Toronto Issues Poll (Forum Research) (20120213)

MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Lorne Bozinoff, President lbozinoff@forumresearch.com 416.960.9603
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Torontonians prefer subways to LRT

Public opts both for subways overall and for detailed subway plan
Toronto, February 13th, 2012 In a recent survey conducted by Forum Research among Toronto residents aged 18 years or older, it was found that the majority of residents prefer a subway-based transit plan over an aboveground LRT-based transit plan (57%, compared to 38%. 5% of those polled approve of neither). Not surprisingly, the significant majority of those who approve of the job Rob Ford is doing as mayor preferred a subway-based transit plan (80%; compared to 39% that disapprove). Toronto residents who usually drive to get to work or school, as opposed to those who take the TTC, were also significantly more likely to back a subway-based plan (65% compared to 53% who rely on public transit). Residents of Toronto / East York were significantly more likely to prefer an LRTbased plan when compared to residents living in all other areas of Toronto (50%; compared to 37% North York, 31% Scarborough, 28% Etobicoke / York). Of the two transit plans proposed for Toronto, residents prefer the plan where two subways would be built, one along Eglinton Avenue and one along Sheppard Avenue East to Scarborough Town Centre with an Express Busway operating along Finch Avenue West (48%), with another four of 10 residents backing the plan that would have four above-ground Light Rail Transit lines built along Eglinton Avenue, Sheppard Avenue, Finch Avenue and one to replace the Scarborough Rapid Transit line (41%). One in 10 residents polled did not have an opinion on the matter (10%). Residents of Toronto / East York were significantly more likely to back the LRT plan when compared to residents living in all other areas of Toronto (55%; compared to 40% Scarborough, 34% North York, and 33% Etobicoke / York) Again, to little surprise, those who approve of the job Rob Ford is doing as Mayor of Toronto were significantly more likely to back the subway based transit plan (75%; compared to 28% that disapprove), as were Toronto residents who usually drive to get to work or school as opposed to those who take the TTC (58% compared to 41% who rely on public transit).
TORONTO February 13th, 2012 HIGHLIGHTS:

It was found that the majority of residents prefer a subway-based transit plan over an aboveground LRT-based transit plan (57%, compared to 38%. 5% of those polled approve of neither). Of the two transit plans proposed for Toronto resident prefer the plan where two subways would be built, one along Eglinton Avenue and one along Sheppard Avenue East to Scarborough Town Centre with an Express Busway operating along Finch Avenue West (48%), with another four of 10 residents backing the plan that would have four above-ground Light Rail Transit lines would be built along Eglinton Avenue, Sheppard Avenue, Finch Avenue and one to replace the Scarborough Rapid Transit line (41%).
Most want Eglinton LRT in Scarborough underground

The recent poll also asked Toronto residents if they think the Scarborough portion of the Eglinton LRT should be built above ground on a dedicated right of way in the middle of Eglinton Avenue, or below ground like a subway. It was found that most residents polled think the Eglinton LRT in Scarborough should be
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built below ground like a subway (52%; compared to 40% who think it should be built above ground on a dedicated right of way. 8% did not have an opinion on the matter).Those who approve of the job Ford is doing as Mayor were significantly more likely to back it being built below ground like a subway (75%; compared to 34% that disapprove), as were residents who typically drive to get to work or school as opposed to taking public transit (63%; compared to 45%). Support for an above-ground solution was strongest among residents of the former Toronto / East York when compared to those residing in all other regions of Toronto (53%; compared to 38% North York, 33% Scarborough, and 32% Etobicoke / York).

It was found that most residents polled think the Eglinton LRT in Scarborough should be built below like a subway (52%) When it comes to the current transit debate in Toronto it was found that just fewer than two of three residents think there should be a public referendum on the issue to determine which plan the city should go forward with (63%; compared to 37% that do not think a referendum is necessary). Overall, just over four of 10 residents approve of the job Rob Ford is doing as Mayor of Toronto (43%). The recent poll also asked Toronto residents if they approve of the job Karen Stintz is doing as TTC Chair and it was found that she is faring better than Mayor Ford with an approval rating of 53%, half of those polled.
Two thirds want referendum on transit

