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Dr. M. Gauri Devi, Senior Consultant, Department of Neurology, Gangaram Hospital, Delhi

Dr. Satish Kumar, Faculty in Environment Health, Institute of Health Systems, Hyderabad

Dr. G.K.Rath Professor and Head, Department of Radiology, AIIMS, Delhi

Dr. K.S.Reddy, Professor and Head, Department of Cardiology, AIIMS, Delhi

Dr. Padam Singh, Ex-Addl DG, ICMR, Delhi

Dr. Nikhil Tandon, Addl Professor, Department of Endocrinology, AIIMS, Delhi

Dr. Cherian Verghese, NPO (SCN), WHO (WR) Office, INDIA

Dr. B.B.Yeole, Population Based Cancer Registry, Mumbai

CONTENTS
Pages
1

Introduction

Material and methods

2-4

Ischaemic Heart Disease

5-10

Stroke

11-13

Diabetes

14-16

Cancer

17-23

Hypertension

24-26

Tobacco Use

27-32

Discussion

33-35

Bibliography

36-43

Tables on estimation of demographic/


input parameters (A1-A29)

44-69

DISMOD analysis of IHD data

70-81

DISMOD analysis of Stroke data

82-87

DISMOD analysis of Diabetes data

88-91

DISMOD analysis of Cancer data

92-152

Data Extraction forms

153-154

Appendix I

Appendix II

Non-communicable

diseases

(NCD)

are

of oral cancers in India are directly related to tobacco


use. In fact, India ranks third among major tobacco
producers of the world, and most of it is consumed
within the country.
Until a few decades ago, it was generally thought that
diabetes mellitus was a problem primarily in developed
countries. With changing life styles and dietary habits,
diabetes mellitus has emerged as an important public
health problem in our country also. It is estimated that
by 2025, there will be almost 70% increase in the
number of cases of diabetes in developing countries.
Moreover, while majority of diabetics in developed
countries are 65 years and older, most diabetics in our
country are between 45 and 65 years of age the
more economically productive age group.

now

recognized as major cause of morbidity and mortality.


World Health Report 2001 has indicated that noncommunicable diseases accounted for nearly 60% of
deaths and 46% of the global burden of diseases.
75% of the total deaths due to NCDs occur in
developing countries. The rapidly growing epidemic of
non-communicable diseases is clearly related to
changes in life styles. These changes include risks that
are more commonly associated with wealthy societies,
such as high blood pressure and high blood
cholesterol, tobacco and excessive alcohol
consumption, obesity and physical inactivity. While
these risks and the diseases linked to them, have high
prevalence in middle and high-income countries, these
are now becoming more prevalent in the developing
world where they create a double burden on top of the
infectious diseases that still afflict the developing
countries. Overweight, obesity and physical inactivity
have become important determinants of health in
urban India as they lead to adverse metabolic
changes, including increase in blood pressure,
unfavorable cholesterol levels and increased
resistance to insulin. They raise the risks of coronary
heart disease, stroke, diabetes mellitus and many
forms of cancer. With increasing life expectancies and
marked changes in life styles, the past two decades
have seen sharp increase in cardiovascular and
cerebrovascular diseases, diabetes, hypertension and
cancers. It is important to make quantitative
assessment of burden of these non-communicable
diseases.

With this scenario of the health situation, it is important


to study the burden of non-communicable diseases
using Indian data to know the real dimensions of the
problem and work towards preventive measures. This
will help in strengthening the scientific and empirical
basis of planning sound strategies to manage risk
uncertainties and for consideration of ethical and other
issues.
The present study was undertaken for selected NCDs
viz. I.H.D., stroke, cancer, diabetes and two important
risk factors, hypertension and tobacco use. The
specific objectives of the study are as follows:

During the last two decades, while mortality due to


cardiovascular diseases has steadily declined in
developed countries, it has increased in the developing
world.

a.

To assess the burden of selected NCDs.

b.

Risk Assessment: To gather information on


prevalence and Relative risk from available
epidemiological studies, and to estimate the
burden attributable to each selected risk factor.

The project report has been organized in three parts.


First part describes objectives, methods, and results
and contains only the summary tables while all other
tables are given in appendices. The second part is
Appendix, A which contains tables on estimation of
demographic and other input parameters. The third
part is Appendix B which contains tables of DISMOD
analysis

The increase in these diseases is expected to continue


in most countries of our region. In fact in developing
countries where life expectancy is over 60 years,
cardiovascular diseases are already a leading cause
of mortality. With improvements in life expectancies,
the mortality from cancer is expected to increase
substantially in the developing world. It is estimated
that by 2015, two thirds of all cancer cases will occur in
developing countries. Tobacco, which is widely used
in India, is a major cause of cancer. A large proportion

variables. It combines the analytical solution


with a loss function. An optimization method
(DOWNHILL
SIMPLEX
METHOD)
then
minimizes the difference between the calculated
variables and the input variables by making
informed guesses about the values of the
transition hazards. The loss function approach
gets around the problems of inconsistent input
and if input variables are not internally
consistent, DISMOD produces a solution that
tries to find the middle ground. By modifying the
input variables, the user can shift this solution
towards the input variables that seem most
valid.

Burden of disease can be assessed through a


number of epidemiological parameters such as
incidence,
prevalence,
disease
specific
mortality, and disability caused by the disease.
The Global Burden of Disease study conducted
by WHO, World Bank and the Harvard School of
Public Health in 1990s further developed
sophisticated epidemiological parameters like
YLD (years of life lived with disability) and
DALY, which combines information on
morbidity, mortality and disability to provide a
composite index of burden of disease.
However data on incidence, prevalence, and
disease specific mortality are frequently
incomplete, not very reliable, or are altogether
lacking in many countries including India. When
it is not possible to gather all the required
epidemiological data, additional methods of
assessing disease epidemiology can be used.
Additional information can be derived from the
logical relations between variables that describe
a disease. These logical relations can be
expressed as a formal model of a generic
disease process. Such a formal disease model
allows calculation of a complete and internally
consistent description of disease epidemiology
from partial data.

An important new feature of DISMOD II is to


allow for a wider range of disease input than the
three transition hazards used in DISMOD I
(incidence, remission and case fatality). In
particular, prevalence and disease specific
mortality could be potential inputs in the new
model. The analytic solution of the differential
equations is preferred over a numerical one.
The downhill simplex optimization procedure
adjusts the values of input variables such that
they are internally consistent while staying as
close as possible to the original value. In
addition to the disease input variables, DISMOD
II needs total mortality rates and population
number for the population under study. All
variables are by age, and calculations are done
separately for men and women.
The project was implemented using already
available data in the country. The main steps
involved in implementation of project were as
follows:

Disease model
The DISMOD disease model assumes that
there are two causes of death: from the disease
under study and from all other causes, which
are assumed to be independent. Under this
assumption the disease model is completely
determined by the three transition hazards
Incidence, remission, and case fatality.
However for non-communicable diseases,
information on remission are difficult to obtain.
DISMOD II is useful in situations when input
variables like prevalence are known. When
values for the three hazards are entered in
DISMOD II, the program inserts these values in
the equations, calculates the epidemiologic
variables and compares them with the input

(i)
(ii)
(iii)

Collection of baseline demographic data.


Review of the published and unpublished
epidemiological available data.
Evaluation of the best available studies
that
provide
information
for
the
epidemiological indicators. Creation of first
set of estimates internally consistent
epidemiological estimates.

SOURCES OF DATA
Cause of death
Medical Certification of Cause of Death (MCCD)
data was used in the present study. The
scheme on Medical Certification of Cause of
Death has been introduced in India in a phased
manner under sections 10(2) and 10(3) of the
Registration of Births and Deaths Act, 1969.
The necessary data are collected in the
prescribed form as filled in by hospitals. A
separate form is also prescribed for noninstitutional deaths, which are attended by the
medical practitioners. Both these forms are
almost identical. Qualified physicians attending
the deceased during his or her terminal illness
fill the forms. The cause of death has been
defined in MCCD scheme as a disease,
abnormality, injury or poisoning that contributed
directly or indirectly to death, or the
circumstances of the accident or violence which
produced the fatal injury. For tabulation of
mortality data, underlying cause of death has
been considered as the main cause of death.
The ICD-9 list as modified by CBHI has been
adopted as national list for tabulation of mortality
data.
The coverage of MCCD scheme is not uniform
in all States. Some of the States have notified
only teaching and specialized hospitals whereas
in some others; only district hospitals and
Primary Health Centres (PHCs) have been
notified under the scheme. Some of the states
have implemented MCCD scheme in a few
private hospitals also. However the office of
Registrar General of India has decided to cover
all government hospitals, private hospitals,
nursing homes, private medical practitioners etc.
in all rural and urban areas under MCCD
scheme henceforth.
In 1998, the MCCD
scheme report covers 3096 hospitals 2129
from urban areas and 967 from rural areas.
These cover 14.9% of all registered deaths in
the country and 41.3% of all urban registered
deaths. It has been found that domiciliary
deaths were also medically certified in large
numbers in some States such as Arunachal
Pradesh, Goa, Tripura, Delhi and Lakshadweep.

The data sources for disease specific mortality


rates included (a) Medically certified Cause of
Death data, (b) Survey of cause of death
rural, (c) Cancer Registries data, (d) published
review articles.

Population projections and all cause


mortality rates
The Sample Registration System (SRS) is the
main source of information on fertility and
mortality in India.
The SRS mechanism
involves collection of data through two
independent methods, viz., continuous
enumeration and retrospective surveys
followed by a process of matching of the two
records and field verification of the unmatched
and partially matched events. This process
ensures a crosscheck of the correctness and
completeness of the recording of births and
deaths from the two methods. The Office of
Registrar General of India published a
compendium of Indias Fertility and Mortality
Indicators (1971-1997). This was the source
of data on all causes mortality rates by age
groups and sex. With the availability of the
age-sex distribution of population data from
census and the levels and trends in fertility
and mortality revealed from the SRS, the
population projections for 1996-2016 were
published by office of Registrar General of
India in 1996. These population projections
have been used in present study.

Disease morbidity
Information on epidemiology of selected NCDs
and risk factors was collected by literature
search through MEDLINE, manual search and
consultation with experts. A data extraction
form was developed and used to collect
information from published articles. The dataextraction form contained following items of
information: geographical area/place of study,
urban/rural, sampling design and sample size,
diagnostic criterion, age groups included,
prevalence/incidence rates, outcome of
disease

well designed studies carried out on adequate


sample size and with clearly defined diagnostic
criterion were small in number. In case of stroke,
studies from 1985 on-wards were included due
limited number of community-based studies on
stroke available in the country. Information on
case fatality rates and other outcome
parameters was obtained from hospital based
longitudinal studies. Data from six population
based cancer registries of ICMR was used for
assessment of BOD for cancer.

(in longitudinal studies), risk factors, details of


publication.
The information on prevalence and incidence
was obtained from community-based studies.
Most of the community-based studies were
cross-sectional surveys that could provide data
on prevalence rates but not on incidence rates.
As the data on disease specific mortality (from
MCCD scheme) and all cause mortality from
reports of the Office of Registrar General of
India was available up to 1998, it was at first
decided to use prevalence data for 1994 2002
(with 1998 as mid point). However, later on it
was decided to use data of studies from 1990
on-wards due to the reason that the number of

The break up of research material reviewed and


finally used in the assessment of burden of
selected NCDs and risk factors is given in table 1.

Table 1. Published / unpublished material reviewed and used for estimation of burden of
selected non-communicable diseases
Number of articles reviewed
Number of articles used
Published research articles

180

180

Published reports

10

10

Unpublished reports

Personal Communications

National Workshop on B.O.D

National Workshop on B.O.D

Consultations

Ischaemic

Observations and results

heart disease (IHD) is the leading

cause of death in economically developed


countries and is rapidly assuming serious
dimensions in developing countries. It is expected
to be the single most important cause of death in
India by the year 2015 A.D. There is a steep
increase in prevalence of IHD in urban areas in
India. The prevalence rates were as low as
1.04% (Padmavati, 1962) in Delhi and 1.05%
(Mathur, K.S.) in Agra in early 1960s. In 1975,
Gupta,S.P. reported prevalence of 3.63% in urban
areas of Rohtak. The prevalence of IHD has
increased considerably during last decade,
especially in urban areas. Although there is
increase in prevalence of the disease in rural
areas also, but it is not that steep because life
style changes have affected people in urban
areas more than in rural areas.

The studies with comparable diagnostic criteria


carried out during 1990s and upto 2002 were
used to carry out meta-analysis to obtain
weighted average of prevalence rates of IHD in
the country. Inverse variance method was used
to obtain pooled estimates of prevalence rates
from the selected studies. The prevalence rates
were combined to obtain pooled estimates by
calculating weighted average of prevalence
rates from the individual studies.
Thus if Pi , i=1,2.. is the prevalence rate for the
ith study and wi is the weight assigned for the ith
study then the weighted prevalence rates is
defined

Pi w
wi

where wi=

1
s2i

Thus larger studies, which have smaller


standard errors, are given more weight than
smaller studies that have larger standard errors.
This choice of weights minimizes the variability
of the pooled estimate of prevalence rates. This
approach is widely applicable, and can be used
to combine any estimates that have standard
errors available. Meta-analysis was carried out
separately for studies in urban areas and in
rural areas.
Similarly, separate pooled
estimates of prevalence rates were obtained for
males and females from urban and rural areas.

The present study used the results of studies


carried out in 1990s and upto the year 2002. The
research studies were selected for assessment of
burden of disease based on following criteria: (1)
The information on following parameters should
be available from the study; age and sex wise
break up of cases and the total study sample,
details of sampling design, sample size and place
of study; (2) Only those studies were included
which have given clear description of diagnostic
criteria used in the investigation.
The diagnostic criteria described as follows were
considered necessary for selecting the study: (a)
history of documented angina or infarction and
previously diagnosed CHD, (b) affirmative
response to Rose Questionnaire, (c) ECG
changes namely Minnesota codes 1-1, 4-1, 5-9,
5-2 or 9-2. As the criteria based on history may
result in over diagnosis or under diagnosis
because of poor interpretation of symptoms, the
diagnosis of IHD was also confirmed on the basis
of ECG findings (ST, R, Q wave changes or Q
wave changes only).

The data are presented in tables 2 to 4. The


pooled estimates of prevalence rates for urban
and rural areas were found to be 6.4% and 2.5%
respectively. In urban areas, the pooled estimate
of prevalence rate was 6.1% for males and 6.7%
for females. In rural areas the pooled estimate for
prevalence rate was 2.1% for males and 2.7% for
females. Age specific prevalence rates of IHD
among males and females were obtained by
pooling the data of five studies that were included
in the present investigation. This was analyzed
separately for urban and rural areas. The pooled
estimates of age specific prevalence rates derived

In addition, inputs were also provided on all


causes mortality rates and age-sex wise break up
of total population. The input data for urban areas
are presented in Tables B1 and B2 for males and
females respectively. Similarly input data for rural
areas are presented in Tables B6 and B7 for
males and females respectively.
DISMOD
analysis generates consistent estimates of various
epidemiological parameters. These are presented
for IHD in Tables B3 and B4 for males and
females in urban areas. For rural areas the
consistent estimate of epidemiological parameters
obtained using DISMOD analysis are shown in
Tables B-8 and B-9 for males and females
respectively.
These consistent estimators of
epidemiological parameters were subsequently
used to obtain estimates of YLD, YLL and DALY.

from the selected studies are given in table 5.


These age and sex specific prevalence rates of
the diseases were used as input for DISMOD
analysis.
All cause mortality rates and population
distribution by age and sex were obtained from
publications of Office of Registrar General of
India. In the present investigation, IHD specific
mortality rates were estimated using MCCD data
for urban areas. As regards rural areas, data on
mortality are available from survey of cause of
death rural. This survey is carried out by lay
field investigators who use a structured
questionnaire to obtain information on signs and
symptoms and circumstances of death from the
family members. The data is tabulated by broad
cause groups. It is not expected that this survey
would be able to provide disease specific data as
per ICD codes.
However, the information
tabulated on broad cause groups was utilized.
According to SCD-rural (1997), 12.1% of total
deaths in rural areas are attributable to diseases
of circulatory system. According to the MCCD
data, 25.1% of total deaths in urban areas are
attributable to diseases of the circulatory system.
Therefore it was assumed that mortality rates due
to IHD (which forms an important disease entity
among the diseases of circulatory system) in rural
areas are expected to be half of IHD specific
mortality rates in urban areas. The age and sex
wise mortality rates due to IHD in urban areas
were derived from MCCD data. For rural areas,
these rates were weighted by a factor of 0.5. The
estimation of IHD specific death rates is shown in
tables A4 A5. The estimates of case fatality
rates for IHD are given in Appendix A6.

The estimates of YLD, YLL, and DALY are shown


in Appendix B5 for urban areas, and in Appendix
B10 for rural areas. A summary of indices of
burden of diseases for IHD in India is presented in
table 6. This table gives prevalence rates per
thousand population aged 20+ years, IHD specific
mortality per thousand, YLL per hundred thousand
and DALY per hundred thousand populations for
urban and rural areas. The projections of burden
of disease due to IHD in India for the years 1998
and 2004 are given in table 7. This table gives
the total number of cases of IHD, total number of
YLL and total number of DALY due to IHD in the
country. The number of cases of IHD is estimated
to be about 22.37 million in India in the year 2004.
These consist of 11.67 million cases in urban
areas and 10.67 million cases in rural areas. The
total number of DALYs attributable to IHD is
estimated to be 16 million in India in the year
2004.

Burden of disease
The DISMOD analysis requires input on at least
three parameters. The input was provided on
following three parameters: prevalence rates,
disease specific mortality rates, case fatality rates.

Table 2. Meta Analysis of epidemiological studies on Ischemic Heart Disease


Investigator
Sample Size
Age group

PR/1000
(Males +females)

URBAN AREAS
S.L.Chadha et al (1990)

13724

25-64

77.97

V.Mohan et al (2001)*

1175

25-64

40.00

R.Gupta et al (2002)

1123

20+

81.92

ICMR study (1989-94), Delhi

3019

35-64

76.82

ICMR study (1989-94), Vellore

2649

30-60

40.01

Weighted prevalence rate

64.37

RURAL AREAS
R.Gupta et al (1997)

3148

20+

35.00

S.L.Chadha et al (1990)

3375

25-64

17.48

ICMR study (1989-94) Delhi

2434

35-64

53.41

ICMR study (1989-94), Vellore

4693

30-60

15.13

Weighted prevalence rate

25.27

(* Subjects with T- wave changes only were not considered as cases since they may not have coronary artery
disease but could have left ventricular hypertrophy or other non-specific causes)

Table 3. Meta Analysis of epidemiological studies on Ischemic Heart Disease among urban population
Investigator
Sample Size
Age group
PR/1000
MALES
S.L.Chadha et al (1990)

6372

25-64

73.44

V.Mohan et al (2001)

518

25-64

42.47

R.Gupta et al (2002)

550

20+

61.80

ICMR study (1989-94), Delhi

1438

35-64

78.00

ICMR study (1989-94), Vellore

1149

30-60

37.40

Weighted prevalence rates

60.98

FEMALES
S.L.Chadha et al (1990)

7352

25-64

81.88

V.Mohan et al (2001)

657

25-64

38.05

R.Gupta et al (2002)

573

20+

101.20

ICMR study (1989-94), Delhi

1581

35-64

76.00

ICMR study (1989-94), Vellore

1500

30-60

42.00

Weighted prevalence rates

67.01

Table 4.Meta Analysis of epidemiological studies on Ischemic Heart Disease among rural population
Investigator
Sample Size
Age group
PR/1000
MALES
R.Gupta et al (1997)

1982

20+

34.00

S.L.Chadha et al (1990)

1214

25-64

7.41

ICMR study (1989-94), Delhi

1049

35-64

50.00

ICMR study (1989-94), Vellore

2059

30-60

15.10

Weighted prevalence rate

20.82

FEMALES
R.Gupta et al (1997)

1166

20+

37.00

S.L.Chadha et al (1990)

2161

25-64

23.13

ICMR study (1989-94), Delhi

1385

35-64

56.00

ICMR study (1989-94), Vellore

2634

30-60

15.20

Weighted prevalence rate

27.33

Figure 1. Weighted average of prevalence rates of IHD in India


70

67.01
64.37
60.98

60
Prevalence rate per 1000

Urban

50
Rural

40
27.33

30

25.27

20.82

20
10
0
Male

Female

Total

Table 5. Age-specific prevalence rates estimated from the studies selected for DISMOD Analysis
Urban
Age
group

Male
No. of
cases
1

PR/1000

20-24

Sample
Size
125

Female
No. of
cases
1

PR/1000

8.00

Sample
Size
147

25-29

1374

27

19.65

1677

44

26.24

30-34

1584

27

17.05

2091

48

22.96

35-39

1459

63

43.18

1796

87

48.44

40-44

1418

67

47.25

1549

102

65.85

45-49

1093

91

83.26

1234

130

105.35

50-54

1053

98

93.07

1162

130

111.88

55-59

985

160

162.44

1054

161

152.75

60+

835

145

173.65

941

165

175.35

PR/1000
17.54

Sample
Size
191

Female
No. of
cases
2

PR/1000

20-24

Sample
Size
285

Male
No. of
cases
5

25-29

512

13.67

624

14.42

30-34

888

11

12.39

1302

14

10.75

35-39

1011

19

18.79

1376

22

15.99

40-44

836

15

17.94

1033

24

23.23

45-49

724

15

20.72

954

37

38.78

50-54

675

21

31.11

722

36

49.86

55-59

937

25

26.68

825

42

50.91

60+

591

42

71.07

519

35

67.44

6.80

Rural
Age
group

10.47

Table 6. Indices for estimation of burden of I.H.D


Indices

Urban

Rural

64.37

25.27

0.8

0.4

YLL / 100,000

728.7

351.5

DALY / 100,000

2703.4

986.2

Prevalence rate/1000 (age


+20 years)
Death rate/1000

Prevalence rate (Urban + Rural) = 64.37(0.3) + 25.27(0.7) = 37.0 per 1000

Table 7. Burden of I.H.D in India


Urban
9,210,381

1998
Rural
9,390,559

Total
18,600,940

Urban
11,674,208

207,548

256,014

463,562

255,782

298,412

554,194

No. of YLLs

1,991,451

2,470,149

4,461,600

2,329,851

2,622,299

4,952,150

No.of DALYs

7,388,453

6,930,974

14,319,427

8,643,450

7,357,358 16,000,808

Year
No. of cases of
I.H.D
No. of deaths
due to I.H.D

2004
Rural
Total
10,693,632 22,367,840

Figure 2. Burden of IHD in India (2004)

0.55

Deaths

4.95

YLL

16.00

DALYs

22.37

Cases

10

15
No. in millions

10

20

25

Stroke is one of the leading causes of morbidity

Observations and results

and mortality.
It is the acute severe
manifestation of cerebro-vascular disease.
WHO defined stroke as rapidly developed
clinical signs of focal disturbance of cerebral
function, lasting more than 24 hrs or leading to
death, with no apparent cause other than
vascular origin. The 24 hours threshold in the
definition excludes transient ischaemic attacks (TIA).

A number of well-designed prevalence studies


of stroke carried out on adequate sample size,
as identified through literature search, are given
in table 8. These studies were carried out from
1980s to year 2001, and include studies from
South India (Gourie Devi et al., 1987), eastern
part of India (Bannerje T.K. et al, 2001 ; Das
and Sanyal, 1996) and North India ( Kapoor and
Banerjee, 1989 ; Koul et al, 1990 ; Dhamija et
al, 1998).
Meta-analysis of these studies
yielded weighted average of prevalence rates as
1.54/1000. Inverse variance method for deriving
weighted average was used.
Thus larger
studies which have smaller standard errors, are
given more weight than smaller studies, which
have larger standard errors. This choice of
weight minimizes the variability of the pooled
estimate of prevalence rate.

The disturbance of cerebral function is caused


by 3 morphological abnormalities, i.e. stenosis,
occlusion or rupture of the arteries. Dysfunction
of the brain (neurological deficit) manifests itself
by various neurological signs and symptoms
that are related to the extent and site of the area
involved and to the underlying causes. These
include
coma,
hemiplegia,
paraplegia,
monoplegia,
multiple
paralysis,
speech
disturbances-craniel nerve paresis, nerve
paresis sensory impairment, etc.

Age and sex wise distribution of cases and


study population was available only from a few
studies. This distribution has been given as
required (for input in DISMOD analysis) in the
latest available study (Banerjee et al, 2001). The
age and sex distribution of stroke cases as
given in this paper was used as input in
DISMOD analysis. It may also be seen that the
prevalence rate of stroke reported by this study
(1.47 per thousand) is very close to the
weighted average of prevalence rates of all the
seven studies (1.54 per thousand) given in table 9.

Hemiplegia
constitutes
the
main
somatoneurological disorder in about 90% of the
patients. Stroke is a worldwide health problem.
It makes an important contribution to morbidity,
mortality and disability in developed as well as
developing countries.
Cerebral thrombosis is the most frequent form of
stroke encountered in clinical studies, followed
by haemorrhage. Subarachnoid haemorrhage
and cerebral embolism come next as regards
both morbidity and mortality.

The MCCD data has tabulated deaths due to


diseases of the nervous system into following
categories; (i) meningitis, (ii) multiple sclerosis,
(iii) epilepsy, (iv) all other diseases of nervous
system. The deaths due to stroke are included
among all other diseases of nervous system and
these have not been tabulated separately.
Therefore, help was taken from published
review studies to obtain approximate estimates
of number of deaths due to stroke. An estimate
of stroke mortality rate in India as 73 per lakh
population has been reported among others by
Barucha, N.E. and Kuruvilla,T. (1999). World

Although the prevalence of stroke appears to be


comparatively less in India than in developed
countries, it is likely to increase proportionally
with the increase in life expectancy.
The
proportion of strokes in the young is significantly
more in India than in developed countries; some
of the more important causes for this are likely
to be rheumatic heart disease, ischaemic
strokes in peripartum period and arteriopathies
as a sequale of CNS infections like bacterial and
tuberculosis, meningitis and meningitis vascular syphilis.

11

analysis of data for stroke. The consistent


estimates of epidemiological parameters were
obtained by DISMOD analysis. These are given
in Tables B13 and B14 for males and females
respectively. These were used as input for
computation of YLD, YLL and DALY. These
estimates are shown in Appendix B15.

Bank WHO Burden of Disease Study for


stroke mortality in India, has also used this
estimate. In the present investigation the total
number of deaths due to stroke were worked out
using this estimate.
The total number of deaths due to stroke were
distributed in age and sex wise break up
according to the distribution given by MCCD
data for deaths due to all other diseases of the
nervous system. The stroke specific mortality
rates in population (1998) were worked out as
shown in Appendix A7 A8. The case fatality
rates for stroke were worked out as shown in
Appendix A9.

A summary of indices of burden of disease for


stroke in India is given in table 10. The
prevalence rate of stroke is 1.54 per thousand.
The figures for YLL per hundred thousand are
496.3, and DALY per hundred thousand is
597.6.
Projections of burden of disease due to stroke in
India for the years 1998 and 2004 are given in
table 11. The total number of stroke cases in
India in year 2004 is expected to be 9.3 lakh.
The total number of DALYs attributable to stroke
are estimated to be 6.37 million for the year
2004 in India.

Burden of disease
The prevalence rates, stroke specific mortality
rates, case fatality rates, all cause mortality
rates, and age distribution of population (1998)
were given as an input (as shown in Tables B11
for males and B12 for females) for DISMOD

Table 8. Meta analysis of epidemiological studies on stroke in India


Sample Size

Age group

PR/1000
(Males+ females)

R.K. Dhamija et al (1997)

24949

20+

0.92

T.K.Banerjee et al (2001)

50293

All ages

1.47

R.Koul et al (1990)

37226

15+

2.44

Gouri Devi et al (1987) Urban

18618

20+

1.18

Gouri Devi et al (1987) Rural

8160

20+

0.98

Kapoor & Banerjee et al (1985)

26450

15+

1.62

Das & Sanyal et al (1989-90)

17526

20+

2.68

Investigator

Weighted prevalence rates

1.54

Table 9. Indices for estimation of Burden of Stroke


Prevalence rate /1000
(age 20+years)

1.54

Death rate / 1000

0.6

YLL /100,000

496.3

DALY / 100,000

597.6

12

Table 10. Burden of Stroke in India


1998

2004

No. of cases of stroke

7,92,628

9,30,985

No. of deaths

5,93,362

6,39,455

No. of YLL

48,18,740

52,89,357

No. of DALY

58,02,295

63,68,970

Figure 3. Burden of Stroke in India (2004)

0.63

No. of deaths
5.28

No. of YLL
6.36

No.of DALY
0.93

No. of cases
0

4
Millions

13

Diabetes

mellitus

has

reached

diabetes is available from some retrospective


hospital based studies. Zargar, AH et al (1999)
have reported infections as major cause of
death in diabetics followed by renal failure,
coronary artery disease,
cerebrovascular
disease and others in that order. Bhansali, A et
al (2003) have also reported infections as
number one cause of death in diabetics followed
by coronary artery disease, renal failure,
cerebrovascular disease and others in
decreasing order.

epidemic

proportions worldwide as we enter the new


millennium. The World Health Organization
(WHO) has commented there is an apparent
epidemic of diabetes which is strongly related to
lifestyle and economic change. Over the next
decade the projected number will exceed 200
million. Most will have type-2 diabetes, and all
are at risk of the development of complications.
Diabetes
causes
severe
morbidity.
Complications of diabetes can be divided into
three categories:

Observations and results


A number of prevalence surveys for diabetes
have been carried out in different parts of the
country. This investigation included community
base studies from 1990s to year 2002 which
contain information on following parameters: (a)
diagnostic criteria, (b) sampling design and
sample size, (c) age and sex wise distribution of
cases and total study sample.

V Metabolic complications of low blood


glucose levels (hypoglycaemia) and of high
blood glucose levels (hyperglycemia).
Diabetic coma is one such metabolic
complication of a particularly severe nature;
V Damage to small blood vessels (micro
vascular complications) leading in turn to
damage to the retina (retinopathy) kidney
(nephropathy) and nerves (neuropathy);
V Damage to the larger arteries leading to the
brain (leading to stroke) or to the heart
(leading to coronary heart disease) or to the
legs and feet (leading to peripheral vascular
disease)(macro vascular complications).

The studies included from urban areas are


shown in table 12. The prevalence rates of
diabetes varied from 103 per thousand to 124
per thousand in these studies. The metaanalysis was carried out to obtain pooled
estimate of prevalence rates. Similarly metaanalysis of studies carried out in rural areas was
also carried out, and it is presented in table 12.
The pooled estimates of prevalence rates for
diabetes mellitus for urban and rural areas were
found to be 118.02 per thousand and 38.67 per
thousand respectively. Thus the prevalence of
diabetes in urban areas is nearly three times
that of its prevalence in rural areas.

The UK Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS)


a
multi-centre
prospective
randomized
intervention trial where the subjects were people
with newly diagnosed Type 2 diabetes, has
found that nearly half of the people with
diabetes recruited to the trial had one or more
micro or macro vascular complication, and
shows that about a quarter already had CVD.

The overall prevalence rate of diabetes (urban +


rural) was found by combining the estimates of
urban and rural areas assigning weights
proportional to percentage of urban and rural
population in the country.
The overall
prevalence rate of diabetes in urban and rural
areas combined was estimated as 62.47 per
thousand.

Diabetes mellitus is often not recorded as cause


of death. It leads to other disease conditions,
which subsequently become the cause of death.
According to the WHO study (Murray, Lopez,
1996) there are about five times as many deaths
indirectly attributable to diabetes as directly
attributable in established market economies. In
India, information on cause of death due to

14

comparable to estimates of WHO Burden of


disease study.

Burden of disease
The input data used for DISMOD analysis of
diabetes mellitus on parameters such as age
and sex specific prevalence rates, diabetes
mortality rates, case fatality rates are given in
tables A10, A11, A12. In addition inputs were
also provided on all cause mortality rates and
age and sex wise break up of total population.
The computation of YLL and DALY are shown in
tables B16 and B17 for urban and rural areas
respectively. The summary results are
presented in table 13. It is estimated that there
are 37.77 million diabetics in India in 2004; 21.4
million in urban areas and 16.36 million in rural
areas. Diabetes accounts for 1.09 lakh deaths in
a year. Diabetes mellitus is responsible for
11.57 lakh years of life lost due to the disease,
and for 22.63 lakh DALYs during 2004 (table
12). The WHO Burden of Disease Study
estimated number of DALYs attributable to
diabetes to be 20.72 lakh in the year 2000. The
estimates of number of DALYs in the present
study (22.63 lakh during year 2004) are

Sequele of Diabetes
Diabetes is a risk factor for a number of noncommunicable diseases. Odds ratio/risk ratio
associated with diabetes as risk factor for AMI,
stroke, neuropathy, and cataract are shown in
table 13. This data was used to find population
attributable risk due to diabetes for various noncommunicable
diseases.
Estimates
of
attributable risk are presented in table 14. It is
seen that diabetes is directly responsible for 9%
of AMI cases 4% of stroke cases, 2% of
neuropathy, and 32% of cataract cases.
These figures reflect independent contribution of
diabetes
to
various
non-communicable
diseases.
Since the risk factors occur in
clusters more often rather than individually, the
contribution of diabetes in combination with
other risk factors would have more serious
dimensions.

Table 11. Meta Analysis of epidemiological studies on diabetes in India (Urban)


Investigator
Sample Size
Age group

PR/1000

URBAN
Ramachandran et al (1997)

2183

40+

116.0

Mohan et al (2000)

1262

20+

120.0

Kutty et al (2000)

3899

20+

124.0

Misra et al (2001)

532

18+

103.0

Ramachandran et al (2001)

11216

20+

121.0

Arvind et al (2002)

1175

20+

110.0

Weighted prevalence rates

118.02

RURAL
G.S. Wander et al (1994)

1100

30+

46.00

Raman Kutty et al (1993)

1130

25+

40.00

R.B.Singh et al (1997)

1769

25-64

29.00

S.Patadin et al (1994)

467

40+

49.00

Weighted prevalence rates

38.67

Prevalence rate of Diabetes in India (Urban + Rural) among adults (20 year+) = 62..47 per thousand.

15

Table 12. Burden of Diabetes in India

No. of cases

Urban
16,686,891

1998
Rural
14,370,120

Total
31,257,011

No. of deaths

51,251

44,299

95,550

62,506

46,627

109,133

No. of YLLs

529,959

484,983

1,014,942

646,351

510,471

1,156,822

No. of DALYs

1,016,866

971,890

1,988,756

1,240,195

1,022,968

2,263,163

Year

2004
Urban
Rural
Total
21,404,225 16,364,177 37,768,402

Table 13. Odds Ratio/Risk Ratio associated with Diabetes as Risk Factor
Odds Ratio/Risk Ratio

Confidence Interval

AMI

Disease

2.64

Reference

Cataract

8.55

3.63 - 20.12

Suresh et al (1998)

Neuropathy

1.4

1.20 - 6.40

Ashok et al (2002)

Stroke

1.7

1.1 - 2.6

Prem Pais et al (1996)

R. Sridharan et al (1992)

Table 14. Attributable Risk due to Diabetes


Disease

Attributable Risk

AMI

9.0

Stroke

4.0

Neuropathy

2.0

Cataract

32.0

Figure 4. Burden of Diabetes in India (2004)

0.11
No. of deaths
1.15
YLLs
2.26

DALYs

37.77

No. of cases
0

10

15

20

No. in millions

16

25

30

35

40

available in 1982. The use of the vaccine has


reduced the number of liver substantially in
areas of sub-Saharan Africa and eastern Asia
including China. A third potential vaccine under
investigation is against Heliocobactor pylori
the role of which is significant enough to justify
research for a vaccine.

Globally, the burden of new cases in 2000 was


estimated to be 10.1 million representing a 20%
incidence over the previous decade with 53%
occurring in the developing world. Similarly
56% of the estimated deaths from cancer occur
in the developing world. This is projected by the
WHO to dramatically increase to 20 million by
2020 with 70% in the developing world with
access to only 5% of the global resources.
Aging population is the single most important
factor for cancer development. Recently there
has been remarkable growth of the elderly
population throughout the world. More than half
of the worlds elderly people are in the
developing countries. In India 6.5% of the total
population is represented by older persons (60
yrs and above). In some developed countries;
15% or more of the population is aged (65 yrs or
more) with Sweden being the oldest in the
world, with elderly people comprising 18% of its
population. In India only 3.4% of the population
is 65 yrs and older but they still total 30 million.
The increase in life expectancy will also lead to
increase in number of cancer cases.

