calculate the value of x and the height of the 51 70 rectangle. (ii) Calculate an estimate of the mean weight of the stones.
[4] [3]
Three friends, Rick, Brenda and Ali, go to a football match but forget to say which entrance to the ground they will meet at. There are four entrances, A, B, C and D. Each friend chooses an entrance independently.
1 The probability that Rick chooses entrance A is 3 . The probabilities that he chooses entrances B, C or D are all equal.
Brenda is equally likely to choose any of the four entrances.

2 The probability that Ali chooses entrance C is 7 and the probability that he chooses entrance D 3 is 5 . The probabilities that he chooses the other two entrances are equal.
(i) Find the probability that at least 2 friends will choose entrance B. (ii) Find the probability that the three friends will all choose the same entrance.
[4] [4]
UCLES 2010
9709/61/O/N/10
3 6
Pegs are to be placed in the four holes shown, one in each hole. The pegs come in different colours and pegs of the same colour are identical. Calculate how many different arrangements of coloured pegs in the four holes can be made using
(i) 6 pegs, all of different colours, (ii) 4 pegs consisting of 2 blue pegs, 1 orange peg and 1 yellow peg.
[1] [1]
Beryl has 12 pegs consisting of 2 red, 2 blue, 2 green, 2 orange, 2 yellow and 2 black pegs. Calculate how many different arrangements of coloured pegs in the 4 holes Beryl can make using
(iii) 4 different colours, (iv) 3 different colours, (v) any of her 12 pegs.
[1] [3] [3]
Sanket plays a game using a biased die which is twice as likely to land on an even number as on an odd number. The probabilities for the three even numbers are all equal and the probabilities for the three odd numbers are all equal.
(i) Find the probability of throwing an odd number with this die.
[2]
Sanket throws the die once and calculates his score by the following method. If the number thrown is 3 or less he multiplies the number thrown by 3 and adds 1. If the number thrown is more than 3 he multiplies the number thrown by 2 and subtracts 4. The random variable X is Sankets score.
(ii) Show that P(X = 8) = 2 . 9
[2]
The table shows the probability distribution of X .
x
P(X = x)
4
3 9
6
1 9
7
2 9
8
2 9
10
1 9
(iii) Given that E(X ) =
58 9,
nd Var(X ).
[2]
Sanket throws the die twice.

(iv) Find the probability that the total of the scores on the two throws is 16.
[2]
(v) Given that the total of the scores on the two throws is 16, nd the probability that the score on the rst throw was 6. [3]
UCLES 2010
9709/61/O/N/10
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9709/62
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UCLES 2010
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2 1
The discrete random variable X takes the values 1, 4, 5, 7 and 9 only. The probability distribution of X is shown in the table.
x
P(X = x) Find p.
1 4p
4 5p2
5 1.5p
7 2.5p
9 1.5p [3]
Esme noted the test marks, x, of 16 people in a class. She found that x = 824 and that the standard deviation of x was 6.5.
(i) Calculate (x 50) and (x 50)2 .
[3]
(ii) One person did the test later and her mark was 72. Calculate the new mean and standard deviation of the marks of all 17 people. [3]
A fair ve-sided spinner has sides numbered 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. Raj spins the spinner and throws two fair dice. He calculates his score as follows. If the spinner lands on an even-numbered side, Raj multiplies the two numbers showing on the dice to get his score. If the spinner lands on an odd-numbered side, Raj adds the numbers showing on the dice to get his score. Given that Rajs score is 12, nd the probability that the spinner landed on an even-numbered side. [6]
The weights in kilograms of 11 bags of sugar and 7 bags of our are as follows. Sugar: Flour: 1.961 1.945 1.983 1.962 2.008 1.949 2.014 1.977 1.968 1.964 1.994 1.941 2.011 1.953 2.017 1.977 1.984 1.989
(i) Represent this information on a back-to-back stem-and-leaf diagram with sugar on the left-hand side. [4] (ii) Find the median and interquartile range of the weights of the bags of sugar.
[3]
The distance the Zotoc car can travel on 20 litres of fuel is normally distributed with mean 320 km and standard deviation 21.6 km. The distance the Ganmor car can travel on 20 litres of fuel is normally distributed with mean 350 km and standard deviation 7.5 km. Both cars are lled with 20 litres of fuel and are driven towards a place 367 km away.
(i) For each car, nd the probability that it runs out of fuel before it has travelled 367 km.
[3]
(ii) The probability that a Zotoc car can travel at least (320 + d ) km on 20 litres of fuel is 0.409. Find the value of d. [4]
UCLES 2010
9709/62/O/N/10
3 6 (i) State three conditions that must be satised for a situation to be modelled by a binomial distribution. [2]
On any day, there is a probability of 0.3 that Julies train is late.

