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SDI 2008 1

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Elections 2NC Blocks


Elections 2NC Blocks.................................................................................................................................................1
Elections 2NC Blocks.....................................................................................................................1
***Uniqueness***......................................................................................................................................................4
***Uniqueness***..........................................................................................................................4
2NC Uniqueness Wall – AT: McCain Win.................................................................................................................5
2NC Uniqueness Wall – AT: McCain Win..................................................................................5
2NC Uniqueness Wall – AT: McCain Win.................................................................................................................6
2NC Uniqueness Wall – AT: McCain Win..................................................................................6
2NC AT: McCain Win (AT: Clinton Supporters)......................................................................................................7
2NC AT: McCain Win (AT: Clinton Supporters)......................................................................7
2NC AT: McCain Win (AT: Independents)...............................................................................................................8
2NC AT: McCain Win (AT: Independents)................................................................................8
2NC AT: McCain Win (AT: Latinos).........................................................................................................................9
2NC AT: McCain Win (AT: Latinos)..........................................................................................9
2NC AT: McCain Win (AT: Obama Flip-Flop On Iraq)..........................................................................................10
2NC AT: McCain Win (AT: Obama Flip-Flop On Iraq)........................................................10
2NC AT: McCain Win (AT: McCain Electorals Montpoli).....................................................................................11
2NC AT: McCain Win (AT: McCain Electorals Montpoli)....................................................11
Obama Will Win........................................................................................................................................................12
Obama Will Win..........................................................................................................................12
***Link***...............................................................................................................................................................13
***Link***...................................................................................................................................13
2NC Link Wall – US-China Coop.............................................................................................................................14
2NC Link Wall – US-China Coop...............................................................................................14
2NC Link Wall – US-China Coop – AT: Money......................................................................................................15
2NC Link Wall – US-China Coop – AT: Money.......................................................................15
2NC Link Wall – RPS...............................................................................................................................................16
2NC Link Wall – RPS..................................................................................................................16
2NC Link Wall – RPS – AT: Plan Controversial......................................................................................................17
2NC Link Wall – RPS – AT: Plan Controversial......................................................................17
2NC Link Wall – RPS – AT: GOP Backlash............................................................................................................18
2NC Link Wall – RPS – AT: GOP Backlash.............................................................................18
2NC Link Wall – RPS – AT: Dems Oppose.............................................................................................................19
2NC Link Wall – RPS – AT: Dems Oppose..............................................................................19
SDI 2008 2
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2NC Link Wall – RPS – AT: Flip-Flop....................................................................................................................20


2NC Link Wall – RPS – AT: Flip-Flop......................................................................................20
2NC Link Wall – Feebates........................................................................................................................................21
2NC Link Wall – Feebates...........................................................................................................21
2NC Link Wall – Feebates – AT: Perceived As Tax.................................................................................................22
2NC Link Wall – Feebates – AT: Perceived As Tax..................................................................22
2NC Link Wall – Cellulosic Ethanol.........................................................................................................................23
2NC Link Wall – Cellulosic Ethanol..........................................................................................23
2NC Link Wall – Tradeable Permits.........................................................................................................................24
2NC Link Wall – Tradeable Permits..........................................................................................24
2NC Link Wall – Tradeable Permits.........................................................................................................................25
2NC Link Wall – Tradeable Permits..........................................................................................25
2NC Link Wall – Tradeable Permits – AT: Energy Prices Link Turn......................................................................26
2NC Link Wall – Tradeable Permits – AT: Energy Prices Link Turn...................................26
2NC Link Wall – Nuke Power..................................................................................................................................27
2NC Link Wall – Nuke Power.....................................................................................................27
2NC Link Wall – Nuke Power – AT: Yucca/Waste Link Turn.................................................................................28
2NC Link Wall – Nuke Power – AT: Yucca/Waste Link Turn................................................28
2NC AT: GOP Base Link Turn ...............................................................................................................................29
2NC AT: GOP Base Link Turn .................................................................................................29
2NC AT: GOP Base Link Turn.................................................................................................................................30
2NC AT: GOP Base Link Turn...................................................................................................30
2NC AT: Environment Not Key To Elections..........................................................................................................31
2NC AT: Environment Not Key To Elections...........................................................................31
2NC AT: Economy Key To Elections.......................................................................................................................32
2NC AT: Economy Key To Elections.........................................................................................32
2NC AT: McCain Is Not Coattailed To Bush ..........................................................................................................33
2NC AT: McCain Is Not Coattailed To Bush ...........................................................................33
***Impact***............................................................................................................................................................34
***Impact***...............................................................................................................................34
2NC AT: LOST Impact Takeouts.............................................................................................................................35
2NC AT: LOST Impact Takeouts..............................................................................................35
2NC AT: LOST Kills Economy/Power Projection...................................................................................................36
2NC AT: LOST Kills Economy/Power Projection...................................................................36
2NC AT: LOST Empirically False...........................................................................................................................37
2NC AT: LOST Empirically False.............................................................................................37
SDI 2008 3
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2NC AT: LOST Bad – Sovereignty..........................................................................................................................38