Apart from the known risk factors Human


Papilloma Virus (HPV) has now been
established as the sexually transmitted agent
responsible for initiating cancer cervix large
number of cases in the developing world.
Primary prevention by awareness, education
regarding healthy lifestyle and sexual practices
is feasible and has been proven to be effective.
There is also optimism that the number of
cervical cancer cases could ultimately be
reduced by introduction of human papilloma
virus vaccine. Several vaccines are undergoing
trials. Its cost would, however, be a crucial
factor in determining the extent of usage in
developing countries.
Despite many risk factors associated with the
development of breast cancer, barely 50% of
cases are accounted for by these known factors.
This is one site, which is not amenable to
primary prevention as none of the risk factors
are easily modifiable to prevent the disease.

Risk factors
It is evident that most common cancers are
largely preventable. Tobacco use still remains
the most important risk factor and poses the
greatest challenge. Cancer of the lung, mouth
and pharynx and, to an extent, oesophagus is
all associated with tobacco-use. The cancers of
these sites are preventable with reduction of
morbidity and mortality. Primary prevention with
implementation of tobacco control strategies is
therefore possible.

Observations and results


The estimates of burden of disease due to
cancer have been made based on data of
population based cancer registries of ICMR.
The pooled data of six population based cancer
registries Bangalore, Barshi, Bhopal, Chennai,
Delhi and Mumbai was used in estimating
indices of burden of disease. The six population
based cancer registries cover a population of 34
million, that is, 18.4 million males and 15.6
million females. The tables on incidence rates,
cancer (site specific) mortality rates, fatality
rates are given in Appendix A. Among males,

Adequate and balanced dietary practices, and


changes in preservation and storage practices
of food have prevented cancers of the stomach
and oesophagus. The role of chronic infection
with hepatitis B virus in liver is well established.
The hepatitis C virus has role in the etiology of
liver cancer. The hepatitis B vaccine, against
chronic hepatitis leading to liver cancer became

17

Projection of burden of disease due to cancer in


India for the year 2004 is given in table 19. The
total number of DALYs due to cancer in India in
the year 2004 is estimated as 58.97 lakh. This
estimate is low as compared to the estimate of
85.59 lakh DALYs reported by WHO Burden of
Disease Study (2000). This could be due to
differences in cancer mortality rates used in the
two studies.

high incidence rates were reported for tobaccorelated cancers.


According to the Report on collaborative
approach on Tobacco, National Centre for
Chronic Disease Prevention and Promotion
USA, 2004, the following cancer sites are
considered as tobacco related :
SITE

ICD-9

Lip
Tongue
Alveolus
Floor of mouth
Other mouth cancers
Oropharynx
Hypopharynx
Other pharynx
Oesophagus
Larynx
Lung
Urinary bladder

140
141
143
144
145
146
148
149
150
161
162
188

Cancer mortality
The cancer specific mortality rates as derived
from MCCD data (1998) are 32.2 per lakh for
males and 30.0 per lakh for females. These
rates compare well with the mortality rates due
to cancer reported by Mumbai Registry (35.0 per
lakh for males and 37.9 per lakh for females),
and Barshi Registry (34.4 per lakh for males and
32.2 per lakh for females). The cancer mortality
rates in Chennai Registry are higher (47.9 per
lakh for males and 42.2 per lakh for females),
while cancer mortality rates are lower than 20
per lakh for all other registries. The pooled
estimates for data of all six population based
registries are 25.19 per lakh for males and 23.52
per lakh for females.
The cancer specific
mortality rates as per Cancer Registry Data and
MCCD data are comparable to some extent in
spite of adopting quite different approaches.
The MCCD data yields cancer deaths as
percentage of total deaths to be 3.0% for males
and 3.4% for females and Survey of Cause of
Death (SCD) Rural reports cancer deaths as
percentage of total deaths as 4.3%.

Tobacco related cancers constitute 40.43 % of


all cancers in males (Table 26). Among females,
high incidence rates were reported for breast
cancer (20.01 / 100,000), cervix (14.42 /
100,000), ovary (5.6 / 100,000) which together
accounted for 59 % of all cancers in women
(Table A22).

Burden of disease
The DISMOD analysis and the estimation of
DALYs for cancer (site specific) are given in
Appendix B. A summary of burden of disease
due to cancer in India is given in table 23. The
number of cases of cancer in 2004 is expected
to be 8.2 lakh. The number of cancer cases
among males is estimated as 3.9 lakh, and
among females as 4.3 lakh.
The number of
deaths, and number of DALYs attributable to
site specific cancers and all cancers in males
and females are given in tables 17 and 18
respectively.

It is seen from the comparisons given above


that while the cancer mortality from three
different sources Cancer Registry data, MCCD
data, SCD-rural data are comparable. The
present study has used the mortality rates
obtained by pooling the data of all six population
based registries. However, If we use the cancer
mortality rates reported by Chennai Registry
(which are highest cancer mortality rates in
India), the estimates of DALYs due to cancer
will become comparable to the figures reported
by WHO Burden of disease study.

18

Table 16. Cancer mortality rates (per 100,000) in India in 1998.


Population based cancer registry

Males

Females

19

17.4

Barshi@

34.4

32.2

Bhopal

12.1

8.3

Chennai

47.9

42.2

Delhi

16.2

14.8

35

37.9

25.19

23.52

32.2 (3.0)

30.0 (3.44)

Bangalore

Mumbai
All Registries
Medical Certification of Causes of Death 1998
Survey of Causes of Death-1997

4.3% (Males and females)

@ Rural cancer registry.


Figures in parenthesis indicate cancer deaths as percentage of total deaths

Table 17. Burden of Cancers in India in 1998 (Males)


Incidence per
No. of
Cancer Site
100,000
Deaths

YLL per
100,000

DALY per
100,000

Total
DALYs

Mouth and oropharynx

12.4

16,832

37.1

97.0

471,970

Oesophagus

4.6

6,840

14.0

25.5

124,047

Stomach

3.2

7,762

14.9

24.3

118,180

Colon and rectum

3.2

5,756

13.1

19.0

92,660

Liver

3.5

5,691

12.5

15.5

75,336

Pancreas

0.6

2,407

4.9

6.8

33,404

Trachea, bronchus
And lung

15.6

12,927

26.1

27.8

135,023

Breast

0.2

52

0.1

0.1

491

Bladder cancer

1.7

2,781

4.0

8.5

41,283

Leukaemia

2.2

8,308

35.0

38.8

210,019

Prostate

3.5

4,677

5.5

11.8

57,396

Lymphomas and multiple


myeloma

3.2

7,660

22.2

28.1

136,728

1.1

725

1.5

3.8

18,615

40,105

737,280

71.00

122,523

22,52,432

Melanoma and other skin


Other cancers
Total (All cancers)

19

Table 18. Burden of Cancer in India in 1998 (Females)


Incidence per
No. of
Cancer site
100,000
deaths

YLL per
100,000

DALYs
per 100,000

Total
DALYs

Mouth and oropharynx

5.1

6,223

15.5

30.6

148,121

Oesophagus

3.4

6,178

13.4

20.7

100,278

Stomach

2.5

6,142

15.4

22.1

106,891

Colon and rectum

2.7

4,424

10.7

17.7

85,383

Liver

0.7

2,364

4.7

5.5

26,497

Pancreas

0.7

1,383

5.1

24,632

Trachea, bronchus and


lung

3.8

3,742

8.1

8.5

40,944

Breast

20.8

21,570

61.3

167.0

807,397

Cervix uteri

15.4

13,395

36

81.0

391,828

Ovary

6.9

7,592

20.5

40.5

206,191

Bladder

0.7

654

1.1

3.1

15,046

Leukaemia

0.8

6,281

27.2

28.2

143,400

Lymphomas and multiple


myeloma

2.7

5,075

14.8

19.3

93,504

1.2

618

1.7

4.5

21,527

2.5

2,814

6.7

12.0

57,803

25,240

697,362

83.16

113,696

3,141,335

Melanoma and other skin


Corpus uteri
Other cancers
Total (all cancers)

20

Table 19. Indices of Burden of Cancers in 2004


Indices

Males

Females

Population (in thousands)

550,404

515,354

No. of cases of Cancer

390,809

428,545

No. of Deaths

138,622

121,192

No. of YLLs

13,96,508

16,17,787

No. of DALYs

25,48,392

33,48,444

Table 20. Site-specific cancer burden for 2004


Site

Total DALYs

Mouth and oropharynx

Males
516448

Females
163132

Oesophagus

135737

110441

Stomach

129317

117724

Colon and rectum

101392

94036

Liver

82436

29182

Pancreas

36552

27128

Trachea, bronchus and lung

147747

45094

Melanoma and other skin

20369

23709

537

8,89,224

Prostate

62805

Bladder

45173

16571

Lymphomas and multiple myeloma

149613

1,02,980

Leukaemia

2,29,811

1,57,933

Cervix uteri

4,31,538

Corpus uteri

63661

Ovary

227088

Breast

21

Figure 5. No. of DALYs (in lakhs) due to cancer in males in India ( 2004)
Leukaemia

2.29

Lymphomas & multiple myeloma

1.49

Bladder

0.45

Cancer Sites

Prostate

0.62

Melanoma & Other skin

0.2

Trachea, bronchus & lung

1.47

Pancreas

0.36

Liver

0.82

Colon & Rectum

1.01

Stomach

1.29

Oesophagus

1.35

Mouth and Oropharynx

5.16

Figure 6. No. of DALYs (in lakhs) due to cancer in females in India (2004)

Ovary

2.27

Corpus uteri

0.64

Cervix uteri

4.31

Leukaemia

1.57

Lymphomas & multiple myeloma

1.02

Cancer Sites

Bladder

0.16

Breast

8.89

Melanoma & Other skin

2.15

Trachea, bronchus & lung

0.27

Pancreas

0.27

Liver

0.29

Colon & Rectum

0.94

Stomach

1.17

Oesophagus

1.1

Mouth and Oropharynx

1.63

22

10

Table 21. DALYs attributed to Cancer (site-wise) according to WHO Burden of Disease Study
(2000) and present study (2004)
WHO-BOD study,2000
No. of DALYs
1,095,190

Present study 2004


No. of DALYs
679580

Oesophagus

596,593

246178

Stomach

376,571

247041

Colon and rectum

303,024

195428

Liver

330,692

111618

Pancreas

111,317

63680

1,102,419

192841

Melanoma and other skin

22,084

44078

Breast

646,034

889761

Cervix uteri

933,489

431538

Corpus uteri

22,401

63661

Ovary

170,861

227088

Prostate

165,280

62805

Bladder

242,094

61744

1,012,055

252593

Leukaemia

679,205

387744

Other malignant neoplasms

614,183

Other neoplasms

235,178

Cancer Site
Mouth and oropharynx

Trachea, bronchus and lung

Lymphomas and multiple myeloma

Total (all cancers)

8,658,669

23

There

Burden of disease

is no natural dividing line between high

and normal blood pressure as it is a continuous


variable.
The definition of hypertension,
therefore using any specific cut off point is
arbitrary. There have been multiple proposed
cut off points for the definition of high blood
pressure. WHO in its Expert Committee report
(1978) has arbitrarily defined hypertension in
adults as a systolic pressure equal to or greater
than 160 mm Hg/or a diastolic pressure equal to
or greater than 95 mm. According to the JNC-V
criteria (Joint National Committee V), Systolic
> 140 mm Hg or a diastolic pressure equal to or
greater than 90 mm Hg is taken as the
diagnostic criteria of Hypertension.

A number of studies have been conducted on


prevalence of hypertension in India. These
studies have been carried out in different
geographic areas and in urban as well as rural
area populations. Recent Indian studies have
used the criterion for hypertension as systolic
BP > 140 mm Hg and / or diastolic BP > 90 mm
Hg. The present assessment of burden of
disease includes only those studies of
hypertension, which have been carried out
between 1995 and 2002 and are based on
adequate sample size and sound methodology.
The meta analysis of eight studies carried out in
urban areas gives a pooled prevalence rate of
164.18 per thousand (Table 22). The inverse
variance method was used to obtain the pooled
estimate of prevalence rate.
It involved
calculating weighted average of the prevalence
rates of individual studies. The larger studies,
which have smaller standard errors, are given
more weight than smaller studies, which have
larger standard errors. This choice of weight
minimizes the variability of the pooled estimate
of prevalence rate. Similarly, the weighted
average of prevalence rates of individual studies
carried out in rural areas yielded a pooled
prevalence rate of 157.44 per thousand (Table 22).

Although hypertension is commonly diagnosed


in terms of diastolic blood pressure elevation
and categorical cut off points, epidemiological
data (Kannel WB, 2000) show a more important
influence of diastolic blood pressure and a
continuous, graded influence of blood pressure
even within what is regarded as the
normotensive range. An important revelation in
epidemiological hypertension research is that
hypertension usually occurs in conjunction with
other metabolically linked risk factors.
The other risk factors that tend to accompany
hypertension include glucose intolerance,
obesity, left ventricular hypertrophy and
dyslipidemia (elevated total LDL and small
dense LDL cholesterol level, raised triglyceride,
and reduced HDL cholesterol levels). Clusters
of three or more of these additional risk factors
occur at four times the rate expected by chance.
This clustering is attributed to an insulin
resistance syndrome promoted by abdominal
obesity. Therefore hypertensive patients can
more appropriately be targeted for therapy for
risk factor clusters rather hypertension alone. It
needs to be emphasized that the risks of
cardiovascular disorders are proportional to the
levels of BP for any age or either sex.

As about 70% of population lives in rural areas


and 30% in urban areas in India, the pooled
estimate for the country was derived by
combining rural and urban estimates assigning
weights in that proportion. The pooled estimate
of prevalence rate of hypertension in India
(urban + rural) among adults (20 year +) was
found by combining the prevalence rates of
urban and rural areas, assigning weight of 0.3
for the urban area and 0.7 for the rural area.
This yielded the pooled estimate of prevalence
rate as 159.46 per thousand.
A review was undertaken of the studies that
have reported risk ratios associated with
hypertension for various non-communicable
diseases. The data on odds ratio/risk ratio

24

found that 16% of ischaemic heart disease in


the country is attributable of hypertension. 21%
of peripheral vascular diseases and 24% of AMI
cases could be attributed of elevated
hypertension. The population attributable risk
due to hypertension was found to be 29% for
stroke.

associated
with
hypertension
for
noncommunicable diseases, namely ischaemic
heart disease, peripheral vascular disease, AMI,
Stroke, and cataract are shown in table 23 along
with confidence interval for the odds ratio.
The population attributable risk for the above
mentioned non-communicable diseases were
calculated using the following formula
Attributable risk = p ( RR 1 )

The risk factor hypertension also accounted for


18% of cataract cases in the country. Thus, it is
seen that hypertension is an important risk
factor accounting for a sizeable proportion of
non-communicable diseases.
The data
presented here reflects only the independent
risk due to hypertension. As hypertension is
usually accompanied by other risk factors, the
total contribution of hypertension in combination
with other risk factors would assume more
serious dimensions.

1 + p ( RR 1 )

where p denotes the prevalence rate of


hypertension in the population, and RR denotes
Relative Risk associated with hypertension for
the particular disease. The population
attributable risk associated with hypertension for
non-communicable diseases, namely ischaemic
heart disease, peripheral vascular disease, AMI,
stroke and cataract are given in table 24. It was

Table-22. Meta Analysis of epidemiological studies on hypertension


Investigator
Sample Size
Age group
URBAN
Gupta R et al (1995)
2212
20-80

PR/1000
109.09

Chadha SL et al (1998)

13134

25-69

115.9

Thakur K et al (1999)

1727

30-80

131.1

Ahlawat SK et al (2002)

937

35+

449.0

Misra A et al (2001)

532

18+

116.0

Mohan V et al (2001)

1175

20-75

140.0

Swami HM et al (2002)

362

65+

580.0

Beegom R et al (1995)

1497

25-64

184.0

Weighted prevalence rate

164.2

RURAL
Reddy NK et al (2002)

3307

20+

280.00

Gupta R et al (1995)

1982

20+

273.00

Chadha SL et al (1998)

1732

25-69

35.80

Weighted prevalence rate

157.44

Prevalence rate of hypertension in India (Urban + Rural) among adults (20 year+) = 159.46 per thousand

25

Table 23. Odds Ratio/Risk Ratio associated with Hypertension as risk factor
NCDs
Odds Ratio/Risk Ratio
Confidence Interval
Reference
IHD
2.47 (Male)
0.94 - 6.55
Rajiv Gupta et al (1997)
0.85 (Female)
0.21 - 1.75
IHD

2.19 (Male)

1.40 - 3.41

3.35 (Female)

2.07 - 5.43

Rajiv Gupta et al (1995)

Cataract

2.38

1.33 - 4.26

PVD*

2.7

0.9 - 7.3

Premlatha et al (2000)

AMI

2.99

1.32 - 6.75

Prem Pais et al (1996)

Stroke

3.6

3.2 - 4.0

Banerjee et al (2000)

Stroke
3.95
(*) : Peripheral Vascular Disease

2.5 - 6.2

R. Sridharan et al (1992)

Table-24. Attributable Risk due to hypertension


NCDs
IHD

Suresh et al (1998)

% Attributable Risk
16.0

Cataract

18.0

PVD

21.0

AMI

24.0

Stroke

29.0

Figure 7. Percentage risk attributable due to hypertension

I.H.D.

16

Cataract

18

21

P.V.D.

24

A.M.I.

29

Stroke
0

20

40

60

26

80

100

Tobacco

use

of

has

been

causes release of catecholamines making the


myocardium more irritable. Because of these
effects, smoking precipitates coronary attacks
and sudden deaths, particularly in those with
other risk factors.

considered

controversial for long although scientific


evidence regarding its health hazards started
building since 1950s. Five case control studies
reported in 1950, compared the smoking habits
of controls with cases of cancers of lung, mouth,
pharynx or larynx, and concluded smoking to be
an associated factor. Subsequent prospective
studies showed strong association between
smoking and deaths from cancers of various
sites, respiratory diseases, and vascular
diseases, particularly heart attacks. The official
report specifying the dangers of smoking was
first published by Royal College of Physicians in
1962 (RCP, 1962), followed by United States
Surgeon General in 1964 (USDHHS, 1964).

Prevalence of tobacco use


Community based studies of tobacco use have
been carried out in several parts of the country.
A house-to-house survey carried out on 40%
systematic sample in 73 villages collected data
on 29,713 individuals in Goa (Vaidya S.G. et al,
1996). The results showed that 33% of men
and 20% of women used tobacco. Another
large community-based survey was conducted
in the city of Mumbai (Gupta P.C. 1996) in which
99,598 individuals were interviewed. Among
men, 69.3 reported current tobacco use and
23.6% were smokers.
Among women,
prevalence of tobacco use was high (57.5%) but
almost solely in the smokeless form.

Subsequently,
thousands
of
scientific
investigations have confirmed the association of
smoking with various diseases, and have
provided
additional
evidence
implicating
cigarette smoking as a cause of coronary artery
disease, stroke, obstructive airway disease,
peripheral
vascular
disease,
pregnancy
complications including intra-uterine growth
retardation and a variety of neoplasms including
cancers of oral cavity, larynx, oesophagus,
urinary bladder, kidney, stomach, pancreas and cervix.

A prevalence survey of tobacco use in


Karnataka and Uttar Pradesh in India (Chaudhry
K.C., 2001) carried out on study sample of
30,000 persons aged over 10 years in each of
the two states, found an overall prevalence of
ever use of any kind of tobacco as 29.6% in
Karnataka and 34.6% in Uttar Pradesh. The
prevalence of ever use of tobacco in Karnataka
was 34.9% among urban men, 8.9% among
urban women; 44.7% among rural men and
16.7% among rural women. The prevalence of
ever use of tobacco in Uttar Pradesh was 45.4%
among urban men, 8.2% among urban women;
51.2% among rural men and 9.3% among rural
women. The difference between ever use and
current use was small suggesting that tobacco
use once initiated, is continued and quitting of
tobacco use is infrequent. Tobacco use in
smokeless form was predominant in persons
aged below 30 years while smoking was the
predominant form of tobacco use among
persons aged over 30 years. A number of
studies on tobacco use have been carried out

Review of the health hazards of exposure to


environmental tobacco smoke shows that it
damages the respiratory tract of adults,
adversely affects the cardiovascular system and
results in lung cancer (Wiebel, 1997). Children
of smokers have an increased frequency of
respiratory and middle ear infections and are at
risk of impaired lung function. Passive smoking
by asthmatic children increases the frequency &
severity of asthmatic episodes.
In adult
asthmatics, passive smoking results in an
increased likelihood of wheezing, bronchitis
symptoms and physician diagnosed asthma.
Cigarette smoking is an important risk factor for
CAD as it lowers HDL cholesterol, raises
fibrinogen, aggregates platelets, decreases the
oxygen carrying capacity of the blood and

27

groups. Data on tobacco use that can be


considered as representative of tobacco habit in
the country is available from nation wide survey
carried out by National Sample Survey
Organization 50th round NSSO survey.

among youth in rural and urban areas of the


country.
Rural areas: A pilot survey of children and
youth of low socio economic background in two
rural and semi-urban areas of Tamil Nadu and
Karnataka (Krishnamurthy S et al 1997) showed
that 9.5% of boys between 10 and 20 years of
age chewed tobacco, and 8% smoked. In
village community in Khera District in Gujarat
(Mukherjee S, 1999) tobacco use was reported
in 69% of males and 30% of females. The
males were usually in the habit of either
smoking bidi or chewing gutka. Among females,
the most frequent form of tobacco use were
gutka and tobacco tooth paste. A study in
coastal village of Kerala (George A et al, 1994)
showed prevalence of pan/tobacco chewing as
29%, smoking of cigeratte and bidi was 2%. A
survey in rural area of Mizorum (Chaturvedi H.K.
et al, 1998) showed that tobacco use was high
both among males (56.6%) and females
(45.7%). Smoking was predominant among
males and chewing was the main form of
tobacco use among females.

Disease burden attributable to tobacco use


The data from NSSO Survey has been used for
prevalence rates of tobacco use in present
investigation. The prevalence rates of tobacco
use among persons aged 25 + years are
presented in table 25.
As the present
investigation is about non-communicable
diseases, it was considered relevant to consider
prevalence rates of tobacco use in persons
aged 25 years and over. Table 30 shows
prevalence rates of tobacco use in urban areas
as 43% among males and 7% among females.
In rural areas the prevalence rates for tobacco
use are 64.4% among males and 15.5% among
females.
The overall prevalence rates of
tobacco use in the country (rural + urban) are
35.5%. Table 26 presents the distribution of
tobacco use by form of tobacco consumption.
The Cancer Registry data shows (table 28) that
tobacco related cancers constitute 36.5% of all
cancers among males in Bangalore Cancer
Registry. The percentage of tobacco related
cancers among males was found to be 52.7% in
Bhopal Cancer Registry, 43.7% in Chennai
Cancer Registry, 37.5% in Delhi Cancer
Registry, 42.5% in Mumbai Cancer Registry and
35.8% in Barshi Cancer Registry. Among
females, the tobacco related cancers constituted
10 to 16% of all cancers in various population
based cancer registries (table 28).

Urban Areas: A survey among high school


students in Patna (Sinha D.N. et al, 1999) found
tobacco use among 46% of students.
Smokeless tobacco was used by about half of
them. Of these, half preferred pan masala and
the rest of them used khaini. A survey in high
school children in Kolkatta (Sen U, 1999) found
tobacco use in 18.2% boys. Cigarette smoking
was the preferred method of tobacco use.
Among girls, 4.06% used tobacco and were
more likely to be chewers than smokers. A
study in Goa (Vaidya S.G. et al, 1992) school
children found tobacco use in 13% boys and
10% of girls. Tobacco use rates between 20-80
% have been found in medical students in a
study carried out in Mumbai (Mehta H.C. et al,
1998).

A review of studies on tobacco use and cancer


shows that tobacco users have a risk ratio of 4.8
for cancer oesophagus, 5.6 for oral cancer, and
15.7 for lung cancer (table 29). The population
attributable risk associated with tobacco use for
cancer is presented in table 30. It is seen from
the table that 84% of lung cancer cases, 62% of
oral cancer, and 57% cases of cancer of
oesophagus are attributable to tobacco use.
Risk ratio associated with tobacco use for other
non-communicable diseases are presented in
table 31, and population attributable risk in table 27.

A comprehensive review and database on


tobacco control research in India (Gupta PC,
Ray CS, 2003) is available at website
www.actindia.org. It is seen that there is a wide
variation in prevalence of tobacco use as well as
modes of tobacco use in different population

28

mortality related to tobacco use is presented in


table 27. It is seen from the table that mortality
among tobacco users is about 40% to 100% higher
as compared to non - users.

These tables show that 15% of IHD cases, 48%


of AMI, 22% of stroke cases, 36% of cataract
cases, and 34% of cases of tuberculosis are
attributable to use of tobacco. All cause excess

Table 25. Tobacco users in India among persons aged above 25 years according to 50th round of NSSO Survey
Urban
Males
Females
Age group
Population

Rate/1000

No. of users

Population

Rate/1000

No. of users

25-44

42784352

407

17413231

38811876

45

1746534

45-59

17170036

509

8739548

14602488

114

1664684

60+

8725756

395

3446674

9094532

130

1182289

All ages

68680144

430.97

29599453

62508896

73.48

4593507

Rural
Age group

Males

Females

Population

Rate/1000

No. of users

Population

Rate/1000

No. of users

25-44

93377896

613

57240650

96892018

122

11820826

45-59

36336235

723

26271098

36682477

204

7483225

60+

22623951

650

14705568

25119055

212

5325240

155.20

24629291

All ages 152338082

644.73

98217316
158693550
Urban+ Rural

Males

All ages

Females

Population

Rate/1000

No. of users

Population

Rate/1000

No. of users

221018226

578.3

127816769

221203246

132.2

29222798

Overall Rate / 1000 in age range (25+ years): 355 or 35.5%.

29

Table 26. Number of persons reporting consumption of tobacco in various forms per 1000 persons by sex and age group ( NSSO 50th round 1993-94)
Age group
Form of tobacco
consumption

10-14
Male

15-24

Female

Male

25-44

Female

Male

45-59

60+

all ages

Female

Male

Female

Male

Female

Male

Female

Rural
Smoking
Chewing zarda,
dokta etc.
Snuff

30

Burnt tobacco
powder/paste
Consumption of
tobacco in any form

120

434

25

498

46

398

48

293

23

66

16

205

59

259

103

264

107

151

53

12

16

13

19

18

20

44

39

60

55

68

52

35

33

13

191

46

613

122

723

204

650

212

430

109

Urban
Smoking
Chewing zarda,
dokta etc.
Snuff
Burnt tobacco
powder/paste
Consumption of
tobacco in any form

55

305

381

18

266

18

202

66

31

114

26

141

66

133

72

80

26

14

19

19

14

28

29

25

28

15

13

87

12

407

45

509

114

395

130

277

47

Table 27. All cause mortality related to tobacco


Odds Ratio
Cigarettes
Bidi
1.39
1.78

Authors
Gender
Males

Gupta PC,Mehta HC et al (2000)

Females
Gupta PC et al (1988)

Gajalakshmi et al (2000)

Chewing
1.35

Tobacco Use
Males

1.4-1.9

Females

1.3-1.5

Tobacco/ Smoking
Males

2.1

Table 28. Proportion (%) of tobacco related cancers relative to all sites
Cancer
Registry

Tobacco related cancer


cases
Males
Females

Total cancer cases


Males

Females

Tobacco related cancer as


% of all cancers
Males
Females

Bangalore

567

290

1553

1781

36.51

16.28

Mumbai

1885

650

4440

4245

42.45

15.31

Chennai

807

321

1847

2036

43.69

15.77

Bhopal

232

56

440

383

52.73

14.62

Delhi

1742

454

4650

4435

37.46

10.24

Barshi

39

15

109

108

35.78

13.89

Total

5272

1786

13039

12988

40.43

13.75

Table 29. Odds Ratio/Risk Ratio associated with tobacco use for cancer
Cancer Site
Lung Cancer

Odds Ratio/Risk Ratio

Reference

15.7

Sankarnarayanan et al (1994)

Oral Cancer

5.6

Chakrabarti et al (1991)

Oesophagus Cancer

4.8

Nand Kumar et al (1996)

31

Table 30. Attributable Risk due to tobacco use in cancer


Cancer Site

Attributable Risk

Lung Cancer

0.84

Oral Cancer

0.62

Oesophagus Cancer

0.57

Table 31. Odds Ratio / Risk Ratio associated with tobacco use as risk factor for other diseases.
Odds Ratio/Risk
Disease
Confidence Interval
Reference
Ratio
IHD
1.49
1.02 - 2.19
Rajiv Gupta et al (1995)
Cataract

2.58

1.48 - 4.52

Suresh et al (1998)

AMI

3.6

2.20 - 6.03

Prem Pais et al (1996)

Stroke

1.8

1.1 - 2.8

R. Sridharan et al (1992)

Tuberculosis

2.48

1.42-4.37

Kalappan C. et al (2002)

Figure 8. Percentage Risk attributable due to tobacco use


Stroke

22

Tuberculosis

34.4

Cataract

35.9
14.8

I.H.D.
A.M.I.

48

Oesophagus cancer

57
62

Oral cancer
84

Lung cancer
0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Table-32. Attributable Risk due to tobacco Use in other diseases


Disease

Attributable Risk

IHD

0.148

AMI

0.480

Stroke

0.221

Cataract

0.359

Tuberculosis

0.344

32

80

90

100

years lived with a disability (YLDs) compared


with 1.4% of all deaths attributed to these
disorders. Alcohol use was the leading cause of
male disability in developed regions, and the 4th
largest cause in men in developing regions.
The studies of burden of disease are important
in several ways. GBD studies are able to
dissociate epidemiology from advocacy so as to
produce objective, independent measurements.
Second, it provides useful standards of
measurement
for
calculating
non-fatal
outcomes, the contribution of risk factors, and
the cost effectiveness of interventions.

The disease modeling and metrics developed in


the Global Burden of Disease Study in 1990 is a
landmark in the development and analysis of
summary measures of population health. In
general, statistics on health status of population
suffer from several limitations that reduce their
practical value for policy makers. First, they are
partial and fragmented. Even the most basic
data the number of deaths from particular
causes each year, are generally not available in
developing countries. Even where mortality
data are available, they fail to capture the
impact of non-fatal outcomes of diseases on
population health.
Second, estimates of
numbers killed or affected by particular
conditions or diseases may be exaggerated
beyond their demographically plausible limits by
investigators who also often act as advocates
for affected populations in competition for
scarce resources.
Third, traditional health
statistics do not allow policy makers to compare
relative
cost
effectiveness
of
different
interventions. The Global Burden of Disease
Study has developed a new system to assess
fatal and non-fatal health outcomes the
disease adjusted life year (DALY) making it
possible to estimate the burden of diseases.
The DALY measures the gap between the
actual health of a population and a hypothetic
norm; namely (a) a life expectancy of 82.5 years
for women and 80 years for men (which is the
life expectancy in Japan). DALYs for a disease
or health condition is a combined measure of
the years of life lost due to premature mortality
in the population and the years of life lost due to
disability. The findings of WHO-GBD study
have demonstrated clearly that disability placed
a central role in determining the overall health
status of a population. This had been almost
invisible to public health earlier. The leading
causes of disability are shown to be
substantially different from the leading causes of
death.
For example, psychiatric and
neurological conditions accounted for 28% of all

The present study makes an assessment of


burden of selected NCDs and risk factors in
India, namely IHD, stroke, diabetes mellitus,
cancer, hypertension, and tobacco use. It may
be noted that the assessment of burden of a
particular disease is not dependent on the
estimates of burden of another disease. The
estimates of burden of disease from the present
study compare well with the estimates made by
the WHO-GBD study as seen from table 33.
The total number of DALYs due to IHD was
estimated as 140.64 lakh for India by the WHO
Burden of Disease Study for the year 2000. The
present investigation has estimated a total
number of DALYs due to IHD in India as 143
lakh for the year 1998 and 160 lakh for the year
2004.
The total number of DALYs due to stroke was
estimated as 60 lakh for the year 2000 by WHO
Burden of Disease Study.
The present
investigation has estimated the total number of
DALYs due to stroke in India as 58.4 lakh for
the year 1998 and 63.7 lakh for the year 2004.
Similarly, the WHO Burden of Disease Study
estimated number of DALYs attributable to
diabetes as 20.72 lakh for the year 2000 while
the estimates of number of DALYs in the
present study are 22.63 lakh for the year 2004.

33

Table-33. WHO estimates / projections of Burden of disease (DALYs in lakhs) for India for year
2000 and from present study for the year 2004.
Present Study
Year
2000
2000
1998
2004
Based on World Bank -

Based on WHO Burden of

WHO Study 1990

disease Study 2000

I.H.D

132.23

140.64

143.19

160.00

Stroke

52.23

60.0

58.02

63.68

Diabetes

21.13

20.

19.88

22.63

Cancer

95.50

86.58

53.93

58.96

contributed 65-69% of total DALYs. In Sub


Saharan Africa, more than 75% of DALYs was
contributed by YLLs. Therefore, the estimation
of burden of disease is highly dependent on
estimates of diseases specific mortality rates.

The estimates of total number of DALYs


attributable to cancer in the present
investigation are 58.96 lakh for 2004, which are
lower than the estimates made by WHO-GBD
study (86.58 lakh for the year 2000). This may
be due to the lower cancer mortality rates used
in the present investigation. The present study
has used the cancer mortality rates obtained by
pooling the data of six population based cancer
registries. The cancer mortality rates among six
population based cancer registry varies widely,
the highest being for Chennai Registry (47.0 per
hundred thousand for males and 42.2 per
hundred thousand for females). The cancer
mortality rates for Chennai had improved
considerably after the registry made special
efforts to improve coverage through home visits
of all registered cases. This was undertaken as
an additional effort through a project. Other
cancer registries have made no special efforts
of making home visits to ensure complete
coverage. Therefore figures of cancer mortality
as presented by these registries may be under
estimate of the true cancer mortality rates.

The estimates of burden of disease for IHD,


stroke, and diabetes from the present study
compared well with the estimates of WHO-GBD
study in spite of several variations in
methodology. For example, the GBD 2000
study has developed a model for ischaemic
heart disease based on available population
data on the incidence and case fatality rates for
acute myocardial infarction and on the
prevalence and case fatality of angina pectoris
(Mathers C.D. et al, 2003). Sub-regional age
and sex specific ratios of angina prevalence to
IHD mortality were used together with country
specific mortality to estimate angina prevalence
for each member state. On the other hand, the
present study has used prevalence rates and
case fatality rates of IHD from data available in
the country, and estimates of IHD specific
mortality rates were made from MCCD data.
Even then, estimates of DALYs attributable to
IHD from the present investigation are
comparable with GBD 2000 study.
This
demonstrates the robustness of the disease
model developed for Burden of Disease studies.

Premature mortality is a major contributor to


disease burden. According to estimates of
World Bank WHO Study on Global Burden of
Disease (Murray and Lopez, 1976) the YLL
component of DALYs is about 50% in
established market economies where the
epidemic transition had already taken place. In
former socialist economies, China, Latin
America and Caribbean countries, 57-58% of
disease burden was due to premature mortality.
In India, Middle Eastern Crescent, YLL

The disease model based on relationships


between different epidemiological parameters is
quite robust, and not affected by variations in
methodology for estimation of input parameters,
provided these are based on acceptable data evidence.

34

future cover all government hospitals, private


hospitals, nursing homes, private medical
practitioners etc. in all the urban and rural areas
of the states in the MCCD scheme, (b) the
Sample Registration System will henceforth
collect data on cause of death also from rural as
well as urban areas, (c) projects in different
parts of the country have been initiated to collect
data on cause of death through verbal autopsy
after developing standardized methodology for
the same. It is expected that more reliable data
on cause of death will become available in India
in near future and this will help in further
improvements in estimates of burden of disease
due to non-communicable diseases.

