Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
0214 .
91 . 733 , 9 .
) 01 . 168 , 4 . ( ) 05 (.
,
91 . 733 , 9 .
01 . 168 , 4 .
05 .
=
=
=
Tk
Tk
X Therefore
Tk
Tk X
YEAR NET CASH FLOWS PVI F AT 20% PRESENT VALUES
1 Tk. 34, 432 0. 833 = Tk. 28, 681. 86
2 39, 530 0. 694 = 27, 433. 82
3 39, 359 0. 579 = 22, 788. 86
4 32, 219 0. 482 = 15, 529. 56
Tk. 94, 434. 10
CRI SL Cer t i f i ed Fi nanci al Anal y st ( CCFA) Pr ogr am
Level : 1 Fundament al s of Fi nanci al Management ( F2)
Module # 5: Capit al Budget ing Techniques Page 5 of 9
And I RR = . 15 + X = . 15 + . 0214 = . 1714, or 17. 14 percent . ( Solving for I RR by comput er yields
17. 04 percent , which in t his case is very close t o our approximat e answer) .
The Problems can also be solved in t he following way:
I RR= a+ [ c/ ( c- d) ] * ( b- a)
= . 15+ [ 4168. 01/ ( 4168. 01+ 5565. 9) ] * ( 0. 20- 0. 15)
= 17. 14%
I f t he cash- flow st ream is a uniform series of inflows ( an annuit y) and t he i nit ial out flow occurs at t ime
0, t here is no need for a t rial and error approach. We simply divide t he init ial cash out flow by t he
periodic receipt and search for t he nearest discount fact or in a t able of present value int erest fact ors
of an annuit y ( PVI FAs) . This is because for a net cash- flow st ream t hat is an annuit y, we have
I CO = ( PVI FA
I RR, n
) ( periodic cash flow)
And, rearranging t erms reveals-
( PVI FA
I RR, n
) = I CO / ( periodi c cash flow)
Modifying our example, let s assume t hat t he init ial cash out flow of Tk. 100, 000 was followed by four
annual receipt s of Tk. 36, 000. We divide Tk. 100, 000 by Tk. 36, 000, obt aining 2. 778. The nearest
discount fact or on t he four- period row is 2. 798, and t his figure corresponds t o a discount rat e of 16
percent . I n as much as 2. 778 is less t han 2. 798, we know t hat t he act ual rat e lies bet ween 16 and 17
percent , and we would int erpolat e accordingly if a more precise answer were required. As we have
seen, when t he cash flow st ream is an uneven series t he t ask i s more di fficult . I n such a case we must
resort t o t rail and error. Wit h pract ice, a person can become surprisingly close in select ing discount
rat es from which t o st art .
Accept ance Cr i t er i on:
The accept ance crit erion generally employed wit h t he int ernal rat e of ret urn met hod is t o compare t he
int ernal rat e of ret urn t o a required rat e of ret urn, known as t he cut off or hurdle rat e. We assume for
now t hat t he required rat e of ret urn is given. I f t he required rat e of ret urn is 12 percent in our
example problem and t he int ernal rat e of ret urn met hod is employed, t he invest ment proposal will be
accept ed. I f t he required rat e of ret urn is t he ret urn i nvest ors expect t he firm t o earn on t he proj ect ,
accept ing a proj ect wit h an int ernal rat e of ret urn in excess of t he required of ret urn should result in
an increase in t he market price of t he st ock. This is because t he firm accept s a proj ect wit h a ret urn
great er t han t hat required t o maint ain t he present market price per share.
1.3 Net Pr esent Val ue:
Like t he int ernal rat e of ret urn met hod, t he net present value met hod is a discount ed cash flow
approach t o capit al budget ing. The net present value ( NPV) of an invest ment proposal is t he present
value of t he proposal s net cash flows less t he proposals init ial cash out flow. I n formula form we
have-
NPV= ICO
k
CF
K
CF
K
CF
n
n
+
+ +
+
+
+ ) 1 (
. ..........
