TANGGAL DATA ALPHA 0.

1 EROR EROR^2 ABSEROR

2023-02-07 2514 F1 2514.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2023-02-08 2508 F2 2514.00 6.00 36.00 6.00
2023-02-09 2467 F3 2513.40 46.40 2152.96 46.40
2023-02-10 2466 F4 2508.76 42.76 1828.42 42.76
2023-02-13 2424 F5 2504.48 80.48 6477.67 80.48
2023-02-14 2420 F6 2496.44 76.44 5842.40 76.44
2023-02-15 2393 F7 2488.79 95.79 9176.11 95.79
2023-02-16 2382 F8 2479.21 97.21 9450.34 97.21
2023-02-17 2374 F9 2469.49 95.49 9118.64 95.49
2023-02-20 2430 F10 2459.94 29.94 896.55 29.94
2023-02-21 2472 F11 2456.95 -15.05 226.56 15.05
2023-02-22 2429 F12 2458.45 29.45 867.50 29.45
2023-02-23 2408 F13 2455.51 47.51 2257.01 47.51
2023-02-24 2356 F14 2450.76 94.76 8978.93 94.76
2023-02-27 2360 F15 2441.28 81.28 6606.68 81.28
2023-02-28 2346 F16 2433.15 87.15 7595.70 87.15
2023-03-01 2406.5 F17 2424.44 17.94 321.77 17.94
2023-03-02 2411 F18 2422.64 11.64 135.59 11.64
2023-03-03 2404 F19 2421.48 17.48 305.54 17.48
2023-03-06 2368 F20 2419.73 51.73 2676.18 51.73
2023-03-07 2360 F21 2414.56 54.56 2976.64 54.56
2023-03-08 2336 F22 2409.10 73.10 5344.01 73.10
2023-03-09 2335.5 F23 2401.79 66.29 4394.69 66.29
2023-03-10 2297.5 F24 2395.16 97.66 9538.11 97.66
2023-03-13 2287 F25 2385.40 98.40 9681.95 98.40
2023-03-14 2321 F26 2375.56 54.56 2976.49 54.56
2023-03-15 2295.5 F27 2370.10 74.60 5565.38 74.60
2023-03-16 2287 F28 2362.64 75.64 5721.61 75.64
2023-03-17 2280 F29 2355.08 75.08 5636.59 75.08
2023-03-20 2283 F30 2347.57 64.57 4169.22 64.57
2023-03-21 2286 F31 2341.11 55.11 3037.39 55.11
2023-03-22 2282.5 F32 2335.60 53.10 2819.75 53.10
2023-03-23 2313.5 F33 2330.29 16.79 281.94 16.79
2023-03-24 2313 F34 2328.61 15.61 243.74 15.61
2023-03-27 2340.5 F35 2327.05 -13.45 180.88 13.45
2023-03-28 2361 F36 2328.40 -32.60 1063.04 32.60
2023-03-29 2410 F37 2331.66 -78.34 6137.75 78.34
2023-03-30 2388 F38 2339.49 -48.51 2353.17 48.51
2023-03-31 2375.5 F39 2344.34 -31.16 970.85 31.16
2023-04-03 2430 F40 2347.46 -82.54 6813.29 82.54
2023-04-04 2394 F41 2355.71 -38.29 1466.00 38.29
2023-04-05 2354 F42 2359.54 5.54 30.70 5.54
2023-04-06 2340.5 F43 2358.99 18.49 341.75 18.49
2023-04-11 2308 F44 2357.14 49.14 2414.52 49.14
2023-04-12 2302 F45 2352.22 50.22 2522.45 50.22
2023-04-13 2365 F46 2347.20 -17.80 316.78 17.80
2023-04-14 2388 F47 2348.98 -39.02 1522.45 39.02
2023-04-17 2371 F48 2352.88 -18.12 328.22 18.12
2023-04-18 2423 F49 2354.69 -68.31 4665.58 68.31
2023-04-19 2402 F50 2361.53 -40.47 1638.19 40.47
2023-04-20 2431 F51 2365.57 -65.43 4280.70 65.43
2023-04-21 2400 F52 2372.12 -27.88 777.54 27.88
2023-04-24 2373 F53 2374.90 1.90 3.63 1.90
2023-04-25 2332 F54 2374.71 42.71 1824.46 42.71
2023-04-26 2356 F55 2370.44 14.44 208.58 14.44
2023-04-27 2310 F56 2369.00 59.00 3480.77 59.00
2023-04-28 2344 F57 2363.10 19.10 364.74 19.10
2023-05-02 2355 F58 2361.19 6.19 38.30 6.19
2023-05-03 2343 F59 2360.57 17.57 308.69 17.57
2023-05-04 2308 F60 2358.81 50.81 2581.92 50.81
2023-05-05 2292 F61 2353.73 61.73 3810.76 61.73
2023-05-09 2327 F62 2347.56 20.56 422.64 20.56
2023-05-10 2281 F63 2345.50 64.50 4160.56 64.50
2023-05-11 2237 F64 2339.05 102.05 10414.64 102.05
