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Heavy Lifting
Manitowac (MTW,$MTW) 28% Gainer for ValuEngine Forecast Model
Manitowoc Company, Inc. is a diversified, capital goods manufacturer. They are principally engaged in: a) the design and manufacture of commercial ice machines, ice/beverage dispensers and refrigeration products for the food service, lodging, convenience store, healthcare and the soft-drink bottling and dispensing industries; (b) the design and manufacture of cranes and related products which are used by the energy, construction, mining and other industries; and (c) ship-repair, conversion, and new construction services for the maritime industry. Manitowac is bolstering the long side of our VE Forecast 16 Market Neutral Strategy Newsletter with a return of more than 28%. When chosen for our newsletter portfolio, the stock was trading around $8.50/share and has appreciated sharply since then. We now have 10 out of 16 stocks posting double digit returns in this portfolio's long side. Good news for Manitowac may indicate good news for the economy in general as the company manufactures heavy construction equipment --such as cranes--which are needed to support construction across the globe. However, as we saw yesterday with Owens Corning, the model is bullish for the shortterm while the 1-year price target is lower than needed to make it a "Buy" for the long term. ValuEngine has issued a HOLD recommendation for MANITOWOC INC on Jan. 12, 2012. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that MANITOWOC INC has the probability to ROUGHLY MATCH average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE expected EPS growth and market valuation, but UNATTRACTIVE volatility and market/book ratio.
Based on available data as of Jan. 12, 2012, we believe that MTW should be trading at $20.24. This makes MTW 46.83% undervalued. Fair Value indicates what we believe the stock should be trading at today if the stock market were perfectly efficient and everything traded at its true worth. For MTW, we base this on actual earnings per share (EPS) for the previous four quarters of $0.38, forecasted EPS for the next four quarters of $0.97, and correlations to the 30- year Treasury bond yield of 3.03%.
Expected Return
7.20% 5.00% 3.83% 1.86% 0.89% 0.20%
MARKET OVERVIEW
Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued Stocks Overvalued Stocks Undervalued by 20% Stocks Overvalued by 20% 73.29% 26.71% 35.63% 7.10%
SECTOR OVERVIEW
Sector
Aerospace Auto-Tires-Trucks Basic Materials Business Services Computer and Technology Construction Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Finance Industrial Products Medical Multi-Sector Conglomerates Oils-Energy Retail-Wholesale Transportation Utilities
Change
-0.23% -0.50% 0.21% 0.65% 0.97% 1.58% 0.30% 0.43% 0.32% 0.23% 0.46% 0.81% 0.33% -0.17% 0.78% -0.47%
MTD
1.16% 5.56% 2.39% 1.46% 2.80% 4.78% 2.24% 1.72% 1.42% 3.51% 2.01% 2.47% 2.00% 0.20% 3.10% -1.19%
YTD
1.16% 5.56% 2.39% 1.46% 2.80% 4.78% 2.24% 1.72% 1.42% 3.51% 2.01% 2.47% 2.00% 0.20% 3.10% -1.19%
Valuation
11.67% undervalued 15.87% undervalued 14.09% undervalued 12.77% undervalued 14.07% undervalued 14.18% undervalued 14.15% undervalued 10.80% undervalued 11.77% undervalued 11.35% undervalued 17.43% undervalued 10.37% undervalued 12.56% undervalued 5.27% undervalued 10.01% undervalued 5.50% undervalued
Last 12MReturn
-13.53% -9.04% -23.64% 3.54% -8.68% -18.17% -4.50% -2.58% -6.46% -8.08% -3.69% -8.65% -14.99% 3.02% -17.91% 0.45%
P/E Ratio
16.25 14.55 22.76 29.53 43.51 39.33 27.51 17.95 20.27 23.92 34.66 14.53 38.31 22.97 20.29 28.51