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Introduction
The Hotels.com Hotel Price IndexTM (HPI) is a regular survey of hotel prices in major destinations across the world. The HPI is based on bookings made on Hotels.com and prices shown are those actually paid by customers (rather than advertised rates) in 2010. Now in its seventh year, the HPI is respected as the definitive report on hotel prices paid around the world and increasingly used as a reference tool by media, analysts, tourism bodies and academics. The HPITM tracks the real prices paid per room by Hotels.com customers around the world using a weighted average based on the number of rooms sold in each of the markets that Hotels.com operates in. Approximately 110,000 properties in more than 18,000 global locations make up the sample set of hotels from which prices are taken. The international scale of Hotels.com (in terms of both customers and destinations) makes the Hotel Price Index one of the most comprehensive benchmarks available, as it incorporates both chain and independent hotels, as well as options such as self-catering and bed and breakfast properties.
Foreword
On the rebound?
Reading our seventh annual Hotel Price Index reminded me of a joke about two economists meeting at a conference. First economist: Hows your wife? Second economist: Relative to what? After the worst trading conditions most in the market had seen, our 2010 story shows a market in recovery, and allows us, for now, to call the bottom of it at around the turn of 2009. Such pronouncements are all relative. The average price of a hotel night grew by 2% globally last year. However, since the fall was so prolonged and steep, guests were still roughly paying what they would have done six or seven years ago. Whilst the high volume of promotions we saw in the depth of the crisis has dried up somewhat, there are still deals to be had. Averages tend to mislead. Any recovery story would ring hollow in say Ireland or Spain, where local economic problems have spilled over into the hotel market. Meanwhile, we can see much stronger recovery in global business centres, and both Asian and luxury markets look buoyant, despite significant increases in capacity. Viewed from Hotels.com as good a vantage point as any given the breadth of our supply and sales - the story of 2010, and likely 2011, has four key themes.
First, business travel, and the associated convention trade, is back. This is reflected in higher occupancy levels for the major business centres and higher star rating hotels. By October last year, occupancy in London was running at over 90%, with Barcelona, Paris and Amsterdam all running at over 80% (TRI Hospitality Consulting). The HPI shows the increase in prices from these higher occupancy rates in most major business destinations from the booming Asian markets of Singapore and Shanghai to London and New York. Even Las Vegas, a watchword for knockdown prices in the recession, saw a significant rise in prices as the convention business returned. Second, although the return of the business traveller accounts for the biggest swing in occupancy, and therefore pricing, this isnt just a business story. Travel in general staged something of a recovery. International arrivals grew over 5% in 2010, having fallen by 4% the previous year (WTO). Those who are travelling are spending more. Occupancy in luxury properties in the US, for example, is running between ten and fifteen points higher than in the lower star categories. Although weve once again compiled a list of the cheapest places for a luxury stay, its a shorter one than it would have been eighteen months ago.
So if the occupancy story has signs of strength, why arent prices recovering more strongly? Here, the previous point about misleading averages is worth remembering in many places in the survey, they are, albeit from low bases. The other force acting on prices is supply, which has continued to expand, if a touch more selectively, through the downturn. London is in the process of adding 12,000 rooms in the run up to the 2012 Olympics, with a particular focus on the luxury sector. Paris expects a 70% increase in luxury hotel capacity in the next two years (Smith Travel Research). STR also reported 310 hotels under construction in Europe at the mid-point of our survey. This trend is more than mirrored in the faster growing Asian and Latin American markets. So, although financing has undoubtedly been tighter, building has continued, and may well continue to act as a brake on prices in the future. Lastly, promotions, whilst still widespread, have become more selective. The pricing trends in this report still reflect hoteliers use of attractive discounts to attract consumers who have grown used to discounting across many shopping categories. This likely permanent change in consumers mindsets means that promotions and deals are unlikely to dry up, and will again form some sort of bulwark against trends that would otherwise see faster rises in the price of a hotel.
