Code: 9ABS401 II B.

Tech I Semester (R09) Regular & Supplementary Examinations, November 2011 PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS
(Mechatronics)

Time: 3 hours Answer any FIVE questions All questions carry equal marks ***** 1 (a) (b) 2 For any two events A and B of a sample space S, prove that

Max Marks: 70

P( A B) = P( A) + P( B) P( A B)

Show that if AB = , then P ( A) P ( B ) Probability density function of a random variable X is 1/2 sin x in 0 x , = 0 elsewhere. Find the mean and median for the distribution and also find the probability between 0 and

. 2

A student takes a true or false examination consisting of 8 questions. He guesses each answer. The guesses are made at random. Find the smallest value of n that the probability of guessing at least n correct answers is less than . Determine the expected number of random samples having their means (a) Between 22.39 and 22.41 (b) Greater than 22.42 (c) Less than 22.37 (d) Less than 22.38. Show that S2 is an unbiased estimator of the parameter 2. Find 95% confidence limits for the mean of a normally distributed population from which the following sample was taken 15, 17, 10, 18, 16, 9, 7, 11, 13, and 14. What is meant by Level of Significance? In a sample of 1000 people in Karnataka 540 are rice eaters and rest are wheat eaters. Can we assume that both rice and wheat are equally popular in this state at 1% level of significance? It is claimed that a random sample of 49 tires has a mean life of 15200 kms. This sample was drawn from a population whose mean is 15150 kms. And a S.D. of 1200 kms. Test the significance at 0.05 level. A random sample of 10 boys had the following I.Q.s: 70, 120, 110, 101, 88, 83, 95, 98, 107, and 100. (i) Do these data support the assumption of a population mean I.Q of 100? (ii) Find a reasonable range in which most of the mean I.Q. values of the samples of 10 boys lie? Derive the following: (i) E(n) = Ls =

5 (a) (b)

6 (a) (b)

(c)

, (ii) Average queue length Lq =

2 , ( )

(iii) E(m/m > 0) =

, (iv) V(n) =

. ( ) 2
*****

Code: 9ABS401 II B.Tech I Semester (R09) Regular & Supplementary Examinations, November 2011 PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS
( Mechatronics)

Time: 3 hours Answer any FIVE questions All questions carry equal marks ***** 1 (a)

Max Marks: 70

(b)

(a) A random sample of 100 teachers in a large metropolitan area revealed a mean weekly salary of Rs. 487 with S.D. Rs. 48. With what degree of confidence can we assert that the average weekly salary of all teachers in all area is between 472 to 502? A population ransom variable has mean 100 and S.D. 16. What are the mean and S.D. of the sample mean for the random sample of size 4 drawn with replacement? Explain the procedure generally followed in the testing of hypothesis? A die tossed 256 times and it turns up with an even digit 150 times. Is the die unbiased? (Use = 0.05 as Level of significance.) A manufacturer claimed that atleast 95% of the equipment which he supplied to a factory confirmed to specifications. An examination of a sample of 200 pieces of equipment revealed that 18 were faulty. Test his claim at 5% level of significance. The measurements of the output of two units have given the following results. Assuming that the both samples have been obtained from the normal populations at 10% significant level, test whether the two populations have the same variance. 14.1 10.1 14.7 13.7 14.0 Unit - A 14.0 14.5 13.7 12.7 14.1 Unit - B Write about (M/M/1): (N/FIFO) Queuing system. What are the characteristic of (M/M/1): (N/FIFO) Queuing system? An urn A contains 5 white and 3 black balls. Another urn B contains 3 white and 5 black balls. Two balls are taken from urn A randomly and are placed in urn B. Now one ball is taken from urn B. What is the probability that it is a black ball. Two dice are thrown let X assign to each point (a,b) in S the maximum of its numbers i.e X(a,b) = max (a,b). Find the probability distribution. X is a random variable with X(S) = (1,2,3,4,5,6). The probability that a man hitting a target is 1/3 If he fires 6 times, what is the probability of hitting (i) At the most 5 times, (ii) At least 5 times, (iii) Exactly once. If he fires so that the probability of his hitting the target at least once is greater than 3/4, find n. A random sample of size 100 is taken from an infinite population having the mea = 76 and the variance 2 = 256. What is the probability that x will be between 75 and 78. *****

2 (a) (b) (c)

4 (a) (b) 5

7 (a) (b)

Code: 9ABS401 II B.Tech I Semester (R09) Regular & Supplementary Examinations, November 2011 PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS
( Mechatronics)

Time: 3 hours Answer any FIVE questions All questions carry equal marks ***** 1 (a) (b)

