CBS News/New York Times Poll For release: Tuesday December 6, 2011 6:30 PM EST

The Iowa Caucuses: Key Voter Groups and Issues November 30- December 5, 2011

Tea-Party backers (who make up about half of Iowa caucus-goers) are strongly behind Newt Gingrich. Gingrich has a high favorable rating among this group as well, and does very well on presidential qualities such as handling an international crisis and preparation for the presidency. He is also widely seen as electable. White evangelical voters who plan to attend the caucuses also back Gingrich, and view him in much the same way (although less strongly) as Tea Party supporters. Among this group, Michele Bachmann tops the list as the candidate who best represents their values. After losing the state in the 2008 caucuses, Romney has spent little time or money in Iowa this year. Romney leads among moderates, but Gingrich far outstrips him among conservatives. Conservatives outnumber moderate caucus-goers by two to one.

Tea Party Supporters Self-described Tea-Party supporters strong backing of Newt Gingrich is a key factor propelling him to the top of the Republican field in Iowa. 41% of Tea Party supporters favor Gingrich for the nomination, far ahead of Ron Paul in second place at 14%. Mitt Romney, who places second among caucus-goers overall, comes in fifth behind Gingrich, Paul, Rick Perry, and Michele Bachmann. Those who say they are not supporters of the Tea Party are more divided in their choice. Among this group, Romney (27%) has a lead over Gingrich (22%) and Paul (18%). Iowa Caucus-goers: Tea Party Supporters (Among Republican Caucus-Goers) All Tea Party Not Tea Party 31% 41% 22% 17 10 27 16 14 18 11 12 9 9 11 6 4 5 3 1 * 1

Newt Gingrich Mitt Romney Ron Paul Rick Perry Michele Bachmann Rick Santorum Jon Huntsman
(*) denotes less than 0.5%

Even though more Tea Party supporters prefer a candidate whose experience has been mostly outside of Washington, nearly seven in 10 have favorable views of Newt Gingrich, and they give him especially high marks on many candidate qualities. Romney, on the other hand, receives net unfavorable ratings among this group and falls short on many key attributes. Views of the Candidates (Among Republican Caucus-Goers who support the Tea Party) Favorable Not favorable Undecided/dont know 68% 14 17 44% 29 28 43% 35 22 39% 44 17

Gingrich Perry Paul Romney

On electability, Gingrich (45%) beats Romney (19%) handily among Tea Partiers. 56% of this group says Gingrich is best prepared for the job of president, and 54% trust him most to handle a crisis far outdistancing any other candidate. Candidate Qualities: Which Candidate is? (Among Republican Caucus-Goers who support the Tea Party) Most Prepared Best Handle Best Chance to to be President Intl crisis Beat Obama 56% 54% 45% 11 8 19 11 10 6 9 7 7

Gingrich Romney Paul Perry

Tea Party supporters also see Gingrich as the candidate best able to handle the issue of illegal immigration. However, like caucus-goers overall, Tea Partiers are less likely to say Gingrich shares their values. Bachmann, Paul, and Santorum all do better than Gingrich on this question. Which Candidate Best Represents Your Values? (Among Republican Caucus-Goers who support the Tea Party) Bachmann 24% Paul 16 Santorum 14 Gingrich 12 Perry 11 Romney 9 Looking ahead to the general election, 56% of Tea Party supporters would be enthusiastic about Gingrich as their candidate. 39% would be enthusiastic about Perry as the nominee; enthusiasm for Romney and Paul is lower, at 33%. Enthusiasm if He/She Became Nominee Next Year (Among Republican Caucus-Goers who support the Tea Party) Gingrich Paul Romney Would enthusiastically support 56% 33% 33% Would support with reservations 27 29 26 Would support only because nominee 10 24 26 Would not support 7 13 15

