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The New Palgrave Dictionary of Money and Finance Author(s): John Y. Campbell Source: Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 32, No. 2 (Jun., 1994), pp. 667-673 Published by: American Economic Association Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2728699 . Accessed: 27/09/2011 08:39
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The
New
Paigrave
and
Dictionary Finance
of
Money
By JOHN Y. CAMPBELL WoodrowWilson School, Princeton University I am grateful to Ken Rogofffor helpful comments on thefirst version of this paper. The New Palgrave Dictionary of Money and Finance is a successor to the 1987 work The New Palgrave:A Dictionary of Economics. Both dictionariesclaim descent from Palgrave's Dictionary of Political Economy, published as a summary of the state of economics during the 1890s. The same team of three editors is responsible for both New Palgrave dictionaries,1 and there are many similarities in approach. Indeed, about 20 percent of the essays in the New Palgrave Money and Finance are reprinted from the New Palgrave Economics (and ten essays are reprinted from the original Palgrave). There are also some obvious differences between the two New Palgrave dictionaries. The New Palgrave Economics had a much broader scope, aimingto cover all of moderneconomics. It was considerably larger than the New Palgrave Money and Finance, with four volumes ratherthan three, 3500 pages ratherthan 2500, and almost 2000 essays rather than 1000 or so. The New Palgrave Economics included biographicalessays, which took up about a third of the work; the New Palgrave Money and Finance has no biographybut includes manyshort definitions of technical terms. Last but not
' The editors' names appear in a different order on the New Palgrave Money and Finance, but it is not clear whether this reflects a different allocation of responsibilitiesor merely an attempt to redress the inequity of alphabetical ordering on the previous work.
least, the New PalgraveEconomicsomitted empiricaltopics to concentrateon economic theory and historyof economic thought, while the New Palgrave Money and Finance covers much empirical material. I. Why Money and Finance? Why, among all the fields of economics, should monetary and financialeconomics have their own three-volumedictionary? And if these fields are importantenough to deserve special attention, should they be treated together? At a commerciallevel, the answersare clear. The financialservices industrymakesup a large and growing part of the world economy, and it differsfrom other importantindustries in the intensity with which economics is used by participants in the industry as well as by students of the industry. Technologicalinnovation in financialservices has often been driven by innovation in financial economics. Professors of financial economics have accordingly become prominent on Wall Street, and some of their students have enjoyed spectacularfinancialsuccess. Hence there is a large market beyond academiafor a reference work in finance. Many practitionersare interested in aspects of monetary economics, and so it makes commercial sense to cover these topics as well. At an intellectual level, there remains the question of whether the fields of monetaryand financialeconomics have some special identity. To help answer this question I now review
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(briefly and of course superficially)the recent history of financialeconomics. In the early postwar period finance held a rather lowly place among fields of economics. This is well illustrated by the old Journal of Economic Literature classificationscheme for articles in economics, which was used from the 1960's through 1990. The important category "Domestic Monetaryand Fiscal Theory and Institutions" included "Domestic Monetary and Financial Theory and Institutions" as one of two sub-categories along with public finance. Monetaryeconomics and the study of financial intermediariesfell under this heading. The rest of financialeconomics, including portfolio theory and corporate finance, was grouped with other topics taught in business schools in the miscellaneous category "Administration,Business Finance, Marketing,Accounting."Before the mid-1950s,moreover, these topics were the preserve of institutionalists,and economic theory had little impact. Pioneers of modern financialeconomics drew on economic and statisticaltheory to challenge institutionalfinance. But their work was often imperfectly appreciated by other economists. An anecdote that illustrates this point appears in Peter Bernstein's 1992 book, Capital Ideas: TheImprobableOriginsof ModernWall Street. Bernstein describes Harry Markowitz'thesis defense before Jacob Marschak and Milton Friedman at the University of Chicago: A coupleofminutes the defense,Friedman into I and turnedto Markowitz declared,"Harry, don'tsee anything wrongwith the mathhere, Thisisn'ta dissertation but I havea problem. in economics, we can'tgive you a PhD in and for that'snot economeconomics a dissertation it's ics. It's not math,it's not economics, not even businessadministration." 60. Bern(p. stein cites conversations correspondence and as for withMarkowitz the source thisanecdote.) Markowitzreceived his Ph.D. despite this critique, and was more thoroughly vindicated in 1990, when he won the Nobel MemorialPrize in Economic Science with Merton Miller and William Sharpe. Despite the contributionsof economistswellknown in other fields, such as James Tobin and Franco Modigliani, modern finance continued to develop somewhat independently of the rest
tures is often left obscure. In the New Palgrave Money and Finance, for example, there is one group of essays by Thomas Sargent on "RationalExpectations," N.E. Savinon "Rational Expectations:Econometric Implications,"and Michael Dotsey and Robert King on "RationalExpectation Business Cycle Models." There is a separate group of articles by BurtonMalkielon "EfficientMarketHypothesis"and Kenneth French on "Weak,Semi-Strong,and Strong Forms of MarketEfficiency."There are no cross-references acrossthe two groupsof articles. Only a short article by Jane Black and Ian Tonks on "Rational Expectations Equilibrium"summarizesthe work of SanfordGrossman others on rationalexpectations and with asymmetricinformationthat brought the term into use in finance.