(ii) Nine days are chosen at random. Find the probability that Julies train is late on more than 7 days or fewer than 2 days. [3] (iii) 90 days are chosen at random. Find the probability that Julies train is late on more than 35 days or fewer than 27 days. [5]
A committee of 6 people, which must contain at least 4 men and at least 1 woman, is to be chosen from 10 men and 9 women.
(i) Find the number of possible committees that can be chosen.
[3]
(ii) Find the probability that one particular man, Albert, and one particular woman, Tracey, are both on the committee. [2] (iii) Find the number of possible committees that include either Albert or Tracey but not both.
[3]
(iv) The committee that is chosen consists of 4 men and 2 women. They queue up randomly in a line for refreshments. Find the probability that the women are not next to each other in the queue. [3]
UCLES 2010
9709/62/O/N/10
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9709/63
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This document consists of 4 printed pages.
UCLES 2010
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2 1
Name the distribution and suggest suitable numerical parameters that you could use to model the weights in kilograms of female 18-year-old students. [2]
In a probability distribution the random variable X takes the value x with probability kx, where x takes values 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 only.
(i) Draw up a probability distribution table for X , in terms of k, and nd the value of k. (ii) Find E(X ).
[3] [2]
It was found that 68% of the passengers on a train used a cell phone during their train journey. Of those using a cell phone, 70% were under 30 years old, 25% were between 30 and 65 years old and the rest were over 65 years old. Of those not using a cell phone, 26% were under 30 years old and 64% were over 65 years old.
(i) Draw a tree diagram to represent this information, giving all probabilities as decimals.
[2]
(ii) Given that one of the passengers is 45 years old, nd the probability of this passenger using a cell phone during the journey. [3]
Delip measured the speeds, x km per hour, of 70 cars on a road where the speed limit is 60 km per hour. His results are summarised by (x 60) = 245.
(i) Calculate the mean speed of these 70 cars.
[2]
His friend Sachim used values of (x 50) to calculate the mean.

(ii) Find (x 50). (iii) The standard deviation of the speeds is 10.6 km per hour. Calculate (x 50)2 .
[2] [2]
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9709/63/O/N/10
3 5
The following histogram illustrates the distribution of times, in minutes, that some students spent taking a shower.
Frequency density
40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 6 8 10
12
14
16
18
20
Time in minutes
[3]
(i) Copy and complete the following frequency table for the data.
Time (t minutes) Frequency
2<t4
4<t6
6<t7
7<t8
8 < t 10
10 < t 16
(ii) Calculate an estimate of the mean time to take a shower.
[2]
(iii) Two of these students are chosen at random. Find the probability that exactly one takes between 7 and 10 minutes to take a shower. [3]
[Questions 6 and 7 are printed on the next page.]
UCLES 2010
9709/63/O/N/10
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4 6
Windows
Back
Aisle
Front
Windows
A small aeroplane has 14 seats for passengers. The seats are arranged in 4 rows of 3 seats and a back row of 2 seats (see diagram). 12 passengers board the aeroplane.
(i) How many possible seating arrangements are there for the 12 passengers? Give your answer correct to 3 signicant gures. [2]
These 12 passengers consist of 2 married couples (Mr and Mrs Lin and Mr and Mrs Brown), 5 students and 3 business people.
(ii) The 3 business people sit in the front row. The 5 students each sit at a window seat. Mr and Mrs Lin sit in the same row on the same side of the aisle. Mr and Mrs Brown sit in another row on the same side of the aisle. How many possible seating arrangements are there? [4] (iii) If, instead, the 12 passengers are seated randomly, nd the probability that Mrs Lin sits directly behind a student and Mrs Brown sits in the front row. [4]
The times spent by people visiting a certain dentist are independent and normally distributed with a mean of 8.2 minutes. 79% of people who visit this dentist have visits lasting less than 10 minutes.
(i) Find the standard deviation of the times spent by people visiting this dentist.
[3]
(ii) Find the probability that the time spent visiting this dentist by a randomly chosen person deviates from the mean by more than 1 minute. [3] (iii) Find the probability that, of 6 randomly chosen people, more than 2 have visits lasting longer than 10 minutes. [3] (iv) Find the probability that, of 35 randomly chosen people, fewer than 16 have visits lasting less than 8.2 minutes. [5]
Permission to reproduce items where third-party owned material protected by copyright is included has been sought and cleared where possible. Every reasonable effort has been made by the publisher (UCLES) to trace copyright holders, but if any items requiring clearance have unwittingly been included, the publisher will be pleased to make amends at the earliest possible opportunity. University of Cambridge International Examinations is part of the Cambridge Assessment Group. Cambridge Assessment is the brand name of University of Cambridge Local Examinations Syndicate (UCLES), which is itself a department of the University of Cambridge. UCLES 2010 9709/63/O/N/10
UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE INTERNATIONAL EXAMINATIONS