Perry 39% 31 21 8

Evangelicals White evangelicals choice for the nomination is Newt Gingrich: a third of white evangelicals choose him (34%), followed by Ron Paul (17%), Rick Perry (16%), Michele Bachmann (12%), and Mitt Romney (10%). Iowa Caucus-goers: White Evangelicals (Among Republican Caucus-Goers) All White Evangelicals Newt Gingrich 31% 34% Mitt Romney 17 10 Ron Paul 16 17 Rick Perry 11 16 Michele Bachmann 9 12 Rick Santorum 4 7 Jon Huntsman 1 *
(*) denotes less than 0.5%

Six in 10 white evangelicals have a favorable view of Gingrich. Paul and Perry receive net favorable evaluations from evangelicals. Views of the Candidates (Among White Evangelical Republican Caucus-Goers) Favorable Not favorable Undecided/dont know 60% 18 22 45% 28 27 41% 34 24 31% 43 26

Gingrich Perry Paul Romney

Like caucus-goers overall, white evangelicals view Gingrich as the most prepared candidate, best able to handle an international crisis and most qualified to be commander-in-chief. 37% say he has the best chance to beat Obama, compared to 24% who pick Romney. Candidate Qualities: Which Candidate is? (Among White Evangelical Republican Caucus-Goers) Most Prepared Best Handle Best Chance to to be President Intl crisis Beat Obama 48% 48% 37% 14 11 12 12 9 24 11 11 6

Gingrich Perry Romney Paul

As with Tea Party supporters, Romney does not perform very well on many key attributes among evangelicals. Just 6% think Romney understands their needs and problems, and only 12% think he is best prepared for the presidency. While Romney has been touting his business experience, only 11% think he is the candidate best able to handle the economy -- trailing Gingrich, Paul and Perry.

Candidate Qualities: Which Candidate is Best Able to Handle the Economy? (Among White Evangelical Republican Caucus-Goers) Gingrich 22% Perry 18 Paul 17 Romney 11 But neither Romney nor Gingrich are seen as the candidate who best shares their values; Bachmann does best on this characteristic. Which Candidate Best Represents Your Values? (Among White Evangelical Republican Caucus-Goers) Bachmann 27% Paul 16 Perry 16 Santorum 14 Gingrich 8 Romney 7 But traditional values may not be forefront on the minds of most white evangelicals who will attend the caucuses. 55% of white evangelicals say a candidates views on economic issues are more important than a candidates views on social issues. Which Candidate Views Will Matter More in Your Vote? (Among White Evangelical Republican Caucus-Goers) Economic issues 55% Social issues 25 Both equally (volunteered) 18 Looking ahead, 49% of white evangelicals would enthusiastically support Gingrich, and nearly as many would do so for Rick Perry (45%) or Michele Bachmann (44%). Only 27% would be enthusiastic about Mitt Romney as the Republican nominee. Party and Political Philosophy Three in 10 Republican caucus-goers describe themselves as moderates, and Mitt Romney is the top choice among this group (25%), with Newt Gingrich (20%) and Ron Paul (17%) following. But among the six in 10 Republican caucus-goers who describe themselves as conservative, Newt Gingrich (38%) is the overwhelming top choice. Three in 10 of those who say they will definitely or probably attend the Republican caucuses consider themselves political independents, and it is from this group that Ron Paul derives much of his support. While self-identified Republicans show a clear preference for Newt Gingrich (35%), independents are divided between Gingrich (22%) and Paul (20%).

Iowa Caucus-goers: Party Identification and Political Philosophy (Among Republican Caucus-Goers) All Conservatives Moderates Reps Newt Gingrich 31% 38% 20% 35% Mitt Romney 17 15 25 19 Ron Paul 16 14 17 14 Rick Perry 11 10 13 10 Michele Bachmann 9 9 8 8 Rick Santorum 4 5 2 4 Jon Huntsman 1 * 1 1
(*) denotes less than 0.5%

Inds 22% 15 20 12 10 3 1

Men and Women There are also some gender differences: while Gingrich leads among both, he does much better among men (35%) than women (26%). Romney is a strong second choice among women (21%), while men choose Ron Paul (19%) over Romney (14%). Iowa Caucus-goers: Choice for Nominee Among (Among Republican Caucus-Goers) All Men Women Newt Gingrich 31% 35% 26% Mitt Romney 17 14 21 Ron Paul 16 19 13 Rick Perry 11 11 10 Michele Bachmann 9 7 11 Rick Santorum 4 3 5 Jon Huntsman 1 1 *
(*) denotes less than 0.5%

