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Comparables Analysis
Comparison of healthcare companies in emerging and developed
markets
TresVista Financial Services
July 2011
Healthcare Sector
21.7%
22.5%
21.7%
21.6%
21.5%
20.0%
17.5%
15.0%
13.7%
13.8%
13.7%
10.0%
14.0%
13.8%
12.5%
12.3%
12.3%
CY 2010
LTM
13.7%
7.5%
5.0%
Mature Markets
CY 2011E
Emerging Markets
CY 2012E
KPJ Healthcare
Note: Mature Markets represents average of Community Health, Tenet, Universal, and Health Management
Emerging Markets represents average of Netcare, Medi-Clinic, Fortis, and Bangkok Dusit
Confidential
1 of 7
Healthcare Sector
Universal and Bangkok Dusit have the highest margins in the mature and emerging markets respectively.
17.5%
16.0%
15.8%
15.0%
14.5%
15.0%
14.1%
12.5%
14.2%
14.4%
13.1%
14.3%
13.2%
13.2%
12.8%
13.0%
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
13.3%
12.1%
10.0%
11.4%
7.5%
CY 2010
LTM
Community Health
Universal
Tenet
Health Management
23.5%
22.4%
22.4%
21.1%
24.0%
24.0%
23.3%
22.1%
22.3%
21.3%
20.8%
20.5%
18.0%
16.0%
15.7%
15.1%
14.1%
14.3%
14.0%
12.0%
10.0%
12.3%
12.3%
CY 2010
LTM
Netcare
Medi-Clinic
Bangkok Dusit
13.8%
14.0%
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
KPJ Healthcare
Fortis
Growth Rates
As one would expect, emerging markets show a higher growth rate for the two year period till 2012. Based on the companies
in the set, revenue CAGR (2010-2012) for emerging markets is ~20.0%, while for mature markets it is ~8.0%.
EBITDA CAGR (2010-2012) follows the revenue CAGR trend as can be seen in the figure on the next page. Emerging
market companies are expected to clock ~20.0% EBITDA growth compared to ~10.0% for the mature markets. This
essentially indicates that the margins are expected to be the same going forward.
Fortis is a major contributor to the emerging markets high revenue and EBITDA growth. Fortis has been very aggressive in
growing inorganically. It has been on the look out for mid size companies operating in the emerging markets. In December
2009, it acquired Wockhardt Hospitals of India (WHL) for INR 9.1bn. At the time of the acquisition, WHL had 856 beds in
operation and 534 beds in hospitals under construction in Bangalore and Kolkata. It also made an attempt to acquire Parkway
of Singapore in 2010 but lost to Khazanah in an intense bidding war.
Confidential
2 of 7
Healthcare Sector
KPJs revenues and EBITDA are expected to grow at CAGR of ~12.0% & ~19.0% respectively for same period. This is
comparable to the emerging market (ex Fortis) median growth of ~11.0% & ~10.0% respectively.
20.2%
19.9%
20.0%
19.2%
17.5%
15.0%
12.0%
12.5%
10.0%
11.3%
10.5%
10.4%
8.0%
7.5%
5.0%
2.5%
0.0%
Revenue
Mature Markets
EBITDA
Emerging Markets
KPJ Healthcare
Note: Mature Markets represent averages of Community Health, Tenet, Universal, and Health Management
Emerging Markets represent averages of Netcare, Medi-Clinic, Fortis, and Bangkok Dusit
Trading Multiples
Emerging market companies have consistently enjoyed premium valuations over mature markets. They are trading close to
9.5x their LTM EBITDA which translates to a premium of around 37.0% over their mature market counterparts. For CY
2011E and CY 2012E, the premium valuations are expected to be the same.
Higher growth rate and EBITDA margins for the emerging markets justify their higher valuations. (Fortis trades at a very high
valuation on historical basis and has been excluded from CY 2010 and LTM to avoid skewing up of the median) .
KPJs trades at 13.6x its LTM EBITDA which is higher than the median of the emerging economies. On CY 2011E and CY
2012E basis, KPJ trades at 11.5x and 9.9x, closer to the emerging market set.
EV / EBITDA
16.0x
14.1x
13.6x
14.0x
11.5x
12.0x
9.9x
10.0x
9.3x
9.5x
10.2x
8.9x
8.0x
6.0x
7.2x
6.9x
6.5x
6.1x
LTM
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
4.0x
2.0x
0.0x
CY 2010
Mature Markets
Emerging Markets
KPJ Healthcare
Note: Mature Markets represents average of Community Health, Tenet, Universal, and Health Management
Emerging Markets represents average of Netcare, Medi-Clinic, Fortis, and Bangkok Dusit. Fortis trades
at a very high multiple and hence has been excluded to avoid skewing of the median in CY2010 and LTM
Emerging market companies command 9.3x adjusted enterprise value for the LTM EBITDAR. This again is higher than 6.9x
for the mature markets. (Fortis trades at a very high valuation on historical basis and has been excluded from CY 2010 and LTM to avoid skewing up
of the median).
Confidential
3 of 7
Healthcare Sector
Adjusted EV / EBITDAR
15.0x
12.2x
12.0x
10.5x
9.3x
10.0x
10.1x
9.1x
9.3x
7.2x
6.9x
6.5x
6.1x
LTM
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
5.0x
8.8x
0.0x
CY 2010
Mature Markets
Emerging Markets
KPJ Healthcare
Note: Mature Markets includes Community Health, Tenet, Universal, and Health Management
Emerging Markets includes Netcare, Medi-Clinic, Fortis, and Bangkok Dusit. Fortis has
not been included in calculations for CY2010 and LTM as it skews the median..
Adjusted EV = EV + Capitalized operating lease, EBITDAR = EBITDA + Rent Expense
On EV / Beds basis, all companies trade close to USD 551,000 per bed. This trading level is quite consistent across
companies except Bangkok Dusit.
EV / Beds
USD mn
1.200
Median 0.551
1.000
0.800
0.600
0.626
0.578
0.551
0.542
0.614
0.653
0.382
0.400
0.365
0.222
0.200
0.000
Community
Health
Confidential
Tenet
Universal
Health
Management
Netcare
4 of 7
Medi-Clinic
Fortis
Bangkok
Dusit
KPJ
Healthcare
Healthcare Sector
Universal has the highest market cap and trades at around 7.5x 2012E EV/EBITDA compared to Health Managements 6.4x,
Community Healths 5.8x, and 5.5x for Tenet. Universals higher valuation is justified by its higher growth compared to its
peers.
Mature Markets
EV/EBITDA 2012
10.0x
8.5x
Health Management
7.0x
Universal
5.5x
Community Health
Tenet
4.0x
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
KPJs market cap is the lowest in the emerging market set and its 2012E EV / EBITDA is 9.9x which is around the median of
emerging markets EV / EBITDA of 8.9x.
Emerging Markets
30.0x
EV/EBITDA 2012
24.0x
Fortis
18.0x
KPJ Healthcare
Netcare
Bangkok Dusit
12.0x
6.0x
Medi-Clinic
0.0x
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
10-12 EBITDA CAGR
Confidential
5 of 7
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
Healthcare Sector
Particulars
Amount
Offer Price
Diluted Shares Outstanding (mm)
Market Value
Less: Cash and Cash equivalents
Plus: Debt & Minority Interest & Preferred
Enterprise Value
SGD 3.95
1,153.155
SGD 4,555.0
(689.0)
1,144.0
5,010.0
Trading Multiples
LTM
EV / Revenues
EV / EBITDA
EV / Beds (SGD mn)
P/E
4.91x
24.8x
1.691
36.0x
Confidential
6 of 7
Price
SGD 3.95
SGD 3.88
SGD 3.87
SGD 3.62
Premium
1.8%
2.1%
9.1%
Healthcare Sector
Transaction Timeline
April 2008 Khazanah acquired a 16.4% stake from Symphony Capital Partners at SGD 4.20 per share
March 11, 2010 Fortis Healthcare, through its subsidiary RHC Holding Pte. Ltd., acquired strategic 23.9% stake in
Parkway Holdings Limited from Texas Pacific Group (TPG)
May 27, 2010 Through its wholly owned Integrated Healthcare unit, Khazanah offered SGD 3.78 per share to raise its
stake from 24.0% to 51.5%
July 1, 2010 Fortis made a general offer at SGD 3.80 per share of Parkway
July 26, 2010 Khazanah offered SGD 3.95 (USD 2.88) per share for all shares of Parkway
SGD
Parkway Price
05/27/10: Khazanah
offered SGD 3.78 for
27.5% of shares
4.50
07/01/10:
Fortis made a
general offer
at SGD 3.80
07/26/10:
Khazanah made
a general offer
at SGD 3.95
03/11/10: Fortis
acquired 23.9%
from TPG
4.00
3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
January/10
Confidential
February/10
March/10
April/10
7 of 7
May/10
June/10
July/10
August/10
Healthcare Comparables
Company Information
(In USD millions, except per share data)
Stock Price
Company
Country
No. of
No. of
Hospitals
Beds
Ticker
Units
Operating
52-Week
Currency
Jul-15-2011
High
Low
% of 52
Diluted
Market Value
Week High
Shares(mm)
of Equity
Adjusted
Net
Lease
Enterprise
Enterprise
BVPS
Debt
(Capitalized)
Value
Value
Large Hospitals
Mature Markets
Community Health
Universal
Tenet
Health Management
USA
USA
USA
USA
133
231
49
59
19,500
25,108
13,457
8,862
CYH US
UHS US
THC US
HMA US
USD
USD
USD
USD
25.49
52.48
6.02
10.44
42.50
56.46
7.70
11.74
22.33
30.51
3.92
6.13
60.0%
93.0%
78.2%
88.9%
97.215
104.907
511.172
263.611
2,478.0
5,505.5
3,077.3
2,752.1
23.78
17.78
2.94
2.28
8,739.4
3,806.7
3,822.8
2,783.1
1,810.5
575.4
966.0
910.1
11,278.3
9,580.7
7,298.0
5,550.0
13,088.8
10,156.1
8,264.0
6,460.0
Netcare
Medi-Clinic
Bangkok Dusit
Fortis
S. Africa
S. Africa
Thailand
India
118
52
27
48
11,909
8,896
4,701
7,700
NTC SJ
MDC SJ
BGH TB
FORH IN
USD
USD
USD
USD
1.98
3.52
1.76
3.68
2.42
4.70
1.81
3.91
1.88
3.52
0.93
2.75
81.6%
74.9%
97.3%
94.1%
1,292.351
653.545
1,545.459
405.609
2,553.1
2,302.0
2,722.7
1,494.5
0.55
2.07
0.35
1.85
3,569.1
3,002.1
326.1
207.7
411.2
233.1
58.0
31.0
6,557.4
5,462.6
3,069.4
1,708.9
6,968.6
5,695.7
3,127.5
1,739.9
KPJ Healthcare
Malaysia
22
MYR
1.48
1.56
1.05
94.9%
566.297
837.1
0.45
78.3
164.4
947.9
1,112.3
Emerging Markets
2,600 KPJ MK
1) Enterprise Value = Market Value of Equity + Short-term Debt + Long-term Debt +Minority Interest + Preferred Equity - Cash and Equivalents
Information on no. of hospitals and no. of beds from company website, and company filings, news releases.