The GBD-2000 study has developed a model for


stroke based on available population data on
case fatality (CF) within 28 days for incident
cases of first ever stroke and on long term
survival in cases surviving this initial period. A
consistent relationship between incidence,
prevalence and mortality was established using
data from the USA and the resulting age and
sex specific 28 day and survivor CFs were used
as the basis for sub-regional CFs for adjustment
for the observed relationship between GDP and
overall 28 day CF in published studies from
various countries (Mathers C.D.et al 2003). The
present investigation has used data available in
India on prevalence rates, case fatality, disease
specific mortality along with all cause mortality
rates and age-sex wise population distribution.
It is found that the estimates of total number of
DALYs attributable to stroke from the present
investigation are very well comparable with the
estimates found by GBD-2000 study in spite of
wide variations in approach the present study
used data available in the country, and
the
GBD 2000 study used data derived from models
based on inter-relationships among various
epidemiologic and demographic variables.

The estimates of risk of various NCDs


attributable to hypertension and tobacco use
have been made in the present study based on
published data from community-based surveys
and hospital-based studies. Research for
understanding the contribution of risk factors is
also important and should help efforts for
reducing avoidable burden of diseases.
Surveillance
of
risk
factors
of
noncommunicable diseases in India has now been
planned on countrywide level. This will provide
more authentic estimates of risk factors for
NCDs enabling further improvement in the
estimates of burden of diseases due to NCD risk
factors.

The above comparison establishes validity of


the findings. When similar results are obtained
using alternate approaches / methods, it
indicates validity of the results through
methodological triangulation. The assessment of
DALYs and other indices of BOD presented in
the report are consistent and reliable. These
assessment and projection of burden of disease
should prove useful for informed policy planning.
In India, a number of efforts are under way to
improve cause of death statistics, for example
(a) the Office of Registrar General of India will in

35

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43

Table-A1. Mortality data for general population (Males)


Age-group

Population of India (1998) in


thousands *

Age specific mortality rate


(1997)**

No. of
deaths(1998)

0-4

58,198

21.8

12,68,716

5-9

63,909

1.8

1,15,036

10-14

61,421

1.1

67,563

15-19

52,022

1.4

72,831

20-24

43,877

2.2

96,529

25-29

39,340

2.6

102,284

30-34

35,400

3.4

120,360

35-39

31,535

3.9

122,987

40-44

27,192

6.0

163,152

45-49

22,842

9.0

205,578

50-54

18,850

14.2

267,670

55-59

14,753

19.7

290,634

60-64

11,864

32.3

379,648

65-69

8,978

46.3

415,681

70+

12,822

89.7

11,50,133

All ages

503,002

9.2

46,27,618

(*) Population Projections for India and States 1996. Registrar General of India, New Delhi, 1996.
(**) Compendium of Indias Fertility and Mortality Indicators 1971-1997 based on Sample
Registration System. Registrar General of India, New Delhi, 1999.

44

Table-A2. Mortality data for general population (Females)


Age-group

Population of India
(1998) in thousands

Age specific mortality


rate (1997)

No. of deaths

0-4

55,750

24.5

13,65,875

5-9

60,583

2.4

1,45,399

10-14

55,686

1.2

66,823

15-19

45,869

2.1

96,325

20-24

40,994

2.8

114,783

25-29

39,371

2.7

106,302

30-34

34,865

2.8

97,622

35-39

29,094

2.9

84,373

40-44

24,054

4.0

96,232

45-49

20,100

5.8

116,580

50-54

16,555

10.2

168,861

55-59

13,279

14.1

187,234

60-64

11,160

22.1

246,636

65-69

8,571

34.4

294,842

70+

11,996

77.6

930,890

All ages

467,931

8.6

40,24,207

45

Table-A3. Number of hospitals covered in MCCD scheme in 1998


Existing Allopathic Hospitals
Covered
States/UTs
As on Rural
Urban
Total
Rural
Urban
Andhra
Pradesh
Arunachal
Pradesh

Reported
Total

Rural

Urban

Total

1.1.98

1060

2073

3133

1652

1652

314

314

1.1.98

251

11

262

251

11

262

251

11

262

Goa

1.1.98

49

87

136

49

87

136

49

87

136

Gujarat

1.1.95

179

2349

2528

Harayana

1.1.98

72

80

56

56

50

50

Himachal
Pradesh

1.1.98

20

43

63

Karnataka

1.1.98

25

268

293

367

369 @

367

367

Kerala

1.1.98

2027

80

2107

162

162 #

162

162

Madhya
Pradesh

1.1.92

245

118

363

202

187

389

133

132

265

Maharashtra

1.1.93

469

2646

3115

469

2646

3115

308

97

405

Manipur

1.1.98

12

17

12

17

12

17

Meghalaya

1.1.98

Nagaland

1.1.98

21

13

34

21

13

34

21

13

34

Orissa

1.1.98

100

173

273

71

73

70

72

Punjab

1.1.98

75

145

220

73

135

208

73

135

208

Rajasthan

1.1.98

16

237

253

16

237

253

16

237

253

Sikkim

1.1.98

Tamil Nadu

1.1.90

89

319

408

76

258

334

76

258

334

Tripura

1.1.98

14

15

29

12

16

12

16

A&N
Islands

1.1.98

10

Delhi

1.1.98

39

293

332

17

140

157

17

140

157

Lakshdweep

1.1.98

Pondicherry

1.1.98

28

29

19

22

19

22

4708

8989

13697

1199

6078

7277

967

2129

3096

Total
-

Rural hospitals are not covered

Includes 207 private hospitals

46

Table A4. I.H.D. specific death rates (Males) in India in 1998


MCCD Data

Population Estimates

Total
Deaths

IHD
Deaths

IHD deaths
as
percentage
of total
deaths

58,198

46,592

156

0.335

12,68,716

4,250

0.073

5-14

125,330

10,518

103

0.979

1,82,599

1,788

0.014

15-24

95,899

18,928

236

1.247

1,69,360

2,112

0.022

25-34

74,740

30,311

942

3.108

2,22,644

6,920

0.092

35-44

58,727

38,311

2,919

7.619

2,86,139

21,801

0.371

45-54

41,692

41,789

5,132

12.281

4,73,248

58,119

1.394

55-64

26,617

45,280

7,076

15.627

6,70,282

1,04,745

3.935

65-69

8,978

22,045

3,607

16.362

4,15,681

68,014

7.576

70+

12,822

49,168

8,504

17.296

11,50,133

1,98,927

15.515

All
ages

5,03,002

3,02,942

28,775

9.498

46,27,618

4,39,531

0.874

Agegroup

(Population
in
thousands)

0-4

Total
deaths

IHD
deaths

IHD
specific
death
rate/1000

Table A5. I.H.D. specific death rates (Females) in India in 1998


MCCD Data
Agegroup

(Population
in
thousands)

0-4

Population Estimates

Total
Deaths

IHD
Deaths

IHD deaths
as
percentage
of total
deaths

58,198

31,203

80

0.256

13,65,875

3,497

0.060

5-14

125,330

8,055

59

0.732

2,12,222

1,553

0.012

15-24

95,899

18,978

151

0.796

2,11,108

1,680

0.018

25-34

74,740

21,548

339

1.573

2,03,924

3,208

0.043

35-44

58,727

16,747

810

4.837

1,80,605

8,736

0.149

45-54

41,692

17,040

1,564

9.178

2,85,441

26,198

0.628

55-64

26,617

20,957

2,938

14.019

4,33,870

60,824

2.285

65-69

8,978

12,466

1,879

15.073

2,94,842

44,441

4.950

70+

12,822

35,694

5,942

16.647

9,30,890

154,965

12.086

All
ages

5,03,002

1,82,688

13,762

7.533

40,24,207

303,144

0.603

47

Total
deaths

IHD
deaths

IHD
specific
death
rate/1000

Table A6. Case Fatality of I.H.D. in India


Investigator

Year

J.A.Antani
V.Krishna swami

1970

D.V.Mulay

1985

H.T.Mukhtar

1995

Place

Sample
Size

Time Duration

Case
Fatality
Rate

Karnataka

1777

3 year follow up

9.57/1000

Madras

170

12.35%

63
Birmingham

Acute MI

102

17.46%
9.8%

The Case fatality rates of I.H.D. in India have been reported in the range of 9.5% to 17 %.
This information was used to assume the case fatality rate of I.H.D. in India as follows.
Age in years

Case fatality rate (%)

0-19

1.0

20-29

9.5

30-39

11.0

40-49

13.0

50-59

15.0

60+

17.0

Table A7. Mortality due to Stroke


Population of India (1998)

No. of Stroke Deaths

Male

503,002,000

366,350

Female

467,931,000

340,392

Stroke mortality rate in India = 73/100,000*


(*) Bharucha and Kuruvilla T ( 1999). Epidemiology of Stroke, NIMHANS Journal, Vol.17, No.4, 401-405.

48

Table A8. Stroke specific death rates in India in 1998


Male

Age group

MCCD Data on agewise percentage of


deaths

Female

Stroke Deaths in India in1998 (Projected)

No. (Mortality)

Rate/Lac

MCCD Data on agewise percentage of


deaths

Stroke Deaths in India in1998 (Projected)

No. (Mortality)

Rate/Lac

0.00

0/ 14,262,000

0.00

0.00

0 / 13,911,000

0.00

1-4

0.00

0 / 42,780,000

0.00

0.00

0 / 40,194,000

0.00

5-14

0.00

0 / 125,330,000

0.00

0.00

0 / 116,269,000

0.00

15-24

0.00

0 / 95,899,000

0.00

0.00

0 / 86,863,000

0.00

25-34

0.00

0 / 74,740,000

0.00

19.81

67,432 / 74,236,000

90.83

35-44

21.37

78,289 / 58,727,000

133.31

17.93

61,033 / 53,152,000

114.82

45-54

20.19

73,968 / 41,692,000

177.41

14.05

47,826 / 36,655,000

130.47

55-64

23.51

86,129 / 26,617,000

323.58

16.26

55,348 / 24,439,000

226.47

65-69

10.86

39,786 / 8,978,000

443.14

9.24

31,452 / 8,571,000

366.96

70+

24.05

88,108 / 12,822,000

687.16

22.65

77,099 / 11,996,000

642.70

49

<1

Total

366,350 / 503,002,000

340,392 / 467,931,000

1. A study in Kerala (Dinesh Nayak, 1997, National Medical J. India) on outcome of Ischaemic Stroke
in Young Adults showed that out of 101 cases of stroke followed up for 7 months, 1 died.
Therefore
case fatality : 1% in young adults.
2. A communication from NIMHANS (unpublished data) showed that mortality among cases of stroke
aged 40-79 years ranged from 6.7% to 17% during 1999-2003.
3. Higher mortality rates among stroke cases have been reported by P.M. Dalal-32.3 % and A. Bhalla32.5%.
The above information was used to assume the case fatality of stroke in India as follows:
Table A9. Case fatality rate for stroke in India
Age in years

Case fatality rate (%)

20-40

1.0

40-49

6.7

50-59

10.0

60-69

14.0

70-79

17.0

80-89

32.0

90+

33.0

Table A10. Age specific prevalence (rate/1000) of diabetes in India


Urban

Rural

Age group
Male

Female

Male

Female

20-29

0.00

13.00

0.00

4.30

30-39

78.00

26.00

26.00

8.60

40-49

93.00

158.00

31.00

52.60

50-59

444.00

176.00

148.00

58.60

60-69

481.00

194.00

160.30

64.60

70-79

182.00

111.00

60.60

37.00

80-89

333.00

200.00

111.00

66.60

90+

0.00

1000.00

0.00

333.30

50

Table A11. Age specific mortality (rate/1000) of diabetes in India


Urban

Rural

Age group
Male

Female

Male

Female

0-4

0.019

0.024

0.007

0.008

5-9

0.007

0.009

0.003

0.003

15-24

0.010

0.011

0.004

0.004

25-34

0.023

0.018

0.008

0.007

35-44

0.066

0.053

0.022

0.020

45-54

0.296

0.295

0.100

0.100

55-64

0.983

0.954

0.330

0.320

65-69

1.900

1.849

0.640

0.620

70+

3.026

2.622

1.100

0.880

1. Diabetes specific mortality rates were estimated using MCCD data for urban areas.
2. According to WHO study ( Murray, Lopez, 1976), there were about five times as many deaths
indirectly attributable to diabetes as directly attributable in established world economies. This
assumption was adopted in present study also to account for deaths indirectly attributable to
diabetes.
3. Prevalence rate of diabetes in rural areas is about one third of the prevalence rate of diabetes
in urban areas in India. Therefore it was assumed that rates of mortality due to diabetes in
rural areas are expected to be one third of diabetes mortality rates in urban areas.
Table A12. Case fatality rates for diabetes in India
Age in years

Case fatality rate/1000

25-34

1.70

35-44

5.00

45-54

25.64

55-64

37.00

65-69

38.00

70+

38.00

1. Case fatality rate for diabetes was found to be 20% in a follow up study carried out after
average time duration of 7.8 years (Sidhartha Das et al, 1991). When time duration was
converted in terms of person years, the case fatality rate becomes 25.64 per 1000 person
years.
2. Pattern of distribution of case fatality in to different age groups was assumed to be similar to
the age distribution of diabetes specific mortality in population.

51

Table A13. Estimation of Cancer deaths (Males) by age in India in 1998


M.C.C.D Data
Age

Population Estimates

Total Deaths

Cancer Deaths

Cancer deaths as
percentage of
total deaths

Total Deaths

Cancer Death

0-4

46,592

140

0.3

12,68,716

3,806

5-14

10,518

293

2.78

1,82,599

5,076

15-24

18,928

398

2.1

1,69,360

3,556

25-34

30,311

575

1.9

2,22,644

4,230

35-44

38,311

1,054

2.75

2,86,139

7,869

45-54

41,789

1,782

4.26

4,73,248

20,160

55-64

45,280

2,227

4.92

6,70,282

32,978

65-69

22,045

1,029

4.67

4,15,681

19,412

70+

49,168

1,720

3.5

11,50,133

40,254

3,02,942

9,218

3.5

46,27,618

1,61,967

All ages

Table A14. Cancer specific death rates (males) in India in 1998


Age

Population (in thousands)

Cancer Deaths (1998)

Cancer specific death


rate/1000

0-4

58,198

3,806

0.065

5-14

125,330

5,076

0.041

15-24

95,899

3,556

0.037

25-34

74,740

4,230

0.056

35-44

58,727

7,869

0.134

45-54

41,692

20,160

0.484

55-64

26,617

32,978

1.239

65-69

8,978

19,412

2.162

70+

12,822

40,254

3.139

All
ages

503,002

1,61,967

0.322

52

Table A15. Estimation of Cancer deaths (Females) by age in India in 1998


M.C.C.D Data

Population Estimates

Total
Deaths

Cancer
Deaths

Cancer
deaths as
percentage of total
deaths

Total
Deaths

Cancer
Deaths

0-4

31,203

88

0.28

13,65,875

3824

5-14

8,055

140

1.74

2,12,222

3693

15-24

18,978

252

1.33

2,11,108

2808

25-34

21,548

444

2.06

2,03,924

4200

35-44

16,747

925

5.52

1,80,605

9969

45-54

17,040

1355

7.95

2,85,441

22,692

55-64

20,957

1380

6.58

4,33,870

28,549

65-69

12,466

642

5.15

2,94,842

15,184

70+

35,694

1118

3.13

9,30,890

29,137

All ages

182,688

6380

3.49

40,24,207

1,40,445

Age

Table A16. Cancer specific death rates (females) in India in 1998


Age

Population (in thousands)

No. Of Cancer Deaths (1998)

Cancer specific death


rate/1000

0-4

13,65,875

3824

0.0028

5-14

1,16,269

3693

0.0318

15-24

86,863

2808

0.0323

25-34

74,236

4200

0.0566

35-44

53,152

9969

0.187

45-54

36,655

22,692

0.619

55-64

24,439

28,549

1.168

65-69

8,571

15,184

1.771

70+

11,996

29,137

2.429

All ages

467,931

1,40,445

0.300

53

Table A17. Population covered (males) by Cancer Registries


Age

Bangalore

Mumbai

Chennai

Bhopal

Delhi

Barshi

Total

0-4

250599

550069

159392

79934

703672

35216

1778882

5-9

292380

605214

180851

86714

712484

34180

1911823

10-14

281891

594199

186831

82068

642620

25175

1812784

15-19

282592

601817

206017

73141

609262

22885

1795714

20-24

310926

706440

237671

77013

623738

21435

1977223

25-29

275949

652340

221655

65644

636956

19363

1871907

30-34

230991

566266

185620

54690

566463

17488

1621518

35-39

217232

504444

175564

47773

501005

16250

1462268

40-44

163463

404522

140423

37285

363165

13137

1121995

45-49

130252

322529

104338

29536

271902

12091

870648

50-54

97278

251589

90399

26553

205815

10635

682269

55-59

64457

172295

69573

14303

146021

8539

475188

60-64

59453

132368

60279

13608

122734

8730

397172

65-69

33904

78404

39589

7065

79934

5638

244534

70-74

27672

47765

27163

4861

56017

4576

168054

75+

30694

50410

28025

6320

51611

4704

171764

All ages

2749733

6240671

2113390

706508

6293399

260042

18363743

54

Table A18. No. of incident cases of cancer in 1998 by site (males) Cancer Registry data

55

Site

Mouth and
oropharynx

Stomach

Colon and
rectum

Liver

Pancreas

Trachea,
bronchus
and lungs

Breast

Prostate

Bladder

Leukemia

Lymph
and mult
myeloma

Oesophagus

Melanoma
& skin

0-4

10

66

15

5-9

69

44

10-14

71

36

15-19

72

44

20-24

11

11

62

34

25-29

22

12

46

41

30-34

55

18

23

15

18

33

42

35-39

86

24

48

18

11

36

10

41

49

19

40-44

186

44

51

23

24

56

19

42

64

44

16

45-49

251

63

62

58

15

102

24

36

78

70

12

50-54

351

95

81

81

33

168

24

37

36

95

109

23

55-59

336

103

86

90

28

175

51

50

45

85

131

21

60-64

334

89

89

95

37

183

80

58

35

86

141

23

65-69

271

104

81

98

29

196

117

67

32

82

115

20

70-74

189

83

84

80

19

131

137

72

28

63

86

21

75+

185

62

70

91

26

140

230

77

33

67

90

25

All ages

2292

695

708

681

233

1215

48

655

432

747

925

820

193

Table A19. Incidence rates of cancer/100,000 by site (Males) Cancer Registry data
Mouth and
oropharynx

Stomach

Colon and
rectum

Liver

Pancreas

Trachea,
bronchus and
lungs

Breast

Prostate

Bladder

Luekaemia

Lymph
and
multiple
myeloma

Oseophagus

Melanoma &
skin

0-4

0.11

0.00

0.00

0.60

0.00

0.06

0.00

0.00

0.06

3.70

0.84

0.00

0.06

5-9

0.16

0.00

0.05

0.20

0.10

0.05

0.00

0.05

0.05

3.60

2.30

0.00

0.00

10-14

0.11

0.00

0.06

0.20

0.10

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

3.90

1.99

0.06

0.17

15-19

0.45

0.00

0.45

0.20

0.00

0.06

0.00

0.06

0.11

4.00

2.45

0.06

0.22

20-24

0.56

0.05

0.56

0.30

0.10

0.30

0.00

0.05

0.15

3.10

1.72

0.15

0.25

25-29

1.18

0.48

0.64

0.40

0.20

0.05

0.00

0.00

0.27

2.50

2.19

0.16

0.21

30-34

3.39

1.11

1.42

0.90

0.30

1.11

0.10

0.00

0.37

2.00

2.59

0.43

0.37

35-39

5.88

1.64

3.28

1.20

0.80

2.46

0.00

0.14

0.68

2.80

3.35

1.30

0.62

40-44

16.58

3.92

4.55

2.10

2.10

4.99

0.40

0.27

1.69

3.70

5.70

3.92

1.43

45-49

28.83

7.24

7.12

6.70

1.70

11.70

0.30

0.92

2.76

4.10

8.96

8.04

1.38

50-54

51.45

13.90

11.87

12.00

4.80

24.60

1.00

3.52

5.42

5.30

13.92

15.98

3.37

55-59

70.71

21.70

18.10

19.00

5.90

36.80

0.60

10.70

10.50

9.50

17.89

27.57

4.42

60-64

84.09

22.40

22.41

24.00

9.30

46.10

2.30

20.10

14.60

8.80

21.65

35.50

5.79

65-69

110.80

42.50

33.12

40.00

12.00

80.20

2.00

47.90

27.40

13.00

33.53

47.03

8.18

70-74

112.50

49.40

49.98

48.00

11.00

78.00

4.80

81.50

42.80

17.00

37.49

51.17

12.50

75+

107.70

36.10

40.75

53.00

15.00

81.50

4.10

134.00

44.80

19.00

39.01

52.40

14.55

All ages

12.48

3.78

3.86

3.71

1.27

6.62

0.26

3.57

2.35

4.07

5.04

4.47

1.05

Site
Age

56

Table A20 . No. of deaths in 1998 due to cancer by site (males)-Cancer Registry Data

57

Site

Mouth and
oropharynx

Stomach

Colon
and
rectum

Liver

Pancreas

Trachea,
bronchus
and lungs

Breast

Prostate

Bladder

Leukemia

Lymphomas
and multiple
myelomas

Oseophagus

Melanoma
& Skin

0-4

17

5-9

20

14

10-14

23

15-19

41

14

20-24

20

25-29

19

11

30-39

20

14

35-39

16

13

20

20

17

40-44

34

17

12

16

18

27

10

45-49

64

31

19

12

46

15

15

22

50-54

96

35

22

26

21

78

17

32

35

55-59

97

52

25

27

12

74

21

32

45

60-64

98

47

23

31

13

84

29

22

29

51

65-69

82

55

29

28

15

87

24

17

17

30

38

70-74

71

47

27

30

10

65

35

18

14

25

30

75+

71

38

33

29

15

67

80

36

19

40

33

All ages

645

351

210

207

105

552

189

105

323

312

278

33

Table A21. Mortality rates per 100,000due to cancer by site (males) Cancer Registry data

58

Pancreas

Trachea,
bronchus
and
lungs

Breast

Prostate

Bladder

Leukemia

Lymphomas
and multiple
myelomas

Oseophagus

Melanoma &
Skin

0.06

0.00

0.11

0.00

0.06

0.06

0.96

0.17

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.05

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.05

0.73

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.27

0.28

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.11

0.11

0.00

0.11

0.00

0.00

0.00

2.28

0.78

0.00

0.00

20-24

0.10

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.00

0.15

0.00

0.05

0.00

1.01

0.20

0.05

0.00

25-29

0.21

0.27

0.21

0.11

0.05

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.11

1.02

0.59

0.16

0.00

30-34

0.49

0.56

0.25

0.31

0.06

0.43

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.23

0.86

0.25

0.06

35-39

1.09

0.89

0.48

0.27

0.27

1.37

0.00

0.00

0.14

1.37

1.16

0.41

0.27

40-44

3.03

1.52

1.07

0.53

0.71

1.43

0.00

0.18

0.09

1.60

2.41

0.89

0.09

45-49

7.35

3.56

2.18

1.38

0.57

5.28

0.11

0.11

0.46

1.72

1.72

2.53

0.34

50-54

14.07

5.13

3.22

3.81

3.08

11.43

0.00

1.03

1.32

2.49

4.69

5.13

0.59

55-59

20.41

10.94

5.26

5.68

2.53

15.57

0.00

1.89

1.47

4.42

6.73

9.47

0.63

60-64

24.67

11.83

5.79

7.81

3.27

21.15

0.76

7.30

2.01

5.54

7.30

12.84

0.50

65-69

33.53

22.49

11.86

11.45

6.13

35.58

0.41

9.81

6.95

6.95

12.27

15.54

1.23

70-74

42.25

27.97

16.07

17.85

5.95

38.68

0.00

20.83

10.71

8.33

14.88

17.85

4.17

75+

41.34

22.12

19.21

16.88

8.73

39.01

0.00

46.58

20.96

11.06

23.29

19.21

2.91

All
ages

3.51

1.91

1.14

1.13

0.57

3.01

0.03

1.03

0.57

1.76

1.70

1.51

0.18

Stomach

Colon
and
rectum

Liver

0.06

0.00

0.00

5-9

0.00

0.00

10-14

0.06

15-19

Site

Mouth and
oropharynx

0-4

Table A22. No. of incidence cases of cancer by site (males) : 1990-98 data from Cancer Registries

59

Site

Mouth and
oropharynx

Stomach

Colon and
rectum

Liver

Pancreas

Trachea,
bronchus
and lungs

Breast

Prostate

Bladder

Leukemia

Lymphomas
and multiple
myelomas

Oseophagus

Melanoma
& Skin

0-4

18

31

579

151

12

5-9

29

10

595

415

10-14

43

10

503

350

14

15-19

79

14

27

10

574

323

15

20-24

114

28

83

12

37

10

17

433

342

23

33

25-29

219

84

106

27

22

67

30

361

392

29

44

30-34

459

145

152

40

43

155

14

54

324

385

98

63

35-39

834

251

214

67

72

240

14

14

95

311

434

181

103

40-44

1415

387

278

82

130

528

34

29

143

344

492

378

119

45-49

1914

577

359

134

166

836

44

66

200

264

531

639

135

50-54

2814

831

424

202

226

1334

51

206

354

308

648

955

193

55-59

2595

864

417

208

236

1470

54

347

430

257

672

982

180

60-64

2925

956

428

242

266

1733

57

599

541

243

693

1136

196

65-69

2131

798

412

220

218

1432

58

767

572

214

596

908

185

70-74

1548

633

287

159

164

1071

42

957

486

169

472

678

150

75+

1379

608

335

151

181

868

43

1449

608

205

440

737

204

All ages

18516

6186

3531

1605

1736

9790

417

4474

3555

5684

7336

6751

1651

Table A23. Case fatality rates(%) of cancer by site (males) Cancer Registry data

60

Site

Mouth and
oropharynx

Stomach

Colon
and
rectum

Liver

Pancreas

Trachea,
bronchus
and lungs

Breast

Prostate

Bladder

Leukemia

Lymphomas
and multiple
mylomas

Oseophagus

Melamoma
& skin

0-4

5.56

0.00

0.00

3.23

0.00

66.67

0.00

0.00

14.29

2.94

1.99

0.00

0.00

5-9

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

50.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

3.36

3.37

0.00

0.00

10-14

2.33

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

4.57

1.43

0.00

0.00

15-20

0.00

0.00

7.41

20.00

0.00

22.22

0.00

0.00

0.00

7.14

4.33

0.00

0.00

20-25

1.75

7.14

3.61

33.33

0.00

8.11

0.00

10.00

0.00

4.62

1.17

4.35

0.00

25-30

1.83

5.95

3.77

7.41

4.55

0.00

0.00

0.00

6.67

5.26

2.81

10.34

0.00

30-35

1.74

6.21

2.63

12.50

2.33

4.52

0.00

0.00

0.00

6.17

3.64

4.08

1.59

35-40

1.92

5.18

3.27

5.97

5.56

8.33

0.00

0.00

2.11

6.43

3.92

3.31

3.88

40-45

2.40

4.39

4.32

7.32

6.15

3.03

0.00

6.90

0.70

5.23

5.49

2.65

0.84

45-50

3.34

5.37

5.29

8.96

3.01

5.50

2.27

1.52

2.00

5.68

2.82

3.44

2.22

50-55

3.41

4.21

5.19

12.87

9.29

5.85

0.00

3.40

2.54

5.52

4.94

3.66

2.07

55-60

3.74

6.02

6.00

12.98

5.08

5.03

0.00

2.59

1.63

8.17

4.76

4.58

1.67

60-65

3.35

4.92

5.37

12.81

4.89

4.85

5.26

4.84

1.48

9.05

4.18

4.49

1.02

65-70

3.85

6.89

7.04

12.73

6.88

6.08

1.72

3.13

2.97

7.94

5.03

4.19

1.62

70-75

4.59

7.42

9.41

18.87

6.10

6.07

0.00

3.66

3.70

8.28

5.30

4.42

4.67

75+

5.15

6.25

9.85

19.21

8.29

7.72

0.00

5.52

5.92

9.27

9.09

4.48

2.45

All
ages

3.48

5.67

5.95

12.90

6.05

5.64

1.20

4.22

2.95

5.68

4.25

4.12

2.00

Table A24. Population covered (females) by Cancer Registries


AgeBangalore Mumbai
Chennai Bhopal
Delhi
group

Barshi

Total

0-4

245131

507133

147978

76752

627321

32371

1636686

5-9

286767

562586

178523

81468

634579

31010

1774933

10-14

281627

538530

185612

75743

548517

22776

1652805

15-19

262059

483097

202998

66205

460900

16521

1491780

20-24

278125

542854

232399

71009

510670

21401

1656458

25-29

270521

531100

218735

63419

559404

20459

1663638

30-34

195609

424380

166835

47117

458307

17341

1309589

35-39

179122

385873

156767

39704

380540

15155

1157161

40-44

119677

276330

116230

28635

252484

13089

806445

45-49

98060

228472

95962

24712

204268

11647

663121

50-54

77689

175558

78107

17178

154497

10130

513159

55-59

52066

132312

66103

11657

130648

7622

400408

60-64

56797

112630

57527

12305

106800

8320

354379

65-69

31958

67905

38849

6677

66880

5299

217568

70-74

24148

46154

25862

5524

40957

4322

146967

75+

30015

56081

30956

5684

46660

4435

173831

All
ages

2489371

5070995

1999443

633789

5183432

241898

15618928

61

Table A25. No. of incident cases of cancer in 1998 by site (females) Cancer Registry data

62

Site

Mouth and
oropharynx

Stomach

Colon
and
rectum

Liver

Pancreas

Trachea,
bronchus
and lungs

Breast

Cervix

Ovary

Bladder

Lymphomas
and multiple
myeloma

Leukemia

Oesophagus

Melanoma
& Skin

Corp.
Uteri

0-4

53

5-9

19

29

10-14

13

35

15-19

14

13

30

20-24

10

18

11

22

24

17

25-29

13

11

14

63

38

35

15

28

30-34

21

29

11

167

109

29

20

34

35-39

40

32

33

312

201

58

21

37

15

18

40-44

65

20

48

24

415

273

108

34

33

35

24

45-49

91

33

44

15

21

461

359

91

32

22

47

11

42

50-54

110

57

54

15

15

32

409

353

125

42

25

69

17

56

55-59

101

41

47

19

13

31

352

265

117

15

45

17

68

16

45

60-64

133

65

54

20

15

45

327

274

98

12

53

33

72

18

72

65-69

109

45

46

19

14

42

248

176

65

19

63

15

64

18

55

70-74

87

35

46

16

17

31

149

109

45

16

44

17

48

15

26

75+

67

34

47

17

17

35

197

85

57

22

47

19

61

20

27

All ages

862

414

450

131

123

278

3126

2253

874

116

489

444

492

147

379

Table A26. Incidence rates of Cancer/100,000 by site (females) Cancer Registry data

63

Site

Mouth and
oropharynx

Stomach

Colon
and
rectum

Liver

Pancreas

Trachea,
bronchus
and lungs

Breast

Cervix

Ovary

Bladder

Lymphomas
and multiple
myeloma

Leukemia

Oesophagus

Melanoma
& Skin

Corp.
Uteri

0-4

0.00

0.12

0.00

0.31

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.24

0.06

0.24

3.24

0.00

0.00

0.00

5-9

0.23

0.06

0.00

0.00

0.06

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.07

1.63

0.00

0.00

0.00

10-14

0.36

0.00

0.06

0.00

0.00

0.06

0.00

0.00

0.36

0.00

0.79

2.12

0.00

0.06

0.00

15-19

0.34

0.13

0.07

0.00

0.07

0.13

0.54

0.00

0.94

0.00

0.87

2.01

0.00

0.13

0.13

20-24

0.60

0.42

0.24

0.00

0.06

0.06

1.09

0.66

1.33

0.06

1.45

1.03

0.24

0.18

0.12

25-29

0.78

0.66

0.84

0.06

0.00

0.12

3.79

2.28

2.10

0.12

0.90

1.68

0.24

0.18

0.24

30-34

1.60

2.21

0.84

0.23

0.38

0.31

12.80

8.32

2.21

0.23

1.53

2.60

0.38

0.38

0.46

35-39

3.46

2.77

2.85

0.35

0.35

0.60

27.00

17.37

5.01

0.26

1.81

3.20

1.30

0.78

1.56

40-44

8.06

2.48

5.95

0.74

0.62

2.98

51.50

33.85

13.39

0.87

4.22

4.09

4.34

1.12

2.98

45-49

13.72

4.98

6.64

0.90

2.26

3.17

69.50

54.14

13.72

0.90

4.83

3.32

7.09

1.66

6.33

50-54

21.44

11.11

10.52

2.92

2.92

6.24

79.70

68.79

24.36

1.75

8.18

4.87

13.45

3.31

10.91

55-59

25.22

10.24

11.74

4.75

3.25

7.74

87.90

66.18

29.22

3.75

11.24

4.25

16.98

4.00

11.24

60-64

37.53

18.34

15.24

5.64

4.23

12.70

92.30

77.32

27.65

3.39

14.96

9.31

20.32

5.08

20.32

65-69

50.10

20.68

21.14

8.73

6.43

19.30

114.00

80.89

29.88

8.73

28.96

6.89

29.42

8.27

25.28

70-74

59.20

23.81

31.30

10.89

11.57

21.09

101.00

74.17

30.62

10.90

29.94

11.57

32.66

10.21

17.69

75+

38.54

19.56

27.04

9.78

9.78

20.13

113.00

48.90

32.79

12.70

27.04

10.93

35.09

11.51

15.53

All ages

5.52

2.65

2.88

0.84

0.79

1.78

20.01

14.42

5.60

0.74

3.13

2.84

3.15

0.94

2.43

Table-A27. No. of deaths due to Cancer in1998 by site (females) Cancer Registry data

64

Site

Mouth and
oropharynx

Stomach

Colon and
rectum

Liver

Pancreas

Trachea,
bronchus
and lungs

Breast

Cervix

Ovary

Bladder

Lymphomas
and multiple
myeloma

Leukemia

Oesophagus

Melan
oma &
Skin

Corp.
Uteri

0-4

25

5-9

13

10-14

12

15-19

20-24

12

25-29

10

10

14

30-34

29

13

12

15

35-39

49

27

13

13

40-44

18

10

63

45

18

18

13

45-49

14

17

14

95

54

28

12

11

16

50-54

27

30

13

10

18

88

56

26

11

18

32

12

55-59

25

27

20

14

14

83

54

28

13

13

25

60-64

37

25

17

16

28

73

65

35

18

25

31

65-69

27

24

17

12

17

64

54

27

25

30

10

70-74

29

21

17

11

14

49

24

18

21

23

14

75+

16

16

20

15

10

18

70

40

22

17

15

33

15

All
ages

209

194

137

92

50

132

674

442

237

32

162

228

215

23

92

Table-A28. Mortality rates per 100,000 due to Cancer by site (females) - Cancer Registry data