GCE Advanced Subsidiary Level and GCE Advanced Level
MARK SCHEME for the October/November 2010 question paper for the guidance of teachers
9709 MATHEMATICS
9709/61 Paper 6, maximum raw mark 50
This mark scheme is published as an aid to teachers and candidates, to indicate the requirements of the examination. It shows the basis on which Examiners were instructed to award marks. It does not indicate the details of the discussions that took place at an Examiners meeting before marking began, which would have considered the acceptability of alternative answers. Mark schemes must be read in conjunction with the question papers and the report on the examination.
CIE will not enter into discussions or correspondence in connection with these mark schemes.
CIE is publishing the mark schemes for the October/November 2010 question papers for most IGCSE, GCE Advanced Level and Advanced Subsidiary Level syllabuses and some Ordinary Level syllabuses.
Page 2 Mark Scheme Notes
Mark Scheme: Teachers version GCE A LEVEL October/November 2010
Syllabus 9709
Paper 61
Marks are of the following three types: M Method mark, awarded for a valid method applied to the problem. Method marks are not lost for numerical errors, algebraic slips or errors in units. However, it is not usually sufficient for a candidate just to indicate an intention of using some method or just to quote a formula; the formula or idea must be applied to the specific problem in hand, e.g. by substituting the relevant quantities into the formula. Correct application of a formula without the formula being quoted obviously earns the M mark and in some cases an M mark can be implied from a correct answer. Accuracy mark, awarded for a correct answer or intermediate step correctly obtained. Accuracy marks cannot be given unless the associated method mark is earned (or implied). Mark for a correct result or statement independent of method marks.
When a part of a question has two or more "method" steps, the M marks are generally independent unless the scheme specifically says otherwise; and similarly when there are several B marks allocated. The notation DM or DB (or dep*) is used to indicate that a particular M or B mark is dependent on an earlier M or B (asterisked) mark in the scheme. When two or more steps are run together by the candidate, the earlier marks are implied and full credit is given. The symbol implies that the A or B mark indicated is allowed for work correctly following on from previously incorrect results. Otherwise, A or B marks are given for correct work only. A and B marks are not given for fortuitously "correct" answers or results obtained from incorrect working. Note: B2 or A2 means that the candidate can earn 2 or 0. B2/1/0 means that the candidate can earn anything from 0 to 2.
The marks indicated in the scheme may not be subdivided. If there is genuine doubt whether a candidate has earned a mark, allow the candidate the benefit of the doubt. Unless otherwise indicated, marks once gained cannot subsequently be lost, e.g. wrong working following a correct form of answer is ignored. Wrong or missing units in an answer should not lead to the loss of a mark unless the scheme specifically indicates otherwise. For a numerical answer, allow the A or B mark if a value is obtained which is correct to 3 s.f., or which would be correct to 3 s.f. if rounded (1 d.p. in the case of an angle). As stated above, an A or B mark is not given if a correct numerical answer arises fortuitously from incorrect working. For Mechanics questions, allow A or B marks for correct answers which arise from taking g equal to 9.8 or 9.81 instead of 10.
UCLES 2010
Page 3
Syllabus 9709
Paper 61
The following abbreviations may be used in a mark scheme or used on the scripts: AEF AG BOD CAO CWO ISW MR PA SOS SR Any Equivalent Form (of answer is equally acceptable) Answer Given on the question paper (so extra checking is needed to ensure that the detailed working leading to the result is valid) Benefit of Doubt (allowed when the validity of a solution may not be absolutely clear) Correct Answer Only (emphasising that no "follow through" from a previous error is allowed) Correct Working Only often written by a fortuitous' answer Ignore Subsequent Working Misread Premature Approximation (resulting in basically correct work that is insufficiently accurate) See Other Solution (the candidate makes a better attempt at the same question) Special Ruling (detailing the mark to be given for a specific wrong solution, or a case where some standard marking practice is to be varied in the light of a particular circumstance)