2023-05-12 2237 F65 2328.85 91.85 8435.86 91.85
2023-05-15 2268 F66 2319.66 51.66 2668.99 51.66
2023-05-16 2242.5 F67 2314.50 72.00 5183.43 72.00
2023-05-17 2273.5 F68 2307.30 33.80 1142.20 33.80
2023-05-18 2304 F69 2303.92 -0.08 0.01 0.08
2023-05-19 2297 F70 2303.93 6.93 47.96 6.93
2023-05-22 2262 F71 2303.23 41.23 1700.13 41.23
2023-05-23 2227 F72 2299.11 72.11 5199.76 72.11
2023-05-24 2229 F73 2291.90 62.90 3956.21 62.90
2023-05-25 2226 F74 2285.61 59.61 3553.18 59.61
2023-05-26 2238 F75 2279.65 41.65 1734.53 41.65
2023-05-30 2225 F76 2275.48 50.48 2548.53 50.48
2023-05-31 2221.5 F77 2270.43 48.93 2394.60 48.93
2023-06-01 2253 F78 2265.54 12.54 157.28 12.54
2023-06-02 2289.5 F79 2264.29 -25.21 635.69 25.21
2023-06-05 2255 F80 2266.81 11.81 139.44 11.81
2023-06-06 2219 F81 2265.63 46.63 2174.13 46.63
2023-06-07 2215 F82 2260.96 45.96 2112.76 45.96

ALPHA 0.6 EROR EROR^2 ABSEROR

F1 2514.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
F2 2514.00 6.00 36.00 6.00
F3 2510.40 43.40 1883.56 43.40
F4 2484.36 18.36 337.09 18.36
F5 2473.34 49.34 2434.83 49.34
 F6 2443.74 23.74 563.47 23.74
F7 2429.50 36.50 1331.89 36.50
F8 2407.60 25.60 655.26 25.60
F9 2392.24 18.24 332.67 18.24
F10 2381.30 -48.70 2372.11 48.70
F11 2410.52 -61.48 3780.00 61.48
F12 2447.41 18.41 338.83 18.41
F13 2436.36 28.36 804.46 28.36
F14 2419.35 63.35 4012.61 63.35
F15 2381.34 21.34 455.31 21.34
F16 2368.54 22.54 507.84 22.54
F17 2355.01 -51.49 2650.80 51.49
F18 2385.91 -25.09 629.73 25.09
F19 2400.96 -3.04 9.23 3.04
F20 2402.78 34.78 1209.99 34.78
F21 2381.91 21.91 480.22 21.91
F22 2368.77 32.77 1073.58 32.77
F23 2349.11 13.61 185.13 13.61
F24 2340.94 43.44 1887.25 43.44
F25 2314.88 27.88 777.13 27.88
F26 2298.15 -22.85 522.09 22.85
F27 2311.86 16.36 267.66 16.36
F28 2302.04 15.04 226.33 15.04
F29 2293.02 13.02 169.46 13.02
F30 2285.21 2.21 4.87 2.21
F31 2283.88 -2.12 4.48 2.12
F32 2285.15 2.65 7.04 2.65
F33 2283.56 -29.94 896.33 29.94
F34 2301.52 -11.48 131.69 11.48
F35 2308.41 -32.09 1029.78 32.09
F36 2327.66 -33.34 1111.29 33.34
F37 2347.67 -62.33 3885.58 62.33
F38 2385.07 -2.93 8.61 2.93
F39 2386.83 11.33 128.29 11.33
F40 2380.03 -49.97 2496.94 49.97
F41 2410.01 16.01 256.39 16.01
F42 2400.40 46.40 2153.41 46.40
F43 2372.56 32.06 1027.97 32.06
F44 2353.32 45.32 2054.34 45.32
F45 2326.13 24.13 582.25 24.13
F46 2311.65 -53.35 2846.01 53.35
F47 2343.66 -44.34 1965.97 44.34
F48 2370.26 -0.74 0.54 0.74
F49 2370.71 -52.29 2734.69 52.29
F50 2402.08 0.08 0.01 0.08
F51 2402.03 -28.97 839.09 28.97
F52 2419.41 19.41 376.87 19.41
F53 2407.77 34.77 1208.62 34.77
F54 2386.91 54.91 3014.68 54.91
F55 2353.96 -2.04 4.15 2.04
F56 2355.18 45.18 2041.68 45.18
F57 2328.07 -15.93 253.64 15.93
F58 2337.63 -17.37 301.73 17.37
F59 2348.05 5.05 25.52 5.05
F60 2345.02 37.02 1370.53 37.02
F61 2322.81 30.81 949.15 30.81
F62 2304.32 -22.68 514.23 22.68
F63 2317.93 36.93 1363.78 36.93
F64 2295.77 58.77 3454.12 58.77
F65 2260.51 23.51 552.66 23.51
F66 2246.40 -21.60 466.41 21.60
F67 2259.36 16.86 284.31 16.86
F68 2249.24 -24.26 588.33 24.26
F69 2263.80 -40.20 1616.22 40.20
F70 2287.92 -9.08 82.46 9.08
F71 2293.37 31.37 983.93 31.37