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areas of economics-not unlike, for example, labor economics or development economics or public finance. While finance is specialized in its focus on the financial markets, the differences between economics and finance only begin there. The principal difference is one of methodologyratherthanfocus. If labormarkets behaved like financialmarkets, the theories of
finance would be used to study them. .
.
. Paul
Samuelson'stextbookon economics has the following anonymousquote, "Youcan make even a parrotinto a learned political economist-all he must learn are the two words 'supply' and 'demand'." contrast,the intuitionof neoclasBy sical finance is quite different. The focus of finance is micro theoretic and the intuition of finance is the absence of arbitrage. To make the parrot into a learned financial economist, he only needs to learn the single word "arbitrage." (pp. 29-30) a finance, Ross argues, supply and demand urves are often horizontal because there exist ,erfect substitutes for the assets being priced; hence the apparatus of supply and demand is of little use. Arbitrage arguments relate asset prices to the prices of their substitutes, but the resulting propositions are less trivial than those of Summers' ketchup economists. They include most notably the Modigliani-Miller, theorem in corporate finance and the Black-, Scholes formula in option pricing. Ross develops this theme further in his remarkable essay "Finance" in the New Palgrave Money and Finance, writing that when judged by its abilityto explainthe empirical data, option-pricingtheory is the most successful theory not only in finance, but in all of economics. It is now widely employed by the financialindustry and its impact on economics has been far ranging.At a theoreticallevel, we now understandthat option-pricingis a manifestation of the force of arbitrageand that this is the same force that underlies much of neoclassical finance. (New Palgrave Dictionary of Money and Finance, Vol. 2, p. 36) Although there is much truth in Ross' description of the methodological unity of finance, recent developments have changed the picture considerably. In asset pricing it is now understood that the absence of arbitrage implies the existence of a "stochastic discount factor" or
"equivalent martingale measure" that can be used to price all assets.3 Much recent research has tried to go beyond this, using equilibrium macroeconomicmodels to characterizethe behaviorof the stochasticdiscountfactor.4Empirical asset pricing, meanwhile, has drawn on econometricsmore intensely than before; many new time-series methods find their most successful applications on financial data, and finance has driven the development of some of these techniques.5 In corporate finance there has been an explosion of work using game theeconomicsthat has directed ory and information financeeconomists'attentionback to the details of institutions and has brought the field close While arbitragereto industrialorganization.6 mains a central idea in finance it is less dominant than it was, and many of the most active research areas are at the interface between finance and other fields. The connections between finance and the rest of economics have been reinforcedas economists trained in other areas have migrated into finance in response to high salaries and intellectual opportunities. These developments have given finance a new place as a field of economics, rather than a separate discipline, but one with its own strong intellectual heritage. This is well illustrated by the new Journal of Economic Literature classification scheme for articles in economics, in use since 1991. There is now one category for "Macroeconomicsand Monetary Economics," including "Money and Interest Rates"and "MonetaryPolicy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit." There is a separate category for "FinancialEconomics," including "General Financial Markets," "Financial Institutionsand Services,"and "Corporate Finance and Governance." The new
3 The essay on "Arbitrage" Philip Dybvig and Ross by states this particularlyclearly. 4 So far this work has stated more puzzles than it has solved. The New Palgrave Money and Finance articles by Simon Benninga and Aris Protopapadakis on "Equity Premium" and by Craig Burnside and ThomasMaCurdyon "EquityPremiumPuzzle"give the flavorof this literature. 5 An exampleis the ARCHclass of stochasticvolatility models, compactlysummarizedin the New Palgrave Money and Finance by Daniel Nelson.