Views on the Issues: The Economy is Most Important Among Republican caucus-goers, the economy and jobs looms as the most important issue (40%), followed by the budget deficit (23%).Few pick social issues (9%), health care (8%), taxes (6%), or illegal immigration (4%). Most Important Issue in Deciding Who to Support (Among Republican Caucus-Goers) Economy & jobs 40% Budget deficit 23 Social Issues 9 Health care 8 Taxes 6 Something else 6 Illegal Immigration 4 Seven in 10 say a candidates views on economic issues are more important than a candidates views on social issues. Majorities of both Tea Party supporters and white evangelicals agree.

Which Candidate Views Will Matter More in Your Vote? (Among Republican Caucus-Goers) All Tea Party White Evangelicals Economic issues 71% 65% 55% Social issues 14 18 25 Both equally (volunteered) 13 15 18 Views on Social Issues: Abortion and Same-Sex Marriage When it comes to social issues like abortion and same-sex marriage, Republican caucus-goers look like Republicans nationwide. 18% think abortion should be generally available to those who want it, while 43% think it should be available but with stricter limits, and 36% think it should not be permitted. 22% think same-sex couples should be allowed to legally marry, while 36% think they should be allowed to form civil unions instead, and 38% think they should have no legal recognition. White evangelicals want more restrictions on both abortion and same-sex couples than caucus-goers overall. Views on Social Issues (Among Republican Caucus-Goers) All White evangelicals Abortion Should be generally available Should be available with stricter limits Should not be permitted Same-sex couples Should be allowed to marry Should be allowed to form civil unions Should not have legal recognition Views on the Issues: Illegal Immigration Although six in 10 say illegal immigration is a very serious problem for the country right now, Republican caucus-goers in Iowa differ notably from Republicans nationwide in what they think should happen to immigrants who are working in the United States illegally. 37% of caucusgoers think illegal immigrants should be allowed to continue at their jobs and apply for citizenship, a position shared by front-runner Newt Gingrich, but only 24% of Republicans nationwide. 29% think they should keep their jobs as temporary or guest workers, while another 30% think they should leave the U.S. entirely. What Should Happen to Illegal Immigrants Working in the U.S.? Iowa Republican Republicans Caucus-goers Nationwide* Keep jobs, apply for citizenship 37% 24% Keep jobs only as guest workers 29 24 Leave jobs, leave U.S. entirely 30 49
*From September, 2011

18% 43 36

4% 37 58

22% 36 38

6% 37 55

But immigration may not be a large factor in the decision of Iowa Republican caucus-goers: just 4% of likely Republican caucus-goers say the issue of illegal immigration is the most important issue in their decision on who to support, and six in 10 are willing to vote for a candidate who

doesnt share their views on this issue. Gingrich is the first choice among caucus-goers regardless of their position on immigration. Views on the Issues: Health Care Although few see it as a priority in their vote, Iowa Republican caucus-goers like Republicans nationwide want the health care reform law repealed. Six in 10 want the law repealed in its entirety, while 21% want certain parts repealed; just 12% want Congress to let the law stand as is. Tea Party supporters are particularly opposed to the health care reform law. What Should Congress Do About Health Care Reform? (Among Republican Caucus-Goers) All Tea Party Repeal entire law 60% 79% Repeal certain parts 21 15 Let it stand 12 3 Gingrich does particularly well among likely Republican caucus-goers who want the entire law repealed, while those who would like either all or parts of the law to remain in place are more likely to support either Paul or Romney. Iowa Caucus-goers: Choice for Nominee Among All Repeal Let Parts Caucus-Goers Entire Law or All Stand 31% 40% 17% 17 12 27 16 14 19 11 12 9 9 10 8 4 4 3 1 * 2