65

Site

Mouth and
oropharynx

Stomach

Colon
and
rectum

Liver

Pancreas

Trachea,
bronchus
and lungs

Breast

Cervix

Ovary

Bladder

Lymphomas
and multiple
myeloma

Leukemia

Oesophagus

Melanoma
& Skin

Corp.
Uteri

0-4

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.18

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.06

1.53

0.00

0.00

0.00

5-9

0.00

0.06

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.06

0.73

0.00

0.06

0.00

10-14

0.06

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.12

0.00

0.12

0.73

0.00

0.00

0.00

15-19

0.00

0.07

0.07

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.07

0.00

0.07

0.00

0.40

0.60

0.00

0.00

0.00

20-24

0.06

0.24

0.06

0.00

0.06

0.00

0.12

0.00

0.24

0.00

0.30

0.72

0.12

0.06

0.06

25-29

0.24

0.12

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.12

0.48

0.60

0.60

0.00

0.24

0.84

0.00

0.06

0.06

30-34

0.31

0.61

0.23

0.00

0.15

0.23

2.21

0.99

0.38

0.08

0.92

1.15

0.31

0.00

0.31

35-39

0.52

0.69

0.60

0.26

0.09

0.35

4.23

2.33

1.12

0.00

0.60

1.12

0.52

0.00

0.26

40-44

2.23

1.24

0.87

0.50

0.25

1.12

7.81

5.58

2.23

0.37

0.87

2.23

1.61

0.00

0.87

45-49

2.11

2.56

2.11

0.60

1.06

0.75

14.30

8.14

4.22

0.30

1.81

1.66

2.41

0.30

1.21

50-54

5.26

5.85

2.53

1.95

1.17

3.51

17.20

10.91

5.07

0.19

2.14

3.51

6.24

1.17

2.34

55-59

6.24

6.74

4.99

3.50

0.75

3.50

20.70

13.49

6.99

0.75

3.25

3.25

6.24

0.25

2.00

60-64

10.44

7.05

4.80

4.51

0.85

7.90

20.60

18.34

9.88

1.41

5.08

7.05

8.75

0.28

2.54

65-69

12.41

11.03

7.81

5.52

3.22

7.81

29.40

24.82

12.41

0.00

11.49

4.14

13.79

0.92

4.60

70-74

19.73

14.29

11.57

7.48

5.44

9.53

33.30

16.33

12.25

5.44

14.29

4.08

15.65

1.36

9.53

75+

9.20

9.20

11.51

8.63

5.75

10.35

40.30

23.01

12.66

5.18

9.78

8.63

18.98

3.45

8.63

All
ages

1.34

1.24

0.88

0.59

0.32

0.85

4.32

2.83

1.52

0.20

1.04

1.46

1.38

0.15

0.59

Table-A29. No. of incident cases of cancer by site (females) : 1990-98 Cancer Registry data

66

Site

Mouth and
oropharynx

Stomach

Colon
and
rectum

Liver

Pancreas

Trachea,
bronchus
and lungs

Breast

Cervix

Ovary

Bladder

Lymphomas
and multiple
myeloma

Leukemia

Oseophagus

Melanoma
& Skin

Corp.
Uteri

0-4

39

24

55

368

5-9

13

35

128

295

10-14

27

72

118

248

15-19

51

14

22

48

133

120

232

15

20-24

96

37

83

10

19

163

107

202

177

202

24

35

24

25-29

133

82

133

25

15

40

580

407

258

186

244

45

37

37

30-34

242

132

135

37

30

54

1309

1070

281

12

166

240

69

44

55

35-39

399

208

195

42

51

89

2383

2045

420

28

224

227

159

78

113

40-44

624

220

307

74

76

166

3109

2727

732

49

247

197

281

72

198

45-49

814

314

376

95

95

208

3361

3146

800

71

273

178

453

90

330

50-54

1085

403

436

108

122

286

3249

3126

883

85

376

195

661

135

415

55-59

907

351

384

121

150

283

2687

2478

723

87

377

164

629

133

371

60-64

1178

455

541

147

141

355

2559

2499

690

141

450

185

683

166

428

65-69

785

340

367

146

141

279

1675

1388

463

126

357

167

558

119

321

70-74

616

244

348

94

105

205

1085

883

284

121

287

113

433

112

216

75+

593

281

363

124

113

230

1173

749

288

142

229

135

513

150

206

All
ages

7572

3805

3700

1076

1053

2229

23385

20643

6288

891

3770

3390

4512

1208

2724

Table-A30. Case fatality rates (%) of Cancer by site (females) - Cancer Registry data

67

Site

Mouth and
oropharynx

Stomach

Colon
and
rectum

Liver

Pancreas

Trachea,
bronchus
and lungs

Breast

Cervix

Ovary

Bladder

Lymphom
as and
multiple
myeloma

Leukemia

Oseophagus

Melano
ma &
Skin

Corp.
Uteri

0-4

0.00

0.00

0.00

7.69

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.82

6.79

0.00

0.00

0.00

5-9

0.00

100.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.78

4.41

0.00

16.67

0.00

10-14

3.70

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

2.78

0.00

1.69

4.84

0.00

0.00

0.00

15-19

0.00

7.14

4.55

0.00

0.00

0.00

2.08

0.00

0.75

0.00

5.00

3.88

0.00

0.00

0.00

20-24

1.04

10.81

1.20

0.00

14.29

0.00

1.23

0.00

1.98

0.00

2.82

5.94

8.33

2.86

4.17

25-29

3.01

2.44

0.00

0.00

0.00

5.00

1.38

2.46

3.88

0.00

2.15

5.74

0.00

2.70

2.70

30-34

1.65

6.06

2.22

0.00

6.67

5.56

2.22

1.21

1.78

8.33

7.23

6.25

5.80

0.00

7.27

35-39

1.50

3.85

3.59

7.14

1.96

4.49

2.06

1.32

3.10

0.00

3.13

5.73

3.77

0.00

2.65

40-44

2.88

4.55

2.28

5.41

2.63

5.42

2.03

1.65

2.46

6.12

2.83

9.14

4.63

0.00

3.54

45-49

1.72

5.41

3.72

4.21

7.37

2.40

2.83

1.72

3.50

2.82

4.40

6.18

3.53

2.22

2.42

50-54

2.49

7.44

2.98

9.26

4.92

6.29

2.71

1.79

2.94

1.18

2.93

9.23

4.84

4.44

2.89

55-59

2.76

7.69

5.21

11.57

2.00

4.95

3.09

2.18

3.87

3.45

3.45

7.93

3.97

0.75

2.16

60-64

3.14

5.49

3.14

10.88

2.13

7.89

2.85

2.60

5.07

3.55

4.00

13.51

4.54

0.60

2.10

65-69

3.44

7.06

4.63

8.22

4.96

6.09

3.82

3.89

5.83

0.00

7.00

5.39

5.38

1.68

3.12

70-74

4.71

8.61

4.89

11.70

7.62

6.83

4.52

2.72

6.34

6.61

7.32

5.31

5.31

1.79

6.48

75+

2.70

5.69

5.51

12.10

8.85

7.83

5.97

5.34

7.64

6.34

7.42

11.11

6.43

4.00

7.28

All
ages

2.76

6.29

3.70

8.55

4.75

5.92

2.88

2.14

3.77

3.59

4.30

6.73

4.77

1.90

3.38

Table A31. Incident Rate/100,000 (for all sites) from combined data of cancer registries
Age
group

Males

Females

Incident
Cases

Total
Population

Incident
Rates

Incident
Cases

Total
Population

Incident
Rates

0-4

196

1778882

11.02

127

1636686

7.76

5-9

196

1911823

10.25

97

1774933

5.46

10-14

185

1812784

10.21

127

1652805

7.68

15-19

232

1795714

12.92

138

1491780

9.25

20-24

255

1977223

12.90

221

1656458

13.34

25-29

287

1871907

15.33

343

1663638

20.62

30-34

394

1621518

24.30

580

1309589

44.29

35-39

522

1462268

35.70

939

1157161

81.15

40-44

867

1121995

77.27

1283

806445

159.09

45-49

1115

870648

128.07

1499

663121

226.05

50-54

1500

682269

219.85

1643

513159

320.17

55-59

1549

475188

325.98

1411

400408

352.39

60-64

1638

397172

412.42

1585

354379

447.26

65-69

1522

244534

622.41

1193

217568

548.33

70-74

1243

168054

739.64

867

146967

589.93

75+

1338

171764

778.98

935

173831

537.88

Total

13039

18363743

71.00

12988

15618928

83.16

Extrapolation to Population of India


1998

345423

486483064

71.00

402039

483479011

83.16

2004

390809

505404000

71.00

428545

515354000

83.16

68

Table A32. Age specific mortality Rate/100,000 in population due to Cancer- derived from data of cancer registries
Age
group

Males

Females

No. of
Deaths

Total
Population

Mortality
Rate

No. of
Deaths

Total
Population

Mortality
Rate

0-4

51

1778882

2.87

39

1636686

2.38

9-May

54

1911823

2.82

24

1774933

1.35

14-Oct

38

1812784

2.1

29

1652805

1.75

15-19

77

1795714

4.29

26

1491780

1.74

20-24

60

1977223

3.03

49

1656458

2.96

25-29

74

1871907

3.95

73

1663638

4.39

30-34

108

1621518

6.66

116

1309589

8.86

35-39

154

1462268

10.53

184

1157161

15.9

40-44

241

1121995

21.48

273

806445

33.85

45-49

349

870648

40.09

365

663121

55.04

50-54

523

682269

76.66

430

513159

83.79

55-59

551

475188

115.95

406

400408

101.4

60-64

595

397172

149.81

494

354379

139.4

65-69

578

244534

236.37

419

217568

192.58

70-74

523

168054

311.21

330

146967

224.54

75+

649

171764

377.84

416

173831

239.31

All ages

4625

18363743

25.19

3673

15618928

23.52

Extrapolation to Population of India


1998

122523

4.86E+08

25.19

113696

483479011

23.52

2004

138622

5.05E+08

25.19

121192

515354000

23.52

69

Table B1. Input on IHD (Urban male) from Published/Available Data


Age
group

Total
population
(*)

Age
group

Prevalence
Rate /1000
(**)

Age
group

CaseFatality
Rate/100

Age
group

Population
mortality
/1000
(***)

Age
group

0-4

14214538

0-19

1.00

0-19

0-4

12.0

0-4

5-9

14073800

20-24

8.00

20-29

9.5

5-9

1.8

5-14

0.014

10-14

15340442

25-29

19.65

30-39

11

10-14

0.6

15-24

0.022

15-19

14636752

30-34

17.05

40-49

13

15-19

1.4

25-34

0.092

20-24

13651586

35-39

43.18

50-59

15

20-24

1.4

35-44

0.371

25-29

12807158

40-44

47.25

60+

17

25-29

2.2

45-54

1.394

30-34

11118302

45-49

83.26

30-34

3.0

55-64

3.935

35-39

9992398

50-54

93.07

35-39

3.6

65-69

7.576

40-44

8866494

55-59

162.44

40-44

4.5

70+

15.515

45-49

7177638

60+

173.65

45-49

5.9

50-54

5770258

50-54

9.8

55-59

4222140

55-59

15.7

60-64

3236974

60-64

27.6

65-69

2392546

65-69

37.0

70-74

1548118

70+

82.6

75-79

844428

80-84

422214

85+

281476

CFR: Case Fatality rate


*

IHD specific
mortality /1000
(#)

0.073

PR: Prevalence rate

Projected Population from Sample Registration System Statistical Report1998. Registrar General of India, New Delhi.

** Based on Published/Available Data.


*** Health Information of India-1999, Central Bureau of Health Intelligence, Directorate General of Health Services,
Ministry of Health & Family Welfare, Government of India, New Delhi.
# Derived from MCCD( Medically Certified Cause of Death) Data-1998.

70

Table-B2. Input on IHD (Urban Female) from Published/Available Data


Age
group

Population
mortality
/1000
(***)

Age
group

IHD
specific
mortality
/1000
(#)

0-4

13.6

0-4

0.060

20-29

9.5

5-9

1.8

5-14

0.012

26.24

30-39

11

10-14

0.6

15-24

0.018

30-34

22.96

40-49

13

15-19

1.3

25-34

0.043

13065384

35-39

48.44

50-59

15

20-24

1.8

35-44

0.149

25-29

11528280

40-44

65.85

60+

17

25-29

1.8

45-54

0.628

30-34

10631636

45-49

105.35

30-34

1.5

55-64

2.285

35-39

8838348

50-54

111.88

35-39

2.2

65-69

4.950

40-44

7813612

55-59

152.75

40-44

2.9

70+

12.086

45-49

5892232

60+

175.35

45-49

4.0

50-54

4995588

50-54

6.4

55-59

3714668

55-59

12.3

60-64

3074208

60-64

20.6

65-69

2561840

65-69

30.4

70-74

1665196

70+

69.0

75-79

896644

80-84

512368

85+

384276

Age
group

CaseFatality
Rate/100

1.00

0-19

20-24

6.80

13833936

25-29

15-19

13193476

20-24

Age
group

Total
population
(*)

Age
group

Prevalence
Rate /1000
(**)

0-4

12681108

0-19

5-9

12809200

10-14

Projected Population from Sample Registration System


Statistical Report1998. Registrar General of India, New Delhi.

** Based on Published/Available Data.


*** Health Information of India-1999, Central Bureau of Health Intelligence,
Directorate General of Health Services, Ministry of Health & Family
Welfare, Government of India, New Delhi.
# Derived from MCCD( Medically Certified Cause of Death) Data-1998.

71

Table-B3. Output on IHD (Urban Male) using DISMOD


Input Variables
Age
group

Output Variables

72

Prevalence
rate/1000

Case
fatality
rate/1000

Mortality
rate/1000

Incident
rates/1000

Prevalence
rate/1000

Remission
rate/1000

Case
fatality
rate/1000

Duration
(years)

Mortality
rate/1000

RR
mortality
(numbers)

Age of
onset
(years)

0-4

1.00

10.00

0.07

0.59

1.09

500.00

11.15

2.03

0.01

2.25

2.49

5-9

1.00

10.00

0.01

0.54

1.12

476.31

11.09

3.09

0.01

7.88

7.42

10-14

1.00

10.00

0.01

0.30

1.12

249.31

11.22

6.82

0.01

17.90

12.05

15-19

1.00

10.00

0.02

0.18

1.33

24.27

11.56

6.68

0.02

9.85

18.17

20-24

8.00

95.00

0.02

3.32

6.10

171.06

9.35

3.20

0.06

7.44

23.27

25-29

19.65

95.00

0.09

9.59

18.15

424.26

5.70

2.12

0.10

3.76

27.64

30-34

17.05

110.00

0.09

11.00

20.71

500.00

5.56

2.03

0.12

2.86

32.59

35-39

43.18

110.00

0.37

17.26

28.75

472.41

8.70

2.66

0.25

3.39

37.65

40-44

47.25

130.00

0.37

16.22

45.12

250.09

9.85

4.13

0.45

3.18

42.34

45-49

83.26

130.00

1.39

22.35

69.02

216.87

13.00

3.07

0.90

3.13

47.85

50-54

93.07

150.00

1.39

43.31

89.11

371.66

19.69

2.66

1.76

2.99

52.64

55-59

162.44

150.00

3.94

59.08

129.69

295.74

24.51

2.60

3.19

2.52

57.61

60-64

173.65

170.00

3.94

82.29

156.38

419.50

32.15

1.91

5.03

2.17

62.60

65-69

173.65

170.00

7.58

90.23

145.11

498.49

58.95

1.67

8.55

2.73

67.50

70-74

173.65

170.00

15.51

90.94

136.83

492.67

101.55

1.63

13.89

2.91

72.50

75-79

173.65

170.00

15.51

72.52

134.87

353.91

129.47

2.13

17.46

2.69

77.30

80+

173.65

170.00

15.51

39.26

134.77

137.45

132.36

2.46

17.84

1.98

86.83

Table-B4. Output on IHD (Urban Female) using DISMOD


Input Variables
Age
group

Output Variables

73

Prevalence
rate/1000

Case fatality
rate/1000

Mortality
rate/1000

Incident
rates/1000

Prevalence
rate/1000

Remission
rate/1000

Case fatality
rate/1000

Duration
(years)

Mortality
rate/1000

RR mortality
(numbers)

Age of
onset
(years)

0-4

1.00

10.00

0.06

0.58

1.08

500.00

11.08

2.03

0.01

2.13

2.49

5-9

1.00

10.00

0.01

0.53

1.10

476.45

10.77

3.09

0.01

7.58

7.41

10-14

1.00

10.00

0.01

0.29

1.08

249.39

10.77

6.85

0.01

17.43

12.05

15-19

1.00

10.00

0.02

0.18

1.27

24.38

10.99

6.61

0.01

9.80

18.30

20-24

6.80

95.00

0.02

4.17

7.22

174.38

7.90

3.21

0.06

5.50

23.29

25-29

26.24

95.00

0.04

12.41

23.08

424.94

3.22

2.14

0.07

2.98

27.66

30-34

22.96

110.00

0.04

14.93

27.59

500.00

1.91

2.14

0.05

2.23

32.60

35-39

48.44

110.00

0.15

23.26

38.89

472.52

2.58

3.75

0.10

2.16

37.64

40-44

65.85

130.00

0.15

20.63

60.36

239.54

2.81

9.56

0.17

1.96

42.24

45-49

105.35

130.00

0.63

7.93

86.71

21.78

3.79

12.00

0.33

1.93

46.99

50-54

111.88

150.00

0.63

7.40

108.41

8.85

6.38

7.08

0.69

1.96

53.02

55-59

152.75

150.00

2.29

32.78

149.64

110.79

9.72

3.54

1.46

1.78

57.98

60-64

175.35

170.00

2.29

79.46

172.39

376.62

15.88

2.07

2.74

1.77

62.70

65-69

175.35

170.00

4.95

95.92

158.71

497.70

34.58

1.75

5.48

2.26

67.49

70-74

175.35

170.00

12.09

89.49

142.70

500.00

75.17

1.61

10.71

2.76

72.47

75-79

175.35

170.00

12.09

83.63

126.72

497.73

109.77

1.59

13.90

2.81

77.48

80+

175.35

170.00

12.09

47.14

121.38

239.56

117.32

2.55

14.24

2.24

85.31

Table-B5. Computation of YLL and DALY for Urban Areas


YLD

Incidence

Incidence

Ageof

per100,000

Onset

Duration

Disability

YLD

YLD[0,0]

PYLD[0,0]

Weight

(Incidence)

(Incidence)

(Prevalence)

Inc-based

Incidence

Curr.Prev.

Inc-based

PYLD[0,0]

YLD

PYLD[0,0]

PYLD[0,0]

(Prevalence)

per100,000

per100,000

per100,000

Male
0-4

8,529

60.0

2.5

2.0

0.5

3,917

8,049

7,378

27.6

0.0

5-14

11,766

40.0

9.1

4.5

0.5

27,733

24,984

18

15,268

94.3

0.1

51.9

15-29

172,601

420.0

26.3

2.5

0.5

297,584

203,620

84

159,017

724.1

0.2

386.9

30-44

437,667

1,460.0

37.7

3.0

0.5

802,887

619,586

488

432,862

2,678.3

1.6

1,444.0

45-59

659,329

3,840.0

53.3

2.7

0.5

821,887

840,046

1,992

734,878

4,786.8

11.6

4,280.0

60-69

482,450

8,570.0

64.8

1.8

0.5

313,910

409,790

1,423

402,724

5,576.1

25.3

7,153.8

70-79

201,931

8,440.0

74.0

1.8

0.5

103,673

171,519

731

153,658

4,333.2

30.5

6,422.4

27,655

3,930.0

86.8

2.5

0.5

13,563

32,625

197

44,762

1,927.4

27.9

6,361.0

2,001,928

1,423.9

52.4

2.4

0.5

2,385,155

2,310,220

4,937

1,950,548

1,696.4

3.5

1,387.3

0-4

7,609

60.0

2.5

2.0

0.5

3,495

7,181

6,582

27.6

0.0

51.9

5-14

10,657

40.0

9.1

4.5

0.5

25,121

22,631

13,830

94.3

0.0

51.9

15-29

200,272

530.0

26.3

2.5

0.5

345,292

236,264

123

178,312

913.8

0.3

471.9

30-44

526,573

1,930.0

37.5

5.0

0.5

1,545,543

1,242,412

323

522,714

5,664.7

1.2

1,915.9

45-59

205,895

1,410.0

54.4

6.1

0.5

519,492

592,670

862

758,667

3,557.6

5.9

5,195.5

60-69

489,773

8,690.0

65.1

1.9

0.5

332,984

439,122

962

442,021

5,908.1

17.1

7,842.7

70-79

223,905

8,740.0

74.2

1.6

0.5

102,208

169,052

551

165,740

3,989.6

21.5

6,469.6

80+

259,424

4,710.0

85.3

2.6

0.5

137,713

318,288

869

315,533

2,500.3

15.8

5,728.7

1,924,108

1,449.9

55.6

3.3

0.5

3,011,847

3,027,619

3,698

2,403,399

2,269.6

2.8

1,811.1

3,926,035

1,436.5

54.0

2.9

0.5

5,397,002

5,337,839

8,635

4,353,947

1,974.7

3.2

1,593.1

80+

74

Total

51.9

Female

Total
Total
persons

Number of
deaths

Death rate
per 1,000

0-4

181

0.0

6,351

452

10,268

8,501

44.7

72.2

5-14

368

0.0

13,713

3,725

41,446

28,709

46.6

140.9

15-29

2,337

0.1

75,950

58,113

373,535

261,732

184.8

908.9

30-44

7,739

0.3

184,313

303,553

987,200

923,139

614.8

3,293.2

45-59

30,046

1.7

451,374

1,612,425

1,273,261

2,452,471

2,628.8

7,415.6

60-69

36,715

6.5

325,231

2,396,928

639,141

2,806,718

5,777.2

11,353.4

70-79

36,247

15.1

181,728

2,701,633

285,402

2,873,151

7,595.6

11,928.8

80+

12,553

17.8

27,347

1,069,034

40,909

1,101,659

3,886.2

5,813.6

Total

126,186

0.9

1,266,007

8,145,862

3,651,162

10,456,081

900.4

2,596.9

0-4

159

0.0

5,598

397

9,093

7,578

44.1

71.7

5-14

312

0.0

11,675

3,145

36,795

25,776

43.8

138.1

15-29

1,792

0.0

59,150

43,695

404,442

279,959

156.5

1,070.3

30-44

2,779

0.1

67,913

108,053

1,613,457

1,350,465

248.9

5,913.7

45-59

10,798

0.7

166,390

584,260

685,882

1,176,930

1,139.5

4,697.0

60-69

22,458

4.0

213,013

1,473,850

545,997

1,912,972

3,779.5

9,687.6

70-79

30,296

11.8

172,234

2,258,760

274,441

2,427,812

6,723.0

10,712.7

80+

12,768

2.3

29,471

1,095,789

167,183

1,414,077

535.1

3,035.3

Total

81,362

0.6

725,444

5,567,948

3,737,290

8,595,567

546.7

2,816.3

Total persons

207,548

0.8

1,991,451

13,713,810

7,388,453

19,051,649

728.7

2,703.4

YLL

YLL

YLL[0,0]

DALY

DALY[0,0]

YLL
per 100,000

DALY
per 100,000

Male

75

Female

Table-B6. Input on IHD (Rural Male) from Published/Available Data


Age
group

Population
mortality/1000
(***)

Age
group

IHD
specific
mortality/
1000
(#)

0-4

23.2

0-4

0.037

20-29

9.5

5-9

2.1

5-14

0.007

13.67

30-39

11

10-14

1.1

15-24

0.011

30-34

12.39

40-49

13

15-19

1.8

25-34

0.046

31243584

35-39

18.79

50-59

15

20-24

2.5

35-44

0.186

25-29

28256415

40-44

17.94

60+

17

25-29

2.8

45-54

0.697

30-34

24924657

45-49

20.72

30-34

3.2

55-64

1.968

35-39

21942146

50-54

31.11

35-39

4.5

65-69

3.788

40-44

18254678

55-59

26.68

40-44

6.0

70+

7.758

45-49

14744163

60+

71.07

45-49

8.0

50-54

12464733

50-54

13.9

55-59

9127339

55-59

19.9

60-64

8941878

60-64

34.2

65-69

5967876

65-69

50.7

70-74

4044113

70+

97.4

75-79

1914826

80-84

1053155

85+

702103

Age
group

CaseFatality
Rate/100

1.00

0-19

20-24

17.54

44583541

25-29

15-19

35625490

20-24

Age
group

Total
population
(*)

Age
group

Prevalence
rate/1000
(**)

0-4

42828283

0-19

5-9

44583541

10-14

Projected Population from Sample Registration System Statistical Report1998. Registrar General of India, New Delhi.

** Based on Published/Available Data.


*** Health Information of India-1999, Central Bureau of Health Intelligence, Directorate General of Health Services,
Ministry of Health & Family Welfare, Government of India, New Delhi.
# Derived from MCCD( Medically Certified Cause of Death) Data-1998.

76

Table-B7. Input on IHD (Rural Female) from Published/Available Data


Age
group

Population
mortality/
1000
(***)

Age
group

IHD
specific
mortality/
1000
(#)

0-4

26.6

0-4

0.030

20-29

9.5

5-9

2.6

5-14

0.006

14.42

30-39

11

10-14

1.4

15-24

0.009

30-34

10.75

40-49

13

15-19

2.3

25-34

0.022

31945687

35-39

15.99

50-59

15

20-24

3.0

35-44

0.075

25-29

29316031

40-44

23.23

60+

17

25-29

2.8

45-54

0.314

30-34

27030966

45-49

38.78

30-34

3.2

55-64

1.143

35-39

21588240

50-54

49.86

35-39

3.2

65-69

2.475

40-44

18956781

55-59

50.91

40-44

4.1

70+

6.043

45-49

14042060

60+

67.44

45-49

5.5

50-54

12810975

50-54

9.5

55-59

9829442

55-59

14.2

60-64

10014903

60-64

24.5

65-69

6669979

65-69

37.4

70-74

4381123

70+

87.9

75-79

2297792

80-84

1053155

85+

702103

Age
group

Prevalen
ce
rate/1000
(**)

Age
group

CaseFatality
Rate/100

41424077

0-19

1.00

0-19

5-9

43881438

20-24

10.47

10-14

42477232

25-29

15-19

33180604

20-24

Age
group

Total
population
(*)

0-4

Projected Population from Sample Registration System Statistical Report1998. Registrar General of India, New Delhi.

** Based on Published/Available Data.


*** Health Information of India-1999, Central Bureau of Health Intelligence, Directorate General of Health Services,
Ministry of Health & Family Welfare, Government of India, New Delhi.
# Derived from MCCD( Medically Certified Cause of Death) Data-1998.

77

Table-B8. Output on IHD (Rural Male) using DISMOD


Input Variables
Age
group

Output Variables

78

Prevalence
rate/1000

Case
fatality
rate/1000

Mortality
rate/1000

Incident
rates/1000

Prevalence
rate/1000

Remission
rate/1000

Case
fatality
rate/1000

Duration
(years)

Mortality
rate/1000

RR
mortality
(numbers)

Age of onset
(years)

0-4

1.00

10.00

0.04

0.04

0.97

47.46

10.48

4.22

0.01

1.71

3.78

5-9

1.00

10.00

0.01

0.26

0.90

289.84

9.46

3.32

0.01

5.46

7.81

10-14

1.00

10.00

0.01

0.24

0.90

248.91

9.03

4.15

0.01

8.97

12.19

15-19

1.00

10.00

0.01

0.28

1.02

215.75

9.78

2.83

0.01

6.46

18.10

20-24

17.54

95.00

0.01

2.58

3.18

470.86

8.19

2.01

0.03

4.32

23.18

25-29

13.67

95.00

0.05

6.84

10.50

500.00

4.37

1.98

0.05

2.62

27.64

30-34

12.39

110.00

0.05

7.12

13.86

499.93

4.40

2.02

0.06

2.38

32.47

35-39

18.79

110.00

0.19

7.40

14.37

474.89

9.66

2.60

0.14

3.16

37.50

40-44

17.94

130.00

0.19

5.13

16.65

255.34

13.76

4.10

0.23

3.29

42.20

45-49

20.72

130.00

0.70

5.31

19.84

211.88

23.47

3.33

0.47

3.86

47.84

50-54

31.11

150.00

0.70

8.08

21.18

320.95

43.72

4.28

0.93

4.17

52.44

55-59

26.68

150.00

1.97

4.86

24.62

79.01

62.14

6.91

1.53

4.05

57.28

60-64

71.07

170.00

1.97

4.74

33.79

0.01

71.34

5.74

2.41

3.06

62.65

65-69

71.07

170.00

3.79

8.50

46.60

25.09

91.80

3.49

4.28

2.92

67.86

70-74

71.07

170.00

7.76

23.84

58.61

243.93

122.38

1.85

7.18

2.72

72.85

75-79

71.07

170.00

7.76

38.02

60.45

459.72

142.00

1.38

8.58

2.38

77.56

80+

71.07

170.00

7.76

39.69

60.08

485.61

144.09

1.20

8.66

1.80

86.90

Table-B9. Output on IHD (Rural Female) using DISMOD


Input Variables
Age
group

Output Variables

79

Prevalence
rate/1000

Case
fatality
rate/1000

Mortality
rate/1000

Incident
rates/1000

Prevalence
rate/1000

Remission
rate/1000

Case
fatality
rate/1000

Duration
(years)

Mortality
rate/1000

RR
mortality
(numbers)

Age of
onset
(years)

0-4

1.00

10.00

0.03

0.04

0.94

60.07

10.32

4.11

0.01

1.60

3.77

5-9

1.00

10.00

0.01

0.24

0.83

295.28

9.08

3.30

0.01

4.40

7.81

10-14

1.00

10.00

0.01

0.23

0.84

248.98

8.45

4.15

0.01

6.86

12.19

15-19

1.00

10.00

0.01

0.27

0.96

216.10

8.93

2.82

0.01

4.92

18.13

20-24

10.47

95.00

0.01

2.72

3.29

471.64

6.85

2.01

0.02

3.38

23.20

25-29

14.42

95.00

0.02

7.05

10.98

500.00

2.74

1.98

0.03

2.07

27.61

30-34

10.75

110.00

0.02

6.68

13.49

500.00

1.96

2.04

0.03

1.63

32.45

35-39

15.99

110.00

0.07

7.73

14.37

474.17

3.58

2.71

0.05

2.11

37.59

40-44

23.23

130.00

0.07

7.28

20.59

249.16

4.21

4.34

0.09

2.03

42.41

45-49

38.78

130.00

0.31

11.77

35.42

217.40

5.27

3.44

0.19

1.92

47.86

50-54

49.86

150.00

0.31

16.70

45.88

319.27

8.48

3.61

0.39

1.89

52.39

55-59

50.91

150.00

1.14

12.41

53.06

166.42

13.31

3.47

0.71

1.91

57.63

60-64

67.44

170.00

1.14

25.89

61.32

369.60

22.48

2.02

1.38

1.91

62.74

65-69

67.44

170.00

2.48

32.87

58.72

497.55

47.29

1.68

2.77

2.40

67.50

70-74

67.44

170.00

6.04

32.91

54.82

490.72

93.68

1.65

5.13

2.76

72.49

75-79

67.44

170.00

6.04

24.18

52.82

315.86

128.30

2.16

6.78

2.65

77.23

80+

67.44

170.00

6.04

22.89

52.41

288.49

132.53

1.57

6.95

1.98

89.37

Table-B10. Computation of YLL and DALY for Rural Area


YLD

Incidence

Incidence
per
100,000

Age of

Disability

YLD

YLD[0,0]

PYLD[0,0]

Inc-based

Incidence

Curr.
Prev.

Inc-based

Weight

(Incidence)

(Incidence)

(Prevalence)

PYLD[0,0]

YLD

PYLD[0,0]

PYLD[0,0]

(Prevalence)

per
100,000

per
100,000

per
100,000

Duration
Onset

Male

80

0-4

3.8

4.2

0.5

15

20,210

47.2

14-May

26,750

30

9.9

3.7

0.5

53,580

46,705

55

37,869

60.1

0.1

42.5

15-29

285,376

300

26

0.5

397,309

269,330

195

201,998

417.7

0.2

212.3

30-44

436,314

670

36.5

2.7

0.5

737,361

555,904

1,060

454,802

1,132.30

1.6

698.4

45-59

221,651

610

51.8

4.5

0.5

454,640

470,673

4,215

368,651

1,251.20

11.6

1,014.60

60-69

92,440

620

65.5

4.5

0.5

137,459

196,296

3,768

273,689

921.9

25.3

1,835.60

70-79

169,234

2,840.00

74.9

1.6

0.5

75,820

127,774

1,820

166,467

1,272.40

30.5

2,793.60

80+

69,684

3,970.00

86.9

1.2

0.5

16,981

39,459

490

49,780

967.4

27.9

2,836.00

Total

1,301,450

370.6

46

2.8

0.5

1,873,150

1,706,142

11,619

1,573,465

533.4

3.3

448

0-4

3.8

4.1

0.5

17,593

42.5

14-May

17,272

20

9.9

3.7

0.5

34,595

30,156

19

32,601

40.1

37.8

15-29

302,215

320

26

0.5

420,753

285,222

307

218,373

445.5

0.3

231.2

30-44

486,547

720

37

2.9

0.5

873,329

665,824

800

503,833

1,292.40

1.2

745.6

45-59

502,550

1,370.00

52.1

3.5

0.5

816,725

830,011

2,165

758,175

2,226.50

5.9

2,066.90

60-69

478,856

2,870.00

64.9

1.9

0.5

327,183

429,334

2,847

474,763

1,961.00

17.1

2,845.50

70-79

199,700

2,990.00

73.8

1.8

0.5

103,075

169,624

1,437

170,506

1,543.30

21.5

2,552.90

80+

40,195

2,290.00

89.4

1.6

0.5

12,014

30,348

277

43,402

684.5

15.8

2,472.70

Total

2,027,335

576.6

50.1

2.6

0.5

2,587,675

2,440,520

7,860

2,219,247

736

2.2

631.2

Total
persons

3,328,785

473.6

48.5

2.6

0.5

4,460,825

4,146,662

19,479

3,792,712

634.7

2.8

539.7

Female

YLL

Number of
deaths

Death rate
per 1,000

YLL

YLL[0,0]

DALY

DALY[0,0]

YLL
per 100,000

DALY
per 100,000

0-4

435

0.0

14,926

671

14,926

671

34.9

34.9

5-14

740

0.0

27,572

7,360

81,152

54,065

30.9

91.0

15-29

2,464

0.0

80,622

60,155

477,931

329,485

84.8

502.4

30-44

8,749

0.1

209,489

341,403

946,850

897,306

321.7

1,454.0

45-59

32,370

0.9

487,534

1,734,910

942,175

2,205,583

1,341.7

2,592.9

60-69

47,085

3.2

418,756

3,070,453

556,215

3,266,749

2,808.6

3,730.5

70-79

45,442

7.6

231,333

3,376,725

307,153

3,504,499

3,882.1

5,154.5

80+

15,195

8.7

33,105

1,294,018

50,086

1,333,478

1,886.0

2,853.5

Total

152,480

0.4

1,503,338

9,885,694

3,376,488

11,591,836

428.1

961.4

0-4

400

0.0

13,742

580

13,742

580

33.2

33.2

5-14

635

0.0

23,758

6,278

58,353

36,434

27.5

67.6

15-29

1,904

0.0

63,108

45,850

483,860

331,072

66.8

512.3

30-44

3,477

0.1

85,060

135,048

958,390

800,872

125.9

1,418.2

45-59

14,560

0.4

225,354

786,005

1,042,079

1,616,016

614.3

2,840.8

60-69

32,314

1.9

310,519

2,112,170

637,702

2,541,504

1,861.1

3,822.0

70-79

38,052

5.7

216,479

2,836,610

319,554

3,006,234

3,241.2

4,784.5

80+

12,192

6.9

28,790

1,043,578

40,805

1,073,927

1,640.2

2,324.7

Total

103,534

0.3

966,811

6,966,118

3,554,486

9,406,639

275.0

1,010.9

Total persons

256,014

0.4

2,470,149

16,851,813

6,930,974

20,998,475

351.5

986.2

Male

81

Female

Table-B11. Input on Stroke (Male) from Published/Available Data


Case
Population
Total
Prevalence
Age
Age
Fatality
Age
mortality/
population
rate/1000
group
group
Rate/100 group
1000
(*)
(**)
(***)

Age
group

Stroke specific
mortality/100000
(#)

0-4

56799581

0-9

0.00

1.00

0-4

21.0

0-4

0.00

5-9

58741447

10-19

0.00

1.00

5-9

2.1

5-14

0.00

10-14

59960149

20-29

0.00

1.00

10-14

1.0

15-24

0.00

15-19

50254321

30-39

0.00

1.00

15-19

1.7

25-34

0.00

20-24

44177452

40-49

0.50

6.70

20-24

2.3

35-44

133.31

25-29

40293720

50-59

5.80

10.00

25-29

2.6

45-54

177.41

30-34

35204359

60-69

8.80

14.00

30-34

3.2

55-64

323.58

35-39

30825211

70-79

9.10

17.00

35-39

4.2

65-69

443.14

40-44

26700658

80-89

7.70

32.00

40-44

5.6

70+

687.16

45-49

21611826

90+

42.00

33.00

45-49

7.4

50-54

17722764

50-54

12.9

55-59

12869276

55-59

18.9

60-64

12136663

60-64

32.8

65-69

8252931

65-69

47.6

70-74

5592574

70+

94.1

75-79

2912799

80-84

1456400

85+

970933

Projected Population from Sample Registration System Statistical Report1998. Registrar General of India, New Delhi.