6
in Finance" that introduces some basic ideas and leads to other useful essays on this topic.
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scheme gives finance a more prominent role within economics as a whole, and it allows finance to include some monetary topics which are also discussed by macroeconomists.7 This historical review suggests that there is enough coherence in financial economics to provide an intellectual skeleton for a work such as the New PalgraveMoneyand Finance. There may be substantive debate and methodological diversity at the research frontier, but at least there is a body of established theory to which new work can refer. Monetaryeconomicsis in a weakercondition. Monetary economics is a branch of macroeconomics that cannot be well understoodwithout considering broader topics in macroeconomics such as the determination of aggregate consumption and investment, and the nature of "stickiness"in wages and prices.8 Macroeconomics itself is in a state of flux, offeringa great variety of approacheswith useful insights, but at present no single paradigm. As Olivier Blanchardand Stanley Fischer put it in their Lectures on Macroeconomics(1989), We have not writtena treatisenor presented a unifiedview of the field. Thatwas possible
when Patinkin wrote Money, Interest, and
the revoluPrices,whichintegrated Keynesian while to tionintomacroeconomics pointing fuBut ture developments. the field is now too large and too fragmented.The Keynesian in embodied the "neoclassical synframework the thesis,"which dominated field until the for is crisis,searching mid-1970's, in theoretical no microfoundations; new theoryhas emerged the to dominate field, and the time is one of with in directions the unity explorations several in of the fieldapparent mainly the set of questionsbeingstudied.(pp.26-27)
7In a similarspirit the NationalBureauof Economic
Research recently divided its research program on Financial Markets and Monetary Economics into three new programs, Monetary Economics, Asset Pricing, and CorporateFinance. 8The New Palgrave Money and Finance offers no entries on Keynesian or New Keynesian economics or on price or wage stickiness. There are essays on "Menu Costs"by Andrew Caplin, on "Non-Clearing BeMarketsin MonetaryEconomics"by Jean-Pascal nassy, and on "Neutralityof Money" by Don Patinkin; there are also essays on "Indexation"by Paul by McNelis and on "WageIndexation" JoshuaAizenman. Overall, one gets the impressionthat wage and price behavior is regarded as at the very edge of the relevant topics for the dictionary.
The reality of the New Palgrave Money and Finance is ratherdifferent.Manymonetarytopics are covered, but no single vision of monetary economics emerges to compete with the finance perspective as summarizedby Ross. The New Palgrave Money and Finance is ultimately a dictionaryof finance including monetarymaterial, and not a dictionaryof finance and macroeconomics.
9As Blanchardand Fischer put it, "eclecticism in the pursuit of truth is no crime" (p. 27).
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lemics disguised as definitions. Even though they may contain valuable information, they must be read with caution. Paul Craig Roberts spends much of his articleon "Supply-SideEconomics" defending supply-side economists in the first Reagan administration against the charge that they were so foolish as to believe that President Reagan'stax cuts would increase total tax revenue. Paul Marsh's article on is "Short-Termism" well-arguedand useful, but his advocacybecomes clear in the last paragraph when he writes: became sideIt wouldbe a greatpityif industry tracked fromthe central issuesit faces-intermarketorientation, nationalcompetitiveness, innovation, quality excellence-by further and talkabout from marshort-termism thefinancial kets.. . . Quitesimply, wayahead both the for the financial and is community industry to get on with managing if tomorrow as mattered.