) 1 ( 1 ) 1 (
2
2 1
Where k is t he required rat e of ret urn and all t he ot her variables remain as previously defined.
Accept ance Cr i t er i on:
I f an invest ment proj ect s net present value is zero or more, t he proj ect is accept ed; if not , it is
rej ect ed. Anot her way t o express t he accept ance crit erion is t o say t hat t he proj ect will be accept ed if
t he present value of cash inflows exceeds t he present value of cash out flows. The rat ionale behind t he
accept ance crit erion i s t he same as t hat behind t he int ernal rat e of ret urn met hod. I f t he required rat e
CRI SL Cer t i f i ed Fi nanci al Anal y st ( CCFA) Pr ogr am
Level : 1 Fundament al s of Fi nanci al Management ( F2)
Module # 5: Capit al Budget ing Techniques Page 6 of 9
of ret urn is t he ret urn invest ors expect t he firm t o earn on t he invest ment proposal ; and t he firm
accept s a proposal wit h a net present value great er t han zero, t he market value of t he st ock should
rise. I n fact , if t he required rat e of ret urn, or discount rat e, is chosen correct ly, t he t ot al market price
of t he firms st ock should change by an amount equal t o t he net present value of t he proj ect . Thus,
t alking a proj ect wit h a net present value equal t o zero should leave t he market price of t he firms
st ock unchanged.
I f we assume a required rat e of ret urn of 12 percent aft er t axes, t he net present value of our previous
example is
NPV= 000 , 100 .
) 12 . 1 (
219 , 32 .
) 12 . 1 (
359 , 39 .
) 12 . 1 (
530 , 39 .
) 12 . 1 (
432 , 34 .
4 3 2 1
Tk
Tk Tk Tk Tk
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
Or, alt ernat ively,
NPV = [ Tk. 34, 432( PVI F
12%
,
1
) + Tk. 39, 530( PVI F
12%
,
2
) + Tk. 39, 359( PVI F
12%
,
3
) + Tk. Tk. 32,
219( PVI F
12%
,
4
) ] - Tk. 100, 000
= [ Tk. 30, 748+ Tk. 31, 505+ Tk. 28, 024+ Tk. 20, 491] - Tk. 100, 000
= Tk. 10, 768.
Once again, t he problem can be solved by comput er, by calculat or, or by reference t o t he appropriat e
present value t able. I n as much as t he net present value of t his proposal is great er t han zero; t he
proposal should be accept ed, based on t he net present value met hod.
NPV Pr of i l e:
I n general, t he net present value and int ernal rat e of ret urn met hods lead t o t he same accept ance or
rej ect ion decision. I n figure we illust rat e graphically t he t wo met hods applied t o our example proj ect .
The graph, called an NPV profile, shows t he curvilinear relat ionship bet ween t he net present value for
a proj ect and t he discount rat e employed. When t he discount rat e is zero, net present value is simply
t he t ot al cash inflows less t he t ot al cash out flows of t he proj ect . Assuming a convent ional proj ect
one where t ot al inflows and where t he init ial out flow( s) is ( are) followed by inflows- t he highest net
present value will occur when t he di scount rat e is zero. As t he di scount rat e increases, t he net present
value profile slopes downward t o t he right .
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000 IRR=17%
0
5 10 15 20
-10,000 DISCOUNT RATE (%)
N
E
T
P
R
E
S
E
N
T
V
A
L
U
E
(
T
k
.
)
CRI SL Cer t i f i ed Fi nanci al Anal y st ( CCFA) Pr ogr am
Level : 1 Fundament al s of Fi nanci al Management ( F2)
Module # 5: Capit al Budget ing Techniques Page 7 of 9
At t he point where t he NPV curve int ersect s t he horizont al axis on t he graph, t he net present value of
t he proj ect is zero. By definit ion, t he discount rat e at t hat point represent s t he int ernal rat e of ret urn
t he discount rat e at which t he proj ect s net present value equals zero. For discount rat es great er t han
t he int ernal rat e of ret urn, t he net present value of t he proj ect is negat ive.