** Based on Published/Available Data.


*** Health Information of India-1999, Central Bureau of Health Intelligence, Directorate General of Health Services,
Ministry of Health & Family Welfare, Government of India, New Delhi.
# Derived from MCCD( Medically Certified Cause of Death) Data-1998.

82

Table-B12. Input on Stroke (Female) from Published/Available Data


Age
group

Total
population
(*)

Age
group

Prevalenc
e
rate/1000
(**)

Case
Fatality
Rate/100

Age
group

Population
mortality/1000
(***)

Age
group

Stroke
specific
mortality/
100000
(#)

0-4

54857715

0-9

0.00

1.00

0-4

24.10

0-4

0.00

5-9

57770514

10-19

0.00

1.00

5-9

2.4

5-14

0.00

10-14

57522744

20-29

0.20

1.00

10-14

1.2

15-24

0.00

15-19

46838979

30-39

0.20

1.00

15-19

2.0

25-34

90.83

20-24

45148385

40-49

1.70

6.70

20-24

2.7

35-44

114.82

25-29

41264653

50-59

5.30

10.00

25-29

2.6

45-54

130.47

30-34

37615616

60-69

8.00

14.00

30-34

2.8

55-64

226.47

35-39

30343568

70-79

25.20

17.00

35-39

3.0

65-69

366.96

40-44

26700658

80-89

75.00

32.00

40-44

3.8

70+

642.70

45-49

20138293

90+

0.00

33.00

45-49

5.2

50-54

18201757

50-54

8.8

55-59

13345915

55-59

13.7

60-64

13107596

60-64

23.8

65-69

9223864

65-69

35.8

70-74

6058622

70+

83.4

75-79

2912799

80-84

1456400

85+

970933

Projected Population from Sample Registration System Statistical Report1998. Registrar General of India, New Delhi.

** Based on Published/Available Data.


*** Health Information of India-1999, Central Bureau of Health Intelligence, Directorate General of Health Services,
Ministry of Health & Family Welfare, Government of India, New Delhi.
# Derived from MCCD( Medically Certified Cause of Death) Data-1998.

83

Table-B13. Output on Stroke (Male) using DISMOD


Input Variables
Age
group

Output Variables

84

Prevalenc
e rate/1000

Case
fatality
rate/1000

Mortality
rate/1000

Incident
rates/1000

Prevalenc
e rate/1000

Remission
rate/1000

Case
fatality
rate/1000

Duration
(years)

Mortality
rate/1000

RR
mortality
(numbers)

Age of
onset
(years)

0-4

0.00

1.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

2.60

5-9

0.00

1.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

7.64

10-14

0.00

1.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

12.52

15-19

0.00

1.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

17.50

20-24

0.00

1.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

1.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

22.50

25-29

0.00

1.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

136.41

1.00

4.11

0.00

1.37

28.50

30-34

0.00

1.00

0.00

0.01

0.02

338.60

1.01

3.68

0.00

1.30

33.40

35-39

0.00

1.00

1.33

0.06

0.12

180.88

1.46

4.45

0.00

1.34

38.00

40-44

0.50

6.70

1.33

0.17

0.41

263.64

4.13

3.33

0.00

1.76

42.77

45-49

0.50

6.70

1.77

0.25

0.63

282.36

7.12

3.95

0.00

1.92

47.65

50-54

5.80

10.00

1.77

1.12

2.19

194.69

8.83

3.04

0.02

1.65

53.15

55-59

5.80

10.00

3.24

3.29

6.04

425.58

10.69

2.00

0.06

1.55

57.74

60-64

8.80

14.00

3.24

4.62

8.33

500.00

13.47

1.81

0.11

1.41

62.56

65-69

8.80

14.00

4.43

4.79

9.24

500.00

14.99

1.77

0.14

1.33

67.49

70-74

9.10

17.00

6.87

4.70

9.20

495.24

16.36

1.76

0.15

1.24

72.49

75-79

9.10

17.00

6.87

3.77

9.05

407.89

19.44

1.95

0.18

1.19

77.32

80+

17.13

32.52

6.87

9.91

18.45

453.80

34.11

1.18

0.63

1.11

92.46

All ages

1.03

NA

0.70

0.48

0.92

434.31

15.06

1.98

0.01

1.33

65.61

Table-B14. Output on Stroke (Female) using DISMOD


Input Variables

Output Variables

85

Age
group

Prevalenc
e
rate/1000

Case
fatality
rate/1000

Mortality
rate/1000

Incident
rates/1000

Prevalence
rate/1000

Remission
rate/1000

Case
fatality
rate/1000

Duration
(years)

Mortality
rate/1000

RR
mortality
(numbers)

Age of
onset
(years)

0-4

0.00

1.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

2.50

5-9

0.00

1.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

7.50

10-14

0.00

1.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

31.70

1.00

5.16

0.00

1.71

14.25

15-19

0.00

1.00

0.00

0.04

0.07

239.63

1.00

2.89

0.00

1.47

18.17

20-24

0.20

1.00

0.00

0.10

0.19

456.54

1.00

2.07

0.00

1.38

22.59

25-29

0.20

1.00

0.91

0.10

0.21

500.00

1.00

2.10

0.00

1.38

27.47

30-34

0.20

1.00

0.91

0.09

0.20

452.19

1.01

3.02

0.00

1.36

32.39

35-39

0.20

1.00

1.15

0.09

0.25

200.22

1.39

4.43

0.00

1.47

38.07

40-44

1.70

6.70

1.15

0.54

1.02

275.72

4.35

3.32

0.00

2.14

42.99

45-49

1.70

6.70

1.30

0.84

2.17

282.49

7.21

3.96

0.02

2.34

47.45

50-54

5.30

10.00

1.30

1.19

3.81

184.56

8.84

3.20

0.03

1.99

52.86

55-59

5.30

10.00

2.26

2.75

5.71

420.65

10.74

2.11

0.06

1.77

57.75

60-64

8.00

14.00

2.26

3.83

7.41

449.17

13.59

2.62

0.10

1.56

62.48

65-69

8.00

14.00

3.67

2.87

9.59

206.11

15.19

3.69

0.15

1.45

67.53

70-74

25.20

17.00

6.43

8.20

18.93

265.59

17.26

2.62

0.33

1.33

72.96

75-79

25.20

17.00

6.43

13.60

33.53

281.96

21.59

2.81

0.73

1.28

77.53

80+

54.38

32.52

6.43

19.33

44.86

355.24

30.05

1.54

1.34

1.25

84.74

All ages

1.68

NA

0.73

0.66

1.57

312.49

15.71

2.66

0.02

1.44

64.92

Table-B15. Computation of YLL and DALY

YLD

Incidence

Inc-based

Inciden
ce

Curr.
Prev.

Inc-based

Incidence
per
100,000

Age of
Onset

Duration

Disability
Weight

YLD
(Incidence)

YLD[0,0]
(Incidence)

PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

YLD
per
100,000

PYLD[0,0]
per
100,000

PYLD[0,0]
per 100,000

Male
0-4

2.5

0.0

0.9

31

0.1

5-14

10.0

0.0

0.9

15

0.0

15-29

28.5

4.1

0.9

59

0.0

86

30-44

9,273

10.0

40.8

3.7

0.9

38,378

31,565

494

17,062

41.4

0.5

18.4

45-59

67,865

130.0

55.6

2.5

0.9

145,907

156,090

5,036

120,069

279.5

9.6

230.0

60-69

95,831

470.0

64.6

1.8

0.9

122,169

158,696

9,240

163,198

599.2

45.3

800.4

70-79

37,424

440.0

73.9

1.8

0.9

37,559

61,974

6,146

71,207

441.6

72.3

837.2

80+

25,002

1,030.0

92.5

1.2

0.9

10,102

27,602

1,823

41,313

416.2

75.1

1,702.0

Total

235,394

48.4

65.5

2.0

0.9

354,115

435,926

22,844

412,850

72.8

4.7

84.9

Female
0-4

2.5

0.0

0.9

25

0.0

5-14

14.2

5.2

0.9

22

0.0

15-29

13,325

10.0

23.6

2.2

0.9

39,780

26,970

40

24,518

29.9

0.0

18.4

30-44

18,932

20.0

40.5

3.4

0.9

72,851

59,219

306

34,835

77.0

0.3

36.8

45-59

77,529

150.0

54.0

2.8

0.9

191,949

199,715

3,163

175,939

371.4

6.1

340.4

60-69

78,160

350.0

64.2

3.0

0.9

162,408

215,722

8,246

170,523

727.3

36.9

763.6

70-79

91,508

1,020.0

75.0

2.7

0.9

130,458

227,307

6,239

195,613

1,454.1

69.5

2,180.4

80+

49,760

2,050.0

84.7

1.5

0.9

31,188

68,669

1,930

100,268

1,284.9

79.5

4,130.8

Total
Total
persons

329,215

68.1

64.9

2.6

0.9

628,634

797,602

19,971

701,696

130.0

4.1

145.1

564,609

58.2

65.1

2.4

0.9

982,749

1,233,529

42,815

1,114,546

101.3

4.4

114.9

Number of
deaths

Death rate
per 1,000

YLL

YLL[0,0]

DALY

DALY[0,0]

YLL
per 100,000

DALY
per
100,000

0-4

1,300

0.0

43,724

897

43,724

897

77.0

77.0

5-14

591

0.0

22,016

5,690

22,016

5,690

18.5

18.5

15-29

2,353

0.0

77,813

55,740

77,813

55,740

57.8

57.8

30-44

5,797

0.1

139,528

225,067

177,907

256,632

150.5

191.9

45-59

49,982

1.0

742,961

2,696,321

888,868

2,852,410

1,423.2

1,702.7

60-69

98,825

4.8

882,899

6,436,155

1,005,067

6,594,851

4,330.1

4,929.3

70-79

96,855

11.4

483,038

7,226,439

520,597

7,288,413

5,679.2

6,120.8

80+

49,406

20.4

102,137

4,236,893

112,239

4,264,495

4,207.8

4,623.9

Total

305,109

0.6

2,494,114

20,883,202

2,848,230

21,319,128

512.7

585.5

0-4

1,033

0.0

35,352

1,348

35,352

1,348

64.4

64.4

5-14

854

0.0

31,952

7,957

31,952

7,957

27.7

27.7

15-29

1,605

0.0

53,244

38,436

93,025

65,406

40.0

69.8

30-44

4,003

0.0

98,942

153,824

171,793

213,043

104.5

181.5

45-59

33,593

0.6

521,129

1,811,497

713,078

2,011,211

1,008.3

1,379.6

60-69

91,030

4.1

877,889

5,943,394

1,040,297

6,159,116

3,931.2

4,658.4

70-79

101,778

11.3

583,863

7,574,056

714,321

7,801,363

6,508.0

7,962.2

80+

54,359

22.4

117,430

4,699,598

148,618

4,768,267

4,837.8

6,122.7

Total

288,253

0.6

2,319,801

20,230,110

2,948,435

21,027,712

479.8

609.8

Total
persons

593,362

0.6

4,813,915

41,113,312

5,796,665

42,346,840

496.3

597.6

YLL
Male

87

Female

Table B16. Computation of YLL and DALY for Urban Areas


Inc-based

Incidence
YLD
per
100,000

Curr. Prev.

Incidence

Incidence
per 100,000

Age of
Onset

Duration

Disability
Weight

YLD
(Incidence)

YLD[0,0]
(Incidence)

PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

0-4

4,146

6.7

2.7

48.4

0.0

1,650

2,545

393

393

2.7

0.6

0.6

5-14

22,542

18.9

11.0

42.9

0.0

9,551

12,267

2,113

2,113

8.0

1.8

1.8

15-29

150,981

102.7

24.4

31.9

0.0

53,158

60,994

14,419

14,419

36.2

9.8

9.8

30-44

454,973

414.5

38.1

22.9

0.0

110,878

132,364

56,157

56,157

101.0

51.2

51.2

45-59

366,672

563.2

51.4

15.8

0.0

54,476

73,295

82,170

82,170

83.7

126.2

126.2

60-69

105,585

440.0

64.4

10.2

0.0

8,515

13,718

39,818

39,818

35.5

165.9

165.9

70-79

38,876

335.0

73.8

7.0

0.0

1,826

3,471

20,269

20,269

15.7

174.6

174.6

80+

5,753

191.4

83.0

4.5

0.0

144

330

5,376

5,376

4.8

178.9

178.9

Total

1,149,529

212.5

43.7

20.5

0.0

240,198

298,984

220,714

220,714

44.4

40.8

40.8

0-4

1,040

1.8

2.8

43.5

0.0

396

574

69

69

0.7

0.1

0.1

5-14

8,813

7.9

11.4

39.3

0.0

3,614

4,395

574

574

3.3

0.5

0.5

15-29

123,149

91.2

25.2

30.2

0.0

41,944

47,142

8,173

8,173

31.1

6.1

6.1

30-44

535,200

535.1

38.1

23.8

0.0

132,912

161,581

54,301

54,301

132.9

54.3

54.3

45-59

374,171

602.5

51.3

17.2

0.0

58,832

81,473

89,971

89,971

94.7

144.9

144.9

60-69

91,164

355.8

64.2

11.1

0.0

7,853

12,859

44,285

44,285

30.7

172.9

172.9

70-79

20,741

159.0

73.3

8.2

0.0

1,113

2,145

19,556

19,556

8.5

149.9

149.9

80+

1,459

39.1

82.5

5.8

0.0

46

106

4,687

4,687

1.2

125.7

125.7

Total

1,155,737

227.3

43.5

21.2

0.0

246,709

310,275

221,616

221,616

48.5

43.6

43.6

Total
persons

2,305,265

219.6

43.6

20.8

0.0

486,907

609,259

442,330

442,330

46.4

42.1

42.1

YLD

PYLD[0,0]
per 100,000

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
per
100,000

Male

88

Female

YLL

Number of
deaths

Death rate
per 1,000

YLL

YLL[0,0]

DALY

DALY[0,0]

YLL
per 100,000

DALY
per 100,000

0-4

1,650

2,545

2.7

5-14

9,551

12,267

8.0

15-29

295

0.0

9,179

8,113

62,337

69,106

6.2

42.4

30-44

1,500

0.0

36,322

57,895

147,200

190,259

33.1

134.1

45-59

7,983

0.1

119,528

429,233

174,004

502,527

183.6

267.3

60-69

7,728

0.3

67,877

505,730

76,393

519,448

282.9

318.3

70-79

7,240

0.6

36,966

537,675

38,792

541,146

318.5

334.2

80+

2,130

0.7

4,640

181,393

4,785

181,724

154.4

159.2

Total

26,876

0.0

274,512

1,720,038

514,710

2,019,022

50.7

95.1

0-4

396

574

0.7

5-14

3,614

4,395

3.3

15-29

208

0.0

6,529

5,720

48,473

52,862

4.8

35.9

30-44

1,073

0.0

26,451

41,353

159,362

202,933

26.4

159.3

45-59

6,756

0.1

105,195

363,720

164,026

445,193

169.4

264.1

60-69

7,670

0.3

72,891

503,060

80,744

515,919

284.5

315.2

70-79

6,717

0.5

38,953

498,738

40,065

500,882

298.6

307.2

80+

2,351

0.6

5,429

201,759

5,475

201,865

145.6

146.8

Total

24,775

0.0

255,447

1,614,349

502,156

1,924,624

50.2

98.7

Total persons

51,651

0.0

529,959

3,334,387

1,016,866

3,943,646

50.5

96.9

Male

Female

89

Table-B17. Computation of YLL and DALY for Rural Area

YLD

Incidence

Incidence
per 100,000

Age of
Onset

Duration

Disability
Weight

YLD
(Incidence)

YLD[0,0]
(Incidence)

PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Incidence
YLD
per
100,000

Curr. Prev.
PYLD[0,0]
per 100,000

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
per
100,000

Male

90

0-4

4,146

6.7

2.7

48.4

0.0

1,650

2,545

393

2.7

0.6

5-14

22,542

18.9

11.0

42.9

0.0

9,551

12,267

2,113

8.0

1.8

15-29

150,981

102.7

24.4

31.9

0.0

53,158

60,994

14,419

36.2

9.8

30-44

454,973

414.5

38.1

22.9

0.0

110,878

132,364

56,157

38,131

101.0

51.2

34.7

45-59

366,672

563.2

51.4

15.8

0.0

54,476

73,295

82,170

82,965

83.7

126.2

127.4

60-69

105,585

440.0

64.4

10.2

0.0

8,515

13,718

39,818

48,774

35.5

165.9

203.3

70-79

38,876

335.0

73.8

7.0

0.0

1,826

3,471

20,269

8,917

15.7

174.6

76.8

80+

5,753

191.4

83.0

4.5

0.0

144

330

5,376

3,067

4.8

178.9

102.1

Total

1,149,529

212.5

43.7

20.5

0.0

240,198

298,984

220,714

181,855

44.4

40.8

33.6

0-4

1,040

1.8

2.8

43.5

0.0

396

574

69

0.7

0.1

5-14

8,813

7.9

11.4

39.3

0.0

3,614

4,395

574

3.3

0.5

15-29

123,149

91.2

25.2

30.2

0.0

41,944

47,142

8,173

4,796

31.1

6.1

3.6

30-44

535,200

535.1

38.1

23.8

0.0

132,912

161,581

54,301

26,504

132.9

54.3

26.5

45-59

374,171

602.5

51.3

17.2

0.0

58,832

81,473

89,971

44,330

94.7

144.9

71.4

60-69

91,164

355.8

64.2

11.1

0.0

7,853

12,859

44,285

20,985

30.7

172.9

81.9

70-79

20,741

159.0

73.3

8.2

0.0

1,113

2,145

19,556

6,119

8.5

149.9

46.9

80+

1,459

39.1

82.5

5.8

0.0

46

106

4,687

6,614

1.2

125.7

177.4

Total
Total
persons

1,155,737

227.3

43.5

21.2

0.0

246,709

310,275

221,616

109,347

48.5

43.6

21.5

2,305,265

219.6

43.6

20.8

0.0

486,907

609,259

442,330

291,202

46.4

42.1

27.7

Female

YLL

Number of
deaths

Death rate
per 1,000

YLL

YLL[0,0]

DALY

DALY[0,0]

YLL
per 100,000

DALY
per 100,000

0-4

1,650

2,545

2.7

5-14

9,551

12,267

8.0

15-29

295

0.0

9,179

8,113

62,337

69,106

6.2

42.4

30-44

1,500

0.0

36,322

57,895

147,200

190,259

33.1

134.1

45-59

7,983

0.1

119,528

429,233

174,004

502,527

183.6

267.3

60-69

7,728

0.3

67,877

505,730

76,393

519,448

282.9

318.3

70-79

7,240

0.6

36,966

537,675

38,792

541,146

318.5

334.2

80+

2,130

0.7

4,640

181,393

4,785

181,724

154.4

159.2

Total

26,876

0.0

274,512

1,720,038

514,710

2,019,022

50.7

95.1

0-4

396

574

0.7

5-14

3,614

4,395

3.3

15-29

208

0.0

6,529

5,720

48,473

52,862

4.8

35.9

30-44

1,073

0.0

26,451

41,353

159,362

202,933

26.4

159.3

45-59

6,756

0.1

105,195

363,720

164,026

445,193

169.4

264.1

60-69

7,670

0.3

72,891

503,060

80,744

515,919

284.5

315.2

70-79

6,717

0.5

38,953

498,738

40,065

500,882

298.6

307.2

80+

2,351

0.6

5,429

201,759

5,475

201,865

145.6

146.8

Total

24,775

0.0

255,447

1,614,349

502,156

1,924,624

50.2

98.7

Total persons

51,651

0.0

529,959

3,334,387

1,016,866

3,943,646

50.5

96.9

Male

Female

91

Table B18. DISMOD Analysis for Mouth and Oropharynx Cancer Data (males)
Input Variables
Age
group

Output Variables

92

Incident
rates/100,000

Case
fatality
rate/100,000

Mortality
rate/100,000

Incident
rates/100,000

Prevalence
rate/100,000

Remission
rate/100,000

Case
fatality
rate/100,000

Duration
(years)

Mortality
rate/100,000

RR
mortality
(numbers)

Age of
onset(years)

0-4

0.11

5560.00

0.06

0.13

0.32

0.17

10.51

43.59

0.00

1.01

2.51

5-9

0.16

0.00

0.00

0.14

0.97

0.08

6.40

40.73

0.00

1.03

7.52

10-14

0.11

2330.00

0.06

0.15

1.67

0.01

5.84

35.96

0.00

1.06

12.59

15-19

0.45

0.00

0.00

0.28

2.66

0.00

23.79

30.95

0.00

1.22

17.85

20-24

0.56

1750.00

0.10

0.59

4.77

0.00

580.39

26.66

0.03

4.10

22.73

25-29

1.18

1830.00

0.21

1.33

8.77

0.00

1695.39

23.28

0.15

7.49

27.91

30-34

3.39

1740.00

0.49

3.32

18.71

0.00

2026.83

20.77

0.38

7.23

32.79

35-39

5.88

1920.00

1.09

6.37

39.14

0.00

2226.66

18.18

0.87

6.20

37.79

40-44

16.58

2400.00

3.03

14.23

80.86

0.00

2701.00

15.64

2.18

5.77

42.81

45-49

28.83

3340.00

7.35

27.42

165.36

2.16

3278.43

13.31

5.42

5.24

47.72

50-54

51.45

3410.00

14.07

44.58

302.35

101.24

3661.86

11.07

11.08

3.84

52.67

55-59

70.71

3740.00

20.41

64.78

493.72

832.60

3707.26

8.90

18.31

2.93

57.62

60-64

84.09

3350.00

24.67

83.60

700.70

2763.20

3587.98

6.98

25.15

2.10

62.59

65-69

110.80

3850.00

33.53

101.94

867.96

4796.53

3818.52

5.54

33.15

1.84

67.56

70-74

112.50

4590.00

42.25

110.15

932.30

7732.97

4347.07

4.34

40.53

1.64

72.50

75-79

107.70

5150.00

41.34

109.21

868.40

9506.04

4837.70

3.63

42.00

1.48

77.49

80+

107.70

5150.00

41.34

107.83

809.79

8546.73

5113.43

2.64

41.41

1.27

86.62

Table-B19. DISMOD Analysis of Mouth and Oropharynx Cancer Data (females)


Input Variables

Output Variables

Incident
rates
100,000

Case
fatality
rate
/100,000

Mortality
rate/100,000

Incident
rates/100,000

Prevalence
rate/100,000

Remission
rate/100,000

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Duration
(years)

Mortality
rate/100,000

RR
mortality
(numbers)

Age of
onset
(years)

0-4

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.02

0.02

0.01

0.50

44.95

0.00

1.00

3.99

5-9

0.23

0.00

0.00

0.17

0.45

0.04

2.02

42.28

0.00

1.01

7.94

10-14

0.36

3700.00

0.06

0.31

1.66

0.05

5.21

37.89

0.00

1.04

12.63

15-19

0.34

0.00

0.00

0.39

3.40

0.03

27.56

33.23

0.00

1.19

17.59

20-24

0.60

1040.00

0.06

0.53

5.61

0.00

480.75

28.81

0.03

3.25

22.65

25-29

0.78

3010.00

0.24

0.88

8.62

0.00

1420.38

25.39

0.12

6.53

27.75

30-34

1.60

1650.00

0.31

1.70

13.90

0.00

1777.70

22.67

0.25

7.36

32.78

35-39

3.46

1500.00

0.52

3.44

24.52

0.00

1855.42

19.90

0.46

7.08

37.79

40-44

8.06

2880.00

2.23

7.15

46.64

0.00

2098.31

17.03

0.98

6.44

42.77

45-49

13.72

1720.00

2.11

12.83

88.66

21.69

2288.39

14.15

2.03

5.28

47.70

50-54

21.44

2490.00

5.26

18.99

151.94

1021.93

2407.62

11.31

3.66

3.72

52.62

55-59

25.22

2760.00

6.24

25.77

219.28

2795.21

2774.75

9.16

6.09

2.99

57.63

60-64

37.53

3140.00

10.44

36.35

297.66

2915.63

3177.58

7.32

9.46

2.32

62.63

65-69

50.10

3440.00

12.41

46.88

384.16

5333.47

3418.05

5.54

13.13

2.00

67.56

70-74

59.20

4710.00

19.73

48.14

389.62

11945.99

3436.04

4.37

13.38

1.68

72.46

75-79

38.54

2700.00

9.20

42.70

319.62

12857.25

3175.76

4.32

10.15

1.43

77.45

80+

38.54

2700.00

9.20

38.90

330.54

7786.56

2768.48

3.45

9.15

1.20

86.97

Age
group

93

Table-B20. Computation of YLL and DALY for Mouth and Oropharax Cancer Data
YLD

Incidence

Incidence
per
100,000

Age of
Onset

Duration

Disability
Weight

YLD
(Incidence)

YLD[0,0]
(Incidence)

PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Incidence
YLD
per
100,000

Curr. Prev.
PYLD[0,0]
per 100,000

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
per
100,000

Male
0-4

2.5

43.6

0.6

76

0.1

5-14

10.2

38.2

0.4

399

15-29

24.9

25.4

0.4

4,242

5,074

0.3

3.1

3.8

30-44

9,273

10.0

39.7

17.2

0.6

88,609

96,509

4,931

22,444

95.6

5.3

24.2

45-59

20,882

40.0

53.2

10.9

0.7

123,124

153,815

23,871

102,308

235.9

45.7

196.0

60-69

18,351

90.0

64.8

6.3

0.7

58,237

85,676

41,626

116,351

285.6

204.2

570.6

70-79

9,356

110.0

74.2

4.1

0.9

18,686

33,120

16,809

66,827

219.7

197.6

785.7

80+

2,670

110.0

86.6

2.6

0.9

2,688

6,448

6,725

18,260

110.7

277.1

752.3

Total

60,531

12.4

59.4

9.1

0.7

291,344

375,568

98,681

331,264

59.9

20.3

68.1

Female

94

0-4

4.0

45.0

0.5

372

0.7

5-14

11.0

39.4

0.3

363

0.3

15-29

23.8

28.3

0.3

3,203

3,634

2.4

2.7

30-44

39.5

18.9

0.4

4,157

10,991

4.4

11.6

45-59

10,337

20.0

53.1

11.3

0.5

43,235

54,411

13,806

33,706

83.6

26.7

65.2

60-69

8,933

40.0

65.0

6.5

0.5

19,849

29,503

17,742

37,446

88.9

79.4

167.7

70-79

4,486

50.0

74.0

4.4

0.8

9,106

16,185

11,186

27,221

101.5

124.7

303.4

971

40.0

87.0

3.4

0.9

1,227

3,047

6,672

7,393

50.6

274.9

304.6

24,726

5.1

62.5

8.0

0.6

73,417

103,146

57,503

120,390

15.2

11.9

24.9

85,258

8.8

60.3

8.7

0.7

364,761

478,714

156,183

451,654

37.6

16.1

46.6

80+
Total
Total
persons

YLL

Number of
deaths

Death rate
per 1,000

YLL

YLL[0,0]

DALY

DALY[0,0]

YLL
per 100,000

DALY
per 100,000

Male
0-4

5-14

15-29

72

0.0

2,273

1,920

2,273

1,920

1.7

1.7

30-44

986

0.0

23,136

39,220

111,745

135,729

25.0

120.5

45-59

5,491

0.1

82,759

294,198

205,883

448,012

158.5

394.4

60-69

5,788

0.3

52,439

375,430

110,676

461,106

257.2

542.8

70-79

3,489

0.4

17,828

259,068

36,514

292,187

209.6

429.3

80+

1,005

0.4

2,191

85,580

4,879

92,028

90.3

201.0

Total

16,831

0.0

180,626

1,055,415

471,970

1,430,984

37.1

97.0

Female

95

0-4

5-14

15-29

63

0.0

2,010

1,673

2,010

1,673

1.5

1.5

30-44

492

0.0

11,924

19,290

11,924

19,290

12.6

12.6

45-59

1,887

0.0

29,647

101,083

72,882

155,493

57.4

141.0

60-69

2,451

0.1

24,009

159,243

43,858

188,745

107.5

196.4

70-79

1,107

0.1

6,590

81,738

15,696

97,923

73.5

175.0

80+

222

0.1

524

19,004

1,751

22,051

21.6

72.1

Total

6,222

0.0

74,704

382,029

148,121

485,174

15.5

30.6

Total persons

23,053

0.0

255,330

1,437,444

620,091

1,916,158

26.3

63.9

Table-B21. DISMOD Analysis for Oesophagus Cancer Data (males)


Input Variables
Age
group

Output Variables

96

Incident
rates/100000

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Mortality
rate/100,000

Incident
rates/100,000

Prevalence
rate/100,000

Remission
rate/100,000

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Duration
(years)

Mortality
rate/100,000

RR
mortality
(numbers)

Age of
onset
(years)

0-4

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

35.67

0.00

0.00

3.99

5-9

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.04

0.10

0.00

0.00

32.63

0.00

1.00

7.90

10-14

0.06

0.00

0.00

0.06

0.36

0.00

0.22

28.17

0.00

1.00

12.55

15-19

0.06

0.00

0.00

0.07

0.68

0.00

42.02

23.28

0.00

1.77

17.62

20-24

0.15

4350.00

0.05

0.11

1.10

0.00

1863.64

19.08

0.02

11.17

22.70

25-29

0.16

10340.00

0.16

0.22

1.62

0.00

5255.85

17.65

0.09

21.09

27.81

30-34

0.43

4080.00

0.25

0.52

2.78

0.00

4972.61

17.65

0.14

16.60

32.88

35-39

1.30

3310.00

0.41

1.36

6.25

0.00

3919.70

16.76

0.25

10.26

37.90

40-44

3.92

2650.00

0.89

3.53

15.91

0.00

3533.85

15.11

0.56

7.25

42.85

45-49

8.04

3440.00

2.53

7.58

38.20

0.00

3751.22

13.14

1.43

5.84

47.77

50-54

15.98

3660.00

5.13

14.48

80.23

0.00

4298.62

11.19

3.45

4.30

52.74

55-59

27.57

4580.00

9.47

24.41

150.98

11.49

4688.95

9.36

7.08

3.41

57.67

60-64

35.50

4490.00

12.84

34.62

250.04

587.23

4628.31

7.47

11.58

2.41

62.61

65-69

47.03

4190.00

15.54

44.03

349.70

3410.22

4401.58

5.90

15.40

1.97

67.57

70-74

51.17

4420.00

17.85

49.80

408.51

6027.34

4345.05

4.74

17.75

1.64

72.53

75-79

52.40

4480.00

19.21

51.84

429.26

7241.57

4424.25

3.90

18.99

1.44

77.51

80+

52.40

4480.00

19.21

52.36

430.30

7720.12

4473.23

2.73

19.25

1.24

86.63

Table- B22. DISMOD Analysis of Oesophagus Cancer Data (females)


Input Variables
Age
group

Output Variables

97

Incident
rates/
100,000

Case
fatality rate
/100,000

Mortality
rate/100,000

Incident
rates/100,000

Prevalence
rate/100,000

Remission
rate/100,000

Case
fatality
rate/100,000

Duration
(years)

Mortality
rate/100,000

RR
mortality
(numbers)

Age of
onset
(years)

0-4

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

5-9

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

10-14

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.26

13.72

0.00

1.00

14.25

15-19

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.10

0.20

353.88

2.01

9.90

0.00

1.01

18.17

20-24

0.24

8330.00

0.12

0.23

0.91

10397.40

2.77

6.70

0.00

1.01

22.62

25-29

0.24

0.00

0.00

0.28

1.15

23500.44

995.48

8.37

0.01

6.76

27.62

30-34

0.38

5800.00

0.31

0.51

1.70

7976.27

4489.22

14.77

0.08

17.40

32.86

35-39

1.30

3770.00

0.52

1.38

4.96

101.67

5080.94

15.95

0.25

17.64

37.93

40-44

4.34

4630.00

1.61

3.74

14.85

0.00

4684.65

15.00

0.70

13.11

42.84

45-49

7.09

3530.00

2.41

7.25

36.33

0.00

4721.34

13.73

1.72

9.78

47.70

50-54

13.45

4840.00

6.24

11.45

70.27

0.00

4706.17

12.28

3.31

6.33

52.67

55-59

16.98

3970.00

6.24

16.28

118.07

0.00

4581.28

10.59

5.41

4.29

57.61

60-64

20.32

4540.00

8.75

20.87

176.14

168.59

4765.89

8.73

8.40

2.99

62.60

65-69

29.42

5380.00

13.79

27.06

237.46

1117.43

5197.78

7.08

12.35

2.53

67.60

70-74

32.66

5310.00

15.65

31.92

290.66

2477.30

5517.44

5.63

16.04

2.08

72.54

75-79

35.09

6430.00

18.98

34.11

315.83

4681.60

5852.89

4.46

18.49

1.77

77.52

80+

35.09

6430.00

18.98

35.02

300.72

6018.55

6330.49

3.27

19.04

1.45

87.04

Table-B23. Computation of YLL and DALY for Oesophagus Cancer Data


YLD

Incidence

Incidence
per
100,000

Age of
Onset

Duration

Disability
Weight

YLD
(Incidence)

YLD[0,0]
(Incidence)

PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Incidence
YLD
per 100,000

Curr. Prev.
PYLD[0,0]
per 100,000

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
per
100,000

Male
0-4

4.0

35.7

0.4

0.0

5-14

10.8

29.9

0.4

0.0

15-29

24.2

19.2

0.4

240

573

0.2

0.4

30-44

1,855

2.0

40.3

15.9

0.4

11,119

11,899

991

3,001

12.0

1.1

3.2

45-59

7,309

14.0

53.7

10.8

0.4

25,420

32,103

5,669

16,923

48.7

10.9

32.4

60-69

7,748

38.0

64.9

6.7

0.4

14,511

21,654

12,065

24,519

71.2

59.2

120.3

70-79

4,338

51.0

74.3

4.4

0.4

4,367

7,829

4,444

14,383

51.3

52.3

169.1

80+

1,262

52.0

86.6

2.7

0.4

575

1,385

1,409

4,196

23.7

58.0

172.9

Total

22,511

4.6

62.3

8.2

0.4

55,992

74,871

24,821

63,595

11.5

5.1

13.1

98

Female
0-4

0.0

0.0

0.3

11

0.0

5-14

14.3

13.7

0.3

10

0.0

15-29

24.0

8.0

0.3

289

440

0.2

0.3

30-44

1,893

2.0

40.4

15.2

0.3

8,134

8,594

1,149

1,694

8.6

1.2

1.8

45-59

5,685

11.0

53.3

12.0

0.3

16,292

20,941

4,440

10,937

31.5

8.6

21.2

60-69

5,136

23.0

65.0

7.9

0.3

8,011

12,355

7,193

13,598

35.9

32.2

60.9

70-79

2,961

33.0

74.2

5.2

0.3

2,597

4,752

3,568

8,232

29.0

39.8

91.8

80+

850

35.0

87.0

3.3

0.3

308

763

1,562

2,008

12.7

64.3

82.7

Total

16,525

3.4

60.9

9.4

0.3

35,343

47,405

18,222

36,910

7.3

3.8

7.6

Total
persons

39,036

4.0

61.7

8.7

0.4

91,335

122,275

43,043

100,505

9.4

4.4

10.4

YLL

Number of
deaths

Death rate
per 1,000

YLL

YLL[0,0]

DALY

DALY[0,0]