F72 2274.55 47.55 2260.72 47.55
F73 2246.02 17.02 289.64 17.02
F74 2235.81 9.81 96.19 9.81
F75 2229.92 -8.08 65.24 8.08
F76 2234.77 9.77 95.44 9.77
F77 2228.91 7.41 54.87 7.41
F78 2224.46 -28.54 814.36 28.54
F79 2241.59 -47.91 2295.83 47.91
F80 2270.33 15.33 235.13 15.33
F81 2261.13 42.13 1775.24 42.13
F82 2235.85 20.85 434.87 20.85
 ALPHA 0.2 EROR EROR^2 ABSEROR
MSE 3006.906 F1 2514.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MSE
MAPE 47.0836 F2 2514.00 6.00 36.00 6.00 MAPE
F3 2512.80 45.80 2097.64 45.80
F4 2503.64 37.64 1416.77 37.64
F5 2496.11 72.11 5200.14 72.11
F6 2481.69 61.69 3805.61 61.69
F7 2469.35 76.35 5829.58 76.35
F8 2454.08 72.08 5195.72 72.08
F9 2439.67 65.67 4311.90 65.67
F10 2426.53 -3.47 12.03 3.47
F11 2427.23 -44.77 2004.74 44.77
F12 2436.18 7.18 51.56 7.18
F13 2434.74 26.74 715.26 26.74
F14 2429.40 73.40 5386.90 73.40
F15 2414.72 54.72 2993.89 54.72
F16 2403.77 57.77 3337.74 57.77
F17 2392.22 -14.28 203.96 14.28
F18 2395.07 -15.93 253.61 15.93
F19 2398.26 -5.74 32.95 5.74
F20 2399.41 31.41 986.45 31.41
F21 2393.13 33.13 1097.35 33.13
F22 2386.50 50.50 2550.36 50.50
F23 2376.40 40.90 1672.88 40.90
F24 2368.22 70.72 5001.41 70.72
F25 2354.08 67.08 4499.26 67.08
F26 2340.66 19.66 386.56 19.66
F27 2336.73 41.23 1699.83 41.23
F28 2328.48 41.48 1720.85 41.48
F29 2320.19 40.19 1614.96 40.19
F30 2312.15 29.15 849.68 29.15
F31 2306.32 20.32 412.88 20.32
F32 2302.26 19.76 390.28 19.76
F33 2298.30 -15.20 230.91 15.20
F34 2301.34 -11.66 135.87 11.66
F35 2303.67 -36.83 1356.09 36.83
F36 2311.04 -49.96 2496.02 49.96
F37 2321.03 -88.97 7915.33 88.97
F38 2338.83 -49.17 2418.13 49.17
F39 2348.66 -26.84 720.36 26.84
F40 2354.03 -75.97 5771.70 75.97
F41 2369.22 -24.78 613.92 24.78
F42 2374.18 20.18 407.16 20.18
F43 2370.14 29.64 878.68 29.64
F44 2364.21 56.21 3160.01 56.21
 F45 2352.97 50.97 2598.06 50.97
F46 2342.78 -22.22 493.86 22.22
F47 2347.22 -40.78 1662.88 40.78
F48 2355.38 -15.62 244.07 15.62
F49 2358.50 -64.50 4160.02 64.50
F50 2371.40 -30.60 936.27 30.60
F51 2377.52 -53.48 2859.99 53.48
F52 2388.22 -11.78 138.84 11.78
F53 2390.57 17.57 308.83 17.57
F54 2387.06 55.06 3031.47 55.06
F55 2376.05 20.05 401.88 20.05
F56 2372.04 62.04 3848.67 62.04
F57 2359.63 15.63 244.30 15.63
F58 2356.50 1.50 2.26 1.50
F59 2356.20 13.20 174.33 13.20
F60 2353.56 45.56 2075.95 45.56
F61 2344.45 52.45 2751.01 52.45
F62 2333.96 6.96 48.44 6.96
F63 2332.57 51.57 2659.27 51.57
F64 2322.25 85.25 7268.32 85.25
F65 2305.20 68.20 4651.73 68.20
F66 2291.56 23.56 555.21 23.56
F67 2286.85 44.35 1966.95 44.35
F68 2277.98 4.48 20.07 4.48
F69 2277.08 -26.92 724.46 26.92
F70 2282.47 -14.53 211.20 14.53
F71 2285.37 23.37 546.34 23.37
F72 2280.70 53.70 2883.59 53.70
F73 2269.96 40.96 1677.66 40.96
F74 2261.77 35.77 1279.31 35.77
F75 2254.61 16.61 276.02 16.61
F76 2251.29 26.29 691.22 26.29
F77 2246.03 24.53 601.86 24.53
F78 2241.13 -11.87 140.98 11.87
F79 2243.50 -46.00 2115.90 46.00
F80 2252.70 -2.30 5.29 2.30
F81 2253.16 34.16 1166.95 34.16
F82 2246.33 31.33 981.48 31.33

ALPHA 0.7 EROR EROR^2 ABSEROR

MSE 999.6418 F1 2514.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MSE
MAPE 26.74202 F2 2514.00 6.00 36.00 6.00 MAPE