All share prices are as of July 15, 2011.
1 of 15
Healthcare Comparables
Margins & Public Market Multiples
CAGR (10-12)
CAGR (08-10)
Company
Revenue
EBITDA
Revenue
EBITDA Margin
EBITDA
CY 2010
LTM
EV / Sales
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
CY 2010
LTM
EV / EBITDA
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
CY 2010
LTM
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
Large Hospitals
Mature Markets
Community Health
Universal
Tenet
Health Management
9.1%
5.3%
3.5%
9.0%
8.0%
13.7%
19.2%
8.0%
7.0%
19.8%
5.4%
9.1%
6.6%
27.8%
12.4%
8.3%
13.3%
14.1%
11.4%
14.5%
13.1%
15.0%
12.1%
14.4%
13.2%
15.8%
12.8%
14.2%
13.2%
16.0%
13.0%
14.3%
0.87x
1.72x
0.79x
1.09x
0.85x
1.56x
0.78x
1.05x
0.80x
1.26x
0.75x
0.97x
0.76x
1.20x
0.71x
0.91x
6.5x
12.2x
7.0x
7.5x
6.5x
10.4x
6.5x
7.3x
6.1x
8.0x
5.8x
6.8x
5.8x
7.5x
5.5x
6.4x
Low
Mean
Median
High
3.5%
6.7%
7.2%
9.1%
8.0%
12.2%
10.8%
19.2%
5.4%
10.3%
8.0%
19.8%
6.6%
13.8%
10.4%
27.8%
11.4%
13.3%
13.7%
14.5%
12.1%
13.7%
13.8%
15.0%
12.8%
14.0%
13.7%
15.8%
13.0%
14.1%
13.7%
16.0%
0.79x
1.12x
0.98x
1.72x
0.78x
1.06x
0.95x
1.56x
0.75x
0.94x
0.89x
1.26x
0.71x
0.90x
0.84x
1.20x
6.5x
8.3x
7.2x
12.2x
6.5x
7.7x
6.9x
10.4x
5.8x
6.7x
6.5x
8.0x
5.5x
6.3x
6.1x
7.5x
Netcare
Medi-Clinic
Bangkok Dusit
Fortis
1.0%
11.6%
5.3%
49.5%
(0.0%)
15.1%
5.2%
56.8%
9.1%
11.3%
28.5%
47.9%
9.7%
10.5%
29.9%
55.1%
21.1%
22.4%
23.5%
14.3%
20.5%
22.4%
23.3%
14.1%
20.8%
22.3%
24.0%
15.1%
21.3%
22.1%
24.0%
15.7%
1.96x
2.02x
3.96x
5.74x
1.94x
1.98x
3.86x
5.22x
1.85x
1.81x
2.78x
3.44x
1.65x
1.63x
2.40x
2.62x
9.3x
9.0x
16.8x
NA
9.5x
8.8x
16.6x
NA
8.9x
8.1x
11.6x
22.8x
7.8x
7.4x
10.0x
16.8x
Low
Mean
Median
High
1.0%
16.8%
8.5%
49.5%
(0.0%)
19.3%
10.1%
56.8%
9.1%
24.2%
19.9%
47.9%
9.7%
26.3%
20.2%
55.1%
14.3%
20.3%
21.7%
23.5%
14.1%
20.1%
21.5%
23.3%
15.1%
20.6%
21.6%
24.0%
15.7%
20.8%
21.7%
24.0%
1.96x
3.42x
2.99x
5.74x
1.94x
3.25x
2.92x
5.22x
1.81x
2.47x
2.32x
3.44x
1.63x
2.08x
2.02x
2.62x
9.0x
11.7x
9.3x
16.8x
8.8x
11.6x
9.5x
16.6x
8.1x
12.9x
10.2x
22.8x
7.4x
10.5x
8.9x
16.8x
Low
Mean
Median
High
1.0%
11.8%
7.2%
49.5%
(0.0%)
15.7%
10.8%
56.8%
5.4%
17.3%
10.2%
47.9%
6.6%
20.0%
11.5%
55.1%
11.4%
16.8%
14.4%
23.5%
12.1%
16.9%
14.7%
23.3%
12.8%
17.3%
15.4%
24.0%
13.0%
17.4%
15.8%
24.0%
0.79x
2.27x
1.84x
5.74x
0.78x
2.16x
1.75x
5.22x
0.75x
1.71x
1.54x
3.44x
0.71x
1.49x
1.41x
2.62x
6.5x
9.8x
9.0x
16.8x
6.5x
9.4x
8.8x
16.6x
5.8x
9.8x
8.1x
22.8x
5.5x
8.4x
7.4x
16.8x
KPJ Healthcare
14.3%
14.7%
12.0%
19.2%
12.3%
12.3%
13.8%
14.0%
1.74x
1.67x
1.58x
1.38x
14.1x
13.6x
11.5x
9.9x
Emerging Markets
1) Enterprise Value = Market Value of Equity + Short-term Debt + Long-term Debt +Minority Interest + Preferred Equity - Cash and Equivalents
All share prices are as of July 15, 2011.
2 of 15
Healthcare Comparables
Public Market Multiples
Adjusted EV / EBITDAR
EV / EBITDAR
Company
CY 2010
LTM
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
CY 2010
LTM
CY 2011E
P/E
CY 2012E
CY 2010
LTM
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
EV / Beds
Price /
(USD mn)
Book
Large Hospitals
Mature Markets
Community Health
Universal
Tenet
Health Management
5.7x
11.1x
6.2x
6.4x
5.6x
9.6x
5.8x
6.2x
5.3x
7.5x
5.2x
5.8x
5.1x
7.0x
5.0x
5.4x
6.6x
11.8x
7.0x
7.5x
6.5x
10.1x
6.5x
7.3x
6.2x
7.9x
5.9x
6.8x
5.9x
7.5x
5.6x
6.3x
8.5x
18.6x
26.6x
16.0x
8.4x
16.2x
23.8x
15.2x
7.7x
13.1x
13.8x
13.7x
7.1x
11.6x
11.5x
11.8x
0.578
0.382
0.542
0.626
1.07x
2.95x
2.05x
4.59x
Low
Mean
Median
High
5.7x
7.3x
6.3x
11.1x
5.6x
6.8x
6.0x
9.6x
5.2x
6.0x
5.6x
7.5x
5.0x
5.6x
5.3x
7.0x
6.6x
8.2x
7.2x
11.8x
6.5x
7.6x
6.9x
10.1x
5.9x
6.7x
6.5x
7.9x
5.6x
6.3x
6.1x
7.5x
8.5x
17.4x
17.3x
26.6x
8.4x
15.9x
15.7x
23.8x
7.7x
12.1x
13.4x
13.8x
7.1x
10.5x
11.5x
11.8x
0.382
0.532
0.560
0.626
1.07x
2.66x
2.50x
4.59x
Netcare
Medi-Clinic
Bangkok Dusit
Fortis
8.6x
8.6x
16.1x
NA
8.7x
8.4x
15.9x
NA
8.2x
7.7x
11.3x
21.6x
7.3x
7.1x
9.7x
16.1x
9.1x
8.9x
16.4x
NA
9.3x
8.7x
16.2x
NA
8.7x
8.1x
11.5x
22.0x
7.7x
7.4x
9.9x
16.3x
14.3x
13.0x
28.4x
54.2x
13.4x
12.8x
27.7x
51.6x
11.9x
12.2x
21.9x
45.7x
10.0x
10.6x
19.5x
34.5x
0.551
0.614
0.653
0.222
3.60x
1.70x
4.99x
2.00x
Low
Mean
Median
High
8.6x
11.1x
8.6x
16.1x
8.4x
11.0x
8.7x
15.9x
7.7x
12.2x
9.7x
21.6x
7.1x
10.0x
8.5x
16.1x
8.9x
11.5x
9.1x
16.4x
8.7x
11.4x
9.3x
16.2x
8.1x
12.6x
10.1x
22.0x
7.4x
10.3x
8.8x
16.3x
13.0x
27.5x
21.3x
54.2x
12.8x
26.4x
20.6x
51.6x
11.9x
22.9x
17.1x
45.7x
10.0x
18.6x
15.0x
34.5x
0.222
0.510
0.582
0.653
1.70x
3.07x
2.80x
4.99x
Low
Mean
Median
High
5.7x
9.0x
8.6x
16.1x
5.6x
8.6x
8.4x
15.9x
5.2x
9.1x
7.6x
21.6x
5.0x
7.8x
7.1x
16.1x
6.6x
9.6x
8.9x
16.4x
6.5x
9.2x
8.7x
16.2x
5.9x
9.6x
8.0x
22.0x
5.6x
8.3x
7.4x
16.3x
8.5x
22.5x
17.3x
54.2x
8.4x
21.1x
15.7x
51.6x
7.7x
17.5x
13.4x
45.7x
7.1x
14.6x
11.5x
34.5x
0.222
0.521
0.565
0.653
1.07x
2.87x
2.50x
4.99x
KPJ Healthcare
10.4x
10.2x
8.9x
7.9x
12.2x
12.0x
10.5x
9.3x
23.5x
23.7x
16.9x
14.1x
0.365
3.28x
Emerging Markets
1) Enterprise Value = Market Value of Equity + Short-term Debt + Long-term Debt +Minority Interest + Preferred Equity - Cash and Equivalents
All share prices are as of July 15, 2011.
3 of 15
Healthcare Comparables
Company Information
(In millions, except per share data)
Stock Price
Company
Country
No. of
No. of
Hospitals
Beds
Ticker
Units
Operating
52-Week
Currency
Jul-15-2011
High
Low
% of 52
Diluted
Market Value
Week High
Shares(mm)
of Equity
Adjusted
Net
Lease
Enterprise
Enterprise
BVPS
Debt
(Capitalized)
Value
Value
Large Hospitals
Mature Markets
Community Health
Universal
Tenet
Health Management
USA
USA
USA
USA
133
231
49
59
19,500
25,108
13,457
8,862
CYH US
UHS US
THC US
HMA US
USD
USD
USD
USD
25.49
52.48
6.02
10.44
42.50
56.46
7.70
11.74
22.33
30.51
3.92
6.13
60.0%
93.0%
78.2%
88.9%
97.215
104.907
511.172
263.611
2,478.0
5,505.5
3,077.3
2,752.1
23.78
17.78
2.94
2.28
8,739.4
3,806.7
3,822.8
2,783.1
1,810.5
575.4
966.0
910.1
11,278.3
9,580.7
7,298.0
5,550.0
13,088.8
10,156.1
8,264.0
6,460.0
Netcare
Medi-Clinic
Bangkok Dusit
Fortis
S. Africa
S. Africa
Thailand
India
118
52
27
48
11,909
8,896
4,701
7,700
NTC SJ
MDC SJ
BGH TB
FORH IN
ZAR
ZAR
THB
INR
13.35
23.80
53.50
166.80
16.36
31.78
55.00
177.20
12.73
23.76
28.25
124.35
81.6%
74.9%
97.3%
94.1%
1,292.351
653.545
1,545.459
405.609
17,252.9
15,554.4
82,682.1
67,655.5
3.71
14.02
10.73
83.54
24,118.9
20,284.2
9,901.6
9,403.3
2,779.0
1,575.0
1,762.6
1,401.8
44,312.8
36,909.5
93,210.6
77,360.9
47,091.8
38,484.5
94,973.2
78,762.8
KPJ Healthcare
Malaysia
22
MYR
4.48
4.72
3.18
94.9%
566.297
2,537.0
1.37
237.3
498.4
2,872.9
3,371.3
Emerging Markets
2,600 KPJ MK
1) Enterprise Value = Market Value of Equity + Short-term Debt + Long-term Debt +Minority Interest + Preferred Equity - Cash and Equivalents
Information on no. of hospitals and no. of beds from company website, and company filings, news releases.