So overall, 2010 I think is the story of a recovery, even if it is one that had, and is likely to continue having, particular twists and turns. The pages of this report contain the usual stories for each destination, from World Cups to Icelandic volcanoes, and their impact on the price of a hotel. One thing is for certain. As we pass our 20th anniversary in 2011, the team at Hotels.com is more determined than ever to offer consumers great deals and all the information they need to book the right hotel.
Contents
1. Global price changes in 2010
Overall By region
3. Price changes by country 4. Focus on the UK 5. Prices paid at home and away 6. Where to go for 100 a night 7. Average room prices by star rating 8. Luxury for less 9. Travel habits
Top UK destinations for UK travellers Top overseas destinations for UK travellers Top UK destinations for travellers from overseas
In the HPI report, we focus on two main sources of data: The first section (chapter 1) shows the global Hotel Price Index for 2010. The Index is compiled from all relevant transactions on Hotels.com, in local currency, weighted to reflect the size of each market. By representing hotel price movements in an index, Hotels.com can illustrate the actual price movements as felt by consumers without foreign exchange fluctuations distorting the picture. The Index was started in 2004 at a benchmark of 100, and includes all bookings across all star ratings.
The report largely compares prices paid in 2010 with prices paid in 2009. The second section (chapters 2-9) shows hotel prices across the world as paid by UK travellers in Pounds Sterling. This shows the changes in real prices paid by consumers, reflecting both movements in exchange rates and hotel pricing.
Figure 2 HPI by quarter, by region, Europe, Asia - Pacific, North America, Latin America and Caribbean 2004 - 2010
180 160 Asia - Pacific Caribbean Europe Latin America North America
Index Points
Prices for the Caribbean rose by 1% year-on-year. The stabilisation came after two years of successive falls in 2008 and 2009. At the end of 2010, the HPI for the Caribbean stood at 114 points, still 16 points down on its 2007 peak.
Prices across Latin America also rose by 1% taking its HPI to 111, still 22 points short of its 2007 high.
However, the Hotel Price Index for Asia - Pacific in 2010 stood at 115, 15% higher than when the HPI was launched in 2004. This shows prices overall have increased during the period from 2004 to 2010.
North America
The Index is back to Q3 2009 levels but the region now exhibits a very varying landscape. For example, Thailand suffered from political unrest and having a relatively large supply base; Japan faced challenges in the continued slow domestic economy and a strong currency; Singapore on the other hand recorded significant increases thanks to the strong bounce back of corporate travellers and new tourist attractions and Shanghai price points were boosted by the successful World Expo.
China
Miami saw a 14% increase to 119, a trend reflected by other Florida destinations such as Orlando at 63 after an 18% jump. Another popular destination, Las Vegas, registered an average hotel price of 71 - a 20% hike. Overall though, prices were still lower than 2004, providing some great value options. The flat oil price also helped keep demand for hotels healthy as it made road trips more affordable.