Penalties
MR 1
A penalty of MR 1 is deducted from A or B marks when the data of a question or part question are genuinely misread and the object and difficulty of the question remain unaltered. In this case all A and B marks then become "follow through " marks. MR is not applied when the candidate misreads his own figures this is regarded as an error in accuracy. An MR2 penalty may be applied in particular cases if agreed at the coordination meeting. This is deducted from A or B marks in the case of premature approximation. The PA 1 penalty is usually discussed at the meeting.
PA 1
UCLES 2010
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Mark Scheme: Teachers version GCE A LEVEL October/November 2010 B1 M1 A1 [3] B1 M1 M1 M1 A1 [5] M1 A1 A1ft [3]
Syllabus 9709
Paper 61
mean = 18.2 sd =
876 / 50
Correct unsimplified expression seen Correct answer mean and variance correct standardising, , with or without cc, must have sq rts continuity corrections 20.5 or 21.5, 34.5 or 35.5 1 + 2 1 answer rounding to 0.807 Standardising no cc no sq rt Prob rounding to 0.958 Correct answer ft their prob, must be integer 0.05 or 0.95 seen Binomial term with 8Cr pr (1 p) 8 r seen any p Correct expression for P(0, 1, 2), p close to 0.05 Answer rounding to 0.994 [4] Attempt at using freq density = freq / cw Correct answer Attempt at using fd = freq / cw with different cw from above Correct answer [4]
= 4.19 2 mean = 200 2/15 (= 26.67) (80/3) variance = 200 2/15 13/15 (= 23.11)(208/9) P(21 < X < 35) = 21.5 26.67 34.5 26.67 <z< P 23.11 23.11 = P(1.075 < z < 1.629) = 0.8589 + 0.9483 1 = 0.807 3 (i) P(X > 20) = P(z > 6.4/3.7) = P(z > 1.730) = 0.9582 Number of students = 335 or 336
(ii) P(very slow) = 0.05 P(0, 1, 2) = (0.95)8 + 8C1(0.05)1(0.95)7 + 8C2(0.05)2(0.95)6 = 0.6634 + 0.2793 + 0.0515 = 0.994 4 (i) 3 = 2x / 10 x = 15 height = freq / class width = x / 20 = 0.75 cm (ii) mean wt = (5.5 30 + 15.5 60 + 23 45 + 28 75 + 40.5 60 + 60.5 15) / 285
B1 M1 M1 A1 M1 A1 M1 A1
M1 M1
= 26.6 grams
A1 [3]
Using freqs or frequency ratios and midpoints, attempt not ucb, not cw (can do it without x) Correct unsimplified answer can have fr ratios Correct answer
UCLES 2010
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Syllabus 9709
Paper 61
(i)
A Rick 1/3 Brenda 1/4 Ali 2/35
B 2/9 1/4 2/35
C 2/9 1/4 2/7
D 2/9 1/4 3/5
M1
Obtaining probs of each person for each entrance (can be implied or awarded in part (i) or part (ii))
P(Rick B, Brenda B, Ali not B) + P(Rick B, Brenda not B, Ali B) + P(Rick not B, Brenda B, Ali B) = 11/210 + 2/210 + 1/90 = 23/315 P(Rick B, Brenda B, Ali B) = 1/315 Prob(at least 2 at entrance B) = 24/315 (8/105) (0.0762) (ii) P(entrance A) = 1/210 (0.00476) P(entrance B) = 1/315 (0.00317) P(entrance C) = 1/63 (0.0159) P(entrance D) = 1/30 (0.0333) P(same entrance) = 2/35 (0.0571) 6 (i) P4 = 6!/2! = 360
6
M1
Considering options 2 meet 1 doesnt, must have at least two 3-factor terms
M1 A1 [4] M1 M1 A1 A1 [4] B1 [1] B1 [1] B1 [1] M1 M1 A1 [3] M1 A1 A1ft [3]
Adding option all three meet, must be added to a prob Correct answer Obtaining a three-factor prob for any entrance Adding four three-factor probabilities for the 4 entrances Two or more correct entrance probabilities Correct answer
Correct answer Correct answer Correct final answer 4!/2! seen Mult by 6C3 Correct answer Considering 2 colours e.g. RRBB or RBBR or... mult by 6C2 Ft their (iii) + (iv) + (v)
(ii) 4!/2! = 12 (iii) 4! 6C4 = 360 or 6P4 (iv) e.g. 2R 1B 1G, 1R 2B 1G, 1R 1B 2G 4! 4! 4! + + = 36, mult by 6C3 = 2! 2! 2! total = 720 (v) 2R 2B = 4!/2!2! = 6 Mult by 6C2, total = 90 Answer = 360 + 720 + 90 = 1170
UCLES 2010
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Mark Scheme: Teachers version GCE A LEVEL October/November 2010 M1 A1 [2] B1 B1 [2] M1 A1 [2] M1 A1 [2] B1 M1 A1 [3]
Syllabus 9709
Paper 61
(i)
If y = P(odd number) then P(even number) = 2y 3y + 6y = 1 so y = 1/9 oe. OR prob = 1/3
2P(Odd) shown = P(Even) and summed to 1 correct answer accept either
(ii) Score of 8 means throwing a 6 6 is even so P(8) = 2/9 (AG) (iii) Var(X) = (48 + 36 + 98 + 128 + 100)/9 (58/9)2 = 4.02 accept 4.025 (326/81) (iv) P(score 6,10) + P(score 10,6) + P(score 8,8) = 1/81 + 1/81 + 4/81 = 6/81 (2/27) (0.0741) (v) P(score 6, 10) = 1/81 P(1st score 6 given total 16) = (1/81) (6/81) = 1/6
legit justification of use of 2/9 Correct method no dividings, 6.44 squared subt numerically Correct answer Summing two different 2-factor probabilities Correct answer 1/81 seen in numerator Dividing by their (iv) Correct answer
UCLES 2010

