Vous êtes sur la page 1sur 36

IT Staffing Inc.

Historical Balance Sheet


($ in millions)

Fiscal Year Ended December 31,


2009
2010
2011
Actual
Actual
Actual
CURRENT ASSETS
Cash and cash equivalents
Accounts receivable, net
Other current assets
Total current assets

LONG-TERM ASSETS
Fixed assets, net
Other assets
Total long-term assets

8.7
23.1
0.4
32.2

1.6
0.5
2.0

Total assets
CURRENT LIABILITIES
Accounts payable
Accrued expenses
Accrued payroll
Total current liabilities

19.2
25.6
4.5
49.3

1.9
0.6
2.5

36.6 Added back the 2 years of Dividends


34.2
3.7
74.5

2.3
0.6
2.9

34.3

51.8

77.4

3.3
0.7
2.5
6.5

2.3
0.5
3.5
6.3

3.0
0.7
4.3
8.1

LONG-TERM LIABILITIES
Other liabilities
Total long-term liabilities

0.2
0.2

0.2
0.2

0.3
0.3

Total liabilities

6.7

6.6

Shareholders' equity

27.5

45.2

69.1 Added back the 2 years of Dividends

34.3

51.8

77.4

Total liabilities & shareholders' equity


$
Profit Margin
Asset Turnover
Equity Multiplier
ROE
D/E
1-Tax
Unlevered Beta
Levered Beta

8.4

0.115223937
2.625369116
1.120918519
0.339083866
0.107874495
0.625
1.29
1.37871447

he 2 years of Dividends

he 2 years of Dividends

IT Staffing Inc. Historical and Projected Income S


24.2%

($ in millions)

Fiscal Year Ended


2009
Actual
Revenue
% Growth

Direct costs of services


Gross profit
Gross margin

Selling, general and administrative expenses (Includes


additional 700k for Officers' Salaries
Depreciation and amortization
Operating income
Operating Margin

Interest expense (income)


Cash Interest Rate
Earnings before taxes
Tax expense (1)
$
Tax =
$

2011
Actual

131.8 $
3.9%

161.2 $
22.3%

203.3
26.1%

91.4
40.4 $
30.7%

105.1
56.1 $
34.8%

129.0
74.3
36.6%

23.2
17.6%
0.3
16.9 $
12.9%

28.1
17.4%
0.4
27.5 $
17.1%

36.4
17.9%
0.5
37.4
18.4%

(0.0)
0.5%
17.0

Net income
Supplemental Items
EBITDA
Capex

2010
Actual

6.37
10.6

(0.0)
0.4%
27.6
$

37.5%
17.26 $
0.8

10.34
17.2

(0.0)
0.3%
37.5
$

37.5%
27.95 $
0.7

14.06
23.4
37.5%
37.94
0.8

(1) Projected tax rate @ 40%

EBIT
EBIT Growth
EBIT/Rev
NI/Rev
EBITDA Growth
NI Growth

16.9
12.855%
8.049%

27.5
62.556%
17.086%
10.691%
61.963%
62.439%

37.4
35.935%
18.418%
11.522%
35.730%
35.911%

ojected Income Statements


Fiscal Year Ended December 31,
2012
2013
2014
Projected
Projected
Projected
$

2015
Projected

235.8 $
16.0%

259.9 $
10.2%

280.8 $
8.1%

299.3
6.6%

150.2
85.6 $
36.3%

166.6
93.3 $
35.9%

178.6
102.2 $
36.4%

189.4
109.8
36.7%

42.0
17.8%
0.6
43.0 $
18.3%

47.3
18.2%
0.6
45.4 $
17.5%

52.2
18.6%
0.7
49.3 $
17.6%

56.9
19.0%
0.7
52.2
17.5%

(0.1)
0.3%
43.1

(0.1)
0.3%
45.4

(0.1)
0.3%
49.4

(0.2)
0.3%
52.4

17.2
25.9

18.2
27.3

19.8
29.7

21.0
31.4

43.6
1.0

2 Year CAGR

49.246%

48.847%
49.175%

46.0
1.1

50.0
1.2

53.0
1.3

Weighted Average Cost of C


($ in millions)
Preferred
Stock

Debt
Hudson Highland Group Inc.
Kforce Inc.
Randstad Holding NV
Robert Half International Inc.
Robert Walters plc

7.7
61.1
2,319.0
1.7
18.8

Median
Mean

Hudson Highland Group Inc.


