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David Baker
Chief Architect Diamond Management & Technology Consultants
david.baker@diamondconsultants.com
Current
Future
State
?
Page 1
State
The trouble is you cannot predict the economic climate that far in advance
Some organizations immediately start implementing the future state
Usually results in questions being asked 6 to 12 months later Why are we doing this? How much longer will it take? When can I expect to get my new capabilities?
Need to do SOME economic planning Impossible to take the time to determine the exact number (and type) of resources at the time of the EA plan But SOME planning is absolutely necessary BEFORE mobilizing the troops
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Page 3
Technical Solution
...with
1H06 Capability 01 Capability 12 Capability 04 Capability 07 Capability 09 Capability 02 Capability 03 Capability 05 Capability 08
Theme 1
2H06
1H07
2H07
Theme 2 Theme 3
Page 4
Whats possible?
When do I get it? How much does it cost / save? What are the business risks?
Technical Staff wants to know What do I build? What do I build it with? When do I build it?
Page 5
Have we done this before? How do we get it done? How do I make sure its done correctly? Whats possible?
A Roadmap is a time phased set of activities but at the Program/Initiative level NOT a project level You are planning the necessary transitions for a multi-year effort NOT planning the implementation
The Roadmap defines key objectives, and a high-level, prioritized approach to reach those objectives
Roadmaps have enough detail to test the business justification but NOT detailed sourcing or budgeting detail
Page 6
Project Execution
(SDLC)
Business Operations
Use enterprise and business unit direction and goals to drive IT plans
Prioritize the allocation of IT resources to achieve business strategy, in alignment with enterprise architecture
Project Project
Filter
Project Cycle
Continuous
Identify Gaps
Business
Justification
Future State
(strategy, process, technology)
Mitigate Risk
Business
Prioritization
Sequence
Initiatives
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Page 9
Improve financial tracking and analytics for products and enable ROI calculations Create and support new products to serve individual and newly identified markets
Page 10
Assign each initiative the average priority of its associated capabilities (or weight them, or . . . )
Initiative Support Service Model Analytics Priority M Capability Capability 1 Capability 2 Capability 3 Improve Financial Reporting and Analytics Support New Products / Segments H M Capability 4 Capability 5 Capability 6 Capability 7 Page 11 Priority H M L H H H L
Description
Defines the reason for the project idea to exist in the first place
Example
Cannot provide customers with real-time information
What is the project trying to accomplish; Enhance operating costs by realmust address the problem time handling of claims information What is the total size (people, revenues) of the potential market for this project? For each target group, what is the value? Upfront investment $3M claims processed per year
Operating Costs
Benefits Risks / Mitigants
Ongoing investment
Increased revenues, decreased costs
Will conditions change to fundamentally Data in other projects will be change the need for this project? negatively impacted
Page 12
BENEFITS DESCRIPTION
Sales: Client has been rejected for bids in the past because of an inability to leverage data from external carriers and on all services available to a member Medical Costs: Improved ability to identify members and approach them with treatment options tailored to their needs and eligibility will increase the use of highly effective, low cost services and will increase medical offset. Incorporating data, in particular, can have benefits from being be the first experience in the benefit path and may become aware of high risk members before they are known elsewhere in the company (e.g., substance abuse pregnant woman). The benefits might not accrue, but they will accrue to the company as a whole in terms of medical cost reductions
CAPABILITIES ADDRESSED
1 Ability to leverage all client and any available external experience information to perform member identification and predictive modeling 4 Ability to leverage utilization, outcome, and satisfaction metrics at the provider level to improve network management and help shape the network 5 Ability to analyze the results of integration and Care Management programs to validate medical offsets, help direct program improvements, and develop new programs 7 Ability to assess treatment utilization and efficacy and deliver feedback to providers
AFFECTED IT COMPONENTS
Enterprise Data Warehouse Financial Books of Record Compliance Systems Provider Portal
BUSINESS PRIORITY
High
DEPENDENCIES/CONSTRAINTS
Project XYZ for integration of member data and enhanced individualization (2Q06)
Duration
1-3 months
Cost Range
$0 - $250,000
$500,000 - $1,999,000
$2,000,000 - $4,999,000 $5,000,000 - $7,999,000 $8,000,000 +
3-6 months
6-9 months 9-12 months 12 months +
$250,000 - $499,000
$500,000 - $999,000 $1,000,000 - $4,999,000 $5,000,000 - $10,000,000
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There is no need to do a rigorous cost/benefit analysis at this point in the lifecycle A roadmap is NOT a budget The subsequent portfolio management phase will drive the detail to a budget level (mobilize resources and costs) The costs and benefits estimated during the roadmap phase are an additional tool for determining the overall multi-year sequence Do just enough estimation Have business subject matter experts estimate the benefit ranges Have architects use engineering estimation techniques to develop cost ranges
Page 14
Sequenced Initiatives
Page 16
You can also use any number of cash based indicators to adjust the sequence (or to rule out individual initiatives)
Definition
NPV Net Present Value Discounted sum of all cash flows for the project Invest where NPV > 0 Internal Rate of Return Discount rate that produces an NPV of zero Invest where IRR is greater than an established hurdle rate Point in time where cumulative net cash flow = 0 Amount of time required to recoup the original investment from a project The maximum negative cumulative net cash flow over the lifetime of the project Represents the total amount of money required to be put into the project Return on Investment The total returns of the project divided by the total cash outflow
Pros
Measure of value creation should lead to good (best) investment decisions Easily scaleable by investment size
Cons
Difficulty / uncertainty in choosing discount rate Does not account for amount of investment required Can lead to bad investment decisions use with care!
