Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Industry Surveys
Apparel & Footwear
CURRENT ENVIRONMENT..................................................................1
Sales rising as consumers dress up
Marie Driscoll, CFA Clothing makers adapt to face challenges
Apparel & Footwear Luxury, value goods both do well
Analyst Economic growth spurs consumer spending
S&P Ratings Services View:
Jeannine DeFoe Outlook mixed
Financial Writer INDUSTRY PROFILE...............................................................................6
The industry that suits everyone
Apparel
Footwear
INDUSTRY TRENDS ..................................................................................7
Private equity firms go shopping in the apparel sector
Diversifying to survive
Buying into new markets
Following the demographics
Licensing builds megabrands
Shorter cycles
Contacts:
Price deflation
Offshore sourcing
Inquiries & HOW THE INDUSTRY OPERATES ..............................................................14
Client Support Components of the industries
800.523.4534 Intense competition
clientsupport@ Manufacturing dynamics
standardandpoors.com Reduced trade regulation
Vital role of technology
Sales Sales channels proliferate
800.221.5277 Enhancing customer loyalty
roger_walsh@ KEY INDUSTRY RATIOS AND STATISTICS ...................................................21
HOW TO ANALYZE AN APPAREL OR FOOTWEAR COMPANY ........................22
standardandpoors.com
Qualitative factors
Quantitative factors
Media Other factors
Michael Privitera S&P Ratings Services View:
212.438.6679 Evaluating an apparel company’s creditworthiness
michael_privitera@
standardandpoors.com
GLOSSARY .............................................................................................29
INDUSTRY REFERENCES.....................................................................31
Replacement copies
COMPARATIVE COMPANY ANALYSIS ..............................................34
800.852.1641
THIS ISSUE REPLACES THE ONE DATED NOVEMBER 23, 2006.
THE NEXT UPDATE OF THIS SURVEY IS SCHEDULED FOR NOVEMBER 2007.
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page ii
C URRENT E NVIRONMENT
ated rebranded more than 400 May stores to Source: US Department of Commerce.
the Macy’s name and is creating a nation-
1
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 2
beth apparel, which caters to plus-sized stores, as a way of driving shoppers to its
women, as well as its Laundry by Shelli Segal outlets. (See the table “Apparel manufac-
stores. The company is focusing instead on turers’ retail operations” for more detail
brands including Lucky, Juicy Couture, and on apparel makers’ retail outlets.) Shoe-
Sigrid Olson. Liz Claiborne may drop more maker Deckers Outdoor Corp. is opening
underperforming brands, chief executive up stores to sell its Uggs brand of sheep-
William McComb said in February 2007. skin boots, normally found in department
VF Corp., the largest US apparel compa- stores and shoe stores.
ny, with brands including The North Face
and Wrangler jeans, in April 2007 sold its Going abroad
Vanity Fair line of intimate apparel to Fruit Apparel makers are also looking outside
of the Loom Inc., a division of Berkshire their home market in search of faster growth,
Hathaway Inc., for $350 million. The sale with clothing sales rising at low- to mid-single
allows VF to focus on higher-margin busi- digit rates and retail consolidation. For man-
nesses, such as outerwear and denim. ufacturers, many of the new overseas mar-
2
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 3
kets are attractive due to growing middle Sporting apparel goes high-tech
class populations and a lack of branded Athletic apparel has come a long way from
clothing available for sale. the era of pairing a dowdy gray cotton sweat
International sales accounted for 28% of suit with tennis shoes. Now athletic togs
Liz Claiborne’s revenue in 2006, up from promise to hug the body with materials that
just 4% in 2000. The company has said it will insulate the wearer from cold weather,
hopes to eventually reach 35% in interna- while wicking away sweat to boost perfor-
tional sales. VF Corp. in 2006 formed a mance. Running shoes sync with computers to
venture with licensing partner Arvind Mills measure performance. Consumers have re-
Ltd. VF expects its apparel sales in India to sponded to the high-tech offerings, with sports-
grow at more than 25% a year, up from wear apparel sales rising 67% in the last 10
$40 million presently, because of the joint years to $28.8 billion in 2006, according to the
venture. Indian consumers have taken to Sporting Goods Manufacturers Association, an
VF brands, according to the company. The industry trade group.
world’s largest store selling Wrangler jeans, Other advances in sports apparel include
a brand long associated with American tagless and stitchless T-shirts and fabrics that
cowboys, is in Bangalore, India. manage odors. Technological advancements al-
In China, as many as 300 million residents low manufacturers to maintain or increase
are already in the middle class, and that num- prices and keep consumers loyal to their brand.
ber will increase as the country’s economic One of the pioneers in advanced athletic ap-
boom continues. China’s consumer spending parel is Under Armour Inc. The company,
makes up a smaller percentage of gross domes- founded in 1996, offers compression apparel
tic product (GDP) than in other countries, a that regulates body temperature by wicking
statistic likely to change in tandem with a away perspiration to keep an exerciser com-
growing middle class. fortable. Users wear the company’s HeatGear
Wealthier Chinese are particularly keen on line when it is warm, ColdGear when it is cold,
acquiring brand-name goods. China now ac- or AllSeasonGear for moderate temperatures.
counts for about 12% of luxury sales world- The company’s revenue has doubled in the past
wide, according to consulting firm Ernst & two years to $431 million in 2006 as it ex-
Young. Spending on apparel there will rise to panded into apparel for women and footwear.
about $170 billion by 2025 from $45 billion Adidas AG in 2005 introduced the Adidas_1
in 2005, according to McKinsey & Company, running shoe, which uses sensors, a micro-
another consulting firm. processor, and a small motor to adjust the
India is another promising market. level of cushioning provided by the shoe.
Young Indians are traveling abroad more The technology is available in basketball
frequently and acquiring a taste for West- and running shoes.
ern fashion and brand-name goods. As a Nike teamed with computer company
result, sales of women’s branded apparel is Apple Inc. to develop the Nike + iPod Sport
growing about 35% a year, and men’s is Kit, which allows Nike footwear to “com-
rising by 22%, according to A.T. Kearney. municate” with Apple’s iPod nano portable
3
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 4
the low end. Upper–middle class and wealthy ates under eight banners, including Zara,
consumers are more insulated from recent Oysho, Pull and Bear, rose 22% to €8.2 bil-
trends, such as higher heating and gas prices, lion ($10.4 billion) the year ended January
that have reduced spending for middle class 31, 2007. (Note: All currency conversions in
and lower-income consumers. this Survey are at average exchange rates for
Companies that sell to these markets are the period in question, except where noted.)
thriving. Phillips-Van Heusen Corp., which US-based apparel retailers and manufactur-
acquired the upscale Calvin Klein brand in ers are wooing designers to produce merchan-
2003, posted a 39% increase in net income dise at the low end. Discounter Target has
in the year ended in February 2007, lifted by featured lines by designer Isaac Mizrahi, Liz
demand for its Calvin Klein brand of men’s Lange, and Mossimo Giannulli. Gap in April
better sportswear and the licensing of the 2007 introduced Gap Design Editions, select-
Calvin Klein name to new fragrances. ing three up-and-coming design labels to pro-
Upscale department stores are also experi- duce their version of the iconic white shirt.
encing strong sales growth. February same- Steve & Barry’s, a clothing chain known
store sales, or sales at stores open at least a for selling T-shirts, sweatshirts, jeans, and oth-
year, rose 11% at luxury stores from the year er basics, often for under $10 an item, signed
earlier and then rose an additional 13% in actress Sarah Jessica Parker to help design a
March, according to trade group the Inter- line of fashionable women’s clothing. Called
national Council of Shopping Centers. Bitten, every piece in the collection will sell for
Polo Ralph Lauren, whose profits have $19.98 or less, according to press reports.
risen on demand for its upscale apparel and Parker, known for her sense of style, said she
accessories, said in March 2007 it formed a picked the chain because she grew up in a
joint venture with luxury goods maker family of eight children that faced financial
Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA to de- difficulties. The chain is hoping to build upon
sign and sell precious jewelry and watches. the success it has enjoyed with its $14.98 Star-
Shoppers are flocking to value goods, many bury basketball sneakers, endorsed by New
of which are improving in quality and fashion York Knicks basketball player Stephon Mar-
thanks to an infusion of top designers turning bury, who wears them during games. Steve &
out moderately priced collections. Two Euro- Barry’s has since expanded its product line
pean specialty retailers have been particularly from 50 items to 200, including apparel and
successful at offering lower-priced goods, and women’s athletic shoes.
both are undergoing aggressive expansions into
the United States. Both Sweden’s Hennes & Economic growth spurs consumer
Mauritz AB (H&M) and Spain’s Industria de spending
Diseño Textil SA, known as Inditex, offer
what some call “disposable chic” or “fast US economic growth continues, helping
fashion” — exceptional fashion quality at many apparel companies and clothing retail-
affordable prices. ers post higher sales growth in the first part
The two retailers have used unconventional of 2007. In March, apparel retailers includ-
MAY 24, 2007 / APPAREL & FOOTWEAR INDUSTRY SURVEY
means to expand their businesses. For example, ing Gap Inc., Abercrombie & Fitch Co., and
Inditex, based in Spain, does virtually no ad- Ann Taylor Stores Corp. posted results that
vertising, relying instead on sleekly designed exceeded analysts’ estimates. Still, sales likely
stores in centrally located neighborhoods in benefited from warmer-than-usual weather in
major cities. Though Sweden’s H&M sells in- March in much of the US, as well as from
expensive goods, it knows its shoppers are sales spurred by the Easter holiday.
fashion conscious. The chain in the past few The US economy, as measured by GDP,
years has featured lines from designers Karl grew at an annualized rate of 2.2% in the
Lagerfeld and Stella McCartney. In March fourth quarter of 2006, up from growth of
2007, H&M rolled out M by Madonna, a line 2.0% in the third quarter of 2006, according
of clothing designed by the pop singer. to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), an
Both are enjoying success. For the year agency of the US Department of Commerce.
ended November 30, 2006, H&M’s sales As of March 2007, Standard & Poor’s
rose 12% to 68.4 billion Swedish krona was projecting that personal consumption
($9.17 billion). Sales at Inditex, which oper- expenditures (PCE) will rise 3.1% in 2007,
4
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 5
after a 3.2% increase in 2006. Our projec- cerns about the economy’s direction led to
tion for real GDP is for a gain of 2.4% in the decline.
2007 and 3.0% in 2008, following an in- The Conference Board, a private research
crease of 3.3% in 2006. organization, also reported a dip in senti-
Linked to a growing domestic economy ment in March 2007. The index fell to 107.2
is the employment environment, which re- (1985=100) in March, down from 111.2 in
mains strong. The unemployment rate February. The present situation index in-
stood at 4.4% in March 2007, a five-year creased slightly.
low. Payrolls rose by 180,000 in March US apparel sales rose 5.1% in 2006 to
5
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 6
I NDUSTRY P ROFILE
1.2
Like the apparel business, the US footwear
industry is mature and fragmented, and its
1.0
manufacturing base is declining. According
0.8 to NPD Group, a consumer market re-
0.6 search firm, total footwear sales in the
fourth quarter rose 2.6% to $11.7 billion.