10 5 0
-5
Destination
Muscat Monte Carlo Doha New York Maui Geneva Moscow Valletta Bergen Tel Aviv Rio De Janeiro Washington Venice Nairobi Singapore Cape Town Paris Dubai Johannesburg Miami
-15% 9% 5% 12% 6% 7% 1% 14% 29% 16% 28% 12% -3% 18% 26% 28% 8% -1% 7% 14%
10
Destination
Destination
Sao Paulo Abu Dhabi LONDON Oslo Rome Stockholm Milan Mumbai Amsterdam Jerusalem Vancouver Los Angeles Tokyo Honolulu Hong Kong Copenhagen Sydney Chicago Cairo Frankfurt San Francisco
41% -27% 10% 9% 4% 13% 12% 4% 9% -14% 9% 4% -3% 8% 27% -7% 21% 2% -5% 14% 11%
Cancun Istanbul Toronto Vienna New Orleans Shanghai Athens Buenos Aires Brussels Melbourne Guangzhou Marrakech Reykjavik Las Vegas Warsaw Dublin Prague Budapest Orlando Bangkok Tallinn
21% 3% 15% 8% 17% 33% -3% 14% 4% 11% 11% -7% -6% 20% 5% -7% 3% -8% 18% -3% -11% 11
Figure 5 The biggest percentage price rises in 2010 compared with 2009
Cape Town
Destination
Sao Paulo Shanghai Biarritz Bergen Cape Town Rio de Janeiro Hong Kong Sydney Cancun Colombo Jaipur Las Vegas Anaheim
41% 33% 33% 29% 28% 28% 27% 21% 21% 21% 21% 20% 19%
average room rates, largely as a result of the strong Brazilian currency and booming economy. These factors were also reflected in China with Hong Kong witnessing a 27% rise and Shanghai a 33% increase. Las Vegas, synonymous with knockdown prices during the recession saw a 20% price rise as the convention business returned. A hotel room in Jaipur on the Golden Triangle tourist route surged 21% in price to average 62 a night and the average rate in Cancun leapt by a similar amount benefitting from new luxury hotels and British Airways launching a direct flight to the resort.
The heaviest rises year-on-year for UK travellers came in the non-Euro destinations. Hotel rates served as a good barometer of the growing importance and development of cities in rapidly-developing countries.
Rio de Janeiro and Sao Paulo in Brazil saw staggering increases of 28% and 41% respectively in
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20%
Cape Town Sao Paulo Shanghai Biarritz Bergen
Hong Kong
Muscat
Casablanca
Leipzig
Kiev
Sofia
Zagreb
Detroit
Osaka
Phnom Penh
Figure 6 The biggest percentage price rises and falls in 2010 compared with 2009
Figure 7 The biggest percentage price falls in 2010 compared with 2009
Destination
Destination
Abu Dhabi
Chennai
0%
Anaheim
Cancun
Sydney
Jaipur
10%
Las Vegas
Colombo
Abu Dhabi was the city in which prices paid by UK travellers fell furthest, according to the Hotels.com Hotel Price Index. The average price for a room in the Emirate plunged by nearly a third (down 27%) to 116 over the
The Hotel Price Index Review of hotel prices in 2010 13
course of the year. This was fuelled by a combination of growth in the number of rooms, as new hotels opened, and a drop in the number of corporate travellers visiting, due to the economic downturn. Eastern European cities saw big falls, offering excellent value for UK travellers. Zagreb, where prices fell 20%, Sofia 19%, Kiev 17% and Leipzig 17%, all featured in the top ten list of biggest fallers.
San Francisco 99 11% Las Vegas 71 20% Los Angeles 104 4% Toronto 94 15% New York 166 12%
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Johannesburg 120 7%
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At the other end of the scale, Morocco was the biggest faller (down 10%) and Iceland was also badly hit (down 6%), largely as a result of the volcanic ash cloud in the early part of the year. Eastern Europe again offered good value with Poland the cheapest country for UK travellers with rooms averaging 64 a night, Hungary at 65 and Czech Republic at 67. The most expensive Eurozone country was Italy where the average room rate rose 3% to 107. France on 101 (up 3%) pipped the Netherlands on 99 (up 6%). Ireland was the cheapest Eurozone country for UK travellers at 69 (down 4%).