When it comes to the current transit debate in Toronto it was found that just fewer than two of three residents think there should be a public referendum on the issue to determine which plan the city should go forward with (63%; compared to 37% that do not think a referendum is necessary). Those that approve of the job Ford is doing as Mayor were significantly more likely to think a referendum is necessary when compared to those who do not approve (69%; compared to 58%), along with residents under the age of 34 (70% 18-34, 61% 4544, 61% 45-54, 54% 55-64, 60% 65+), female residents (67%; compared to 58% of males), and those wither a lower household income (78% <$20K, 75% $20K$40K, 68% $40K-$60K, 59% $60K-$80K, 50% $80K-$100K, and 49% $100K+). Toronto residents that live in Toronto / East York were significantly more likely to think a referendum isnt necessary when compared to those living in other areas in Toronto (52%; compared to 32% North York, 31% Etobicoke / York, and 29% Scarborough).
Mayor Ford's approval on the rise

Overall, just over four of 10 residents approve of the job Rob Ford is doing as Mayor of Toronto (43%). Approval was significantly higher among older residents (33% 18-34, 42% 45-44, 45% 45-54, 51% 55-64, 57% 65+), among those who primarily drive to get to work or school opposed to taking public transit (50%, compared to 36%). Not surprisingly, residents of Toronto / East York were significantly more likely to disapprove of the job Ford is doing when compared to those living in other regions in Toronto (67%; compared to 54% Scarborough, 53% North York, 50% Etobicoke / York).
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
One half approve of Karen Stintz as TTC Chair

The recent poll also asked Toronto residents if they approve of the job Karen Stintz is doing as TTC Chair and it was found that she is faring better than Mayor Ford with an approval rating of 53%. Not surprisingly, those that approve of the job Rob Ford is doing as Mayor were significantly more likely to give Karen Stintz a higher disapproval rating when compared to those that disapprove of the job Ford is doing (67%; compared to 32%). Approval for Stintz was also significantly higher among residents of Toronto / East York (64%; compared to 51% North York, 48% Etobicoke / York, 44% Scarborough).