0.4
In the fourth quarter of 2006, casual shoes
0.2
made up 28% of sales, followed by dress
0.0 casual (20%), other leisure shoes (15%),
1959 63 67 71 75 79 83 87 91 95 99 03 2007 running shoes (9%), and basketball shoes
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. (7%). Other shoe categories include hiking,
evening, and tennis.
6
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 7
MAJOR APPAREL COMPANIES May 2006, Nike generated 53% of its sales
FISCAL overseas.
YEAR SALES
COMPANY ENDING (MIL. $) Footwear companies, particularly manu-
Nike May '06 19,965 facturers of athletic footwear, have diversi-
V.F. Corp. Dec.'06 6,216 fied into related apparel and sporting goods
Liz Claiborne Dec.'06 4,994 categories as a way to extend their brand’s
Jones Apparel Group Dec.'06 4,743 reach and grow revenues. In addition to
Hanesbrands July '06 4,473 sneakers, Nike offers golf clubs, watches,
Polo Ralph Lauren Mar '06 3,746 and yoga mats.
Quiksilver Oct.'06 2,362
Kellwood Feb.'07 1,962
Phillips-Van Heusen Jan.'06 1,909
Warnaco Dec.'06 1,830
INDUSTRY TRENDS
Timberland Dec.'06 1,568
New Balance* Dec.'06 1,555 Most trends affecting apparel and
Carter's Inc. Dec.'06 1,343 footwear manufacturers today are driven by
Wolverine Dec.'06 1,142 consumer demand and relate to the size of
Oxford Industries May '06 1,109 the various demographic groups and their
*Privately held. particular wants, shopping patterns, and
Source: Company reports. spending power. Changing styles in work-
place and leisure attire also are influencing
According to data from the American retail and manufacturing operations. Private
Apparel & Footwear Association, a trade equity firms are buying up apparel compa-
association, US footwear imports totaled nies at the same time there is consolidation
2.37 billion pairs of shoes in 2006, up 5.3% among manufacturers entering new markets
from 2.25 billion pairs in 2005. Domestic and product lines.
shoe production has fallen to represent less
than 5% of shoe purchases in the US in re- Private equity firms go shopping in
cent years. the apparel sector
While the United States imports most of
its soft-sole footwear, it is particularly strong Private equity firms that are flush with
in the manufacture of protective or safety cash are buying up apparel makers and re-
footwear (most of which feature steel safety tailers. The private equity sector’s interest
toes). Interestingly, domestic footwear pro- in retail may have started when Edward
ducers often import shoes to offer a diversi- Lampert’s ESL Investments fund acquired
fied catalog. discount retailer Kmart Corp. in 2002.
Lampert’s firm sold 100 store locations to
Internationalization and diversification department store operator Sears, Roebuck
Today, the footwear industry is truly and Co. and Home Depot Inc., the home
global in nature, with large manufacturers improvement retailer, unlocking the value of
sourcing products from and selling prod- some of its real estate. Under Lampert,
7
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 8
Partners LLC for about $2.06 billion. Hilco APPAREL PRICE INDEXES
Consumer Capital LLC in January 2007 pur- (1982–84=100)
8
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 9
9
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 10
Nonetheless, with pressure to increase top-line wardrobe to add to her working wardrobe
growth and intensifying competition among and to reflect shifting tastes.
the megabrands, Standard & Poor’s expects Some examples of new stores striving to
more acquisitions to occur over the next year. serve this demographic are Abercrombie’s
Ruehl, aimed at men and women aged 22 to
Following the demographics 35, and American Eagle Outfitters Inc.’s
Martin + Osa, named for a husband and
In order to cater to growth in certain wife team of explorers.
age groups, retailers are rolling out new Specialty retailers are losing out to de-
stores that cater to various demographics. partment store chains that are improving
The new concept should benefit by tapping their merchandise to win older women
into age groups that may not feel well back. Chains including J.C. Penney Co.
served by already-established stores. For and Kohl’s Corp. are offering more exclu-
the retailers, the new stores are a way to sive private label goods that are fashion-
hold onto consumers that may have out- able. Gap Inc., the largest US apparel
grown shopping at an Abercrombie & retailer, is shutting its Forth & Towne
Fitch or an American Eagle Outfitters. chain, aimed at women over 35. Gymboree
Stores that cater to multiple age groups are Corp., which operates a chain of children’s
losing ground. Department stores have lost clothing stores, in early 2007 closed
sales to specialty retailers for years, while the Janeville, a chain of stores for women in
flagship chain of the Gap Inc. is suffering their 30s. American Eagle recently named
monthly same-store sales declines as it strug- new executives in charge of Martin + Osa
gles to define its customer base. and is believed to be retooling the chain
because of disappointing sales.
Echo boomers in focus Chico’s FAS Inc., which owns a chain of
One of the more apparent trends among ap- stores targeting women over 35, said in
parel and footwear companies in recent years March 2007 it was closing Fitigues, an up-
has been a focus on marketing to the roughly scale casual clothing chain. Chico’s acquired
60 million people born between 1979 and Fitigues in 2006.
1994, known as Generation Y, the Millennium
Generation, Echo Boomers, or the boomlet. Young men dressing up
These are the children of the baby boomers. The casual look began its ascendance in the
New stores have popped up to serve the boom- early 1990s, when corporate America started
lets, including Rugby by Polo Ralph Lauren emulating the less-rigid dress policies of high-
Corp., which is aiming to woo the college-age tech industries. Often, the philosophy behind
and early 20s shopper away from rivals (such the switch from suit and tie to casual attire
as Abercrombie & Fitch Co.) with high-end ca- was that, if employees were working long
sual clothing and business wear. Founded in hours, they should be allowed to do so com-
2004, there are now nine store locations. Not fortably. Gap rode the success of khakis for a
to be outdone, Abercrombie launched Ruehl, decade, but ultimately became a victim of its
MAY 24, 2007 / APPAREL & FOOTWEAR INDUSTRY SURVEY
which is aimed at men and women aged 22 to own success: by 2000, khakis were ubiquitous,
35. US teenagers spent $179 billion in 2006, and the wearer no longer needed Gap’s stamp
according to Teenage Research Unlimited, a of approval (i.e., the Gap brand) to feel appro-
market researcher specializing in the teen mar- priately dressed when wearing khakis. The ca-
ket, up 13% from 2005. sual look is one factor that drove deflationary
apparel pricing in the last decade.
Retailers struggle to draw older women In the aftermath of the Internet bust, how-
Retailers have had mixed results catering ever, the American workplace has been revert-
to women over 35, which previously have ing to more formal attire. Retail trends reveal
enjoyed little attention from specialty retail- that suits are again selling. For women, the
ers. Unlike her mother, this particular con- business suit has been tweaked to convey femi-
sumer is less likely to shop in a department ninity; for men, its construction has become
store and grew up shopping in specialty re- more form-fitting. Sales of slacks rose 7.2% in
tailers. This consumer has more money to 2006, compared to 5.4% growth for jeans.
spend on clothes and likes to update her Men aged 25 to 34 increased purchases of suits
10
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 11
CLOSING
DATE ACQUIROR TARGET APPROXIMATE VALUE
Apr. 07 Berkshire Hathaway VF Corp.'s intimates business $350 million
Mar. 07 VF Corp. Majestic Athletic terms undisclosed
Jan. 07 Phillips Van-Heusen Superba $180 million
Dec. 06 Liz Claiborne Kate Spade $124 million
Oct. 06 Kellwood Co. CRL Group terms undisclosed
Sep. 06 Stride Rite Corp. Robeez Footwear $27.5 million
Aug. 06 Berkshire Hathaway Russell Corp. $600 million
May. 06 Talbots J. Jill $517 million
May. 06 Apax Tommy Hilfiger $1.6 billion
Feb. 06 Polo Ralph Lauren Jones Apparel jeans unit $355 million
Jan. 06 Adidas-Salomon AG Reebok $3.8 billion
Jan. 06 Liz Claiborne Westcoast Contempo $23.6 million
Sep. 05 Stride Rite Corp. Saucony $170 million
Jul. 05 Iconix Brand Group Inc. Joe Boxer $40 million
Jul. 05 Carter's Inc. Oshkosh B'Gosh $312 million
Apr. 05 VF Corp. Reef Holdings terms undisclosed
NA Quiksilver Rossignol terms undisclosed
Jan. 05 Liz Claiborne C&C California $29.5 million initial payment, with
contingent payments expected.
Dec. 04 Russell Corp. Brooks Sports $115 million
Dec. 04 Jones Apparel Group Inc. Barneys New York Inc. $286.3 million
Aug. 04 Nike Official Starter $47.2 million
Jul. 04 Russell Corp. Huffy Sports $30 million
Jul. 04 Jones Apparel Group Inc. Maxwell Shoe Co. Inc. $345.8 million
Jul. 04 Polo Ralph Lauren Certain assets of RL Childrenswear $240 million
Company LLC
Jun. 04 VF Corp. Vans Inc. $396 million
Jun. 04 Oxford Industries Ben Sherman Ltd. $146 million
Jun. 04 Dick’s Sporting Goods Gaylan Trading $362 million
Jun. 04 Jones Apparel Group Inc. Maxwell Shoe Co. Inc. $346 million
Jun. 04 Reebok The Hockey Company $204 million, plus the assumption of
$149 million in debt
Jun. 04 VF Corp. Kipling Brand $185 million
May. 04 Quiksilver DC Shoes $144.2 million
Feb. 04 Kellwood Co. Phat Fashions $140 million, plus contingent payments
by 13%, and suit sales rose 12% for men aged agreement between two business entities: the
11
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 12
Clothing and apparel makers currently the US and add jeans to its more upscale
involved in licensing arrangements include brands including Polo Ralph Lauren. The
Liz Claiborne, which holds certain apparel company’s Polo brand jeans sold for $85,
licenses under the DKNY Jeans, DKNY compared with $225 for a pair under the
Active, and City DKNY trademarks; jewel- upscale Polo Ralph Lauren line, according
ry products under the Kenneth Cole New to a Bloomberg News article.
York and Reaction Kenneth Cole trade-
marks; and fragrance, cosmetic, and beauty Shorter cycles
products under the Candie’s trademark.
Reebok markets apparel and footwear un- In the past, retail stores often carried ap-
der such licensed brands as Greg Norman, parel and footwear months in advance of
the National Football League, and the Na- the season in which they would be worn.
tional Basketball Association. Times have changed, however, and con-
Some manufacturers do not sell goods sumers nowadays tend to buy closer to
under their own brand names at all. For need — especially in the junior category
example, G-III Apparel Group Ltd., a mak- (preteens to early 20s). To meet this de-
er of outerwear, holds fashion licenses mand, manufacturers have had to shorten
from Kenneth Cole Productions Inc., Cole cycles of design, development, production,
Haan (owned by Nike), Sean John, and and distribution. For apparel and footwear
Jones Apparel (including the Nine West makers, considerable focus is now placed on
brand). It also has licensing agreements creating a “demand-pull” model versus the
with national sports leagues and more than “supply-push” model. (In demand-pull, con-
20 universities. sumer demand is the driver of sales; in
Often, companies with well-recognized supply-push, the manufacturer pushes goods
brand names license the use of those names to the retailer regardless of consumer de-
for products that they do not have the manu- mand.) By applying the principles of scientif-
facturing and/or marketing resources to han- ic management to apparel and footwear
dle themselves. For example, Mossimo Inc. manufacturing, both supply and retail dis-
derives close to 90% of its revenues as a li- tribution can be rationalized: as manufac-
censor and designer for Target Corp. Acces- turers and wholesalers attempt to improve
sory manufacturers have purchased the rights the supply-demand equation, the result
to use well-known apparel brand names on should be improved pricing and greater
watches (Adidas, Fendi, Hugo Boss, and brand equity.
