Top State 1

FLORIDA IOWA SOUTH CAROLINA NEW HAMPSHIRE
All interviews conducted by telephone by ORC International on October 20-25, 2011.
BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 401 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
FLORIDA
1. If the Republican presidential primary were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, businessman Herman Cain, former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, Texas Governor Rick Perry, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, or former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum (RANDOM ORDER) Oct. 20-25 2011 Romney Cain Gingrich Perry Paul Bachmann Huntsman Santorum Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion 2. 30% 18% 9% 9% 6% 4% 1% 1% 1% 7% 14%
Would you say you will definitely support that candidate in 2012, or is it possible you would change your mind? Oct. 20-25 2011 Definitely support Might change mind Other (vol.) No opinion 28% 50% * 22%
No opinion includes respondents with no first choice in Q.1.
CNN|TIME|ORC POLL
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October 20-25, 2011
BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 405 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
IOWA
1. If the Republican presidential caucus in your community were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, businessman Herman Cain, former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, Texas Governor Rick Perry, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, or former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum (RANDOM ORDER) Oct. 20-25 2011 Romney Cain Paul Gingrich Perry Bachmann Santorum Huntsman Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion 2. 24% 21% 12% 10% 10% 6% 2% 1% * 3% 11%
CNN|TIME|ORC POLL
-3-
October 20-25, 2011
BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 211 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS AND 189 REGISTERED INDEPENDENTS WHO VOTED IN THE 2008 REPUBLICAN PRIMARY, FOR A TOTAL OF 400 INTERVIEWS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
NEW HAMPSHIRE
1. If the Republican presidential primary were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, businessman Herman Cain, former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, Texas Governor Rick Perry, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, or former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum (RANDOM ORDER) Oct. 20-25 2011 Romney Cain Paul Huntsman Gingrich Perry Bachmann Santorum Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion 2. 40% 13% 12% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% * 5% 14%
CNN|TIME|ORC POLL
-4-
October 20-25, 2011
BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 400 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
SOUTH CAROLINA
1. If the Republican presidential primary were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, businessman Herman Cain, former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, Texas Governor Rick Perry, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, or former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum (RANDOM ORDER) Oct. 20-25 2011 Romney Cain Paul Perry Gingrich Bachmann Huntsman Santorum Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion 2. 25% 23% 12% 11% 8% 4% 1% 1% * 5% 10%
CNN|TIME|ORC POLL
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October 20-25, 2011
