Académique Documents
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CONTENTS
ObjectiveandMethodology Summaryoffindings
FloodExtent31st ofJuly(InitialStagesofFlood)
TotalInundationExtentoftheFloods
THEPURPOSEOFTHEDNAISTOASSESSTHEDAMAGEANDLOSSESCAUSED ANDCALCULATETHECOSTOFRECONSTRUCTION
TheDNAIS
anoverviewofsectorlevelprogram strategiesandpolicyoptions basedoncostofreplacingwhatwas lostwithabuildbackbetter/smarter factor basedonreplacingpermanent assetsandservices aquantificationofpublicneeds requirements
TheDNAisNOT
prescriptive,doesnotpresenta menuofprojects
DAMAGEASSESSMENTHASBEENCONDUCTEDTHROUGHDATAVERIFICATIONS WHILENEEDSASSESSMENTISBASEDONANALYSISANDPOLICYDECISIONS
Datacollection&verification
Dataanalysis&policydecisions DirectDamages:monetaryvalueofthecompletely orpartiallydestroyedassetsimmediatelyfollowing thedisaster IndirectLosses:incomelosses,changeofflowof goodsandservices,increasedexpenses,curtailed productionanddiminishedrevenue,arisingfrom directdamagetoproductioncapacityandsocialand economicinfrastructure ReconstructionCosts:costofrebuildinglostassets andrestoringlostservices.Generallyassessedatthe replacementcostwithapremiumaddedforbuild backbetter/smarterbasedonpolicydecisions
THEDNAUSESTHEECLACMETHODOLOGYWHICHHASBEENUSEDINPOST DISASTERASSESSMENTFOROVERTHIRTYYEARS
SnapshotofDNAMethodology
*Recovery& Reconstruction *Macro
*Sectorbysector
*Predisaster performance
EXPERTTEAMSHAVEBEENWORKINGTOGATHER,VALIDATEANDANALYSE DATAACROSSSEVENTEENSECTORSSINCEAUGUST20,2010
Housing Transport Energy Water&Sanitation Education Health Social Agriculture,LivestockandFisheries SocialProtectionandLivelihoods Governance Environment EconomicAssessment DisasterRiskManagement IrrigationandFloodManagement PrivateSector&Industries FinancialSector ImplementationArrangements
Scope
17Sectors CompositionofSectoralTeams MixofWB/ADBstaff RelevantOneUN organizations Bilateralsengagement through20experts
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
THEDNATEAMHASBEENWORKINGWITHTHEGOVERNMENTATALLLEVELS THROUGHOUTTHEPROCESS
DNACoreTeam WB/ADB
OneUNEarly RecoveryTeam
PCDNA Committee
DNAData CollectionTeam
SectorTeams
ProvincialFocal Points
DNAFieldData CollectionTeam
FieldValidation
UpwardsDataFlow
Districts&Tehsils
SupportFunctions SatelliteImageryteam Institutional ArrangementsTeam DonorCoordination Team CommunicationsTeam DNAWritingTeam
CONTENTS
ObjectiveandMethodology Summaryoffindings
SUMMARYOFDAMAGE+LOSSES
Sector Irrigation Housing Agriculture Transport&Communications Energy LivelihoodsSupport PrivateSector Education Health Water&Sanitation Governance Financial Environment DRM TotalUSDmillions TotalPKRmillions Damages+Losses USDmillions 278 1,588 5,045 1,328 309 282 311 50 109 70 674 12 10,056 854,771
IrrigationandFloodSector
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IRRIGATION,DRAINAGEANDFLOODSECTOROVERVIEWOFDAMAGES
Barrages/ dams (No) Canal systems/ breaches (No) 6(80 locations) Flood Irrigation Embankment schemes / (No) Spurs(No) 58 30 50 66 136 14 1 13systems 7(315 locations) 6main systems 4(25 breaches) 7 87 6main systems 5 8 5 1 55 52 9 Drainage system (No)
