1103.028 1170.439 4966.

744
1095.504 4969.787
A 0 1089.836 5107.176
B 0 1118.42 5108.763
C 3 1133.669 5016.544
D 9 1051.933 4746.721
1105.015 4847.358
1080.945 4698.668
1099.588 4769.387
1012.58 4899.328
1093.254 4243.371
1102.161 5259.913

NORMAL UNIFORM
4697.702
4464.866 A 0
4829.546 B 0
4723.047 C 3
4579.185 D 9
4870.273
4447.085
4631.952
4779.306
4622.376
4436.33
4614.449
 1170 1170
1170 1096 Single Moving Average
1151 1090
1095 1118 t Xt Ft Error E^2
1156 1134 1 1170
1079 1052 2 1170
1218 1105 3 1151
1081 1081 4 1095 1163 -69 4727
1137 1100 5 1156 1138 18 321
1179 1013 6 1079 1134 -55 3048
1169 1093 7 1218 1110 108 11622
1147 1102 8 1081 1151 -70 4919
9 1137 1126 11 123
10 1179 1145 34 1134
normal 11 1169 1132 37 1392
12 1147 1162 -15 224
1165
Total 27510
Rata-rata 3057

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

-200

-400
 Simple Average

t Xt Ft Error MR Absolute MR
1 1170 1146 24
2 1170 1048 121 97 0
3 1151 1046 105 -17 19
4 1095 951 144 40 56
5 1156 859 297 153 62
6 1079 763 316 19 78
7 1218 673 545 229 139
8 1081 572 509 -35 137
9 1137 481 655 146 56
10 1179 387 792 137 42
11 1169 289 881 89 9
12 1147 191 956 75 23

Total 1146 620

Rata-rata 56
UCL 150
LCL -150

10 11 12
 Single Eksponensial Smoothing misal alfa

E^2 UCL LCL t Xt Ft Error Error^2

581 150 -150 1 1170
14667 150 -150 2 1170
10924 150 -150 3 1151 1170 -19 348
20798 150 -150 4 1095 1155 -60 3592
88221 150 -150 5 1156 1106 50 2533
99768 150 -150 6 1079 1144 -65 4252
296720 150 -150 7 1218 1094 123 15241
259348 150 -150 8 1081 1190 -109 11913
429552 150 -150 9 1137 1108 29 823
627395 150 -150 10 1179 1126 53 2825
776122 150 -150 11 1169 1170 -1 1
913374 150 -150 12 1147 1171 -25 605
1151
3537470 Total 42132
294789 Rata-rata 4213
0.8
 4967
4970 Single Moving Average
5107
5109 t Xt Ft Error MR
5017 1 4967
4747 2 4970
4847 3 5107
4699 4 5109 5015 94
4769 5 5017 5062 -45 -140
4899 6 4747 5077 -331 -285
4243 7 4847 4957 -110 221
5260 8 4699 4870 -172 -62
9 4769 4764 5 177
10 4899 4772 128 122
normal 11 4243 4789 -546 -673
12 5260 4637 623 1168
4801
Total
Rata-rata
UCL
LCL

1500

1000

500

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7

-500

-1000

-1500
-1000

-1500
 Simple Average

Absolute MR E^2 t Xt Ft Error

939 -939 1 4967 4886 81
939 -939 2 4970 4886 84
939 -939 3 5107 4886 221
8872 939 -939 4 5109 4886 223
733 2058 939 -939 5 5017 4886 130
415 109411 939 -939 6 4747 4886 -139
475 12097 939 -939 7 4847 4886 -39
329 29426 939 -939 8 4699 4886 -187
95 26 939 -939 9 4769 4886 -117
247 16262 939 -939 10 4899 4886 13
203 297850 939 -939 11 4243 4886 -643
326 387570 939 -939 12 5260 4886 374

2823 863573 Total 4886

353 95953 Rata-rata
939
-939

3 4 5 6 7 8 9
 Single Eksponensial Smoothing misal alfa

E^2 t Xt Ft Error Error^2

6496 1 4967
6996 2 4970
48854 3 5107 4969 138 19043
49558 4 5109 5080 29 845
17004 5 5017 5108 -92 8446
19440 6 4747 5035 -288 83098
1505 7 4847 4801 47 2178
35148 8 4699 4827 -129 16528
13633 9 4769 4728 41 1679
174 10 4899 4755 144 20761
413160 11 4243 4873 -630 396860
139701 12 5260 4375 885 783846
5057
751668 Total 1333285
62639 Rata-rata 133328
1170 1170 4967 4886 81 81
1170 1170 4970 4886 84 84
1151 1151 5107 4886 221 221
5109 5015 94 94 5109 4886 223 223
5017 5062 -45 45 5017 4886 131 131
4747 5077 -330 330 4747 4886 -139 139
4847 4957 -110 110 4847 4886 -39 39
4699 4870 -171 171 4699 4886 -187 187
4769 4764 5 5 4769 4886 -117 117
4899 4772 127 127 4899 4886 13 13
4243 4789 -546 546 4243 4886 -643 643
5260 4637 623 623 5260 4886 374 374
1165 -1165
1170
1170
1151
5107 4969 138 138
5109 5080 29 29
5017 5108 -91 91
4747 5035 -288 288
4847 4801 46 46
4699 4827 -128 128
4769 4728 41 41
4899 4755 144 144
4243 4873 -630 630
1151