METHODOLOGY In Florida, a total of 1,184 adults were interviewed by telephone. All respondents were asked questions concerning their registration status and basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect statewide Census figures for gender, race, age, education and region of the state. 401 respondents reported that they were registered voters who were registered with the Republican party; results for Questions 1 and 2 were based on answers provided by those 401 Republican voters. Only registered Republicans can participate in the Florida presidential primary. In Iowa, a total of 1,294 adults were interviewed by telephone. All respondents were asked questions concerning their registration status and basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect statewide Census figures for gender, race, age, education and region of the state. 405 respondents reported that they were registered voters who were registered with the Republican party; results for Questions 1 and 2 were based on answers provided by those 405 Republican voters. Only registered Republicans can participate in the Iowa presidential caucuses. In New Hampshire, a total of 881 adults were interviewed by telephone. All respondents were asked questions concerning their registration status and basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect statewide Census figures for gender, race, age, education and region of the state. 211 respondents reported that they were registered voters who were registered with the Republican party; another 189 reported that they were registered as "Undeclared" and also reported that they had voted in the New Hampshire presidential primary in 2008, for a total of 400 potential Republican primary voters. Results for Questions 1 and 2 were based on answers provided by those 400 respondents. Registered Republicans and registered independents (undeclared) can participate in the New Hampshire presidential primary. In South Carolina, a total of 861 adults were interviewed by telephone. All respondents were asked questions concerning their registration status and basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect statewide Census figures for gender, race, age, education and region of the state. 287 respondents reported that they were registered to vote and described themselves as Republicans; another 113 respondents reported that they were registered to vote and described themselves as Independents who lean Republican, for a total of 400 Republican voters. Results for Questions 1 and 2 were based on answers provided by those 400 Republican voters. South Carolina has no party registration.
CNN|TIME|ORC POLL
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October 20-25, 2011
FLORIDA
Florida CNN/TIME/ORC International Poll -- October 20 to 25, 2011 Question 1 If the Republican presidential primary were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Base = Registered Republicans Total Men Women White ----------------MN Congr Michele Bachmann 4% 3% 6% 5% Businessman Herman Cain 18% 20% 16% 19% Frm Speaker Hse Newt Gingrich 9% 13% 5% 10% Frm UT Governor Jon Huntsman 1% * 1% 1% Texas Congressman Ron Paul 6% 7% 6% 7% Texas Governor Rick Perry 9% 7% 11% 8% Frm MA Governor Mitt Romney 30% 29% 32% 31% Frmr PA Senator Rick Santorum 1% 1% * 1% Someone else 1% 1% * 1% None/no one 7% 8% 6% 6% No opinion 14% 12% 17% 11% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total ----MN Congr Michele Bachmann 4% Businessman Herman Cain 18% Frm Speaker Hse Newt Gingrich 9% Frm UT Governor Jon Huntsman 1% Texas Congressman Ron Paul 6% Texas Governor Rick Perry 9% Frm MA Governor Mitt Romney 30% Frmr PA Senator Rick Santorum 1% Someone else 1% None/no one 7% No opinion 14% Sampling Error +/-5.0
65+ ----2% 16% 14% 1% 2% 11% 38% * 2% 5% 8% +/-7.0
Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
50 and Older -----3% 18% 11% 1% 3% 13% 34% * 1% 6% 9% +/-5.5
Total ----MN Congr Michele Bachmann 4% Businessman Herman Cain 18% Frm Speaker Hse Newt Gingrich 9% Frm UT Governor Jon Huntsman 1% Texas Congressman Ron Paul 6% Texas Governor Rick Perry 9% Frm MA Governor Mitt Romney 30% Frmr PA Senator Rick Santorum 1% Someone else 1% None/no one 7% No opinion 14% Sampling Error +/-5.0
Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
$50K or more ------6% 19% 8% 1% 9% 8% 37% * 1% 3% 9% +/-7.0
No College Degree ------4% 16% 10% * 6% 10% 28% 1% 1% 7% 15% +/-6.5