9709 MATHEMATICS
Syllabus 9709
Paper 62
UCLES 2010
Page 3
Syllabus 9709
Paper 62
Penalties
MR 1
PA 1
UCLES 2010
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Mark Scheme: Teachers version GCE A LEVEL October/November 2010 M1 A1 A1 [3] B1 M1
Syllabus 9709
Paper 62
4p + 5p2 + 1.5p + 2.5p + 1.5p = 1 10p2 + 19p 2 = 0 p = 0.1 or 2 p = 0.1
Summing 5 probs to = 1 can be implied For 0.1 seen with or without 2 Choosing 0.1 must be by rejecting 2 Correct answer Consistent substituting in the correct coded variance formula OR valid method for x2 then expanding (x 50)2, 3 terms at least 2 correct Correct answer [3] Correct answer Using the correct coded variance formula with n = 17 and new coded mean2 OR their (x2 + 722)/17 their new mean2 Rounding to correct answer, accept 7.95 or 7.98 or 7.91 [3]
(i) (x 50) = 824 16 50 = 24
( x 50) 2 ( x 50) 2 = 6.5 16 16
(x 50)2 = 712 (ii) new mean = 896/17 (= 52.7) new var =
A1 B1
2
712 + 22 2 24 + (72 50) 17 17
M1
new sd = 7.94
A1
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Syllabus 9709
Paper 62
P(E and 12) =
2 4 8 = (2/45) 5 36 180
M1
2/5 or 3/5 mult by dice-related probability seen anywhere
A1 P(12) =
2 4 seen oe 5 36
Summing two 2-factor probs involving 2/5 and 3/5 3/5 1/36 + their P(E and 12), ft their P(E 12) Subst in condit prob formula, must have a fraction Correct answer [6]
3 1 8 11 = (0.0611) + 5 36 180 180
M1 A1ft
P( E 12) =
P( E and 12) P(12)
M1dep
8 (0.727) 11
A1
OR list Even: 2 and (4,3) or (3,4) or (2,6) or (6,2) 4 and ditto Gives 8 options Odd: 1 and (6,6) or 3 and (6,6) or 5 and (6,6) Gives 3 options
M1 A1 M1 A1 M1 A1
List attempt evens 8 options List attempt odds 3 options (Their even)/(their total) Correct answer Correct stem must be integers. (stem and leaves can be in reverse order) Correct leaves flour must be single and ordered Correct leaves sugar must be single and ordered
Prob(E12) = 8/11 4 (i) sugar 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 flour 159 3 24 7
B1 B1 B1
81 7 943 4 8 741 key
1 196 2 means 1.961 kg for sugar and 1.962 kg for flour B1ft [4] (ii) med = 1.989 kg IQ range = 2.011 1.977 = 0.034 kg B1 M1 A1 [3] correct median subt their LQ from their UQ, UQ > med, LQ < med Correct answer Correct key needs all this, ft if single leaves and 1.96 etc in stem
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Syllabus 9709
Paper 62
(i) Zotoc: z =
367 320 = 2.176 21.6 367 350 Ganmor: z = = 2.267 7.5