Kforce Inc.
Randstad Holding NV
Robert Half International Inc.
Robert Walters plc
Median
Mean

18.79
481.65

CAPM =Rf +B (MRP)

Levered
Beta
1.69
1.53
1.32
1.45
0.96

Unlevered
Beta
1.64
1.42
1.04
1.45
0.91

1.45
1.39

1.42
1.29

Market Assumptions
Risk Free Rate
Equity Risk Premium
Tax Rate

4.50%
5.75%
40.0%

4.75%

6.75%

11.93%

10.64%

13.22%

ted Average Cost of Capital


Market Value
of Equity
154.0
472.2
5,133.8
3,782.4
223.3
$

472.20
1,953.14
Equity Risk
Premium
5.75%
5.75%
5.75%
5.75%
5.75%

Total
Capitalization
161.7
533.3
7,452.8
3,784.1
242.1
$

533.34
2,434.79
Size Risk
Premium
4.45%
2.49%
0.85%
0.85%
2.85%

Debt
to Equity
5.0%
12.9%
45.2%
0.0%
8.4%

Debt to
Total
Capitalization
4.7%
11.5%
31.1%
0.0%
7.8%

Preferred to
Total
Capitalization
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Equity to
Total
Capitalization
95.3%
88.5%
68.9%
100.0%
92.2%

8.4%
14.3%

7.8%
11.0%

0.0%
0.0%

92.2%
89.0%

6.3%
3.0%
2.8%
9.0%
6.3%

Cost of
Preferred
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

WACC
18.0%
14.2%
9.5%
13.7%
12.2%

6.3%
5.5%

0.0%
0.0%

13.7%
13.5%

Cost of
Equity
18.7%
15.8%
13.0%
13.7%
12.9%
13.7%
14.8%

Cost of
Debt

Free Cash Flow Valuation Downside


($ in millions)

Fiscal Year E
2009
Actual
Revenue
% Growth

Direct costs of services


Gross profit
Gross margin

Selling, general and administrative expenses


Depreciation and amortization
Operating income
Operating Margin

Interest expense (income)


Cash Interest Rate
Earnings before taxes
Tax expense (1)
Net income
Supplemental Items
EBITDA
Capex

$
Tax =
$

(1) Projected tax rate @ 40%


(1) Discount Rate (Rf + B(MRP))

11.93%

2010
Actual

131.8 $
3.9%

161.2
22.3%

91.4
40.4 $
30.7%

105.1
56.1
34.8%

23.2
17.6%
0.3
16.95 $
12.9%

28.1
17.4%
0.4
27.55
17.1%

(0.0)
0.5%
17.0

(0.0)
0.4%
27.6

6.4
10.6

10.3
17.2

37.5%
17.26 $
0.8

10.64%

Income Approach

13.22%

2009

DCF Method
EBIT
Taxes Rate
Taxes
NOPAT
NOA (Total Assets)-(Total Liabilities-Total Debt)
Increase in NOA
FCFF

37.5%
27.95
0.7

2010

16.95
37.5%
6.35
10.59
27.55

27.55
37.5%
10.33
17.22
45.22
17.67
(0.46)

CAPM
11.93% Free Cash Flow Growth
ITS Terminal Value

2%
227.33

3%
255.27

4%
290.27

ITS Enterprise Value

201.26

219.06

241.36

Multiple to 2011 Rev


Multiple to 2011 EBITDA
Multiple to 2011 EBIT

1.0
5.3
5.4

1.1
5.8
5.9

1.2
6.4
6.4

Multiple to 2011 NI
10.64% Free Cash Flow Growth Post 2015
ITS Terminal Value

8.6

9.4

2%
261.19

3%
298.27

4%
346.52

ITS Enterprise Value

232.40

257.15

289.35

1.1
6.1
6.2
9.9

10.3

Multiple to 2011 Rev


Multiple to 2011 EBITDA
Multiple to 2011 EBIT
Multiple to 2011 NI
13.22% Free Cash Flow Growth Post 2015
ITS Terminal Value

2%
201.13

3%
222.97

4%
249.56

ITS Enterprise Value

177.19

190.48

206.66

Multiple to 2011 Rev


Multiple to 2011 EBITDA
Multiple to 2011 EBIT
Multiple to 2011 NI

1.3
6.8
6.9
11.0

0.9
4.7
4.7
7.6

1.4
7.6
7.7
12.4

0.9
5.0
5.1
8.1

1.0
5.4
5.5
8.8

Operating Income Based Valuation


CAPM

2009

11.93%
EBIT
NOPAT
NOA
ROPI
PV(ROPI)
PV of Horizon ROPI

$
$
$

EBIT
NOPAT
NOA
ROPI
PV(ROPI)
PV of Horizon ROPI

$
$
$

16.95
10.59
27.55

2010
$
$
$
$

2009

10.64%

16.95
10.59
27.55

EBIT
NOPAT
NOA
ROPI
PV(ROPI)
PV of Horizon ROPI

CAPM
11.93% Growth Rate
Terminal ROPI
PV of Terminal ROPI

ITS Enterprise Value


10.64% Growth Rate
Terminal ROPI
PV of Terminal ROPI

ITS Enterprise Value

$
$
$

$
$

$
$
$

16.95
10.59
27.55

$
$
$
$

2%
18.17 $
140.31 $

208.97

27.55
17.22
45.22
14.29

27.55
17.22
45.22
13.57

$
$
$
$
$

3%
18.34 $
160.23 $

228.89

37.44
23.40
69.08
18.59
18.59

2011

3%
17.10 $
122.01 $

190.67

37.44
23.40
69.08
18.01
18.01

2011
$
$
$
$
$

2010

2%
16.94 $
108.66 $

177.32

2011
$
$
$
$
$

2010
$
$
$
$

2009

13.22%

27.55
17.22
45.22
13.93

37.44
23.40
69.08
17.43
17.43

4%
17.27
138.73

207.39
4%
18.52
186.15

254.81

13.22% Growth Rate


Terminal ROPI
PV of Terminal ROPI

ITS Enterprise Value

$
$

2%
15.71 $
85.22 $

153.88

3%
15.87 $
94.48 $

163.14

4%
16.02
105.74

174.40

uation Downside
Fiscal Year Ended December 31,
2011
2012
2013
Actual
Projected
Projected
$