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However, Switzerland retained its place as the most expensive European nation for a hotel room at 131 a night (up 6%), followed by Norway at 120 (up 12%) and Croatia at 115. Despite seeing a 2% rise, a hotel room in the UK cost on average 83 a night, 12 below the average in the countries surveyed, perhaps indicating one of the appeals of the staycation holiday for travellers looking for competitive deals at a time of shrinking household budgets. Figure 8 Average room prices and changes in 2010 compared with 2009 by country
Destination
United States of America Sweden Denmark France Canada Netherlands Japan Greece South Korea Turkey
Destination
Russia Switzerland Brazil Israel Singapore Norway United Arab Emirates South Africa Croatia Italy
Australia Indonesia Mexico Austria China Finland Belgium Argentina Egypt Taiwan
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Destination
New York
3% 1% 2% -2% 0% 18% -6% -10% -4% 3% -8% -2% 13% -1% Singapore Singapore Brazil South Africa China Australia Mexico United States of America Turkey Egypt France
Spain & Canary Islands 81 Malaysia Iceland Morocco Ireland Czech Republic Hungary Thailand New Zealand Poland 66 79 80 72 65 70 66 57 65
Figure 9 Average room prices and changes in 2010 compared with 2009 by price rises
Destination
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Figure 10 Average room prices and changes for 2010, compared to 2009 by price falls
Dubai
Destination
Taiwan Morocco Hungary Denmark Japan Iceland United Arab Emirates Ireland Portugal Thailand
-14% -10% -8% -7% -6% -6% -4% -4% -2% -2%
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4. Focus on the UK
Hotel room rates rose on average by 2% - from 81 to 83 a night - across the UK from 2009 to 2010, a percentage increase mirroring the global pattern. However, the overall picture masks some dramatic price movements across the country. Many of the major tourist destinations saw some of the highest percentage price rises, as more budget-conscious Britons stayed at home and a return of US travellers after the fall in 2009. Prices in London rose 10% to 114 and Oxford 9% to 99. Lake District destinations also witnessed increases with prices in Bowness-on-Windermere hitting 142, up 23%, and Ambleside 113, a 6% rise as hoteliers were confident enough of visitors to put up their rates. The most expensive place was St Andrews in Scotland at 162 a night on average a 20% jump, partly caused by the British Open golf tournament. St Andrews pushed Bath from the top spot, with the spa city falling to fourth place in the table. Hotels in towns and cities near the M4 corridor home to the UKs growing IT industry saw double-digit rises: Bracknell (up 18%) and Reading (up 15%). However, the steepest rise was in Norwich where prices rose 38%.
London
Other notable rises include those seen in Wolverhampton (up 27%) and Stoke-on-Trent (up 28%) which has seen increased visitor numbers since the football club entered the Premier League in 2008. At the other end of the scale, the Welsh cities of Cardiff (down 6%) and Swansea (down 14%) saw sharp falls to 76 and 69 respectively.
20
120
150
180
60
30 90
0
St Andrews Bowness-on-Windermere London Bath Ambleside St Peter Port Edinburgh Oxford Cambridge York Brighton UNITED KINGDOM Newcastle-upon-Tyne Bracknell Norwich Liverpool Manchester Cardiff Inverness Bournemouth Cheltenham Bristol Reading Glasgow Southampton Swansea Belfast Leeds Birmingham Sheffield Stoke-on-Trent Nottingham Bradford Wolverhampton
The Hotel Price Index Review of hotel prices in 2010 21
Price rise year on year (%) Price fall year on year (%)
St Andrews
Destination
Figure 12 Average room prices and changes in 2010 across the UK Destination
Norwich Liverpool
22
Destination
Edinburgh
Prices in the Scottish capital of Edinburgh rallied by 5% in 2010 to average 101 a night. More flights
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into Edinburgh Airport, the British Open golf tournament, Edinburgh Festival and marathon all attracted record visitor numbers in 2010. The average price paid in Inverness was also substantially up, this time by 9%, taking room rates to 76 on average. This came on the back of a surge in demand from travellers heading to the Scottish Highlands. Perth, on the key A9 route northwards, also saw a huge 22% spike to 68. Aberdeen finished the year posting a 5% rise in prices even though there had been a 5% fall in Q2 as hotels tried to sustain occupancy. However, it was not all good news for Scottish hoteliers with Stirling suffering a 10% drop to 78 after a strong 2009 with the Homecoming events. Glasgow saw a smaller 2% drop as a result of a fall in conference business at hotels and therefore lower business bookings.