College Grad ------5% 20% 8% 1% 7% 7% 33% * * 6% 13% +/-7.5 Children Under 18 Yes No --------N/A 4% N/A 19% N/A 9% N/A 1% N/A 6% N/A 9% N/A 32% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A 6% N/A 13% +/-5.5
Total ----MN Congr Michele Bachmann 4% Businessman Herman Cain 18% Frm Speaker Hse Newt Gingrich 9% Frm UT Governor Jon Huntsman 1% Texas Congressman Ron Paul 6% Texas Governor Rick Perry 9% Frm MA Governor Mitt Romney 30% Frmr PA Senator Rick Santorum 1% Someone else 1% None/no one 7% No opinion 14% Sampling Error +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1%
Moderate or Liberal ------4% 8% 5% 1% 10% 8% 35% 1% * 13% 14% +/-8.5
Conserv Born Again -ative Yes No ------- ----------5% 5% 4% 25% 25% 13% 12% 14% 7% * * 1% 4% 3% 9% 9% 14% 6% 28% 19% 34% * * * 1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 13% 12% 17% +/-6.0+/-8.0 +/-6.5
CNN|TIME|ORC POLL
-7-
October 20-25, 2011
FLORIDA
Florida CNN/TIME/ORC International Poll -- October 20 to 25, 2011 Question 1 If the Republican presidential primary were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Base = Registered Republicans Tea Pty Neutral /Oppose ------3% 13% 6% 1% 10% 7% 35% 1% * 9% 15% +/-7.0
Total ----MN Congr Michele Bachmann 4% Businessman Herman Cain 18% Frm Speaker Hse Newt Gingrich 9% Frm UT Governor Jon Huntsman 1% Texas Congressman Ron Paul 6% Texas Governor Rick Perry 9% Frm MA Governor Mitt Romney 30% Frmr PA Senator Rick Santorum 1% Someone else 1% None/no one 7% No opinion 14% Sampling Error +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1%
North/ T Bay/ Central South ------- ------3% 5% 29% 10% 8% 10% 1% 1% 6% 6% 7% 10% 22% 37% 2% * 1% 1% 8% 6% 14% 15% +/-7.0 +/-6.5
Urban/ Suburb -----5% 18% 7% 1% 8% 9% 31% * * 6% 15% +/-7.5
Exurb Rural -----4% 18% 10% 1% 4% 9% 30% 1% 1% 7% 14% +/-6.5
Tea Pty Support ------7% 26% 14% 1% 1% 11% 26% * 2% 4% 9% +/-7.0
CNN|TIME|ORC POLL
-8-
October 20-25, 2011
FLORIDA
Florida CNN/TIME/ORC International Poll -- October 20 to 25, 2011 Question 2 Would you say you will definitely support that candidate, or is it possible you would change your mind? Base = Registered Republican who made a choice Total Men Women White ----------------35% 43% 28% 32% 64% 56% 71% 67% 1% 1% 1% 1% +/-5.5 +/-7.5 +/-7.5 +/-5.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A
Definitely support Might change mind No opinion Sampling Error
Total ----35% 64% 1% +/-5.5
65+ ----39% 61% * +/-7.5
Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A
50 and Older -----35% 65% * +/-6.0
Total ----35% 64% 1% +/-5.5
Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A
$50K or more ------29% 70% 1% +/-7.5
No College Degree ------37% 63% 1% +/-7.5
College Grad ------33% 65% 1% +/-8.0 Children Under 18 Yes No --------N/A 38% N/A 61% N/A 1% +/-6.0 Tea Pty Neutral /Oppose ------31% 67% 2% +/-8.0
Total ----35% 64% 1% +/-5.5
Moderate or Liberal ------N/A N/A N/A
Conserv Born Again -ative Yes No ------- ----------40% 31% 38% 59% 68% 61% 1% 1% 1% +/-6.5+/-8.5 +/-7.0
Definitely support Might change mind No opinion Sampling Error * percentage less than 1%
Total ----35% 64% 1% +/-5.5
North/ T Bay/ Central South ------- ------35% 35% 63% 64% 1% 1% +/-8.0 +/-7.5
Urban/ Suburb -----35% 64% 2% +/-8.0
Exurb Rural -----36% 64% * +/-7.0
Tea Pty Support ------41% 59% * +/-7.5
CNN|TIME|ORC POLL
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October 20-25, 2011
IOWA