If a municipal election were held today with Mayor Rob Ford and Karen Stintz as the only candidates and it was found that Stintz would narrowly edge out Ford (44%; compared to 40% for Ford). With the ongoing debate about transit in the city of Toronto, we thought it important to take the pulse of Toronto residents on the issue. said Forum Research president Dr. Lorne Bozinoff. Based on this data, the people of Toronto would opt for a subway-based plan if they were given the option and two of three residents think the issue should be put up to a referendum. It looks like city council is facing an uphill battle with the public on this issue and it will be interesting to see how the issue unfolds in the weeks and months to come.
Mayor Ford would lose to Karen Stintz in election; would win 3-way race
The recent poll also asked Toronto residents who they would vote for if a municipal election were held today with Mayor Rob Ford and Karen Stintz as the only candidates and it was found that Stintz would narrowly edge out Ford (44%; compared to 40% for Ford, with 17% undecided). It was also found that if Adam Vaughan was thrown into the mix Rob Ford would come out on top (37%, compared to 30% for Adam Vaughan, and 18% for Karen Stintz, with 16% undecided). With the ongoing debate about transit in the city of Toronto, we thought it important to take the pulse of Toronto residents on the issue. said Forum Research president Dr. Lorne Bozinoff. Based on this data, the people of Toronto would opt for a subway-based plan if they were given the option and two of three residents think the issue should be put up to a referendum. It looks like city council is facing an uphill battle with the public on this issue and it will be interesting to see how the issue unfolds in the weeks and months to come.
Mayor Rob Ford Approval Rating Trending
%
Feb 13th, 2012 Jan 31st, 2012 Oct 24th, 2011 Sep 13th, 2011 Jun 1st, 2011 Feb 25th-26th, 2011 Sample 1547 1560 1004 1046 1050 1012
Approve 43 39 37 42 57 60
Disapprove 57 61 63 58 43 40
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Methodology
The poll was conducted by Forum Research with the results based on an interactive voice response telephone survey of 1,547 randomly selected Toronto residents aged 18 or older. The poll was conducted on February 12th, 2012. Results based on the total sample are considered accurate +/- 2.5%, 19 times out of 20. Subsample results will be less accurate. Margins of error for subsample (such as age, gender) results are available at www.forumresearch.com/samplestim.asp. Where appropriate, the data has been statistically weighted to ensure that the sample reflects the actual population according to the latest Census data. This research is not necessarily predictive of future outcomes, but rather, captures opinion at one point in time. Forum Research conducted this poll as a public service and to demonstrate our survey research capabilities. With offices across Canada and around the world, 100% Canadian-owned Forum Research is one of the countrys leading survey research firms.
TORONTO February 13th, 2012
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Rob Ford Approval as Mayor of Toronto First of all, overall do you approve or disapprove of the job Rob Ford is doing as Mayor of Toronto [All Residents] Age / Gender
%
sample Approve Disapprove
Total 1547 43 57
18-34 156 33 67
35-44 192 42 58
45-54 386 45 55
55-64 411 51 49
65+ 402 57 43
Male 723 46 54
Female 824 41 59
Region
%
Total 1547 43 57
Former City of Toronto / East York 505 33 67
North York 324 47 53
Etobicoke or York 328 50 50
Scarborough 390 46 54
Household Income
%
Total 1547 43 57
<$20K 159 42 58
$20K$40K 262 42 58
$40K$60K 247 46 54
$60K$80K 195 52 48
$80K$100K 139 41 59
$100K+ 282 40 60
Typical Transit Mode (Work/School)
%
Total 1547 43 57
Drive 587 50 50
Public Transit 580 36 64
Other 128 38 62
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Karen Stintz Approval as TTC Chair Overall do you approve or disapprove of the job Karen Stintz is doing as TTC Chair? [All Residents] Age / Gender
%
Total 1547 53 47
18-34 156 49 51
35-44 192 54 46
45-54 386 54 46
55-64 411 54 46
65+ 402 55 45
Male 723 56 44
Female 824 50 50
Region
%
Total 1547 53 47
Household Income
%
Total 1547 53 47
<$20K 159 48 52
$20K$40K 262 45 55
$40K$60K 247 58 42
$60K$80K 195 50 50
$80K$100K 139 58 42
$100K+ 282 61 39
Typical Transit Mode (Work/School) / Rob Ford Approval as Mayor
%
Total 1547 53 47
Drive 587 49 51
Other 128 65 35
Approve of Rob Ford 733 33 67
Disapprove of Rob Ford 814 68 32
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Municipal Candidate Preference if Election Held Today (3-way) If the mayoral election were being held tomorrow, who would you vote for if the candidates were Mayor Rob Ford, Councilor Adam Vaughan and TTC Chair Karen Stintz? [All Residents; Response options rotated] Age / Gender
%
sample Mayor Ford Councilor Adam Vaughan TTC Chair Karen Stintz Dont know
Total 1547 37 30 18 16
18-34 156 29 32 15 24
35-44 192 34 34 17 15
45-54 386 38 26 23 13
55-64 411 44 27 19 10
65+ 402 48 25 18 9
Male 723 40 28 20 12
Female 824 34 31 16 19
Region
%
Total 1547 37 30 18 16
Former City of Toronto / East York 505 28 36 18 18
North York 324 42 23 18 16
Etobicoke or York 328 42 32 14 12
Scarborough 390 37 26 21 17
Household Income
%
Total 1547 37 30 18 16
<$20K 159 40 23 11 27
$20K$40K 262 33 28 23 16
$40K$60K 247 39 33 19 10
$60K$80K 195 42 26 18 14