Gingrich Romney Paul Perry Bachmann Santorum Huntsman

(*) denotes less than 0.5%

Views on the Issues: The War in Afghanistan Like Republicans across the country, Republican caucus-goers are more supportive of U.S. involvement in Afghanistan than Americans overall. U.S. Involvement in Afghanistan Iowa Republican Republicans Caucus-goers Nationwide* 48% 48% 43 43

Right thing Shouldnt be involved

*From November, 2011

All Americans* 36% 53

Ron Paul has a position at odds with the other candidates on this issue he opposes U.S. involvement in Afghanistan and this is reflected in the vote choice of those who are against U.S. involvement there. While caucus-goers who think the U.S. is doing the right thing in Afghanistan strongly support Gingrich, those who dont approve of U.S. involvement are divided between Gingrich and Paul.

Gingrich Romney Paul Perry Bachmann Santorum Huntsman

Iowa Caucus-goers: Choice for Nominee Among All U.S Involvement in Afghanistan is Caucus-goers Right thing Wrong thing 31% 34% 27% 17 17 16 16 10 24 11 15 6 9 7 11 4 5 3 1 1 1

Views of the Government and the Republican Party Republican caucus-goers in Iowa have similarly negative feelings as Republicans nationwide when it comes to the president, the government, and the future of the country. 82% disapprove of the job President Obama is doing, and nine in 10 are either dissatisfied (50%) or angry (39%) when describing their feelings about the way the federal government is working. But when it comes to the Republican Party, Iowa caucus-goers like Republicans nationwide are more positive. Six in 10 think the Republican Party is headed in the right direction; just 22% think it is headed in the wrong direction. Direction of the Republican Party (Among Republican Caucus-Goers) Right direction 63% Wrong direction 22 Just 20% are worried about the Tea Party having too much influence; most 53% - think the Tea Party has the right amount of influence, while 20% think it has too little. Those who describe themselves as very conservative are more likely to think the Tea Party has too little influence. Influence of the Tea Party on the Republican Party (Among Republican Caucus-Goers) Too much 20% Too little 20 Right amount 53 The Future Just 17% think the future of the next generation of Americans will be better than life today, while 21% think it will be about the same. Most 56% - think it will be worse. Will Life for the Next Generation of Americans Be? (Among Republican Caucus-Goers) Better 17% About the same 21 Worse 56

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------CBS News and The New York Times conducted telephone interviews November 30 -December 5, 2011 with 1,869 Republican and independent registered voters in Iowa, including 642 registered voters who said they would definitely or probably attend the Republican caucus in Iowa. The error due to sampling could be plus or minus four points for caucus-goers. The sample was drawn from two sources: the state of Iowas registered voter list, and an RDD sample of cell phone interviews. The full sample was weighted by probabilities of selection and by demographic characteristics to reflect the eligible caucus-goers on the Iowa voter list.

CBS News/New York Times Iowa Poll The Iowa Caucuses: Key Voter Groups and Issues November 29 December 4, 2011 q1 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? ****** IOWA REPUBLICAN CAUCUS-GOERS ****** Total % 14 82 4

Approve Disapprove DK/NA

q2 Do you think the future of the next generation of Americans will be better, worse, or about the same as life today? Will be better Will be worse About the same as life today Don't know/No answer 17 56 21 6

q3 Which best describes your feelings about the way the federal government is working: enthusiastic, or satisfied but not enthusiastic, or dissatisfied but not angry, or angry? Enthusiastic Satisfied not enthusiastic Dissatisfied not angry Angry DK/NA Q4-q11 SEPARATE RELEASE q12 If the Iowa Republican Presidential caucuses were held today and THESE were the candidates - Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum - which candidate would you support? Total % 31 17 16 11 9 4 1 1 6 2 2 Tea Party % 41 10 14 12 11 5 0 0 4 1 2 White Evangelicals % 34 10 17 16 12 7 0 0 4 0 0 0 10 50 39 1

Gingrich Romney Paul Perry Bachmann Santorum Huntsman Someone else (vol.) Undecided (Vol.) No/No one DK/NA

q13 Is your opinion of Michele Bachmann favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Michele Bachmann yet to have an opinion? Favorable Not favorable Undecided Haven't heard enough 42 30 18 10 62 19 15 4 59 23 16 3