Iowa CNN/TIME/ORC International Poll -- October 20 to 25, 2011 Question 1 If the Republican presidential caucus in your community were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Base = Registered Republicans Total Men Women White ----------------MN Congr Michele Bachmann 6% 6% 6% 6% Businessman Herman Cain 21% 24% 17% 20% Frm Speaker Hse Newt Gingrich 10% 13% 6% 10% Frm UT Governor Jon Huntsman 1% 1% * 1% Texas Congressman Ron Paul 12% 14% 8% 12% Texas Governor Rick Perry 10% 9% 12% 11% Frm MA Governor Mitt Romney 24% 20% 28% 25% Frmr PA Senator Rick Santorum 2% 2% 2% 2% Someone else * * * * None/no one 3% * 6% 3% No opinion 11% 9% 14% 10% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.5 +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Total ----MN Congr Michele Bachmann 6% Businessman Herman Cain 21% Frm Speaker Hse Newt Gingrich 10% Frm UT Governor Jon Huntsman 1% Texas Congressman Ron Paul 12% Texas Governor Rick Perry 10% Frm MA Governor Mitt Romney 24% Frmr PA Senator Rick Santorum 2% Someone else * None/no one 3% No opinion 11% Sampling Error +/-5.0
65+ ----8% 11% 13% 2% 10% 4% 28% 2% 1% 3% 18% +/-7.0
50 and Older -----8% 16% 13% 1% 9% 7% 24% 2% * 4% 16% +/-5.5
Under Total $50K --------MN Congr Michele Bachmann 6% 8% Businessman Herman Cain 21% 18% Frm Speaker Hse Newt Gingrich 10% 11% Frm UT Governor Jon Huntsman 1% * Texas Congressman Ron Paul 12% 21% Texas Governor Rick Perry 10% 5% Frm MA Governor Mitt Romney 24% 17% Frmr PA Senator Rick Santorum 2% 2% Someone else * * None/no one 3% 7% No opinion 11% 11% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-8.5 Moderate or Liberal ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
$50K or more ------6% 25% 9% 1% 6% 15% 27% 1% * * 9% +/-7.0
No College Degree ------9% 16% 10% * 16% 8% 22% 2% * 3% 15% +/-6.0
College Grad ------2% 28% 10% 2% 6% 14% 27% 3% * 3% 6% +/-8.0 Children Under 18 Yes No --------N/A 10% N/A 17% N/A 11% N/A 1% N/A 13% N/A 6% N/A 21% N/A 3% N/A * N/A 2% N/A 15% +/-5.5
Total ----MN Congr Michele Bachmann 6% Businessman Herman Cain 21% Frm Speaker Hse Newt Gingrich 10% Frm UT Governor Jon Huntsman 1% Texas Congressman Ron Paul 12% Texas Governor Rick Perry 10% Frm MA Governor Mitt Romney 24% Frmr PA Senator Rick Santorum 2% Someone else * None/no one 3% No opinion 11% Sampling Error +/-5.0 * percentage less than 1%
Conserv Born Again -ative Yes No ------- ----------4% 3% 7% 22% 23% 19% 12% 13% 8% * * 1% 10% 15% 8% 13% 9% 12% 23% 19% 29% 3% 3% 2% * * * 2% 2% 3% 10% 13% 9% +/-6.0+/-7.5 +/-6.5
CNN|TIME|ORC POLL
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October 20-25, 2011
IOWA
Iowa CNN/TIME/ORC International Poll -- October 20 to 25, 2011 Question 1 If the Republican presidential caucus in your community were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Base = Registered Republicans Tea Pty Neutral /Oppose ------5% 16% 8% 1% 11% 13% 30% * * 4% 13% +/-6.5
East ------6% 23% 9% 1% 13% 10% 21% 2% * 3% 12% +/-7.0
Central /West ------6% 19% 11% 1% 10% 11% 26% 3% * 2% 11% +/-6.5
Urban/ Suburb Exurb Rural ------ ------ -----4% N/A 8% 25% N/A 19% 12% N/A 8% 1% N/A * 6% N/A 15% 15% N/A 7% 24% N/A 24% 4% N/A 1% * N/A * 1% N/A 4% 8% N/A 13% +/-8.0 +/-6.5
Tea Pty Support ------6% 29% 13% * 12% 8% 17% 5% * 1% 9% +/-7.5
CNN|TIME|ORC POLL
-11-
October 20-25, 2011
IOWA
Iowa CNN/TIME/ORC International Poll -- October 20 to 25, 2011 Question 2 Would you say you will definitely support that candidate, or is it possible you would change your mind? Base = Registered Republican who made a choice Total Men Women White ----------------27% 30% 22% 27% 72% 69% 77% 73% 1% 1% 1% * +/-5.5 +/-7.0 +/-8.5 +/-5.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A
Total ----27% 72% 1% +/-5.5
65+ ----33% 66% 2% +/-8.0
50 and Older -----29% 69% 2% +/-6.0
Total ----27% 72% 1% +/-5.5
$50K or more ------24% 76% * +/-7.5
No College Degree ------28% 70% 2% +/-7.0
College Grad ------25% 75% * +/-8.5 Children Under 18 Yes No --------N/A 30% N/A 68% N/A 2% +/-6.0 Tea Pty Neutral /Oppose ------23% 76% 1% +/-7.5
Total ----27% 72% 1% +/-5.5
Conserv Born Again -ative Yes No ------- ----------29% 30% 24% 69% 69% 76% 1% 1% * +/-6.5+/-8.5 +/-7.5
Total ----27% 72% 1% +/-5.5
East ------28% 71% 1% +/-8.0
Central /West ------25% 73% 2% +/-7.5
Urban/ Suburb Exurb Rural ------ ------ -----27% N/A 26% 73% N/A 72% * N/A 2% +/-8.5 +/-7.0
Tea Pty Support ------31% 69% * +/-8.0