I f t he required rat e of ret urn is less t han t he int ernal rat e of ret urn, we would accept t he proj ect using
eit her met hod. Suppose t hat t he required rat e of ret urn was 12 percent . As seen in t he above figure,
t he net present value of t he proj ect is somewhat over Tk. 10, 000.
1.4 Pr of i t abi l i t y I ndex :
The profit abilit y index ( PI ) , or benefit - cost rat io, of a proj ect is t he rat io of t he present value of fut ure
net cash flows t o t he init i al cash out flow. I t can be expressed as
PI = ICO
k
CF
K
CF
K
CF
n
n
+
+ +
+
+
+ ) 1 (
......
) 1 ( ) 1 (
2
2
1
1
For our example problem,
PI = ( Tk. 30, 748+ Tk. 31, 505+ Tk. 28, 024+ Tk. 20, 491) Tk. 100, 000
= Tk. 110, 768 Tk. 100, 000
= 1. 11
Accept ance Cr i t er i on
As long as t he profit abilit y index is 1. 00 or great er, t he invest ment proposal is accept able. For any
given proj ect , t he net present value and t he profit abilit y index met hods give t he same accept - rej ect
signals. ( A profit abilit y index great er t han 1. 00 implies t hat a proj ect s present value is great er t han it s
init ial cash out flow which, in t urn, implies t hat net present value is great er t han zero. ) The net preset
value met hod, however, is oft en preferred over t he profit abilit y index met hod. The reason for t his is
t hat t he net present value t ells you whet her t o accept a proj ect or not and also expresses t he absolut e
dollar economic cont ribut ion t hat t he proj ect makes t o shareholder wealt h. I n cont rast , t he
profit abilit y index expresses only t he relat ive profit abilit y.
Capi t al Rat i oni ng
Capit al rat ioning occurs any t ime when t here is a budget ceiling, or const raint , on t he amount of funds
t hat can be invest ed during a specific period, or const raint , such as a year. Such const raint s are
prevalent i n a number of fi rms, part icularly in t hose t hat have a pol icy of i nt ernally financing all capit al
expendit ures. Anot her example of capit al rat ioning occurs when a division of a large company is
allowed t o make capit al expendit ures only up t o a specified budget ceiling, over which t he division
usually has no cont rol. Wit h a capit al rat ioning const raint , t he firm at t empt s t o select t he combinat ion
of invest ment proposals t hat will provide t he great est increase in t he value of t he firm subj ect t o not
exceeding t he budget ceiling const raint .
When capit al is rat ioned over mult iple periods, several alt ernat ive ( and rat her complicat ed) met hods
of handling const rained maximizat ion can be applied t o t he capit al rat ioning problem. These met hods
make use of linear, int eger or goal programming.
I f capit al is t o be rat ioned for only t he current period, t he problem is reduced t o select ing t hose
proj ect s t hat add t he great est increment in value per t aka of invest ment wit hout surpassing t he
budget ceiling. Assume, for example, t hat your firm faces t he following invest ment opport unit ies:
CRI SL Cer t i f i ed Fi nanci al Anal y st ( CCFA) Pr ogr am
Level : 1 Fundament al s of Fi nanci al Management ( F2)
Module # 5: Capit al Budget ing Techniques Page 8 of 9
PROJECT I NI TI AL CASH OUTFLOWS I RR NPV PI
A Tk. 50000 15% Tk. 12000 1. 24
B 35000 19 15000 1. 43
C 30000 28 42000 2. 40
D 25000 26 1000 1. 04
E 15000 20 10000 1. 67
F 10000 37 11000 2. 10
G 10000 25 13000 2. 30
H 1000 18 100 1. 10
Table: 1
I f t he budget ceiling for init ial cash out flow during t he present period is Tk. 65, 000 and t he proposals
are independent of each ot her, you would want t o sel ect t he combinat ion of proposals t hat provides
t he great est increase in firm value t hat Tk. 65, 000 ( or less) can provide. Select ing proj ect s in
descending order of profit abilit y according t o t he various discount ed cash flow met hods unt il t he Tk.