2014
Projected

2015
Projected

203.3 $
26.1%

233.8 $
15.0%

254.8 $
9.0%

273.9 $
7.5%

290.4
6.0%

129.0
74.3 $
36.6%

149.6
84.17 $
36.0%

164.6
90.21 $
35.4%

178.1
95.88 $
35.0%

190.2
100.18
34.5%

36.4
17.9%
0.5
37.44 $
18.4%

42.1
18.0%
0.6
41.48 $
17.7%

46.1
18.1%
0.7
43.39 $
17.0%

49.9
18.2%
0.8
45.22 $
16.5%

53.1
18.3%
0.9
46.18
15.9%

(0.0)
0.3%
37.5

(0.1)
0.3%
41.5

(0.1)
0.3%
43.5

(0.1)
0.3%
45.4

(0.2)
0.3%
46.4

14.1
23.4

16.6
24.9

17.4
26.1

18.1
27.2

18.5
27.8

37.5%
37.94 $
0.8

2011

40.0%
42.08 $
1.0

2012

37.44
37.5%
14.04
23.40
69.08
23.86
(0.46)

40.0%
44.09 $
1.2

2013

41.48
40.0%
16.59
24.89
79.45
10.36
14.53

5%
335.36

6%
395.68

270.10

308.53

1.3
7.1
7.2

1.5
8.1
8.2

Projected
43.39
40.0%
17.35
26.03
86.60
7.15
18.88

40.0%
46.02 $
1.3

2014
45.22
40.0%
18.09
27.13
93.09
6.49
20.64

40.0%
47.04
1.4

2015
46.18
40.0%
18.47
27.71
98.68
5.59
22.12

11.5

13.2

5%
411.88

6%
505.42

332.97

395.39

1.6
8.8
8.9
14.2

1.9
10.4
10.6
16.9

5%
282.61

6%
324.81

226.77

252.46

1.1
6.0
6.1
9.7

1.2
6.7
6.7
10.8

2012
$
$
$
$
$

41.48
24.89
79.45
16.65
14.87

2013
$
$
$
$
$

2012
$
$
$
$
$

41.48
24.89
79.45
17.54
15.86

$
$

$
$
$

41.48
24.89
79.45
15.76
13.92

$
$
$
$
$

5%
18.70 $
221.26 $

289.92

43.39
26.03
86.60
17.58
14.36

43.39
26.03
86.60
15.53
12.12

6%
17.60
189.09

257.75
6%
18.88
271.51

340.17

45.22
27.13
93.09
16.80
11.98

2015
$
$
$
$
$
$

2014
$
$
$
$
$

2013

5%
17.43 $
160.28 $

228.94

2014
$
$
$
$
$

2013
$
$
$
$
$

2012
$
$
$
$
$

43.39
26.03
86.60
16.55
13.21

45.22
27.13
93.09
17.92
13.24

2015
$
$
$
$
$
$

2014
$
$
$
$
$

45.22
27.13
93.09
15.69
10.81

46.18
27.71
98.68
16.60
10.58
68.66
46.18
27.71
98.68
17.81
11.89
73.94

2015
$
$
$
$
$
$

46.18
27.71
98.68
15.40
9.38
63.64

$
$

5%
16.17 $
119.75 $

188.41

6%
16.33
137.63

206.29

Free Cash Flow Valuation


($ in millions)

Fiscal Year E
2009
Actual
Revenue
% Growth

Direct costs of services


Gross profit
Gross margin

Selling, general and administrative expenses


Depreciation and amortization
Operating income
Operating Margin

Interest expense (income)


Cash Interest Rate
Earnings before taxes
Tax expense (1)

131.8 $
3.9%

161.2
22.3%

91.4
40.4 $
30.7%

105.1
56.1
34.8%

23.2
17.6%
0.3
16.95 $
12.9%

28.1
17.4%
0.4
27.55
17.1%

(0.0)
0.5%
17.0

Net income
Supplemental Items
EBITDA
Capex

2010
Actual

$
Tax =
$

(1) Projected tax rate @ 40%


(1) Discount Rate (Rf + B(MRP))

11.93%

6.37
10.6

(0.0)
0.4%
27.6
$

37.5%
17.26 $
0.8

10.64%

Income Approach

37.5%
27.95
0.7

13.22%

2009

DCF Method 1
EBIT
Taxes Rate
Taxes
NOPAT
NOA (Total Assets)-(Total Liabilities-Total Debt)
Increase in NOA
FCFF

10.34
17.2

2010

16.95
37.5%
6.35
10.59
27.55

27.55
37.5%
10.33
17.22
45.22
17.67
(0.46)