CNN|TIME|ORC POLL
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October 20-25, 2011
NEW HAMPSHIRE
New Hampshire CNN/TIME/ORC International Poll -- October 20 to 25, 2011 Question 1 If the Republican presidential primary were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Base = Registered Republicans and Registered Independents who voted in 2008 primary Total Men Women White ----------------MN Congr Michele Bachmann 2% 1% 3% 1% Businessman Herman Cain 13% 14% 11% 12% Frm Speaker Hse Newt Gingrich 5% 6% 3% 5% Frm UT Governor Jon Huntsman 6% 5% 6% 6% Texas Congressman Ron Paul 12% 14% 10% 12% Texas Governor Rick Perry 4% 4% 4% 4% Frm MA Governor Mitt Romney 40% 42% 38% 41% Frmr PA Senator Rick Santorum 1% 1% 1% 1% Someone else * * 1% * None/no one 5% 3% 7% 4% No opinion 14% 11% 17% 13% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----3% 9% 4% 8% 10% 7% 33% 1% * 4% 20% +/-8.0 No College Degree ------2% 11% 4% 4% 15% 5% 38% * 1% 5% 16% +/-7.0 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
65+ ----2% 11% 10% 4% 9% 3% 46% 1% * 4% 12% +/-8.5
50 and Older -----3% 10% 6% 7% 10% 5% 38% 1% * 4% 17% +/-6.0
$50K or more ------1% 15% 5% 7% 13% 3% 41% 1% 1% 1% 10% +/-7.0
College Grad ------2% 15% 6% 8% 9% 2% 42% 1% * 4% 11% +/-7.0 Children Under 18 Yes No --------N/A 3% N/A 13% N/A 6% N/A 4% N/A 9% N/A 4% N/A 41% N/A 1% N/A 1% N/A 3% N/A 16% +/-5.5
Moderate or Liberal ------2% 8% 2% 9% 11% 3% 39% * 1% 9% 18% +/-8.0
Conserv Born Again -ative Yes No ------- ----------2% N/A 1% 17% N/A 14% 6% N/A 4% 4% N/A 6% 14% N/A 12% 4% N/A 4% 44% N/A 40% 1% N/A 1% * N/A 1% 1% N/A 5% 8% N/A 14% +/-6.5 +/-5.5
CNN|TIME|ORC POLL
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October 20-25, 2011
NEW HAMPSHIRE
New Hampshire CNN/TIME/ORC International Poll -- October 20 to 25, 2011 Question 1 If the Republican presidential primary were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Base = Registered Republicans and Registered Independents who voted in 2008 primary Rest Rockham of Hillsboro State --------- ------2% 1% 17% 8% 6% 3% 3% 8% 11% 14% 3% 4% 43% 37% 1% * * 1% 5% 5% 9% 19% +/-7.0 +/-7.0 Tea Pty Neutral /Oppose ------1% 8% 3% 7% 14% 4% 39% * 1% 5% 18% +/-6.5
Urban/ Suburb Rural ------ -----2% 1% 16% 8% 6% 3% 5% 6% 11% 14% 3% 4% 43% 36% 1% * * 1% 5% 5% 9% 21% +/-6.5 +/-7.5
Tea Pty Support ------3% 23% 6% 3% 9% 3% 43% 2% * 3% 5% +/-8.0
CNN|TIME|ORC POLL
-14-
October 20-25, 2011
NEW HAMPSHIRE
New Hampshire CNN/TIME/ORC International Poll -- October 20 to 25, 2011 Question 2 Would you say you will definitely support that candidate, or is it possible you would change your mind? Base = Registered Republicans who have made a choice in 2011 primary and Registered Independents who voted in 2008 primary and who have made a choice in the 2011 primary Total Men Women White ----------------40% 46% 32% 40% 60% 53% 68% 60% * 1% * * +/-5.5 +/-7.5 +/-8.0 +/-5.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----48% 52% * +/-8.5 No College Degree ------38% 61% * +/-7.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A
Total ----40% 60% * +/-5.5
65+ ----N/A N/A N/A
50 and Older -----45% 54% 1% +/-6.5
Total ----40% 60% * +/-5.5
$50K or more ------36% 64% * +/-7.5
College Grad ------43% 57% * +/-7.5 Children Under 18 Yes No --------N/A 42% N/A 58% N/A 1% +/-6.0 Tea Pty Neutral /Oppose ------45% 55% * +/-7.5
Total ----40% 60% * +/-5.5
Conserv Born Again -ative Yes No ------- ----------43% N/A 43% 57% N/A 57% * N/A * +/-7.0 +/-6.0
Total ----40% 60% * +/-5.5
Rest Rockham of Hillsboro State --------- ------39% 40% 61% 59% * 1% +/-7.5 +/-8.0
Urban/ Suburb Rural ------ -----40% 40% 60% 60% * 1% +/-7.0 +/-8.5
Tea Pty Support ------33% 67% 1% +/-8.0
CNN|TIME|ORC POLL
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October 20-25, 2011
SOUTH CAROLINA