Aberdeen
24
Edinburgh 101 5%
Newcastle-upon-Tyne 82 4% Belfast 68 3%
Cardiff 76 6%
Portsmouth 78 0%
Brighton 84 2%
25
Las Vegas
Udaipur
26
Figure 14 Average room prices paid by travellers when travelling within their own countries versus those paid overseas in 2010
Nationality
Nationality
Average price paid per room when travelling within own country HOME
117 117 106 97 97 95 93 91 90 84 83 81 74 74 74
Average price paid per room when travelling within own country HOME
71 70 70 67 59
Norway Singapore Russia Japan Denmark Sweden Brazil South Africa Australia Netherlands UNITED KINGDOM Italy USA Portugal Germany
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Destination
Buenos Aires Guangzhou Jakarta Marrakech Santiago Warsaw
GBP 100
5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Buenos Aires
Budapest Lisbon Tallinn Bangkok Prague Berlin Cairo Beijing Dublin Las Vegas Helsinki
28
Destination
Madrid Melbourne Vienna Dubai Istanbul Shanghai Barcelona Mexico City Sydney Taipei Bali Frankfurt Munich Cape Town Edinburgh Hong Kong Mumbai Milan Orlando New Delhi
GBP 100
4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Destination
Amsterdam Chicago Copenhagen Stockholm Cancun LONDON Moscow Nice Rome Toronto Singapore Tokyo Los Angeles San Francisco Vancouver Miami Montreal Venice Paris New York
GBP 100
3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 1
29
Pounds ()
Cape Town
100
New York Tokyo Paris
San Francisco
30
Venice
Nice
50
Jerusalem
Geneva
Destination
Istanbul 42 N/A N/A 30 46 64 67 60 N/A N/A 32 62 N/A 69 N/A 45 62 26 120 70 38 90 74 65 N/A 81 46 59 88 90 73 50 56 54 101 72 101 85 72 84 53 167 82 65 104 108 92 65 N/A 82 78 127 164 83 64 88 102 160 113 129 135 106 103 132 217 140 114 119 167 133 N/A 225 131 101 212 265 135 90 129 N/A 206 203 N/A 196 146 158 171 400 238 170 147 296 Jakarta Jerusalem Las Vegas Lisbon London Los Angeles Madrid Marrakech Melbourne Mexico City Miami Milan Montreal Moscow Mumbai Munich New Delhi New York Nice Orlando Oslo Paris
Destination
Amsterdam Bali Bangkok Barcelona Beijing Berlin Boston Budapest Buenos Aires Cairo Cancun Cape Town Chicago Copenhagen Dubai Dublin Edinburgh Frankfurt Geneva Guangzhou Helsinki Hong Kong 76 N/A 26 66 37 56 86 35 41 91 39 94 71 70 48 51 70 61 N/A N/A N/A 39 89 45 30 85 39 56 119 42 79 36 85 70 91 92 50 58 87 74 119 63 89 71 113 105 66 98 68 76 153 63 97 78 131 108 116 110 84 73 104 103 151 90 88 109 152 159 115 157 128 115 N/A 101 N/A 118 N/A 240 N/A 155 180 130 153 160 300 N/A 134 188
31
Destination
Prague Rio de Janeiro Rome San Francisco Santiago Sao Paulo Seattle Seoul Shanghai Singapore Stockholm Sydney Taipei Tallinn Tokyo Toronto Vancouver Venice Vienna Warsaw Washington 40 97 76 66 N/A N/A 74 N/A 26 48 63 N/A N/A 31 60 66 70 62 N/A N/A 82 48 127 92 95 85 90 100 69 60 94 87 65 65 37 86 89 96 100 73 55 119 63 212 116 130 N/A 199 139 121 92 129 119 100 100 54 155 129 132 139 84 69 140 113 N/A 210 262 N/A N/A 147 170 174 200 140 160 N/A 102 299 N/A 171 221 144 75 N/A
Venice
Rome
32
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Figure 18 The falling cost of luxury: where prices at top-end hotels fell by the greatest extent between 2009 and 2010
Figure 19 Affordable luxury: 15 destinations with the best-value five-star hotels in 2010
Destination
Average % Change price per year on room year per night 2010
100 78 54 221 90 90 88 101 84 73 110 118 115 78 64 63 62
Destination
Warsaw Marrakech Budapest Lisbon Tallinn Prague Berlin Bangkok Pisa Cairo Beijing 75 90 101 101 102 113 115 115 117 118 128
Destination
Melbourne Dublin Las Vegas Istanbul Helsinki Madrid Stockholm Vienna Mumbai Seattle Oslo 129 130 131 133 134 135 140 144 146 147 148