YLL
per 100,000

DALY
per 100,000

Male
0-4

5-14

15-29

43

0.0

1,362

1,138

1,362

1,138

1.0

1.0

30-44

275

0.0

6,530

10,818

17,649

22,716

7.0

19.0

45-59

1,833

0.0

27,033

99,238

52,452

131,341

51.8

100.5

60-69

2,676

0.1

24,230

173,605

38,741

195,259

118.8

190.0

70-79

1,546

0.2

7,881

114,850

12,248

122,679

92.7

144.0

80+

468

0.2

1,020

39,854

1,595

41,239

42.0

65.7

Total

6,841

0.0

68,055

439,502

124,047

514,372

14.0

25.5

Female

99

0-4

5-14

15-29

0.0

157

138

157

138

0.1

0.1

30-44

292

0.0

6,899

11,735

15,033

20,329

7.3

15.9

45-59

1,670

0.0

26,182

89,555

42,474

110,496

50.7

82.2

60-69

2,240

0.1

21,866

145,695

29,877

158,050

97.9

133.8

70-79

1,510

0.2

8,739

112,165

11,336

116,917

97.4

126.4

80+

462

0.2

1,092

39,539

1,401

40,303

45.0

57.7

Total

6,179

0.0

64,935

398,827

100,278

446,231

13.4

20.7

Total
persons

13,020

0.0

132,991

838,328

224,326

960,604

13.7

23.1

Table-B24. DISMOD Analysis for Stomach Cancer Data (males)


Input Variables
Age
group

Output Variables

100

Incident
rates
/100,000

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Mortality
rate/100,000

Incident
rates
/100,000

Prevalence
rate
/100,000

Remission
rate
/100,000

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Duration
(years)

Mortality
rate
100,000

RR
mortality
(numbers)

Age of
onset
(years)

0-4

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

5-9

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

10-14

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

34.26

0.18

24.74

0.00

1.00

14.25

15-19

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.02

0.05

263.00

62.74

21.06

0.00

1.73

18.18

20-24

0.05

7140.00

100.00

0.06

0.25

334.66

1902.91

17.53

0.00

10.84

22.74

25-29

0.48

5950.00

270.00

0.27

0.81

66.79

5317.84

15.74

0.04

21.14

28.18

30-34

1.11

6210.00

560.00

0.94

3.18

0.01

5866.41

15.53

0.19

18.96

32.83

35-39

1.64

5180.00

890.00

1.70

8.20

0.01

5233.43

15.12

0.43

13.35

37.72

40-44

3.92

4390.00

1520.00

3.33

17.19

0.01

4827.48

14.13

0.83

9.57

42.78

45-49

7.24

5370.00

3560.00

6.43

35.02

0.04

4670.55

12.79

1.64

7.11

47.74

50-54

13.90

4210.00

5130.00

11.62

67.36

0.10

4801.57

11.21

3.24

4.70

52.73

55-59

21.70

6020.00

10940.00

18.27

119.04

0.13

5274.16

9.71

6.28

3.72

57.63

60-64

22.40

4920.00

11830.00

24.32

184.17

0.05

5405.80

8.21

9.96

2.64

62.64

65-69

42.50

6890.00

22490.00

36.32

268.34

0.03

6342.33

6.95

17.03

2.40

67.64

70-74

49.40

7420.00

27970.00

42.07

363.24

0.02

6850.49

5.82

24.89

2.01

72.49

75-79

36.10

6250.00

22120.00

39.17

432.38

0.00

6570.73

4.81

28.41

1.65

77.46

80+

36.10

6250.00

22120.00

36.37

493.52

0.01

6283.55

3.23

31.01

1.33

86.58

Table-B25. DISMOD Analysis of Stomach Cancer Data (females)


Input Variables
Age
group

Output Variables

101

Incident
rates
100,000

Case
fatality rate
/100,000

Mortality
rate
/100,000

Incident
rates
/100,000

Prevalence
rate
/100,000

Remission
rate
/100,000

Case
fatality rate
/100,000

Duratio
n
(years)

Mortality
rate
/100,000

RR
mortality
(numbers)

Age of
onset
(years)

0-4

0.12

0.00

0.00

0.09

0.14

36090.84

0.61

4.14

0.00

1.00

2.47

5-9

0.06

100000.00

60.00

0.08

0.30

16065.41

0.66

6.86

0.00

1.00

7.49

10-14

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.11

0.48

17243.86

182.82

6.73

0.00

4.73

12.69

15-19

0.13

7140.00

70.00

0.16

0.58

18958.53

3422.67

11.17

0.02

19.74

17.64

20-24

0.42

10810.00

240.00

0.29

1.09

2502.16

6288.05

17.21

0.07

24.69

22.80

25-29

0.66

2440.00

120.00

0.80

3.08

0.07

3927.68

17.46

0.12

16.10

27.93

30-34

2.21

6060.00

610.00

1.87

8.55

0.08

4550.75

16.16

0.39

17.27

32.72

35-39

2.77

3850.00

690.00

2.52

16.86

0.04

4528.14

15.07

0.76

15.93

37.55

40-44

2.48

4550.00

1240.00

2.88

25.56

0.04

4544.35

13.48

1.16

12.86

42.58

45-49

4.98

5410.00

2560.00

4.39

35.42

0.43

5488.25

11.84

1.94

11.25

47.73

50-54

11.11

7440.00

5850.00

7.33

51.40

0.68

6656.06

10.65

3.42

8.51

52.67

55-59

10.24

7690.00

6740.00

11.15

74.91

0.18

7110.37

9.79

5.33

6.14

57.68

60-64

18.34

5490.00

7050.00

16.77

113.50

0.05

6337.48

8.81

7.20

3.67

62.63

65-69

20.68

7060.00

11030.00

20.41

162.98

0.03

6771.86

7.73

11.04

2.99

67.54

70-74

23.81

8610.00

14290.00

21.33

203.70

0.01

6962.98

6.72

14.19

2.37

72.50

75-79

19.56

5690.00

9200.00

20.65

235.92

0.01

6285.74

5.75

14.83

1.83

77.48

80+

19.56

5690.00

9200.00

19.66

275.91

0.01

5745.37

4.08

15.85

1.41

87.00

Table-B26. Computation of YLL and DALY for Stomach Cancer Data


YLD

Incidence

Incidence
per 100,000

Age of
Onset

Duration

Disability
Weight

YLD
(Incidence)

YLD[0,0]
(Incidence)

PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Incidence
YLD
per 100,000

Curr. Prev.
PYLD[0,0]
per 100,000

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
per 100,000

Male
0-4

0.0

0.0

0.5

14

0.0

5-14

14.2

24.7

0.5

45

0.0

15-29

26.4

16.5

0.5

663

0.5

30-44

39.4

14.7

0.5

1,216

4,599

1.3

5.0

45-59

5,220

10.0

53.5

11.0

0.5

23,211

29,266

5,414

18,624

44.5

10.4

35.7

60-69

6,117

30.0

65.2

7.6

0.5

15,937

24,500

8,894

23,640

78.2

43.6

115.9

70-79

3,402

40.0

74.1

5.5

0.6

5,641

10,358

4,314

18,362

66.3

50.7

215.9

80+

971

40.0

86.6

3.2

0.6

734

1,792

2,041

6,859

30.3

84.1

282.6

Total

15,710

3.2

64.6

8.0

0.5

45,523

65,916

22,599

72,084

9.4

4.6

14.8

102

Female
0-4

2.5

4.1

0.4

0.0

5-14

10.4

6.8

0.4

0.0

15-29

25.2

16.5

0.4

452

0.3

30-44

37.8

14.9

0.4

1,139

7,943

1.2

8.4

45-59

5,169

10.0

53.5

10.6

0.4

18,541

23,153

3,307

10,921

35.9

6.4

21.1

60-69

4,466

20.0

64.9

8.3

0.4

10,534

16,364

4,120

12,815

47.2

18.5

57.4

70-79

1,794

20.0

74.1

6.4

0.5

2,781

5,232

2,009

8,584

31.0

22.4

95.7

80+

485

20.0

87.0

4.1

0.5

383

970

1,547

3,312

15.8

63.8

136.4

Total

11,915

2.5

62.2

8.8

0.4

32,239

45,719

12,578

43,576

6.7

2.6

9.0

Total
persons

27,625

2.8

63.6

8.4

0.5

77,762

111,635

35,177

115,660

8.0

3.6

11.9

YLL

Number of
deaths

Death rate

YLL

YLL[0,0]

DALY

DALY[0,0]

per 1,000

YLL

DALY

per 100,000

per 100,000

Male
0-4

5-14

15-29

19

0.0

597

513

597

513

0.4

0.4

30-44

420

0.0

9,967

16,530

9,967

16,530

10.7

10.7

45-59

1,736

0.0

25,937

93,410

49,148

122,676

49.7

94.1

60-69

2,614

0.1

23,277

170,400

39,214

194,900

114.2

192.3

70-79

2,220

0.3

11,259

165,090

16,899

175,448

132.4

198.7

80+

753

0.3

1,621

64,232

2,355

66,023

66.8

97.0

Total

7,762

0.0

72,657

510,174

118,180

576,090

14.9

24.3

103

Female
0-4

5-14

0.0

37

13

37

13

0.0

0.0

15-29

90

0.0

2,952

2,230

2,952

2,230

2.2

2.2

30-44

688

0.0

16,895

26,620

16,895

26,620

17.8

17.8

45-59

1,726

0.0

27,256

92,210

45,797

115,363

52.7

88.6

60-69

1,961

0.1

19,093

127,653

29,627

144,017

85.5

132.7

70-79

1,292

0.1

7,530

95,830

10,311

101,062

83.9

114.9

80+

384

0.2

888

32,949

1,271

33,919

36.6

52.4

Total

6,142

0.0

74,651

377,504

106,891

423,224

15.4

22.1

Total persons

13,904

0.0

147,309

887,678

225,071

999,313

15.2

23.2

Table-B27. DISMOD Analysis for Colon and Rectum Cancer Data (males)
Input Variables
Age
group

Output Variables

104

Incident
rates/10
0,000

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Mortality
rate/100,000

Incident
rates/100,00
0

Prevalence
rate/100,000

Remission
rate/100,000

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Duration
(years)

Mortality
rate/100,000

RR mortality
(numbers)

Age of
onset(years)

0-4

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.05

0.07

42533.38

0.00

6.39

0.00

1.00

2.51

5-9

0.05

0.00

0.00

0.05

0.16

16180.18

0.12

19.12

0.00

1.00

7.54

10-14

0.06

0.00

0.00

0.07

0.39

667.63

116.56

21.39

0.00

3.35

12.80

15-19

0.45

7410.00

0.11

0.26

1.07

13.87

1968.60

17.26

0.02

13.13

17.98

20-24

0.56

3610.00

0.15

0.53

2.77

2.00

4010.13

15.08

0.11

18.39

22.64

25-29

0.64

3770.00

0.21

0.76

5.09

463.94

3769.57

13.16

0.19

15.46

27.71

30-34

1.42

2630.00

0.25

1.46

8.74

2502.61

3105.55

11.15

0.27

10.66

32.79

35-39

3.28

3270.00

0.48

2.84

14.94

5578.39

3248.34

10.17

0.49

8.61

37.73

40-44

4.55

4320.00

1.07

4.44

24.66

3757.33

3996.32

9.84

0.99

8.08

42.65

45-49

7.12

5290.00

2.18

6.68

41.04

2088.46

4706.33

8.25

1.93

7.14

47.67

50-54

11.87

5190.00

3.22

10.58

61.91

4632.21

5204.03

6.62

3.22

5.05

52.69

55-59

18.10

6000.00

5.26

16.15

86.32

7212.88

5560.99

5.49

4.80

3.89

57.65

60-64

22.41

5370.00

5.79

22.64

111.23

9885.45

5754.64

4.78

6.40

2.75

62.64

65-69

33.12

7040.00

11.86

31.66

146.79

8306.69

6947.94

4.26

10.21

2.54

67.62

70-74

49.98

9410.00

16.07

39.98

188.21

10050.18

8384.43

3.40

15.79

2.23

72.56

75-79

40.75

9850.00

19.21

42.66

196.46

12561.46

9344.05

2.91

18.36

1.93

77.49

80+

40.75

9850.00

19.21

40.96

195.07

11165.39

9813.94

2.23

19.14

1.52

86.60

Table-B28. DISMOD Analysis of Colon and Rectum Cancer Data (females)


Input Variables
Age
group

Output Variables

105

Incident
rates
/100,000

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Mortality
rate/100,000

Incident
rates/100,00
0

Prevalence
rate/100,000

Remission
rate/100,000

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Duration
(years)

Mortality
rate/100,000

RR mortality
(numbers)

Age of
onset(years
)

0-4

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

42.24

0.00

0.00

3.99

5-9

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.04

0.10

0.00

0.24

39.50

0.00

1.00

7.92

10-14

0.06

0.00

0.00

0.06

0.37

0.00

40.66

35.11

0.00

1.67

12.60

15-19

0.07

4550.00

0.07

0.09

0.74

0.00

625.00

30.71

0.00

4.34

17.67

20-24

0.24

1200.00

0.06

0.19

1.34

0.21

984.11

27.24

0.01

4.77

22.87

25-29

0.84

0.00

0.00

0.45

2.81

0.49

743.55

23.61

0.02

3.97

27.80

30-34

0.84

2220.00

0.23

1.03

5.96

0.17

2140.92

20.33

0.13

8.91

32.89

35-39

2.85

3590.00

0.60

2.60

13.35

0.00

3012.88

18.21

0.40

10.84

37.82

40-44

5.95

2280.00

0.87

4.91

28.86

40.13

2996.67

16.17

0.87

8.82

42.70

45-49

6.64

3720.00

2.11

7.05

52.40

664.89

2992.52

13.98

1.57

6.60

47.60

50-54

10.52

2980.00

2.53

9.02

78.66

1069.95

3427.93

12.12

2.70

4.87

52.60

55-59

11.74

5210.00

4.99

11.74

109.47

557.38

3811.48

10.23

4.17

3.75

57.61

60-64

15.24

3140.00

4.80

15.37

147.09

1460.24

3607.62

8.16

5.31

2.52

62.61

65-69

21.14

4630.00

7.81

20.55

185.44

3165.27

4102.92

6.42

7.61

2.21

67.61

70-74

31.30

4890.00

11.57

25.76

212.98

5531.74

4842.30

5.07

10.31

1.95

72.57

75-79

27.04

5510.00

11.51

27.90

220.51

7597.81

5254.64

4.21

11.59

1.69

77.50

80+

27.04

5510.00

11.51

27.14

211.56

7832.53

5466.24

3.18

11.56

1.39

87.00

Table-B29. Computation of YLL and DALY for Colon and rectum

YLD

Incidence

Incidence
per
100,000

Age of
Onset

Duration

Disability
Weight

YLD
(Incidence)

YLD[0,0]
(Incidence)

PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Incidence
YLD
per
100,000

Curr.
Prev.
PYLD[0,0]
per
100,000

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
per
100,000

Male

106

0-4

2.5

6.4

0.6

53

0.1

5-14

10.6

20.5

0.6

257

0.2

15-29

24.1

14.6

0.6

8,615

6.4

30-44

39.0

10.2

0.5

9,803

9,845

10.6

10.6

45-59

5,220

10.0

53.3

6.6

0.5

14,572

16,423

16,380

14,930

27.9

31.4

28.6

60-69

6,117

30.0

65.1

4.5

0.5

9,589

13,556

17,726

13,054

47.0

86.9

64.0

70-79

3,402

40.0

74.3

3.2

0.6

3,896

6,755

5,867

10,028

45.8

69.0

117.9

80+

971

40.0

86.6

2.2

0.7

651

1,544

2,297

3,508

26.8

94.6

144.5

Total

15,710

3.2

64.5

4.8

0.5

28,708

38,279

60,999

51,366

5.9

12.5

10.6

0-4

4.0

42.2

0.3

234

0.4

5-14

10.9

36.7

0.3

920

0.8

15-29

25.1

25.5

0.4

4,807

3.6

30-44

39.6

17.5

0.4

15,146

3,877

16.0

4.1

45-59

5,169

10.0

52.8

12.0

0.4

20,054

25,491

17,136

16,994

38.8

33.2

32.9

60-69

4,466

20.0

65.0

7.3

0.4

9,313

14,134

14,098

15,489

41.7

63.1

69.4

70-79

2,691

30.0

74.3

4.8

0.5

3,753

6,798

5,185

10,386

41.8

57.8

115.8

728

30.0

87.0

3.2

0.7

616

1,519

2,551

3,324

25.4

105.1

136.9

13,055

2.7

63.3

8.4

0.5

33,736

47,942

60,077

50,069

7.0

12.4

10.4

28,765

3.0

64.0

6.4

0.5

62,444

86,220

121,076

101,435

6.4

12.5

10.5

Female

80+
Total
Total
persons

YLL

Number of
deaths

Death rate
per 1,000

YLL

YLL[0,0]

DALY

DALY[0,0]

YLL
per 100,000

DALY
per 100,000

Male

107

0-4

0.0

29

29

0.1

0.1

5-14

15-29

137

0.0

4,450

3,413

4,450

3,413

3.3

3.3

30-44

509

0.0

12,149

19,923

12,149

19,923

13.1

13.1

45-59

1,607

0.0

24,646

85,368

39,217

101,791

47.2

75.1

60-69

1,619

0.1

14,484

105,398

24,074

118,954

71.0

118.1

70-79

1,418

0.2

7,181

105,480

11,077

112,235

84.4

130.2

80+

465

0.2

1,012

39,607

1,663

41,150

41.7

68.5

Total

5,756

0.0

63,952

359,187

92,660

397,465

13.1

19.0

0-4

0.0

31

31

0.1

0.1

5-14

15-29

17

0.0

559

418

559

418

0.4

0.4

30-44

401

0.0

9,575

15,953

9,575

15,953

10.1

10.1

45-59

1,364

0.0

21,571

72,815

41,625

98,306

41.7

80.5

60-69

1,398

0.1

13,668

90,885

22,981

105,019

61.2

102.9

70-79

962

0.1

5,578

71,430

9,331

78,228

62.2

104.0

80+

281

0.1

664

24,049

1,280

25,569

27.4

52.7

Total

4,424

0.0

51,647

275,550

85,383

323,491

10.7

17.7

Total persons

10,180

0.0

115,599

634,737

178,043

720,957

11.9

18.4

Female

Table-B30. DISMOD Analysis for Liver Cancer Data (males)


Input Variables
Age
group

Output Variables

108

Incident
rates/100,0
00

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Mortality
rate/100,000

Incident
rates/100,000

Prevalence
rate/100,000

Remission
rate/100,000

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Duration
(years)

Mortality
rate/100,000

RR mortality
(numbers)

Age of
onset(years)

0-4

0.60

3230.00

0.06

0.35

0.89

0.01

19.86

20.84

0.00

1.01

2.44

5-9

0.20

0.00

0.00

0.26

2.43

0.00

8.22

16.95

0.00

1.03

7.35

10-14

0.20

0.00

0.00

0.21

3.56

0.01

71.42

11.93

0.00

2.65

12.50

15-19

0.20

20000.00

0.11

0.23

4.53

241.02

1283.56

7.13

0.06

9.43

17.57

20-24

0.30

33330.00

0.20

0.30

4.30

11516.28

3658.17

3.57

0.16

17.44

22.62

25-29

0.40

7410.00

0.11

0.47

2.02

33157.83

6217.15

3.01

0.12

25.17

27.74

30-34

0.90

12500.00

0.31

0.84

2.01

19998.91

8807.21

4.98

0.18

28.10

32.69

35-39

1.20

5970.00

0.27

1.23

4.04

9859.48

7628.99

6.45

0.31

19.28

37.64

40-44

2.10

7320.00

0.53

2.00

7.70

5298.62

6914.70

6.48

0.53

13.24

42.76

45-49

6.70

8960.00

1.38

4.73

16.69

4040.36

8168.91

5.01

1.37

11.49

47.86

50-54

12.00

12870.00

3.81

10.08

32.86

10635.74

10075.48

3.49

3.32

8.75

52.74

55-59

19.00

12980.00

5.68

16.70

45.78

19807.46

11997.10

2.74

5.50

7.22

57.66

60-64

24.00

12810.00

7.81

24.47

59.43

21912.92

12913.43

2.49

7.69

4.93

62.66

65-69

40.00

12730.00

11.45

35.92

82.47

23898.47

13744.72

2.16

11.36

4.04

67.64

70-74

48.00

18870.00

17.85

45.81

96.09

31278.34

16294.60

1.70

15.66

3.39

72.56

75-79

53.00

19210.00

16.88

50.90

90.63

38693.20

18730.07

1.43

16.96

2.86

77.53

80+

53.00

19210.00

16.88

52.84

87.96

40934.66

19184.62

1.20

16.87

2.02

86.64

Table-B31. DISMOD Analysis of Liver Cancer Data (females)


Input Variables
Age
group

Output Variables

109

Incident
rates
/100,000

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Mortality
rate/100,000

Incident
rates/100,000

Prevalence
rate/100,000

Remission
rate/100,000

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Duration
(years)

Mortality
rate/100,000

RR
mortality
(numbers)

Age of
onset(years)

0-4

0.31

7690.00

0.18

0.30

0.79

0.24

7.63

28.90

0.00

1.00

2.36

5-9

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.12

1.89

0.10

3.15

26.07

0.00

1.01

6.83

10-14

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.01

2.14

0.01

0.17

22.36

0.00

1.00

10.75

15-19

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

2.15

0.00

0.00

13.86

0.00

0.00

19.50

20-24

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.02

2.17

0.00

0.00

10.16

0.00

1.00

23.32

25-29

0.06

0.00

0.00

0.08

2.19

5800.89

0.10

6.33

0.00

1.00

28.00

30-34

0.23

0.00

0.00

0.21

1.56

22506.44

624.27

6.20

0.01

5.40

32.80

35-39

0.35

7140.00

0.26

0.39

1.47

12403.13

4708.27

10.12

0.07

17.20

37.72

40-44

0.74

5410.00

0.50

0.67

3.02

500.63

6322.07

11.15

0.19

17.50

42.71

45-49

0.90

4210.00

0.60

1.05

5.95

0.00

6077.78

9.65

0.36

12.33

47.67

50-54

2.92

9260.00

1.95

2.13

10.53

0.00

8215.27

7.88

0.87

10.11

52.84

55-59

4.75

11570.00

3.50

4.27

19.12

0.00

11391.72

6.97

2.18

9.07

57.69

60-64

5.64

10880.00

4.51

6.11

30.70

0.00

11441.36

6.54

3.51

5.83

62.63

65-69

8.73

8220.00

5.52

8.39

46.14

76.11

10396.98

5.90

4.80

4.05

67.61

70-74

10.89

11700.00

7.48

9.90

62.86

741.64

10750.39

4.93

6.76

3.09

72.53

75-79

9.78

12100.00

8.63

10.06

70.82

1555.58

11729.76

4.15

8.31

2.54

77.49

80+

9.78

12100.00

8.63

9.81

71.56

1721.84

12061.31

3.13

8.63

1.87

87.01

Table-B32. Computation of YLL and DALY for Liver Cancer Data


YLD

Incidence

Incidence
per
100,000

Age
of
Onset

Duration

Disability
Weight

YLD
(Incidence)

YLD[0,0]
(Incidence)

PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Incidence
YLD
per 100,000

Curr. Prev.
PYLD[0,0]
per 100,000

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
per
100,000

Male
0-4

2.4

20.8

0.3

328

0.6

5-14

9.7

14.7

0.3

109

0.1

15-29

23.5

4.3

0.4

1,801

1.3

30-44

38.7

6.1

0.4

921

1.0

110

45-59

5,220

10.0

53.9

3.5

0.5

7,827

8,271

2,539

7,090

15.0

4.9

13.6

60-69

6,117

30.0

65.1

2.3

0.5

4,819

6,424

2,903

6,517

23.6

14.2

32.0

70-79

4,253

50.0

74.4

1.6

0.4

1,739

2,892

1,269

3,254

20.4

14.9

38.3

80+

1,214

50.0

86.6

1.2

0.4

258

595

455

892

10.6

18.7

36.8

Total

16,804

3.5

65.5

2.4

0.4

14,643

18,182

10,323

17,752

3.0

2.1

3.6

0-4

2.4

28.9

0.3

441

0.8

5-14

7.0

25.9

0.3

414

0.4

15-29

27.2

7.0

0.3

2,068

1.6

30-44

39.0

9.8

0.3

920

1.0

45-59

54.3

7.8

0.3

1,414

1,594

2.7

3.1

60-69

2,233

10.0

65.1

6.2

0.3

2,984

4,413

1,118

2,847

13.4

5.0

12.7

70-79

897

10.0

74.2

4.7

0.3

636

1,146

526

1,707

7.1

5.9

19.0

80+

243

10.0

87.0

3.1

0.3

82

201

220

453

3.4

9.1

18.7

Total

3,373

0.7

69.1

5.6

0.3

3,702

5,760

7,121

6,601

0.8

1.5

1.4

2.1

66.1

2.9

0.4

18,346

23,942

17,445

24,354

1.9

1.8

2.5

Female

Total
persons

20,177

YLL

Number of
deaths

Death rate
per 1,000

YLL

YLL[0,0]

DALY

DALY[0,0]

YLL
per 100,000

DALY
per 100,000

Male
0-4

5-14

0.0

75

25

75

25

0.1

0.1

15-29

148

0.0

4,936

3,435

4,936

3,435

3.7

3.7

30-44

300

0.0

7,222

11,645

7,222

11,645

7.8

7.8

45-59

1,591

0.0

23,775

85,593

31,601

93,864

45.5

60.5

60-69

1,870

0.1

16,815

121,560

21,634

127,984

82.5

106.1

70-79

1,370

0.2

6,977

101,795

8,716

104,687

82.0

102.5

80+

410

0.2

893

34,916

1,151

35,511

36.8

47.4

Total

5,691

0.0

60,692

358,969

75,336

377,151

12.5

15.5

111

Female
0-4

5-14

15-29

30-44

76

0.0

1,777

3,085

1,777

3,085

1.9

1.9

45-59

522

0.0

7,903

28,495

7,903

28,495

15.3

15.3

60-69

904

0.0

8,864

58,715

11,848

63,128

39.7

53.1

70-79

652

0.1

3,755

48,480

4,392

49,626

41.9

49.0

80+

210

0.1

496

17,975

577

18,176

20.4

23.8

Total

2,364

0.0

22,795

156,750

26,497

162,510

4.7

5.5

Total persons

8,055

0.0

83,487

515,719

101,833

539,660

8.6

10.5

Table-B33. DISMOD Analysis for Pancreatic Cancer Data (males)


Input Variables

Output Variables

Incident rates
/100,000

Case
fatality
rate
/100,000

Mortality
rate/100,000

Incident
rates/100,000

Prevalence
rate/100,000

Remission
rate/100,000

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Duration
(years)

Mortality
rate/100,000

RR
mortality
(numbers)

Age of
onset(years)

0-4

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.05

0.07

42533.38

0.00

4.32

0.00

1.00

2.51

5-9

0.05

0.00

0.00

0.05

0.16

17819.49

0.00

9.99

0.00

1.00

7.52

10-14

0.06

0.00

0.00

0.06

0.29

13507.07

0.00

12.48

0.00

1.00

12.53

15-19

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.06

0.32

14652.14

0.10

19.94

0.00

1.00

17.47

20-24

0.05

0.00

0.00

0.06

0.47

2119.97

5.79

24.28

0.00

1.03

22.65

25-29

0.16

4550.00

0.05

0.13

0.90

4.71

522.29

20.21

0.00

3.64

27.88

30-34

0.31

2330.00

0.06

0.33

1.91

0.02

2455.76

16.74

0.05

8.87

32.85

35-39

0.75

5560.00

0.27

0.72

3.92

0.00

4832.33

14.94

0.19

12.28

37.79

40-44

2.14

6150.00

0.71

1.42

7.71

0.00

4995.58

14.04

0.39

9.98

42.73

45-49

1.72

3010.00

0.57

2.12

14.22

0.00

4214.08

12.55

0.60

6.55

47.61

50-54

4.84

9290.00

3.08

3.29

23.18

0.00

4637.10

10.58

1.08

4.58

52.74

55-59

5.89

5080.00

2.53

5.88

37.95

63.43

5466.77

8.84

2.08

3.82

57.70

60-64

9.32

4890.00

3.27

8.80

60.62

710.66

5502.30

7.18

3.34

2.67

62.62

65-69

11.90

6880.00

6.13

10.93

82.87

2818.86

6149.07

5.92

5.10

2.36

67.56

70-74

11.30

6100.00

5.95

12.20

98.43

2368.64

6665.16

4.95

6.56

1.98

72.53

75-79

15.10

8290.00

8.73

13.55

112.91

3576.32

7157.34

3.75

8.08

1.71

77.55

80+

15.10

8290.00

8.73

14.97

107.94

6747.70

8088.85

2.55

8.73

1.43

86.67

Age
group

112

Table-B34. DISMOD Analysis of Pancreatic Cancer Data (females)


Input Variables
Age
group

Output Variables

113

Incident
rates/100,0
00

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Mortality
rate/100,000

Incident
rates/100,000

Prevalence
rate/100,000

Remission
rate/100,000

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Duration
(years)

Mortality
rate/100,0
00

RR mortality
(numbers)

Age of
onset
(ears)

0-4

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.06

0.15

136.66

0.00

41.91

0.00

1.00

2.50

5-9

0.06

0.00

0.00

0.06

0.45

71.74

0.00

39.50

0.00

1.00

7.51

10-14

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.07

0.76

17.45

0.13

34.88

0.00

1.00

12.54

15-19

0.07

0.00

0.00

0.07

1.10

1.41

2.37

30.17

0.00

1.01

17.51

20-24

0.06

14290.00

0.06

0.07

1.45

0.25

4.09

25.52

0.00

1.02

22.50

25-29

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.12

1.85

355.28

667.58

20.81

0.01

4.72

27.93

30-34

0.38

6670.00

0.15

0.31

2.62

1309.49

2693.82

18.74

0.07

10.84

32.73

35-39

0.35

1960.00

0.09

0.42

3.83

712.25

2850.59

17.79

0.11

10.46

37.58

40-44

0.62

2630.00

0.25

0.63

5.61

33.20

3036.24

15.60

0.17

8.91

42.76

45-49

2.26

7370.00

1.06

1.51

9.24

0.00

4530.44

13.61

0.42

9.36

47.85

50-54

2.92

4920.00

1.17

2.71

16.85

0.00

4784.86

12.31

0.81

6.57

52.63

55-59

3.25

2000.00

0.75

3.36

27.65

809.42

2861.86

10.31

0.79

3.20

57.58

60-64

4.23

2130.00

0.85

4.38

39.10

2900.19

2603.24

8.13

1.02

2.07

62.64

65-69

6.43

4960.00

3.22

6.38

51.81

1945.90

4614.09

6.43

2.39

2.39

67.65

70-74

11.57

7620.00

5.44

8.86

65.74

3501.93

6892.26

4.79

4.53

2.34

72.60

75-79

9.78

8850.00

5.75

10.09

69.62

6679.49

8202.44

3.89

5.71

2.08

77.50

80+

9.78

8850.00

5.75

9.82

65.97

6714.27

8757.57

2.99

5.78

1.63

87.00

Table-B35. Computation of YLL and DALY for Pancreas Cancer Data

YLD

Incidence

Incidence
per
100,000

Age of
Onset

Duration

Disability
Weight

YLD
(Incidence)

YLD[0,0]
(Incidence)

PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Incidence
YLD
per
100,000

Curr.
Prev.
PYLD[0,0]
per
100,000

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
per
100,000

Male
0-4

2.5

4.3

0.7

5-14

10.1

11.3

0.7

15-29

23.9

21.2

0.7

28

30-44

39.6

14.8

0.8

333

0.4

45-59

53.5

10.4

0.8

1,599

8,405

3.1

16.1

114

60-69

2,039

10

64.9

6.6

0.8

7,473

11,109

2,690

11,782

36.7

13.2

57.8

70-79

851

10

74.4

4.5

0.8

1,696

3,055

1,393

6,788

19.9

16.4

79.8

80+

243

10

86.7

2.5

0.8

199

477

626

2,098

8.2

25.8

86.4

Total

3,132

0.6

69.2

5.7

0.8

9,367

14,640

6,669

29,073

1.9

1.4

Female
0-4

2.5

41.9

0.4

14-May

10.1

37.1

0.4

15-29

23.5

24.8

0.4

130

0.1

30-44

38.3

17.2

0.6

470

0.5

45-59

53.2

11.9

0.8

1,137

7,811

2.2

15.1

60-69

2,233

10

65.2

7.3

0.8

8,336

12,716

1,398

6,967

37.3

6.3

31.2

70-79

897

10

74.3

4.5

0.7

1,637

2,942

890

4,576

18.2

9.9

51

80+

243

10

87

0.7

221

543

634

1,268

9.1

26.1

52.2

Total

3,373

0.7

69.2

6.2

0.8

10,195

16,201

4,661

20,623

2.1

4.3

Total
persons

6,505

0.7

69.2

0.8

19,562

30,841

11,329

49,696

1.2

5.1

YLD

Incidence

Incidence
per
100,000

Age of
Onset

Duration

Disability
Weight

YLD
(Incidence)

YLD[0,0]
(Incidence)

PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Incidence
YLD
per
100,000

Curr.
Prev.
PYLD[0,0]
per
100,000

Incbased
PYLD[0
,0]
per
100,000

Male
0-4

2.5

4.3

0.7

0.0

5-14

10.1

11.3

0.7

0.0

15-29

23.9

21.2

0.7

28

0.0

30-44

39.6

14.8

0.8

333

0.4

45-59

53.5

10.4

0.8

1,599

8,405

3.1

16.1

60-69

2,039

10.0

64.9

6.6

0.8

7,473

11,109

2,690

11,782

36.7

13.2

57.8

70-79

851

10.0

74.4

4.5

0.8

1,696

3,055

1,393

6,788

19.9

16.4

79.8

80+

243

10.0

86.7

2.5

0.8

199

477

626

2,098

8.2

25.8

86.4

Total

3,132

0.6

69.2

5.7

0.8

9,367

14,640

6,669

29,073

1.9

1.4

6.0

Female

115

0-4

2.5

41.9

0.4

0.0

5-14

10.1

37.1

0.4

0.0

15-29

23.5

24.8

0.4

130

0.1

30-44

38.3

17.2

0.6

470

0.5

45-59

53.2

11.9

0.8

1,137

7,811

2.2

15.1

60-69

2,233

10.0

65.2

7.3

0.8

8,336

12,716

1,398

6,967

37.3

6.3

31.2

70-79

897

10.0

74.3

4.5

0.7

1,637

2,942

890

4,576

18.2

9.9

51.0

80+

243

10.0

87.0

3.0

0.7

221

543

634

1,268

9.1

26.1

52.2

3,373

0.7

69.2

6.2

0.8

10,195

16,201

4,661

20,623

2.1

1.0

4.3

6,505

0.7

69.2

6.0

0.8

19,562

30,841

11,329

49,696

2.0

1.2

5.1

Total
Total
person
s

YLL

Number of
deaths

Death rate
per 1,000

YLL

YLL[0,0]

DALY

DALY[0,0]

YLL
per 100,000

DALY
per 100,000

Male
0-4

5-14

15-29

0.0

62

55

62

55

0.0

0.0

30-44

177

0.0

4,133

7,073

4,133

7,073

4.5

4.5

45-59

588

0.0

8,834

31,555

8,834

31,555

16.9

16.9

60-69

826

0.0

7,410

53,730

14,884

64,839

36.3

73.0

70-79

602

0.1

3,035

44,820

4,731

47,875

35.7

55.6

80+

212

0.1

462

18,056

660

18,532

19.0

27.2

Total

2,407

0.0

23,936

155,288

33,304

169,928

4.9

6.8

116

Female
0-4

5-14

15-29

0.0

157

138

157

138

0.1

0.1

30-44

106

0.0

2,622

4,070

2,622

4,070

2.8

2.8

45-59

337

0.0

5,433

17,803

5,433

17,803

10.5

10.5

60-69

354

0.0

3,359

23,230

11,695

35,946

15.0

52.4

70-79

441

0.0

2,536

32,803

4,173

35,744

28.3

46.5

80+

140

0.1

331

11,983

552

12,527

13.6

22.7

Total

1,383

0.0

14,437

90,026

24,632

106,227

3.0

5.1

Total persons

3,790

0.0

38,374

245,314

57,936

276,155

4.0

6.0

Table-B36. DISMOD Analysis for Trachea Bronchus and Lung Cancer Data (males)