All share prices are as of July 15 2011.
4 of 15
Healthcare Comparables
Margins & Public Market Multiples
CAGR (10-12)
CAGR (08-10)
Company
Revenue
EBITDA
Revenue
EBITDA Margin
EBITDA
CY 2010
LTM
EV / Sales
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
CY 2010
LTM
EV / EBITDA
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
CY 2010
LTM
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
Large Hospitals
Mature Markets
Community Health
Universal
Tenet
Health Management
9.1%
5.3%
3.5%
9.0%
8.0%
13.7%
19.2%
8.0%
7.0%
19.8%
5.4%
9.1%
6.6%
27.8%
12.4%
8.3%
13.3%
14.1%
11.4%
14.5%
13.1%
15.0%
12.1%
14.4%
13.2%
15.8%
12.8%
14.2%
13.2%
16.0%
13.0%
14.3%
0.87x
1.72x
0.79x
1.09x
0.85x
1.56x
0.78x
1.05x
0.80x
1.26x
0.75x
0.97x
0.76x
1.20x
0.71x
0.91x
6.5x
12.2x
7.0x
7.5x
6.5x
10.4x
6.5x
7.3x
6.1x
8.0x
5.8x
6.8x
5.8x
7.5x
5.5x
6.4x
Low
Mean
Median
High
3.5%
6.7%
7.2%
9.1%
8.0%
12.2%
10.8%
19.2%
5.4%
10.3%
8.0%
19.8%
6.6%
13.8%
10.4%
27.8%
11.4%
13.3%
13.7%
14.5%
12.1%
13.7%
13.8%
15.0%
12.8%
14.0%
13.7%
15.8%
13.0%
14.1%
13.7%
16.0%
0.79x
1.12x
0.98x
1.72x
0.78x
1.06x
0.95x
1.56x
0.75x
0.94x
0.89x
1.26x
0.71x
0.90x
0.84x
1.20x
6.5x
8.3x
7.2x
12.2x
6.5x
7.7x
6.9x
10.4x
5.8x
6.7x
6.5x
8.0x
5.5x
6.3x
6.1x
7.5x
Netcare
Medi-Clinic
Bangkok Dusit
Fortis
1.0%
11.6%
5.3%
49.5%
(0.0%)
15.1%
5.2%
56.8%
9.1%
11.3%
28.5%
47.9%
9.7%
10.5%
29.9%
55.1%
21.1%
22.4%
23.5%
14.3%
20.5%
22.4%
23.3%
14.1%
20.8%
22.3%
24.0%
15.1%
21.3%
22.1%
24.0%
15.7%
1.96x
2.02x
3.96x
5.74x
1.94x
1.98x
3.86x
5.22x
1.85x
1.81x
2.78x
3.44x
1.65x
1.63x
2.40x
2.62x
9.3x
9.0x
16.8x
NA
9.5x
8.8x
16.6x
NA
8.9x
8.1x
11.6x
22.8x
7.8x
7.4x
10.0x
16.8x
Low
Mean
Median
High
1.0%
16.8%
8.5%
49.5%
(0.0%)
19.3%
10.1%
56.8%
9.1%
24.2%
19.9%
47.9%
9.7%
26.3%
20.2%
55.1%
14.3%
20.3%
21.7%
23.5%
14.1%
20.1%
21.5%
23.3%
15.1%
20.6%
21.6%
24.0%
15.7%
20.8%
21.7%
24.0%
1.96x
3.42x
2.99x
5.74x
1.94x
3.25x
2.92x
5.22x
1.81x
2.47x
2.32x
3.44x
1.63x
2.08x
2.02x
2.62x
9.0x
11.7x
9.3x
16.8x
8.8x
11.6x
9.5x
16.6x
8.1x
12.9x
10.2x
22.8x
7.4x
10.5x
8.9x
16.8x
Low
Mean
Median
High
1.0%
11.8%
7.2%
49.5%
(0.0%)
15.7%
10.8%
56.8%
5.4%
17.3%
10.2%
47.9%
6.6%
20.0%
11.5%
55.1%
11.4%
16.8%
14.4%
23.5%
12.1%
16.9%
14.7%
23.3%
12.8%
17.3%
15.4%
24.0%
13.0%
17.4%
15.8%
24.0%
0.79x
2.27x
1.84x
5.74x
0.78x
2.16x
1.75x
5.22x
0.75x
1.71x
1.54x
3.44x
0.71x
1.49x
1.41x
2.62x
6.5x
9.8x
9.0x
16.8x
6.5x
9.4x
8.8x
16.6x
5.8x
9.8x
8.1x
22.8x
5.5x
8.4x
7.4x
16.8x
KPJ Healthcare
14.3%
14.7%
12.0%
19.2%
12.3%
12.3%
13.8%
14.0%
1.74x
1.67x
1.58x
1.38x
14.1x
13.6x
11.5x
9.9x
Emerging Markets
1) Enterprise Value = Market Value of Equity + Short-term Debt + Long-term Debt +Minority Interest + Preferred Equity - Cash and Equivalents
All share prices are as of July 15 2011.
5 of 15
Healthcare Comparables
Public Market Multiples
Adjusted EV / EBITDAR
EV / EBITDAR
Company
CY 2010
LTM
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
CY 2010
LTM
CY 2011E
P/E
CY 2012E
CY 2010
LTM
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
EV / Beds
Price /
(LC mn)
Book
Large Hospitals
Mature Markets
Community Health
Universal
Tenet
Health Management
5.7x
11.1x
6.2x
6.4x
5.6x
9.6x
5.8x
6.2x
5.3x
7.5x
5.2x
5.8x
5.1x
7.0x
5.0x
5.4x
6.6x
11.8x
7.0x
7.5x
6.5x
10.1x
6.5x
7.3x
6.2x
7.9x
5.9x
6.8x
5.9x
7.5x
5.6x
6.3x
8.5x
18.6x
26.6x
16.0x
8.4x
16.2x
23.8x
15.2x
7.7x
13.1x
13.8x
13.7x
7.1x
11.6x
11.5x
11.8x
0.578
0.382
0.542
0.626
1.07x
2.95x
2.05x
4.59x
Low
Mean
Median
High
5.7x
7.3x
6.3x
11.1x
5.6x
6.8x
6.0x
9.6x
5.2x
6.0x
5.6x
7.5x
5.0x
5.6x
5.3x
7.0x
6.6x
8.2x
7.2x
11.8x
6.5x
7.6x
6.9x
10.1x
5.9x
6.7x
6.5x
7.9x
5.6x
6.3x
6.1x
7.5x
8.5x
17.4x
17.3x
26.6x
8.4x
15.9x
15.7x
23.8x
7.7x
12.1x
13.4x
13.8x
7.1x
10.5x
11.5x
11.8x
0.382
0.532
0.560
0.626
1.07x
2.66x
2.50x
4.59x
Netcare
Medi-Clinic
Bangkok Dusit
Fortis
8.6x
8.6x
16.1x
NA
8.7x
8.4x
15.9x
NA
8.2x
7.7x
11.3x
21.6x
7.3x
7.1x
9.7x
16.1x
9.1x
8.9x
16.4x
NA
9.3x
8.7x
16.2x
NA
8.7x
8.1x
11.5x
22.0x
7.7x
7.4x
9.9x
16.3x
14.3x
13.0x
28.4x
54.2x
13.4x
12.8x
27.7x
51.6x
11.9x
12.2x
21.9x
45.7x
10.0x
10.6x
19.5x
34.5x
3.721
4.149
19.828
10.047
3.60x
1.70x
4.99x
2.00x
Low
Mean
Median
High
8.6x
11.1x
8.6x
16.1x
8.4x
11.0x
8.7x
15.9x
7.7x
12.2x
9.7x
21.6x
7.1x
10.0x
8.5x
16.1x
8.9x
11.5x
9.1x
16.4x
8.7x
11.4x
9.3x
16.2x
8.1x
12.6x
10.1x
22.0x
7.4x
10.3x
8.8x
16.3x
13.0x
27.5x
21.3x
54.2x
12.8x
26.4x
20.6x
51.6x
11.9x
22.9x
17.1x
45.7x
10.0x
18.6x
15.0x
34.5x
3.721
9.436
7.098
19.828
1.70x
3.07x
2.80x
4.99x
Low
Mean
Median
High
5.7x
9.0x
8.6x
16.1x
5.6x
8.6x
8.4x
15.9x
5.2x
9.1x
7.6x
21.6x
5.0x
7.8x
7.1x
16.1x
6.6x
9.6x
8.9x
16.4x
6.5x
9.2x
8.7x
16.2x
5.9x
9.6x
8.0x
22.0x
5.6x
8.3x
7.4x
16.3x
8.5x
22.5x
17.3x
54.2x
8.4x
21.1x
15.7x
51.6x
7.7x
17.5x
13.4x
45.7x
7.1x
14.6x
11.5x
34.5x
0.382
4.984
2.174
19.828
1.07x
2.87x
2.50x
4.99x
KPJ Healthcare
10.4x
10.2x
8.9x
7.9x
12.2x
12.0x
10.5x
9.3x
23.5x
23.7x
16.9x
14.1x
1.105
3.28x
Emerging Markets
1) Enterprise Value = Market Value of Equity + Short-term Debt + Long-term Debt +Minority Interest + Preferred Equity - Cash and Equivalents
All share prices are as of July 15 2011.
