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Share price performance ♦ The EBITDA margins have shown an improvement of 412 bps to 25.5%
52-week high/low (Rs) 499 / 201
YoY in Q3FY06 due to a buoyant top line growth coupled with decline in
raw material costs. The net margins have also registered an increase of
-1m -3m -12m
77bps to 13.3% in the period.
Abs (%) 20.5 49.5 128.3
Rel* (%) 16.6 28.3 81.3 ♦ The capacity utilization of NRB in FY05 was 93% for needle rollers and
*to Nifty
83% for ball and roller bearings. In order to meet the increased demand,
the company is expanding its capacity of needle rollers from 2.02 billion
Financial snapshot Rs mn units to 3.82bn units, and ball and roller bearings from 14.5 million units
Ye March FY05 FY06E FY07E to 21.5 million units in FY06E. Further, the company is expanding its
Net Sales 2,180.0 2,515.0 3,015.1 capacity for automobile components. The total capex for expansion is
% change - 15.4 19.9 Rs1, 000mn over the next two years to be funded 40% by debt and
Net Income 272.9 340.5 423.8
balance through internal accruals. The company has already taken a
% change - 24.8 24.5
EPS (Rs.) 28.2 35.1 43.7 loan of USD10mn at LIBOR+ 1% for capital expenditure. The expansion
% change - 24.8 24.5 is spread across three plants at Aurangabad, Waluj and Jalna.
P/E (x) 17.1 13.7 11.0
ROE (%) 25.2 26.6 27.3 ♦ The company’s exports as percentage of sales are expected to increase
ROCE (%) 31.6 30.2 30.8 to 20% in the next two-three years from 9% in FY05 as India benefits
from higher outsourcing of auto components. The company currently
caters to the truck division of Renault-Volvo, which is the second largest
customer of NRB Bearings. It supplies 16-18 bearings for Volvo-Renault-
MAC heavy vehicle. We believe growth in exports is expected to be at
22-24% CAGR in FY05- FY07E higher than domestic growth.
♦ As the Q3FY06 numbers are in above our expectations, we are
increasing the FY06E and FY07E EPS estimates by 1.7% and 4.7% to
Rs35.1 and Rs43.7, respectively. The company is trading at a PE
multiple of 10.2X FY07E. Given the expected robust top line growth with
increased focus on exports, and attractive valuations, we continue to rate
the company a 'BUY’.
Mihir Jhaveri
+91 22 55069933
mihir.jahveri@investsmartindia.com
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