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TOTAL MARKET
1231) 10
22
ACCESSIBLE MARKET2)
Average market volumes 05-07 Growth p.a. Average market volumes 05-07 Growth p.a. Rail control Infrastructure Rolling stock 2.0-2.5% 3.0-3.5% 2.5-3.0%
Rail control
861) 10
17
37
2.0-2.5%
31
Services
53
2.0-2.5%
Services 27 3.5-4.0%
1) Figures are including market volume for project integration, Growth rates are 9-year average growth rates 2) ACCESSIBLE MARKET: Part of the market open to any external supplier 3
Infrastructure
Above average growth foreseen for electrification in the mainline segment
Rolling Stock
High growth expected for (V)HS trains, intercity multiple units and light rail vehicles slight decline in demand for coaches 2.0% 2.5%
Rail control
Significant growth foreseen for ETCS (within and outside of Europe) and CBTC systems
Services
Solid, global development and increasing accessibility expected, also due to increasing rolling stock base 3.5% 4.0%
2.5% 3.0%
3.0 3.5%
Infrastructure
Rolling stock
Rail control
Services
Western Europe 35
24
6,307 0,986
0,639 0 639 5,702 0,238 2,652 0,570 17,094
10,718 1,615
2,500 2 500 5,260 0,787 8,335 2,090 31,305
4,641 0,587
0,421 0 421 1,098 0,187 2,217 0,502 9,653
7,651 1,709
2,004 2 004 8,739 1,508 4,976 0,349 26,936
29,317 4,897
5,564 5 564 20,799 2,720 18,180 3,511 84,988
Asia/ 21 Pacific
NAFTA
Rail Control
11 Infrastructure 20
Rolling 37 Stock
Services
32
SEGMENTS [%]
All: 1.9
1.6 2.2 2.8
All: 2.1
2.6 2.8 3.5
All: 4.1
6.7 2.2 3.3 2.4
All: 4.5
5.8 4.4 1.7 4.6
0.5
0.3
Infra RS
RC
Serv
Infra RS
RC
Serv
Infra RS
RC
Serv
Infra
RS
RC
Serv
Rest of America
Africa/Middle East
Asia/Pacific
World
All: 6.0
5.0 5.9 3.5 6.6
All: 2.7
6.2 -0.1 5.7 4.9
All: 3.8
5.6 3.3 3.3 3.7
All: 2.9
2.8 2.2 3.1 3.6
Infra RS
RC
Serv
Infra RS
RC
Serv
Infra RS
RC
Serv
Infra
RS
RC
Serv
Asian very high speed countries are China, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan growth mainly originates from first three
10.5 3.5 Mainline Light rail
5.7
2.8 Metro
Above average growth within the mainline segment stems from Superstructure and electrification High speed and intercity trainsets Electric locomotives The urban sector will continue its strong development due to the lasting need of urban transport
8
Urbanisation
Leasing & Financing facilitates operators' demand and generates additional demand through internationalisation of ti li ti f leasing companies Deregulation and liberalisation higher competition for rail operation increases demand for new rolling stock