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Global recovery, despite its slow pace, is heading in the right direction
Asia Pacific and Middle East/Africa Regions Reach Highest Confidence Levels on Record North America Rises Two Index Points Southern and Eastern European Countries Dip to New Lows Increasing Food Prices Trump the Economy as Biggest Global Concern Rising Fuel/Utility Prices Impact Spending Intentions
Global online consumer confidence rose two points in the in a recession for at least another year. Regional differences first quarter of this year to an index of 92 driven by record prevail, with 37 percent of Asia Pacific consumers saying they confidence gains in the Middle East/Africa following social are in a recession today compared with 82 percent of North and political unrest in the region and strong-performing Asia Americans and 68 percent of Europeans. Pacific economies, according to an online study released by The Nielsen Company (NYSE:NLSN). Asia Pacifics* Consumer Consumer Confidence Index Confidence Index jumped 10 points from last quarter to reach 107 the highest score on record and Middle East/Africa 5 Regions + Global surged 17 points to a new high of 106. Consumer confidence 110 107 levels above tilize spare cash after and below a baseline of 100 indicate degrees of What are the top 10 concerns over the next 6 months? essential living expensespessimism. 105 106 optimism and 102
consumer confidence, major concerns and spending intentions among more than 28,000 Internet consumers in 51 countries. 1) Increasing 49% 47% 13% 13% Food Prices In the latest round of the survey, conducted between March 23 and April 12, 2011, the number of global online consumers 11% 11% 2) The Economy saying they are in a recession has receded across all regions. Global recovery, despite its slow pace, is heading in the 33% 35% 8% 3) Work/Life right direction, said Dr. Venkatesh Balance Bala, Chief 9% Economist at The Cambridge Group, a part of The Nielsen Company. Still, 4) Increasing 8% 9% more than half (55%) of global online consumers say they are Fuel Prices currently in a recession, and of those, 51 percent expect to be 34% 34% 8% 8% 5) Health
31% 32% Global Average
Q1-2011 Nielsen Global Online Consumer Confidence SurveyBIGGEST BIGGEST 2nd tracks Q3-2010 The CONCERN CONCERN
100 95
6) Job 90 Security
101 93 89 88
100 97 90
8% 7%
90 83
92 90 85
7% 10%
85 75
89 83
78
78
73
2011-Q1
70 8) Debt
2010-Q2
6% 5% 2010-Q3
AP 6% EU 5%
2010-Q4
and/or Welfare
MEAP
LA
NA
Among those who say theyre in recession now, how many think theyll be out of the recession in 12 months?*
and Happiness
3%
4%
Among those who say theyre in recession now, how many think theyll be out of the recession in 12 months?* Q1-2011
Q4-2010 Q3-2010 Q1-2010
ns
28%
29%
No Dont Know
51% 29%
51% 30%
48% 30%
48% 28%
26%
26%
21%
21%
Yes
19%
19%
21%
24%
cks/
Source: The Nielsen Company, Global now a Consumerbad time to buy things you want and need? Is Online good or Survey Q1 2011
21% 21% *Due to sampling restrictions caused by the March earthquake/tsunami, Japan was not included in the Q1 survey.
Q1-2011
Q4-2010 Q3-2010
Q1-2010
16% 46%
Copyright 2011 The Nielsen Company.
33%
Divergent Economies
Its been an action-packed start to the year marked by widespread social and political reforms in the Middle East, natural disasters and food inflation in Asia, skyrocketing fuel prices in North America and the searing reality of painful austerity measures in southern Europe, said Dr. Bala. In the last 18 months, we have seen a clear divergence in how regions and countries are emerging from the global recession and this trend has become even more pronounced in first quarter for better or worse. Seven out of the top ten optimistic countries hailed from Asia Pacific, while European markets dominated nine out of the top ten most pessimistic nations. India remained the most optimistic country in first quarter with a Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) of 131 followed by Saudi Arabia and Indonesia. Top 10 Most Optimistic 1. India (131) 2. Saudi Arabia (118) 3. Indonesia (116) 4. Australia (110) 5. Philippines (110) 6. Switzerland (110) 7. Singapore (109) 8. United Arab Emirates (109) 9. China (108) 10. Hong Kong (107) Top 10 Most Pessimistic 1. Portugal (39) 2. Hungary (41) 3. Greece (45) 4. Romania (46) 5. Croatia (47) 6. South Korea (51) 7. Italy (57) 8. Latvia (57) 9. Ukraine (60) 10. France (61)
Global Online Consumer Confidence Survey 51 Countries 3-Month Trend Q1 2011 Nielsen Consumer Confidence Index -22
NORWAY
-5 VIETNAM
+3 CANADA
98
102
102
97
-9 BELGIUM
87
+4 SOUTH AFRICA
88
105
+1 AUSTRIA
+2 UNITED STATES
97
83
-4 FRANCE
-4 IRELAND
61
61
88
+4 THAILAND -7
106
0 INDIA
131
83
-16 UKRAINE
60
PORTUGAL
39
-6
-18
HUNGARY
61
41
96
+ or - Change
45
63
COLOMBIA
91
from Q4 2010
80
57
92
GLOBAL AVERAGE
+2
46
107
66
91
-3 DENMARK
118
95
57
-7
51
SOUTH KOREA
CROATIA
47
80
67
-7 CZECH REPUBLIC
75
-1 ESTONIA
+5 TAIWAN
+8 CHINA
69
91
108
95
116
+9
95
0 NETHERLANDS
94
GERMANY
92
109
110
110
0 SWITZERLAND
SINGAPORE
109
110
Compared to last year, which actions have you taken in order to save on household expenses?
