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How do MRO costs break down for different engine types?

Paolo Lironi, Executive Director Head of Engine Advisory

Confidential not for third party distribution SGI Aviation 2009

Oct 2009

Topics
How do engine MRO costs break down for different engine types?
The effects of ageing and maturity on engines costs The costs of second and subsequent shop visits as compared with the first shop visit The effects of operating in severe environments, in operating short/long stage lengths and in operating abnormal missions The effects of short-term leasing and engine part-out in the sunset years of operation Comparative costs for different engine types and variations in where the costs are found

Confidential not for third party distribution SGI Aviation 2009

Agenda
Cost breakdown for engine model First shop visit Factors affecting shop visit costs Second & subsequent shop visits End of life Conclusions

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First shop visit

Cost breakdown

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Shop visit cost breakdown for engine model


SGIs Analysis
Major Factors Age of the model General market status Number of engines in the market Availability of DER Availability of PMA Assumptions Only new models Only OEM material used No DER No PMA

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Workscope
Factors driving the engine removal off wing

Operations

Reliability

Contracts

Engine Removal

Fleet Needs

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First shop visit cost analysis


Factors to be considered
Major Factors Deterioration Contract Modification status of the engine Time on wing of the engine Spare level Thrust rating (Re rate) & De rate EGT Stagger Reliability issues Budget Utilization LLP profile Assumptions Only core performance restoration Average contract terms Average engine deterioration Average time on wing for the engine Average flight length

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First shop visit cost analysis


Cost per hour curve
Considerations Parts do no need to be replaced Parts have to be repaired Parts have to be replaced

Engine operating cost / time on wing

Cost per hour

Time on wing
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Methodology
The shop visit cost is divided into:
Accessories and fees Material cost of new material Repair cost of repairing parts Labor cost

All mark up and fees are included in the cost The following engines have been considered based on
SGI experience Mix of modern concept engines and mature engines

Confidential not for third party distribution SGI Aviation 2009

Shop visit cost breakdown for engine model


Breakdown per engine model
100%

Considerations Accessories and fees are similar On new engines, material cost is most relevant the cost of repairs is significant on older models

90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20%

Acc/fees Material Repair Labor

10% 0%

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Improvements
How to reduce shop visit costs
Proper workscope
Only necessary modifications to be implemented Cost effective analysis of necessary repair level per each module and of repairs

Use of Properly repaired parts to be maximized Proper management of the engine through the shop
Number of workscope revisions to be minimized Unexpected findings to be evaluated and corrective actions to be managed

Plan in advance
LLP & normal replaced parts to be acquired in advance

Tailored contract

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Factors affecting shop visit cost

Analysis

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Major factors affecting engine operating cost

Thrust reduction

Thrust rating change

Environment

Operating cost

Flight lengths

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Environment effects on modern design engines


Design requirements
Considerations Low fuel consumption:

High operating temperature Cooling systems

More prone to have environment effects Certain engine areas are more critical Results Deterioration rate is higher (more rapid) On wing life is reduced Scrap rate is higher Workscope is more extensive
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Environment effects on CFM56-7B engines


CFM56-7B DIFFERENCE IN COST PER MODULE
60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0% LPC HPC CC HPT First shop visit LPT AGB Non Mod TOTAL

Second shop visit


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Environment effects on V2500-A5 engines


V2500 DIFFERENCE IN COST PER MODULE
80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% FAN LPC INT CASE HPC DIFF COMB NGV HPT LPT GBX ENG TOTAL

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Thrust reductions
Considerations Take off thrust reduction has a major effect on deterioration De-rate has a bigger impact on full power take offs Effects It is more beneficial to use flex take offs at higher thrust settings Flex take offs benefits are higher at maximum take off power Severity curves usually used to consider this effect On wing life can be increased up to 25% by maximizing flex take off policy
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Effect of de rate /deterioration


45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 1 2 3 4 5

Deterioration

Derate

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Thrust changes
Considerations Thrust ratings can be changed easily Wide range of Thrust ratings across same engine model Parameters Rotor speed Temperature Pressure Operating curves are changing significantly Results Engines are operated at multiple thrust settings during one engine run Higher time on wing can be achieved Higher reliability Lower maintenance cost per hour

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Stage length effects


Considerations Flight length proportional to aircraft weight Deterioration is higher during take off Leasing contracts refers to cost per hour Effects Short flights Long flights less weight more weight more derate less derate

Additional cost is divided in more flying hours There is no significant changes in cost per hour based on the sector length

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Second & subsequent shop visits

Analysis

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Second & subsequent shop visits


Driving factors Previous shop visit Material used: new or overhauled Modification status of the engine LLP profile of the engine Operating thrust Changes in on wing life FH/FC ratio De-rating Average TO temperature Severe environment Short length Engine model fleet problems

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Major factors affecting shop visit cost over time


Factors Majority of the parts are checked/repaired/replaced during a shop visit, however there are some parts affected by ageing stators Each engine model is affected by a common issue across the fleet Effects Shop visit cost increasing BUT More used parts are available in the market

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Shop visit cost over time


16

Highly depending on the market and Not generic for all engine models
Shop visit cost

14

New technology introduced Fatigue problems Minor number of repairs available

12

10

Availability of repairs Availability of replacement parts

0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5

Time
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Cost breakdown for CFM56-5B/7B


Difference between first shop visit and subsequent
70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0% Labor Repair SV 1 WS SV 2 WS
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Material

Acc/fees

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Cost breakdown for V2500


Difference between first shop visit and subsequent
60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0% Labor Repair SV 1 WS SV 2 WS
Confidential not for third party distribution SGI Aviation 2009

Material

Acc/fees

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Cost breakdown for CF6-80E1


Difference between first shop visit and subsequent
60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0% Labor Repair SV 1 WS SV 2 WS
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Material

Acc/fees

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End of life

SGI experience

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Product life cycle curve


Considerations Market driven Aircraft application
14 12

Product request vs time

Product request

10 8 6 4 2 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

Time
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End of life for fleets with small number of engines


Market The number of engines in operation are decreasing Request for aircraft with this engine model is less and less Availability of repairs is limited End of Life The cost of repairing an engine is higher than buying a replacement The availability of spare engines is limited Engine exchange is common
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End of life for numerous engine fleet


Market The number of flying engines is extensive Request for aircraft with this engine is stable The availability of repairs is extensive End of Life The repair cost is stable Engines available in short term lease High availability of spare engines

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Conclusions

Life Cycle

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Conclusion
SGI experience
Environment and engine operations are the most critical factors for engine deterioration The cost of operations can be predicted using a model for each engine The cost for repairing an engine is depending on the product phase of the engine model End of life strategies are depending on the engine model

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Contact details
I would be glad to answer any questions that you might have!

Paolo Lironi Executive Director SGI Engine Advisory B.V. World Trade Center Amsterdam F-03 Strawinskylaan 381, 1077XX Amsterdam, The Netherlands (T) +31 20 880 4261 plironi@sgiaviation.com
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Confidential not for third party distribution SGI Aviation 2009

Contact details
I would be glad to answer any questions that you might have!

Paolo Lironi Executive Director SGI Engine Advisory B.V. World Trade Center Amsterdam F-03 Strawinskylaan 381, 1077XX Amsterdam, The Netherlands (T) +31 20 880 4261 plironi@sgiaviation.com

Confidential not for third party distribution SGI Aviation 2009

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