P(Zotoc) = 0.985 P(Ganmor) = 0.988
M1
Standardising either cars fuel, no cc, no sq, no
A1 A1 [3] B1 M1 M1ind A1 [4] B1 B1 [2] M1 A1 A1 [3]
Correct answer Correct answer 0.23 seen Standardising either car, no cc, no sq rt, no sq 320 + d 320 i.e. just d on num Correct answer, 4.97 gets A0 One option correct Three options correct One term seen involving (0.3)x(0.7)9 x(9Cx) Correct unsimplified expression Correct answer
(ii) z = 0.23 x 320 0.23 = 21.6 x = 324.968 d = 4.97 6 (i) constant/given prob, independent trials, fixed/given no. of trials, only two outcomes (ii) P(8, 9, 0, 1) =
9
C8(0.3)8(0.7) + (0.3)9 + (0.7)9 + 9C1(0.3)(0.7)8
= 0.196 (iii) mean = 90 0.3 = 27 var = 18.9 35.5 27 P(X > 35) = 1 18.9 = 1 (1.955) = 0.0253
B1 M1 M1 M1 A1 [5]
Expressions for 27 and 18.9 (4.347) seen Standardising one expression, must have sq rt in denom, cc not necessary Continuity correction applied at least once (1 1) + (1 2) accept (0.0329 + 0.5) if no cc Rounding to correct answer
26.5 27 = 1 (0.115) P(X < 27) = 18.9 = 0.4542 Total prob = 0.480 accept 0.48
UCLES 2010
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Mark Scheme: Teachers version GCE A LEVEL October/November 2010 M1 A1 A1 [3] M1 A1 [2] M1 A1 A1 [3]
Syllabus 9709
Paper 62
(i) 4M 2W or 5M 1W chosen in 10C4 9C2 + 10C5 9C1 = 9828 (ii)

