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Telecommunications
Radically new technologies and devices, faster traditional telcos now have to compete at
and more innovative services, a 10-year record every point in that chain.
of growth that took the industry from $610
billion to $1.6 trillion—it’s the kind of perfor- In short, it’s an IP jungle out there. In this
mance that any executive would envy. hostile, unsettled environment, new predators
have crossed the boundaries into the incum-
Unfortunately for the telecommunications bent telcos’ territory, squeezing traditional
industry, these remarkable achievements of business models and leaving little room to
the past decade have brought little in the way maneuver. New media and Internet players
of assurance about the future. Today, the rise are waiting for the first signs of weakness,
of Internet protocol technologies and net- ready to capture new ground in areas such as
works, combined with the commoditization the mobile Internet.
of traditional communications services, has
created an environment of uncertainty and To be sure, the incumbents have their
hypercompetition. Once in control of the strengths, including existing technologies and
1
Outlook 2008
entire telecommunications value chain—from core capabilities, which can continue to differ-
Number 1 the network to the content to the customer— entiate them from newer players. But the tel-
cos must quickly learn to hunt in app of the late 20th century—e-mail—
new ways, and in territories where and did the same thing with short-
they are most likely to be successful. message service offerings.
Certainly, they are investing in the Mobile voice and text-based messaging,
technologies they need to stay in the bundled with innovative and function-
chase. Among US carriers, for exam- rich devices, helped fuel astonishing
ple, AT&T announced last year a growth—not for tech-nological reasons
more than $750 million program to alone but also because those offerings
accelerate the delivery of global IP met deep, often unacknowledged cus-
services and solutions to businesses tomer needs. Traditional telcos occupied
and multinational companies in key a privileged market position because
markets worldwide. And Verizon they were able to aggregate the
Communications invested more than enabling capabilities needed to deliver
$17 billion to upgrade the coverage, the whole bundle of connectivity and
reliability and speed of its wireless, access: device, network, sales channels,
broadband and global IP networks. customer care and billing services.
Meanwhile, Asian companies have In other words, the telcos owned the
been especially active—to the point entire customer experience—everything
that, according to the International customers associated with the value of
Telecommunications Union, the their communications services.
region now boasts three of the top
five broadband economies: China, The telcos, however, largely missed
Japan and South Korea. In Europe, the opportunities that came with the
Italy and France are generally con- arrival of the Internet. Constricted
sidered to be leading innovators, by unproven Internet-based business
fueling explosive growth in such models, immature technologies,
areas as voice over IP (VoIP). unfriendly handsets and inadequate
network capacity, companies got
However, thriving in the IP jungle is burned in their few tentative attempts
about more than just technology. The to catch the fire of Internet innova-
bigger question is what new products tion. So they pulled back from Inter-
and services will satisfy deep and net strategies, focusing instead on
important customer needs—even or building out new, third-generation
especially needs they might not yet mobile networks in the hope that big-
be aware of. Today more than ever, ger pipes would continue to support
thinking from a customer-centric per- growth in the wireless marketplace.
spective is the key to high perfor-
mance in the wireless industry. In the meantime, the mobile voice and
text marketplace has matured and com-
Lessons from the past moditized. Lacking the skills and expe-
What did telecommunications rience to move into Internet-related
companies get right during the businesses, telcos have had to resort to
industry’s growth period? Primarily, short-term tactics to maintain growth.
they understood what the customer Some are using different pricing models
wanted, or what the customer would to try to wring out a bit more revenue.
want if the technology could make Others are playing the churn game,
it possible. Companies took one of hoping to steal away a few customers
the killer applications of the early here and there with voice tariffing or
20th century—voice telecommunica- extra functions and features or, more
tions—and understood that they could recently, new kinds of bundles.
create significant value by offering
2
Outlook 2008
those communications anywhere and Those tactics are not sustainable.
Number 1 everywhere. Then they took a killer When it comes to a mature market,
the rules of the economic game are strong service providers. They also
immutable. The most a traditional have one big edge: They built their
telco can hope to achieve at this reputations on understanding the
point in the economic cycle is customer, and their market value is
enough additional incremental rooted in that understanding.
revenue to match margin loss.
These new players are building
New models, old understanding positions based on strong business
With their options dwindling, are models. They are building capabili-
the incumbent communications ties in new-product development
operators ready to re-embrace the and are aggressively going after
customer-centric strategy that the value being generated from the
served them so well in the past? convergence of the media, telecom-
Are they on a trajectory to win the munications and Internet industries.
loyalty of today’s digital customer?
To be sure, the traditional carriers are
If not, plenty of competitors in the IP providing the access and network
jungle are set to step in with innova- infrastructure that makes it all happen.
tive offerings and compelling busi- But if the telcos are to do more than
ness models. Apple, Google, Yahoo, simply transport other companies’
Skype, Nokia, Amazon.com, eBay— content and services around the world,
these and many other nontraditional they must consider a number of key
competitors in the communications factors for success in the IP jungle.
industry have developed rapidly into
Thinking about the last few times you browsed the mobile Internet, how much do you agree with the following statements?
Percent answering 4 or 5 on a scale of 1 (strongly disagree) to 5 (strongly agree).
Source: Forrester’s North American Technographics consumer technology online survey, Q1 2007
Thinking about the last few times you used your mobile phone to browse the Internet, please indicate
what types of information or content you were looking for.
46%
Weather 10
44
Public transportation times 5
37
News 27
37
Entertainment (e.g., movies, restaurants) 131
30
Directions or maps 9
22
Traffic updates 9
18
Sports 21
18
Shopping 72
12
TV guide 3
9
Flight updates 1
9
Financial information (e.g., stock quotes) 3 Japan
12 Europe
None of these 11
1. We combined the European categories “bars, restaurants, clubs” and “entertainment” to make the data comparable with the Japanese “entertainment” category.
2. We combined the European categories “research products/services” and “purchase products/services” to make the data comparable with the Japanese “shopping” category.
Source: Forrester’s APCTAS Q1 2006 survey and Forrester’s ECTAS Q4 2006 Devices, Access, and Telco survey
Which sector along the media value chain is best positioned to take advantage of growth in content opportunities?
Software/Internet companies 26
Telcos 9
Advertisers 6
Cable/satellite companies 5
Hardware companies 1
Retailers 1
Other 1
New content 32
its operations, enabling the com- Telcos must take that message to
pany to succeed in the mass market. heart. Service innovation and cost
But it is also an innovator, having reduction are not necessarily contra-
emerged as a market leader in both dictory goals. By choosing and aggre-
the hybrid and luxury car segments. gating suppliers based on how well
Then, by again applying its factory they support the goals of efficiency
efficiency and effective supplier and customer-centric innovation,
relationship model, the company telcos can keep a handle on costs. They
can aggregate and manage its inno- can also maintain control over the cus-
vative suppliers in areas such as tomer experience by keeping in-house
automotive audio, navigation, video the essential activities of defining and
and interiors. designing that experience.
Diego Mora Oviedo, a senior manager For more information about Accenture,
with Accenture Strategy, drives sales please visit www.accenture.com
campaigns and delivery of projects for
the company’s communications and
high-tech convergent strategic initia-
tives and related offerings in specific
geographic regions of Western Europe.
Since he joined Accenture, Mr. Mora
Oviedo has led various management
consulting projects in areas of growth
strategy, transformation and CRM for
major telecoms operators and broad-
casters in Europe. Prior to joining
Accenture, Mr. Mora Oviedo worked in
the aerospace industry, where he led
R&D programs in the European aero-
space industry.
diego.mora.oviedo@accenture.com