South Carolina CNN/TIME/ORC International Poll -- October 20 to 25, 2011 Question 1 If the Republican presidential primary were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Base = Registered Republicans Total Men Women White ----------------MN Congr Michele Bachmann 4% 6% 2% 4% Businessman Herman Cain 23% 22% 23% 22% Frm Speaker Hse Newt Gingrich 8% 8% 8% 9% Frm UT Governor Jon Huntsman 1% 1% 1% 1% Texas Congressman Ron Paul 12% 18% 5% 11% Texas Governor Rick Perry 11% 12% 10% 12% Frm MA Governor Mitt Romney 25% 24% 27% 25% Frmr PA Senator Rick Santorum 1% 1% 1% 1% Someone else * * * * None/no one 5% 2% 7% 5% No opinion 10% 5% 15% 10% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-7.0 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----5% 24% 13% * 7% 10% 26% 1% * 3% 11% +/-8.5 No College Degree ------6% 14% 9% 1% 11% 15% 23% 2% * 6% 12% +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
65+ ----2% 16% 12% * 7% 11% 31% 2% * 4% 15% +/-7.0
50 and Older -----4% 20% 13% * 7% 11% 28% 2% * 3% 13% +/-5.5
$50K or more ------1% 32% 5% 1% 15% 14% 24% 2% * 2% 4% +/-7.5
College Grad ------1% 36% 6% 1% 13% 6% 28% 1% * 3% 5% +/-7.5 Children Under 18 Yes No --------N/A 7% N/A 18% N/A 9% N/A * N/A 9% N/A 10% N/A 30% N/A 1% N/A * N/A 4% N/A 11% +/-5.5
Modererate/ Liberal ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Conserv Born Again -ative Yes No ------- ----------5% 5% 4% 28% 28% 16% 7% 7% 11% 1% 1% 1% 12% 10% 14% 12% 16% 5% 21% 19% 34% 2% 2% 1% * * * 5% 4% 4% 9% 8% 10% +/-6.0+/-6.5 +/-8.0
CNN|TIME|ORC POLL
-16-
October 20-25, 2011
SOUTH CAROLINA
South Carolina CNN/TIME/ORC International Poll -- October 20 to 25, 2011 Question 1 If the Republican presidential primary were held today, please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support. Base = Registered Republicans Tea Pty Neutral /Oppose ------4% 17% 5% 2% 14% 9% 27% 1% * 8% 13% +/-7.5
Low Urban/ Total P'mont Midlands Cty Suburb Exurb Rural ----- ------ -------- ------ ------ ------ -----MN Congr Michele Bachmann 4% 5% 6% N/A N/A 5% 6% Businessman Herman Cain 23% 20% 23% N/A N/A 19% 12% Frm Speaker Hse Newt Gingrich 8% 9% 9% N/A N/A 7% 10% Frm UT Governor Jon Huntsman 1% 1% 1% N/A N/A * * Texas Congressman Ron Paul 12% 19% 6% N/A N/A 11% 16% Texas Governor Rick Perry 11% 8% 13% N/A N/A 10% 14% Frm MA Governor Mitt Romney 25% 19% 27% N/A N/A 31% 21% Frmr PA Senator Rick Santorum 1% 2% 2% N/A N/A 1% 2% Someone else * * * N/A N/A * * None/no one 5% 7% 4% N/A N/A 5% 7% No opinion 10% 11% 10% N/A N/A 10% 12% Sampling Error +/-5.0 +/-8.5 +/-7.5 +/-8.0 +/-8.5 * percentage less than 1%
Tea Pty Support ------5% 29% 11% * 9% 15% 23% 2% * 1% 6% +/-7.0
CNN|TIME|ORC POLL
-17-
October 20-25, 2011
SOUTH CAROLINA
South Carolina CNN/TIME/ORC International Poll -- October 20 to 25, 2011 Question 2 Would you say you will definitely support that candidate, or is it possible you would change your mind? Base = Registered Republicans who made a choice Total Men Women White ----------------35% 40% 28% 33% 65% 60% 71% 66% * * 1% * +/-5.5 +/-7.0 +/-8.0 +/-5.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A 5064 ----N/A N/A N/A Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A
Total ----35% 65% * +/-5.5
65+ ----41% 59% * +/-8.0
50 and Older -----35% 64% 1% +/-6.0
Total ----35% 65% * +/-5.5
$50K or more ------33% 66% 1% +/-8.0
No College Degree ------38% 62% * +/-7.0
College Grad ------31% 68% 1% +/-8.0 Children Under 18 Yes No --------N/A 37% N/A 62% N/A 1% +/-6.0 Tea Pty Neutral /Oppose ------33% 67% * +/-8.0
Total ----35% 65% * +/-5.5
Modererate/ Liberal ------N/A N/A N/A
Conserv Born Again -ative Yes No ------- ----------33% 32% 41% 66% 67% 59% 1% 1% * +/-6.0+/-7.0 +/-8.5
Total ----35% 65% * +/-5.5
Low Urban/ P'mont Midlands Cty Suburb Exurb Rural ------ -------- ------ ------ ------ -----N/A 32% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 68% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A * N/A N/A N/A N/A +/-8.0
Tea Pty Support ------38% 62% * +/-7.5
CNN|TIME|ORC POLL
-18-
October 20-25, 2011