6 of 15
General Information
Community Health
Database Check
No
Akshay Deshpande
06/05/08
Updated By:
Checked By:
Ayush Jain
Girish Rohira
$25.49
Date Checked:
Date Updated:
Research 1:
Research 2:
Research 3:
07/12/11
07/08/11
RBC Capital Markets- 04/29/11
Caris & Co. - 04/29/11
Wells Fargo - 06/17/11
52 Week High
52 Week Low
Beta
Currency
Exchange Rate w.r.t. USD
$42.50
$22.33
1.39
USD
1.000
Plan 1
Plan 2
Plan 3
Plan 4
Plan 5
Credit Stats
94.967
Strike
$33.10
-
Research
LTM
12/31/11
$3.29
$3.58
NA
12.8
07/08/11
21.3%
8.9%
NA
$3.29
$3.58
2011E
2012E
2.7x
5.1x
79.3%
Multiples
CY 2010
EV / Sales
EV / EBITDA
EV / EBITDAR
EV/EBIT
PE
EBITDA Margin
Net Sales
COGS
Gross Profit
Research and Development
Selling, General & Admin.
Other Expenses
Other Income
Non-Recurring Charges
EBIT
Depreciation & Amortization
EBITDA
Rent
EBITDAR
LTM
Ended
03/31/11
$13,266.3
1,805.7
11,460.6
7.0x
97.215
$2,478.0
$8,739.4
$11,278.3
LTM
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
0.87x
6.5x
0.85x
6.5x
0.80x
6.1x
0.76x
5.8x
5.7x
10.1x
8.5x
13.3%
5.6x
10.1x
8.4x
13.1%
5.3x
9.4x
7.7x
13.2%
5.1x
9.0x
7.1x
13.2%
Consensus Estimates
Research Analyst Estimates
Fiscal Year Ended December 31,
2010
2009
2008
$12,986.5
$12,107.6
$10,919.1
1,771.1
1,685.5
1,531.4
11,215.4
10,422.1
9,387.7
2008
$10,919.1
1,531.4
9,387.7
CY End
2009
$12,107.6
1,685.5
10,422.1
2010
$12,986.5
1,771.1
11,215.4
6,316.8
2,099.0
7,116.0
2,237.5
7,693.8
2,406.6
6,316.8
2,099.0
2011E
$14,089.3
CY End
2012E
$14,870.3
2013E
NA
2011E
$14,089.3
FY End
2012E
$14,870.3
2013E
NA
7,875.7
2,464.3
2,035.4
624.8
1,853.6
567.1
7,693.8
2,406.6
7,116.0
2,237.5
1,120.6
281.0
275.2
1,114.9
1,068.7
971.9
971.9
1,068.7
1,114.9
1,201.7
1,257.1
NA
1,201.7
1,257.1
NA
623.5
1,744.1
258.6
2,002.8
161.3
442.3
64.8
507.0
147.7
422.9
63.6
486.6
609.8
1,724.8
257.5
1,982.3
566.5
1,635.2
247.1
1,882.3
506.7
1,478.6
231.2
1,709.7
506.7
1,478.6
231.2
1,709.7
566.5
1,635.2
247.1
1,882.3
609.8
1,724.8
257.5
1,982.3
657.6
1,859.2
259.1
2,118.3
702.7
1,959.8
260.0
2,219.7
NA
NA
NA
NA
657.6
1,859.2
259.1
2,118.3
702.7
1,959.8
260.0
2,219.7
NA
NA
NA
NA
(51.0)
655.7
515.9
(18.1)
164.2
134.9
(12.6)
160.4
127.5
(45.4)
651.9
508.4
(36.5)
649.0
456.2
(42.1)
652.5
361.5
(42.1)
652.5
361.5
(36.5)
649.0
456.2
(45.4)
651.9
508.4
(70.5)
(17.0)
(15.0)
(68.5)
(63.2)
(34.4)
(34.4)
(63.2)
(68.5)
Preferred Dividend
Taxes
Net Income
162.8
$282.6
43.8
$74.1
41.0
$71.5
160.0
$280.0
144.9
$248.1
126.1
$200.9
126.1
$200.9
144.9
$248.1
160.0
$280.0
$305.0
$338.6
NA
$305.0
$338.6
NA
92.760
$3.05
92.137
$0.80
92.836
$0.77
92.946
$3.01
91.517
$2.71
94.289
$2.13
94.289
$2.13
91.517
$2.71
92.946
$3.01
92.684
$3.29
94.513
$3.58
NA
NA
92.684
$3.29
94.513
$3.58
NA
NA
31.8%
32.4%
32.2%
31.5%
31.8%
34.9%
34.9%
31.8%
31.5%
623.5
161.3
147.7
609.8
566.5
506.7
506.7
566.5
609.8
657.6
702.7
NA
657.6
702.7
NA
Capital Expenditures
694.7
153.9
126.6
667.4
576.9
692.2
692.2
576.9
667.4
737.8
778.7
NA
737.8
778.7
NA
Assets:
Cash & Equivalents
Marketable Securities
Total Cash & Marketable Securities
Total Current Assets
Goodwill and Intangibles
Total Assets
Liabilities & Shareholders Equity:
Short-term Debt
As of
Period Ended
03/31/11
$120.7
120.7
2,686.0
4,225.8
14,718.3
66.0
1,605.8
Long-term Debt
Minority Interest
Warrants/Put Options
Preferred Stock (Liquidation Value)
Common Equity
Operating Lease (Capitalized)
Other Information
Number of Hospitals
Number of Beds
8,794.1
60.9
2,311.3
1,810.5
Other Data
Shares outstanding as of 04/20/10 taken from 10-Q filing ending 03/31/11.
Options outstanding as of 03/31/11 taken from 10-Q filing ending 03/31/11.
Plan 2 of options contains the restricted stock.
Impairment on hospitals, and gain from early extinguishment of debt held for sale have been tax adjusted as these are not recurring.
SG&A includes salaries and benefits, provision for bad debts, D&A, and rent expense.
Equity in earnings of unconsolidated affiliates is included in Interest (Income) / Other (Income)/ Expense.
The no. of hospitals and beds have been taken from the company website.
CYH acquired Catholic Health Partners for $150 million in an all cash deal.
Rent for forward estimates is taken same as LTM.
Depreciation for Caris & Company is based on LTM margins.
Capex for Caris and Wells Fargo is based on LTM margins.
133.0
19,500.0
7 of 15
General Information
Tenet
Database Check
No
Akshay Deshpande
06/05/08
Updated By:
Checked By:
Ayush Jain
Girish Rohira
$6.02
Date Checked:
Date Updated:
Research 1:
Research 2:
Research 3:
07/12/11
07/08/11
Deutsche Bank - 05/03/11
Caris & Co. - 05/19/11
RBC Capital Markets - 05/10/11
52 Week High
52 Week Low
Beta
Currency
Exchange Rate w.r.t. USD
$7.70
$3.92
1.53
USD
1.000
Plan 1
Plan 2
Plan 3
Plan 4
Plan 5
Credit Stats
489.553
Strike
$1.14
$7.26
$24.59
-
Research
LTM
12/31/11
$0.44
$0.52
$0.69
9.1
07/08/11
28.0%
19.8%
31.8%
$0.44
$0.52
2011E
2012E
2.6x
3.6x
69.0%
Multiples
Net Sales
COGS
Gross Profit
Research and Development
Selling, General & Admin.
Other Expenses
Other Income
Non-Recurring Charges
EBIT
Depreciation & Amortization
EBITDA
Rent
EBITDAR
LTM
Ended
03/31/11
$9,372.0
1,583.0
7,789.0
5,081.0
1,977.0
1,318.0
506.0
1,271.0
467.0
731.0
278.0
400.0
1,131.0
138.0
1,269.0
101.0
379.0
35.0
414.0
5.8x
10.0x
23.8x
12.1%
5.2x
8.6x
13.8x
12.8%
5.0x
8.1x
11.5x
13.0%
FY End
2012E
$10,217.2
2013E
$10,895.0
Consensus Estimates
Research Analyst Estimates
Fiscal Year Ended December 31,
2010
2009
2008
$9,205.0
$9,014.0
$8,585.0
1,577.0
1,569.0
1,511.0
7,628.0
7,445.0
7,074.0
2008
$8,585.0
1,511.0
7,074.0
CY End
2009
$9,014.0
1,569.0
7,445.0
2010
$9,205.0
1,577.0
7,628.0
5,034.0
1,938.0
2011E
$9,793.1
CY End
2012E
$10,217.2
2013E
$10,895.0
2011E
$9,793.1
4,940.0
1,909.0
203.0
656.0
596.0
368.0
368.0
596.0
656.0
848.1
904.9
1,076.0
848.1
904.9
1,076.0
95.0
298.0
33.0
331.0
394.0
1,050.0
136.0
1,186.0
386.0
982.0
143.0
1,125.0
371.0
739.0
136.0
875.0
371.0
739.0
136.0
875.0
386.0
982.0
143.0
1,125.0
394.0
1,050.0
136.0
1,186.0
407.0
1,255.1
138.0
1,393.1
422.6
1,327.6
138.0
1,465.6
405.0
1,481.0
138.0
1,619.0
407.0
1,255.1
138.0
1,393.1
422.6
1,327.6
138.0
1,465.6
405.0
1,481.0
138.0
1,619.0
(11.0)
(3.0)
(1.0)
(5.0)
424.0
237.0
(15.0)
445.0
166.0
(161.0)
418.0
111.0
(161.0)
418.0
111.0
(15.0)
445.0
166.0
(9.0)
(10.0)
(7.0)
(7.0)
(10.0)
6.0
(23.0)
$173.0
(25.0)
$129.0
(25.0)
$129.0
6.0
(23.0)
$173.0
24.0
125.0
$143.0
6.0
51.0
$101.0
6.0
3.0
$85.0
24.0
77.0
$127.0
564.684
$0.25
565.181
$0.18
559.228
$0.15
560.631
$0.23
0.71x
5.5x
6.2x
11.1x
26.6x
11.4%
4,778.0
1,928.0
(1.0)
109.0
95.0
0.75x
5.8x
4,778.0
1,928.0
(1.0)
118.0
161.0
CY 2012E
0.78x
6.5x
4,940.0
1,909.0
(5.0)
433.0
303.0
CY 2011E
0.79x
7.0x
5,034.0
1,938.0
Preferred Dividend
Taxes
Net Income
7.0x
511.172
$3,077.3
$3,822.8
$7,298.0
LTM
507.277
$0.34
478.606
$0.27
478.606
$0.27
507.277
$0.34
NA
NA
NA
NA
(5.0)
424.0
237.0
(9.0)
24.0
77.0
$127.0
$248.0
$306.7
$420.0
$248.0
$306.7
$420.0
560.631
$0.23
567.876
$0.44
585.959
$0.52
608.696
$0.69
567.876
$0.44
585.959
$0.52
608.696
$0.69
41.3%
31.7%
3.2%
32.5%
400.0
101.0
95.0
394.0
386.0
371.0
371.0
386.0
394.0
407.0
422.6
405.0
407.0
422.6
405.0
Capital Expenditures
501.0
116.0
78.0
463.0
455.0
527.0
527.0
455.0
463.0
523.5
546.2
582.4
523.5
546.2
582.4
Assets:
Cash & Equivalents
Marketable Securities
Total Cash & Marketable Securities
As of
Period Ended
03/31/11
$258.2
1.0
259.2
32.5%
Other Data
Shares outstanding as of 04/27/11 taken from 10Q filing ending 03/31/11.