Province
IRRIGATIONANDFLOODSECTORPOLICYOPTIONS
BaseCase
Reconstructionwithremodelingofselecteddamaged infrastructure
BuildBack Safer
ReconstructionPLUS measuresforimprovedflood protectionandmanagement: buildingbacksafer forcriticalsettlementsand urbanareaspronetoflashfloodsandriverbankerosion inAJK,GBandKP expansionoftheFloodEarlyWarningSystemtoSwat, PeshawarandDGKhanareas revisitthecountrysoverallfloodmanagement strategy
IRRIGATIONANDFLOODSECTORDAMAGESCOST
Province/Region/Agency AJK Balochistan FATA GilgitBaltistan KhyberPakhtunkhwa Punjab Sindh WAPDA SectorTotal
Damage USDMillions 0.2 29.6 3.0 1.6 68.4 33.1 136.9 4.9 277.6
Housing
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HOUSINGSECTORESTIMATEDDAMAGES Number of houses damaged 6,843 79,720 5,419 3,157 257,294 375,773 879,978 1,608,184 Damage Value USD millions 10 97 4 5 226 322 925 1,588
Province AJK Baluchistan FATA Gilgit Baltistan Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Punjab Sindh Sector Total
HOUSINGSECTORPOLICYOPTIONS
Transport&Communication
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TRANSPORTSECTORESTIMATEDDAMAGES
Provinces National Highways Provincial District& Highways Municipal Roads 35 3,540 5 33 402 53 265 Total Railways 793 259 281 1,925 3,125 367 294 1,705 963 349 5,850 2,485 6,277 21,170 Total(Kms)
1,224Kmrailwaylinedamaged
TRANSPORTSECTORSTRATEGYANDPOLICYRECOMMENDATIONS
Principlesfor reconstruction
Restorationofconnectivity complementaritieswith
Strategyfor reconstruction
Fieldverification,needsassessment,disasterriskanalysis
TRANSPORTSECTORDAMAGECOSTS Province ROADS AJK Baluchistan FATA GilgitBaltistan KhyberPakhtunkhwa Punjab Sindh RAILWAYS TELECOMMUNICATION AVIATION Total 35 38 23 15 338 179 605 60 35 0.7 1,328* Damages USDmillions
*Includesdirectdamagesof$735millionwhicharecalculatedonthebasisofdepreciatedreplacementcostofdamaged infrastructure
Agriculture,Livestock&Fisheries
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AGRICULTURESECTORESTIMATEDDAMAGES
CropArea SmallAnimals Damaged(000 LargeAnimals (incl.sheep, ha) (000head) goal)000 33.1 132.4 7.2 7.9 121.4 746.8 1,043.5 2,092.6 0.3 139.6 6.2 1.3 72.4 2.3 93.7 315.6 0.3 1,036.7 8.4 10.8 67.8 2.5 81.9 1,208.3 Poultry Perished (000) 11.7 625.5 101.2 12.9 621.3 2012 6,895.1 10,279.7
Province AJK Balochistan FATA Gilgit Baltistan Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Punjab Sindh Total
LargeAnimals=Cattle,Buffaloes,Camels,Horse,Donkey Fishery/PondslostinFATAincludedinestimatesforPakhtunkhwa
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AGRICULTURESECTORPOLICYOPTIONS
Compensation Strategy
16/11/2010
Environment
ENVIRONMENT SECTORSTRATEGY&POLICYRECOMMENDATIONS
Short Term Addressimmediate issuesrelatingto environmental health Contaminateddrinkingwater,
Technical Assistance
Includefloodprotectionplans,landuseplans,
regulatoryandinstitutionalstrengthening,phased recoveryofnaturalsystems,andothers.