10

q14 Is your opinion of Herman Cain favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Herman Cain yet to have an opinion? ****** IOWA REPUBLICAN CAUCUS-GOERS ****** Total Tea Party White Evangelicals % % % 35 47 46 38 33 34 21 16 17 6 2 1 0 2 2

Favorable Not favorable Undecided Haven't heard enough Refused

q15 How about Newt Gingrich? (IF NECESSARY: Is your opinion of Newt Gingrich favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Newt Gingrich yet to have an opinion?) Favorable Not favorable Undecided Haven't heard enough Refused 55 16 17 11 1 68 14 14 3 1 60 18 20 2 0

q16 How about Jon Huntsman? (IF NECESSARY: Is your opinion of Jon Huntsman favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Jon Huntsman yet to have an opinion?) Favorable Not favorable Undecided Haven't heard enough Refused 11 22 13 54 0 13 29 14 43 1 9 22 12 56 1

q17 How about Ron Paul? (IF NECESSARY: Is your opinion of Ron Paul favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Ron Paul yet to have an opinion?) Favorable Not favorable Undecided Haven't heard enough Refused 39 28 21 12 0 43 35 16 6 0 41 34 14 10 1

q18 How about Rick Perry? (IF NECESSARY: Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Rick Perry yet to have an opinion?) Favorable Not favorable Undecided Haven't heard enough 35 33 22 10 44 29 22 6 45 28 21 6

11

q19 How about Mitt Romney? (IF NECESSARY: Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Mitt Romney yet to have an opinion?) ****** IOWA REPUBLICAN CAUCUS-GOERS ****** Total Tea Party White Evangelicals % % % 43 39 31 33 44 43 18 16 23 6 1 3

Favorable Not favorable Undecided Haven't heard enough

q20 How about Rick Santorum? (IF NECESSARY: Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Rick Santorum yet to have an opinion?) Favorable Not favorable Undecided Haven't heard enough Refused 31 13 16 41 0 47 13 11 30 0 42 9 12 37 0

q21 Which one of the following issues will be most important in deciding who you will support in the Iowa Republican Presidential Caucuses? 1. The Budget Deficit, or 2. The Economy and Jobs, or 3. Health care, or 4. Illegal Immigration, or 5. Taxes, or 6. Social Issues, like Abortion or Same-Sex Marriage, or 7. Something else? Economy & Jobs Budget Deficit Social Issues Health care Taxes Illegal Immigration Something else DK/NA 40 23 9 8 6 4 6 4 36 27 11 10 5 2 6 3 33 24 18 7 7 1 6 4

q22 Do you think the Republican Party is headed in the right direction or the wrong direction? Right Wrong Don't know/No answer 63 22 15 64 20 16 51 24 25

q23 Do you think the Tea Party movement has too much influence, too little influence, or the right amount of influence in the Republican Party? Too much Too little Right amount Don't know/No answer q24-q25 SEPARATE RELEASE 20 20 53 7 5 27 62 6 17 19 44 20

12

q26 Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you think most understands the needs and problems of people like you -- Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum? ****** IOWA REPUBLICAN CAUCUS-GOERS ****** Total Tea Party White Evangelicals % % % 24 28 20 16 15 16 13 8 6 11 15 14 10 8 12 10 11 16 5 8 8 1 0 0 1 2 0 3 3 2 6 2 6

Gingrich Paul Romney Bachmann Cain Perry Santorum Huntsman All of them (vol.) None of them (vol.) DK/NA

q27 Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you think has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama in the general election in November -- Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum? Gingrich Romney Perry Paul Cain Bachmann Huntsman Santorum All of them (vol.) None of them (vol.) DK/NA 31 29 9 6 5 3 1 1 5 2 8 45 19 7 6 4 2 1 1 7 1 7 37 24 12 6 3 1 0 1 5 2 9

q28 Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you think is best prepared for the job of President of the United States - - Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum? Gingrich Romney Paul Perry Cain Bachmann Santorum Huntsman All of them (vol.) None of them (vol.) DK/NA 43 20 11 8 3 2 2 1 1 3 6 56 11 11 9 3 1 2 1 2 1 3 48 12 11 14 3 0 2 0 1 2 7