Gucci) and sunglasses (Anne Klein, Eddie To stay in tune with consumer needs and
Bauer, Brooks Brothers, Timberland, and trends, companies are emphasizing market re-
Fila). The Tommy Hilfiger and Liz Claiborne search. They also are reevaluating their manu-
brands are found on all sorts of items, from facturing strategies. For apparel makers,
jewelry to bed linens. moving to offshore production lengthens the
More recently, we have seen luxury turnaround time and makes it harder to re-
brands buying back their licenses to have spond to quick changes in domestic demand.
MAY 24, 2007 / APPAREL & FOOTWEAR INDUSTRY SURVEY
greater control over their brand, to capture Hence, apparel companies have had to main-
the economic profits their labels provide, tain a modest level of domestic and/or West-
and to better control their corporate des- ern Hemisphere production to fulfill small,
tiny. In the past two years, Polo Ralph Lauren seasonal, or special-item orders, as well as to
brought its Lauren license in-house (taking apply differentiating finishes.
it back from Jones Apparel), as well as its
children’s and footwear licenses. Kenneth Price deflation
Cole has pursued the same strategy. Polo
Ralph Lauren’s strategy has helped it boost Average selling prices for most apparel
its brand cachet by carefully controlling and footwear have been in a long-term
where goods are sold; the company has downtrend. Contributing factors include
pulled its merchandise from discount retail- the continued influx of imports, retail pro-
ers, including Ross Dress for Less and TJ motions, and market share gains by dis-
Maxx. The company said in May 2006 that counters. This pressure on prices has
it would discontinue its Polo jeans line in threatened margins at many apparel and
12
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 13
footwear companies, spurring them to seek Recent legislation sustains the long-term
new ways to boost profitability. shift to offshore sourcing. The Trade Act of
Although overall total dollar sales of ap- 2002 was approved by the US Congress in
parel and footwear have risen since 1999, av- July 2002 and signed into law by President
erage selling prices have declined, as indicated George W. Bush. This legislation contains the
by the apparel consumer price index (CPI) Trade Promotion Authority, which grants the
published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics president the right to negotiate trade agree-
(BLS). According to BLS data, US apparel ments and gives Congress the final authority
prices were unchanged at 119.5 (1982- to approve or disapprove those agreements. It
84=100) in 2006 from 2005, the first year in also contains the Andean Trade Preference
seven that prices did not decline year over Act, which provides duty-free access to most
year. In 2006, men’s and boys apparel fell less apparel, and virtually all footwear, from the
than 1%, while women’s and girl’s apparel Andean region of South America (Bolivia,
rose 1.2%, and infant’s and toddler’s apparel Colombia, Ecuador, and Peru). The new legis-
fell less than 1%. lation made certain retroactive modifications
Price deflation has come at a faster pace to the May 2000 Caribbean Basin Trade Part-
than in the recent past and has changed the nership Act and the African Growth and Op-
way retailers and apparel makers do business. portunity Act (AGOA), both of which carry
In an effort to avoid overstocking goods only numerous breaks for footwear and apparel
to later sell them at a discount, large retailers, from countries in those regions.
such as Federated Stores Inc., are keeping Standard & Poor’s believes that, while
leaner inventories. Also, US clothing compa- tariff and quota preferences for apparel and
nies, including the Gap Inc., are emulating the footwear produced in the Caribbean basin,
success of European apparel chains Hennes & the Andean region and, to a lesser extent,
Mauritz AB and Inditex SA. These retailers sub-Saharan Africa have temporarily in-
stock new merchandise frequently (sometimes creased sourcing from these regions, the
as often as every day) and never carry too trend is not likely to last. Over time, we ex-
many pieces of an item, giving shoppers a rea- pect China’s share of apparel and global
son to visit frequently and to buy something manufacturing to increase dramatically, facil-
they like when they see it, rather than waiting itated by its entry into the World Trade Or-
for the item to go on sale. ganization (WTO) on December 11, 2001,
and the elimination of quotas among all 149
Offshore sourcing WTO-member countries in 2005.
China accounted for 25.9% of all apparel
In the ongoing push to cut expenses, US imported into the United States in 2006, ac-
apparel and footwear manufacturers increas- cording to the American Apparel & Footwear
ingly have moved their production facilities Association (AAFA), a trade group. That is
to lower-cost regions outside the United nearly double the share in 2004 and comes af-
States — notably Mexico, the Caribbean, ter textile quotas against the country were lift-
Central America, Asia, and sub-Saharan ed. In the footwear market, where quotas were
13
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 14
able to produce fashionable, high-quality people in East Asia will earn enough to be
garments due to the generally low levels of considered middle class by 2030, up from
technical expertise and literacy, underdevel- just more than 100 million in 2000, accord-
oped infrastructure, and a dearth of capital. ing to the World Bank.
In addition, companies that set up and run Demographic trends within the United
plants in China are taxed by the Chinese States also can affect the quantity and type of
government at a lower rate than if those apparel and footwear demanded by con-
plants were operating in the United States. sumers. For example, as the leading edge of
Moreover, by keeping their sweetened prof- the baby boomer generation (those born be-
its in China, US-based apparel makers can tween 1946 and 1964) enters retirement, these
fund future growth. consumers have shifted their spending priori-
ties to needs other than clothing, such as
healthcare. They are also more likely to buy
HOW THE INDUSTRY OPERATES comfortable clothes and shoes rather than the
latest fashions. (For more on this topic, see the
Although apparel and footwear can be “Industry Trends” section of this Survey.)
considered as two separate industries, they Changes in consumer attitudes and prefer-
often overlap, with many companies selling ences also have an effect on demand for ap-
goods in both categories. In addition, their parel and footwear. Manufacturers must
consumer demand profiles are similar; appar- adapt to lifestyle and fashion trends by alter-
el and footwear are both necessities, yet they ing their product lines. Many apparel manu-
are partly discretionary as well. facturers have added athletic styles to their
At their most basic level, these industries mix to accommodate consumers’ increasing
supply people with utilitarian attire that is emphasis on fitness and exercise. Preteen and
affordable and unlikely to change drastically teen markets tend to be particularly fashion-
in style from year to year. For more fashion- driven, and apparel and footwear manufac-
conscious consumers, the industries strive to turers have to closely monitor and anticipate
update their assortments to reflect changing the ever-changing styles and items that these
trends, or to offer innovative styles or fea- consumers want.
tures that command a premium price. Although the apparel and footwear indus-
While individual companies’ sales trends tries are mature and slow growing, they exist
depend on the specific products they offer, in a dynamic and competitive environment.
overall industry demand is driven by general In order to improve profitability, many com-
economic trends, including changes in dis- panies are adopting new technologies while
posable personal income, consumer confi- restructuring to create leaner organizations.
dence, and consumer spending. During Consolidation has been prevalent in these in-
periods of prosperity, for example, con- dustries in the past few years, as larger com-
sumers are more inclined to update their panies strive to lower their costs, by gaining
wardrobes, buy the newest fashions on a leverage in buying from suppliers and selling
whim, or splurge on luxury items. During re- to customers, and by achieving economies of
MAY 24, 2007 / APPAREL & FOOTWEAR INDUSTRY SURVEY
cessions, consumers tend to shy away from scale in manufacturing and marketing.
luxury goods, postpone apparel and footwear
purchases that are not absolutely necessary, Components of the industries
or replenish their wardrobes with inexpen-
sive items. The apparel and footwear industries are di-
Demand also is driven by population verse, with hundreds of product lines designed
growth and economic trends. Obviously, for men, women, and children in a wide
when the number of people rises, so does range of styles and price points. Each line is
overall demand for apparel and footwear. designed specifically for a targeted consumer
However, with the US population growing group, based on its observed and expected
by only 1% per year, apparel and footwear trends and needs.
companies are looking overseas for growth
opportunities. Apparel
The economic growth will be particularly In the apparel industry, companies can
dramatic in Asia. More than 600 million operate as manufacturers (wholesalers), as
14
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 15
15
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 16
followed by men with 37% and children on price, in which case the consumer is likely
with 13%. to purchase whichever product is the cheap-
est. Manufacturers in this segment must fo-
Intense competition cus on obtaining low-cost manufacturing.
negotiate favorable terms with manufacturers, ny’s income statement. Firms are in a con-
with regard to pricing, shipping, co-advertising stant battle to lower their costs relative to
(in which retailers and manufacturers share the their competitors. There are several factors
cost of advertising), and product labeling. involved in the cost basis of this industry,
Consumers also wield considerable power including labor, raw materials, shipping
over apparel and footwear manufacturers, as costs, import tariffs, and technological
they can switch readily from one product or advancements.
brand to another. To dissuade them from do-
ing so, manufacturers attempt to raise brand Cutting labor costs with offshore sourcing
awareness and build brand loyalty among US labor costs tend to be relatively high,
consumers. A strong brand image typically leading many manufacturers to turn to over-
gives a manufacturer more pricing flexibility seas sourcing for a majority of their prod-
by creating a “must-have” perception to the ucts. Companies can establish overseas
consumer. Of course, some segments, such as production in three ways. They can buy or
the popular-price segment, compete strictly build a plant, establish agents that have ties
16
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 17
with factories in the foreign country, or con- cotton futures market. In recent years, how-
tract directly with the owners of foreign fac- ever, cotton price fluctuations have moderat-
tories. Typically, major US apparel and ed, thanks to a more open trade system.
footwear companies establish overseas pro- Footwear companies are similarly affected
duction in all of these ways. They also use do- by fluctuations in the costs of their raw ma-
mestic sources other than their own plants. terials. Footwear is divided into three general
Using overseas manufacturers and/or out- categories classified by material: leather, rub-
side domestic contractors benefits apparel ber, and vinyl/plastic.
companies in different ways. Overseas sourc-
ing allows them to compete with less expen- Reduced trade regulation
sive imports. Domestic sourcing allows
companies to respond quickly to fashion The shift of clothing jobs away from the
changes and to retailers’ needs for automatic United States has accelerated in the last
inventory replenishment. decade with the expansion of free-trade
Generally, US companies go to Southeast agreements. In 1995, the United States low-
Asia for production of more complicated ap- ered tariffs on clothing imported from the
parel items. Many of the region’s countries Caribbean and agreed to phase out the
have large pools of skilled laborers who can Multi-Fiber Agreement, which imposed quo-
create high-quality items. Although overseas tas on imported clothing. When the North
labor rates have risen in recent years, they American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)
are still significantly below those in the Unit- went into effect on January 1, 1994, it al-
ed States. lowed US companies to ship fabric produced
Notwithstanding the advantages, curren- in the United States to Mexico for assembly,
cy fluctuations are a concern for overseas and to ship the clothing back to the United
manufacturing. At times, such fluctuations States without incurring import duties.
can benefit the domestic industry; for in- Apparel products that are simpler to make
stance, when several Asian currencies de- are outsourced to less developed countries,
clined sharply in value versus the US dollar where labor rates are lower than in South-
in late 1997, manufacturing costs within east Asia. With the passage of the Caribbean
affected countries dropped for US compa- Basin Trade Partnership Act (CBTPA) in
nies. Conversely, when foreign currencies May 2000, a growing percentage of produc-
unexpectedly appreciate against the US tion is being sourced in that region, which
dollar, as many have done lately, it raises offers the advantage of much shorter lead
US manufacturers’ costs. Nonetheless, times because of its proximity to the United
overseas labor rates should remain signifi- States. The African Growth and Opportunity
cantly below those in the United States. Act (AGOA), also passed in May 2000, fur-
ther promises to spur the level of apparel and
Volatile raw materials costs footwear imports from sub-Saharan Africa.