IRR
Payback / Breakeven
Under uncertain flight to quality stock market conditions, Payback can become the indicator Appropriate to its objective
Peak Funding
ROI
Initiatives can also be sequenced into stages based on business need and dependency to deliver incremental capability
Costs of achieving capabilities Portfolio Management Strategy
Non-optional level of investment Address regulatory environment, align with current projects, keep current on software releases, etc. Enable initial capabilities Establish foundation for realizing additional capabilities in stages 3 and 4
Cost
Stage 4
Illustrative
Stay in business
Stage 3
Build foundation
Stage 2
Stage 1
3
Capability 4
Delivers additional capabilities in response to pain points Improve effectiveness Dependent on stage 2 Delivers efficiency focusing on migrating capabilities to new strategic platforms Dependent on stage 2
Improve efficiency
Page 18
2008
2Q 3Q 4Q
2009
1Q 2Q
Theme
System Foundation & Information Management High Quality Data Capture & Information Exchange Dynamic Processing & Workflow Advanced Analysis & Reporting Multi-Channel Access Integrated Organization & Communication IT Portfolio Management & Strategic Enterprise Architecture
1Q
2Q
3Q
1 2
5 3 6
Milestones
1 2 3 4 5
Interim Solution
Electronic Receipt/ Submission and Data Validation Reporting Tool Re-architecture End-to-End Solution End-to-End Workflow
6 7 8
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Another example
2006 2007
4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q
2008
2Q 3Q 4Q
2009
1Q 2Q
THEME / INITITIVE
Define High-Level Process Flows Define Data Architecture Strategy Create Book of Record Implement Interim Solution Select Vendor Package Implement Enhanced Tool Retire Acquisition and Data Collection Apps Develop Business Information Model Define Process Flows Define Integration Strategy Implement Electronic Receipt & Submission Provide Automated Data Validation
1Q
2Q
3Q
SF & IM
Optimized Business Process (OBP) Select Technology Tools Implement WF & BR Process Improvements Define Process Flows Define DW/DM Architecture Strategy Implement DW/DM Structures & Feeds Develop New Reports Select Data Analytics Tool Implement Data Analytics Tool Retire and Re-architect Reporting/Analytics Define Process Flows Select Technology Tool Design & Implement Core Safety View Define Integration Strategy Integrate External Systems Retire Doc Mgmt Systems & Integrated Sys Define & Deploy Communication Strategy Establish Process Improvement Governance Create Acquisition Assessment Framework Institute Regulations Pipeline Management Select & Implement Training Tools Program Management Office Institute IT Investment Management Enhance SEA Competency Develop Arch. GPs, Governance, & Processes Develop Strategic Architecture Blueprints
Retire: System 9, System 10, System 11 Re-architect: Re-architect: System 12, System 13 System 14, System 15, 16
AA&R
Retire:
MCA
Retire:
System 22, 23
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B Support Enhanced Service Model 2 Identify high risk, highly actionable Members 3 Monitor progress and track the adherence 10 Provide constituent-targeted service experience C Financial Reporting & Analytics 6 Provide aggregate and individual information 9 Track and predict Behavioral Health medical costs D Enhance Provider Web Experience 10 Provide constituent-targeted service experience E Enhance Member Web Experience 10 Provide constituent-targeted service experience F Enhance Plan Sponsor Experience 10 Provide constituent-targeted service experience 12 Provide a single bill (i.e. including all products) G Operational Improvements 8 Deliver flexible and customized products and services 10 Provide constituent-targeted service experience 14 Administer BH products in a cost effective manner 15 Perform cost effective pricing for targeted business H New Products / Segments 11 Meet currently identified market opportunities 13 Market to and service Individuals
$24,518
$389
$0
$0
Page 21
Portfolio 3 Blueprints
Page 22
Portfolio 3 Blueprints
Project
Filter and refine into Projects Apply resource and financial constraints
Page 23
Project Execution
(SDLC)
Business Operations
Portfolio 3 Blueprints
Project
Filter and refine into Projects Apply resource and financial constraints
Page 24
The move to services means that the business capabilities will be mapped to services, not systems or applications Services will be retired, rehabilitated, rearchitected or removed Roadmaps may have to become more granular to address the impact to services Service-level roadmaps will be especially important during governance of implementation projects
Page 25
Prioritized initiatives
Initiative scorecards Cost and benefit estimates, estimated duration Risk mitigation strategies Sequence architecture time slices Sequenced initiatives Input to portfolio management
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Thank You
Questions?
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