CAPM
11.93% Free Cash Flow Growth Post 2015
ITS Terminal Value

2%
257.63

3%
289.30

4%
328.96

ITS Enterprise Value

224.09

244.27

269.54

Multiple to 2011 Rev


Multiple to 2011 EBITDA
Multiple to 2011 EBIT

1.1
5.9
6.0

1.2
6.4
6.5

1.3
7.1
7.2

Multiple to 2011 NI
10.64% Free Cash Flow Growth Post 2015
ITS Terminal Value

9.6
$

2%
296.01

3%
338.03

4%
392.72

ITS Enterprise Value

259.30

287.34

323.84

Multiple to 2011 Rev


Multiple to 2011 EBITDA
Multiple to 2011 EBIT
Multiple to 2011 NI
13.22% Free Cash Flow Growth Post 2015
ITS Terminal Value

1.3
6.8
6.9
11.1
2%
227.94

ITS Enterprise Value

196.89

Multiple to 2011 Rev


Multiple to 2011 EBITDA
Multiple to 2011 EBIT
Multiple to 2011 NI

10.4

11.5

1.4
7.6
7.7
12.3

1.6
8.5
8.6
13.8

3%
252.70

4%
282.82

211.95

230.29

1.0
5.2
5.3
8.4

1.0
5.6
5.7
9.0

1.1
6.1
6.2
9.8

Operating Income Based Valuation


CAPM

2009

11.93%
EBIT
NOPAT
NOA
ROPI
PV(ROPI)
PV of Horizon ROPI

$
$
$

EBIT
NOPAT
NOA
ROPI
PV(ROPI)
PV of Horizon ROPI

$
$
$

2010

16.95
10.59
27.55

$
$
$
$

2009

10.64%

EBIT
NOPAT
NOA
ROPI
PV(ROPI)
PV of Horizon ROPI

CAPM
11.93% Growth Rate
Terminal ROPI
PV of Terminal ROPI

ITS Enterprise Value


10.64% Growth Rate
Terminal ROPI
PV of Terminal ROPI

ITS Enterprise Value


13.22% Growth Rate

$
$
$

$
$

$
$
$

27.55
17.22
45.22
13.93

$
$
$
$
$

2010

16.95
10.59
27.55

$
$
$
$

2009

13.22%

2011

2011

27.55
17.22
45.22
14.29

$
$
$
$
$

2010

16.95
10.59
27.55

$
$
$
$

2%
20.36 $
130.60 $

204.72

2%
21.61 $
166.94 $

246.55
2%

37.44
23.40
69.08
18.01
18.01

37.44
23.40
69.08
18.59
18.59

2011

27.55
17.22
45.22
13.57

$
$
$
$
$

3%
20.56 $
146.65 $

220.76

3%
21.82 $
190.64 $

270.25
3%

37.44
23.40
69.08
17.43
17.43

4%
20.75
166.75

240.86
4%
22.04
221.48

301.09
4%

Terminal ROPI
PV of Terminal ROPI

$
$

19.10
103.59

$
$

19.29
114.84

$
$

19.47
128.53

ITS Enterprise Value

172.46

183.71

197.40

Valuation
Fiscal Year Ended December 31,
2011
2012
2013
Actual
Projected
Projected
$

2015
Projected

203.3 $
26.1%

235.8 $
16.0%

259.9 $
10.2%

280.8 $
8.1%

299.3
6.6%

129.0
74.3 $
36.6%

150.2
85.6 $
36.3%

166.6
93.3 $
35.9%

178.6
102.2 $
36.4%

189.4
109.8
36.7%

36.4
17.9%
0.5
37.44 $
18.4%

42.0
17.8%
0.6
43.04 $
18.3%

47.3
18.2%
0.6
45.36 $
17.5%

52.2
18.6%
0.7
49.29 $
17.6%

56.9
19.0%
0.7
52.23
17.5%

(0.0)
0.3%
37.5
$

2014
Projected

14.06
23.4

37.5%
37.94 $
0.8

2011

(0.1)
0.3%
43.1

(0.1)
0.3%
45.4

(0.1)
0.3%
49.4

(0.2)
0.3%
52.4

17.2
25.9

18.2
27.3

19.8
29.7

21.0
31.4

40.0%
43.6 $
1.0

2012

37.44
37.5%
14.04
23.40
69.08
23.86
(0.46)

