Renewables 2011 Global Status Report

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Evoanne Santos August 23, 2011 SAVER Lecture Series

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Disclaimer
'Renewables 2011 Global Status Report'
- made and released by Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century (REN21)

- available online at www.ren21.net * all information presented here came from the 'Renewables 2011 Global Status Report' (pre-release version), unless otherwise stated

Outline
* Background and Introduction * Executive Summary * Selected Indicators and Top Five Countries * Global Market Overview * Investment Flows * Industry Trends * Policy Landscape * Rural Renewable Energy *

QUIZ ;)

Background and Introduction

REN21 created as an outcome of the Renewables 2004 convenes international multistakeholder leaders to enable a rapid global transition to renewable energy Global Status Report first release on 2005 provides a yearly update of the status of renewable energy worldwide Researchers from the Philippines

Rafael Senga (WWF) Amalie Obusan (Greenpeace)

Background and Introduction

REN21 created as an outcome of the Renewables 2004 convenes international multistakeholder leaders to enable a rapid global transition to renewable energy Global Status Report first release on 2005 provides a yearly update of the status of renewable energy worldwide Researchers from the Philippines

Rafael Senga (WWF) Amalie Obusan (Greenpeace)

Background and Introduction

Past and Recent Events - indirectly or directly affected the renewable energy development

Economic Recession Several governments announced incentive cuts for solar energy Natural gas prices remained low Temporarily reducing competitiveness of renewable energy Oil and Fossil Fuels BP Oil Spill Arab Spring Nuclear Energy Fukushima nuclear disaster

Background and Introduction

A positive constant amid this turbulence has been the global performance of renewable energy.
- Mohammed Alshry, Chairman of REN21

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

"Renewable Energy continued to grow strongly in all enduse sectors, and global investment reached new highs. As policies spread, the geography of renewables is also expanding."

Executive Summary
Propelling forces for RE development Development banks Creation of new industries and generation of new jobs Policies

SELECTED INDICATORS and TOP FIVE COUNTRIES

Selected Indicators and Top Five Countries

Selected Indicators and Top Five Countries

GLOBAL MARKET OVERVIEW

"Renewables represented half of newly installed electric capacity worldwide in 2010, and they are becoming increasingly important in the heating and transport sectors."

Global Market Overview

Note: final energy consumption VS primary energy consumption

Global Market Overview

Global Market Overview

Four Distinct Markets Power Generation Heating and Cooling Transport and Fuels Rural/Off Grid Energy Services

Global Market Overview

Power Generation

* of total global power-generating capacity, with most of this provided by hydropower

Global Market Overview

Power Generation

Global Market Overview

Power Generation (Wind Power)
For the first year since 2007, wind power did not account for the largest share of new electric capacity additions

Global Market Overview

Power Generation (Wind Power) Although the total wind capacity remains small, the offshore wind industry continued to pick up speed, increasing by 1.2 GW to 3.1 GW at the end of 2010, with most of its capacity in Europe and the rest in China (0.1 GW) and Japan (0.02 GW)

Source: wwww.caboncommentary.com

Source: wwww.ecofriend.com

Global Market Overview

Power Generation (Biomass Power) Significant increase in use of biomass for power production Estimated 62 GW of biomass power capacity by end of 2010 United States still leads

Global Market Overview

Power Generation (Solar Photovoltaic Power)

Global Market Overview

Power Generation (Solar Photovoltaic Power)

* EU 13.2 GW, enough to power some 10 million European households

Global Market Overview

Power Generation (Solar Photovoltaic Power)
Utility-scale solar PV plants Larger than 200 kilowatts (kW) 3,200 plants in 2009 to 5,000 in 2010 Grid-connected Off-grid has a declining share with each passing year

Global Market Overview

Power Generation (Geothermal Power)
Development slowed in 2010 Up by only 240 MW from 2009 Lack of available drilling rigs and qualified workforce But expected to rise on 2013 Top countries by the beginning of 2011 1. United States 3.1 GW

2. Philippines 1.9 GW
3. Indonesia 1.2 GW 4. Mexico just under 1 GW 5. Italy 0.9 GW

Global Market Overview

Power Generation (Concentrating Solar Thermal Power)
CSP comeback After years of inactivity, about 740 MW added from 2007-2010 Spain and United States Challenge of solar PV Reduction in solar PV costs Utility-scale PV plants are preferred over CSP

Global Market Overview

Power Generation (Hydropower)
- available in some 150 countries - increased more than 5% - about 16 % of global electricity production Top countries for hydro capacity: - China - Brazil - United States - Canada - Russia Top countries by generation: - China - Canada - Brazil - United States - Russia

INVESTMENT FLOWS

Investment Flows

Investment Flows
Factors that increased investments:
China leader for the second year in a row due mainly to wind power capacity green stimulus packaged in 2008 Developing countries Increase in asset finance dominated by wind Mexico Successful financing of large wind projects and one geothermal project Africa Strong performances in Egypt and Kenya

Investment Flows
Development and National Bank Finance
Leading development banks in financing renewables projects European Investment Bank ($ 5.4 billion) Brazil's BN DES ($ 3.1 billion) Germany's KfW ($ 1.5 billion) Other banks Asian Development Bank International Bank for Reconstruction and Development International Development Association Global Environment Facility

INDUSTRY TRENDS
"Strong growth continued in manufacturing, sales and installation despite a changing policy landscape in many countries, while consolidation and internationalization continued."