DisasterRiskManagement
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DISASTERRISKMANAGEMENTSECTORSTRATEGYANDPOLICY RECOMMENDATIONS
Institutional developmentand capacitybuilding Developclimate changestrategy
Integrationofpreexistingparallelstructuresfor DRMatFederalandProvinciallevelsforsynergizing andincreasedcoordinationandcapacitybuilding Developmentofanationalclimatechangestrategy frameworkbackedbypolicylegislation&capacity buildingofkeyinstitutionsandraisingawareness Restoringandenhancingtheperformanceofkey elementsofthecountrysfloodearlywarning systemanddevelopmentofanationalmultihazard Integrateddecisionsupportandalertsystem Promotingcommunitybaseddisasterrisk management(CBDRM)andeducation increasing awarenessonDRM Earlyinitiationandcompletionofnationalmulti hazardriskmappingtodefinethenationalhazard riskenvironmentandalsodevelopastrategyfor catastropheriskfinancing
Enhanceearly warningsystems
Increasecommunity preparedness& awareness
DRMSECTORNEEDS
Interventions 1 2 Management study of NDMA and existing parallel DRM structures for assimilation Development of a central MIS System at NDMA with appropriate linkages with Federal, Provincial and District Response Agencies including aid tracking and management systems at all levels Technical assistance and hardware support for NDMA, PDMAs and operationalization of DDMAs in 30 priority districts Social mobilization and training communities on preparedness/response in 30 priority/high-risk districts (including equipment for first responders) Flood hazard mapping GIS-based inundation profiling and of coastal districts Development of a multi-hazard national Integrated Decision Support and Alert System with focus on Flood-related Disaster Management (NIMS) Assessment and identification of potential disaster risk insurance options and development of a strategy for catastrophe risk financing mechanisms and solutions including some piloting Strengthening the capacity of national climate change centers and creating awareness on climate change issues Development and Integration of DRM in education and awareness building at all levels Develop capacity for carrying out various assessments, such as multi-hazard risk assessments and damage and needs assessments (DNA)
3 4 5 6 7 8
9 10 11
InstitutionalArrangements
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INSTITUTIONALARRANGEMENTS PRINCIPLESANDRECOMMENDATIONS Putinplacecoreinstitutionalarrangement(nodalagencies)at federalandprovinciallevels Clarityofrolesinpolicy, Efficient coordination,M&E/reporting,fundflow/managementand Delivery implementations Equity Policy/strategy/criteriaforequitableresourceallocation amongprovinces/regionsbasedondamagessustainedand theassociateddisasterrisksforreconstruction Proactiveprogramandstrategiccommunications(disclosure)on RehabandReconstruction(RR),selectioncriteria,identification methodology,designstandards,procurements,implementation andindependentoversightandmonitoring publicdomain,Public AccountsCommittee,civilsociety Enhancedfiduciarysafeguardsandriskmitigationcapacities andmeasures establishinternalandexternalcontrols countrysystems,specialsystemsforRRprojectsbuildingon whatexiststomeetdonorrequirement/harmonization upfrontchallenge
Transparency
Accountability
INSTITUTIONALARRANGEMENTS PRINCIPLESANDRECOMMENDATIONS Coordination Effectivecoordinationbetweenagencies(donors),sectors andgeographicareas,throughsectoral,national, provincialanddistrictlevelcoordinationfora Fasttracking proceduresandsystemsforRR implementation procurement,approvalsandhiringof humanresourceandconsultants trainingtouseexisting andnewfasttrackingsystems Implementationresponsibility,systemsandcapacities delegatedtothelowestlevelofgovernment more ownershipandaccountability Timelyandeffectiveresponsetosafeguards,grievances andcomplaints tocarrytheadditionalRRload (individualandinstitutional
Indiginizingbest practices
Subsidiarity
Socially responsive
INSTITUTIONALARRANGEMENTS PRINCIPLESANDRECOMMENDATIONS Planningand Budgeting Realisticplanningandbudgeting basictoolstofix responsibilityforachievingresults weakestlink Effectiveinternalandexternal(thirdparty)monitoringand evaluationofRRinputs,outputs,processandresults clearlydefinedrolesatthefederalandprovinciallevelsand foroutsourcingbuiltonandintegratewithwhatwehave
Monitoringand Evaluation
INSTITUTIONALARRANGEMENTS PRINCIPLESANDRECOMMENDATIONS
Questions