Max Marks: 70

One card is drawn from a regular deck of 52 cards What is the probability of card being either red or a king? A bag contains 12 balls numbered from 1 to 12.If a ball is taken at random what is the probability of having a ball with a number which is a multiple of either 2 or 3? A continuous random variable has the p.d.f F(x) = kxe x , if x 0 = 0 otherwise Determine the constant k, find mean and variance. Find the mean and the variance of the uniform probability distribution given by

f ( x) =
4

1 for x =1,2,.....n n

Find K for a random sample of size 24 from a normal distribution such that (a) P (2.069 < t < k ) = 0.965 (b) P (k < t < 2.807) = 0.095 (c) P ( k < t < k ) = 0.90 If x1, x2,,xn be e random sample drawn from a given population with mean and variance 2 . Show that sample mean x is an unbiased estimator of the population mean and E( x ) = . What is the size of the smallest sample required to estimate an unknown proportion within a maximum error of 0.06 with at least 95% confidence? The machine puts out 16 imperfect articles in a sample of 500. After machine is overhauled, it puts out 3 imperfect articles in a batch of 100. Has the machine improved? Given the following information relating to two places A and B. Test whether there is any significant difference between their mean wages: A random sample of a companys very extensive files show that the orders for a certain kind of machinery were filled, respectively in 10, 12, 19, 14, 15, 18, 11 and 13 days. Use = 0.01 level of significance to test the claim that on average such orders are filled in 10.5 days. Assume normality. Prove that the probability that there are n customers in the system = n (1-). A TV repair man finds that the time spent on his jobs has an exponential distribution with mean 30 min. He repairs sets in the order in which they arrive. The arrival of the sets is approximately Poisson with an average of 10 per an eight hour day. Find the repairmans idle time each day? How many jobs are ahead of the average set just brought in? *****

5 (a)

(b)

6 (a)

(b)

8 (a) (b)

Code: 9ABS401 II B.Tech I Semester (R09) Regular & Supplementary Examinations, November 2011 PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS
( Mechatronics)

Time: 3 hours Answer any FIVE questions All questions carry equal marks *****

Max Marks: 70

1 (a)

(b)

A sample of 10 cam shafts intended for use in gasoline engine has average eccentricity of 1.02 and a S.D. of 0.044 inch. Assuming the data may be treated a random sample from a normal population, determine a 95% confidence interval for the actual mean eccentricity of the cam shaft? A research worker wants to determine the average time it takes a mechanic to rotate the tires of a car and he wants to be able to assert with 95% confidence that the mean of his sample is off by atmost 0.5 min. If he can presume from past experience that = 1.6 min., how large a sample will he have to take? Two dice are thrown. Find the probability that the sum of the numbers coming up on them is 9. If it is known that the number 5 always occurs on the first die. A continuous random variable x has a probability density function f ( x) = 3 x 2 , 0 x 1. Find a and b such that (i) P{x a}= P{x > a}and (ii) P{x b}= 0.05

3 4

Five dice were thrown together 96 times. The number of times 4,5,6 was actually thrown is given below. Calculate the expected frequencies. No. of dice Frequencies 0 1 1 10 2 24 3 35 4 18 5 8

The guaranteed average life of a certain type of electric bulb is 1500 hrs with a standard deviation of 120 hrs. It is decided to sample the output so as to ensure that 95% of the bulbs do not fall short of the guaranteed average by more than 2.5%. What will be the minimum sample size. A social worker believes that fewer than 25% of the couples in a certain area have ever used any form of birth control. A random sample of 120 couples was contacted. Twenty of them said they have used. Test the belief of the social worker at 0.05 level. A sample of 64 students has a mean weight of 70 kgs. Can this be regarded as a sample from a population with mean weight of 56 kgs. and S.D. 25 kgs at = 0.01? Find the maximum difference that we can expect with probability 0.95 between the means of samples of sizes 10 and 12 from a normal population if their S.D. are found to be 2 and 3 respectively. A mechanist is making engine parts with axle diameters of 0.007 inch. A random sample of 10 parts shows a mean diameter of 0.742 inch with a S.D. of 0.040 inch. Compute the statistic you would use to test whether the work is meeting the specification at 0.05 level of significance? A machine repairing shop gets on average 16 machines per day (of eight hours) for repair and the arrival pattern is Poisson. At the moment there is no repair man available in the shop. The shop owner has two applicants A and B for the job of repairman. Both A and B claim the service times are exponentially distributed with mean 20 and 15 min. respectively. They demand salaries Rs. 500 and Rs. 600 per day respectively. The lost time costs Rs. 50/- per hour per machine. Assuming that the claims of the applicants are true, which one should be employed? *****

6 (a)

(b)

7 (a)

(b)