Apparel is made by cutting and sewing In October 2000, the Trade Development
woven and knit textile fabrics or by knitting Act (TDA) of 2000 took effect. The TDA
17
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 18
include provisions to eliminate apparel duties few months, so footwear companies can pro-
for Andean countries (Bolivia, Colombia, vide the marketplace with a steady flow of
Ecuador, and Peru), the Caribbean Basin, new products.
and sub-Saharan Africa. Apparel makers who are linked with re-
In May 2004, the US Central American tailers through quick-response programs and
Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA) was signed other electronic technologies go a long way
with Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, toward making themselves indispensable to
Honduras, and Nicaragua. It will eliminate their customers. The goal of quick response
tariffs and trade barriers between the United is to maintain lean inventories and avoid
States and those countries for many prod- overstocking, while ensuring that retailers
ucts, including apparel. The Senate Finance have the merchandise customers want to buy,
Committee endorsed CAFTA on June 29, when they want to buy it. By assuming re-
2005, and the measure narrowly passed the sponsibility for stocking the stores, apparel
House of Representatives in July. companies help to carry inventory costs, his-
The bilateral Free Trade Agreement (FTA) torically one of retailers’ highest costs. They
between the United States and Chile became also alleviate many of the retailers’ reorder-
effective on January 1, 2004. It eliminated ing headaches and help them buy as close to
tariffs on 87% of bilateral trade immediately, the selling season as possible. For manufac-
and it will establish duty-free trade in all turers today, quick response has become key
products within 12 years. An agreement with to survival.
Australia that was completed in May 2004 One such system to link retailers and
could serve as a model for the Asia-Pacific manufacturers is called electronic data inter-
region. Other talks are progressing under the change (EDI). An EDI system employs inter-
auspices of the World Trade Organization. connected computer terminals throughout
China joined the World Trade Organization the entire manufacturing and sales systems.
in December 2001. Exports of clothing and At the retailer’s checkout counter, electronic
shoes from China jumped after the elimina- point-of-sale scanners read the bar code at-
tion of quotas among all WTO-member tached to each item and record the product
countries in 2005. China’s share of the ap- sold, its price, and even such details as its
parel imported into the United States nearly color and size. This up-to-the-minute report
doubled to 25.9% in 2006, according to the on a given store’s sales is then relayed to the
American Apparel & Footwear Organiza- manufacturer.
tion. China is even more dominant in With direct access to detailed sales infor-
footwear, being responsible for 86.2% of all mation, the manufacturer can tailor its pro-
US imports in 2006. duction to consumer demand. The data
recorded by bar code scanners in the EDI sys-
Vital role of technology tem also are used for automatic (or just-in-
time) reordering, enabling a manufacturer to
In both the apparel and footwear indus- restock a retailer’s shelves quickly, using no
tries, technological innovations have facilitat- more than a computer for communication. In
MAY 24, 2007 / APPAREL & FOOTWEAR INDUSTRY SURVEY
ed global expansion and closer coordination addition to providing for automatic replen-
between retailers and manufacturers while ishment, EDI makes distribution and shipping
also cutting costs. For example, improve- information processing more efficient.
ments in manufacturing processes — such as Quick response and EDI technologies
efficiencies in cut-and-sew operations in the have proven successful with basic goods,
apparel industry — are helping to reduce which are relatively simple to produce, re-
manual labor costs. quire shorter lead times, and increasingly are
Rapid improvements in computer technol- being manufactured in highly automated fac-
ogy have helped to shorten the new product tories in the United States. These systems are
development phase from years to practically more difficult to implement for seasonal and
months, especially in the fashion/style/high- fashion apparel, however, as such goods re-
performance areas. In the athletic footwear quire more labor input and tend to be made
industry, for example, computer-aided design in the Caribbean or Southeast Asia.
(CAD) systems enable a manufacturer to re- Technology also is playing a crucial role
duce the design-to-production cycle to only a in apparel procurement (or reverse auctions)
18
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 19
through the rising popularity of business-to- search firm, specialty stores accounted for
business (B2B) exchanges — online market- 30.8% of apparel dollar purchases by con-
places that allow trading partners to conduct sumers in 2006, followed by mass mer-
real-time business communications with each chants (19.9%), department stores (16.2%),
other. This is changing the way retailers and national chains (14.6%), off-price retailers
vendors conduct business with each other, (7.5%), direct mail/e-tail pure plays (5.1%),
whether they are issuing requests for quotes, factory outlets (1.7%), and all other retail-
bidding for orders, sharing product forecasts, ers (4.2%). (“All other retailers” is a cate-
or collaborating on product development. gory consisting of warehouse stores, dollar
These exchanges may be public, such as the stores, company stores, and miscellaneous
GlobalNetXchange (GNX) and the World- retail outlets.)
Wide Retail Exchange (WWRE), or private, In the footwear industry, discount
such as Wal-Mart Stores Inc.’s Retail Link stores/mass merchants are the single largest
and other portals that individual retailers, venue for footwear sales, according to the
brands, and trading companies have estab- NPD Group, representing 31% of dollar vol-
lished for B2B communications with their ume in the fourth quarter of 2006 and 15%
own networks of customers and suppliers. of units sold. Specialty stores (apparel spe-
cialty, athletic footwear specialty, shoe stores,
Sales channels proliferate shoe chains, and sporting goods stores),
though reported separately by the NPD
Today, most companies distribute their Group, are a significant factor when added
products through a variety of channels: together, accounting for 37% of footwear
wholesale, catalog, and Internet sales, as well dollar sales in 2006 and 29% of units sold.
as through their own retail stores. Within the Department stores had 13% of dollar sales
wholesale channel, manufacturers often try (8% of unit volume) in the fourth quarter of
to sell to various types of retailers, including 2006, while national chains had 8% (9%).
department stores, specialty stores, discount Other retailers (off-price, catalog/direct mail,
stores, and national chains. factory outlets, online/Internet, pro shops,
For retailers, expanding their number of warehouse clubs, and other) accounted for
outlets, both domestically and international- the balance of sales.
ly, is a way to diversify risk while also lever- Differences exist in the distribution mix
aging efficiencies across a greater number of for men’s, women’s, and children’s items. For
stores and products. To increase store traffic example, more women’s apparel than men’s
and the average ticket, retailers are remodel- is purchased in specialty and department
ing or converting existing locations to im- stores. Men’s apparel is more prevalent in
prove the shopping experience. discount stores and general merchandise
In the past decade, many manufacturers chains. In the children’s segment, a consider-
have opened their own retail stores, reducing ably higher portion of apparel is purchased
their dependence on retailers while potentially in discount stores. Because children quickly
increasing sales. This also permits manufactur- outgrow their clothing, parents are less in-
19
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 20
accessories sales in 2006, according to re- names by adding accessory lines, such as
search firm Forrester Research, we believe sunglasses, watches, fragrances, wallets, and
that it has strong potential for growth as a footwear. Some apparel makers, such as
distribution channel. The Internet permits Polo Ralph Lauren, even have ventured into
consumers to shop from anywhere at any home furnishings, adding branded linens
time they wish and to make easy price com- and dinnerware. Footwear manufacturers,
parisons, conveniences that shoppers seem too, have capitalized on the strength of their
to appreciate. Manufacturers use Internet brand names, with companies such as Nike
sites for marketing and informational pur- and Reebok International Ltd. adding ap-
poses, as well as to make sales. The Inter- parel, accessories, and sports gear to their
net enables apparel and footwear brands to product portfolios.
customize merchandise to shoppers’ specific Licensing is a common means for compa-
needs, which enables firms to achieve better nies to extend their product lines; manufac-
pricing along with developing a more emo- turers paid $5.9 billion in licensing royalties
tional bond with the consumer. Both Nike in the US in 2005 (latest available) up 1.8%
Inc. and Polo Ralph Lauren are at the fore- from 2004, according to the International
front in this functionality. Licensing Industry Merchandisers’ Associa-
Selling by catalog is another important tion. Entertainment/character licensing con-
method of distribution. Before the advent of tinued to garner the largest share of the
the Internet, it was the primary way to shop market, accounting for $2.62 billion, or 44%
at home. Today, however, most retail apparel of the total, while trademarks/brands was
brands combine catalog sales with e-commerce second with $1.08 billion.
sales under the moniker “direct to consumer.” Licensing is a key element of an integrated
This is part of an overall branding strategy brand marketing program, enabling a com-
to meet consumers’ needs 24/7 and, thereby, pany to extend its brand into totally new
strengthen the emotional bond that is part of categories. For instance, in March 2003,
the branding experience. Catalogs are a form Liz Claiborne licensed certain women’s
of advertising or direct marketing, bringing dresses and suits under its Liz Claiborne,
the product to the consumer. Many retailers Liz Claiborne Woman, and Liz Claiborne
report that receipt of the catalog spurs Petites labels to apparel manufacturer Kell-
shoppers to the Internet or the store for the wood Co. More recently, bootmaker Timber-
purchase occasion. land Co. in February 2006 licensed its brand
name to Phillips Van-Heusen to make Tim-
Enhancing customer loyalty berland apparel in North America.
Manufacturers must support their brands
Apparel and footwear manufacturers go through advertising campaigns and by de-
to great lengths to attract new customers and livering the right product in an appropriate
retain existing ones. In a market that bom- retail setting. They also must establish and
bards consumers with advertising campaigns, maintain good relationships with retailers
and lifestyle and fashion messages, a brand and help them to effectively present and sell
MAY 24, 2007 / APPAREL & FOOTWEAR INDUSTRY SURVEY
name is a powerful weapon in these efforts. their goods. Some manufacturers supply re-
Brands have become increasingly signifi- tailers with an in-store shop — from con-
cant to apparel and footwear sales. Many cept to display, including fixtures — which
consumers have less time to shop than previ- allow the retailer to create an environment
ously, and they are spending their disposable consistent with the brand’s image. It also
income more carefully. Established brand increases consumer product recognition
names, conveying an image of quality, make and loyalty as customers become familiar
shopping easier and faster for many con- with a product’s in-store presentation and
sumers. For manufacturers, brands build location.
consumer loyalty, which translates into re- A manufacturer’s merchandising team
peat business. usually utilizes consumer focus groups to
Many established brand manufacturers, provide customer feedback on the company’s
such as Tommy Hilfiger, Polo Ralph Lauren products or to generate new product ideas.