Options outstanding taken from 10-Q filing ending 03/31/11.
Options outstanding in Plan 4 includes the restricted stock.
COGS includes Supplies.
SG&A includes salaries and benefits, and D&A expense, and provision for doubtful accounts.
Impairment of longlived assets and goodwill, & restructuring charges, Litigation & investigation costs, and gain from early extinguishment of debt is excluded from the income statement
2,382.2
The company is receiving tax benefits hence extra ordinary items have been removed from the income statement but not tax adjusted.
1,118.0
8,518.0
The no. of hospitals and beds are taken from 10Q filing ending 03/31/11.
Cash includes investments in reserve yield plus fund.
68.0
1,657.0
Long-term Debt
Minority Interest
Warrants/Put Options
Preferred Stock (Liquidation Value)
Common Equity
Operating Lease (Capitalized)
Other Information
Number of Hospitals
Number of Beds
4,014.0
64.0
334.0
1,504.0
966.0
Acquisitions of Imaging Specialists of West and Griffin Imaging LLC have been accounted for.
Southeastern Spine Institute Laboratory was acquired by THC and the deal amount is not disclosed.
49.0
13,457.0
8 of 15
General Information
Universal
Database Check
No
Akshay Deshpande
06/05/08
Updated By:
Checked By:
Ayush Jain
Girish Rohira
$52.48
Date Checked:
Date Updated:
Research 1:
Research 2:
Research 3:
07/12/11
07/08/11
Deutsche Bank - 04/27/11
Caris & Company - 05/09/11
Jefferies - 05/16/11
52 Week High
52 Week Low
Beta
Currency
Exchange Rate w.r.t. USD
$56.46
$30.51
0.99
USD
1.000
Plan 1
Plan 2
Plan 3
Plan 4
Plan 5
Credit Stats
97.674
Strike
$25.16
-
Research
LTM
12/31/11
$4.01
$4.53
NA
13.0
07/08/11
51.9%
12.9%
NA
$4.01
$4.53
2011E
2012E
7.6x
4.2x
67.4%
Multiples
CY 2010
EV / Sales
EV / EBITDA
EV / EBITDAR
EV/EBIT
PE
EBITDA Margin
Net Sales
COGS
Gross Profit
Research and Development
Selling, General & Admin.
Other Expenses
Other Income
Non-Recurring Charges
EBIT
LTM
Ended
03/31/11
$6,131.6
756.4
5,375.1
7.0x
104.907
$5,505.5
$3,806.7
$9,580.7
LTM
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
1.72x
12.2x
1.56x
10.4x
1.26x
8.0x
1.20x
7.5x
11.1x
17.1x
18.6x
14.1%
9.6x
14.1x
16.2x
15.0%
7.5x
11.0x
13.1x
15.8%
7.0x
10.3x
11.6x
16.0%
Consensus Estimates
Research Analyst Estimates
Fiscal Year Ended December 31,
2010
2009
2008
$5,568.2
$5,202.4
$5,022.4
733.1
699.2
694.5
4,835.1
4,503.1
4,327.9
2008
$5,022.4
694.5
4,327.9
CY End
2009
$5,202.4
699.2
4,503.1
2010
$5,568.2
733.1
4,835.1
2011E
$7,602.7
CY End
2012E
$7,996.0
2013E
NA
2011E
$7,602.7
FY End
2012E
$7,996.0
2013E
NA
3,588.6
1,107.7
1,093.5
349.4
775.8
247.0
3,270.9
1,005.3
2,987.7
994.9
2,873.4
1,044.3
2,873.4
1,044.3
2,987.7
994.9
3,270.9
1,005.3
678.8
260.4
140.5
558.9
520.5
410.2
410.2
520.5
558.9
868.9
934.3
NA
868.9
934.3
NA
242.0
920.8
82.2
1,003.0
71.5
331.9
23.2
355.1
53.5
194.1
17.9
212.0
224.0
782.9
77.0
859.9
204.7
725.2
69.9
795.2
195.8
606.0
69.9
675.9
195.8
606.0
69.9
675.9
204.7
725.2
69.9
795.2
224.0
782.9
77.0
859.9
329.8
1,198.7
82.2
1,280.9
345.0
1,279.3
82.2
1,361.5
NA
NA
NA
NA
329.8
1,198.7
82.2
1,280.9
345.0
1,279.3
82.2
1,361.5
NA
NA
NA
NA
2.0
121.6
555.1
56.4
204.0
12.4
128.2
2.0
77.6
479.3
1.3
45.8
473.4
21.5
53.2
335.5
21.5
53.2
335.5
1.3
45.8
473.4
2.0
77.6
479.3
(50.5)
(15.8)
(10.9)
(45.6)
(43.9)
(40.7)
(40.7)
(43.9)
(45.6)
Preferred Dividend
Taxes
Net Income
185.2
$319.5
74.0
$114.2
45.4
$71.8
156.6
$277.1
170.0
$259.5
115.9
$179.0
115.9
$179.0
170.0
$259.5
156.6
$277.1
$419.3
$474.7
NA
$419.3
$474.7
NA
98.410
$3.25
98.868
$1.16
97.450
$0.74
97.973
$2.83
98.275
$2.64
101.418
$1.76
101.418
$1.76
98.275
$2.64
97.973
$2.83
104.572
$4.01
104.860
$4.53
NA
NA
104.572
$4.01
104.860
$4.53
NA
NA
33.4%
36.3%
35.4%
32.7%
35.9%
34.5%
34.5%
35.9%
32.7%
242.0
71.5
53.5
224.0
204.7
195.8
195.8
204.7
224.0
329.8
345.0
NA
329.8
345.0
NA
Capital Expenditures
233.3
56.6
62.6
239.3
379.7
354.5
354.5
379.7
239.3
289.2
304.2
NA
289.2
304.2
NA
Assets:
Cash & Equivalents
Marketable Securities
Total Cash & Marketable Securities
As of
Period Ended
03/31/11
$47.2
47.2
Other Data
Shares outstanding as on 04/30/11 taken from 10-Q company filing for period of 03/31/11. The company has Classs A, B, C, and D shares.
Options taken from company's 10-K ending 12/31/10.
Restricted stock is a part of Class B of options outstanding.
COGS includes supplies.
SG&A includes Salaries, wages and benefits, provision for doubtful accounts, D&A, rent expense.
Interet rate swap expense, excess income from insurance is tax adjuted @ 35.0%.
1,396.3
2,596.3
7,608.2
3.0
837.2
3,850.9
268.5
1,865.7
575.4
231.0
25,108.0
9 of 15
General Information
Health Management
Database Check
No
Akshay Deshpande
06/05/08
Updated By:
Checked By:
Ayush Jain
Girish Rohira
$10.44
Date Checked:
Date Updated:
Research 1:
Research 2:
Research 3:
07/12/11
07/11/11
Deutsche Bank - 07/01/11
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey - 05/03/11
RBC Capital Markets - 04/27/11
52 Week High
52 Week Low
Beta
Currency
Exchange Rate w.r.t. USD
$11.74
$6.13
1.35
USD
1.000
Plan 1
Plan 2
Plan 3
Plan 4
Plan 5
Credit Stats
253.172
Strike
$8.22
$9.91
$11.31
-
Research
LTM
12/31/11
$0.76
$0.88
NA
11.9
07/11/11
51.2%
16.2%
NA
$0.76
$0.88
2011E
2012E
3.6x
4.0x
83.4%
Multiples
CY 2010
EV / Sales
EV / EBITDA
EV / EBITDAR
EV/EBIT
PE
EBITDA Margin
Net Sales
COGS
Gross Profit
Research and Development
Selling, General & Admin.
Other Expenses
Other Income
Non-Recurring Charges
EBIT
LTM
Ended
03/31/11
$5,276.9
721.3
4,555.6
3,117.7
933.6
845.6
244.0
750.4
207.2
7.0x
263.611
$2,752.1
$2,783.1
$5,550.0
LTM
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
1.09x
7.5x
1.05x
7.3x
0.97x
6.8x
0.91x
6.4x
6.4x
11.3x
16.0x
14.5%
6.2x
11.0x
15.2x
14.4%
5.8x
10.2x
13.7x
14.2%
5.4x
9.4x
11.8x
14.3%
Consensus Estimates
Research Analyst Estimates
Fiscal Year Ended December 31,
2010
2009
2008
$5,115.0
$4,556.8
$4,301.7
705.5
639.7
588.2
4,409.5
3,917.1
3,713.4
3,022.6
896.8
2,684.4
791.8
2,569.4
750.5
2008
$4,301.7
588.2
3,713.4
CY End
2009
$4,556.8
639.7
3,917.1
2010
$5,115.0
705.5
4,409.5
2,569.4
750.5
2,684.4
791.8
3,022.6
896.8
2011E
$5,724.5
CY End
2012E
$6,087.2
2013E
NA
2011E
$5,724.5
FY End
2012E
$6,087.2
2013E
NA
504.2
149.1
135.0
490.1
440.9
393.5
393.5
440.9
490.1
543.4
591.8
NA
543.4
591.8
NA
255.6
759.8
130.0
889.9
67.0
216.1
36.0
252.1
62.9
197.9
29.7
227.6
251.5
741.6
123.7
865.3
244.3
685.2
101.8
787.0
242.5
636.0
88.7
724.7
242.5
636.0
88.7
724.7
244.3
685.2
101.8
787.0
251.5
741.6
123.7
865.3
268.1
811.5
140.8
952.3
278.3
870.1
150.4
1,020.6
NA
NA
NA
NA
268.1
811.5
140.8
952.3
278.3
870.1
150.4
1,020.6
NA
NA
NA
NA
(6.9)
209.1
302.1
(0.1)
51.0
98.2
(1.3)
53.6
82.7
(8.1)
211.7
286.6
(3.8)
217.9
226.7
(0.4)
245.4
148.5
(0.4)
245.4
148.5
(3.8)
217.9
226.7
(8.1)
211.7
286.6
(22.3)
(6.6)
(6.5)
(22.2)
(25.8)
(16.0)
(16.0)
(25.8)
(22.2)
Preferred Dividend
Taxes
Net Income
Weighted Average Shares Outstanding
EPS
106.9
$172.9
35.5
$56.1
29.6
$46.6
101.0
$163.4
76.8
$124.2
54.8
$77.7
54.8
$77.7
76.8
$124.2
101.0
$163.4
$193.4
$227.3
NA
$193.4
$227.3
NA
252.289
$0.69
253.727
$0.22
249.867
$0.19
251.106
$0.65
246.965
$0.50
244.671
$0.32
244.671
$0.32
246.965
$0.50
251.106
$0.65
254.420
$0.76
257.269
$0.88
NA
NA
254.420
$0.76
257.269
$0.88
NA
NA
35.4%
36.2%
35.8%
35.2%
33.9%
36.9%
36.9%
33.9%
35.2%
255.6
67.0
62.9
251.5
244.3
242.5
242.5
244.3
251.5
268.1
278.3
NA
268.1
278.3
NA
Capital Expenditures
408.4
51.2
43.7
400.9
338.2
218.4
218.4
338.2
400.9
443.0
471.1
NA
443.0
471.1
NA
Assets:
Cash & Equivalents
Marketable Securities
Total Cash & Marketable Securities
As of
Period Ended
03/31/11
$95.8
131.9
227.7
Other Data
Shares outstanding as of 04/29/11 taken from company's 10-Q filing as of 03/31/11.