40.0%
46.0 $
1.1

2013

43.04
40.0%
17.22
25.83
80.14
11.05
14.77

5%
380.07

6%
448.43

302.10

345.66

1.5
8.0
8.1

1.7
9.1
9.2

Projected
45.36
40.0%
18.14
27.21
88.31
8.18
19.04

40.0%
50.0 $
1.2

2014
49.29
40.0%
19.72
29.58
95.43
7.12
22.46

40.0%
53.0
1.3

2015
52.23
40.0%
20.89
31.34
101.70
6.27
25.07

12.9

14.8

5%
466.79

6%
572.80

373.27

444.01

1.8
9.8
10.0
15.9

2.2
11.7
11.9
19.0

5%
320.28

6%
368.11

253.08

282.19

1.2
6.7
6.8
10.8

1.4
7.4
7.5
12.0

2012
$
$
$
$
$

2013

43.04
25.83
80.14
17.59
15.71

$
$
$
$
$

2012
$
$
$
$
$

$
$

$
$
$

45.36
27.21
88.31
17.66
14.09

$
$
$
$
$

2013

43.04
25.83
80.14
18.48
16.70

$
$
$
$
$

2012
$
$
$
$
$

2014

$
$
$
$
$

5%
20.95 $
192.64 $

266.76

5%
22.25 $
263.25 $

342.87
5%

$
$
$
$
$
$

2014

45.36
27.21
88.31
18.69
15.27

$
$
$
$
$

2013

43.04
25.83
80.14
16.69
14.75

49.29
29.58
95.43
19.04
13.58

2015

49.29
29.58
95.43
20.18
14.90

2015
$
$
$
$
$
$

2014

45.36
27.21
88.31
16.62
12.97

6%
21.15
227.27

301.39
6%
22.46
323.04

402.65
6%

$
$
$
$
$

49.29
29.58
95.43
17.90
12.34

52.23
31.34
101.70
19.96
12.72
74.11
52.23
31.34
101.70
21.19
14.14
79.61

2015
$
$
$
$
$
$

52.23
31.34
101.70
18.72
11.40
68.87

$
$

19.66
145.55

$
$

19.85
167.29

214.42

236.16

Free Cash Flow Valuation Upside


($ in millions)

Fiscal Year E
2009
Actual
Revenue
% Growth

Direct costs of services


Gross profit
Gross margin

Selling, general and administrative expenses


Depreciation and amortization
Operating income
Operating Margin

Interest expense (income)


Cash Interest Rate
Earnings before taxes
Tax expense (1)
Net income
Supplemental Items
EBITDA
Capex

$
Tax =
$

(1) Projected tax rate @ 40%


(1) Discount Rate (Rf + B(MRP))

11.93%

2010
Actual

131.8 $
3.9%

161.2
22.3%

91.4
40.4 $
30.7%

105.1
56.1
34.8%

23.2
17.6%
0.3
16.95 $
12.9%

28.1
17.4%
0.4
27.55
17.1%

(0.0)
0.5%
17.0

(0.0)
0.4%
27.6

6.4
10.6

10.3
17.2

37.5%
17.26 $
0.8

10.64%

Income Approach

13.22%

2009

DCF Valuation
EBIT
Taxes Rate
Taxes
NOPAT
NOA (Total Assets)-(Total Liabilities-Total Debt)
Increase in NOA
FCFF

37.5%
27.95
0.7

2010

16.95
37.5%
6.35
10.59
27.55

27.55
37.5%
10.33
17.22
45.22
17.67
(0.46)

CAPM
11.93% Free Cash Flow Growth
ITS Terminal Value

2%
271.04

3%
304.36

4%
346.08

ITS Enterprise Value

230.18

251.41

277.99

Multiple to 2011 Rev


Multiple to 2011 EBITDA
Multiple to 2011 EBIT

1.1
6.1
6.1

1.2
6.6
6.7

1.4
7.3
7.4

Multiple to 2011 NI
10.64% Free Cash Flow Growth Post 2015
ITS Terminal Value

9.8
$

2%
311.58

3%
355.85

4%
413.45

ITS Enterprise Value

267.26

296.80

335.25

Multiple to 2011 Rev


Multiple to 2011 EBITDA
Multiple to 2011 EBIT
Multiple to 2011 NI
13.22% Free Cash Flow Growth Post 2015
ITS Terminal Value

1.3
7.0
7.1
11.4
2%
239.83

3%
265.89

4%
297.59

ITS Enterprise Value

201.71

217.57

236.86

Multiple to 2011 Rev


Multiple to 2011 EBITDA
Multiple to 2011 EBIT
Multiple to 2011 NI

10.7

11.9

1.5
7.8
7.9
12.7

1.0
5.3
5.4
8.6

1.6
8.8
9.0
14.3

1.1
5.7
5.8
9.3

1.2
6.2
6.3
10.1

Operating Income Based Valuation


CAPM

2009

11.93%
EBIT
NOPAT
NOA
ROPI
PV(ROPI)
PV of Horizon ROPI

$
$
$

EBIT
NOPAT
NOA
ROPI
PV(ROPI)
PV of Horizon ROPI

$
$
$

16.95
10.59
27.55

2010
$
$
$
$

2009

10.64%

16.95
10.59
27.55

EBIT
NOPAT
NOA
ROPI
PV(ROPI)
PV of Horizon ROPI

CAPM
11.93% Growth Rate
Terminal ROPI
PV of Terminal ROPI

ITS Enterprise Value


10.64% Growth Rate
Terminal ROPI
PV of Terminal ROPI

ITS Enterprise Value

$
$
$

$
$

$
$
$

16.95
10.59
27.55

$
$
$
$

2%
34.59 $
267.16 $

377.80

27.55
17.22
45.22
14.29

27.55
17.22
45.22
13.57

$
$
$
$
$

3%
34.93 $
305.09 $

415.73

37.44
23.40
69.08
18.59
18.59

2011

3%
33.35 $
237.96 $

348.59

37.44
23.40
69.08
18.01
18.01

2011
$
$
$
$
$

2010

2%
33.03 $
211.92 $

322.55

$
$
$
$
$

2010
$
$
$
$

2009

13.22%

27.55
17.22
45.22
13.93

2011

37.44
23.40
69.08
17.43
17.43

4%
33.68
270.57

381.20
4%
35.27
354.45

465.08

13.22% Growth Rate


Terminal ROPI
PV of Terminal ROPI

ITS Enterprise Value

$
$

2%
31.47 $
170.70 $

281.33

3%
31.78 $
189.23 $

299.87

4%
32.09
211.80

322.43

luation Upside
Fiscal Year Ended December 31,
2011
2012
2013
Actual
Projected
Projected
$