13

q29 Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you think most represents the values you try to live by -- Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum? ****** IOWA REPUBLICAN CAUCUS-GOERS ****** Total Tea Party White Evangelicals % % % 19 24 27 18 16 16 16 9 7 11 12 8 10 11 16 10 14 14 6 7 5 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 6 3 3

Bachmann Paul Romney Gingrich Perry Santorum Cain Huntsman All of them (vol.) None of them (vol.) DK/NA

q30 Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you think will do the most to promote conservative principles -- Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum? Bachmann Paul Gingrich Perry Romney Santorum Cain Huntsman All of them (vol.) None of them (vol.) DK/NA 21 20 18 10 10 7 4 0 1 0 9 25 16 21 12 5 11 5 0 0 1 5 22 22 12 16 3 9 6 0 1 1 8

q31 Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you trust most to handle an international crisis -- Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum? Gingrich Romney Paul Perry Bachmann Cain Santorum Huntsman All of them (vol.) None of them (vol.) DK/NA 44 16 10 7 3 3 3 2 1 3 8 54 8 10 7 3 3 6 2 1 1 5 48 9 11 11 3 4 5 0 1 1 7

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q34 If Michele Bachmann became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you enthusiastically support her, support her but with reservations, support her only because she is the Republican Party nominee, or not support her? ****** IOWA REPUBLICAN CAUCUS-GOERS ****** Total Tea Party White Evangelicals % % % 34 49 44 25 27 34 22 18 12 18 5 5 1 1 5

Enthusiastically support Support with reservations Support only because nominee Not support Don't know/No answer

q35 If Herman Cain became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you enthusiastically support him, support him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him? Enthusiastically support Support with reservations Support only because nominee Not support Don't know/No answer 26 32 17 23 2 36 29 18 16 1 33 38 14 12 4

q36 If Newt Gingrich became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you enthusiastically support him, support him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him? Enthusiastically support Support with reservations Support only because nominee Not support Don't know/No answer 43 29 13 12 3 56 27 10 7 0 49 31 10 7 3

q37 If Jon Huntsman became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you enthusiastically support him, support him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him? Enthusiastically support Support with reservations Support only because nominee Not support Don't know/No answer 10 23 36 18 13 12 20 42 17 9 11 19 40 13 17

q38 If Ron Paul became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you enthusiastically support him, support him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him? Enthusiastically support Support with reservations Support only because nominee Not support Don't know/No answer 31 31 21 15 2 33 29 24 13 1 35 31 18 15 1

15

q39 If Rick Perry became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you enthusiastically support him, support him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him? ****** IOWA REPUBLICAN CAUCUS-GOERS ****** Total Tea Party White Evangelicals % % % 30 39 45 31 31 27 20 21 20 16 8 6 3 1 2

Enthusiastically support Support with reservations Support only because nominee Not support Don't know/No answer

q40 If Mitt Romney became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you enthusiastically support him, support him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him? Enthusiastically support Support with reservations Support only because nominee Not support Don't know/No answer 34 29 23 13 1 33 26 26 15 0 27 26 30 14 3

q41 If Rick Santorum became the Republican nominee for President next year, would you enthusiastically support him, support him but with reservations, support him only because he is the Republican Party nominee, or not support him?