F3 2509.80 42.80 1831.84 42.80
F4 2479.84 13.84 191.55 13.84
F5 2470.15 46.15 2130.01 46.15
 F6 2437.85 17.85 318.47 17.85
F7 2425.35 32.35 1046.76 32.35
F8 2402.71 20.71 428.74 20.71
F9 2388.21 14.21 201.98 14.21
F10 2378.26 -51.74 2676.66 51.74
F11 2414.48 -57.52 3308.66 57.52
F12 2454.74 25.74 662.74 25.74
F13 2436.72 28.72 825.02 28.72
F14 2416.62 60.62 3674.41 60.62
F15 2374.19 14.19 201.22 14.19
F16 2364.26 18.26 333.26 18.26
F17 2351.48 -55.02 3027.57 55.02
F18 2389.99 -21.01 441.29 21.01
F19 2404.70 0.70 0.49 0.70
F20 2404.21 36.21 1311.12 36.21
F21 2378.86 18.86 355.81 18.86
F22 2365.66 29.66 879.65 29.66
F23 2344.90 9.40 88.32 9.40
F24 2338.32 40.82 1666.21 40.82
F25 2309.75 22.75 517.37 22.75
F26 2293.82 -27.18 738.55 27.18
F27 2312.85 17.35 300.92 17.35
F28 2300.70 13.70 187.80 13.70
F29 2291.11 11.11 123.46 11.11
F30 2283.33 0.33 0.11 0.33
F31 2283.10 -2.90 8.41 2.90
F32 2285.13 2.63 6.92 2.63
F33 2283.29 -30.21 912.70 30.21
F34 2304.44 -8.56 73.33 8.56
F35 2310.43 -30.07 904.14 30.07
F36 2331.48 -29.52 871.47 29.52
F37 2352.14 -57.86 3347.34 57.86
F38 2392.64 4.64 21.56 4.64
F39 2389.39 13.89 193.01 13.89
F40 2379.67 -50.33 2533.32 50.33
F41 2414.90 20.90 436.83 20.90
F42 2400.27 46.27 2140.92 46.27
F43 2367.88 27.38 749.72 27.38
F44 2348.71 40.71 1657.66 40.71
F45 2320.21 18.21 331.76 18.21
F46 2307.46 -57.54 3310.36 57.54
F47 2347.74 -40.26 1620.93 40.26
F48 2375.92 4.92 24.22 4.92
F49 2372.48 -50.52 2552.62 50.52
F50 2407.84 5.84 34.14 5.84
F51 2403.75 -27.25 742.41 27.25
F52 2422.83 22.83 521.02 22.83
F53 2406.85 33.85 1145.67 33.85
F54 2383.15 51.15 2616.77 51.15
F55 2347.35 -8.65 74.89 8.65
F56 2353.40 43.40 1883.90 43.40
F57 2323.02 -20.98 440.11 20.98
F58 2337.71 -17.29 299.07 17.29
F59 2349.81 6.81 46.40 6.81
F60 2345.04 37.04 1372.23 37.04
F61 2319.11 27.11 735.12 27.11
F62 2300.13 -26.87 721.79 26.87
F63 2318.94 37.94 1439.46 37.94
F64 2292.38 55.38 3067.17 55.38
F65 2253.61 16.61 276.05 16.61
F66 2241.98 -26.02 676.81 26.02
F67 2260.20 17.70 313.12 17.70
F68 2247.81 -25.69 660.05 25.69
F69 2265.79 -38.21 1459.81 38.21
F70 2292.54 -4.46 19.91 4.46
F71 2295.66 33.66 1133.09 33.66
F72 2272.10 45.10 2033.87 45.10
F73 2240.53 11.53 132.93 11.53
F74 2232.46 6.46 41.72 6.46
F75 2227.94 -10.06 101.25 10.06
F76 2234.98 9.98 99.63 9.98
F77 2227.99 6.49 42.18 6.49
F78 2223.45 -29.55 873.30 29.55
F79 2244.13 -45.37 2058.03 45.37
F80 2275.89 20.89 436.41 20.89
F81 2261.27 42.27 1786.51 42.27
F82 2231.68 16.68 278.23 16.68
 ALPHA 0.3 EROR EROR^2 ABSEROR
1808.267 F1 2514.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MSE 1417.058
36.31716 F2 2514.00 6.00 36.00 6.00 MAPE 31.97555
F3 2512.20 45.20 2043.04 45.20
F4 2498.64 32.64 1065.37 32.64
F5 2488.85 64.85 4205.26 64.85
F6 2469.39 49.39 2439.73 49.39
F7 2454.58 61.58 3791.54 61.58
F8 2436.10 54.10 2927.12 54.10
F9 2419.87 45.87 2104.24 45.87
F10 2406.11 -23.89 570.71 23.89
F11 2413.28 -58.72 3448.36 58.72
F12 2430.89 1.89 3.59 1.89
F13 2430.33 22.33 498.44 22.33
F14 2423.63 67.63 4573.56 67.63
F15 2403.34 43.34 1878.33 43.34
F16 2390.34 44.34 1965.84 44.34
F17 2377.04 -29.46 868.10 29.46