$80K$100K 139 35 43 15 8
$100K+ 282 34 31 24 11
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
%
Total 1547 37 30 18 16
Drive 587 42 27 19 11
Public Transit 580 31 32 18 19
Other 128 35 35 11 19
Approve of Rob Ford 733 79 7 8 6
Disapprove of Rob Ford 814 4 47 25 23
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Municipal Candidate Preference if Election Held Today (2-way) If the mayoral election were being held tomorrow, who would you vote for if the candidates were Mayor Rob Ford, Councilor Adam Vaughan and TTC Chair Karen Stintz? [All Residents; Response options rotated] Age / Gender
%
sample Mayor Ford TTC Chair Karen Stintz Dont know
Total 1547 40 44 17
18-34 156 32 46 22
35-44 192 37 45 18
45-54 386 40 45 15
55-64 411 46 40 14
65+ 402 52 39 9
Male 723 43 44 13
Female 824 37 43 20
Region
%
Total 1547 40 44 17
Former City of Toronto / East York 505 28 54 18
North York 324 45 39 16
Etobicoke or York 328 45 39 16
Scarborough 390 44 39 17
Household Income
%
Total 1547 40 44 17
<$20K 159 35 40 25
$20K$40K 262 41 43 17
$40K$60K 247 42 45 13
$60K$80K 195 45 41 14
$80K$100K 139 44 50 6
$100K+ 282 38 52 11
10
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
%
Total 1547 40 44 17
Drive 587 46 41 13
Public Transit 580 36 43 21
Other 128 28 58 13
Approve of Rob Ford 733 82 12 6
Disapprove of Rob Ford 814 8 67 25
11
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Proposed Transit Plan Preference Two transit plans have been proposed for Toronto. In one plan, two subways would be built, one along Eglinton Avenue and one along Sheppard Avenue East to Scarborough Town Centre. In addition, an Express Busway would operate along Finch Avenue West. In the other plan, four above-ground Light Rail Transit lines would be built along Eglinton Avenue, Sheppard Avenue, Finch Avenue and one to replace the Scarborough Rapid Transit line. Which of these two plans do you prefer?*/** [All Residents; *Plan option sequence rotated randomly; Response options rotated **Response options rotated] Age / Gender
%
sample The plan with two subways and an express busway The plan with four Light Rail Transit lines Dont know
Total 1547 48
18-34 156 45
35-44 192 44
45-54 386 53
55-64 411 54
65+ 402 52
Male 723 49
Female 824 48
41 10
47 9
42 13
39 8
38 9
35 14
44 7
39 13
Region
%
Total 1547 48
Former City of Toronto / East York 505 34
North York 324 57
Etobicoke or York 328 55
Scarborough 390 52
41 10
55 11
34 9
33 12
40 8
12
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Household Income
%
Total 1547 48
<$20K 159 46
$20K$40K 262 52
$40K$60K 247 51
$60K$80K 195 48
$80K$100K 139 39
$100K+ 282 43
41 10
35 20
36 12
41 8
45 8
54 6
51 6
%
Total 1547 48
Drive 587 58
Public Transit 580 41
Other 128 47
Approve of Rob Ford 733 75
Disapprove of Rob Ford 814 28
41 10
36 7
47 12
42 11
19 7
59 13
13
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Scarborough LRT above-ground vs. below ground preference Do you think the Scarborough portion of the Eglinton LRT should be built above ground on a dedicated right of way in the middle of Eglinton Avenue, or below ground like a subway? [All Residents] Age / Gender
%
sample Above ground on a dedicated right of way Below ground like a subway Dont know
Total 1547 40 52 8
18-34 156 44 46 10
35-44 192 45 47 8
45-54 386 34 59 8
55-64 411 38 57 5
65+ 402 36 55 10
Male 723 43 52 5
Female 824 38 51 11
Region
%
Total 1547 40 52 8
North York 324 38 55 6
14
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Household Income
%
Total 1547 40 52 8
<$20K 159 41 48 10
$20K$40K 262 33 56 11
$40K$60K 247 39 52 9
$60K$80K 195 40 55 5
$80K$100K 139 45 49 6
$100K+ 282 48 46 6
%
Total 1547 40 52 8
Drive 587 30 63 7
Other 128 54 35 11
15
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Subway-based of LRT-based Plan Preference Overall, do you prefer a subway-based transit plan or an aboveground LRT-based transit plan? [All Residents] Age / Gender
%
sample Prefer a subwaybased transit plan Prefer an aboveground LRT-based transit plan Approve of neither
Total 1547 57 38 5
18-34 156 51 42 7
35-44 192 55 40 5
45-54 386 61 34 5
55-64 411 60 37 3
65+ 402 61 31 7
Male 723 56 40 4
Female 824 58 36 7
Region
%
Total 1547 57 38 5
North York 324 57 37 6
16
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Household Income
%
Total 1547 57 38 5
<$20K 159 43 45 11
$20K$40K 262 60 33 7
$40K$60K 247 59 37 4
$60K$80K 195 61 36 3
$80K$100K 139 52 46 2
$100K+ 282 55 42 3
%
Total 1547 57 38 5
Drive 587 65 30 5
Other 128 38 56 6
17
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
Transit Referendum Overall, do you prefer a subway-based transit plan or an aboveground LRT-based transit plan?*/** [All Residents; *Preference sequence rotated randomly ** Response options rotated] Age / Gender
%
sample Yes No
Total 1547 63 37
18-34 156 70 30
35-44 192 61 39
45-54 386 61 39
55-64 411 54 46
65+ 402 60 40
Male 723 58 42
Female 824 67 33
Region
%
sample Yes No
Total 1547 63 37
Household Income
%
sample Yes No
Total 1547 63 37
<$20K 159 78 22
$20K$40K 262 75 25
$40K$60K 247 68 32
$60K$80K 195 59 41
$80K$100K 139 50 50
$100K+ 282 49 51
%
sample Yes No
Total 1547 63 37
Drive 587 66 34
Other 128 60 40
Approve of Rob Ford 733 69 31
Disapprove of Rob Ford 814 58 42
18
MEDIA INQUIRIES:
-30-
For more information: Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. President Forum Research Inc. Tel: (416) 960-9603 Fax: (416) 960-9602 E-mail: lbozinoff@forumresearch.com
19