2014
Projected

2015
Projected

203.3 $
26.1%

248.0 $
22.0%

295.2 $
19.0%

348.3 $
18.0%

407.5
17.0%

129.0
74.3 $
36.6%

156.3
91.77 $
37.0%

185.9
109.21 $
37.0%

219.4
128.86 $
37.0%

256.7
150.77
37.0%

36.4
17.9%
0.5
37.44 $
18.4%

44.1
17.8%
0.6
47.04 $
19.0%

52.5
17.8%
0.6
56.03 $
19.0%

62.0
17.8%
0.7
66.17 $
19.0%

72.5
17.8%
0.7
77.50
19.0%

(0.0)
0.3%
37.5

(0.1)
0.3%
47.1

(0.1)
0.3%
56.1

(0.1)
0.3%
66.3

(0.2)
0.3%
77.7

14.1
23.4

18.8
28.3

22.4
33.7

26.5
39.8

31.1
46.6

37.5%
37.94 $
0.8

2011

40.0%
47.62 $
1.0

2012

37.44
37.5%
14.04
23.40
69.08
23.86
(0.46)

40.0%
56.67 $
1.1

2013

47.04
40.0%
18.81
28.22
84.28
15.20
13.02

5%
399.85

6%
471.77

312.25

358.08

1.5
8.2
8.3

1.8
9.4
9.6

Projected
56.03
40.0%
22.41
33.62
100.30
16.01
17.60

40.0%
66.87 $
1.2

2014
66.17
40.0%
26.47
39.70
118.35
18.05
21.65

40.0%
78.24
1.3

2015
77.50
40.0%
31.00
46.50
138.47
20.12
26.38

13.3

15.3

5%
491.50

6%
603.23

387.34

461.92

1.9
10.2
10.3
16.5

2.3
12.2
12.3
19.7

5%
337.01

6%
387.35

260.85

291.49

1.3
6.9
7.0
11.1

1.4
7.7
7.8
12.4

2012
$
$
$
$
$

47.04
28.22
84.28
19.98
17.85

2013
$
$
$
$
$

2012
$
$
$
$
$

47.04
28.22
84.28
20.87
18.87

$
$

$
$
$

47.04
28.22
84.28
19.09
16.86

$
$
$
$
$

5%
35.61 $
421.31 $

531.94

56.03
33.62
100.30
24.65
20.14

56.03
33.62
100.30
22.47
17.53

6%
34.33
368.78

479.42
6%
35.95
516.99

627.62

66.17
39.70
118.35
27.74
24.79

2015
$
$
$
$
$
$

2014
$
$
$
$
$

2013

5%
34.00 $
312.59 $

423.22

$
$
$
$
$

2013
$
$
$
$
$

2012
$
$
$
$
$

56.03
33.62
100.30
23.56
21.05

2014

66.17
39.70
118.35
29.04
21.44

2015
$
$
$
$
$
$

2014
$
$
$
$
$

66.17
39.70
118.35
26.45
18.22

77.50
46.50
138.47
32.38
28.93
110.63
77.50
46.50
138.47
33.91
22.63
101.68

2015
$
$
$
$
$
$

77.50
46.50
138.47
30.85
18.78
88.82

$
$

5%
32.40 $
239.85 $

350.48

6%
32.70
275.67

386.30

Company Comparisons Valu


($ in millions)
Company
Hudson Highland Group Inc.
Kforce Inc.
Randstad Holding NV
Robert Half International Inc.
Robert Walters plc
Min
Max
Median
Mean

LTM Operating Indications


Gross
Profit
EBITDA
EBIT
352.6
20.4
13.9
339.6
61.4
48.6
3,869.3
886.3
542.7
1,429.2
272.3
220.4
276.6
27.6
24.4

Revenue
930.1
1,083.9
21,163.9
3,655.1
766.1

13.9
542.7
48.6
170.0

$
$
$
$

8.8
448.7
26.4
126.4

37.9

37.4

23.4

Equity Value:
Hudson Highland Group Inc.
Kforce Inc.
Randstad Holding NV
Robert Half International Inc.
Robert Walters plc

Shares
Stock Price Outstanding MV Equity
4.68
32.9 $
153.97
12.46
37.9 $
472.23
30.04
170.9 $ 5,133.84
26.45
143.0 $ 3,782.35
2.90
77.0 $
223.30

Debt
7.68
61.14
2,318.97
1.70
18.79

$
$
$
$
$

Cash
22.48
1.03
319.77
242.70
35.90

Multipliers:
Hudson Highland Group Inc.
Kforce Inc.
Randstad Holding NV
Robert Half International Inc.
Robert Walters plc
Std Deviation
Min
Std Dev -1
Mean
Std Dev +1
Max