F18 2385.88 -25.12 631.24 25.12
F19 2393.41 -10.59 112.09 10.59
F20 2396.59 28.59 817.33 28.59
F21 2388.01 28.01 784.69 28.01
F22 2379.61 43.61 1901.71 43.61
F23 2366.53 31.03 962.61 31.03
F24 2357.22 59.72 3566.27 59.72
F25 2339.30 52.30 2735.58 52.30
F26 2323.61 2.61 6.82 2.61
F27 2322.83 27.33 746.84 27.33
F28 2314.63 27.63 763.41 27.63
F29 2306.34 26.34 693.84 26.34
F30 2298.44 15.44 238.35 15.44
F31 2293.81 7.81 60.95 7.81
F32 2291.46 8.96 80.37 8.96
F33 2288.78 -24.72 611.30 24.72
F34 2296.19 -16.81 282.48 16.81
F35 2301.23 -39.27 1541.74 39.27
F36 2313.01 -47.99 2302.61 47.99
F37 2327.41 -82.59 6821.09 82.59
F38 2352.19 -35.81 1282.56 35.81
F39 2362.93 -12.57 157.98 12.57
F40 2366.70 -63.30 4006.68 63.30
F41 2385.69 -8.31 69.04 8.31
F42 2388.18 34.18 1168.53 34.18
F43 2377.93 37.43 1400.91 37.43
F44 2366.70 58.70 3445.70 58.70
 F45 2349.09 47.09 2217.47 47.09
F46 2334.96 -30.04 902.22 30.04
F47 2343.97 -44.03 1938.28 44.03
F48 2357.18 -13.82 190.94 13.82
F49 2361.33 -61.67 3803.52 61.67
F50 2379.83 -22.17 491.55 22.17
F51 2386.48 -44.52 1982.00 44.52
F52 2399.84 -0.16 0.03 0.16
F53 2399.89 26.89 722.82 26.89
F54 2391.82 59.82 3578.41 59.82
F55 2373.87 17.87 319.47 17.87
F56 2368.51 58.51 3423.62 58.51
F57 2350.96 6.96 48.42 6.96
F58 2348.87 -6.13 37.57 6.13
F59 2350.71 7.71 59.44 7.71
F60 2348.40 40.40 1631.89 40.40
F61 2336.28 44.28 1960.51 44.28
F62 2322.99 -4.01 16.05 4.01
F63 2324.20 43.20 1865.90 43.20
F64 2311.24 74.24 5511.17 74.24
F65 2288.97 51.97 2700.47 51.97
F66 2273.38 5.38 28.90 5.38
F67 2271.76 29.26 856.34 29.26
F68 2262.98 -10.52 110.58 10.52
F69 2266.14 -37.86 1433.45 37.86
F70 2277.50 -19.50 380.35 19.50
F71 2283.35 21.35 455.74 21.35
F72 2276.94 49.94 2494.37 49.94
F73 2261.96 32.96 1086.40 32.96
F74 2252.07 26.07 679.77 26.07
F75 2244.25 6.25 39.07 6.25
F76 2242.38 17.38 301.91 17.38
F77 2237.16 15.66 245.32 15.66
F78 2232.46 -20.54 421.73 20.54
F79 2238.62 -50.88 2588.29 50.88
F80 2253.89 -1.11 1.24 1.11
F81 2254.22 35.22 1240.53 35.22
F82 2243.65 28.65 821.10 28.65

ALPHA 0.8 EROR EROR^2 ABSEROR

936.1732 F1 2514.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MSE 892.8237
25.869 F2 2514.00 6.00 36.00 6.00 MAPE 25.15003
F3 2509.20 42.20 1780.84 42.20
F4 2475.44 9.44 89.11 9.44
F5 2467.89 43.89 1926.16 43.89
 F6 2432.78 12.78 163.27 12.78
F7 2422.56 29.56 873.53 29.56
F8 2398.91 16.91 285.99 16.91
F9 2385.38 11.38 129.55 11.38
F10 2376.28 -53.72 2886.22 53.72
F11 2419.26 -52.74 2782.00 52.74
F12 2461.45 32.45 1053.07 32.45
F13 2435.49 27.49 755.71 27.49
F14 2413.50 57.50 3306.02 57.50
F15 2367.50 7.50 56.24 7.50
F16 2361.50 15.50 240.25 15.50
F17 2349.10 -57.40 3294.76 57.40
F18 2395.02 -15.98 255.36 15.98
F19 2407.80 3.80 14.47 3.80
F20 2404.76 36.76 1351.36 36.76
F21 2375.35 15.35 235.69 15.35
F22 2363.07 27.07 732.81 27.07
F23 2341.41 5.91 34.98 5.91
F24 2336.68 39.18 1535.29 39.18
F25 2305.34 18.34 336.23 18.34
F26 2290.67 -30.33 920.07 30.33
F27 2314.93 19.43 377.66 19.43
F28 2299.39 12.39 153.43 12.39
F29 2289.48 9.48 89.82 9.48
F30 2281.90 -1.10 1.22 1.10
F31 2282.78 -3.22 10.37 3.22
F32 2285.36 2.86 8.16 2.86
F33 2283.07 -30.43 925.91 30.43