ACTIONS WILL YOU CONTINUE NEXT YEAR? THIS YEAR
3
1)
Use My Car Less Often Cut Down on At-home Entertainment Cut Down on Out-of-Home Entertainment Cut Down on Take-Away Meals Cut Down on Smoking Spend Less on New Clothes Switch to Cheaper Grocery Brands Cut Down on Telephone Expenses Try to Save on Gas and Electricity Cut Down on Holidays/Short Breaks Cut Out Annual Vacation Cut Down/Buy Cheaper Brands of Alcohol Look for Better Deals on Loans, Credit Cards, etc Delay Replacement of Major Household Items Delay Upgrading Technology, e.g. Pc, Mobile, Etc I Have Taken Other Actions Not Listed Above
23% 28% 49% 37% 16% 54% 37% 32% 44% 32% 15% 20%
14% 10% 22% 18% 11% 23% 17% 17% 30% 11% 6% 10% 13%
62%
63%
6) 7) 8)
Increasing Fuel Prices Job Security Childrens Education and/or Welfare Global Warming and Happiness
7% 7% 6% 4% 3%
8% 7% 5% 4% 6%
2) Work/Life Balance
48%
41%
9)
New Clothes
44%
40%
Out-of-Home Entertainment Pay off Debts/ Cred. Cards/ Loans New Technology Products Home Improvement/ Decorating Investing in Stocks/ Mutual Funds I Have No Spare Cash
41%
39%
4
No
Among those who say theyre in recession now, how many think theyll be out of the recession in 12 months?* Q1-2011
Q4-2010 Q3-2010 Q1-2010
28%
27%
41% 31%
47% 30%
42% 31%
46% 27%
38%
34%
Dont Know
21%
21%
Yes
28%
23%
27%
27%
39%
37%
5
Bad
Is now a good or bad time to buy things you want and need? Q1-2011
Q4-2010 Q3-2010 Q1-2010
12% 46%
4%
5% Not So Good
33% 44% 7%
13% 18% 4%
Retirement Fund
14%
14%
Good
34%
2%
2%
Excellent
3%
4%
3%
3%
Global Online Consumer Confidence Survey Quarterly Trend Q1 2011 MIDDLE EAST, AFRICA, PAKISTAN*
Compared to last year, which actions have you taken in order to save on household expenses?
ACTIONS WILL YOU CONTINUE NEXT YEAR? THIS YEAR
3
1)
Use My Car Less Often Cut Down on At-home Entertainment Cut Down on Out-of-Home Entertainment Cut Down on Take-Away Meals Cut Down on Smoking Spend Less on New Clothes Switch to Cheaper Grocery Brands Cut Down on Telephone Expenses Try to Save on Gas and Electricity Cut Down on Holidays/Short Breaks Cut Out Annual Vacation Cut Down/Buy Cheaper Brands of Alcohol Look for Better Deals on Loans, Credit Cards, etc Delay Replacement of Major Household Items Delay Upgrading Technology, e.g. Pc, Mobile, Etc I Have Taken Other Actions Not Listed Above
15% 29% 51% 56% 15% 50% 35% 48% 39% 32% 22% 5% 15% 28% 38% 13%
41%
40%
Political Stability
6% 6% 4% 5% 5%
6% 4% 7% 5% 4%
18%
21%
New Clothes
28%
28%
5) Debt
and/or Welfare
Out-of-Home Entertainment Pay off Debts/ Cred. Cards/ Loans New Technology Products Home Improvement/ Decorating Investing in Stocks/ Mutual Funds I Have No Spare Cash
25%
21%
4
No
Among those who say theyre in recession now, how many think theyll be out of the recession in 12 months?** Q1-2011
Q4-2010 Q3-2010 Q1-2010
26%
21%
20% 30%
39% 34%
45% 32%
38% 35%
20%
26%
Dont Know
21%
23%
Yes
50%
27%
23%
27%
10%
13%
5
Bad
Is now a good or bad time to buy things you want and need? Q1-2011
Q4-2010 Q3-2010 Q1-2010
21%
Retirement Fund
5%
7%
Good
2%
3%
Excellent
5%
7%
6%
8%
* Pakistan was not included in Q1 2011 and Q4 2010 due to insufficient sample.