Corp., Jones Apparel Group, and Liz Clai- This information is shared with designers
borne, are leveraging their existing brand and the production staff. The merchandising
20
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 21
INVENTORY/SALES RATIO — RETAIL APPAREL spend more than previously, which bodes
well for apparel and footwear sales. Con-
2.8
versely, when incomes are declining, con-
2.7 sumers are more likely to defer spending
and save their money.
2.6
In 2006, disposable personal income rose
2.5 5.4%, following increases of 4.3% in 2005
and 6.1% in 2004. As of April 2007, Stan-
2.4
dard & Poor’s was projecting that disposable
2.3 income would increase 5.4% in 2007 and
5.3% in 2008.
2.2
1997 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 2007
Consumer confidence. The Conference
Source: US Department of Commerce.
Board, a private research organization, con-
ducts a monthly poll of 5,000 representative
team also will educate the retailer on the US households to gauge consumer sentiment,
company’s new products and servicing of and it compiles an index of consumer confi-
customers. Increasingly, manufacturers will dence based on the results. The index repre-
open a few retail stores as a way to test their sents a relative measure of how Americans
products and gain direct feedback from their feel about the strength of the economy, busi-
end customers. An example is VF Corp., ness trends, their job security or employment
which has opened North Face stores in sever- prospects, and their future earning prospects.
al cities, partly to gauge customer reaction to High consumer confidence usually is accom-
new products for this outdoor apparel and panied by increased spending and borrowing.
gear brand. Conversely, when consumer confidence is low
(usually due to uncertainty about the future),
personal expenditures are likely to be cut
KEY INDUSTRY RATIOS back or postponed. Because consumer spend-
AND STATISTICS ing accounts for about two-thirds of the na-
tion’s economic activity, this measure is
Gross domestic product (GDP). Re- widely watched.
ported quarterly by the US Department of In 2003, the Conference Board’s index
Commerce, GDP tracks the market value of of consumer confidence fell to 61.4 in
all goods and services produced by labor and March — its lowest level since October
capital in the United States; it is, thus, the 1993 (when it was 60.5) — largely reflect-
broadest measure of aggregate economic ac- ing consumer concern over the US war
tivity. As the economy expands and contracts with Iraq. The most recent reading was
with the business cycle, economic growth is 107.2 (1985=100) in March 2007, down
measured by changes in inflation-adjusted from 112.2 in February.
(or real) GDP. Two consecutive quarters of
21
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 22
however, consumers, stunned by high prices, it lowered both the discount and the fed
may hold back on spending — a condition funds rates by 50 basis points to 0.75% and
known as “sticker shock.” 1.25%, respectively, in response to the slug-
While prices for many products and services gish economic recovery. The federal funds
tend to rise over time, that trend does not hold rate was last lowered in June 2003, to
for apparel, for which prices have fallen annu- 1.00% from 1.25%.
ally from 1998 through 2005. In 2006, apparel By mid-2004, with output expanding
prices, as measured by the CPI-Apparel index, and payrolls growing, the question was
were unchanged at 119.5. Through February when the Fed would raise rates. A cycle of
2007, the index was 122.582, up less than 1% rate hikes began in late June 2004, with a
from March 2006. 25-basis-point increase to 1.25%. By Octo-
As of March 2007, Standard & Poor’s ber 2006, the Fed had raised the federal
was projecting overall inflation, as measured funds rate a total of 17 times to 5.25%.
by the CPI, at 2.0% for full-year 2007 and Despite these recent increases, interest rates
2.0% for 2008. CPI increased 3.2% in 2006. today remain low on an historical basis,
and particularly so compared with rates in
Interest rates. The level of interest rates the late 1970s and 1980s.
influences management decisions regarding As of April 2007, Standard & Poor’s was
business acquisitions, new product introduc- projecting the interest rate on Treasury bills
tions, capital expenditures, dividends, and (a proxy for short-term interest rates) to av-
stock repurchases. High or rising interest rates erage 5.0% in 2007 and 4.5% in 2008. The
increase the cost of borrowing, making compa- rate was 4.7% in 2006. We project that the
nies less likely to expand facilities or to make yield on 10-year notes (a proxy for long-term
other capital expenditures. During such times, interest rates), which was 4.8% in 2006, will
apparel and footwear manufacturers may post- remain at 4.8% in 2006 and then rise to
pone or cancel plans to upgrade or expand 5.0%in 2008. Our projection for the Fed
manufacturing capacity. The level of interest funds rate is 5.0% in 2007.
rates also affects consumers’ purchasing deci-
sions. Higher interest rates can curb consumer
spending, as people begin to pay down their HOW TO ANALYZE AN APPAREL OR
credit cards and rein in their expenses. FOOTWEAR COMPANY
The Federal Reserve Board (the Fed) sets
monetary policy and can take actions that di- A good starting point for analyzing an ap-
rectly affect short-term interest rates in the parel or footwear company is to assess the cur-
US banking system. After slashing short-term rent macroeconomic environment, with
interest rates 11 times during 2001 to prop emphasis on trends in employment, and con-
up a recessionary economy, the Fed did not sumer income and spending. The state of the
change rates until November 6, 2002, when general economy, and consumer income and
spending in particular, can influence the
amount of money consumers are willing or
MAY 24, 2007 / APPAREL & FOOTWEAR INDUSTRY SURVEY
22
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 23
el and footwear prices rising or falling rela- Quiksilver Inc. has transformed from a niche
tive to other discretionary goods? What are board shorts brand into a leader in the
the dominant fashion trends in the apparel youth-oriented, casual-lifestyle apparel and
and footwear industries? How are the na- accessories segment.
tion’s changing demographics influencing de-
mand for apparel, accessories, and footwear? ◆ Product differentiation. A company
Once the industry’s outlook has been also can create a competitive advantage by
evaluated, the analyst then can evaluate the differentiating its product line from that of
prospects of a specific company. its competitors. In reality, a company actual-
ly does not have to create a markedly differ-
Qualitative factors ent product, but it must create a perception
of difference. In this way, it can charge high-
Analysts evaluating an apparel or er prices and generate brand loyalty among
footwear manufacturer have the added ad- consumers. This practice is gaining in impor-
vantages of being able to test merchandise tance as basic merchandise becomes increas-
quality, compare it with alternatives, and as- ingly indistinguishable to consumers.
sess the selling environment in terms of cus- Companies can cultivate an aura of differ-
tomer service and visual accoutrements. ence through marketing, whereby a brand
When visiting a retail location, things to note image is created through advertising. For ex-
include how much square footage a store de- ample, while Liz Claiborne Inc.’s Juicy
votes to selling particular products compared Couture’s terry warm-up suits are similar to
with its competitors, whether merchandise other makes, the company’s marketing has
appears to be selling at full or discounted helped to differentiate its brand, creating
prices, merchandise display formats, how strong demand for its goods.
complete or broken collections appear, over-
all traffic trends, and the average age of the ◆ Distribution. What channels of distrib-
typical shopper. Depending on distribution ution does the company use — does it sell its
channel, one also should observe the degree products through its own retail chain, or
of merchandise differentiation from compet- through mail-order catalogs, department
ing products. stores, specialty chains, off-price outlets, the
The following discussion explains several Internet, or other methods? Has it recently
qualitative factors used to analyze an apparel expanded or narrowed its distribution sys-
or footwear manufacturer. tem? On the other hand, if it has consolidat-
ed its distribution infrastructure, has it
Evaluating a company’s competitive stance realized any operating synergies by doing so?
Because of the glut of apparel and Expanding the channels of distribution
footwear product offerings in the market, can reduce an apparel or footwear manufac-
any characteristic that favorably distinguish- turer’s reliance on any particular channel. If
es a company and its products gives it a a company’s profitability is showing improve-
competitive advantage in the marketplace. ment over time, it would appear to have cho-
23
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 24
ly lower in the Far East (including China), and act on market opportunities.
the Caribbean basin, and Latin America, as Questions to ask when evaluating man-
well as in other less industrialized regions. agement’s proficiency include: What is
Moreover, the majority of the larger domes- management’s financial and operating philoso-
tic industry participants are not involved in phy? How long have the senior managers
manufacturing, but rather source their mer- been with the company? What are the man-
chandise in the aforementioned locales by agers’ track records, both individually and
developing strategic relationships with gar- working as a team? Has the company been
ment and footwear factories. adept at integrating acquisitions? If managers
Being the industry’s low-cost provider have taken control recently, what was their
gives a company a powerful competitive ad- previous experience? Do their growth strate-
vantage. A low-cost provider is able to re- gies make sense in light of the current envi-
duce its sales prices on merchandise to gain ronment and the company’s particular
market share, while still maintaining healthy situation? Are management’s interests aligned
profit margins. However, to remain competi- with those of its shareholders?
24
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 25
100
After getting a grasp on the company’s
80
competitive position, the next step is to ana-
lyze its financial statements — the income 60
25
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 26
the analyst a baseline for comparing results Inventory turnover ratios for apparel
going forward. and footwear companies, while generally
Because the operating margin reflects comparable, could vary widely from com-
costs that can be managed to some degree pany to company. A high turnover rate in-
(salaries, commissions, advertising, and so dicates that goods are selling well relative
forth), it usually is easier to control than to the average amount of inventory kept in
the gross margin. The company may derive stock. Conversely, a low turnover rate indi-
a certain degree of expense leverage from cates that goods are not moving rapidly. In-
increased activity levels, thereby improving ventory buildup is less of a concern for
operating margins. Consequently, an in- basic merchandise, which can be sold
crease in the operating margin typically in- throughout the year, than it is for fashion-
dicates that management is using its oriented products.
resources more efficiently, allowing fixed
costs to be spread across greater volumes. Statement of cash flows
On the other hand, a trend of narrowing It is necessary to estimate cash inflows (or
operating margins may be a warning sign sources) and outflows (uses) to determine the
that management is not operating at its net cash flow generated (or used) by a com-
most efficient level. pany’s operations. How does the company
plan to raise and utilize its cash? The cash
Balance sheet flow statement has three sections: operating,
The balance sheet reports major cate- investing, and financing.
gories and the stated values of assets, lia- The operating section reflects cash gen-
bilities, and stockholder’s equity at a erated from, or used in, operations, after
specific point in time. adjusting for noncash items (such as depre-
ciation and amortization), and including
◆ Cash and equivalents. A company’s changes in working capital components. For
cash position needs to be analyzed concur- example, if a manufacturer anticipates higher
rently with its ability to generate cash. If a sales from seasonal activity, it may need cash
company continually operates with net cash to build inventory levels.
outflows because of working capital needs The investing and financing sections cap-
and capital spending, one should look at the ture other sources and uses of cash outside the
level of cash and marketable securities on the company’s operations. Possible sources include
balance sheet to determine how long the the issuance of debt, or equity capital and divi-
company can fund operations before it will dends received from affiliated companies. Po-
need to tap the capital markets. tential uses include repurchasing shares of
common stock, paying dividends, reducing
◆ Inventory. Inventory management is debt, or reinvesting in the business via either
crucial to retailers and manufacturers alike. capital expenditures or acquisitions.