F34 2307.41 -5.59 31.20 5.59
F35 2311.88 -28.62 818.94 28.62
F36 2334.78 -26.22 687.67 26.22
F37 2355.76 -54.24 2942.49 54.24
F38 2399.15 11.15 124.35 11.15
F39 2390.23 14.73 216.98 14.73
F40 2378.45 -51.55 2657.81 51.55
F41 2419.69 25.69 659.94 25.69
F42 2399.14 45.14 2037.42 45.14
F43 2363.03 22.53 507.49 22.53
F44 2345.01 37.01 1369.41 37.01
F45 2315.40 13.40 179.59 13.40
F46 2304.68 -60.32 3638.48 60.32
F47 2352.94 -35.06 1229.48 35.06
F48 2380.99 9.99 99.74 9.99
F49 2373.00 -50.00 2500.26 50.00
F50 2413.00 11.00 120.99 11.00
F51 2404.20 -26.80 718.25 26.80
F52 2425.64 25.64 657.41 25.64
F53 2405.13 32.13 1032.21 32.13
F54 2379.43 47.43 2249.19 47.43
F55 2341.49 -14.51 210.68 14.51
F56 2353.10 43.10 1857.35 43.10
F57 2318.62 -25.38 644.17 25.38
F58 2338.92 -16.08 258.44 16.08
F59 2351.78 8.78 77.17 8.78
F60 2344.76 36.76 1351.07 36.76
F61 2315.35 23.35 545.29 23.35
F62 2296.67 -30.33 919.89 30.33
F63 2320.93 39.93 1594.73 39.93
F64 2288.99 51.99 2702.63 51.99
F65 2247.40 10.40 108.11 10.40
F66 2239.08 -28.92 836.40 28.92
F67 2262.22 19.72 388.72 19.72
F68 2246.44 -27.06 732.07 27.06
F69 2268.09 -35.91 1289.63 35.91
F70 2296.82 -0.18 0.03 0.18
F71 2296.96 34.96 1222.45 34.96
F72 2268.99 41.99 1763.39 41.99
F73 2235.40 6.40 40.94 6.40
F74 2230.28 4.28 18.32 4.28
F75 2226.86 -11.14 124.19 11.14
F76 2235.77 10.77 116.02 10.77
F77 2227.15 5.65 31.97 5.65
F78 2222.63 -30.37 922.29 30.37
F79 2246.93 -42.57 1812.53 42.57
F80 2280.99 25.99 675.23 25.99
F81 2260.20 41.20 1697.20 41.20
F82 2227.24 12.24 149.80 12.24
ALPHA 0.4 EROR EROR^2 ABSEROR
F1 2514.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MSE 1216.786
F2 2514.00 6.00 36.00 6.00 MAPE 29.55826
F3 2511.60 44.60 1989.16 44.60
F4 2493.76 27.76 770.62 27.76
F5 2482.66 58.66 3440.53 58.66
F6 2459.19 39.19 1536.14 39.19
F7 2443.52 50.52 2551.88 50.52
F8 2423.31 41.31 1706.49 41.31
F9 2406.79 32.79 1074.91 32.79
F10 2393.67 -36.33 1319.76 36.33
F11 2408.20 -63.80 4070.07 63.80
F12 2433.72 4.72 22.29 4.72
F13 2431.83 23.83 568.01 23.83
F14 2422.30 66.30 4395.67 66.30
F15 2395.78 35.78 1280.20 35.78
F16 2381.47 35.47 1257.97 35.47
F17 2367.28 -39.22 1538.15 39.22
F18 2382.97 -28.03 785.77 28.03
F19 2394.18 -9.82 96.41 9.82
F20 2398.11 30.11 906.53 30.11
F21 2386.07 26.07 679.39 26.07
F22 2375.64 39.64 1571.26 39.64
F23 2359.78 24.28 589.69 24.28
F24 2350.07 52.57 2763.61 52.57
F25 2329.04 42.04 1767.53 42.04
F26 2312.23 -8.77 77.00 8.77
F27 2315.74 20.24 409.46 20.24
F28 2307.64 20.64 426.05 20.64
F29 2299.38 19.38 375.76 19.38
F30 2291.63 8.63 74.49 8.63
F31 2288.18 2.18 4.75 2.18
F32 2287.31 4.81 23.11 4.81
F33 2285.38 -28.12 790.50 28.12
F34 2296.63 -16.37 267.96 16.37
F35 2303.18 -37.32 1392.91 37.32
F36 2318.11 -42.89 1839.81 42.89
F37 2335.26 -74.74 5585.44 74.74
F38 2365.16 -22.84 521.73 22.84
F39 2374.30 -1.20 1.45 1.20
F40 2374.78 -55.22 3049.57 55.22
F41 2396.87 2.87 8.22 2.87
F42 2395.72 41.72 1740.54 41.72
F43 2379.03 38.53 1484.70 38.53
F44 2363.62 55.62 3093.49 55.62
 F45 2341.37 39.37 1550.11 39.37
F46 2325.62 -39.38 1550.56 39.38
F47 2341.37 -46.63 2174.01 46.63
F48 2360.02 -10.98 120.47 10.98
F49 2364.41 -58.59 3432.26 58.59