Options outstanding as of 12/31/10 taken from company's 10-K ending 12/31/10.
COGS includes supplies.
SG&A includes salaries and benefits, D&A and rent expense.
Gains on sale of assets, write-offs of deferred financing costs and gain from early extinguishment of debt is excluded from the income statement and tax adjusted.
CapEx figures includes acquisition of health care businesses.
1,296.7
914.9
5,044.5
33.7
580.3
2,977.1
14.8
599.7
910.1
59.0
8,862.0
10 of 15
General Information
Netcare
Netcare Ltd
Healthcare
NTC SJ
S. Africa
09/30/10
03/31/11
Database Check
No
Akshay Deshpande
06/06/08
Updated By:
Checked By:
Ayush Jain
Girish Rohira
ZAR 13.35
Date Checked:
Date Updated:
Research 1:
Research 2:
Research 3:
12/07/11
11/07/11
J.P. Morgan - 05/23/11
Macquarie - 05/16/11
Investec - 05/25/11
52 Week High
52 Week Low
Beta
Currency
Exchange Rate w.r.t. USD
ZAR 16.36
ZAR 12.73
0.73
ZAR
0.148
Plan 1
Plan 2
Plan 3
Plan 4
Plan 5
Credit Stats
1,277.000
Strike
ZAR 8.51
Research
LTM
09/30/11
ZAR 1.07
ZAR 1.29
ZAR 1.50
10.4
11/07/11
16.2%
20.2%
16.8%
ZAR 1.12
ZAR 1.34
2011E
2012E
2.5x
5.4x
82.3%
Multiples
CY 2010
EV / Sales
EV / EBITDA
EV / EBITDAR
EV/EBIT
PE
EBITDA Margin
Net Sales
COGS
Gross Profit
Research and Development
Selling, General & Admin.
Other Expenses
Other Income
Non-Recurring Charges
EBIT
LTM
Ended
03/31/11
ZAR 22,828.0
13,170.0
9,658.0
7.0x
1,292.351
ZAR 17,252.9
ZAR 24,118.9
ZAR 44,312.8
LTM
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
1.96x
9.3x
1.94x
9.5x
1.85x
8.9x
1.65x
7.8x
8.6x
12.3x
14.3x
21.1%
8.7x
12.6x
13.4x
20.5%
8.2x
11.6x
11.9x
20.8%
7.3x
10.0x
10.0x
21.3%
Consensus Estimates
Research Analyst Estimates
Fiscal Year Ended September 30,
2010
2009
2008
ZAR 22,474.0
ZAR 23,232.0
ZAR 21,735.0
12,893.0
13,701.0
12,842.0
9,581.0
9,531.0
8,893.0
2008
ZAR 22,109.3
13,056.8
9,052.5
CY End
2009
ZAR 22,943.0
13,477.8
9,465.3
2010
ZAR 22,551.5
13,010.3
9,541.3
6,224.8
2011E
ZAR 23,980.0
CY End
2012E
ZAR 26,858.5
NA
2011E
ZAR 23,273.0
FY End
2012E
ZAR 26,101.0
2013E
ZAR 29,131.0
2013E
6,454.0
3,190.0
2,909.0
6,173.0
6,052.0
5,708.0
5,794.0
5,993.5
314.0
177.0
118.0
255.0
232.0
256.0
250.0
233.0
279.8
3,518.0
1,698.0
1,843.0
3,663.0
3,711.0
3,441.0
3,508.5
3,704.8
3,596.3
3,826.8
4,430.3
NA
3,677.2
4,275.6
4,894.3
1,168.0
4,686.0
397.0
5,083.0
568.0
2,266.0
176.0
2,442.0
557.0
2,400.0
199.0
2,599.0
1,157.0
4,820.0
420.0
5,240.0
1,227.0
4,938.0
410.0
5,348.0
1,244.0
4,685.0
345.0
5,030.0
1,239.8
4,748.3
361.3
5,109.5
1,198.8
4,903.5
407.0
5,310.5
1,151.8
4,748.0
403.0
5,151.0
1,172.8
4,999.6
397.0
5,396.6
1,283.9
5,714.2
397.0
6,111.2
NA
NA
NA
NA
1,145.8
4,823.0
397.0
5,220.0
1,253.7
5,529.3
397.0
5,926.3
1,374.4
6,268.7
397.0
6,665.7
4.0
1,901.0
1,613.0
32.0
913.0
753.0
1.0
993.0
849.0
(27.0)
1,981.0
1,709.0
(192.0)
2,425.0
1,478.0
(137.0)
2,550.0
1,028.0
(150.8)
2,518.8
1,140.5
(143.5)
2,315.3
1,533.0
(4.3)
1,942.3
1,658.3
(117.0)
(33.0)
(90.0)
(174.0)
(114.0)
(114.0)
(114.0)
(130.5)
(147.0)
49.0
151.8
ZAR 1,295.2
24.0
54.0
ZAR 642.0
28.0
183.6
ZAR 547.4
53.0
281.4
ZAR 1,200.6
73.0
353.1
ZAR 937.9
67.0
91.2
ZAR 755.8
68.5
156.7
ZAR 801.3
68.8
356.6
ZAR 977.1
51.8
238.1
ZAR 1,221.5
ZAR 1,534.2
ZAR 1,905.7
NA
ZAR 1,437.7
ZAR 1,823.7
ZAR 2,151.7
1,304.084
ZAR 0.99
1,318.000
ZAR 0.49
1,318.000
ZAR 0.42
1,303.000
ZAR 0.92
1,275.000
ZAR 0.74
1,280.000
ZAR 0.59
1,278.750
ZAR 0.63
1,615.250
ZAR 0.76
1,636.250
ZAR 0.93
1,361.828
ZAR 1.12
1,421.189
ZAR 1.34
NA
NA
1,343.195
ZAR 1.07
1,417.725
ZAR 1.29
1,431.581
ZAR 1.50
9.4%
7.2%
21.6%
16.5%
23.9%
8.9%
12.6%
28.7%
15.9%
1,168.0
568.0
557.0
1,157.0
1,227.0
1,244.0
1,239.8
1,198.8
1,151.8
1,172.8
1,283.9
NA
1,145.8
1,253.7
1,374.4
Capital Expenditures
1,382.0
461.0
449.0
1,370.0
1,427.0
1,416.0
1,418.8
1,294.8
1,258.0
1,506.9
1,656.6
NA
1,472.5
1,610.1
1,796.2
Assets:
Cash & Equivalents
Marketable Securities
Total Cash & Marketable Securities
Total Current Assets
Goodwill and Intangibles
Total Assets
As of
Period Ended
03/31/11
ZAR 1,103.1
1,103.1
5,175.1
13,381.0
43,423.1
4,023.0
7,415.0
Long-term Debt
Minority Interest
Warrants/Put Options
Preferred Stock (Liquidation Value)
Common Equity
Operating Lease (Capitalized)
Other Information
Number of Hospitals
Number of Beds
Other Data
Shares outstanding from the company's latest filing as on 03/31/11 .
Options outstanding taken from company annual report for period ended September 2010 as Semi-Annual report for S1 FY10 did not give option outstanding details.
SG&A includes profit from disposal of plant, property and equipment.
Gain/loss on options contract, Forex losses, restructuring cost, impairment costs, gain on bargain purchase are tax adjusted.
The company declared a dividend of ZAr 22.0 on 05/16/11, which is accounted for in the balance sheet.
Rent for forward financials has been taken as LTM.
No. of beds and hospitals are taken from the company website.
Depreciation for Macquarie report has been taken as an LTM margin.
Capex for Macquarie report and Investec report has been taken as an LTM margin.