Compared to last year, which actions have you taken in order to save on household expenses?
ACTIONS WILL YOU CONTINUE NEXT YEAR? THIS YEAR
3
1)
Use My Car Less Often Cut Down on At-home Entertainment Cut Down on Out-of-Home Entertainment Cut Down on Take-Away Meals Cut Down on Smoking Spend Less on New Clothes Switch to Cheaper Grocery Brands Cut Down on Telephone Expenses Try to Save on Gas and Electricity Cut Down on Holidays/Short Breaks Cut Out Annual Vacation Cut Down/Buy Cheaper Brands of Alcohol Look for Better Deals on Loans, Credit Cards, etc Delay Replacement of Major Household Items Delay Upgrading Technology, e.g. Pc, Mobile, Etc I Have Taken Other Actions Not Listed Above
36% 26% 57% 40% 17% 62% 57% 39% 56% 39% 29%
21% 10% 21% 21% 13% 25% 29% 23% 44% 11% 9% 11%
34%
36%
13% 9% 6% 8% 5%
6) Increasing FoodPrices 7)
7% 6% 6% 6% 3%
11% 8% 6% 5% 4%
2) The Economy
30%
32%
New Clothes
31%
35%
5) Debt
Out-of-Home Entertainment Pay off Debts/ Cred. Cards/ Loans New Technology Products Home Improvement/ Decorating Investing in Stocks/ Mutual Funds I Have No Spare Cash
25%
29%
4
No
Among those who say theyre in recession now, how many think theyll be out of the recession in 12 months?* Q1-2011
Q4-2010 Q3-2010 Q1-2010
23%
27%
58% 29%
56% 30%
54% 29%
51% 27%
18%
21%
Dont Know
24%
27%
Yes
13%
14%
17%
23%
5%
7%
5
Bad
Is now a good or bad time to buy things you want and need? Q1-2011
Q4-2010 Q3-2010 Q1-2010
21%
Retirement Fund
9%
10%
Good
3%
3%
Excellent
2%
2%
2%
2%
Global Online Consumer Confidence Survey Quarterly Trend Q1 2011 NORTH AMERICA
Compared to last year, which actions have you taken in order to save on household expenses?
ACTIONS WILL YOU CONTINUE NEXT YEAR? THIS YEAR
3
1)
Use My Car Less Often Cut Down on At-home Entertainment Cut Down on Out-of-Home Entertainment Cut Down on Take-Away Meals Cut Down on Smoking Spend Less on New Clothes Switch to Cheaper Grocery Brands Cut Down on Telephone Expenses Try to Save on Gas and Electricity Cut Down on Holidays/Short Breaks Cut Out Annual Vacation Cut Down/Buy Cheaper Brands of Alcohol Look for Better Deals on Loans, Credit Cards, etc Delay Replacement of Major Household Items Delay Upgrading Technology, e.g. Pc, Mobile, Etc I Have Taken Other Actions Not Listed Above
49% 26% 63% 57% 12% 60% 56% 27% 64% 31% 31% 13% 19% 30% 32% 15%
27% 13% 27% 37% 10% 29% 33% 17% 52% 14% 11% 7% 14% 12% 12% 7%
37%
36%
The Economy
6% 5% 4% 3% 3%
4% 7% 5% 4% 4%
20%
20%
New Clothes
16%
17%
5) Job Security
and/or Welfare
Out-of-Home Entertainment Pay off Debts/ Cred. Cards/ Loans New Technology Products Home Improvement/ Decorating Investing in Stocks/ Mutual Funds I Have No Spare Cash
17%
16%
4
No
Among those who say theyre in recession now, how many think theyll be out of the recession in 12 months?* Q1-2011
Q4-2010 Q3-2010 Q1-2010
32%
34%
59% 26%
54% 27%
51% 30%
48% 29%
11%
12%
Dont Know
19%
14%
Yes
14%
19%
19%
23%
8%
6%
5
Bad
Is now a good or bad time to buy things you want and need? Q1-2011
Q4-2010 Q3-2010 Q1-2010
28%
Retirement Fund
12%
9%
Good
4%
6%
Excellent
4%
3%
4%
5%
Global Online Consumer Confidence Survey Quarterly Trend Q1 2011 LATIN AMERICA
Compared to last year, which actions have you taken in order to save on household expenses?
