Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
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Year
Ice Core 20 year Average
Law Dome Antarctica
Mauna Loa Direct Measurement
Hawaii
Temperature Changes around the world
in the last quarter of the 20th century
- 1 - 0.8 - 0.6 - 0.4 - 0.2 0 + 0.2 + 0.4 + 0.6 + 0.8 + 1
Trends in C per decade
-1 -0.8 +0.8 -0.6 +0.6 -0.4 +0.4 -0.2 +0.2 0 +1
The aesthetic choice... The design challenge...
?
?
?
?
?
A1B
A1T
A1FI
A2
B1
B2
IS92a
Scenarios
2100 2000 1900 1800 1700
-0.5
0.0
-1.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
10% Species Lost
Entire cities and countries lost to sea level
20-50% Species Lost
1-4 Billion people face water shortages
15-40% Species Lost
1000
ppm
750
ppm
650
ppm
550
ppm
500
ppm
450
ppm
400
ppm
2.0
Climate models:
Physics and chemistry-based computer models of planet
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15-40% Species Lost
10% Species Lost
1-4 Billion people face water shortages
Entire cities and countries lost to sea level
20-50% Species Lost
450
ppm
1000
ppm
750
ppm
650
ppm
550
ppm
500
ppm
400
ppm
Scenarios:
Guesses at humanity's reactions: "business as usual vs. change"
A1B
A1T
A1FI
A2
B1
B2
IS92a
Scenarios
2100 2000 1900 1800 1700
-0.5
0.0
-1.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
1000
ppm
750
ppm
650
ppm
550
ppm
500
ppm
450
ppm
400
ppm
A1B
A1T
A1FI
A2
B1
B2
IS92a
Scenarios
2100 2000 1900 1800 1700
-0.5
0.0
-1.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
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10% Species Lost
Entire cities and countries lost to sea level
20-50% Species Lost
1-4 Billion people face water shortages
15-40% Species Lost
2.0
Impact Studies:
Ecosystem, geopolitical, and other impacts, as predicted by climate models
and scenarios.
90% Coral Reefs Lost
Resource wars
IRREVERSIBLE
FEEDBACKS
650
550
450ppm CO
2
(year2000) 368
Preindustrial 280
What if we choose?
+2
o
C
Sources of renewable energy.
31 000 TW
Atmospheric
Absorption
85 000 TW Surface Solar
62 TW Ocean surface waves
90 TW Photosynthesis
65 TW Land
3 TW Coastal waves
7.2 TW Hydro Rivers
300 TW Hydro Clouds
25 TW Hydro Land
3600 TW Wind
41 000 TW
Evaporation
38 000 TW
Land & Water heating
3.5 TW Tidal
32 TW Geo thermal
25 TW Ocean
100 TW Ocean thermal gradient
16 TW
Global consumption
2
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Units shown in Terawatts (TW)
2033 Energy Mix
Solar Thermal: 2
Fossil Fuels: 2
(carbon-free)
Biofuels: 0.5
Existing Nuclear: 1
Existing Hydro /
Renewables: 0.5
Wind:2
Nuclear: 3
Geothermal 2
Photo Voltaic
Solar 2
16 TW
2 TW New Photo Voltaic
100m
100m
1
0
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1
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1 0 0 m
1 0 0 m
1 0 0 m
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1
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0
m
100m
100 m of solar cells
every second for the next
25 years. 15% efficiency,
good sitting.
1
s
e
c
.
Photo
Voltaic
2 TW New Solar Thermal
50m
50m
5
0
m
5
0
m
5
0
m
5
0
m
5
0
m
5
0
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5
0
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5
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5
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5
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5
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5
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5
0
m
5
0
m
5
0
m
5
0
m
5
0
m
50m
5
0
m
25 years
50 m of solar thermal
mirrors every second for
the next 25 years. 30%
efficiency, well sited.
1
s
e
c
.
Solar
Thermal
100m Diameter
1
0
0
m
D
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r
12 3MW wind turbines in
great locations every hour.
Or one 100m diameter
turbine every 5 minutes
6
m
in
.
2 TW New Wind
Wind
SUN MON TUE WED THU FRI
1
8 7 6 5 4 3 2
16 15 14 13 12 10 9
23 22 21 20 19 18 17
30 29 28 27 26 25 24
31
SAT
March
3 TW New Nuclear
1x 3GW Nuclear plant every
week for the next 25 years.
Nuclear
2 TW Geothermal
SUN MON TUE WED THU FRI
1
8 7 6 5 4 3 2
16 15 14 13 12 10 9
23 22 21 20 19 18 17
30 29 28 27 26 25 24
31
SAT
March
3x 100MW
steam turbines
every day for
next 25 years.
Geothermal
0.5 TW carbon (net zero) biofuels?.
1250m
1250m
1
2
5
0
m
1
2
5
0
m
1
2
5
0
m
1
2
5
0
m
1
2
5
0
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1
2
5
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1
2
5
0
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1
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1
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5
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1
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1
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5
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1
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5
0
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1
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0
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1
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5
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m
1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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5
0
m
1
2
5
0
m
1
2
5
0
m
1 2 5 0 m
1 2 5 0 m
1 2 5 0 m
1
2
5
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m
1
2
5
0
m
1
2
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
2
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1
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1
2
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1
2
5
0
m
1
2
5
0
m
1
2
5
0
m
1
2
5
0
m
1250m
1250 m or 1 olympic
swimming pool of algae
every second for the next
25 years.
