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Overview
In this section we will cover:
Expressing probabilities
GMAT Probability Rule #1
GMAT Probability Rule #2
GMAT Probability Rule #3
GMAT Probability Rule #4
Probability
You may encounter questions on the GMAT that ask the probability of an event
occuring. For instance:
• Sara rolls two fair, six-sided dice. What is the probability she will roll two 6s?
• Roland flip two fair coins. What is the probability that neither of the coins will
land on tails?
• A bag contains six blue marbles and six red marbles. If Teresa randomly
chooses a marble from the bag, what is the probability that the marble is
blue?
All of these problems are probability problems. Probability is a measure of the
likelihood of an event occurring.
Expressing Probability
The probability of an event occurring is expressed as a number
between 0 and 1. A probability of 0 means the event can never
happen. A probability of 1 means the event is certain to happen.
Fraction 1/2
Decimal .5
Percent 50%
P(A) = 1/2
2. The probability of an event occurring plus the probability of the event not
occurring equals 1.
Example: Raphael tosses a fair coin. What is the probability the coin will
come up heads?
Example: Tom rolls a fair die. What is the probability that the die will roll an
even number?
Rule #2
The probability of an event occurring plus the probability of the event not
occurring equals 1.
In other words, we can say with 100% certainty that an event will either occur or not
occur. For instance, the probability of a fair, six-sided die rolling a 4 is 1/6. The
probability of the die not landing on 4 is (1 - 1/6) or 5/6. 1/6 + 5/6 = 1.
This concept can be very helpful on the GMAT. Sometimes it is easier to determine
the probability of an event not occurring than determining the probability of an event
occurring. Once your know the probability of an event not occurring, you can
subtract the probability from 1 to find the probability of an event occurring.
Rule #3
The probability of event A AND event B occurring is the probability of event
A times the probability of event B given that event A has already occurred.
Example: Joseph rolls two fair, six-sided die. What is the probability that
both die will roll a 6?
Example: A bag contains three blue marbles and three red marbles. If two
marbles are drawn randomly from the bag, what is the probability that they
are both blue?
If a blue is drawn on the first draw, there are three red marbles and two blue
marbles remaining in the bag.
Probability of drawing blue on second draw (given that first was blue): 2/5
Rule #4
The probability of event A OR event B occurring is the probability of event A
occurring plus the probability of event B occurring minus the probability of
both events occurring.
Example: Charles rolls a fair, six-sided die. What is the probability of Charles
rolling a 2 or a 4?
Probability of 2: 1/6
Probability of 4: 1/6
Probability of a 2 or 4: 1/6 + 1/6
Probability of a 2 or 4: 2/6
Probability of a 2 or 4: 1/3
In the previous problem, the events were mutually exclusive. Mutually exclusive
means that the events cannot occur together. There is no way to roll a 2 and a 4 at
the same time. The events in the following problem are NOT mutually exclusive.
Example: Of the 100 students at a certain school, 30 students are taking a
chemistry class, 40 students are taking a physics class, and 20 students are
taking both a physics and a chemistry class. If a student is chosen at
random from the school, what is the probability that he or she is taking a
physics or a chemistry class?
A. 1/81
B. 1/12
C. 2/9
D. 1/3
E. 1/4
A. 1/11
B. 3/10
C. 4/11
D. 1/4
E. 1/3
A. 15/28
B. 1/4
C. 9/16
D. 1/32
E. 1/16
A. 1/2
B. 1/4
C. 1/6
D. 1/12
E. 1/3
A. 21/50
B. 3/13
C. 47/50
D. 14/15
E. 1/5
A fair, six-sided die is rolled.
What is the probability that
the number will be odd?
A. 1/4
B. 1/2
C. 1/3
D. 1/6
E. 1/5
A letter is randomly select
from the word studious.
What is the probability that
the letter be a U?
A. 1/8
B. 1/4
C. 1/3
D. 1/2
E. 3/8
A. 2/13
B. 1/5
C. 1/3
D. 1/10
E. 2/15
A. 1/6
B. 1/4
C. 1/36
D. 1/18
E. 1/9
A. 1/4
B. 1/6
C. 1/8
D. 1/16
E. 1/32
A. 5/9
B. 4/9
C. 2/9
D. 1/4
E. 1/2
A. .5
B. .6
C. .2
D. .4
E. .3
A. 1/15
B. 1/6
C. 1/3
D. 1/4
E. 1/18
A. 1/2
B. 5/8
C. 1/4
D. 3/8
E. 3/5
A bag contains six marbles: two red, two blue, and two
green. If two marbles are drawn at random, what is the
probability that they are the same color?
A. 1/3
B. 1/2
C. 1/8
D. 1/4
E. 1/5
A. 3/10
B. 2/5
C. 1/5
D. 3/5
E. 4/5
Seven beads are in a bag: three blue, two red, and two
green. If three beads are randomly drawn from the bag,
what is the probability that they are not all blue?
A. 5/7
B. 23/24
C. 6/7
D. 34/35
E. 8/13
A bag has six red marbles and six blue marbles. If two
marbles are drawn randomly from the bag, what is the
probability that they will both be red?
A. 1/2
B. 11/12
C. 5/12
D. 5/22
E. 1/3