65, 000 budget is exhaust ed reveals t he following:
Table: 2
Table: 4
Wit h capit al rat ioning, you would accept proj ect C, E, F and G, t ot aling Tk. 65000 in init ial out flows.
No ot her mix of available proj ect s will provide a great er t ot al net present value t han t he Tk. 76000
t hat t hese proj ect s provide. Because of t he budget const raint , you cannot necessaril y invest in all
proposals t hat increase t he net present value of t he firm; you invest in an accept able proposal only if
t he budget const raint allows such an invest ment . As you can see, select i ng proj ect s by descending
order of profit abilit y index ( t he rat io of t he present value of fut ure net cash flows over t he init ial cash
out flow) allows you t o select t he mix of proj ect t hat gives you t he biggest bang for t he buck
exact ly what ranking proj ect s by profit abilit y index reveals.
A budget ceiling carries a real cost when it bars us from t aking advant age of any addit i onal profit able
opport unit ies. I n our exampl e, a number of opport unit ies were forgone by t he imposit ions of t he Tk.
65000 budget ceiling. We were prohibit ed from t aking proj ect s A, B, D and H even t hough t hey would
have added Tk. 28100 ( Tk. 12000+ Tk. 15000+ Tk. 1000+ Tk. 100) in value t o t he firm.
PROJECT I RR NPV I NI TI AL OUTFLOW
F 37% Tk. 11000 Tk. 10000
C 28 42000 30000
D 26 1000 25000
Tk. 54000 Tk. 65000
PROJECT NPV I NI TI AL OUTFLOW
C Tk. 42000 Tk. 30000
B 15000 35000
Tk. 57000 Tk. 65000
PROJECT PI NPV I NI TI AL OUTFLOW
C 2. 40 Tk. 42000 Tk. 30000
G 2. 30 13000 10000
F 2. 10 11000 10000
E 1. 67 10000 15000
Tk. 76000 Tk. 65000
Table: 3
CRI SL Cer t i f i ed Fi nanci al Anal y st ( CCFA) Pr ogr am
Level : 1 Fundament al s of Fi nanci al Management ( F2)
Module # 5: Capit al Budget ing Techniques Page 9 of 9
MODEL QUESTI ONS
Sect i on- A: Shor t Quest i ons
1. What are t he met hods of capit al budget ing t echniques?
2. Briefly describe t he problems of pay back period met hod?
3. Why discount ed cash flow met hod is popular t o non discount ed cash flow met hod?
4. What are t he accept ance crit eria of I RR met hod?
5. Define t he concept of Net Present Value ( NPV) .
6. How can you link t he concept of Net Present Value wit h I nt ernal rat e of Ret urn ( I RR) ?
7. Briefly explain t he capit al rat ioning problem.
Sect i on- B: Pr act i cal Pr obl ems
1. ABC Company is considering a new product line t o supplement it s range line. I t is ant icipat ed
t hat t he new product line will involve cash invest ment of Tk. 500, 000 init ially. Aft er t ax cash
inflows of t he proj ect are expect ed-
End of t he year Amount of cash flow ( in Tk. )
1 250, 000
2 175, 000
3 150, 000
4 225, 000
5 195, 000
Based on t hese informat ion answer t he following quest ions:
a) What is t he I nt ernal Rat e of Ret urn of t he Proj ect ?
b) I f t he required rat e of ret urn is 15%, will t he proj ect be accept ed?
c) What is t he proj ect s pay back period?
2. Two mut ually exclusive proj ect s have proj ect ed cash flows as follows:
Cash flows ( at t he end of year) Proj ect A ( in Tk) Proj ect B( in Tk)
1 ( 2000) ( 2000)
2 1000 0
3 1000 0
4 1000 0
5 1000 6000
a) Det ermine t he net present value for each proj ect at 10% discount rat e.
b) Which proj ect would you select ? Why? What assumpt ions are inherent in your decision?