1
s
e
c
.
Biofuel
D ZDDD 4DDD 6DDD 8DDD 1DDDD
D
ZDDD
4DDD
6DDD
8DDD
1DDDD
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TW SoIar
ZTW Wind
1TW Hydro
ZTW BiofueIs
"Renewistan" - 1DTW
Land area by country represented as scaled stripes
"The Game Plan" slideset release 1.01, March 21 2008 67
1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
0
0.5
1
1.5
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US energy consumption |TeraWatts}
2008
The year of 'peak waste'
If the average American
were to leave home each
morning with a backpack
full of the fuel they need-
ed for their day:
Oil = 31 kg, 67 lb.
Coal = 29 kg, 63 lb.
Gas = 6 kg, 12 lb.
11 400 Watts.
My 2007 life:
18000 Watts.
S
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2
0
0
W JFK-SFO 200 W
OAK-BUR 20 W
BUR-OAK 20 W
SFO-BOS 210 W
BOS-ORD 70 W
ORD-SFO 140 W
SFO-JFK 200 W
JFK-SFO 200 W
SJC-SJO 230 W
SJO-SJC 230 W
S
JC
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IJ 2
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'SFO TO LHR'
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'ATL-SFO'
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'HEL-AMS-ATL-SFO'
'OAK-OGG-HON-OAK'
'SFO-BOS'
'BOS-SFO'
'OAK-DC'
'DC-OAK'
'OAK-ORD-MON-QUE'
'QUE-DTW-SFO'
'SFO-JFK'
'JFK-SFO'
'OAK-BUR'
'BUR-OAK'
'SFO-BOS'
'BOS-ORD'
'ORD-SFO'
'SFO-JFK'
'JFK-SFO'
'SJC-SJO'
'SJO-SJC'
'SJC-VIJ'
'VIJ-SJC'
'SFO-SYD'
'SFO-DR'
'DR-SFO'
'SFO-OAK'
'OAK-SFO'
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PHYSICAL STUFF
~2500 Watts
What about products?
Also contains per bottle
Plasticizers 43mg
Estrogen 0.12mg
Carcinogenic Dye 0.19mg
Safe daily values not yet established.
Consumption Facts
Container Mass 1.58oz (44.9g)
Components per container 3
Embodied Energy Per Container
Total 4,609,420 Joules
PETE 38.81g 3,962,400 Joules
HDPE 4.83g 497,500 Joules
Cellulosic 1.34g 149,520 Joules
Recycle rate 23%
Landfill rate 43%
Energy recovery rate 16%
Lost to environmental waste 18%
Personal Energy Footprint % Daily Value*
Total 4.54%
Transport (avg.estimated) 0.69%
Manufacture 0.46%
Embodied Energy 2.67%
Refrigeration (avg.estimated) 0.71%
* Personal Energy Footprint is based on a recommended 2000
Watt lifestyle.
The average US consumer has a 11400 Watt lifestyle.
! Consuming this product daily is equivalent to increasing your
energy footprint by 90 Watts.
+ 0.2 x TWy + 0.15 x TWy + 0.11 x TWy
There's a known and reasonably predictable amount of
carbon left to burn:
1 TWy = 1 Terawatt Year = 3.16 x 10
19
Joules.
CO
2
ppm
= CO
2
ppm
future future
coal oil gas
1 Joule of fossil energy used produces 4.9x10
-21
ppm increase.
How many ppm to replace every gasoline car in the world (1bN) with a
1000kg electric vehicle? = 0.49 ppm
How many ppm for 250 million new green homes? = 8.9 ppm
How many ppm for installing :
5TW solar = 6.1 ppm
3TW wind = 0.55 ppm
2TW geothermal = 0.49 ppm
So there is + 19 ppm right there. Scary.
Might be good to ask questions of form:
How many ppm for 6 bN new laptops? = 0.05 ppm
6 bN cellphones? = 0.03 ppm
6 bN 100 Watt lightbulbs burning for 1 year? = 0.2ppm
And we will too.
The world demands more and more energy. Where will it come Irom? We at Chevron
are working to provide more oI it, both responsibly and eIciently. And we're developing
alternatives. But it's |ust as important Ior all oI us to do more with less.
We're doing it ourselves and enabling others. Cur Chevron Energy 5olutions
team is dedicated to helping others use less energy. In Colorado, we've
worked with the state to improve 20 state buildings. The extensive makeover
is expected to save more than $20 million over the next two decades.
It's |ust one oI the hundreds oI pro|ects that will help businesses and
government organizations reduce their energy costs by over $! billion.
Join us in one oI the most important eIIorts oI our time using less.
Will you?
Learn more at wiII ycu jcin us.ccm.
CHEVPCN, the CHEVPCN HALLMAPK, and HUMAN ENEPCY are registered trademarks oI Chevron Intellectual Property LLC. 200S Chevron Corporation. All rights reserved.
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