Industry Trends
Increased solar PV manufacturing Technology cost reductions in solar PV Same with wind turbines and biofuel processing technologies Industry consolidation Biomass and biofuels industries Manufacturing firms into project development Internationalization Global wind turbine manufacturers focus in Chinese market Chinese solar PV manufacturers selling more in Europe

Industry Trends
Wind Power Industry Focused mainly on China Growth driven by continued political and regulatory support and lower labor and manufacturing costs Europe focused increasingly on offshore technologies USA 14 new turbine manufacturinng plants in 2010

Industry Trends
Wind Power Industry

Industry Trends
Solar Power Industry

Industry Trends
Hydropower Industry Most matured of the renewables industry Repowering, relicensing, pumped storage development Solar Heating and Cooling Industry Dominated by China Need for systematic improvements in quality and product standardization Ethanol Industry Recovered in 2010 in response to rising oil prices

Industry Trends
Jobs in Renewable Energy

- manufacturing, installations, operations, maintenance - automation of manufacturing may moderate the growth rate of employment

POLICY LANDSCAPE
"The number of countries with renewable targets or support policies more than doubled between 2005 and 2011, from 55 to 119, and an increasing number of city and local governments are promoting renewable energy."

Policy Landscape
- policies play a major role in driving renewable energy market - but success does not only depend on policy choice, but also on policy design and implementation - synergy between policies that promote renewable energy and those that encourage energy efficiency becomes clearer - combination of policies has proved more successful than taking a single approach

Policy Landscape
Policy Targets

Philippines: * 15, 304 MW RE capacity by 2030

Source: www.doe.gov.ph

Policy Landscape
Power Generation Policies
Feed-in Tariffs (FIT) Most common Many variations, no one definition Basically, promotion policy that pays a guaranteed price for power-generated from a renewable energy source Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) An obligation placed by government on a utility company, or consumers to provide or use a predetermined share from renewables of either installed capacity, electricity generated or electricity sold Certificate schemes for trading Net Metering

Policy Landscape
Green Energy Purchasing and Labeling Utility green pricing programs green marketing Trading of renewable energy certificates Germany world's green power leader Transport Policies Biofuels subsidies, tax exemptions, blending mandates Biofuels targets EU 10% renewable transport energy by 2020 US 36 billion gallons biofuels blended by 2022 Electric vehicle policies

Policy Landscape
City and Local Government Policies governmental stakeholders Renewable energy or CO2 emission reduction Urban planning that incorporates renewable energy Incorporation of renewable energy in building codes or permitting US Mayors' Climate Protection Agreement, European Solar Cities Initiative, Japanese Eco-Model City Project

RURAL RENEWABLE ENERGY

"Even in the most remote areas of the world, renewable technologies are providing access to energy services and fostering economic development."

Rural Renewable Energy

Rural Renewable Energy

Rural Renewable Energy

Lighting Africa International Finance Corporation and World Bank Promote private sector innovation and new lighting technologies Solar Home Systems China 400,000 sold in 2008 India 600,000 in 2010 Sri Lanka 125,000 in 2010 Cooking and Heating Global Alliance for Clean Cookstoves (GACC) UN in 2010 Biomass cookstoves 100 million by 2020

Rural Renewable Energy

Motive Power, Irrigation and Village-Scale Systems Require tailor made power systems Main financial barrier is the upfront investment cost Nepal's Village Micro Hydro Program 41,000 households Solar Home Systems China 400,000 sold in 2008 India 600,000 in 2010 Sri Lanka 125,000 in 2010 Cooking and Heating Global Alliance for Clean Cookstoves (GACC) UN in 2010 Biomass cookstoves 100 million by 2020

Let's see if you remembered anything!

QUIZ!!! :D

Question No. 1

What does REN21 stand for?

Question No. 2

Which renewable technology has the highest growth rate of energy capacity for 2010?

Question No. 3

Which country has the highest renewable investment for 2010?

Question No. 4

How much is the RE capacity target of the Philippines by 2030?

Question No. 5

Share any bright idea or thought about RE that came into your mind during or after this lecture.

The End

I hope you learned a lot and that you felt the real SAVER spirit in you! :D

References
Renewables 2011 Global Status Report [Online]. Available: http://bit.ly/REN21_GSR2011 Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century (REN21). [Online]. Available: http://www.ren21.net/ DOE Portal. [Online]. Available : http://www.doe.gov.ph/