9
At least 1 of 10C4 9C2 and 10C5 9C1 seen Correct unsimplified expression Correct answer One of 9C3 8C1 and 9C4 (8C0) seen Correct answer One of 9C3 8C2 or 9C4 8C1 or C5 (8C0) seen
C3 8C1 + 9C4 = 798
Prob = 798/9828 = 0.0812 (iii) Albert + not T... 9C3 8C2 + 9C4 8C1 = 3360 Tracey + not A... 9C4 8C1 + 9C5 = 1134 Number of ways = 4494 (iv) 6! 4! 5 2 or 6! 5! 2 (= 480) OR 4! 5 4 or 4! 5P2 (= 480) prob = 480/6! = 2/3 (0.667) OR using probabilitiesas above OR Women together 5!/4! (= 5) Women not together = 15 5 = 10 total ways MMMMWW = 6!/4!2! = 15 prob = 2/3
Unsimplified 3360 or 1134 seen Correct final answer
B1 M1 A1 [3]
6! 4! 5 2 or 6! 5! 2 or 4! 5 4 or 4! 5P2 dividing by 6! correct answer
B1 M1 A1
5 or 10 seen Dividing by 15 Correct answer
UCLES 2010

9709 MATHEMATICS
Syllabus 9709
Paper 63
UCLES 2010
Page 3
Syllabus 9709
Paper 63
Penalties
MR 1
PA 1
UCLES 2010
Page 4
Mark Scheme: Teachers version GCE A LEVEL October/November 2010 B1 B1 [2]
Syllabus 9709
Paper 63
Normal mean 60 kg, variance 90 kg2
Any sensible values (mean 4080 kg, variance 16225 kg2), could give s.d. 415 kg
(i)
x 1 Prob k
2 2k
3 3k
4 4k
5 5k
M1 M1 A1 [3] M1
1, 2, 3, 4, 5 seen, together with some probabilities involving k but not x summing probs involving k to 1 correct answer using px no dividing
15k = 1 k = 1/15 (0.0667) (ii) E(X) = k + 4k + 9k + 16k + 25k = 55k = 11/3 (3.67) 3 (i) Ph 0.68 0.32 NPh 0.7 0.25 0.05 0.26 0.10 0.64 Y M O Y M O
correct answer, ft on 55k, 0 < k < 1 A1ft [2] Y = young, M = middle-aged, O = old M1 Correct shape with Ph, NPh first
A1 [2]
All probabilities and correct
(ii) P(PhM) =
0.68 0.25 0.68 0.25 + 0.32 0.1
B1 M1
= 0.842 (170/202) 4 (i)
A1 [3] M1 A1 [2] M1 A1 [2]
For correct numerator using cond prob formula with numerator < denominator For attempt at P(35 60 years old), involving the sum of two 2-factor probs, seen anywhere Correct answer 245/70 seen Correct answer Any valid method, involving 70 Correct answer
x = 60 + 245/70 = 63.5
(ii) (x 50) = x 50 = 245 + 70 60 70 50 = 945 (iii) coded mean = 945/70 = 13.5
( x 50) 2 945 2 = 10.6 70 70 (x 50)2 = 20623 (20600)
M1 A1 [2]
UCLES 2010
Using variance formula with coded mean Correct answer
Page 5
Syllabus 9709
Paper 63
(i) 2 to 4 4 to 6 6 to 7 7 to 8 8 to 10 10 to 16 20 44 34 30 30 36 M1 A1 A1 [3] (ii) mid-points 3, 5, 6.5, 7.5, 9, 13 E(X) = (3 20 + 5 44 + 6.5 34 + 7.5 30 + 9 30 + 13 36) / 194 = 1464/194 = 7.55 M1 5 or 6 correct mid-points Using fd to evaluate freqs Any four correct All correct
A1ft [2]
Correct answer, ft on 6 correct midpoints and the frequencies in their table 60/194 seen, ft on (their 30 + their 30) / their total multiplying a probability by 2 Correct answer P12 seen oe Correct answer
14
(iii) p = 60/194 (0.309) P(1) = 2 (60/194)(134/193) = 8040/18721 (0.429) 6 (i) P12 = 4.36 1010
14
B1ft M1 A1 [3] M1 A1 [2] B1 B1 B1 B1 [4] B1 B1 M1 A1 [4] B1 B1 M1 A1 B1 B1 M1 A1
(ii) business people 3! = 6 students 5! = 120 married couples 3P2 2 2 = 24 total ways = 17280 (iii) Mrs Brown 3 Mrs Lin 10 Student 5 Prob = 3 10 5 11P9 / (i) = 0.0687 OR1 3/14 10/13 5/12 = 150/2184 (0.0687)
3! oe seen, not in denominator 5! oe seen, not in denominator 24 oe seen, not in denominator correct final answer any 2 of 3, 10, 5 oe seen, not in denominator P9 seen multiplied dividing by their (i) correct answer any 2 of numerators 3, 10, 5 oe seen denominators 14, 13, 12 of 3 fractions multiplying 3 separate fractions correct answer 1 3/14 seen 1 11/14 5/13 seen attempt to find P(Mrs Lin not behind a student and Mrs Brown not in front row), involving 8/14 prob + 3/14 prob correct answer
11
OR2 1 3/14 = 11/14 1 11/14 5/13 = 127/182 8/14(4/13 12/12 + 9/13 7/12) + 3/14(3/13 12/12 + 10/13 7/12) = 1206/2184 1 (1524 + 1716 1206)/2184 = 150/2184
UCLES 2010
Page 6
Mark Scheme: Teachers version GCE A LEVEL October/November 2010 B1 M1 A1 [3] 0.807 seen
Syllabus 9709
Paper 63
(i)
z = 0.807 0.807 = s = 2.23
10 8.2
standardising, must have , no sq rt, no cc and a z-value correct answer
(ii) P(> 1 min from mean) = P(mod z > = P ( z > 0.4484) = (1 0.6729) 2 = 0.654
1 ) 2.23
M1 M1 A1 [3] M1 A1 A1 [3]
standardising, their sd, no cc and adding two areas using 1 (z) correct answer binomial term 6Cxpx(1 p)6 x correct unsimplified answer correct answer
(iii) P(> 2 longer) = 1 P(0, 1, 2 longer) = 1 {(0.79)6 + 6C1(0.21)(0.79)5 + 6 C2(0.21)2(0.79)4} = 0.112 (iv) = 35 0.5 = 17.5 2 = 35 0.5 0.5 = 8.75
B1
17.5 and 8.75 or
8.75 seen
15.5 17.5 P(X < 16) = 8.75
M1 M1
= 1 (0.676) = 1 0.7505 = 0.2495 (0.249 or 0.250) OR 35C00.500.535 + 35C10.510.534 + 35C20.520.533 +... = 8582372584/235 = 0.250
M1 A1 [5] M1 A1 M1 A1 A1
standardising, with or without cc, must have sd in denom continuity correction 15.5 or 16.5 only, seen using 1 (z) correct answer binomial term 35Cx0.5x0.535 x at least 2 correct terms (x 0) seen summing 16 or 17 terms correct expression correct answer
UCLES 2010

Maths Oct Nov 2010

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UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE INTERNATIONAL EXAMINATIONS General Certicate of Education Advanced Subsidiary Level and Advanced Level

MATHEMATICS Paper 6 Probability & Statistics 1 (S1)

Answer Booklet/Paper Graph Paper List of Formulae (MF9)

This document consists of 3 printed pages and 1 blank page.

