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Subject(s):
* Mathematics/Probability
Context:
Goals:
The student will learn the basic principles of probability.
OBJECTIVES:
Motivation/Set
Procedures:
1. Hold up a Tennessee Lottery ticket.
2. Ask for guesses as to the odds of winning.
3. Give another example of a pick three lottery.
4. Have a volunteer pick 3 numbers.
5. Ask for guesses.
6. Reveal answer. (1-1,000)
7. Reveal answer to Powerball lottery (1-146,107,962).
8. Ask “Why are these numbers so big?
9. Ask “Do you think buying a lottery ticket is a good idea? Why?
10. Ask “What are some other ways probability is used?
Question: How do you calculate probability?
* Activity sheet
* Pencils
* Paper
PROCEDURES:
1. Introduce activity with a demonstration of game: “Rock, Paper,
Scissors.”
2. Divide class into pairs (player A and player B) and have them
play the game 18 times and keep a tally on activity sheet.
3. Have each pair share their scores and record on board.
4. Discuss results.
5. Do a tree diagram to determine the possible outcomes.
6. Answer the following questions to determine if the game is fair.
1. How many outcomes does the game have? (9)
2. Label each possible outcome on tree diagram as to win for A,
B or tie.
3. Count wins for A (3)
4. Find probability A will win in any round (3/9=1/3) Explain
what probability means favorable outcomes/ possible
outcomes
5. Count wins for B (3)
6. Find probability B will win in any round (3/9)
7. Is game fair? Do both players have an equal probability of
winning in any round? (Yes)
7. Compare the mathematical model with what happened when
the students played the game.
Go to summary.
Time permitting play another game
Play game again using 3 students. Using the following rules:
1. A wins if all 3 hands are same.
2. B wins if all 3 hands are different.
3. C wins if 2 hands are same.
Closure/Summary:
Question individual students by asking, “What did we learn
today?”
If any objectives aren’t brought up, question further until all
objectives have been covered. Ask “Do you think knowing
probabilities is important”
Assessment: Teacher observation and exit card. Exit card will include
the following questions. What is the rule for probability? Draw a tree
diagram for the 3 person game.