ACTIONS WILL YOU CONTINUE NEXT YEAR? THIS YEAR
3
1)
Use My Car Less Often Cut Down on At-home Entertainment Cut Down on Out-of-Home Entertainment Cut Down on Take-Away Meals Cut Down on Smoking Spend Less on New Clothes Switch to Cheaper Grocery Brands Cut Down on Telephone Expenses Try to Save on Gas and Electricity Cut Down on Holidays/Short Breaks Cut Out Annual Vacation Cut Down/Buy Cheaper Brands of Alcohol Look for Better Deals on Loans, Credit Cards, etc Delay Replacement of Major Household Items Delay Upgrading Technology, e.g. Pc, Mobile, Etc I Have Taken Other Actions Not Listed Above
27% 15% 57% 53% 11% 48% 49% 49% 47% 36% 25% 23% 22% 32% 42% 20%
17% 4% 15% 27% 9% 18% 29% 34% 36% 10% 6% 13% 17% 8% 12% 13%
35%
39%
Crime
10% 9% 7% 9% 10%
6) Childrens Education
8% 8% 7% 4% 3%
9% 8% 10% 7% 4%
2) Job Security
7)
22%
26%
New Clothes
28%
36%
Out-of-Home Entertainment Pay off Debts/ Cred. Cards/ Loans New Technology Products Home Improvement/ Decorating Investing in Stocks/ Mutual Funds I Have No Spare Cash
31%
36%
4
No
Among those who say theyre in recession now, how many think theyll be out of the recession in 12 months?* Q1-2011
Q4-2010 Q3-2010 Q1-2010
33%
36%
41% 35%
50% 35%
43% 33%
46% 31%
24%
28%
Dont Know
20%
19%
Yes
24%
15%
23%
23%
7%
9%
5
Bad
Is now a good or bad time to buy things you want and need? Q1-2011
Q4-2010 Q3-2010 Q1-2010
19%
Retirement Fund
3%
5%
Good
2%
1%
Excellent
2%
4%
3%
3%
Replacing the economy as the number one concern among global online consumers, the rise in food Quarterly Trend Global Average Q1-2011 lobal Online Consumer Confidence Surveyprices is now what Q1 2011 GLOBAL AVERAGE worries consumers most, increasing four percentage points Compared from year, which actions have you to last last quarter to 13 percent. The economy, the second How utilize spare cash after taken in order to save on household expenses? covering 2pointstotoessential living expenses 3 What are the top 10 concerns over the next 6 months? biggest concern, dropped seven 11 percent in Q3-2010 first ACTIONS WILL YOU CONTINUE Q1-2011 BIGGEST 2nd BIGGEST THIS prices also increased significantly as a major CONCERN CONCERN quarter. Fuel YEAR NEXT YEAR? concern for consumers, escalating six percentage points to Putting into 1) Increasing 6) Job Security My Car 49% 47% 13% 13% 32% 19% Food Prices Savings s Often eight percent compared to three months ago. Rising utility 7) Increasing Utility Bills bills 11% 11% 2) The Economy Down on At-home remained a top concern among seven percent of online (electricity, gas, etc) 10% 26% ertainment respondents. Holidays/
3) Work/Life Balance 4) Increasing
8% 7% 6% 6% 3%
7% 10% 5% 5% 4%
around the world as more and more households are spending a New Clothes 34% 34% 23% 44% higher proportion of their limited income on these necessities, said Dr. Bala. As spare cash continues to dwindle, consumers Down on Smoking taking actions to save on household expenses by spending 15% 11% are Out-of-Home 32% 31% Entertainment less on non-essential items and activities. More than half of nd Less on 24% they will spend less on new clothes, 57% respondents indicate that w Clothes out-of-home entertainment andPay off Debts/ gas/electricity. Forty-seven 29% 28% tch to Cheaper Cred. Cards/ Loans 47% percent of consumers24% to switch to cheaper grocery brands plan cery Brands and 44 percent will cut down on take-away meals. Down on
35% 20%
33% 35% Vacations Down on Out-of-Home fuel 55% food prices are taking a toll on consumers Rising and 22% ertainment
9% 8%
8%
8) Debt
Fuel Prices
9% 8%
9) Childrens Education
and/or Welfare
5) Health
8%
and Happiness
Among Nielsen Company, Global Online Consumer Survey Q1 2011 Source: The those who say theyre in recession now, how many think theyll be out of the recession in 12 months?* Q1-2011
Q4-2010 Q3-2010 Q1-2010
No Dont Know
51% 29%
51% 30%
48% 30%
48% 28%
ephone Expenses
Home 21% 19% 19% Yes 21% 21% Improvement/ Global Average Q1-2011 Down on 34% Consumer Confidence Survey Quarterly Trend Q1 2011 GLOBAL AVERAGE 12% Global Online Decorating * % saying in a recession now: Q1 11 (55%), Q410 (57%), Q3 10 (56%), Q1 10 (58%) idays/Short Breaks
26%
26%
Compared to last year, which actions have you How to utilize spare cash after taken in order to save on household expenses? Investing incovering essential living expenses 23% Stocks/ 8%
ACTIONS WILL YOU CONTINUE NEXT YEAR? THIS YEAR
Mutual Funds
Savings I Have No Spare Cash
21%
Q1-2011
Q3-2010
21%
3
1)
Is now a good or bad time next 6 things What are the top 10 concerns over theto buymonths? you want and need?
