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Michael Kunigonis
Corning Optical Fiber
Market Development Manager Asia
kunigonimp@corning.com
18 March 2004
Convergence India
Agenda
• Broadband Overview
• Myth: There are no applications that need FTTH
• Myth: FTTH is not economically viable
• Myth: FTTH is years away…“not in my lifetime”
• Myth: Last-mile fiber is a monopoly
• Apply these lessons learned to India
CATV
•• Copper
Copper replaced
replaced by
by fiber
fiber (95%)
(95%)
•• New
New construction
construction is
is fiber
fiber •• Majority
Majority is
is copper
copper (95%)
(95%)
Penetration of fiber
3 Convergence India 2004
Corning Optical Fiber
Global Broadband Statistics
-- An update
• Telemedicine
–– The
The use
use of
of telecom
telecom to
to provide
provide medical
medical information
information and
and
services
services -- makes
makes specialty
specialty care
care more
more accessible
accessible to
to
underserved
underserved areas
areas
–– Store
Store and
and Forward
Forward -- Transfer
Transfer of
of digital
digital images
images
•• Teleradiology
Teleradiology (X-rays,
(X-rays, MRI)
MRI) &
& Telepathology
Telepathology (pathology
(pathology
slides)
slides)
–– Two-Way
Two-Way Interactive
Interactive Television
Television (IATV)
(IATV)
•• “Face
“Face toto Face”
Face” consultations
consultations
• Teleworking
–– By
By the
the end
end of
of this
this year
year 140
140 million
million teleworkers
teleworkers
–– Telework
Telework creates
creates win-win
win-win proposition
proposition for
for host
host companies
companies and
and
service
service providers
providers
–– Employee
Employee satisfaction,
satisfaction, work
work output
output and
and productivity
productivity increases
increases
–– Broadband
Broadband driver
driver -- Broadband
Broadband connectivity
connectivity is
is aa prerequisite
prerequisite --
Driving
Driving toward
toward symmetrical
symmetrical connectivity
connectivity
9 Convergence India 2004
Corning Optical Fiber
FTTH Myths
• There are no applications that need FTTH
• FTTH is not economically viable
$8,500
$9,000
$7,500 Large Scale
$8,000
Deployments
$7,000
Cost in Dollars
$6,000
$5,000 $3,600
$4,000
$2,300 $2,100 $2,000 $1,800
$3,000
$1,400 $1,200
$2,000
$1,000
$0
Late Mid- 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
80's 90's Era
1,200,000 100,000
70,000
800,000
Monthly Adds
60,000
600,000 50,000
– 76M wireless subscribers
400,000
40,000
30,000
– 14.1 broadband subscribers
200,000
20,000
– 10.6M DSL
10,000
br 3)
em st
em st
e er
D em r
M ry
M ry
y
nu em er
em er
Se Au ly
Se Au ly
Ap h
ch
ril
M l
y er
nu r
ay
ay
N cto r
N cto r
ne
ne
e
ri
Ja be
O be
O be
ar
Fe 200
Fe 200
c
pt gu
pt gu
ov b
ov b
Ju
Ju
ua
ua
Ja Dec mb
ec b
ar b
Ap
ar
ar
Ju
Ju
– 0.96M FTTH
(
(
y
ar
nu
Ja
Month
•• e-Japan
e-Japan project
project initiated
initiated in
in 2001
2001 with
with the
the following
following goals:
goals:
–– Japan
Japan will
will be
be the
the most
most advanced
advanced ITIT nation
nation within
within 55 years
years
–– 30M
30M high
high speed
speed subs
subs (10
(10 Mb/s),
Mb/s), 10M
10M ultrahigh
ultrahigh speed
speed subs
subs (100
(100 Mb/s-FTTH)
Mb/s-FTTH)
•• e-Japan
e-Japan II:
II: focuses
focuses on
on content
content and
and harnessing
harnessing capacity
capacity of
of new
new services
services
Source: Ministry of Public Management--Information and Communications in Japan
14 Convergence India 2004
Corning Optical Fiber
Myth: FTTH is years away…“not in my lifetime”
-- List of ‘US Optical Fiber Communities’*
Kansas Montana Virginia
Almena Baxter Meadows Ashburn
Hill City Ironwood Brambleton
Braemar-Bristow
Luka Oklahoma
Bristol
Norton Hinton
Independence
Osborne Oregon Leesburg
Quinter Woodburn Purcellville
Sharon Pennsylvania Washington
Turon Kutztown Chelan County
Wakeeney South Carolina Clallam County
Douglas County
Wamego Daniel Island
Grant County
Louisiana Sandy Point Issaquah Highlands
Squire Creek Homes Texas Mason County
Maine Burleson Wisconsin
Alabama Cambridge Norway Canyon Gate Brazos Berkseth-Baldwin
Sylacauga Colorado Guthrie Center Massachusetts Crystal Falls Prairie View
Union Springs Buckhorn Valley Huxley Pine Hils Grand Lake Estates Reedsburg
California Chatfield Corner Slater Tauton Lake Ridge South
Amerige Heights Colorado City Idaho Michigan Lakes on Eldridge
Canyon Hills
Eagle Ranch Bear Creek Cobblestone Laredo
Kenwood
Lincoln Crossing Rye Illinois Minnesota Northpointe New in 2003
Palo Alto Florida Paxton Alberta Rock Creek
Parc Metropolitan LPGA Community Salem Chokio Victory Lakes
Poppy Measdoss Magnolia Lake Indiana East Ottertail Utah
Mission Bay Source: Render, Vanderslice & Associates
Roseville Georgia Bay Creek Evermoor Deer Mountain
Sacramento Dunwoody Gateway Crossing Morris Kamas
Talavera Dalton Rochester Nebraska Provo
Iowa Blair
15 Convergence India 2004
Corning Optical Fiber
FTTH Myths
• There are no applications that need FTTH
• FTTH is not economically viable
• FTTH is years away…“not in my lifetime”
• Last-mile fiber is a monopoly
TEPCO (Fiber)
Cable TV
TEPCO (CATV)
NTT Fiber
NTT
Telephones