They must have the right products on hand
in the right amounts; failure to do so could Other factors
MAY 24, 2007 / APPAREL & FOOTWEAR INDUSTRY SURVEY
26
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 27
is another way to project revenues. In the ap- We take it to mean, at the very least, that
parel industry, deliveries scheduled for future boardroom compensation is linked to perfor-
seasons are reported as “bookings.” mance, directors are of high caliber, and audi-
tors are independent. CG typically addresses
Corporate governance risk management and internal controls, corpo-
Before the scandals at Enron Corp., rate culture, stewardship and accountability,
WorldCom Inc., and Parmalat Finanziaria board operations and composition, and the
SpA, corporate governance (CG) was monitoring and evaluation of activities.
viewed simply as the system by which com- Additionally, the growing importance of
panies are directed and controlled. In the intangible assets (such as brand value or cor-
aftermath of a series of corporate collaps- porate reputation) and their effect on market
es, however, the global consensus on CG capitalization suggests that potential legal
has broadened. In the largest sense, CG ad- penalties pale in comparison to the risk of a
dresses the guiding principles that form the plummeting share price. For consumer prod-
basis for managing a company, incorporat- uct companies in particular, the relationship
ing values of transparency, accountability, between good CG and corporate social re-
27
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 28
nance, and financial disclosure policies fall under the age measures include funds from operations (FFO)
management umbrella. We examine all these areas as a percentage of debt, EBITDA to interest, and
regularly as part of our ratings methodology. EBIT to interest.
Standard & Poor’s credit ratings incorporate our as- Incorporating off–balance-sheet obligations may
sessment of management’s track record, and more significantly alter a company’s financial risk assess-
importantly, its strategy going forward. ment. Among the off–balance-sheet obligations in-
Though difficult to quantify, these factors are im- corporated into our ratio calculations are the net
portant because they help the analyst evaluate man- present value of non-cancelable operating lease pay-
agement’s intent and commitment to credit quality. ments, as well as trade receivables financing, and
We place a higher degree of confidence in manage- pension and postretirement obligations. ■
ment that possesses significant industry experience, Susan Ding
consistently meets or exceeds forecast projections, Apparel Credit Analyst
and deals openly with pressing credit issues.
28
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 29
G LOSSARY
Allowance from vendors — Price adjustment to a buyer Jobber — A middleman who buys from a manufacturer
for damaged merchandise or for the return of unsat- and sells to a wholesaler.
isfactory merchandise.
Knockoff — An item that is an exact or similar repro-
Assortment plan — The range of merchandise in a cat- duction of goods made by another manufacturer.
egory that managers intend to keep in a store at a
certain inventory level. Markdown — A reduction in the retail price of an item,
expressed as a percentage of the original price of
Basic item — Apparel with a style and demand that are the merchandise.
generally constant, and which must remain in stock
to satisfy customers. Markon — The difference between the cost as billed
(before deductions for cash discount) and the re-
Brand — A name that identifies the goods of one seller. tail price.
Fashion cycle — The life span of a clothing style, from Private label — Merchandise designed by a retailer
its rise in popularity to its decline. that carries the store’s own brand name.
Fashion trend — A style that has moved from limited to Quick response — A partnership between a vendor and
wide acceptance. retailer through which orders are automatically re-
plenished via computer links.
Gross margin — The difference between net sales and
the total cost of goods sold, expressed as a percent- Ready-to-wear — Any article of apparel manufactured
age of net sales. for sale in a retail store (that is, not custom made).
29
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 30
30
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 31
I NDUSTRY R EFERENCES
31
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 32
Planalytics Inc.
1325 Morris Dr., Ste. 201, Wayne, PA 19087
(800) 882-5881
Web site: http://www.planalytics.com
A consulting firm that helps companies make more ef-
fective and profitable decisions by forecasting weather-
driven changes in supply, demand, and prices for prod-
ucts and services.
GOVERNMENT AGENCIES
US Department of Commerce
1401 Constitution Ave. NW, Washington, DC 20230
(202) 482-4883
Web site: http://www.doc.gov
This cabinet-level department is responsible for various
government agencies that monitor and regulate US com-
merce. Among its many divisions is the Census Bureau,
which publishes population statistics and projections.
MAY 24, 2007 / APPAREL & FOOTWEAR INDUSTRY SURVEY
CORPORATE INFORMATION
32
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 33
33
34
MAY 24, 2007 / APPAREL & FOOTWEAR INDUSTRY SURVEY
apf_0507.qxp
Ticker Company Yr. End 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 1996 10-Yr. 5-Yr. 1-Yr. 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
APPAREL, ACCESSORIES & LUXURY GOODS‡
ASHW § ASHWORTH INC OCT 209.6 204.8 173.1 A 149.4 127.5 124.7 75.4 10.8 10.9 2.3 278 272 230 198 169
COH * COACH INC JUN 2,111.5 1,710.4 C 1,321.1 953.2 719.4 616.1 NA NA 27.9 23.4 ** ** ** ** NA
FOSL § FOSSIL INC DEC NA 1,041.0 960.3 781.7 663.9 546.3 205.9 A NA NA NA NA 506 466 380 322
1:07 PM
KWD § KELLWOOD CO # JAN 1,961.8 D 2,064.6 D 2,555.7 A 2,346.5 A,C 2,204.7 A 2,281.8 1,521.0 2.6 (3.0) (5.0) 129 136 168 154 145
LIZ * LIZ CLAIBORNE INC DEC 4,994.3 4,847.8 4,632.8 4,241.1 3,717.5 3,448.5 A 2,217.5 8.5 7.7 3.0 225 219 209 191 168
MOV § MOVADO GROUP INC # JAN 532.9 470.9 419.0 A 330.2 300.1 299.7 215.1 9.5 12.2 13.1 248 219 195 154 140
Page 34
OXM § OXFORD INDUSTRIES INC # MAY NA 1,121.8 D,F 1,325.7 A,F 1,121.7 A,F 764.6 677.3 703.2 NA NA NA NA 160 189 160 109
PVH † PHILLIPS-VAN HEUSEN CORP # JAN NA 1,908.8 1,641.4 1,582.0 A 1,405.0 1,431.9 1,359.6 NA NA NA NA 140 121 116 103
RL * POLO RALPH LAUREN CP -CL A # MAR NA 3,746.3 A 3,305.4 A 2,649.7 C 2,439.3 2,363.7 1,180.4 NA NA NA NA 317 280 224 207
ZQK § QUIKSILVER INC OCT 2,362.3 1,780.9 A 1,266.9 A 975.0 705.5 A 620.6 A 194.6 28.4 30.6 32.6 1,214 915 651 501 363
UNF § UNIFIRST CORP AUG 821.0 763.8 719.4 A 596.9 578.9 556.4 391.8 7.7 8.1 7.5 210 195 184 152 148
VFC * VF CORP DEC 6,215.8 D 6,502.4 A 6,054.5 A,F 5,207.5 A,F 5,083.5 D,F 5,518.8 F 5,137.2 A 1.9 2.4 (4.4) 121 127 118 101 99
FOOTWEAR‡
CROX § CROCS INC DEC 354.7 108.6 13.5 A 1.2 NA NA NA NA NA 226.7 ** ** ** ** NA
DECK § DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP DEC 304.4 264.8 214.8 121.1 99.1 A 91.5 101.8 11.6 27.2 15.0 299 260 211 119 97
KSWS § K-SWISS INC -CL A DEC 501.1 508.6 484.1 429.2 D 290.4 C 236.1 106.8 16.7 16.2 (1.5) 469 476 453 402 272
NKE * NIKE INC -CL B # MAY NA 14,954.9 13,739.7 12,253.1 10,697.0 9,893.0 C 9,186.5 NA NA NA NA 163 150 133 116
SKX § SKECHERS U S A INC DEC 1,205.4 1,006.5 920.3 835.0 943.6 960.4 NA NA 4.6 19.8 ** ** ** ** NA
SRR § STRIDE RITE CORP NOV 706.8 A 588.2 A 558.3 550.1 532.4 529.1 448.3 4.7 6.0 20.2 158 131 125 123 119
TBL † TIMBERLAND CO -CL A DEC 1,567.6 1,565.7 1,500.6 1,342.1 1,190.9 1,183.6 690.0 8.6 5.8 0.1 227 227 217 195 173
WWW § WOLVERINE WORLD WIDE DEC 1,141.9 1,061.0 991.9 888.9 A 827.1 720.1 511.0 A 8.4 9.7 7.6 223 208 194 174 162
OTHER COMPANIES WITH SIGNIFICANT APPAREL OPERATIONS
COLM COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR CO DEC 1,293.2 1,160.2 A 1,099.3 953.6 A,C 816.3 779.6 299.0 15.8 10.7 11.5 433 388 368 319 273
HMX HARTMARX CORP NOV 597.9 F 598.2 A,F 586.4 A,F 561.8 F 570.3 F 601.6 A,F 610.2 A,F (0.2) (0.1) (0.0) 98 98 96 92 93
Note: Data as originally reported. ‡ S&P 1500 Index group. * Company included in the S&P 500. † Company included in the S&P MidCap. § Company included in the S&P SmallCap. # Of the following calendar year. ** Not calculated; data for base year or end year not available.
A - This year's data reflect an acquisition or merger. B - This year's data reflect a major merger resulting in the formation of a new company. C - This year's data reflect an accounting change. D - Data exclude discontinued operations. E - Includes excise taxes. F - Includes
other (nonoperating) income. G - Includes sale of leased depts. H - Some or all data are not available, due to a fiscal year change.
Net Income
KWD § KELLWOOD CO # JAN 21.1 23.1 66.3 68.9 42.0 37.7 37.6 (5.6) (11.0) (8.7) 56 61 176 183 112
LIZ * LIZ CLAIBORNE INC DEC 254.7 317.4 313.6 279.7 231.2 192.1 155.7 5.0 5.8 (19.8) 164 204 201 180 149
MOV § MOVADO GROUP INC # JAN 50.1 26.6 26.3 22.9 20.1 17.1 11.7 15.7 24.0 88.4 429 228 225 195 172
OXM § OXFORD INDUSTRIES INC # MAY NA 51.2 49.8 39.7 20.3 10.6 19.6 NA NA NA ** 261 254 202 103
PVH † PHILLIPS-VAN HEUSEN CORP # JAN NA 111.7 58.6 14.7 30.4 10.7 18.5 NA NA NA ** 603 316 79 164
Net Income (continued)
apf_0507.qxp
FOOTWEAR‡
CROX § CROCS INC DEC 64.4 17.0 (1.5) (1.2) NA NA NA NA NA 279.5 ** ** ** ** NA
DECK § DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP DEC 31.5 31.8 25.5 9.2 1.6 1.6 3.7 24.0 80.9 (1.0) 862 871 699 250 44
KSWS § K-SWISS INC -CL A DEC 76.9 75.2 71.3 53.8 28.7 23.3 0.7 NM 27.0 2.1 NM NM NM NM 3,926
NKE * NIKE INC -CL B # MAY NA 1,392.0 1,211.6 945.6 740.1 668.3 795.8 NA NA NA ** 175 152 119 93
1:07 PM
SKX § SKECHERS U S A INC DEC 71.0 44.7 23.6 (11.9) 47.0 47.3 NA NA 8.5 58.8 ** ** ** ** NA
SRR § STRIDE RITE CORP NOV 34.3 24.6 25.7 25.5 24.1 19.0 2.5 29.9 12.5 39.6 1,372 983 1,027 1,020 965
TBL † TIMBERLAND CO -CL A DEC 106.4 164.6 152.7 117.9 90.2 106.7 20.4 18.0 (0.1) (35.3) 521 806 748 577 442
WWW § WOLVERINE WORLD WIDE DEC 83.6 74.5 65.9 51.7 47.9 45.2 32.9 9.8 13.1 12.3 255 227 201 157 146
Page 35
Note: Data as originally reported. ‡ S&P 1500 Index group. * Company included in the S&P 500. † Company included in the S&P MidCap. § Company included in the S&P SmallCap. # Of the following calendar year. ** Not calculated; data for base year or end year not available.
