From The Framingham Heart Study Enter Values Here

Atrial Fibrillation Risk Score for Stroke and Stroke or Death Stroke/Death Stroke all
(Type Over Placeholder Data
Risk Factor Units Values) Notes X Coeff Xbar betaXbar betaX X Coeff Xbar betaXbar betaX age Lowest Low Range
Gender male (m) or female (f) m 70 0.075673 74.9205674 5.67 5.3 1 0.650715 1.4765957 0.96 0.65
Age years 70 150 0.006062 145.9106383 0.88 0.91 70 0.029065 74.9205674 2.18 2.03 55 0.08 0.09 0
Systolic Blood Pressure mm Hg 150 1 0.492189 0.1801418 0.09 0.49 150 0.006130 145.9106383 0.89 0.92 56 0.09 0.1
Cigarette Smoker in Past Year yes (y) or no (n) y 1 0.333309 0.1531915 0.05 0.33 1 0.589268 0.1531915 0.09 0.59 57 0.1 0.1 2
Diabetes yes (y) or no (n) y 0 0.503179 0.3446809 0.17 0 0 0.631572 0.1446809 0.09 0 58 0.1 0.11 4
Prior Stroke/Transient Ischemic Attack (TIA) yes (y) or no (n) n 0 0.355479 0.1333333 0.05 0 60 0.11 0.12
History of Congestive Heart Failure or Myocardial Infarction yes (y) or no (n) n 0 0.167387 0.1489362 0.02 0 61 0.12 0.13
Significant Murmur (grade 3/6 or higher systolic, any diastolic) yes (y) or no (n) n 62 0.13 0.15 8
Electrocardiographic Left Ventricular Hypertrophy (LVH) yes (y) or no (n) n 90 0.006062 145.9106383 0.88 0.55 90 0.006130 145.9106383 0.89 0.55
63 0.15 0.16 10
Your 5-Year Risk of Stroke 0.14 14% If value is < the minimum for the field, enter the minimum 64 0.16 0.17 12
value. If value is > the maximum for the field, enter the
Your 5-Year Risk of Stroke or Death 0.51 51% maximum value. 66 0.17 0.19 14
This score is not applicable to patients with rheumatic mitral stenosis, current warfarin use, or prior stroke/TIA in the setting of AF. The score may underestimate the risk for individuals with left ventricular dysfunction.
The above equation-based risk score may differ from the point-based risk score contained in the manuscript, particularly for patients with uncommon combinations of characteristics. Covariates used for the stroke score
are gender, age, blood pressure, diabetes, and prior stroke/TIA; all above covariates except gender and prior stroke/TIA are used for stroke/death.
67 0.19 0.2
6.94 7.03 4.21 4.19 69 0.22 0.24 18

S(t) 0.522500 0.857100 70 0.24 0.26 20

72 0.26 0.28
Risks S(5) Low S(5) S(5) Low S(5) 73 0.28 0.3
0.19
0.51 0.19 0.14 0.06 74 0.3 0.32
75 0.32 0.35
Row 50
76 0.35 0.37
Get time 0.51 0.14 78 0.37 0.4
0.06
Your Risk Estimate for Stroke Comparative Risks for Lowest Stroke Risk = Normal SBP (<120), no diabetes, prior stroke or TIA 79 0.4 0.43
Your Risk Estimate for Stroke or Death Same Age and Gender Lowest Stroke/Death Risk = Normal SBP (<120), no smoking, diabetes, CHF/MI, murmur, or LVH Get risk (M/F) 0.5093 0.14 80 0.43 0.46
0.51 81 0.46 0.49
82 0.49 0.52
These functions and programs were prepared by Ralph B. D'Agostino, Lisa M. Sullivan and Joseph M. Massaro of Boston University and
The Framingham Heart Study. 84 0.52 0.55
Error Factor: 85 0.55 0.58
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6 0.65 0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 0.95 1 86 0.58 0.61
OK OK 87 0.61 0.65
OK OK 88 0.65 0.68
OK OK 89 0.68 0.71
OK OK 90 0.71 0.75
92 0.75 0.78
93 0.78 0.81
94 0.81 0.83

Tables for Graph

Lowest Stroke 0.06 Lowest Stroke/Death 0.19

0.32 0.32 0.35 0.35

0.55 0.55 0.58 0.58