21,199.0
2,297.0
644.0
4,791.1
2,779.0
118.0
11,909.0
11 of 15
General Information
Medi-Clinic
Medi-Clinic Corporation
Healthcare
MDC SJ
S. Africa
03/31/11
03/31/11
Database Check
No
Rinel Rodrigues
05/06/08
Updated By:
Checked By:
Ayush Jain
Girish Rohira
ZAR 23.80
Date Checked:
Date Updated:
Research 1:
Research 2:
Research 3:
07/11/11
07/11/11
Macquarie - 05/30/11
Investec - 07/07/11
NA
52 Week High
52 Week Low
Beta
Currency
Exchange Rate w.r.t. USD
ZAR 31.78
ZAR 23.76
0.50
ZAR
0.148
Plan 1
Plan 2
Plan 3
Plan 4
Plan 5
Credit Stats
652.315
Strike
ZAR 11.21
Research
LTM
03/30/12
ZAR 1.97
ZAR 2.33
ZAR 3.15
17.8
07/11/11
13.8%
18.0%
35.4%
ZAR 1.94
ZAR 2.24
2011E
2012E
2.8x
5.3x
70.8%
Multiples
Net Sales
COGS
Gross Profit
LTM
Ended
03/31/11
ZAR 18,625.0
10,327.0
8,298.0
4,850.0
3,448.0
726.0
4,174.0
225.0
4,399.0
Assets:
Cash & Equivalents
Marketable Securities
Total Cash & Marketable Securities
Total Current Assets
Goodwill and Intangibles
Total Assets
CY 2012E
1.98x
8.8x
1.81x
8.1x
1.63x
7.4x
8.6x
11.0x
13.0x
22.4%
8.4x
10.7x
12.8x
22.4%
7.7x
9.8x
12.2x
22.3%
7.1x
8.9x
10.6x
22.1%
Consensus Estimates
Research Analyst Estimates
2011
2010
2008
ZAR 14,658.0
8,291.8
6,366.3
CY End
2009
ZAR 16,943.5
9,495.3
7,448.3
2010
ZAR 18,254.0
10,138.5
8,115.5
2011E
ZAR 20,348.9
CY End
2012E
ZAR 22,629.0
2013E
ZAR 24,597.0
2012E
ZAR 20,923.5
FY End
2013E
ZAR 23,197.5
2014E
ZAR 25,063.5
4,453.0
4,342.0
3,875.8
4,425.3
4,750.8
3,448.0
3,115.0
2,747.0
2,490.5
3,023.0
3,364.8
3,752.9
4,140.6
4,564.9
3,854.5
4,236.0
4,674.5
726.0
4,174.0
225.0
4,399.0
718.0
3,833.0
225.0
4,058.0
684.0
3,431.0
225.0
3,656.0
598.3
3,088.8
202.8
3,291.5
709.5
3,732.5
225.0
3,957.5
724.0
4,088.8
225.0
4,313.8
792.0
4,544.9
225.0
4,769.9
851.1
4,991.8
225.0
5,216.8
911.1
5,476.0
225.0
5,701.0
814.0
4,668.5
225.0
4,893.5
863.5
5,099.5
225.0
5,324.5
927.0
5,601.5
225.0
5,826.5
(65.0)
1,491.0
2,022.0
(65.0)
1,491.0
2,022.0
(48.0)
1,524.0
1,639.0
(45.0)
1,602.0
1,190.0
(45.5)
1,372.8
1,163.3
(47.3)
1,543.5
1,526.8
(60.8)
1,499.3
1,926.3
(204.0)
(204.0)
(128.0)
(76.0)
(84.8)
(115.0)
(185.0)
650.2
ZAR 1,167.8
650.2
ZAR 1,167.8
472.9
ZAR 1,038.1
495.0
ZAR 619.0
462.1
ZAR 616.4
478.4
ZAR 933.3
605.9
ZAR 1,135.4
ZAR 1,435.7
ZAR 1,771.8
ZAR 2,352.5
ZAR 1,525.0
ZAR 1,854.0
ZAR 2,518.7
629.488
ZAR 1.86
629.488
ZAR 1.86
598.656
ZAR 1.73
590.999
ZAR 1.05
556.790
ZAR 1.12
596.742
ZAR 1.56
621.780
ZAR 1.82
737.102
ZAR 1.94
790.473
ZAR 2.24
798.334
ZAR 2.95
772.974
ZAR 1.97
796.306
ZAR 2.33
799.011
ZAR 3.15
N
32.2%
N
32.2%
N
28.9%
N
41.6%
39.7%
31.3%
31.5%
726.0
726.0
718.0
684.0
598.3
709.5
724.0
792.0
851.1
911.1
814.0
863.5
927.0
1,177.0
1,177.0
1,280.0
1,426.0
1,299.0
1,316.5
1,202.8
1,339.3
1,447.0
1,509.2
1,393.4
1,464.8
1,523.9
As of
Period Ended
03/31/11
ZAR 1,240.8
723.0
1,963.8
6,281.8
5,565.0
43,210.8
1,834.0
5,055.0
Long-term Debt
Minority Interest
Warrants/Put Options
Preferred Stock (Liquidation Value)
Common Equity
Operating Lease (Capitalized)
Other Information
Number of Hospitals
Number of Beds
CY 2011E
2.02x
9.0x
4,850.0
7.0x
653.545
ZAR 15,554.4
ZAR 20,284.2
ZAR 36,909.5
LTM
Other Data
Shares outstanding taken from FY 2011 press release report as of 03/31/11.
Options outstanding taken from company Annual report for period ending 03/31/2011.
SG&A includes depreciation and amortization.
Rent for FY2011 & FY2010 is taken same as FY09.
Profit on sale of PP&E and associates is exlcuded and tax adjusted @ 29.0%, company tax rate.
Dividend announced of ZAr 50.0 on 05/24/11 has been taken into account.
CapEx for Investec report has been taken as an LTM margin.
Rent for forward financials has been taken same as LTM.
20,414.0
1,071.0
9,162.8
1,575.0
52.0
8,896.0
12 of 15
General Information
Fortis
Database Check
No
Rinel Rodrigues
06/06/08
Updated By:
Checked By:
Ayush Jain
Girish Rohira
INR 166.80
Date Checked:
Date Updated:
Research 1:
Research 2:
Research 3:
07/12/11
07/11/11
J.P. Morgan - 05/31/11
ICICI Securities Ltd. - 06/03/11
NA
52 Week High
52 Week Low
Beta
Currency
Exchange Rate w.r.t. USD
INR 177.20
INR 124.35
0.94
INR
0.022
Plan 1
Plan 2
Plan 3
Plan 4
Plan 5
Credit Stats
405.103
Strike
INR 75.05
Research
LTM
03/30/12
INR 3.80
INR 5.19
NA
NA
07/11/11
17.5%
36.8%
NA
INR 3.65
INR 4.84
2011E
2012E
3.0x
5.2x
24.3%
Multiples
CY 2010
EV / Sales
EV / EBITDA
EV / EBITDAR
EV/EBIT
PE
EBITDA Margin
Net Sales
COGS
Gross Profit
Research and Development
Selling, General & Admin.
Other Expenses
Other Income
Non-Recurring Charges
EBIT
LTM
Ended
03/31/11
INR 14,828.2
3,929.9
10,898.3
3,776.1
6,076.0
7.0x
405.609
INR 67,655.5
INR 9,403.3
INR 77,360.9
LTM
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
5.74x
40.3x
5.22x
37.0x
3.44x
22.8x
2.62x
16.8x
36.5x
78.5x
54.2x
14.3%
33.8x
73.9x
51.6x
14.1%
21.6x
42.9x
45.7x
15.1%
16.1x
30.4x
34.5x
15.7%
Consensus Estimates
Research Analyst Estimates
2011
2010
2,549.4
3,397.9
1,961.1
2,081.5
2008
INR 6,028.8
1,864.7
4,164.0
CY End
2009
INR 8,611.3
2,443.9
6,167.4
2010
INR 13,466.0
3,604.1
9,861.9
1,902.7
1,941.4
2,402.3
3,068.8
3,469.4
5,406.5
2011E
INR 22,488.2
CY End
2012E
INR 29,471.4
2013E
NA
2012E
INR 25,041.5
FY End
2013E
INR 30,948.0
2014E
NA
1,046.2
1,046.2
805.4
368.9
319.9
696.3
986.0
1,803.1
2,541.2
NA
2,055.4
2,703.2
NA
1,044.9
2,091.1
200.3
2,291.4
1,044.9
2,091.1
200.3
2,291.4
599.4
1,404.8
200.3
1,605.1
487.4
856.3
99.3
955.6
461.2
781.1
103.1
884.2
571.4
1,267.7
175.0
1,442.7
933.5
1,919.5
200.3
2,119.8
1,584.7
3,387.8
200.3
3,588.0
2,076.8
4,618.0
200.3
4,818.3
NA
NA
NA
NA
1,764.6
3,820.0
200.3
4,020.3
2,180.8
4,884.0
200.3
5,084.3
NA
NA
NA
NA
(923.0)
696.0
1,273.2
(923.0)
696.0
1,273.2
(516.8)
572.9
749.3
(280.4)
436.6
212.7
(223.7)
492.5
51.1
(457.7)
538.8
615.1
(821.5)
665.2
1,142.2
(20.9)
(27.4)
(22.1)
(22.5)
(5.2)
209.2
INR 1,064.0
209.2
INR 1,064.0
33.6
INR 694.8
39.4
INR 145.9
87.1
(INR 58.2)
35.1
INR 557.6
165.3
INR 971.7
INR 1,429.6
INR 1,966.6
NA
INR 1,551.5
INR 2,105.0
NA
329.412
INR 3.23
329.412
INR 3.23
266.207
INR 2.61
226.667
INR 0.64
212.781
(INR 0.50)
256.322
INR 2.12
313.611
INR 3.08
388.973
INR 3.65
406.398
INR 4.84
NA
NA
408.827
INR 3.80
405.588
INR 5.19
NA
NA
Assets:
Cash & Equivalents
Marketable Securities
Total Cash & Marketable Securities
Total Current Assets
Goodwill and Intangibles
Total Assets
Liabilities & Shareholders Equity:
Short-term Debt
Total Current Liabilities
Long-term Debt
Minority Interest
Warrants/Put Options
Preferred Stock (Liquidation Value)
Common Equity
Operating Lease (Capitalized)
Other Information
Number of Hospitals
Number of Beds
16.4%
N
16.4%
N
4.5%
N
18.5%
N
13.9%
N
8.0%
N
13.4%
1,044.9
1,044.9
599.4
487.4
461.2
571.4
933.5
1,584.7
2,076.8
NA
1,764.6
2,180.8
NA
16,524.5
16,524.5
10,452.4
1,412.4
1,240.0
8,192.4
15,006.4
25,060.7
32,842.7
NA
27,906.1
34,488.3
NA
As of
Period Ended
03/31/11
Other Data
INR 860.0
620.0
1,480.0
NA
8,843.4
NA
NA
10,883.3
302.1
33,884.6
1,401.8
Shares Outstanding taken as per 03/31/11 from Bombay Stock Exchange website.
Options outstanding taken from company annual report for the period ending 03/31/10.
SG&A includes depreciation and amortization and employee costs.
Amortization of goodwill has been excluded. Company changed its goodwill accounting policy from FY08.
Non recurring items have been excluded and taxes have been adjusted.
Loss/Gain on Sale of fixed assets, Forex have been tax adjusted @ 35.0%
Share in associates has been included in Interest (Income) / Other (Income)/ Expense.
Long term debt includes secured and unsecured debt.
Rent for the forward estimates is taken same as of LTM.
Capex for FY 2011 is taken on FY 2010 margins.
CapEx for forward financials has been taken as an LTM margin and depreciation for JP Morgan report has been taken on the basis of LTM Margins
Rent for Yr. ended 2011 have been taken the same as that of the previous year.
FY11 financials are from company's Investor presentation.
48.0
7,700.0
13 of 15
General Information
Bangkok Dusit
Database Check
No
Rinel Rodrigues
05/06/08
Updated By:
Checked By:
Ayush Jain
Urvesh Shah
THB 53.50
Date Checked:
Date Updated:
Research 1:
Research 2:
Research 3:
07/12/11
07/12/11
Macquarie Research - 05/25/11
Bualuang Securities - 05/24/11
KT Zmico - 05/24/11
52 Week High
52 Week Low
Beta
Currency
Exchange Rate w.r.t. USD
THB 55.00
THB 28.25
0.54
THB
0.033
Credit Stats
1,545.459
Strike
Plan 1
Plan 2
Plan 3
Plan 4
Plan 5
LTM
12/31/11
THB 2.45
THB 2.75
THB 3.19
21.3
07/12/11
Research
29.9%
12.4%
16.0%
THB 2.45
THB 2.75
2011E
2012E
10.0x
2.2x
42.6%
Multiples
Net Sales
COGS
Gross Profit
Research and Development
Selling, General & Admin.
