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IT/ITES
GOOD
Overall GDP External Debt Financial Reforms FUTURE OUTLOOK FDI Inflows New Investment Savings inflation Industrial Growth Economic reforms Internal Debt Fiscal Deficit Agricultural Growth Current Account Service sector Growth
BAD
Source : Citigroup estimates
CURRENT PERFORMANCE
GOOD
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06(E) FY07(F)
FY11(F)
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06(E) FY07(F)
FY11(F)
AUTOMOBILE
ROBUST GROWTH
CAPITAL GOODS
11.6%
7.4%
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06(E) FY07(F)
FY11(F)
FY03
FY04
FY11(F)
-6.2%
CONSUMER DURABLES
CONSTRUCTION
The Global Economic Forecast: Asia poised to be the emerging power house of growth
In 2020, the US and China will still be the two largest economies in the world (in PPP) India leaves Japan behind and moves up to 3rd place India, Malaysia and China will post the highest GDP growth rates (above 5%) over 2006-20 Ireland, the US and Spain are the rich countries expected to grow the most
Source : Mckinsey , AL
The industry has grown at a CAGR of 14% p.a over the last 5 years , size is over US $ 34 Bn in 2006-07 With the potential to emerge as one of the largest in the world. Presently, India is 2nd largest two wheeler market in the world 4th largest commercial vehicle market in the world 11th largest passenger car in the world and is expected to be the 7th largest market by 2016 The components industry has grown at 17% CAGR over the last few years, size is over US$ 10 billion in 2005-06
10 -250 Kms
101-250 Kms
51-500 Kms
Distribution Network
51-100 Kms
< 50 Kms
Cyclicality of Businesses
KEY CHALLENGES
Increasing Customisation & Application Proliferation Increased Customer Awareness
Source : A T Kearney, AL
Source : AL
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Source : A T Kearney, AL
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MDV
ICV / LCV
Intra- City
Inter- City
Stage Carrier
Institutions
Stage Carriers
Institutions
Stage Carriers
Stage Carriers
Changing Specifications
Daily Movement of Passengers from Small Towns En- Route to Bigger Cities Semi Deluxe Deluxe AC Deluxe Economy Class Catering to masses
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Institutions
Institutions
Changing Specifications
Rapid Growth of Corporate / Industries in Special Economic Zones & Cities like School Staff BPOSs, ITES etc 2x2 Seating Layout with High Academic Institutions head Rest Seats < 180 HP , Front Engine
Air Suspension
Inter-city Travel
Key Drivers Inter-city Inter- City Improving Road Infrastructure / Turn Around Time
Changing Specifications
Safer Travel Semi Deluxe Deluxe AC Deluxe Need for Extra Comfort Better Quality Buses
High End Re-clinable Seats 2X2 , 2X1 Seating Layouts ; > 1000 mm Seat Pitch Monocoque / Space Frame Shell Type Coach Construction Built in Reliable Entertainment Systems / GPRS/ Wi Fi enabled Saloon
No gestation period
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Intra- City
Changing Specifications
Urban Congestion Improving Road Infrastructure Safer Travel Rising Income Levels , growing Future lies in implementation of BRTS
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Why BRTS
Why BRTS
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Why BRTS
Advantages of BRTS
One Tenth the cost of a Rail System Unlike a Rail System , BRTS is dynamic and can change as city changes Reduction in NETT pollution with stricter Emission norms being introduced Reduced Congestion due to excessive bus lanes would improve the quality of service
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Operational
Introductory Stage
Fuel Engine No of Doors Door location Seating Capacity Standees Direct Drive AC
BS III & CNG BS III Rear 2 Front & Middle 35-40 25 Available
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Way Forward
AL has developed expertise through its Advanced engineering arm & can support /assist in : a. Telematics /Vehicle tracking b. Fleet management system c. IT enabled fare collection AL has a Project Services Division with capability on Project & fleet management/ transport system; the companys knowledge base/experience on vehicle design and manufacturing would effectively supplement.
Presented By: Rajinder Malhan Exec. Director Intl. Operations Ashok Leyland Limited rajinder@ashokleyland.com
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