YT/

PERIODO X VENTAS Y X*X Y*Y X*Y PRONOSTIC eT eTꝜ

O

1 86 1 7396 86 121.055 -35.055 1228.821

2 134 4 17956 268 132.376 1.624 2.638
3 160 9 25600 480 143.697 16.303 265.789
4 180 16 32400 720 155.018 24.982 624.091
5 170 25 28900 850 166.339 3.661 13.400
6 195 36 38025 1170 177.661 17.339 300.655
7 180 49 32400 1260 188.982 -8.982 80.673
8 195 64 38025 1560 200.303 -5.303 28.122
9 200 81 40000 1800 211.624 -11.624 135.123
10 220 100 48400 2200 222.945 -2.945 8.676
55 1720 385 309102 10394 1720 0.0000 2687.9879
0.0000 268.7988
𝒂=(∑128▒𝒚−𝒃∑ EMP
𝒃=(𝑵𝜮𝒙𝒚−∑128▒𝒙 ∑128▒𝒚)/(𝑵∑128▒𝒙^𝟐 −(∑128▒ 〖𝒙EMC
) 〗 ^𝟐 )
128▒𝒙)/𝑵
𝒂=(𝟏𝟕𝟎𝟗−𝟏𝟎.𝟓𝟕𝟓𝟖(𝟓𝟓))/𝟏𝟎 250
𝒃=(𝟏𝟎(𝟏𝟎𝟐𝟕𝟐)−(𝟓𝟓)(𝟏𝟕𝟎𝟗))/(𝟏𝟎(𝟑𝟖𝟓)−( 〖𝟓𝟓 ) 〗 ^𝟐 )

𝒂=(𝟏𝟕𝟎𝟗−𝟓𝟖𝟏.𝟔𝟔𝟗)/𝟏𝟎 𝒃=(𝟏𝟎𝟐𝟕𝟐𝟎−𝟗𝟑𝟗𝟗𝟓)/(𝟑𝟖𝟓𝟎−𝟑𝟎𝟐𝟓)
200

𝒂=(𝟏𝟏𝟐𝟕.𝟑𝟑𝟏)/𝟏𝟎 150
𝒃=𝟖𝟕𝟐𝟓/𝟖𝟐𝟓
100
𝒂=𝟏𝟏𝟐.𝟕𝟑𝟑𝟏
𝒃=𝟏𝟎.𝟓𝟕𝟓𝟕
50
a: 1097.33333 109.7333
10
b: 9340 11.3212 0
0 2
825
PE
250

f(x) = 11.32121212
200

150

100

50
150

100

50

0
0 2
 *ERROR et
ERROR et
ERROR et ABSOLUTO*
(et-EMP)Ꝝ l et l l et/yt l *100 ERROR et ACUMULAD MAD/ DAM
ABSOLUTO ACUMULAD
O
O

1228.821 35.055 40.761 -35.055 -35.055 35.055 35.055 35.055

2.638 1.624 1.212 1.624 -33.430 1.624 36.679 18.339
265.789 16.303 10.189 16.303 -17.127 16.303 52.982 17.661
624.091 24.982 13.879 24.982 7.855 24.982 77.964 19.491
13.400 3.661 2.153 3.661 11.515 3.661 81.624 16.325
300.655 17.339 8.892 17.339 28.855 17.339 98.964 16.494
80.673 8.982 4.990 -8.982 19.873 8.982 107.945 15.421
28.122 5.303 2.720 -5.303 14.570 5.303 113.248 14.156
135.123 11.624 5.812 -11.624 2.945 11.624 124.873 13.875
8.676 2.945 1.339 -2.945 0.000 2.945 127.818 12.782
2687.9879 127.8182 91.9471
17.2819 12.7818 9.1947

〖𝒙 ) 〗 ^𝟐 ) DDE DAM PEMA

VENTAS Y eT
250 30.000
〖𝟓𝟓 ) 〗 ^𝟐 )
20.000
200
10.000

150
0.000
0 2 4 6 8

100 -10.000

-20.000
50
-30.000

0 -40.000
0 2 4 6 8 10 12

PERIODO VS VENTAS eTꝜ

250 1400.000

1200.000
f(x) = 11.3212121212121 x + 109.733333333333
200
1000.000

150 800.000

600.000
100
400.000
50
200.000

0.000
150 800.000

600.000
100
400.000
50
200.000

0 0.000
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 0 2 4 6
 SEÑAL DE
SEGUIMIENT
O

-1 4 -4 1 -1
-1.823 4 -4 1 -1
-0.970 4 -4 1 -1
0.403 4 -4 1 -1
0.705 4 -4 1 -1
1.749 4 -4 1 -1
1.289 4 -4 1 -1
1.029 4 -4 1 -1
0.212 4 -4 1 -1
0.000 4 -4 1 -1

eT SEÑAL DE SEGUIMIENTO
5
4
3
2
1
4 6 8 10 12 0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5

eTꝜ
4 6 8 10 12
ENTO

8 10 12