Taipei Cairo Tallinn Venice Guangzhou Marrakech Helsinki Budapest Dubai Dublin Copenhagen Cairo Bangkok Lisbon Marrakech Prague Budapest
-17% -15% -13% -11% -10% -9% -9% -7% -7% -6% -5% -4%
-4% -3% -3% -3% -3%
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9. Travel habits
Top UK destinations for UK travellers
London was the most popular domestic destination, according to the Hotels.com Hotel Price Index. Manchester and Edinburgh came in at number two and three, swapping places from 2009. Birmingham and Glasgow completed the top-five list of the most popular home destinations for UK travellers. Figure 20 Top UK destinations for UK travellers
Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
London 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Destination
London Manchester Edinburgh Birmingham Glasgow Liverpool Cardiff Bristol Leeds Brighton Bournemouth Nottingham York Belfast Newcastle-upon-Tyne Blackpool Oxford Sheffield Southampton Aberdeen
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Rank
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Destination
New York Paris Dublin Las Vegas Amsterdam Rome Barcelona Dubai San Francisco Berlin Prague Los Angeles Hong Kong Orlando Madrid Bangkok Venice Marrakech Budapest Singapore
Country
United States France Ireland United States Netherlands Italy Spain United Arab Emirates United States Germany Czech Republic United States China United States Spain Thailand Italy Morocco Hungary Singapore
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Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Destination
London Edinburgh Manchester Liverpool Glasgow Birmingham Belfast Brighton Oxford Bristol Leeds Aberdeen Cardiff Nottingham Newcastle-upon-Tyne Gatwick Airport Cambridge Bath York Bournemouth
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About Hotels.com
As part of the Expedia group which operates in all major markets, Hotels.com offers more than 130,000 quality hotels, B&Bs and serviced apartments worldwide. If a customer can find the same deal for less on a pre-paid hotel, Hotels.com will match it. Hotels.com benefits from one of the largest hotel contracting teams in the industry negotiating the best rates for its customers, plus there are 1.8m reviews from users who have actually stayed in the hotels to ensure customers make an informed choice when booking. Hotels.com has recently launched its Welcome Rewards customers loyalty programme in the UK, where customers can earn a free night for every ten nights stayed (subject to Welcome Rewards terms and conditions as set out at www. hotels.com). Hotels.com was voted top in the Service and Customer Friendly Website categories by the German Institute of Service Quality in January 2011. Travellers can book online or by contacting one of the multilingual call centres on 020 3027 8146. The company currently operates more than 75 Hotels.com sites around the world including 31 sites in 24 languages across EMEA. The European sites launched in the UK in 2001 and now attract several million unique users every month and thousands of people now book bed nights through Hotels.com every day.
Alison Couper
+44 (0)20 7019 2360 acouper@hotels.com
Kate Hopcraft
+44 (0)20 7019 2165 khopcraft@hotels.com
Cordy Griffiths
+44 (0)20 7019 2268 cgriffiths@hotels.com
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2011 Hotels.com, L.P. The Hotel Price Index (HPI), this report and its contents are the copyright of Hotels.com, L.P. All rights reserved. Any reproduction of this report or its contents must acknowledge www.hotels.com as the source.