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BEAM
2nd Largest U.S. spirits company behind Diageo 4th Largest spirits company globally Multiple market leading brands including Jim Beam & Maker s Mark Makers A word on moral dilemma
Valid arguments by some - I wont quarrel with that Not illegal to be stupid, ultimately more the person than the product
Spirits - Coke brand intangible & Sees Candies pricing power Coke See s Candies Certain Brand, Expectation, Experience - not just cheapest People will continue to drink & tech wont change it Bill Ackman is smarter than me Wildcard Attractive takeover target (Diageo needs a good bourbon)
BEAM
Freed from lower margin spinoff
BEAM
Growing Market and Market Share
Valuation
BEAM after tax EBIT $544.3m EBIT growth 11.2% FV 5yr = $642m Discount Rate 6% PV 5yr = $479m 14x multiple = $6,706m /156.9m shares = $43 (Note: $0.76 dividend) ( $ di id d) Takeover multiple 18-20 = $55 FBHS after tax EBIT $155.4m Assume growth = Discount rate 7x multiple = $1,088m /156.9m shares = $7 EBITDA =$291.9m 9 9x = $2,627m $ ,6 7 /156.9m shares = $17 Golf $1,100m/156.9 shares = $7 Current Low L Mid High $54-$55 $57 B k even not much d Break h downside id $67 $79 Includes Takeover of BEAM
ForwardLookingStatements
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