Return
EV/Sales EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT
on Equity
0.1496
6.831
10.018
9.3%
0.4912
8.665
10.963
11.1%
0.3370
8.048
13.143
12.0%
0.9689
13.005
16.064
16.1%
0.2691
7.468
8.456
17.3%
0.31874567 2.445308486 2.958906927 3.381445966
0.1496
6.831
8.456
9.336
0.1244
6.3579
8.7700
9.7954
0.4432
8.803
11.729
13.177
0.7619
11.2485
14.6878
16.5583
0.9689
13.005
16.064
17.303

ITS

ITS Valuation
Min
Std Dev -1
Mean
Std Dev +1
Max
Sum (min:max)
(Sum-Avg)^2
% of Sum of Row 49
1 - Row 50
Weight of Row 51 to Sum

$
766.1
$ 21,163.9
$ 1,083.9
$ 5,519.8

$
$
$
$

276.6
3,869.3
352.6
1,253.4

$
$
$
$

20.4
886.3
61.4
253.6

74.3

203.3

EV/Sales
30.42028
25.29557
90.09657
154.89756
196.97447
497.68445
3122664.76
0.35877677
0.64122323
21%

$
$
$
$

Net
Income
8.8
26.4
448.7
132.1
15.8

$
$
$
$
$

Return
EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT
on Equity
259.16146
316.64089
644.98915
241.21509
328.38506
676.69659
333.98838
439.17932
910.29797
426.76168
549.97358 1143.89936
493.40060
601.52075 1195.36875
1754.52721 2235.69960 4571.25183 2264.79077
260368.9013 846.2964563 5319762.613 8703642.567
0.029914935 9.72347E-05 0.611211062
1
0.970085065 0.999902765 0.388788938
3
32%
33%
13%

Enterprise
Value
$
139.17
$
532.35
$ 7,133.03
$ 3,541.35
$
206.19

ITS Valuation w/ Weights


Min
Std Dev -1
Mean
Std Dev +1
Max

Mean ITS Valuation =

6.50206247
5.40670325
19.2573375
33.1079717
42.101535

391.6065

83.80288769
77.99971931
107.9990477
137.9983761
159.5468499

105.5367001
109.4510424
146.3788714
183.3067005
200.4874215

83.58821626
87.69738261
117.9712608
148.2451391
154.9153831

279.4299
280.5548
391.6065
502.6582
557.0512

y Comparisons Valuation
LTM Margins
Gross
Profit
EBITDA
EBIT
37.9%
2.2%
1.5%
31.3%
5.7%
4.5%
18.3%
4.2%
2.6%
39.1%
7.4%
6.0%
36.1%
3.6%
3.2%

2-Year Compound Annual Growth Rate


Net
Income
0.9%
2.4%
2.1%
3.6%
2.1%

Revenues EBITDA
13.5%
NM
8.2%
18.1%
9.3%
28.3%
5.4%
24.1%
24.2%
44.9%

EBIT Net Income


NM
NM
30.5%
NM
50.3%
NM
41.7%
45.1%
61.9%
80.6%

Return
on Equity
9.3%
11.1%
12.0%
16.1%
17.3%

18.28%
39.10%
36.10%
32.55%

2.19%
7.45%
4.19%
4.62%

1.49%
6.03%
3.18%
3.55%

0.95%
3.61%
2.12%
2.23%

5.42%
24.21%
9.28%
12.11%

18.13%
44.94%
26.21%
28.87%

30.47%
61.92%
45.98%
46.08%

45.09%
80.65%
62.87%
62.87%

9.34%
17.30%
12.02%
13.18%

36.6%

18.66%

18.42%

11.52%

24.2%

48.8%

46.32%

49.18%

33.91%

Enterprise
Value
$
139.17
$
532.35
$ 7,133.03
$ 3,541.35
$
206.19

780666.19 65092.225 211.57411 1329940.7

Comparable Transactions
($ in millions)
Transaction
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Standard Deviation
Low
High
Median
Mean
Valuations
EV/Revenue
Revenue
Implied Enterprise Value
Weight
EV/EBITDA
EBITDA
Implied Enterprise Value
Weight

Enterprise Value
EV/EBITDA
EV/Revenue

Target
Revenues

Enterprise Value
732.22
153.65
1157.86
83.50
162.44
71.79
128.60
1824.29
44.47
55.28
840.75
$
$
$
$
Low

44.5
1,824.3
153.7
477.7

EBITDA

2088.95
623.34
1742.60
806.79
1163.43
135.95
603.30
579.76
51.06
67.77
372.97
$
$
$
$
Mean