F50 2387.85 -14.15 200.26 14.15
F51 2393.51 -37.49 1405.56 37.49
F52 2408.51 8.51 72.34 8.51
F53 2405.10 32.10 1030.62 32.10
F54 2392.26 60.26 3631.51 60.26
F55 2368.16 12.16 147.80 12.16
F56 2363.29 53.29 2840.28 53.29
F57 2341.98 -2.02 4.09 2.02
F58 2342.79 -12.21 149.18 12.21
F59 2347.67 4.67 21.82 4.67
F60 2345.80 37.80 1429.06 37.80
F61 2330.68 38.68 1496.28 38.68
F62 2315.21 -11.79 139.03 11.79
F63 2319.93 38.93 1515.19 38.93
F64 2304.36 67.36 4536.73 67.36
F65 2277.41 40.41 1633.22 40.41
F66 2261.25 -6.75 45.59 6.75
F67 2263.95 21.45 460.05 21.45
F68 2255.37 -18.13 328.72 18.13
F69 2262.62 -41.38 1712.18 41.38
F70 2279.17 -17.83 317.80 17.83
F71 2286.30 24.30 590.67 24.30
F72 2276.58 49.58 2458.40 49.58
F73 2256.75 27.75 770.03 27.75
F74 2245.65 19.65 386.11 19.65
F75 2237.79 -0.21 0.04 0.21
F76 2237.87 12.87 165.74 12.87
F77 2232.72 11.22 125.99 11.22
F78 2228.23 -24.77 613.33 24.77
F79 2238.14 -51.36 2637.77 51.36
F80 2258.68 3.68 13.58 3.68
F81 2257.21 38.21 1460.06 38.21
F82 2241.93 26.93 725.03 26.93

ALPHA 0.9 EROR EROR^2 ABSEROR

F1 2514.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MSE 866.5819
F2 2514.00 6.00 36.00 6.00 MAPE 24.50798
F3 2508.60 41.60 1730.56 41.60
F4 2471.16 5.16 26.63 5.16
F5 2466.52 42.52 1807.61 42.52
 F6 2428.25 8.25 68.09 8.25
F7 2420.83 27.83 774.24 27.83
F8 2395.78 13.78 189.96 13.78
F9 2383.38 9.38 87.95 9.38
F10 2374.94 -55.06 3031.84 55.06
F11 2424.49 -47.51 2256.84 47.51
F12 2467.25 38.25 1463.01 38.25
F13 2432.82 24.82 616.28 24.82
F14 2410.48 54.48 2968.34 54.48
F15 2361.45 1.45 2.10 1.45
F16 2360.14 14.14 200.08 14.14
F17 2347.41 -59.09 3491.10 59.09
F18 2400.59 -10.41 108.34 10.41
F19 2409.96 5.96 35.51 5.96
F20 2404.60 36.60 1339.26 36.60
F21 2371.66 11.66 135.95 11.66
F22 2361.17 25.17 633.33 25.17
F23 2338.52 3.02 9.10 3.02
F24 2335.80 38.30 1467.02 38.30
F25 2301.33 14.33 205.35 14.33
F26 2288.43 -32.57 1060.61 32.57
F27 2317.74 22.24 494.76 22.24
F28 2297.72 10.72 115.01 10.72
F29 2288.07 8.07 65.16 8.07
F30 2280.81 -2.19 4.81 2.19
F31 2282.78 -3.22 10.36 3.22
F32 2285.68 3.18 10.10 3.18
F33 2282.82 -30.68 941.40 30.68
F34 2310.43 -2.57 6.60 2.57
F35 2312.74 -27.76 770.44 27.76
F36 2337.72 -23.28 541.76 23.28
F37 2358.67 -51.33 2634.52 51.33
F38 2404.87 16.87 284.50 16.87
F39 2389.69 14.19 201.26 14.19
F40 2376.92 -53.08 2817.63 53.08
F41 2424.69 30.69 941.99 30.69
F42 2397.07 43.07 1854.95 43.07
F43 2358.31 17.81 317.09 17.81
F44 2342.28 34.28 1175.17 34.28
F45 2311.43 9.43 88.89 9.43
F46 2302.94 -62.06 3851.10 62.06
F47 2358.79 -29.21 852.97 29.21
F48 2385.08 14.08 198.23 14.08
F49 2372.41 -50.59 2559.56 50.59
F50 2417.94 15.94 254.11 15.94
F51 2403.59 -27.41 751.08 27.41
F52 2428.26 28.26 798.59 28.26
F53 2402.83 29.83 889.59 29.83
F54 2375.98 43.98 1934.47 43.98
F55 2336.40 -19.60 384.23 19.60
F56 2354.04 44.04 1939.51 44.04
F57 2314.40 -29.60 875.92 29.60
F58 2341.04 -13.96 194.87 13.96
F59 2353.60 10.60 112.45 10.60
F60 2344.06 36.06 1300.35 36.06
F61 2311.61 19.61 384.40 19.61
F62 2293.96 -33.04 1091.60 33.04
F63 2323.70 42.70 1822.95 42.70
F64 2285.27 48.27 2329.95 48.27
F65 2241.83 4.83 23.30 4.83
F66 2237.48 -30.52 931.31 30.52