BIGGEST Q1-2011 2nd BIGGEST CONCERN CONCERN
Q4-2010
6) Job Security 17% 7) Increasing Utility Bills
Q1-2010
19%
32%
10%
19% 10% 22% 23% 11% 24% 24% 20% 38% 12% 8% 10% 13% 11% 15% 6%
Putting into
47%
49%
k for Better Deals Cut Down on At-home 20% Loans, Credit Cards, etc Entertainment
13% 26%
55% 11% 44% 15% 57% 47% 35% 51% 34% 23% 19% 20% 33% 40% 11%
15%
35%
14%
33%
13% 11% 9% 8% 8%
18% 13%
11%
8% 7% 6% 6% 3%
7% 17% 10%
2) The Economy
Holidays/ Vacations
Not So Good
46%
8% 9% 8%
8) Debt
48%
44% 32%
5%
Retirement Fund
New Clothes
11%
34%
11%
34%
30%
9) Childrens Education
and/or30% Welfare
5% 4%
40% 11%
15% 6%
5) Health
2%
Entertainment
31%
32%
3%
and Happiness
4
No
Among those who say theyre in recession now, how many think theyll be 3% 3% 3% Excellent out of the recession in 12 months?* Q1-2011
Q4-2010 Q3-2010 Q1-2010
3%
Switch to Cheaper Grocery Brands Cut Down on Telephone Expenses Try to Save on Gas and Electricity Cut Down on Holidays/Short Breaks Cut Out Annual Vacation Cut Down/Buy Cheaper Brands of Alcohol Look for Better Deals on Loans, Credit Cards, etc Delay Replacement of Major Household Items Delay Upgrading Technology, e.g. Pc, Mobile, Etc I Have Taken Other Actions Not Listed Above
Pay off Debts/ Cred. Cards/ Loans New Technology Products Home Improvement/ Decorating Investing in Stocks/ Mutual Funds I Have No Spare Cash
28%
29%
51% 29%
51% 30%
48% 30%
48% 28%
26%
26%
Dont Know
21%
21%
Yes
19%
19%
21%
24%
21%
21%
5
Bad
Is now a good or bad time to buy things you want and need? Q1-2011
Q4-2010 Q3-2010 Q1-2010
15%
Retirement Fund
11%
11%
Good
2%
3%
Excellent
3%
3%
3%
3%
Country Abbreviations:
Argentina Australia Austria Belgium Brazil Canada China Colombia Croatia Czech Republic Denmark Egypt Estonia Finland France Germany Great Britain Greece Hong Kong Hungary AR AU AT BE BR CA CN CO HR CZ DK EG EE FI FR DE GB GR HK HU India Indonesia Ireland Israel Italy Latvia Lithuania Malaysia Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Philippines Poland Portugal Romania Russia Saudi Arabia Singapore South Africa IN ID IE IL IT LV LT MY MX NL NZ NO PH PL PT RO RU SA SG ZA South Korea KO Spain Sweden Switzerland Taiwan Thailand Turkey United Arab Emirates Ukraine United States Vietnam ES SE CH TW TH TR AE UA US VN
Region Abbreviations:
AP EU LA MEA NA Asia Pacific Europe Latin America Middle East, Africa North America
10