51.1
2,089.0
603.3
748.7

EV/Revenue
71.95
17.15
58.84
5.57
27.13
12.10
20.69
86.38
3.75
4.19
53.21

$
$
$
$
High

0.35
0.25
0.66
0.10
0.14
0.53
0.21
3.15
0.87
0.82
2.25

3.8 0.103496573
86.4 3.14662964
20.7 0.528061787
32.8 0.848478988

0.103496573
203.3
21.04085326
0.4
5.344219071
37.9393
202.7559306
0.6

0.848478988
203.3
172.4957783
0.5
12.17392155
37.9393
461.8700619
0.5

3.14662964
203.3
639.7098058
0.4
21.11935633
37.9393
801.2535957
0.6

130.0698997

317.1829201

736.6360797

3.428368464
0.639792915

8.360273387
1.560171766

19.41617478
3.623394391

EV/EBITDA EBITDA Margin


10.18
8.96
19.68
14.99
5.99
5.93
6.22
21.12
11.86
13.19
15.80
5.344219071
5.344219071
21.11935633
11.85866667
12.17392155

3.44%
2.75%
3.38%
0.69%
2.33%
8.90%
3.43%
14.90%
7.34%
6.18%
14.27%
0.69%
14.90%
3.44%
6.15%

Offers
($ in millions)
StaffCo
Purchase
Cash
StaffCo Equity

100%
220
140

Total Offer
Corporate Value Based on Offer

360
360

HGE
% 2013 EBITDA Estimate
Purchase
Cash
Term Loan Senior
Term Loan Subordinate
Cash Offer

Total Offer
Corporate Value Based on Offer

Debt =

80

100
40%
95
60
20
15

97.5

95

92.5

90

95
60
20
12.5

95
60
20
10

95
60
20
7.5

95
60
20
5

190
475

187.5
468.75

185
462.5

182.5
456.25

180
450

Owner's Share
48
142
355

139.5
348.75

137
342.5

134.5
336.25

132
330

87.5

85

95
60
20
2.5

95
60
20
0

177.5
443.75

175
437.5

129.5
323.75

127
317.5

Earnout Vesting Schedule


($ in millions)
% of Management
2013 EBITDA
Estimate

100.0%
97.5%
Low Projection 95.0%
92.5%
90.0%
87.5%
85.0%

Implied 2013
EBITDA
Achieved

$ Value

$46.0

$15.0

$44.9

$12.5

44.09

$10

$43.7
$42.6
$41.4

$10.0
$7.5
$5.0

$40.3
$39.1

$2.5
$0.0

Low
2013
Projected
$

254.8
9.0%
164.6

90.21
35.4%
46.1
18.1%
0.7

43.39
17.0%

(0.1)
0.3%
43.5
17.4
$

26.1
40.0%

$ 44.09
1.2

Mid
2013
Projected
$

259.9
10.2%
166.6

93.3
35.9%
47.3
18.2%
0.6

45.36
17.5%

(0.1)
0.3%
45.4
18.2
$

27.3
40.0%

46.0
1.1

New WACC After H G E Buyout


($ in millions)

2011
Actual

2012
Low
15%

Growth Rate
CURRENT ASSETS
Cash and cash equivalents
Accounts receivable, net
Other current assets
Total current assets

LONG-TERM ASSETS
Fixed assets, net
Goodwill
Other assets
Total long-term assets
Total assets
CURRENT LIABILITIES
Accounts payable
Accrued expenses
Accrued payroll
Total current liabilities

36.6
34.2
3.7
74.5

2.3

19%

0.6
2.9

19%

42.12
39.29
4.31
85.72

2012
Mid
16%
$

2.70
78.38
0.75
81.83

2012
High
21%

42.49
39.63
4.35
86.46

44.32
41.34
4.54
90.19

2.70
78.39
0.75
81.84

2.70
78.44
0.75
81.89

77.4

167.55

168.31

172.08

3.0
0.7
4.3
8.1

3.49
0.84
4.97
9.30

3.52
0.84
5.02
9.38

3.68
0.88
5.23
9.79

LONG-TERM LIABILITIES
Term Loan (LIBOR + 7)
Subordinate Loan (2% PIK)
Other liabilities
Total long-term liabilities

0.3
0.3

11%

60.00
20.40
0.29
80.70

60.00
20.40
0.29
80.70

60.00
20.40
0.29
80.70
90.48

Total liabilities

8.4

90.00

90.08

Shareholders' equity

59.1

77.55

78.23

81.60

Total liabilities & shareholders' equity

67.4

168.31

172.08

167.55

169.57116
167.55
(2.02)

170.316548
168.306407
(2.01)

174.04348
172.08272
(1.96)

D/E
1-Tax

1.160494
60%

1.1515238
60%

1.108897
60%

Levered Beta

2.1909364

2.18398488

2.1509508

CAPM

17.10%

17.06%

16.87%

Change in Goodwill
Tax Rate
RFR
Equity Risk Premium
Unlevered Beta
CAPM

40%
4.50%
5.75%
1.29
11.93%

Term Loan (LIBOR + 7) 8.50%

0.75

Subordinate Loan (2% PIK)


Cost (D)
D/V
E/V

WACC

14%

0.25
5.93%
47.99%
52.01%

5.93%
47.77%
52.23%

5.93%
46.72%
53.28%

11.736%

11.740%

11.755%

1 Month LIBOR Rate


3 Month LIBOR Rate
6 Month LIBOR Rate
1 Year LIBOR Rate

0.28
0.56
0.79
1.11

Vous aimerez peut-être aussi