Enthusiastically support Support with reservations Support only because nominee Not support Don't know/No answer

28 23 27 15 7

42 21 26 8 3

39 20 28 5 8

q42 Do you think the candidates for the Republican nomination for President should be judged on both their political record and their personal life, or should they be judged only on their political record? Both Only political record DK/NA 69 29 2 72 26 2 78 21 1

q43 Which of the following matters more to you in deciding which Republican presidential candidate to support - the candidate's views on economic issues or the candidate's views on social issues? Economic Social Both equally (Vol.) Neither (Vol.) DK/NA q44-q46 SEPARATE RELEASE 71 14 13 0 2 65 18 15 1 1 55 25 18 1 1

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q47 Would you be willing or not willing to vote for a candidate for the Republican nomination who does not share your views on immigration? ****** IOWA REPUBLICAN CAUCUS-GOERS ****** Total Tea Party White Evangelicals % % % 62 62 64 33 32 33 5 6 4

Willing Not willing Don't know/No answer q48-q54 SEPARATE RELEASE

q55 Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you think is most qualified to be Commander-in-Chief -- Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum? Gingrich Romney Paul Perry Cain Santorum Bachmann Huntsman All of them (vol.) None of them (vol.) DK/NA 40 19 11 8 4 3 2 2 1 2 8 52 10 11 9 4 4 2 1 1 1 5 45 10 12 15 2 5 1 1 0 1 8

q56 Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you trust most to reform the federal tax system -- Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum? Paul Gingrich Cain Romney Perry Bachmann Huntsman Santorum All of them (vol.) None of them (vol.) DK/NA 21 17 14 12 11 7 2 2 1 6 7 21 20 14 7 14 9 1 3 1 4 6 24 19 12 8 16 6 0 3 0 4 8

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q57 Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2012, which candidate do you trust most to deal with the economy and unemployment -- Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum? ****** IOWA REPUBLICAN CAUCUS-GOERS ****** Total Tea Party White Evangelicals % % % 22 14 11 21 28 22 15 14 17 13 16 18 10 12 12 4 6 6 3 4 5 1 0 0 1 1 0 2 1 1 8 4 8

Romney Gingrich Paul Perry Cain Bachmann Santorum Huntsman All of them (vol.) None of them (vol.) DK/NA q58-q72 SEPARATE RELEASE

q73 Which of these comes closest to your view? Abortion should be generally available to those who want it, abortion should be available but under stricter limits than it is now, abortion should not be permitted? Generally available Available but limits Should not be permitted Don't know/No answer 18 43 36 3 9 41 47 3 4 37 58 1

q74 Which comes closest to your view? Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry. Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry. There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship. Allowed to legally marry Civil unions No legal recognition Don't know/No answer 22 36 38 4 8 43 46 3 6 37 55 2

q51 How serious a problem do you think the issue of illegal immigration is for the country right now - very serious, somewhat serious, not too serious, or not at all serious?

Very serious Somewhat serious Not very serious Not at all serious DK/NA

61 32 5 2 0

69 26 4 1 0

63 34 3 0 0

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q75 Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are currently working in the U.S.: 1. They should be allowed to stay in their jobs, and to eventually apply for U.S. citizenship; OR 2. They should be allowed to stay in their jobs only as temporary guest workers, but NOT to apply for U.S. citizenship; OR 3. They should be required to leave their jobs and leave the U.S. ****** IOWA REPUBLICAN CAUCUS-GOERS ****** Total Tea Party White Evangelicals % % % Stay and apply 37 30 37 Stay as guest worker 29 32 24 Required to leave jobs & U.S. 30 32 35 Don't know/No answer 4 6 4 q76 Do you think Congress should try to repeal the health care law that was passed last year, or should they let it stand? IF REPEAL, ASK: Should they repeal the entire law or only certain parts? Repeal entire law Repeal certain parts Let stand DK/NA 60 21 12 7 79 15 3 3 75 14 4 7

q77 Do you feel that the distribution of money and wealth in this country is fair, or do you feel that the money and wealth in this country should be more evenly distributed among more people? Fair Should be more even DK/NA 62 31 7 74 17 9 65 24 11

q78 In order to lower the nation's budget deficit, do you think taxes should be increased on households earning one million dollars a year or more, or should the government address the budget deficit without increasing taxes on those households? Should be increased Should not be increased Don't know/No answer 37 59 4 23 73 4 29 66 5

q79 Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now? Right thing Not involved Don't know/No answer 48 43 9 53 40 7 51 39 10

Unweighted Republican Caucus-Goers Total: Tea Party Supporters: White evangelicals: 642 360 217

Weighted 583 292 175

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