Ticker Company Yr. End 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
APPAREL, ACCESSORIES & LUXURY GOODS‡
ASHW § ASHWORTH INC OCT 1.0 (0.7) 8.2 7.3 2.5 2.8 1.4 (3.8) (19.6) NM 68 (52) 585 522 179
COH * COACH INC JUN 494.3 388.7 261.7 146.6 85.8 64.0 NA NA 50.5 27.2 ** ** ** ** NA
FOSL § FOSSIL INC DEC NA 78.1 90.6 68.3 58.9 43.7 13.6 NA NA NA ** 574 666 503 433
HBI † HANESBRANDS INC JUN 322.5 218.5 449.6 NA NA NA NA NA NA 47.6 ** ** ** ** NA
JNY * JONES APPAREL GROUP INC DEC (146.0) 274.3 301.8 328.6 332.3 236.2 80.9 NM NM NM (181) 339 373 406 411
KWD § KELLWOOD CO # JAN 21.1 23.1 66.3 68.9 42.0 37.7 37.6 (5.6) (11.0) (8.7) 56 61 176 183 112
LIZ * LIZ CLAIBORNE INC DEC 254.7 317.4 313.6 279.7 231.2 192.1 155.7 5.0 5.8 (19.8) 164 204 201 180 149
MOV § MOVADO GROUP INC # JAN 50.1 26.6 26.3 22.9 20.1 17.1 11.7 15.7 24.0 88.4 429 228 225 195 172
OXM § OXFORD INDUSTRIES INC # MAY NA 51.2 49.8 39.7 20.3 10.6 19.6 NA NA NA ** 261 254 202 103
PVH † PHILLIPS-VAN HEUSEN CORP # JAN NA 111.7 58.6 14.7 30.4 10.7 18.5 NA NA NA ** 603 316 79 164
RL * POLO RALPH LAUREN CP -CL A # MAR NA 308.0 190.4 171.0 174.2 172.5 117.3 NA NA NA ** 263 162 146 149
ZQK § QUIKSILVER INC OCT 93.0 107.1 81.4 58.5 37.6 28.0 11.7 23.1 27.1 (13.2) 798 919 698 502 322
UNF § UNIFIRST CORP AUG 39.2 43.3 33.6 29.3 26.9 23.2 24.7 4.7 11.0 (9.6) 159 176 136 119 109
VFC * VF CORP DEC 535.1 518.5 474.7 397.9 364.4 137.8 299.5 6.0 31.2 3.2 179 173 158 133 122
FOOTWEAR‡
CROX § CROCS INC DEC 64.4 17.0 (1.5) (1.2) NA NA NA NA NA 279.5 ** ** ** ** NA
DECK § DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP DEC 31.5 31.8 25.5 9.2 1.6 1.6 3.7 24.0 80.9 (1.0) 862 871 699 250 44
KSWS § K-SWISS INC -CL A DEC 76.9 75.2 71.3 53.8 28.7 23.3 0.7 NM 27.0 2.1 NM NM NM NM 3,926
NKE * NIKE INC -CL B # MAY NA 1,392.0 1,211.6 945.6 740.1 668.3 795.8 NA NA NA ** 175 152 119 93
SKX § SKECHERS U S A INC DEC 71.0 44.7 23.6 (11.9) 47.0 47.3 NA NA 8.5 58.8 ** ** ** ** NA
SRR § STRIDE RITE CORP NOV 34.3 24.6 25.7 25.5 24.1 19.0 2.5 29.9 12.5 39.6 1,372 983 1,027 1,020 965
TBL † TIMBERLAND CO -CL A DEC 106.4 164.6 152.7 117.9 90.2 106.7 20.4 18.0 (0.1) (35.3) 521 806 748 577 442
WWW § WOLVERINE WORLD WIDE DEC 83.6 74.5 65.9 51.7 47.9 45.2 32.9 9.8 13.1 12.3 255 227 201 157 146
OTHER COMPANIES WITH SIGNIFICANT APPAREL OPERATIONS
COLM COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR CO DEC 123.0 130.7 138.6 120.1 102.5 88.8 21.0 19.3 6.7 (5.9) 586 622 660 572 488
HMX HARTMARX CORP NOV 7.3 23.6 15.9 8.7 3.4 (13.9) 23.8 (11.2) NM (69.1) 31 99 67 37 14
Note: Data as originally reported. ‡ S&P 1500 Index group. * Company included in the S&P 500. † Company included in the S&P MidCap. § Company included in the S&P SmallCap. # Of the following calendar year.
35
36
MAY 24, 2007 / APPAREL & FOOTWEAR INDUSTRY SURVEY
apf_0507.qxp
Current Ratio Debt / Capital Ratio (%) Debt as a % of Net Working Capital
Ticker Company Yr. End 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
APPAREL, ACCESSORIES & LUXURY GOODS‡
ASHW § ASHWORTH INC OCT 0.5 NM 4.7 4.9 2.0 0.6 NM 6.2 7.0 2.6 0.9 NM 8.6 8.8 3.3
5/14/2007
COH * COACH INC JUN 23.4 22.7 19.8 15.4 11.9 33.2 32.7 31.8 27.7 24.5 44.5 42.8 43.3 42.7 42.0
FOSL § FOSSIL INC DEC NA 7.5 9.4 8.7 8.9 NA 10.2 13.2 12.8 13.6 NA 14.9 19.1 17.9 19.5
HBI † HANESBRANDS INC JUN 7.2 4.7 9.7 NA NA 7.1 5.1 NA NA NA 11.1 8.1 NA NA NA
JNY * JONES APPAREL GROUP INC DEC NM 5.4 6.5 7.5 7.7 NM 6.0 6.9 8.2 9.2 NM 10.3 11.6 13.6 15.8
KWD § KELLWOOD CO # JAN 1.1 1.1 2.6 2.9 1.9 1.4 1.5 4.6 5.4 3.7 3.4 3.5 9.8 11.5 8.3
1:07 PM
LIZ * LIZ CLAIBORNE INC DEC 5.1 6.5 6.8 6.6 6.2 7.7 10.3 11.1 11.4 10.9 12.3 16.6 18.5 19.5 19.7
MOV § MOVADO GROUP INC # JAN 9.4 5.7 6.3 6.9 6.7 8.9 5.2 6.1 6.2 6.3 14.3 8.3 8.9 8.9 9.8
OXM § OXFORD INDUSTRIES INC # MAY NA 4.6 3.8 3.5 2.7 NA 5.7 6.2 6.7 5.5 NA 14.6 18.4 18.5 11.2
PVH † PHILLIPS-VAN HEUSEN CORP # JAN NA 5.9 3.6 0.9 2.2 NA 5.9 2.5 NM 4.1 NA 19.8 11.4 NM 11.3
RL * POLO RALPH LAUREN CP -CL A # MAR NA 8.2 5.8 6.5 7.1 NA 10.6 7.6 7.9 9.2 NA 16.5 12.3 13.0 15.8
Page 36
ZQK § QUIKSILVER INC OCT 3.9 6.0 6.4 6.0 5.3 4.0 6.8 9.6 10.1 8.6 11.5 16.2 15.7 16.3 15.4
UNF § UNIFIRST CORP AUG 4.8 5.7 4.7 4.9 4.6 5.0 6.0 5.5 5.8 5.4 9.1 11.1 9.6 9.1 9.0
VFC * VF CORP DEC 8.6 8.0 7.8 7.6 7.2 10.0 10.2 10.2 10.2 9.4 17.6 19.4 21.2 21.9 18.9
FOOTWEAR‡
CROX § CROCS INC DEC 18.2 15.6 NM NM NA 34.1 36.0 NM NA NA 56.7 221.5 NA NA NA
DECK § DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP DEC 10.4 12.0 11.9 7.6 1.6 13.7 16.5 17.2 7.5 1.6 16.1 20.0 24.1 14.1 2.6
KSWS § K-SWISS INC -CL A DEC 15.3 14.8 14.7 12.5 9.9 20.8 23.8 26.9 25.7 16.7 24.7 30.0 35.1 33.7 21.7
NKE * NIKE INC -CL B # MAY NA 9.3 8.8 7.7 6.9 NA 14.9 14.5 12.9 11.2 NA 23.3 23.2 21.6 18.9
SKX § SKECHERS U S A INC DEC 5.9 4.4 2.6 NM 5.0 10.8 8.1 4.8 NM 10.6 17.9 14.0 8.6 NM 20.5
SRR § STRIDE RITE CORP NOV 4.9 4.2 4.6 4.6 4.5 7.6 6.5 7.7 7.5 7.0 12.2 9.6 10.0 9.8 9.4
TBL † TIMBERLAND CO -CL A DEC 6.8 10.5 10.2 8.8 7.6 13.0 21.3 21.8 20.0 17.3 19.5 31.7 32.5 29.4 24.6
WWW § WOLVERINE WORLD WIDE DEC 7.3 7.0 6.6 5.8 5.8 12.9 11.8 10.8 9.3 8.9 17.3 16.2 14.8 12.9 12.9
OTHER COMPANIES WITH SIGNIFICANT APPAREL OPERATIONS
COLM COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR CO DEC 9.5 11.3 12.6 12.6 12.6 12.3 13.6 16.0 17.5 19.2 15.6 17.2 19.5 21.6 24.8
HMX HARTMARX CORP NOV 1.2 3.9 2.7 1.5 0.6 1.5 5.0 3.6 1.9 0.7 2.9 10.1 7.7 4.7 1.9
Note: Data as originally reported. ‡ S&P 1500 Index group. * Company included in the S&P 500. † Company included in the S&P MidCap. § Company included in the S&P SmallCap. # Of the following calendar year.