(New Palgrave Dictionary of Money and Fi-
nance,Vol.3, p. 452) This exhortationis very different from the sober academic tone of the more technical articles. e) Empiricalessays. Some of the most useful material in the New Palgrave Money and Finance is empirical. I particularlylike the two articles on the "StockMarketCrashof October 1929," by Stephen Cecchetti, and the "Stock MarketCrash of October 1987" by G. William Schwert. Both articles give the salient facts (nicely supported by tables and figures in Schwert's article), and lucidly discuss alternative interpretations. f) Institutional essays. It is often hard to know where to find a summaryof institutional information.The New Palgrave Money and Finance meets this need with a great variety of institutionalessays. For example, there are useful essays on the monetaryand financialsystems of 29 countries (although, curiously, there are no overviews of the U.S. or U.K. monetary financialsystems-the readermust find his own way into the maze of essays on differentaspects of these systems). Many individualinstitutions, including financial exchanges, central banks, and financial intermediaries, are described in more or less detail. g) Curiosities. What else can one call essays such as Hugh Rockoff'son the "Wizardof Oz" as a monetaryallegory, or ThomasKruegerand William Kennedy's on the "Super Bowl Stock
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There are also amusing esMarketPredictor"? says on the specialized terminology used by corporatefinanciersand technical stock market analysts. Even this taxonomy does not accommodate all the essays in the New Palgrave Money and Finance. Consider, for example, Stephen Ross' excellent essay on "Stock Market Indices," which includes remarkson index number theory, a discussion of the CAPM in relation to alternativeasset pricing theories, a table sumstockindices, marizingthe leading international and a discussion of nontradingeffects on stock index behavior. How useful are these differenttypes of essay? Much depends on the skill of each writer, but a few general remarksare possible. The short essays defining terms and the essays summarizing empirical data and institutionalknowledge are often excellent points of reference. They provide a useful introductionto a subject and a short bibliographyas a startingpoint for more detailed research. Some of the empiricalessays use tables and figures to great effect; I would have been happy to see these devices used more heavily throughoutthe dictionary. Even after the passage of time outdates the New Palgrave Money and Finance, many of these articles will have historicalvalue. The summaries of technical areas are more problematic.They depend criticallyon the skill of the writer to bring out key points in a very short space. Even at their best, these essays are probably most useful for review (by a student wanting to confirm his knowledge of a topic, or by a professorwanting to compile her course materials). They are simply too dense to make a good introductionto technical material. Moreover, some technical essays devote most of their space to a summaryof an individual article (often one written by the author of the essay)."This strategy may be justified by the seminal contribution or pedagogical value of the work summarized, but often it is not. George Stigler (1988) criticized the frequency of self-citationin the New PalgraveEconomics, and it is clear that the editors have not been able to eliminate this tendency in the latest dictionary.
10The essay by Frank Page on "Securities Markets and General Equilibrium"is an example of this.
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taking. In the midst of revolutionaryfinancial change the dictionary'seditors have compiled a reference work that both explores the surface details of financialmarketsand institutionsand, with the aid of economic theory, reveals some of their hidden structure. The dictionarybuilds on the earlier New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics, but for several reasons I believe it is ultimately more successful. First, The New Palgrave Dictionary of Money and Finance meets a real need for a reference work on the terminologyand institutions of modern finance. Second, it covers topics that are more consistentlyrelevant for mainstream practitionersand researchersin finance and monetaryeconomics. George Stigler (1988) complained that the New Palgrave Economics devoted too much space to Marxian Sraffian and topics that are remote from mainstream concerns, but this certainly does not apply to the New Palgrave Money and Finance. Third, the contributions are of high average quality. Whether this is because the more narrowly defined subject matterhelped the editors locate the best people in the field, or because the success of the earlier work helped them persuade the best people to contribute, I am impressed by the number of first-rateresearchers who have written for the dictionary. Finally', the New Palgrave Money and Finance includes a great deal of valuable empirical materialof a sort that was missing from the earlier dictionary.
REFERENCES
origins of modern wall street. New York, NY: The Free Press, 1992.
BLANCHARD, OLIVIER
Cambridge,
AND
MA:
MURRAY
NEWMAN,
PETER,
NEWMAN,
eds. The new Palgrave:A dictionaryof ecoPETER; MILGATE, MURRAY AND EATWELL,
andfinance. New York, NY: Stockton Press, 1992. Ross, STEPHEN A. "The Interrelations of Finance and Economics: Theoretical Perspectives," Amer.
III. Conclusion
The New Palgrave Dictionary of Money and
Finance is an extraordinarily ambitious under-
36.
SUMMERS, LAWRENCE