Toronto Issues Poll (Forum Research) (20120213)

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Toronto Issues Poll (Forum Research) (20120213)

Transféré par

Droits d'auteur :

Formats disponibles

MEDIA INQUIRIES:

Lorne Bozinoff, President lbozinoff@forumresearch.com 416.960.9603

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Torontonians prefer subways to LRT

TORONTO February 13th, 2012 HIGHLIGHTS:

Most want Eglinton LRT in Scarborough underground

TORONTO February 13th, 2012 HIGHLIGHTS:

Two thirds want referendum on transit

Mayor Ford's approval on the rise

One half approve of Karen Stintz as TTC Chair

TORONTO February 13th, 2012 HIGHLIGHTS:

Mayor Rob Ford Approval Rating Trending

TORONTO February 13th, 2012

TORONTO February 13th, 2012

Former City of Toronto / East York 505 33 67

North York 324 47 53

Etobicoke or York 328 50 50

Typical Transit Mode (Work/School)

Public Transit 580 36 64

TORONTO February 13th, 2012

Former City of Toronto / East York 505 64 36

North York 324 51 49

Etobicoke or York 328 48 52

Typical Transit Mode (Work/School) / Rob Ford Approval as Mayor

Public Transit 580 52 48

Approve of Rob Ford 733 33 67

Disapprove of Rob Ford 814 68 32

TORONTO February 13th, 2012

Former City of Toronto / East York 505 28 36 18 18

North York 324 42 23 18 16

Etobicoke or York 328 42 32 14 12

Typical Transit Mode (Work/School) / Rob Ford Approval as Mayor

Public Transit 580 31 32 18 19

Approve of Rob Ford 733 79 7 8 6

Disapprove of Rob Ford 814 4 47 25 23

TORONTO February 13th, 2012

TORONTO February 13th, 2012

Former City of Toronto / East York 505 28 54 18

North York 324 45 39 16

Etobicoke or York 328 45 39 16

Typical Transit Mode (Work/School) / Rob Ford Approval as Mayor

Public Transit 580 36 43 21

Approve of Rob Ford 733 82 12 6

Disapprove of Rob Ford 814 8 67 25

TORONTO February 13th, 2012

TORONTO February 13th, 2012

Former City of Toronto / East York 505 34

North York 324 57

Etobicoke or York 328 55

TORONTO February 13th, 2012

Typical Transit Mode (Work/School) / Rob Ford Approval as Mayor

Public Transit 580 41

Approve of Rob Ford 733 75

Disapprove of Rob Ford 814 28

TORONTO February 13th, 2012

Former City of Toronto / East York 505 53 37 9

North York 324 38 55 6

Etobicoke or York 328 32 57 12

TORONTO February 13th, 2012

Typical Transit Mode (Work/School) / Rob Ford Approval as Mayor

Public Transit 580 47 45 9

Approve of Rob Ford 733 20 75 5

Disapprove of Rob Ford 814 55 34 11