Price / Earnings Ratio (High-Low) Dividend Payout Ratio (%) Dividend Yield (High-Low, %)
Ticker Company Yr. End 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
RL * POLO RALPH LAUREN CP -CL A # MAR NA-NA 19-12 23-15 18-11 17-9 NA 7 11 12 0 0.4-0.2 0.6-0.4 0.7-0.5 1.0-0.6 0.0-0.0
ZQK § QUIKSILVER INC OCT 21-15 20-12 22-12 18-11 18-11 0 0 0 0 0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0
UNF § UNIFIRST CORP AUG 20-14 20-12 17-14 18-9 21-13 7 7 9 10 11 0.5-0.4 0.5-0.3 0.6-0.5 1.1-0.5 0.8-0.5
VFC * VF CORP DEC 17-11 13-11 13-10 12-9 14-10 40 24 24 28 30 3.6-2.3 2.2-1.8 2.5-1.9 3.1-2.3 3.1-2.1
Price / Earnings Ratio (High-Low) (cont’d) Dividend Payout Ratio (%) (cont’d) Dividend Yield (High-Low, %) (cont’d)
apf_0507.qxp
Ticker Company Yr. End 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
FOOTWEAR‡
CROX § CROCS INC DEC 29-12 NA-NA NA-NA NA-NA NA-NA 0 NA NA NA NA 0.0-0.0 NA-NA NA-NA NA-NA NA-NA
DECK § DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP DEC 24-11 18-7 21-7 24-4 37-15 0 0 0 0 0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0
KSWS § K-SWISS INC -CL A DEC 17-10 17-13 15-8 17-7 18-10 9 8 5 3 2 0.9-0.5 0.6-0.5 0.6-0.3 0.4-0.2 0.2-0.1
NKE * NIKE INC -CL B # MAY NA-NA 17-14 20-14 19-12 23-14 NA 21 20 19 19 NA-NA 1.5-1.2 1.4-1.0 1.6-1.0 1.3-0.8
5/14/2007
SKX § SKECHERS U S A INC DEC 19-9 16-10 25-12 NM-NM 19-5 0 0 0 NM 0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0
SRR § STRIDE RITE CORP NOV 17-13 22-16 18-14 19-11 16-11 26 34 29 31 34 2.0-1.5 2.2-1.6 2.1-1.6 2.8-1.6 3.1-2.2
TBL † TIMBERLAND CO -CL A DEC 22-15 17-11 15-11 18-9 19-11 0 0 0 0 0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0
WWW § WOLVERINE WORLD WIDE DEC 20-13 19-14 19-12 16-11 16-11 20 20 17 17 15 1.5-1.0 1.4-1.0 1.5-0.9 1.5-1.0 1.4-0.9
OTHER COMPANIES WITH SIGNIFICANT APPAREL OPERATIONS
1:07 PM
COLM COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR CO DEC 18-13 18-12 18-14 20-10 18-11 4 0 0 0 0 0.3-0.2 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0
HMX HARTMARX CORP NOV 50-27 16-9 20-9 18-7 30-12 0 0 0 0 0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0 0.0-0.0
Note: Data as originally reported. ‡ S&P 1500 Index group. * Company included in the S&P 500. † Company included in the S&P MidCap. § Company included in the S&P SmallCap. # Of the following calendar year.
Page 37
Earnings per Share ($) Tangible Book Value per Share ($) Share Price (High-Low, $)
Ticker Company Yr. End 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002
APPAREL, ACCESSORIES & LUXURY GOODS‡
ASHW § ASHWORTH INC OCT 0.61 0.56 0.19 0.22 0.49 5.66 6.63 5.99 J 5.70 J 5.49 J 11.20-7.55 8.70-5.00 9.91-4.54 9.38-4.34 7.88-3.81
COH * COACH INC JUN 0.70 0.41 0.24 0.19 0.11 2.00 1.11 0.67 0.42 J NA 28.85-16.88 20.42-7.26 8.93-4.30 5.34-2.50 3.67-2.00
FOSL § FOSSIL INC DEC 1.28 0.98 0.85 0.64 0.78 6.31 6.05 J 4.89 J 3.87 J 3.25 J 32.37-17.68 20.13-10.63 16.41-8.78 10.38-6.11 11.89-4.67
HBI † HANESBRANDS INC JUN 3.39 2.30 4.73 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 24.77-17.75 NA-NA NA-NA NA-NA NA-NA
JNY * JONES APPAREL GROUP INC DEC (1.32) 2.33 2.44 2.58 2.59 1.30 (2.23) (1.96) 0.98 0.66 36.10-27.30 37.48-26.47 40.00-33.00 37.44-25.61 41.68-26.18
KWD § KELLWOOD CO # JAN 0.82 0.86 2.41 2.60 1.71 NA 9.57 10.75 13.34 15.58 34.84-23.20 34.65-21.83 45.10-31.32 41.53-22.65 32.50-19.70
LIZ * LIZ CLAIBORNE INC DEC 2.50 2.98 2.90 2.60 2.19 6.86 7.74 7.13 6.73 5.43 44.50-33.40 43.82-33.70 42.47-32.09 38.90-26.23 33.25-23.55
MOV § MOVADO GROUP INC # JAN 1.87 1.05 1.06 0.95 0.85 NAJ 12.50 12.69 J 11.24 J 9.89 J 29.68-17.91 20.38-15.24 19.40-12.78 15.38-8.65 12.60-7.30
OXM § OXFORD INDUSTRIES INC # MAY NA 2.93 2.97 2.47 1.35 NA (1.98) (7.10) (1.47) 12.06 55.20-34.34 57.58-33.34 47.50-34.00 35.83-11.01 15.13-9.75
PVH † PHILLIPS-VAN HEUSEN CORP # JAN NA 2.15 1.20 (0.18) 1.10 NA (6.68) (15.78) (16.10) 5.73 52.90-31.24 35.38-24.11 29.95-16.45 18.20-11.16 16.46-10.35
RL * POLO RALPH LAUREN CP -CL A # MAR NA 2.96 1.88 1.73 1.77 NA 10.35 10.38 10.56 8.93 83.15-45.65 56.84-34.19 42.83-27.28 31.52-19.30 30.82-16.49
ZQK § QUIKSILVER INC OCT 0.76 0.90 0.71 0.54 0.40 0.95 0.30 2.53 2.54 2.03 16.08-11.60 18.12-10.63 15.57-8.19 9.77-6.05 7.13-4.22
UNF § UNIFIRST CORP AUG 2.04 2.26 1.75 1.53 1.40 9.20 8.74 6.73 14.02 12.91 41.63-28.65 45.75-28.00 29.99-23.83 28.27-14.00 28.78-18.68
VFC * VF CORP DEC 4.83 4.65 4.30 3.67 3.26 13.18 8.40 7.14 8.61 10.91 83.10-53.25 61.61-50.44 55.61-42.06 44.08-32.62 45.64-31.50
FOOTWEAR‡
CROX § CROCS INC DEC 1.73 0.52 (0.05) (0.04) NA 4.65 0.76 NA NA NA 50.25-20.32 NA-NA NA-NA NA-NA NA-NA
DECK § DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP DEC 2.52 2.58 2.32 0.91 0.17 12.70 8.65 5.80 (0.00) (1.17) 60.56-27.97 47.25-16.92 49.12-16.90 21.99-3.31 6.30-2.56
KSWS § K-SWISS INC -CL A DEC 2.23 2.20 2.04 1.52 0.78 9.86 7.91 6.42 4.86 3.64 37.81-22.54 36.89-27.52 30.01-17.06 25.18-10.61 13.88-7.84
NKE * NIKE INC -CL B # MAY NA 2.68 2.31 1.79 1.40 NA 11.23 9.77 8.13 7.22 50.60-37.76 45.77-37.55 46.22-32.90 34.27-21.19 32.14-19.26
SKX § SKECHERS U S A INC DEC 1.73 1.13 0.61 (0.31) 1.26 NA 8.56 7.47 6.67 6.85 33.58-14.80 18.19-11.18 15.25-7.51 10.24-5.16 24.40-6.52
SRR § STRIDE RITE CORP NOV 0.94 0.68 0.68 0.65 0.58 4.05 3.95 6.80 6.74 6.35 16.21-11.90 14.69-10.69 12.26-9.60 12.31-7.27 9.30-6.49
TBL † TIMBERLAND CO -CL A DEC 1.70 2.48 2.19 1.66 1.21 7.64 6.93 7.20 5.86 4.89 37.61-24.80 41.01-27.28 33.99-24.35 29.67-15.10 22.98-12.90
WWW § WOLVERINE WORLD WIDE DEC 1.52 1.33 1.15 0.88 0.79 8.19 7.40 7.14 6.54 5.59 30.20-20.26 25.70-18.90 21.66-13.40 14.39-9.53 12.83-8.37
OTHER COMPANIES WITH SIGNIFICANT APPAREL OPERATIONS
COLM COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR CO DEC 3.39 3.39 3.44 3.01 2.60 21.26 19.18 18.57 15.04 11.72 62.55-42.85 59.76-41.00 62.18-49.22 59.39-31.55 47.80-27.46
HMX HARTMARX CORP NOV 0.20 0.65 0.45 0.26 0.10 6.36 3.61 3.46 3.07 4.57 9.97-5.50 10.48-6.09 8.82-4.05 4.62-1.82 3.02-1.18
Note: Data as originally reported. ‡ S&P 1500 Index group. * Company included in the S&P 500. † Company included in the S&P MidCap. § Company included in the S&P SmallCap. # Of the following calendar year. J-This amount includes intangibles that cannot be identified.
The analysis and opinion set forth in this publication are provided by Standard & Poor’s Equity Research Services and are prepared separately from any other analytic activity of Standard & Poor’s. In this regard, Standard & Poor’s Equity Research Services
has no access to nonpublic information received by other units of Standard & Poor’s. The accuracy and completeness of information obtained from third-party sources, and the opinions based on such information, are not guaranteed.
37
apf_0507.qxp 5/14/2007 1:07 PM Page 38
Topics Covered by
INDUSTRY SURVEYS
Advertising Electric Utilities Movies & Home Entertainment
Aerospace & Defense Environmental & Waste Management Natural Gas Distribution
Agribusiness Financial Services: Diversified Oil & Gas: Equipment & Services
Airlines Foods & Nonalcoholic Beverages Oil & Gas: Production & Marketing
Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco Healthcare: Facilities Paper & Forest Products
Apparel & Footwear Healthcare: Managed Care Publishing
Autos & Auto Parts Healthcare: Pharmaceuticals REITs
Banking Healthcare: Products & Supplies Restaurants
Biotechnology Heavy Equipment & Trucks Retailing: General
Broadcasting & Cable Homebuilding Retailing: Specialty
Chemicals Household Durables Savings & Loans
Communications Equipment Household Nondurables Semiconductor Equipment
Computers: Commercial Services Industrial Machinery Semiconductors
Computers: Consumer Services & Insurance: Life & Health Supermarkets & Drugstores
the Internet Insurance: Property-Casualty Telecommunications: Wireless
Computers: Hardware Investment Services Telecommunications: Wireline
Computers: Software Lodging & Gaming Transportation: Commercial
Computers: Storage & Peripherals Metals: Industrial
Each of the topics listed above is the exclusive subject of an issue of Industry Surveys or Global Industry Surveys.
To order an issue or receive subscription information, please call (800) 221-5277.
For information about Industry Surveys and Global Industry Surveys, please call (800) 523-4534.