Other Expenses
Other Income
Non-Recurring Charges
EBIT
LTM
Ended
03/31/11
THB 24,140.7
14,234.9
9,905.8
7.0x
1,545.459
THB 82,682.1
THB 9,901.6
THB 93,210.6
LTM
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
3.96x
16.8x
3.86x
16.6x
2.78x
11.6x
2.40x
10.0x
16.1x
27.5x
28.4x
23.5%
15.9x
26.9x
27.7x
23.3%
11.3x
17.4x
21.9x
24.0%
9.7x
14.4x
19.5x
24.0%
2013E
THB 41,938.5
Consensus Estimates
Research Analyst Estimates
Fiscal Year Ended December 31,
2010
2009
2008
THB 23,512.6
THB 21,597.0
THB 21,187.7
13,662.0
12,593.1
12,048.2
9,850.7
9,003.9
9,139.5
2008
THB 21,187.7
12,048.2
9,139.5
CY End
2009
THB 21,597.0
12,593.1
9,003.9
2010
THB 23,512.6
13,662.0
9,850.7
6,945.1
2011E
THB 33,473.7
CY End
2012E
THB 38,843.3
2013E
THB 41,938.5
2011E
THB 33,473.7
FY End
2012E
THB 38,843.3
7,125.0
1,835.5
1,655.5
6,945.1
6,609.5
6,731.2
6,731.2
6,609.5
684.9
303.6
100.0
481.4
342.9
422.5
422.5
342.9
481.4
3,465.7
1,195.8
1,117.0
3,387.0
2,737.3
2,830.8
2,830.8
2,737.3
3,387.0
5,349.3
6,479.3
7,261.5
5,349.3
6,479.3
7,261.5
2,157.6
5,623.3
251.8
5,875.1
539.8
1,735.6
63.0
1,798.6
531.9
1,649.0
63.0
1,711.9
2,149.7
5,536.7
251.8
5,788.5
2,276.7
5,014.0
295.9
5,309.9
2,169.0
4,999.8
298.3
5,298.1
2,169.0
4,999.8
298.3
5,298.1
2,276.7
5,014.0
295.9
5,309.9
2,149.7
5,536.7
251.8
5,788.5
2,681.0
8,030.3
251.8
8,282.1
2,856.7
9,336.0
251.8
9,587.8
2,773.0
10,034.5
251.8
10,286.3
2,681.0
8,030.3
251.8
8,282.1
2,856.7
9,336.0
251.8
9,587.8
2,773.0
10,034.5
251.8
10,286.3
(368.9)
563.4
3,271.2
(89.1)
133.3
1,151.6
(77.2)
154.3
1,040.0
(357.0)
584.4
3,159.6
(235.8)
641.3
2,331.8
(221.2)
646.8
2,405.2
(221.2)
646.8
2,405.2
(235.8)
641.3
2,331.8
(357.0)
584.4
3,159.6
(89.1)
(27.5)
(23.6)
(85.1)
(59.7)
(54.6)
(54.6)
(59.7)
(85.1)
804.8
THB 2,377.3
288.3
THB 835.8
262.8
THB 753.6
779.4
THB 2,295.1
546.9
THB 1,725.2
688.5
THB 1,662.1
688.5
THB 1,662.1
546.9
THB 1,725.2
779.4
THB 2,295.1
THB 3,756.3
THB 4,292.7
THB 4,959.5
THB 3,756.3
THB 4,292.7
THB 4,959.5
1,229.648
THB 1.93
1,246.036
THB 0.67
1,214.499
THB 0.62
1,218.819
THB 1.88
1,214.499
THB 1.42
1,214.341
THB 1.37
1,214.341
THB 1.37
1,214.499
THB 1.42
1,218.819
THB 1.88
1,535.286
THB 2.45
1,560.970
THB 2.75
1,554.702
THB 3.19
1,535.286
THB 2.45
1,560.970
THB 2.75
1,554.702
THB 3.19
24.6%
25.0%
25.3%
24.7%
23.5%
28.6%
28.6%
23.5%
24.7%
2,157.6
539.8
531.9
2,149.7
2,276.7
2,169.0
2,169.0
2,276.7
2,149.7
2,681.0
2,856.7
2,773.0
2,681.0
2,856.7
2,773.0
Capital Expenditures
1,382.3
492.5
263.9
1,153.7
1,495.9
1,976.2
1,976.2
1,495.9
1,153.7
11,253.7
2,679.1
2,496.2
11,253.7
2,679.1
2,496.2
Assets:
Cash & Equivalents
Marketable Securities
Total Cash & Marketable Securities
Total Current Assets
Goodwill and Intangibles
Total Assets
As of
Period Ended
03/31/11
THB 2,395.1
2.3
2,397.4
5,400.0
1,530.9
34,634.4
1,611.5
5,862.5
Long-term Debt
Minority Interest
Warrants/Put Options
Preferred Stock (Liquidation Value)
Common Equity
Operating Lease (Capitalized)
Other Information
Number of Hospitals
Number of Beds
Other Data
Shares outstanding taken from bloomberg as of 07/11/11.
SG&A includes depreciation and amortization.
Share of income from investments in associated companies is included in other (income)/expenses.
Rent for estimates is assumed to be constant.
Gain from early repayment of loan, reversal of provision for impairment of property, for investments, loss on disposal of property and FOREX, write off of assets is tax adjusted.
Long term debt includes long term loans from financial institution, liabilities under finance lease agreements, debentures, and liability coponent of liability component.
10,687.5
626.9
16,584.4
1,762.6
27
4,701
14 of 15
General Information
KPJ Healthcare
Credit Stats
566.297
Yes
Rachit Shah
05/06/08
Updated By:
Checked By:
Ayush Jain
Girish Rohira
MYR 4.48
Date Checked:
Date Updated:
Research 1:
Research 2:
Research 3:
07/12/11
07/12/11
OSK Research - 05/23/11
TA Securities - 05/23/11
Affin Securities - 07/12/11
52 Week High
52 Week Low
Beta
Currency
Exchange Rate w.r.t. USD
MYR 4.72
MYR 3.18
0.86
MYR
0.330
Strike
Plan 1
Plan 2
Plan 3
Plan 4
Plan 5
LTM
12/31/11
MYR 0.26
MYR 0.32
MYR 0.32
NA
07/12/11
Research
38.9%
20.2%
0.6%
MYR 0.26
MYR 0.32
2011E
2012E
14.3x
1.9x
34.0%
Multiples
Net Sales
COGS
Gross Profit
Research and Development
Selling, General & Admin.
Other Expenses
Other Income
Non-Recurring Charges
EBIT
LTM
Ended
03/31/11
MYR 1,716.3
1,190.1
526.2
7.0x
566.297
MYR 2,537.0
MYR 237.3
MYR 2,872.9
LTM
CY 2011E
CY 2012E
1.74x
14.1x
1.67x
13.6x
1.58x
11.5x
1.38x
9.9x
10.4x
19.8x
23.5x
12.3%
10.2x
19.4x
23.7x
12.3%
8.9x
15.8x
16.9x
13.8%
7.9x
13.4x
14.1x
14.0%
Consensus Estimates
Research Analyst Estimates
Fiscal Year Ended December 31,
2010
2009
2008
MYR 1,654.6
MYR 1,456.4
MYR 1,267.3
1,150.7
1,037.3
899.0
503.9
419.1
368.4
2008
MYR 1,267.3
899.0
368.4
CY End
2009
MYR 1,456.4
1,037.3
419.1
2010
MYR 1,654.6
1,150.7
503.9
371.5
2011E
MYR 1,813.9
CY End
2012E
MYR 2,074.4
2013E
MYR 2,331.0
2011E
MYR 1,813.9
FY End
2012E
MYR 2,074.4
2013E
MYR 2,331.0
389.8
11.8
94.7
76.3
371.5
289.7
270.4
270.4
289.7
3.8
4.4
12.5
12.2
16.0
16.0
12.2
12.5
148.2
40.9
37.6
144.9
141.5
113.9
113.9
141.5
144.9
181.9
214.3
228.0
181.9
214.3
228.0
62.3
210.5
71.2
281.7
16.9
57.8
17.8
75.6
14.0
51.6
17.8
69.4
59.4
204.3
71.2
275.5
46.4
188.0
62.8
250.7
41.4
155.3
57.7
213.0
41.4
155.3
57.7
213.0
46.4
188.0
62.8
250.7
59.4
204.3
71.2
275.5
68.1
250.0
71.2
321.2
76.0
290.3
71.2
361.5
78.0
306.0
71.2
NA
68.1
250.0
71.2
321.2
76.0
290.3
71.2
361.5
78.0
306.0
71.2
NA
(29.9)
14.7
163.4
(6.0)
5.3
41.6
(4.7)
4.2
38.0
(28.6)
13.6
159.9
(15.6)
16.7
140.4
(26.6)
18.5
121.9
(26.6)
18.5
121.9
(15.6)
16.7
140.4
(28.6)
13.6
159.9
(9.6)
(3.8)
(1.5)
(7.3)
(3.9)
(3.7)
(3.7)
(3.9)
(7.3)
41.9
MYR 111.9
10.2
MYR 27.5
9.3
MYR 27.2
40.9
MYR 111.6
32.2
MYR 104.3
26.8
MYR 91.5
592.513
MYR 0.19
595.455
MYR 0.05
567.646
MYR 0.05
585.538
MYR 0.19
512.127
MYR 0.20
524.578
MYR 0.17
Assets:
Cash & Equivalents
Marketable Securities
Total Cash & Marketable Securities
Total Current Assets
Goodwill and Intangibles
Total Assets
40.9
MYR 111.6
MYR 136.1
MYR 164.6
MYR 168.0
MYR 136.1
MYR 164.6
MYR 168.0
512.127
MYR 0.20
585.538
MYR 0.19
514.106
MYR 0.26
517.715
MYR 0.32
525.000
MYR 0.32
514.106
MYR 0.26
517.715
MYR 0.32
525.000
MYR 0.32
62.3
16.9
14.0
59.4
46.4
41.4
41.4
46.4
59.4
68.1
76.0
78.0
68.1
76.0
78.0
22.6
26.7
227.5
221.8
120.6
120.6
221.8
227.5
236.1
270.0
303.4
236.1
270.0
303.4
360.4
712.0
Long-term Debt
Minority Interest
Warrants/Put Options
Preferred Stock (Liquidation Value)
Common Equity
Operating Lease (Capitalized)
Other Information
Number of Hospitals
Number of Beds
37.5
98.5
773.4
498.4
25.6%
Other Data
Shares outstanding taken from company's quarterly report as of 03/31/11.
Share price data taken from Bloomberg as of 07/13/11.
Rent for the quarters has been taken as of FY 2010 figures.
Interest (Income) / Other (Income)/ Expense inlcudes share of results of associated companies, gain on disposals, and gain/loss on fair value of investment properties.
SG&A includes depreciation and amortization.
Reversal of impairment of interest in associates has been tax adjusted.
Dividend of MYR 0.024 paid on 06/28/11 is accounted for in the balance sheet.
Depreciation for OSK Investment Research & TA Securities Research is based on LTM margins.
Rent for the forward estimates is taken same as that of LTM.
Capex for forward estimates is based on LTM margins.
23.0%
223.4
519.3
22.0%
24.4%
136.3
1,676.5
22.0%
24.6%
MYR 160.6
160.6
23.0%
32.2
MYR 104.3
524.578
MYR 0.17
25.7%
As of
Period Ended
03/31/11
25.6%
26.8
MYR 91.5
22.0
2,600.0
15 of 15