Age
group

Incident
rates
/100,000
0.06

Input Variables
Case fatality
rate
Mortality
rate/100,000
/100,000
66670.00
0.11

Output Variables
Incident
rates/100,000
0.07

Prevalence
rate/100,000
0.08

Remission
rate/100,000
36.76

Case fatality
rate/100,000
58800.23

Duration
(years)
3.94

Mortality
rate/100,000
0.05

RR mortality
(numbers)
40.11

Age of
onset(years)
2.48

0-4
0.05

50000.00

0.05

0.06

0.17

197.00

22435.31

16.46

0.04

91.48

7.46

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.07

0.39

145.26

1175.90

21.05

0.00

32.61

12.55

0.06

22220.00

0.11

0.08

0.69

13.72

4024.48

17.91

0.03

26.75

17.60

0.30

8110.00

0.15

0.09

0.88

0.00

6603.20

18.43

0.06

30.58

22.42

0.05

0.00

0.00

0.27

1.34

0.00

2523.44

17.57

0.03

11.26

28.25

1.11

4520.00

0.43

1.15

4.22

0.00

4286.11

15.50

0.18

14.20

32.91

2.46

8330.00

1.37

2.56

11.42

0.00

5125.86

14.48

0.59

13.02

37.77

4.99

3030.00

1.43

4.96

25.30

0.00

4611.22

13.22

1.17

9.21

42.77

11.70

5500.00

5.28

10.54

53.21

0.00

5178.50

11.54

2.76

7.65

47.80

24.60

5850.00

11.43

21.01

107.42

0.00

6178.95

10.23

6.64

5.77

52.74

36.80

5030.00

15.57

34.61

200.41

0.00

5865.67

8.94

11.76

4.05

57.66

46.10

4850.00

21.15

48.80

331.72

148.61

5623.98

7.31

18.66

2.71

62.64

80.20

6080.00

35.58

68.28

491.52

1299.31

5989.76

5.67

29.45

2.32

67.61

78.00

6070.00

38.68

79.07

604.64

5252.12

6404.52

4.21

38.73

1.95

72.51

81.50

7720.00

39.01

80.37

580.87

9109.54

6896.29

3.35

40.05

1.69

77.51

81.50

7720.00

39.01

81.40

515.78

9106.33

7588.27

2.45

39.13

1.40

86.63

5-9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34

117

35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70-74
75-79
80+

Table-B37. DISMOD Analysis of Trachea Bronchus and Lung Cancer Data (females)
Input Variables
Age
group

Output Variables

Incident
rates/
100,000
0.00

Case fatality
rate/100,000
0.00

Mortality
rate/100,000
0.00

Incident
rates/100,000
0.00

Prevalence
rate/100,000
0.00

Remission
rate/100,000
0.00

Case fatality
rate/100,000
0.00

Duration
(years)
39.89

Mortality
rate/100,000
0.00

RR mortality
(numbers)
0.00

Age of
onset(years)
3.99

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.04

0.10

0.00

0.00

37.08

0.00

1.00

7.92

0.06

0.00

0.00

0.06

0.37

0.00

0.00

32.68

0.00

1.00

12.58

0.13

0.00

0.00

0.07

0.71

0.00

0.09

27.99

0.00

1.00

17.50

0.06

0.00

0.00

0.08

1.07

0.00

4.57

23.20

0.00

1.02

22.60

0.12

5000.00

0.12

0.14

1.56

0.01

1128.17

18.61

0.02

7.18

27.85

0.31

5560.00

0.23

0.33

2.40

0.00

4627.10

16.36

0.11

18.02

32.79

0.60

4490.00

0.35

0.70

3.95

0.00

5598.85

15.97

0.22

19.44

37.89

2.98

5420.00

1.12

2.03

8.85

0.00

4328.38

15.17

0.38

12.46

42.87

3.17

2400.00

0.75

3.64

20.61

0.00

3487.65

13.33

0.72

7.54

47.64

6.24

6290.00

3.51

5.14

37.00

0.00

4026.38

10.94

1.49

5.50

52.65

7.74

4950.00

3.50

7.98

57.74

0.00

5619.17

8.79

3.25

4.98

57.69

12.70

7890.00

7.90

12.48

84.82

361.63

7169.31

7.10

6.08

3.98

62.66

19.30

6090.00

7.81

17.42

117.00

2465.62

6953.48

5.77

8.14

3.04

67.60

21.09

6830.00

9.53

20.08

140.73

5813.50

6748.31

4.60

9.50

2.32

72.52

20.13

7830.00

10.35

20.38

141.53

8039.14

7278.50

3.86

10.30

1.96

77.50

20.13

7830.00

10.35

20.16

133.70

7791.77

7754.89

2.98

10.37

1.56

87.02

0-4
5-9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39

118

40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70-74
75-79
80+

Table-B38. Computation of YLL and DALY for Trachea, Bronchus and Lung Cancer Data

YLD

Incidence

Incidence
per
100,000

Age of
Onset

Duration

Disability
Weight

3.3

0.3

0.5

YLD
(Incidence)

YLD[0,0]
(Incidence)

PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Incidence
YLD
per
100,000

Curr.
Prev.
PYLD[0,0]
per
100,000

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
per
100,000

Male

119

0-4

14-May

29

10.8

0.3

0.5

42

42

15-29

705

0.5

23.3

0.3

0.5

167

110

1,032

1,032

0.1

0.8

0.8

30-44

2,559

2.8

38.1

0.2

0.7

468

342

3,386

3,386

0.5

3.7

3.7

45-59

20,633

39.5

54.1

0.2

0.7

2,833

2,763

27,290

27,290

5.4

52.3

52.3

60-69

28,761

141.1

65.5

0.2

0.7

2,999

3,816

38,097

38,097

14.7

186.8

186.8

70-79

17,793

209.2

75.5

0.2

0.8

1,368

2,249

20,710

20,710

16.1

243.5

243.5

80+

5,615

231.3

85.4

0.2

0.8

322

695

6,079

6,079

13.3

250.4

250.4

Total

76,095

15.6

64.9

0.2

0.7

8,163

9,980

96,637

96,637

1.7

19.9

19.9

3.2

0.2

0.6

Female
0-4

14-May

31

10.7

0.2

0.6

46

46

15-29

261

0.2

23.2

0.2

0.6

46

30

385

385

0.3

0.3

30-44

1,538

1.6

38.3

0.2

0.6

226

165

2,025

2,025

0.2

2.1

2.1

45-59

5,409

10.5

54.4

0.2

0.6

582

571

7,137

7,137

1.1

13.8

13.8

60-69

6,473

29

65.6

0.2

0.7

528

673

8,559

8,559

2.4

38.3

38.3

70-79

4,006

44.7

75.7

0.1

0.7

234

387

4,392

4,392

2.6

49

49

813

33.5

85.7

0.1

0.7

35

76

850

850

1.4

35

35

18,532

3.8

62.4

0.2

0.6

1,655

1,907

23,394

23,394

0.3

4.8

4.8

94,626

9.8

64.4

0.2

0.7

9,818

11,886

120,031

120,031

12.4

12.4

80+
Total
Total
persons

YLL

Number of
deaths

Death rate
per 1,000

YLL

YLL[0,0]

DALY

DALY[0,0]

YLL
per 100,000

DALY
per 100,000

Male
0-4

27

0.0

950

70

950

70

1.7

1.7

5-14

25

0.0

931

203

936

207

0.8

0.8

15-29

54

0.0

1,820

1,215

1,987

1,325

1.4

1.5

30-44

557

0.0

13,088

22,128

13,556

22,469

14.1

14.6

45-59

3,287

0.1

48,933

177,158

51,767

179,921

93.7

99.2

60-69

4,696

0.2

42,040

305,655

45,039

309,471

206.2

220.9

70-79

3,332

0.4

17,029

247,400

18,397

249,649

200.2

216.3

949

0.4

2,069

80,807

2,392

81,503

85.3

98.5

12,927

0.0

126,860

834,635

135,023

844,615

26.1

27.8

80+

120

Total
Female
0-4

5-14

15-29

0.0

220

193

265

30-44

211

0.0

5,151

8,213

45-59

849

0.0

13,041

60-69

1,548

0.1

70-79

875

80+
Total
Total persons

0.0

223

0.2

0.2

5,377

8,378

5.4

5.7

46,013

13,622

46,583

25.2

26.4

15,196

100,505

15,725

101,178

68.0

70.4

0.1

5,086

64,938

5,320

65,325

56.7

59.3

252

0.1

595

21,572

630

21,648

24.5

25.9

3,742

0.0

39,288

241,432

40,944

243,338

8.1

8.5

16,669

0.0

166,148

1,076,067

175,967

1,087,953

17.1

18.1

Table-B39. DISMOD Analysis for Breast Cancer Data (males)

121

Age
Incident
group rates/100,000
0.00
0-4
0.00
5-9
0.00
10-14
0.00
15-19
0.00
20-24
0.00
25-29
0.10
30-34
0.00
35-39
0.40
40-44
0.30
45-49
1.00
50-54
0.60
55-59
2.30
60-64
2.00
65-69
4.80
70-74
4.10
75-79
4.10
80+

Input Variables
Case fatality
rate/100,000
0.00

Output Variables
Case fatality
Duration
rate/100,000
(years)
0.00
0.00

Mortality
rate/100,000
0.00

Incident
rates/100,000
0.00

Prevalence
rate/100,000
0.00

Remission
rate/100,000
0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Mortality
rate/100,000
0.00

RR mortality
(numbers)
0.00

Age of
onset(years)
0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.02

0.02

0.00

0.00

38.65

0.00

1.00

28.50

0.00

0.06

0.23

0.00

0.00

34.95

0.00

1.00

32.65

0.00

0.00

0.05

0.54

0.11

0.34

30.67

0.00

1.00

37.51

0.00

0.00

0.18

1.02

1.05

3.39

25.94

0.00

1.01

43.02

2270.00

0.11

0.35

2.39

1.35

4.95

22.07

0.00

1.01

47.61

0.00

0.00

0.30

4.14

0.57

2.84

18.36

0.00

1.00

52.23

0.00

0.00

0.46

5.58

0.10

604.02

14.10

0.03

1.40

58.20

5260.00

0.76

1.71

10.25

0.00

2212.64

11.99

0.23

1.65

62.78

1720.00

0.41

2.36

19.44

5.29

1175.16

10.47

0.23

1.32

67.56

0.00

0.00

3.31

32.61

51.18

63.20

8.24

0.02

1.03

72.67

0.00

0.00

4.18

51.61

107.83

0.91

6.35

0.00

1.00

77.52

0.00

0.00

4.12

88.77

135.07

0.00

3.92

0.00

1.00

86.60

Table-B40. DISMOD Analysis of Breast Cancer Data (females)

122

Age
Incident
group rates/100,000
0.00
0-4
0.00
5-9
0.00
10-14
0.54
15-19
1.09
20-24
3.79
25-29
12.80
30-34
27.00
35-39
51.50
40-44
69.50
45-49
79.70
50-54
87.90
55-59
92.30
60-64
114.00
65-69
101.00
70-74
113.00
75-79
113.00
80+

Input Variables
Case fatality
rate/100,000
0.00

Output Variables
Case fatality
Duration
rate/100,000
(years)
0.00
0.00

Mortality
rate/100,000
0.00

Incident
rates/100,000
0.00

Prevalence
rate/100,000
0.00

Remission
rate/100,000
0.00

0.00

0.00

0.03

0.03

0.00

0.99

0.00

0.00

0.28

0.67

0.01

2080.00

0.07

0.61

2.90

1230.00

0.12

1.10

1380.00

0.48

2220.00

Mortality
rate/100,000
0.00

RR mortality
(numbers)
0.00

Age of
onset(years)
0.00

35.15

0.00

1.01

9.00

57.14

31.28

0.00

1.69

13.05

0.01

660.68

27.23

0.02

4.45

17.67

6.69

0.00

1421.84

23.79

0.10

6.36

22.79

4.03

16.60

0.00

1756.27

20.66

0.29

7.72

28.09

2.21

13.19

53.90

0.00

2301.39

18.01

1.24

9.21

32.86

2060.00

4.23

26.64

140.77

0.00

2378.01

15.30

3.35

8.79

37.74

2030.00

7.81

45.40

293.25

168.63

2354.31

12.19

6.91

7.12

42.68

2830.00

14.30

64.08

494.23

2843.50

2508.51

9.33

12.40

5.71

47.60

2710.00

17.20

76.86

628.43

6755.38

2740.40

7.75

17.23

4.14

52.55

3090.00

20.70

85.94

691.41

7907.69

2910.11

6.94

20.12

3.12

57.54

2850.00

20.60

93.91

744.32

8147.30

3015.27

6.12

22.45

2.27

62.54

3820.00

29.40

103.45

785.00

8866.04

3580.00

5.31

28.10

2.06

67.53

4520.00

33.30

107.50

794.91

9228.66

4350.59

4.51

34.58

1.85

72.50

5970.00

40.30

108.98

767.15

10454.03

5122.69

3.72

39.29

1.67

77.51

5970.00

40.30

112.64

690.02

11446.89

5838.82

2.84

40.28

1.42

87.05

Table-B41. Computation of YLL and DALY for Breast Cancer Data


Incidence
YLD

YLD
Incidence Age of Duration Disability
YLD[0,0]
PYLD[0,0]
per 100,000 Onset
Weight (Incidence) (Incidence) (Prevalence)

Inc-based
Incidence
Curr. Prev.
Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
YLD
PYLD[0,0]
PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence) per 100,000 per 100,000 per 100,000

Male
0-4

0.0

0.0

0.0

5-14

0.0

0.0

0.0

15-29

28.5

38.7

0.0

30-44

39.2

29.2

0.0

45-59

52.2

18.5

0.0

60-69

408

2.0

65.1

11.3

0.0

70-79

340

4.0

74.6

7.5

0.0

97

4.0

86.6

3.9

0.0

845

0.2

71.4

8.9

0.0

0-4

0.0

0.0

0.5

89

0.2

5-14

12.7

31.6

0.5

167

0.1

80+

123

Total
Female

15-29

2,665

2.0

25.8

22.1

0.5

32,759

31,931

13,269

5,790

24.6

10.0

4.3

30-44

25,558

27.0

39.2

14.3

0.6

220,741

223,742

131,378

86,103

233.2

138.8

91.0

45-59

38,248

74.0

52.4

8.0

0.6

171,792

196,511

109,864

195,533

332.4

212.6

378.3

60-69

21,885

98.0

64.7

5.8

0.7

61,943

89,668

56,327

120,885

277.4

252.2

541.3

70-79

9,689

108.0

74.1

4.3

0.9

20,870

37,083

18,744

63,501

232.6

208.9

707.8

80+

2,743

113.0

87.1

2.8

1.0

3,060

7,486

8,273

16,096

126.1

340.8

663.1

100,788

20.8

54.0

9.0

0.7 511,164

586,420

338,112

487,908

105.7

69.9

100.9

101,633

10.5

54.2

9.0

0.7

511,164

586,420

338,112

487,908

52.7

34.9

50.3

Total
Total
persons

Number of
deaths

Death rate
per 1,000

YLL

DALY

DALY[0,0]

0-4

5-14

15-29

30-44

45-59

0.0

51

230

51

230

0.1

0.1

60-69

47

0.0

434

3,033

434

3,033

2.1

2.1

70-79

0.0

73

73

0.1

0.1

80+

Total

52

0.0

491

3,335

491

3,335

0.1

0.1

0-4

0.0

30

30

0.1

0.1

5-14

15-29

172

0.0

5,558

4,425

38,316

36,356

4.2

28.8

30-44

3,327

0.0

79,883

131,648

300,624

355,389

84.4

317.6

45-59

8,318

0.2

135,143

437,640

306,935

634,151

261.5

593.8

60-69

5,534

0.2

54,546

358,835

116,489

448,503

244.3

521.6

70-79

3,239

0.4

18,764

240,548

39,634

277,630

209.2

441.8

80+

978

0.4

2,310

83,711

5,370

91,197

95.2

221.2

Total

21,569

0.0

296,233

1,256,806

807,397

1,843,227

61.3

167.0

Total persons

21,621

0.0

296,724

1,260,141

807,887

1,846,562

30.6

83.3

YLL

YLL[0,0]

YLL
per 100,000

DALY
per 100,000

Male

124

Female

Table-B42. DISMOD Analysis of Cervix Cancer Data

125

Input Variables
Output Variables
Age
Incident
Case fatality
Mortality
Incident
Prevalence
Remission Case fatality Duration
Mortality
RR mortality
Age of
group rates/100,000 rate/100,000 rate/100,000 rates/100,000 rate/100,000 rate/100,000 rate/100,000 (years) rate/100,000 (numbers) onset(years)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0-4
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
5-9
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
3164.99
0.00
6.67
0.00
1.00
14.25
10-14
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.25
0.39
23521.85
0.22
5.44
0.00
1.00
18.18
15-19
0.66
0.00
0.00
0.72
1.44
31172.73
7.38
12.19
0.00
1.03
22.75
20-24
2.28
2460.00
0.60
2.53
5.98
5509.86
344.81
23.73
0.02
2.63
28.11
25-29
8.32
1210.00
0.99
8.71
31.07
0.00
1176.60
21.93
0.37
5.30
32.87
30-34
17.37
1320.00
2.33
17.78
91.87
0.00
1582.28
18.73
1.45
6.16
37.74
35-39
33.85
1650.00
5.58
31.51
200.69
20.67
1772.21
15.47
3.56
5.59
42.71
40-44
54.14
1720.00
8.14
48.49
371.85
392.93
1849.66
12.17
6.88
4.47
47.64
45-49
68.79
1790.00
10.91
61.47
571.36
2824.10
1860.66
9.19
10.63
3.12
52.55
50-54
66.18
2180.00
13.49
67.75
674.47
6641.23
2078.64
7.37
14.02
2.50
57.54
55-59
77.32
2600.00
18.34
74.94
704.88
7478.81
2570.09
6.14
18.12
2.08
62.53
60-64
80.89
3890.00
24.82
77.02
664.18
11493.45
3097.17
5.45
20.56
1.91
67.48
65-69
74.17
2720.00
16.33
67.24
591.25
8179.40
3283.97
5.42
19.42
1.65
72.41
70-74
48.90
5340.00
23.01
54.74
607.83
6265.02
3723.97
4.29
22.63
1.49
77.44
75-79
48.90
5340.00
23.01
49.39
469.86
9093.20
4908.63
3.19
23.05
1.35
86.97
80+

Table-B43. Computation of YLL and DALY for Cervix Cancer Data

YLD

Incidence

Incidence

Age of Duration Disability

per 100,000 Onset

Weight

YLD

YLD[0,0]

PYLD[0,0]

(Incidence) (Incidence) (Prevalence)

Inc-based

Incidence

Curr. Prev.

Inc-based

PYLD[0,0]

YLD

PYLD[0,0]

PYLD[0,0]

(Prevalence)

per 100,000 per 100,000

per 100,000

Male
-

2.5

0.0

0.0

5-14

10.0

0.0

0.0

15-29

22.5

0.0

0.0

30-44

37.5

0.0

0.0

45-59

52.5

0.0

0.0

60-69

65.0

0.0

0.0

70-79

75.0

0.0

0.0

80+

85.0

0.0

0.0

Total

43.8

0.0

0.0

0-4

0.0

0.0

0.3

30

0.1

5-14

14.2

6.7

0.3

755

0.7

15-29

26.2

19.8

0.2

260,840

195.7

126

0-4

Female

30-44

18,932

20.0

39.3

17.7

0.3

87,534

95,658

85,186

27,022

92.5

90.0

28.5

45-59

31,012

60.0

52.5

9.6

0.3

86,122

102,626

187,135

92,648

166.6

362.1

179.3

60-69

17,865

80.0

64.6

5.9

0.4

29,382

42,561

79,973

62,218

131.6

358.1

278.6

70-79

5,383

60.0

73.8

5.1

0.9

13,294

23,955

21,195

46,971

148.2

236.3

523.6

80+

1,214

50.0

87.0

3.2

0.9

1,461

3,607

5,691

10,595

60.2

234.4

436.5

Total
Total
persons

74,405

15.4

54.2

10.3

0.4 217,794

268,407

640,805

239,454

45.0

132.5

49.5

74,405

7.7

54.2

10.3

0.4

217,794

268,407

640,805

239,454

22.5

66.1

24.7

Number of
deaths

Death rate
per 1,000

YLL

YLL[0,0]

DALY

DALY[0,0]

0-4

5-14

15-29

30-44

45-59

60-69

70-79

80+

Total

0-4

0.0

0.0

0.0

5-14

15-29

0.0

282

248

282

248

0.2

0.2

30-44

1,529

0.0

36,155

61,398

123,690

157,056

38.2

130.7

45-59

5,191

0.1

83,303

274,958

169,425

377,583

161.2

327.8

60-69

4,272

0.2

42,353

276,485

71,735

319,046

189.7

321.2

70-79

1,835

0.2

10,610

136,333

23,904

160,288

118.3

266.4

80+

559

0.2

1,325

47,828

2,786

51,435

54.6

114.8

Total

13,395

0.0

174,034

797,248

391,828

1,065,655

36.0

81.0

Total persons

13,395

0.0

174,034

797,248

391,828

1,065,655

17.9

40.4

YLL

YLL
per 100,000

DALY
per 100,000

Male

127

Female

Table-B44. DISMOD Analysis of Ovary Cancer Data

128

Input Variables
Output Variables
Age
Incident
Case fatality
Mortality
Incident
Prevalence
Remission Case fatality Duration
Mortality
RR mortality
Age of
group rates/100,000 rate/100,000 rate/100,000 rates/100,000 rate/100,000 rate/100,000 rate/100,000 (years) rate/100,000 (numbers) onset(years)
0.24
0.00
0.00
0.25
0.61
0.36
0.42
33.66
0.00
1.00
2.57
0-4
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.33
2.04
0.14
64.94
30.47
0.00
1.89
7.62
5-9
0.36
2780.00
0.12
0.43
3.88
0.01
564.13
26.06
0.02
5.81
12.62
10-14
0.94
750.00
0.07
0.74
6.45
0.00
1055.96
22.14
0.07
6.21
17.77
15-19
1.33
1980.00
0.24
1.31
10.98
0.00
1609.53
18.73
0.18
7.18
22.68
20-24
2.10
3880.00
0.60
1.84
17.14
1142.26
2394.51
16.04
0.41
10.14
27.60
25-29
2.21
1780.00
0.38
2.53
22.61
4136.24
2202.30
15.13
0.50
8.91
32.70
30-34
5.01
3100.00
1.12
4.89
32.35
2218.04
2637.96
14.82
0.85
9.66
37.80
35-39
13.39
2460.00
2.23
9.98
60.34
157.02
3048.05
12.72
1.84
8.92
42.75
40-44
13.72
3500.00
4.22
15.20
109.06
1091.25
3089.41
10.03
3.37
6.80
47.61
45-49
24.36
2940.00
5.07
20.20
158.48
4026.32
3230.58
7.69
5.12
4.68
52.63
50-54
29.22
3870.00
6.99
26.40
192.24
7602.99
3712.60
6.28
7.14
3.67
57.56
55-59
27.65
5070.00
9.88
28.22
205.03
8567.27
4744.27
5.45
9.73
2.99
62.51
60-64
29.88
5830.00
12.41
29.39
205.90
8750.68
5669.34
4.73
11.67
2.67
67.52
65-69
30.62
6340.00
12.25
30.86
199.52
10357.92
6333.42
3.94
12.63
2.25
72.52
70-74
32.79
7640.00
12.66
32.00
183.28
12392.70
6962.69
3.35
12.76
1.92
77.51
75-79
32.79
7640.00
12.66
32.73
167.83
12588.32
7543.79
2.63
12.66
1.54
87.04
80+

Table-B45. Computation of YLL and DALY for Ovary Cancer Data

YLD

Inc-based
Incidence Curr. Prev. Inc-based
Incidence Incidence Age of Duration Disability
YLD
YLD[0,0]
PYLD[0,0]
PYLD[0,0]
YLD
PYLD[0,0] PYLD[0,0]
per 100,000 Onset
Weight (Incidence) (Incidence) (Prevalence) (Prevalence) per 100,000 per 100,000 per 100,000

Male

129

0-4

2.5

0.0

0.0

5-14

10.0

0.0

0.0

15-29

22.5

0.0

0.0

30-44

37.5

0.0

0.0

45-59

52.5

0.0

0.0

60-69

65.0

0.0

0.0

70-79

75.0

0.0

0.0

80+

85.0

0.0

0.0

Total

43.8

0.0

0.0

0-4

2.6

33.7

0.3

1,826

3.1

5-14

10.5

28.0

0.3

8,303

7.5

15-29

23.9

18.2

0.3

35,527

3,521

26.3

2.6

Female

30-44

10,001

10.0

39.4

13.8

0.3

44,698

44,976

28,378

13,036

44.7

28.4

13.0

45-59

12,420

20.0

52.8

7.9

0.4

34,346

39,529

37,776

37,528

55.3

60.8

60.4

60-69

7,686

30.0

64.6

5.1

0.6

15,260

21,645

19,543

29,709

59.6

76.3

116.0

70-79

3,913

30.0

74.2

3.7

0.8

6,658

11,671

7,161

19,978

51.0

54.9

153.2

80+

1,119

30.0

87.0

2.6

0.9

1,097

2,661

3,434

5,800

29.4

92.1

155.6

Total
Total
persons

35,139

6.9

55.0

8.3

0.5 102,059

120,483

141,949

109,573

20.1

27.9

21.5

35,139

3.3

55.0

8.3

0.5

102,059

120,483

141,949

109,573

9.7

13.5

10.4

Number of

Death rate

YLL

DALY

deaths

per 1,000

per 100,000

per 100,000

0-4

5-14

15-29

30-44

45-59

60-69

70-79

80+

Total

0-4

5-14

14

0.0

525

170

525

170

0.5

0.5

15-29

281

0.0

9,190

7,008

9,190

7,008

6.8

6.8

30-44

937

0.0

22,758

36,658

67,456

81,633

22.8

67.4

45-59

2,564

0.0

41,052

135,980

75,398

175,509

66.1

121.4

60-69

2,352

0.1

23,241

152,385

38,501

174,030

90.7

150.3

70-79

1,137

0.1

6,642

84,293

13,300

95,964

50.9

102.0

80+

307

0.1

725

26,279

1,821

28,941

19.4

48.9

Total

7,592

0.0

104,132

442,772

206,191

563,255

20.5

40.5

Total persons

7,592

0.0

104,132

442,772

206,191

563,255

9.9

19.6

YLL

YLL

YLL[0,0]

DALY

DALY[0,0]

Male

130

Female

Table-B46. DISMOD Analysis for Bladder Cancer Data (males)


Age
group

Input Variables
Output Variables
Incident
Case fatality
Mortality
Incident
Prevalence Remission Case fatality Duration
Mortality
RR mortality
Age of
rates/100,000 rate/100,000 rate/100,000 rates/100,000 rate/100,000 rate/100,000 rate/100,000 (years) rate/100,000 (numbers) onset(years)

131

0-4

0.06

14290.00

0.06

0.06

0.16

5.37

4.23

49.94

0.00

1.00

2.47

5-9

0.05

0.00

0.00

0.06

0.47

19.81

1.68

47.42

0.00

1.01

7.50

10-14

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.08

0.80

58.13

0.08

42.64

0.00

1.00

12.70

15-19

0.11

0.00

0.00

0.12

1.28

753.81

0.11

38.62

0.00

1.00

17.59

20-24

0.15

0.00

0.00

0.16

1.86

1221.71

5.57

36.03

0.00

1.03

22.66

25-29

0.27

6670.00

0.11

0.25

2.76

293.03

13.69

32.83

0.00

1.05

27.68

30-34

0.37

0.00

0.00

0.39

4.29

0.01

121.28

28.45

0.01

1.56

32.70

35-39

0.68

2110.00

0.14

0.69

6.75

0.00

691.27

24.38

0.05

2.67

37.77

40-44

1.69

700.00

0.09

1.42

11.40

0.00

972.74

20.92

0.11

2.73

42.79

45-49

2.76

2000.00

0.46

2.67

20.52

0.00

1467.21

17.68

0.30

2.90

47.72

50-54

5.42

2540.00

1.32

4.92

36.24

0.00

2111.91

14.98

0.77

2.63

52.75

55-59

10.50

1630.00

1.47

8.95

65.20

0.00

1914.80

12.50

1.25

2.00

57.72

60-64

14.60

1480.00

2.01

15.05

115.76

0.00

1867.48

9.96

2.16

1.56

62.71

65-69

27.40

2970.00

6.95

25.32

197.51

0.00

2718.52

7.75

5.37

1.61

67.69

70-74

42.80

3700.00

10.71

36.72

311.70

248.93

3592.75

5.64

11.20

1.52

72.61

75-79

44.80

5920.00

20.96

43.46

405.60

4336.71

4498.68

3.91

18.25

1.44

77.53

80+

44.80

5920.00

20.96

44.75

371.55

8099.16

5658.76

2.63

21.02

1.30

86.63

Table-B47. DISMOD Analysis of Bladder Cancer Data (females)


Input Variables

Output Variables

Incident
rates/100,000

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Mortality
rate/100,000

Incident
rates/100,000

Prevalence
rate/100,000

Remission
rate/100,000

Case
fatality
rate/100,00
0

Duration
(years)

Mortality
rate/100,
000

RR
mortality
(numbers)

Age of
onset(y
ears)

0-4

0.06

0.00

0.00

0.06

0.14

0.00

0.00

53.46

0.00

1.00

2.37

5-9

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.02

0.35

0.00

0.00

52.06

0.00

1.00

6.83

10-14

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.39

0.62

0.00

46.92

0.00

0.00

12.50

15-19

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.02

0.44

12.47

0.00

41.66

0.00

1.00

18.18

20-24

0.06

0.00

0.00

0.06

0.66

20.60

0.00

37.59

0.00

1.00

22.73

25-29

0.12

0.00

0.00

0.11

1.08

19.99

3.26

33.05

0.00

1.02

27.78

30-34

0.23

8330.00

0.08

0.21

1.88

95.70

11.72

28.63

0.00

1.04

32.68

35-39

0.26

0.00

0.00

0.31

3.13

258.65

215.58

24.30

0.01

2.32

37.69

40-44

0.87

6120.00

0.37

0.61

5.04

178.99

1969.47

20.95

0.10

6.48

42.79

45-49

0.90

2820.00

0.30

1.00

8.23

15.93

2728.71

19.15

0.22

6.29

47.64

50-54

1.75

1180.00

0.19

1.64

13.41

0.00

1799.74

16.75

0.24

3.09

52.75

55-59

3.75

3450.00

0.75

2.77

22.95

0.00

1547.68

13.98

0.36

2.16

57.64

60-64

3.39

3550.00

1.41

3.94

37.80

0.01

498.16

10.77

0.19

1.33

62.70

65-69

8.73

0.00

0.00

7.22

63.86

692.75

359.76

7.28

0.23

1.21

67.72

70-74

10.90

6610.00

5.44

10.38

89.50

6263.00

3136.53

4.70

2.81

1.65

72.58

75-79

12.70

6340.00

5.18

11.94

85.03

10328.25

5963.24

3.82

5.07

1.78

77.54

80+

12.70

6340.00

5.18

12.64

81.49

9030.14

6353.99

2.98

5.18

1.46

87.05

Age
group

132

Table-B48. Computation of YLL and DALY for Bladder Cancer Data


YLD

Incidence

Incidence
per 100,000

Age of
Onset

Duration

Disability
Weight

YLD
(Incidence)

YLD[0,0]
(Incidence)

PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Incidence
YLD
per 100,000

Curr. Prev.
PYLD[0,0]
per 100,000

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
per 100,000

Male
0-4

2.5

49.9

0.3

547

1.0

5-14

10.5

44.6

0.3

241

0.2

15-29

23.6

35.3

0.3

2,449

1.8

30-44

39.4

23.3

0.4

2,342

4,083

2.5

4.4

45-59

53.8

14.5

0.5

7,949

10,806

15.2

20.7

133

60-69

4,078

20.0

65.4

8.8

0.6

13,408

21,368

15,048

18,212

65.8

73.8

89.3

70-79

3,402

40.0

74.5

5.0

0.8

7,526

13,782

6,715

23,429

88.5

79.0

275.5

80+

971

40.0

86.6

2.6

0.9

951

2,280

3,193

8,111

39.2

131.5

334.2

Total

8,451

1.7

71.5

6.6

0.7

21,884

37,430

38,484

64,640

4.5

7.9

13.3

Female
0-4

2.4

53.5

0.3

74,559

135.9

5-14

7.3

51.6

0.3

4,443

3.9

15-29

24.9

35.6

0.3

22,205

16.7

30-44

39.0

23.7

0.5

29,980

31.7

45-59

53.6

16.1

0.5

16,244

2,707

31.4

5.2

60-69

2,233

10.0

65.5

8.8

0.6

7,573

12,100

10,347

6,875

33.9

46.3

30.8

70-79

897

10.0

74.3

4.4

0.8

1,807

3,237

3,869

6,621

20.1

43.1

73.8

80+

243

10.0

87.1

3.0

0.9

278

685

2,136

1,827

11.5

88.0

75.3

3,373

0.7

69.4

7.2

0.7

9,658

16,022

163,782

18,030

2.0

33.9

3.7

11,824

1.2

70.9

6.7

0.7

31,542

53,452

202,265

82,670

3.3

20.9

8.5

Total
Total
persons

YLL

Number of

Death rate

deaths

per 1,000

YLL

YLL[0,0]

DALY

DALY[0,0]

YLL

DALY

per 100,000

per 100,000

Male
0-4

5-14

15-29

30-44

46

0.0

1,057

1,865

1,057

1,865

1.1

1.1

45-59

362

0.0

5,403

19,485

5,403

19,485

10.4

10.4

60-69

705

0.0

6,125

46,278

19,532

67,646

30.0

95.8

70-79

1,158

0.1

5,702

86,615

13,227

100,397

67.0

155.5

80+

510

0.2

1,112

43,426

2,063

45,705

45.8

85.0

Total

2,781

0.0

19,399

197,668

41,283

235,098

4.0

8.5

134

Female
0-4

5-14

15-29

30-44

29

0.0

650

1,223

650

1,223

0.7

0.7

45-59

136

0.0

2,213

7,150

2,213

7,150

4.3

4.3

60-69

46

0.0

455

2,980

8,028

15,080

2.0

35.9

70-79

318

0.0

1,776

23,795

3,582

27,032

19.8

39.9

80+

125

0.1

295

10,699

574

11,385

12.2

23.6

Total

654

0.0

5,389

45,847

15,046

61,869

1.1

3.1

Total persons

3,435

0.0

24,787

243,515

56,329

296,967

2.6

5.8

Table-B49. DISMOD Analysis for Leukemia Cancer Data (males)


Input Variables
Age
group

Output Variables

135

Incident
rates
/100,000

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Mortality
rate/100,000

Incident
rates/100,000

Prevalence
rate/100,000

Remission
rate/100,000

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Duration
(years)

Mortality
rate/100,000

RR
mortality
(numbers)

Age of
onset(years)

0-4

3.70

2940.00

0.96

4.24

10.06

248.90

3498.18

11.96

0.35

3.36

2.48

5-9

3.60

3360.00

1.05

3.93

26.44

1317.27

3656.47

9.81

0.97

21.11

7.47

10-14

3.90

4570.00

1.27

3.82

36.15

3031.25

4113.41

7.31

1.49

40.25

12.51

15-19

4.00

7140.00

2.28

3.69

35.33

11114.57

4694.00

5.63

1.66

29.44

17.46

20-24

3.10

4620.00

1.01

3.18

22.88

17814.17

5109.98

7.02

1.17

23.51

22.43

25-29

2.50

5260.00

1.02

2.61

18.87

7588.22

5407.62

9.70

1.02

21.66

27.42

30-34

2.00

6170.00

1.23

2.29

20.42

3893.60

5894.86

10.28

1.20

19.36

32.50

35-39

2.80

6430.00

1.37

2.70

22.54

2969.88

5995.49

10.35

1.35

15.27

37.61

40-44

3.70

5230.00

1.60

3.44

26.99

3244.99

5723.94

10.12

1.55

11.28

42.59

45-49

4.10

5680.00

1.72

4.19

32.95

2603.38

5513.42

9.86

1.82

8.31

47.58

50-54

5.30

5520.00

2.49

5.49

43.43

532.38

5876.52

8.63

2.55

5.57

52.64

55-59

9.50

8170.00

4.42

7.56

58.09

1265.65

6988.85

6.97

4.06

4.61

57.60

60-64

8.80

9050.00

5.54

9.27

67.75

3566.18

8134.88

5.99

5.51

3.49

62.59

65-69

13.00

7940.00

6.95

12.30

79.14

2389.12

8365.42

5.52

6.62

2.84

67.62

70-74

17.00

8280.00

8.33

15.82

102.84

2343.16

8332.49

4.48

8.57

2.23

72.58

75-79

19.00

9270.00

11.06

18.11

119.85

5057.23

8680.75

3.53

10.41

1.86

77.53

80+

19.00

9270.00

11.06

18.94

120.36

6828.07

9184.72

2.48

11.05

1.49

86.64

Table-B50. DISMOD Analysis of Leukemia Cancer Data (females)