Top State 1

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FLORIDA IOWA SOUTH CAROLINA NEW HAMPSHIRE

All interviews conducted by telephone by ORC International on October 20-25, 2011.

No opinion includes respondents with no first choice in Q.1.

October 20-25, 2011

No opinion includes respondents with no first choice in Q.1.

October 20-25, 2011

No opinion includes respondents with no first choice in Q.1.

October 20-25, 2011

No opinion includes respondents with no first choice in Q.1.

October 20-25, 2011

October 20-25, 2011

65+ ----2% 16% 14% 1% 2% 11% 38% * 2% 5% 8% +/-7.0

50 and Older -----3% 18% 11% 1% 3% 13% 34% * 1% 6% 9% +/-5.5

$50K or more ------6% 19% 8% 1% 9% 8% 37% * 1% 3% 9% +/-7.0

No College Degree ------4% 16% 10% * 6% 10% 28% 1% 1% 7% 15% +/-6.5

Moderate or Liberal ------4% 8% 5% 1% 10% 8% 35% 1% * 13% 14% +/-8.5

October 20-25, 2011

Urban/ Suburb -----5% 18% 7% 1% 8% 9% 31% * * 6% 15% +/-7.5

Exurb Rural -----4% 18% 10% 1% 4% 9% 30% 1% 1% 7% 14% +/-6.5

Tea Pty Support ------7% 26% 14% 1% 1% 11% 26% * 2% 4% 9% +/-7.0

October 20-25, 2011

Definitely support Might change mind No opinion Sampling Error

Definitely support Might change mind No opinion Sampling Error

Total ----35% 64% 1% +/-5.5

65+ ----39% 61% * +/-7.5

Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A

50 and Older -----35% 65% * +/-6.0

Definitely support Might change mind No opinion Sampling Error

Total ----35% 64% 1% +/-5.5

Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A

$50K or more ------29% 70% 1% +/-7.5

No College Degree ------37% 63% 1% +/-7.5

Definitely support Might change mind No opinion Sampling Error

Total ----35% 64% 1% +/-5.5

Moderate or Liberal ------N/A N/A N/A

Total ----35% 64% 1% +/-5.5

Urban/ Suburb -----35% 64% 2% +/-8.0

Exurb Rural -----36% 64% * +/-7.0

Tea Pty Support ------41% 59% * +/-7.5

October 20-25, 2011

65+ ----8% 11% 13% 2% 10% 4% 28% 2% 1% 3% 18% +/-7.0

50 and Older -----8% 16% 13% 1% 9% 7% 24% 2% * 4% 16% +/-5.5

$50K or more ------6% 25% 9% 1% 6% 15% 27% 1% * * 9% +/-7.0

No College Degree ------9% 16% 10% * 16% 8% 22% 2% * 3% 15% +/-6.0

October 20-25, 2011

East ------6% 23% 9% 1% 13% 10% 21% 2% * 3% 12% +/-7.0

Tea Pty Support ------6% 29% 13% * 12% 8% 17% 5% * 1% 9% +/-7.5

October 20-25, 2011

Definitely support Might change mind No opinion Sampling Error

Definitely support Might change mind No opinion Sampling Error

Total ----27% 72% 1% +/-5.5

65+ ----33% 66% 2% +/-8.0

Under 50 ----N/A N/A N/A

50 and Older -----29% 69% 2% +/-6.0

Definitely support Might change mind No opinion Sampling Error

Total ----27% 72% 1% +/-5.5

Under $50K ----N/A N/A N/A

$50K or more ------24% 76% * +/-7.5

No College Degree ------28% 70% 2% +/-7.0

Definitely support Might change mind No opinion Sampling Error

Total ----27% 72% 1% +/-5.5

Moderate or Liberal ------N/A N/A N/A

Total ----27% 72% 1% +/-5.5