F67 2264.95 22.45 503.92 22.45
F68 2244.74 -28.76 826.86 28.76
F69 2270.62 -33.38 1113.93 33.38
F70 2300.66 3.66 13.41 3.66
F71 2297.37 35.37 1250.77 35.37
F72 2265.54 38.54 1485.07 38.54
F73 2230.85 1.85 3.44 1.85
F74 2229.19 3.19 10.15 3.19
F75 2226.32 -11.68 136.46 11.68
F76 2236.83 11.83 139.99 11.83
F77 2226.18 4.68 21.93 4.68
F78 2221.97 -31.03 962.97 31.03
F79 2249.90 -39.60 1568.41 39.60
F80 2285.54 30.54 932.67 30.54
F81 2258.05 39.05 1525.21 39.05
F82 2222.91 7.91 62.50 7.91
ALPHA 0.5 EROR EROR^2 ABSEROR
F1 2514.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 MSE 1088.988
F2 2514.00 6.00 36.00 6.00 MAPE 28.11714
F3 2511.00 44.00 1936.00 44.00
F4 2489.00 23.00 529.00 23.00
F5 2477.50 53.50 2862.25 53.50
F6 2450.75 30.75 945.56 30.75
F7 2435.38 42.38 1795.64 42.38
F8 2414.19 32.19 1036.04 32.19
F9 2398.09 24.09 580.51 24.09
F10 2386.05 -43.95 1931.88 43.95
F11 2408.02 -63.98 4093.00 63.98
F12 2440.01 11.01 121.26 11.01
F13 2434.51 26.51 702.56 26.51
F14 2421.25 65.25 4257.94 65.25
F15 2388.63 28.63 819.47 28.63
F16 2374.31 28.31 801.64 28.31
F17 2360.16 -46.34 2147.71 46.34
F18 2383.33 -27.67 765.72 27.67
F19 2397.16 -6.84 46.73 6.84
F20 2400.58 32.58 1061.59 32.58
F21 2384.29 24.29 590.05 24.29
F22 2372.15 36.15 1306.50 36.15
F23 2354.07 18.57 344.95 18.57
F24 2344.79 47.29 2236.00 47.29
F25 2321.14 34.14 1165.76 34.14
F26 2304.07 -16.93 286.57 16.93
F27 2312.54 17.04 290.22 17.04
F28 2304.02 17.02 289.61 17.02
F29 2295.51 15.51 240.53 15.51
F30 2287.75 4.75 22.61 4.75
F31 2285.38 -0.62 0.39 0.62
F32 2285.69 3.19 10.17 3.19
F33 2284.09 -29.41 864.69 29.41
F34 2298.80 -14.20 201.72 14.20
F35 2305.90 -34.60 1197.26 34.60
F36 2323.20 -37.80 1428.89 37.80
F37 2342.10 -67.90 4610.46 67.90
F38 2376.05 -11.95 142.81 11.95
F39 2382.02 6.52 42.57 6.52
F40 2378.76 -51.24 2625.29 51.24
F41 2404.38 10.38 107.77 10.38
F42 2399.19 45.19 2042.19 45.19
F43 2376.60 36.10 1302.87 36.10
F44 2358.55 50.55 2555.07 50.55
F45 2333.27 31.27 978.05 31.27
F46 2317.64 -47.36 2243.26 47.36
F47 2341.32 -46.68 2179.17 46.68
F48 2364.66 -6.34 40.21 6.34
F49 2367.83 -55.17 3043.77 55.17
F50 2395.41 -6.59 43.36 6.59
F51 2398.71 -32.29 1042.81 32.29
F52 2414.85 14.85 220.63 14.85
F53 2407.43 34.43 1185.21 34.43
F54 2390.21 58.21 3388.80 58.21
F55 2361.11 5.11 26.08 5.11
F56 2358.55 48.55 2357.43 48.55
F57 2334.28 -9.72 94.54 9.72
F58 2339.14 -15.86 251.59 15.86
F59 2347.07 4.07 16.56 4.07
F60 2345.03 37.03 1371.56 37.03
F61 2326.52 34.52 1191.44 34.52
F62 2309.26 -17.74 314.76 17.74
F63 2318.13 37.13 1378.59 37.13
F64 2299.56 62.56 3914.34 62.56
F65 2268.28 31.28 978.58 31.28
F66 2252.64 -15.36 235.89 15.36
F67 2260.32 17.82 317.57 17.82
F68 2251.41 -22.09 487.96 22.09
F69 2262.46 -41.54 1725.97 41.54
F70 2283.23 -13.77 189.68 13.77
F71 2290.11 28.11 790.38 28.11
F72 2276.06 49.06 2406.58 49.06
F73 2251.53 22.53 507.53 22.53
F74 2240.26 14.26 203.47 14.26
F75 2233.13 -4.87 23.70 4.87
F76 2235.57 10.57 111.64 10.57
F77 2230.28 8.78 77.14 8.78
F78 2225.89 -27.11 734.87 27.11
F79 2239.45 -50.05 2505.43 50.05
F80 2264.47 9.47 89.74 9.47
F81 2259.74 40.74 1659.46 40.74
F82 2239.37 24.37 593.81 24.37