Age
group

Input Variables

Output Variables

136

Incident
rates/100,000

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Mortality
rate/100,000

Incident
rates/100,000

Prevalence
rate/100,000

Remission
rate/100,000

Case fatality
rate/100,000

Duration
(years)

Mortality
rate/100,000

RR mortality
(numbers)

Age of
onset(years)

0-4

3.24

6790.00

1.53

2.72

6.21

497.10

6364.95

10.08

0.40

4.71

2.45

5-9

1.63

4410.00

0.73

2.16

14.46

2933.47

5332.48

9.18

0.77

23.71

7.39

10-14

2.12

4840.00

0.73

1.90

16.29

7847.81

4527.11

8.65

0.74

37.62

12.51

15-19

2.01

3880.00

0.60

1.70

15.18

7853.27

4483.35

9.69

0.68

23.92

17.38

20-24

1.03

5940.00

0.72

1.31

15.12

3254.23

4890.16

9.73

0.74

19.43

22.47

25-29

1.68

5740.00

0.84

1.61

15.44

4233.72

5554.20

8.86

0.86

22.18

27.66

30-34

2.60

6250.00

1.15

2.42

17.01

4733.25

6110.88

8.53

1.04

22.90

32.64

35-39

3.20

5730.00

1.12

3.13

20.93

4509.52

6152.82

8.14

1.29

21.26

37.57

40-44

4.09

9140.00

2.23

3.51

24.28

6491.30

6679.01

7.90

1.62

18.53

42.53

45-49

3.32

6180.00

1.66

3.85

25.52

5556.33

7496.64

8.80

1.91

15.22

47.55

50-54

4.87

9230.00

3.51

4.22

30.90

938.81

7931.95

8.97

2.45

10.06

52.52

55-59

4.25

7930.00

3.25

5.05

38.42

475.25

8509.69

8.13

3.27

7.13

57.65

60-64

9.31

13510.00

7.05

7.46

48.73

984.53

9032.91

7.64

4.40

4.82

62.61

65-69

6.89

5390.00

4.14

8.17

63.31

603.75

7129.54

7.20

4.52

3.11

67.50

70-74

11.57

5310.00

4.08

9.47

82.67

318.78

5842.06

5.68

4.83

2.14

72.60

75-79

10.93

11110.00

8.63

11.00

97.56

3601.32

7424.99

4.06

7.24

1.97

77.52

80+

10.93

11110.00

8.63

10.96

82.40

5352.87

10402.02

2.99

8.57

1.74

87.01

Table-B51. Computation of YLL and DALY for Leukemia Cancer Data


Incidence
YLD

Incidence
per 100,000

Age of
Onset

Duration

Disability
Weight

YLD
(Incidence)

YLD[0,0]
(Incidence)

PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
(Prevalence)

Incidence
YLD
per 100,000

Curr. Prev.
PYLD[0,0]
per 100,000

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]
per 100,000

Male
0-4

2.5

12.0

0.3

7,918

1,835

12.9

3.0

5-14

10.0

8.6

0.3

5,593

10,767

4.7

9.1

15-29

21.5

7.1

0.4

9,767

18,523

6.6

12.6

30-44

37.8

10.2

0.4

2,174

9,098

2.0

8.3

45-59

6,511

10.0

52.7

8.5

0.3

14,475

16,869

2,176

7,938

22.2

3.3

12.2

60-69

2,400

10.0

65.0

5.8

0.3

3,280

4,786

2,712

5,777

13.7

11.3

24.1

70-79

2,321

20.0

74.4

4.1

0.5

2,451

4,368

1,295

5,860

21.1

11.2

50.5

80+

601

20.0

86.6

2.5

0.5

287

686

572

1,646

9.5

19.0

54.8

Total

11,833

2.2

61.2

6.8

0.4

20,493

26,709

32,207

61,443

3.8

6.0

11.4

137

Female
0-4

2.5

10.1

0.2

8,384

1,121

14.5

1.9

5-14

9.8

8.9

0.2

3,210

4,265

2.9

3.8

15-29

22.2

9.4

0.3

3,527

6,798

2.6

5.0

30-44

37.6

8.2

0.3

1,658

5,407

1.7

5.4

45-59

52.3

8.7

0.3

1,655

4,954

2.7

8.0

60-69

2,562

10.0

64.7

7.4

0.3

3,524

5,321

1,641

3,596

13.8

6.4

14.0

70-79

1,304

10.0

74.4

5.1

0.3

1,259

2,306

1,030

4,069

9.7

7.9

31.2

80+

373

10.0

87.0

3.0

0.4

179

439

687

1,169

4.8

18.4

31.4

Total
Total
persons

4,239

0.8

69.6

6.3

0.3

4,962

8,066

21,792

31,378

1.0

4.3

6.2

16,072

1.5

63.4

6.7

0.3

25,455

34,775

53,999

92,821

2.4

5.1

8.8

YLL

Number of

Death rate

deaths

per 1,000

YLL

YLL[0,0]

DALY

DALY[0,0]

YLL

DALY

per 100,000

per 100,000

Male

138

0-4

200

0.0

6,866

313

6,866

313

11.2

11.2

5-14

1,460

0.0

54,415

15,410

54,415

15,410

45.7

45.7

15-29

1,760

0.0

60,259

37,490

60,259

37,490

41.0

41.0

30-44

1,254

0.0

31,271

46,970

31,271

46,970

28.5

28.5

45-59

1,368

0.0

21,100

72,470

35,575

89,339

32.4

54.6

60-69

1,216

0.1

11,083

78,735

14,363

83,521

46.2

59.9

70-79

782

0.1

3,946

58,210

6,398

62,578

34.0

55.1

80+

268

0.1

584

22,822

871

23,508

19.4

29.0

Total

8,308

0.0

189,526

332,420

210,019

359,129

35.0

38.8

0-4

217

0.0

7,456

316

7,456

316

12.9

12.9

5-14

870

0.0

32,551

8,645

32,551

8,645

29.3

29.3

15-29

1,007

0.0

34,047

22,833

34,047

22,833

25.2

25.2

30-44

1,215

0.0

30,605

45,773

30,605

45,773

30.6

30.6

45-59

1,267

0.0

20,525

66,773

20,525

66,773

33.1

33.1

60-69

993

0.0

9,904

64,143

13,428

69,464

38.7

52.4

70-79

504

0.0

2,858

37,595

4,117

39,901

21.9

31.6

80+

208

0.1

492

17,802

670

18,241

13.2

18.0

Total

6,281

0.0

138,438

263,878

143,400

271,944

27.2

28.2

Total persons

14,589

0.0

327,964

596,298

353,419

631,073

31.2

33.7

Female

Table-B52. DISMOD Analysis for Prostate Cancer Data

139

Input Variables
Output Variables
Incident
Age rates/100,0 Case fatality
Mortality
Incident
Prevalence
Remission Case fatality Duration
Mortality
group
00
rate/100,000 rate/100,000 rates/100,000 rate/100,000 rate/100,000 rate/100,000 (years) rate/100,000
0.00
0.00
0.06
0.08
0.19
623.67
0.53
17.76
0.00
0-4
0.05
0.00
0.00
0.06
0.53
1668.75
0.22
14.22
0.00
5-9
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.06
0.62
12146.87
0.09
13.14
0.00
10-14
0.06
0.00
0.00
0.06
0.48
14900.45
1.60
21.30
0.00
15-19
0.05
10000.00
0.05
0.06
0.57
3866.34
2.96
27.00
0.00
20-24
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.05
0.73
3934.63
1.12
27.17
0.00
25-29
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.03
0.80
1518.84
0.27
26.56
0.00
30-34
0.14
0.00
0.00
0.11
1.08
23.27
121.05
22.46
0.00
35-39
0.27
6900.00
0.18
0.28
1.98
0.11
1166.20
18.68
0.02
40-44
0.92
1520.00
0.11
0.74
4.06
0.01
2136.31
15.66
0.09
45-49
3.52
3400.00
1.03
2.72
10.91
0.00
2533.06
13.02
0.28
50-54
10.70
2590.00
1.89
8.74
34.15
0.00
3416.73
10.73
1.17
55-59
20.10
4840.00
7.30
21.96
94.90
0.00
4404.41
8.96
4.18
60-64
47.90
3130.00
9.81
45.18
225.55
0.00
4080.30
7.47
9.21
65-69
81.50
3660.00
20.83
76.94
460.65
239.29
4023.14
5.58
18.54
70-74
134.00
5520.00
46.58
109.76
737.81
4022.50
4761.90
3.89
35.15
75-79
134.00
5520.00
46.58
131.97
849.92
9689.11
5452.16
2.51
46.34
80+

RR mortality
(numbers)
1.00

Age of
onset(years)
2.45

1.00

7.39

1.00

12.53

1.01

17.51

1.01

22.50

1.01

27.30

1.00

32.71

1.53

38.00

3.23

42.83

3.75

47.92

2.91

52.99

2.71

57.92

2.30

62.83

1.90

67.75

1.58

72.68

1.47

77.61

1.29

86.71

Table-B53. Computation of YLL and DALY for Prostate Cancer Data

YLD Incidence

Incidence

Age of Duration Disability

per 100,000 Onset

Weight

YLD

YLD[0,0]

PYLD[0,0]

Inc-based

Incidence

Curr. Prev.

Inc-based

PYLD[0,0]

YLD

PYLD[0,0]

PYLD[0,0]

(Incidence) (Incidence) (Prevalence) (Prevalence) per 100,000 per 100,000 per 100,000

Male
0-4

2.5

17.8

0.4

94

0.2

5-14

9.9

13.7

0.4

61

0.1

15-29

21.8

24.8

0.4

82

0.1

30-44

40.5

20.5

0.5

534

0.6

45-59

55.7

11.8

0.5

4,212

2,439

8.1

4.7

60-69

6,117

30.0

65.7

8.1

0.5

14,467

22,819

19,867

14,086

71.0

97.4

69.1

70-79

7,655

90.0

74.8

4.9

0.7

13,625

25,085

12,579

31,854

160.2

147.9

374.5

80+

3,156

130.0

86.7

2.5

0.8

2,567

6,158

3,563

16,105

105.8

146.8

663.5

Total

16,927

3.5

73.7

5.6

0.6

30,659

54,061

40,994

64,484

6.3

8.4

13.3

140

Female
0-4

2.5

0.0

0.0

5-14

10.0

0.0

0.0

15-29

22.5

0.0

0.0

30-44

37.5

0.0

0.0

45-59

52.5

0.0

0.0

60-69

65.0

0.0

0.0

70-79

75.0

0.0

0.0

80+

85.0

0.0

0.0

Total

43.8

0.0

0.0

1.7

73.7

5.6

0.6

3.2

4.2

6.6

Total persons

16,927

30,659

54,061

40,994

64,484

Number of

Death rate

deaths

per 1,000

0-4

5-14

15-29

30-44

0.0

130

255

130

255

0.1

0.1

45-59

218

0.0

3,044

12,100

3,044

12,100

5.8

5.8

60-69

1,268

0.1

11,103

83,050

25,570

105,869

54.5

125.4

70-79

2,061

0.2

10,016

154,543

23,640

179,627

117.8

277.9

80+

1,124

0.5

2,443

95,751

5,011

101,908

100.7

206.4

Total

4,677

0.0

26,737

345,698

57,396

399,759

5.5

11.8

YLL

YLL

YLL[0,0]

DALY

DALY[0,0]

YLL

DALY

per 100,000

per 100,000

Male

141

Female
0-4

5-14

15-29

30-44

45-59

60-69

70-79

80+

Total

2.8

5.9

Total persons

4,677

0.0

26,737

345,698

57,396

399,759

Table-B54. DISMOD Analysis for Lymphomas and multiple Myelomas Cancer Data (males)

142

Input Variables
Incident
Age
rates
Case fatality
Mortality
Incident
Prevalence
group /100,000 rate/100,000 rate/100,000 rates/100,000 rate/100,000
0.84
1990.00
0.17
1.12
2.56
0-4
2.30
3370.00
0.73
1.76
8.95
5-9
1.99
1430.00
0.28
2.18
17.58
10-14
2.45
4330.00
0.78
2.09
22.53
15-19
1.72
1170.00
0.20
1.98
17.73
20-24
2.19
2810.00
0.59
2.21
18.08
25-29
2.59
3640.00
0.86
2.64
23.76
30-34
3.35
3920.00
1.16
3.46
29.88
35-39
5.70
5490.00
2.41
5.26
40.56
40-44
8.96
2820.00
1.72
8.40
56.95
45-49
13.92
4940.00
4.69
12.53
89.10
50-54
17.89
4760.00
6.73
16.97
131.36
55-59
21.65
4180.00
7.30
22.23
173.88
60-64
33.53
5030.00
12.27
30.24
226.17
65-69
37.49
5300.00
14.88
36.20
290.91
70-74
39.01
9090.00
23.29
38.35
325.91
75-79
39.01
9090.00
23.29
38.99
271.01
80+

Output Variables
Remission
rate/100,000
35.00

Case fatality
rate/100,000
2361.58

Duration
(years)
17.02

Mortality
rate/100,000
0.06

RR mortality
(numbers)
2.59

Age of
onset(years)
2.63

158.65

2171.45

14.69

0.19

12.92

7.67

636.24

1875.00

11.37

0.33

19.02

12.51

8543.32

1576.01

8.94

0.36

10.70

17.46

14966.57

1558.16

11.33

0.28

7.84

22.51

4557.35

2245.49

13.91

0.41

9.61

27.56

3369.11

3301.18

13.24

0.78

11.23

32.59

2153.26

3935.62

12.85

1.18

10.30

37.64

2853.21

3872.87

11.89

1.57

7.95

42.69

3145.64

3643.88

11.46

2.08

5.81

47.68

1049.14

3936.29

10.12

3.51

4.04

52.64

1989.10

4512.65

8.44

5.93

3.34

57.61

3090.50

4497.62

7.17

7.82

2.38

62.62

3126.85

4879.46

6.14

11.04

2.08

67.61

2541.32

5506.02

4.85

16.02

1.81

72.54

5629.50

6707.19

3.51

21.86

1.66

77.51

8191.70

8596.16

2.45

23.29

1.45

86.63

Table-B55. DISMOD Analysis of Lymphomas and multiple Myelomas Cancer Data (females)
Input Variables

143

Incident
rates
Age group /100,000
0.24
0-4
1.07
5-9
0.79
10-14
0.87
15-19
1.45
20-24
0.90
25-29
1.53
30-34
1.81
35-39
4.22
40-44
4.83
45-49
8.18
50-54
11.24
55-59
14.96
60-64
28.96
65-69
29.94
70-74
27.04
75-79
27.04
80+

Case fatality
rate/100,000
1820.00

Output Variables

Mortality
Incident
Prevalence
rate/100,000 rates/100,000 rate/100,000
0.06
0.36
0.79

Remission
rate/100,000
0.00

Case fatality
rate/100,000
1410.53

Duration
(years)
20.87

Mortality
rate/100,000
0.01

RR mortality
Age of
(numbers) onset(years)
1.83
2.75

780.00

0.06

0.75

3.36

0.00

1222.13

18.28

0.04

7.02

7.73

1690.00

0.12

0.93

7.39

273.50

1477.26

14.68

0.11

12.71

12.48

5000.00

0.40

0.95

10.22

4579.33

2288.33

12.08

0.23

12.43

17.56

2820.00

0.30

1.04

10.13

8724.89

2819.46

13.44

0.29

11.64

22.50

2150.00

0.24

1.07

10.38

4743.73

3004.31

15.84

0.31

12.55

27.57

7230.00

0.92

1.45

12.57

2316.11

4496.18

16.85

0.57

17.14

32.63

3130.00

0.60

1.99

16.76

785.30

4052.33

17.25

0.68

14.55

37.66

2830.00

0.87

3.35

25.71

34.69

3336.82

15.77

0.86

9.73

42.72

4400.00

1.81

5.12

41.44

6.70

3352.66

13.60

1.39

7.31

47.62

2930.00

2.14

7.18

62.74

331.08

3345.77

11.15

2.10

4.81

52.65

3450.00

3.25

10.59

90.77

1234.20

3489.20

8.74

3.17

3.50

57.65

4000.00

5.08

15.58

124.60

2465.40

4263.25

6.52

5.31

2.76

62.68

7000.00

11.49

24.07

160.53

5027.71

6034.98

4.74

9.69

2.79

67.64

7320.00

14.29

28.50

169.82

11607.74

7236.61

3.55

12.28

2.43

72.51

7420.00

9.78

27.88

142.18

15517.31

7470.53

3.15

10.61

1.99

77.49

7420.00

9.78

27.11

131.68

13215.21

7437.49

2.60

9.79

1.54

87.01

Table-B56. Computation of YLL and DALY for Lymphomas and multiple myeloma Cancer Data

YLD

Incidence

Incidence

Age of Duration Disability

per 100,000 Onset

Weight

YLD

YLD[0,0]

PYLD[0,0]

(Incidence) (Incidence) (Prevalence)

Inc-based

Incidence

Curr. Prev.

Inc-based

PYLD[0,0]

YLD

PYLD[0,0]

PYLD[0,0]

(Prevalence) per 100,000 per 100,000 per 100,000

Male
0-4

2.6

17.0

0.3

1,098

5-14

10.4

12.8

0.2

4,685

15-29

22.2

11.3

0.2

30-44

38.3

12.6

0.4

1.9

2,663

3.9

2.2

5,728

6,464

4.3

4.8

2,345

10,679

2.5

11.5

45-59

5,220

10.0

52.9

9.9

0.3

13,936

16,879

4,873

15,344

26.7

9.3

29.4

60-69

6,117

30.0

65.0

6.7

0.4

10,011

14,958

7,275

14,884

49.1

35.7

73.0

70-79

3,402

40.0

74.3

4.4

0.5

4,275

7,661

3,608

13,058

50.3

42.4

153.5

971

40.0

86.6

2.5

0.6

638

1,526

1,598

4,120

26.3

65.8

169.7

15,710

3.2

64.3

7.0

0.4

28,861

41,024

31,210

67,212

5.9

6.4

13.8

6.6

80+

144

Total
Female
0-4

2.8

20.9

0.3

3,636

5-14

10.3

16.3

0.2

6,371

2,669

5.5

2.3

15-29

22.5

13.8

0.2

11,260

2,698

8.5

2.0

30-44

38.5

16.5

0.3

9,758

4,913

10.3

5.2

45-59

5,169

10.0

53.2

10.9

0.3

12,648

15,800

12,326

8,697

24.5

23.8

16.8

60-69

4,466

20.0

65.3

5.6

0.4

6,032

8,823

13,979

11,029

27.0

62.6

49.4

70-79

2,691

30.0

74.1

3.4

0.5

2,717

4,711

7,685

7,390

30.3

85.7

82.4

728

30.0

87.0

2.6

0.6

479

1,162

4,021

1,937

19.7

165.6

79.8

13,055

2.7

63.5

7.1

0.4

21,875

30,497

69,035

39,333

4.5

14.3

8.1

28,765

3.0

64.0

7.0

0.4

50,736

71,521

100,245

106,545

5.2

10.3

11.0

80+
Total
Total
persons

YLL

Number of

Death rate

deaths

per 1,000

YLL

YLL[0,0]

DALY

DALY[0,0]

YLL

DALY

per 100,000

per 100,000

Male
0-4

34

0.0

1,158

42

1,158

42

2.0

2.0

5-14

312

0.0

11,629

3,330

11,629

3,330

9.8

9.8

15-29

464

0.0

15,644

10,370

15,644

10,370

11.6

11.6

30-44

1,058

0.0

25,901

40,390

25,901

40,390

27.9

27.9

45-59

1,833

0.0

27,862

97,808

41,798

114,686

53.4

80.1

60-69

1,860

0.1

16,775

120,805

26,787

135,763

82.3

131.4

70-79

1,533

0.2

7,663

114,328

11,938

121,988

90.1

140.4

566

0.2

1,235

48,192

1,873

49,718

50.9

77.2

7,660

0.0

107,868

435,264

136,728

476,288

22.2

28.1

0-4

0.0

204

204

0.4

0.4

5-14

87

0.0

3,258

968

3,258

968

2.8

2.8

15-29

368

0.0

12,429

8,375

12,429

8,375

9.3

9.3

30-44

648

0.0

16,343

24,380

16,343

24,380

17.3

17.3

45-59

1,085

0.0

17,297

57,678

29,944

73,478

33.5

57.9

60-69

1,590

0.1

15,319

103,845

21,350

112,668

68.6

95.6

70-79

1,053

0.1

6,217

77,888

8,934

82,598

69.3

99.6

238

0.1

562

20,370

1,041

21,533

23.2

42.9

5,075

0.0

71,629

293,509

93,504

324,006

14.8

19.3

12,735

0.0

179,496

728,774

230,232

800,294

18.5

23.7

80+

145

Total
Female

80+
Total
Total persons

Table-B57. DISMOD Analysis for Skin & Melanoma Cancer Data (males)

146

Input Variables
Output Variables
Age
Incident
Case fatality
Mortality
Incident
Prevalence
Remission Case fatality Duration
Mortality
RR mortality
Age of
group rates/100,000 rate/100,000 rate/100,000 rates/100,000 rate/100,000 rate/100,000 rate/100,000 (years) rate/100,000 (numbers) onset(years)
0.06
0.00
0.00
0.06
0.14
0.00
0.00
40.29
0.00
1.00
2.37
0-4
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.03
0.36
0.00
0.00
37.27
0.00
1.00
7.45
5-9
0.17
0.00
0.00
0.10
0.62
0.00
0.00
31.99
0.00
1.00
13.02
10-14
0.22
0.00
0.00
0.20
1.38
0.00
0.00
27.56
0.00
1.00
17.63
15-19
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.23
2.47
0.00
0.00
22.93
0.00
1.00
22.50
20-24
0.21
0.00
0.00
0.25
3.54
1695.67
278.79
18.65
0.01
2.50
27.61
25-29
0.37
1590.00
0.06
0.38
4.12
6238.43
1149.99
18.32
0.05
4.63
32.70
30-34
0.62
3880.00
0.27
0.63
5.08
3420.22
1371.23
20.25
0.07
4.27
37.71
35-39
1.43
840.00
0.09
1.08
8.46
148.84
1188.94
18.34
0.10
3.12
42.71
40-44
1.38
2220.00
0.34
1.61
14.45
18.59
1522.56
15.02
0.22
2.97
47.62
45-49
3.37
2070.00
0.59
2.47
22.31
912.80
1996.08
12.05
0.45
2.55
52.72
50-54
4.42
1670.00
0.63
4.10
33.20
2980.59
1729.65
10.03
0.57
1.92
57.67
55-59
5.79
1020.00
0.50
5.81
47.70
3713.65
1324.21
8.56
0.63
1.41
62.63
60-64
8.18
1620.00
1.23
8.08
69.70
2167.90
1610.91
6.85
1.12
1.36
67.63
65-69
12.50
4670.00
4.17
11.16
95.02
5525.10
2435.06
4.89
2.31
1.35
72.62
70-74
14.55
2450.00
2.91
13.61
104.73
8888.92
2812.95
3.98
2.95
1.28
77.54
75-79
14.55
2450.00
2.91
14.48
116.27
8866.80
2507.18
2.77
2.92
1.13
86.65
80+

Table-B58. DISMOD Analysis of Skin & Melanoma Cancer Data (females)

Age
group

Input Variables
Incident
rates/100,00 Case fatality
Mortality
rate/100,000 rate/100,000
0
0.00
0.00
0.00

Output Variables
Incident
rates/100,000
0.00

Prevalence
rate/100,000
0.00

Remission
rate/100,000
0.00

Case fatality
rate/100,000
0.00

Duration
(years)
29.59

Mortality
rate/100,000
0.00

RR mortality
(numbers)
0.00

Age of
onset(years)
3.99

0-4
0.00

0.00

0.00

0.04

0.10

0.00

0.00

26.49

0.00

1.00

7.92

0.06

0.00

0.00

0.07

0.37

0.01

0.30

21.97

0.00

1.01

12.63

0.13

0.00

0.00

0.11

0.79

17.10

21.97

17.02

0.00

1.27

17.73

0.18

2860.00

0.06

0.17

1.45

783.42

802.92

12.67

0.01

4.83

22.61

0.18

2700.00

0.06

0.23

2.14

1842.11

1872.79

9.29

0.04

8.16

27.67

0.38

0.00

0.00

0.39

3.08

5818.56

695.17

5.83

0.02

4.47

32.75

0.78

0.00

0.00

0.70

3.07

28204.65

15.27

5.23

0.00

1.23

37.71

1.12

0.00

0.00

1.08

3.15

22677.12

77.40

12.21

0.00

1.46

42.66

1.66

2220.00

0.30

1.68

7.64

1748.48

1322.48

15.20

0.10

3.62

47.69

3.31

4440.00

1.17

2.64

16.63

1250.58

2216.17

12.60

0.37

3.54

52.67

4.00

750.00

0.25

3.84

28.14

3413.13

1130.86

10.64

0.32

1.93

57.63

5.08

600.00

0.28

5.25

42.75

3850.65

783.87

8.70

0.34

1.32

62.64

8.27

1680.00

0.92

7.54

59.03

6155.28

1300.93

7.20

0.77

1.39

67.64

10.21

1790.00

1.36

9.76

77.76

4428.40

1862.25

6.04

1.45

1.36

72.57

11.51

4000.00

3.45

11.02

100.34

6114.72

2645.80

4.33

2.66

1.34

77.53

11.51

4000.00

3.45

11.47

90.83

10947.73

3755.30

3.06

3.41

1.27

87.04

5-9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34

147

35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70-74
75-79
80+

Table-B59. Computation of YLL and DALY for Melanoma & Skin Cancer Data
YLD

Incidence

Incidence

Age of Duration Disability

per 100,000 Onset

Weight

YLD

YLD[0,0]

PYLD[0,0]

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]

Incidence
YLD

Curr. Prev.
PYLD[0,0]

Inc-based
PYLD[0,0]

(Incidence) (Incidence) (Prevalence) (Prevalence) per 100,000 per 100,000 per 100,000

Male

148

0-4

2.4

40.3

0.2

41

0.1

5-14

11.7

33.3

0.2

94

0.1

15-29

22.6

23.0

0.2

139

524

0.1

0.4

30-44

927

1.0

39.0

18.9

0.3

4,066

4,534

114

1,436

4.4

0.1

1.5

45-59

1,566

3.0

53.4

12.0

0.3

3,750

4,830

346

2,947

7.2

0.7

5.6

60-69

1,427

7.0

65.1

7.7

0.3

2,035

3,128

522

3,295

10.0

2.6

16.2

70-79

1,021

12.0

74.5

4.5

0.4

1,011

1,830

340

3,292

11.9

4.0

38.7

80+

340

14.0

86.7

2.8

0.6

219

529

139

1,581

9.0

5.7

65.1

Total

5,281

1.1

60.2

10.0

0.3

11,081

14,850

1,734

13,075

2.3

0.4

2.7

0-4

2.4

31.8

0.6

24

0.0

5-14

1,038

0.9

7.1

28.9

0.2

4,878

5,371

49

10,312

4.2

0.0

8.9

15-29

23.6

13.5

0.2

64

26,491

0.0

19.9

30-44

947

1.0

38.8

8.2

0.2

1,620

1,427

85

11,631

1.7

0.1

12.3

45-59

1,551

3.0

53.3

11.7

0.2

2,960

3,777

396

2,270

5.7

0.8

4.4

60-69

1,340

6.0

65.2

8.0

0.2

1,717

2,661

416

2,733

7.7

1.9

12.2

70-79

897

10.0

74.3

5.4

0.6

1,695

3,125

316

4,892

18.9

3.5

54.5

80+

267

11.0

87.0

3.1

0.7

233

574

140

1,551

9.6

5.8

63.9

6,039

1.2

50.3

12.0

0.3

13,104

16,936

1,490

59,880

2.7

0.3

12.4

11,320

1.2

55.0

11.1

0.3

24,185

31,786

3,224

72,955

2.5

0.3

7.5

Female

Total
Total
persons

YLL

Number of

Death rate

YLL

YLL[0,0]

DALY

deaths

per 1,000

0-4

5-14

15-29

0.0

124

30-44

65

0.0

45-59

201

60-69

DALY[0,0]

YLL

DALY

per 100,000

per 100,000

110

124

110

0.1

0.1

1,587

2,488

5,653

7,021

1.7

6.1

0.0

3,079

10,683

6,829

15,513

5.9

13.1

170

0.0

1,510

11,090

3,545

14,218

7.4

17.4

70-79

215

0.0

1,080

16,018

2,092

17,848

12.7

24.6

80+

70

0.0

152

5,961

371

6,490

6.3

15.3

Total

725

0.0

7,534

46,349

18,615

61,199

1.5

3.8

0-4

0.0

247

18

247

18

0.5

0.5

5-14

40

0.0

1,496

385

6,374

5,756

1.3

5.5

15-29

59

0.0

1,977

1,378

1,977

1,378

1.5

1.5

30-44

0.0

215

280

1,835

1,707

0.2

1.9

45-59

143

0.0

2,292

7,578

5,252

11,355

4.4

10.2

60-69

114

0.0

1,082

7,480

2,799

10,141

4.8

12.5

70-79

165

0.0

921

12,348

2,616

15,473

10.3

29.2

80+

82

0.0

193

7,020

426

7,594

8.0

17.6

Total

618

0.0

8,423

36,486

21,527

53,422

1.7

4.5

Total persons

1,343

0.0

15,957

82,835

40,142

114,621

1.6

4.1

Male

Female

149

Table-B60. DISMOD Analysis of Corpus uteri Cancer Data

150

Input Variables
Output Variables
Age
Incident
Case fatality
Mortality
Incident
Prevalence
Remission Case fatality Duration
Mortality
RR mortality
Age of
group rates/100,000 rate/100,000 rate/100,000 rates/100,000 rate/100,000 rate/100,000 rate/100,000 (years) rate/100,000 (numbers) onset(years)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0-4
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
3607.66
0.00
10.04
0.00
0.00
9.00
5-9
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.07
0.13
17113.12
0.24
9.95
0.00
1.00
13.03
10-14
0.13
0.00
0.00
0.13
0.39
16653.02
22.66
16.62
0.00
1.30
17.59
15-19
0.12
4170.00
0.06
0.15
0.83
2356.51
914.74
20.98
0.01
5.30
22.61
20-24
0.24
2700.00
0.06
0.25
1.64
0.00
3071.47
18.73
0.05
13.19
27.76
25-29
0.46
7270.00
0.31
0.57
3.06
0.00
4616.97
17.55
0.14
17.50
32.89
30-34
1.56
2650.00
0.26
1.43
6.80
0.00
3886.58
16.57
0.26
13.93
37.83
35-39
2.98
3540.00
0.87
2.92
15.59
0.00
3205.93
14.58
0.50
9.34
42.76
40-44
6.33
2420.00
1.21
5.58
32.56
46.60
3110.25
12.00
1.01
6.83
47.74
45-49
10.91
2890.00
2.34
8.84
60.03
2137.42
2800.29
9.39
1.68
4.22
52.63
50-54
11.24
2160.00
2.00
12.36
86.09
6420.28
2399.21
7.72
2.07
2.76
57.66
55-59
20.32
2100.00
2.54
18.36
115.06
7372.31
2345.49
6.88
2.70
1.98
62.62
60-64
25.28
3120.00
4.60
20.88
154.33
5704.56
3029.83
5.81
4.68
1.90
67.49
65-69
17.69
6480.00
9.53
18.88
168.07
8533.63
4773.60
4.42
8.02
1.93
72.43
70-74
15.53
7280.00
8.63
16.34
135.35
10251.96
6527.95
3.94
8.83
1.86
77.46
75-79
15.53
7280.00
8.63
15.57
118.98
6233.11
7228.32
3.18
8.60
1.52
87.01
80+

Table-B61. Computation of YLL and DALY for Corpus uteri Cancer Data

YLD

Incidence

Incidence

Age of Duration Disability

per 100,000 Onset

Weight

YLD

YLD[0,0]

PYLD[0,0]

Inc-based

Incidence

Curr. Prev.

Inc-based

PYLD[0,0]

YLD

PYLD[0,0]

PYLD[0,0]

(Incidence) (Incidence) (Prevalence) (Prevalence) per 100,000 per 100,000

per 100,000

Male

151

0-4

2.5

0.0

0.0

5-14

10.0

0.0

0.0

15-29

22.5

0.0

0.0

30-44

37.5

0.0

0.0

45-59

52.5

0.0

0.0

60-69

65.0

0.0

0.0

70-79

75.0

0.0

0.0

80+

85.0

0.0

0.0

Total

43.8

0.0

0.0

0-4

0.0

0.0

0.2

1,649

3.0

5-14

12.7

10.0

0.2

1,119

1.0

15-29

23.6

18.9

0.2

1,276

314

1.0

0.2

Female

30-44

1,893

2.0

39.8

15.6

0.3

7,836

8,262

7,415

2,114

8.3

7.8

2.2

45-59

4,135

8.0

53.3

9.4

0.3

9,360

11,302

13,351

8,390

18.1

25.8

16.2

60-69

4,243

19.0

64.8

6.4

0.3

5,740

8,462

9,861

9,116

25.7

44.2

40.8

70-79

1,615

18.0

73.9

4.3

0.5

2,134

3,772

3,669

7,686

23.8

40.9

85.7

388

16.0

87.0

3.2

0.9

448

1,105

1,080

2,584

18.4

44.5

106.5

12,274

2.5

59.0

8.5

0.3

25,517

32,902

39,420

30,203

5.3

8.2

6.2

12,274

1.3

59.0

8.5

0.3

25,517

32,902

39,420

30,203

2.6

4.1

3.1

80+
Total
Total
persons

YLL

Number of

Death rate

deaths

per 1,000

YLL

YLL[0,0]

DALY

DALY[0,0]

YLL

DALY

per 100,000

per 100,000

Male

152

0-4

5-14

15-29

30-44

45-59

60-69

70-79

80+

Total

0-4

0.0

11

11

0.0

0.0

5-14

15-29

24

0.0

761

645

761

645

0.6

0.6

30-44

267

0.0

6,503

10,418

14,338

18,679

6.9

15.1

45-59

786

0.0

12,617

41,625

21,977

52,927

24.4

42.5

60-69

785

0.0

7,587

51,218

13,327

59,679

34.0

59.7

70-79

743

0.1

4,314

55,153

6,448

58,924

48.1

71.9

80+

209

0.1

493

17,893

941

18,998

20.3

38.7

2,814

0.0

32,286

176,950

57,803

209,852

6.7

12.0

2,814

0.0

32,286

176,950

57,803

209,852

3.3

6.0

Female

Total
Total
persons

Meta-analysis of epidemiological studies in


Major Non-Communicable Diseases
Disease:Diabetes/coronary Heart Disease/Stroke/Cancer
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..
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Review

Thesis

Issue no.

Page no.s

...

....

Observational Study

Meta-analysis

Geographical area/Place of study:


Period of data collection:
Diagnostic criteria (Inclusion/Exclusion criteria)
Sampling design:
Urban

Rural

Age-group studied
Significant risk factors identified

Relative risk

Disease:Diabetes/coronary Heart Disease/Stroke/Cancer


Age

Sex No. of cases

Population covered

153

Prev/Incidence.

Case fatality rate


/Mortality rate

Meta-analysis of epidemiological studies in major


Risk Factors in Non-Communicable Diseases
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.
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data collection:

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Issue no.

Page no.s

...

....

Observational Study

Meta-analysis

Diagnostic criteria (Inclusion/Exclusion criteria)


Sampling design:
Urban

Rural

Age-group studied
Risk Factor:Hypertension/TobaccoUse

Age

Sex

Rate for exposed

No. of cases/
controls

Population
covered

Rate for unexposed

154

Prevalence of risk factor

Rate ratio RR/OR

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