Brenda is equally likely to choose any of the four entrances.

[1] [3] [3]

The table shows the probability distribution of X .

(iii) Given that E(X ) =

Sanket throws the die twice.

MATHEMATICS Paper 6 Probability & Statistics 1 (S1)

Answer Booklet/Paper Graph Paper List of Formulae (MF9)

This document consists of 3 printed pages and 1 blank page.

On any day, there is a probability of 0.3 that Julies train is late.

MATHEMATICS Paper 6 Probability & Statistics 1 (S1)

Answer Booklet/Paper Graph Paper List of Formulae (MF9)

This document consists of 4 printed pages.

His friend Sachim used values of (x 50) to calculate the mean.

Time (t minutes) Frequency

(ii) Calculate an estimate of the mean time to take a shower.

[Questions 6 and 7 are printed on the next page.]

UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE INTERNATIONAL EXAMINATIONS

Page 2 Mark Scheme Notes

Mark Scheme: Teachers version GCE A LEVEL October/November 2010

Mark Scheme: Teachers version GCE A LEVEL October/November 2010

Mark Scheme: Teachers version GCE A LEVEL October/November 2010

A Rick 1/3 Brenda 1/4 Ali 2/35

B 2/9 1/4 2/35

C 2/9 1/4 2/7

D 2/9 1/4 3/5

M1 A1 [4] M1 M1 A1 A1 [4] B1 [1] B1 [1] B1 [1] M1 M1 A1 [3] M1 A1 A1ft [3]

If y = P(odd number) then P(even number) = 2y 3y + 6y = 1 so y = 1/9 oe. OR prob = 1/3

2P(Odd) shown = P(Even) and summed to 1 correct answer accept either

UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE INTERNATIONAL EXAMINATIONS

Page 2 Mark Scheme Notes

Mark Scheme: Teachers version GCE A LEVEL October/November 2010

Mark Scheme: Teachers version GCE A LEVEL October/November 2010

Mark Scheme: Teachers version GCE A LEVEL October/November 2010 M1 A1 A1 [3] B1 M1

4p + 5p2 + 1.5p + 2.5p + 1.5p = 1 10p2 + 19p 2 = 0 p = 0.1 or 2 p = 0.1

(i) (x 50) = 824 16 50 = 24

( x 50) 2 ( x 50) 2 = 6.5 16 16

(x 50)2 = 712 (ii) new mean = 896/17 (= 52.7) new var =

712 + 22 2 24 + (72 50) 17 17

Mark Scheme: Teachers version GCE A LEVEL October/November 2010

P(E and 12) =

2/5 or 3/5 mult by dice-related probability seen anywhere

3 1 8 11 = (0.0611) + 5 36 180 180

P( E and 12) P(12)

81 7 943 4 8 741 key

Mark Scheme: Teachers version GCE A LEVEL October/November 2010

367 320 = 2.176 21.6 367 350 Ganmor: z = = 2.267 7.5

Standardising either cars fuel, no cc, no sq, no

A1 A1 [3] B1 M1 M1ind A1 [4] B1 B1 [2] M1 A1 A1 [3]

C8(0.3)8(0.7) + (0.3)9 + (0.7)9 + 9C1(0.3)(0.7)8

(i) 4M 2W or 5M 1W chosen in 10C4 9C2 + 10C5 9C1 = 9828 (ii)

C3 8C1 + 9C4 = 798

Unsimplified 3360 or 1134 seen Correct final answer

6! 4! 5 2 or 6! 5! 2 or 4! 5 4 or 4! 5P2 dividing by 6! correct answer

5 or 10 seen Dividing by 15 Correct answer

UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE INTERNATIONAL EXAMINATIONS

Page 2 Mark Scheme Notes

Mark Scheme: Teachers version GCE A LEVEL October/November 2010

Mark Scheme: Teachers version GCE A LEVEL October/November 2010

Mark Scheme: Teachers version GCE A LEVEL October/November 2010 B1 B1 [2]