2NC AT: LOST Bad – Sovereignty............................................................................................38
2NC AT: No Overpopulation Solvency....................................................................................................................39
2NC AT: No Overpopulation Solvency......................................................................................39
2NC AT: McCain Won’t Strike Iran.........................................................................................................................40
2NC AT: McCain Won’t Strike Iran.........................................................................................40
2NC AT: McCain Won’t Strike Iran.........................................................................................................................41
2NC AT: McCain Won’t Strike Iran.........................................................................................41
2NC Impact Overview – GGR..................................................................................................................................42
2NC Impact Overview – GGR....................................................................................................42
SDI 2008 4
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***Uniqueness***
SDI 2008 5
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2NC Uniqueness Wall – AT: McCain Win


Group the 2AC numbers ____ on the uniqueness debate:

( ) Extend 1NC Cillizza 2008 evidence—Obama is winning because of independents in key


battleground states. Our evidence says these are the critical states in the election and
McCain is facing an uphill climb.

( ) Obama will win because of the Economy


Faucher 6/28/08 [Augustine, director of macroeconomics at Moody's Economy.com in West Chester, Pa, Boston Globe,
http://www.boston.com/bostonglobe/editorial_opinion/oped/articles/2008/06/28/economy_bodes_ill_wind_for_mccain/]
HISTORICALLY, ECONOMIC conditions have played an enormous role in presidential elections, even
as other factors come into play. Economic downturns are bad news for the incumbent, while expansions
tend to lead to reelection. Franklin D. Roosevelt unseated Herbert Hoover in the depth of the Great
Depression in 1932. Boom times helped reelect Ronald Reagan in 1984 and Bill Clinton in 1996. For all the
money and time and effort that go into campaigning, the results of presidential elections often seem to
track basic economic conditions. My employer, Moody's Economy.com, has developed a model to
predict the outcome of the vote in each state, based on economic conditions at the time of the election.
The results forecast the Electoral College vote. And as of June, the model is predicting a big victory for
the Democrat, Senator Barack Obama.

( ) Electoral indicators
Montopoli 6/25/08 [BRIAN political correspondent, CBS NEWS
http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2008/06/25/politics/horserace/entry4207063.shtml]
Does Barack Obama already have the presidency locked up? For Democrats, it might be tempting to
think so. A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll out yesterday shows Obama with a 12 point edge – an
advantage that stretches to 15 points when Ralph Nader and Bob Barr are included. The poll also suggests
that more voters are identifying as Democrats than Republicans, and that John McCain is suffering
from a “passion gap” – while just 58 percent of conservatives said they would vote for McCain, 79
percent of liberals vowed to vote for Obama. In addition, almost every metric in the race favors the
Democratic candidate – among them the candidate’s fundraising ability, trends in party identification,
and disenchantment with the current (Republican) president. McCain seems to realize that he faces an
uphill battle: At a fundraiser yesterday, the presumptive GOP nominee said, “We are behind, we are the
underdog. That’s what I like to be.”
SDI 2008 6
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2NC Uniqueness Wall – AT: McCain Win


( ) Obama is currently ahead in the electoral votes
Eric Black Ink, 7/18. Electoral College snapshot II,
http://www.minnpost.com/ericblack/2008/07/18/2616/electoral_college_snapshot_ii
Based on state-by-state polls, Barack Obama continues to occupy a dominant position on the Electoral
College map — far more dominant, in fact, than is reflected in national popular vote polls, where his
lead has recently fluctuated between zero and 9 percentage points with a Real Clear Politics average of 4.1
percentage points as of Thursday night. In the Electoral College, by contrast, Real Clear Politics scores
the current standings two ways: 255 electoral votes for Obama; 163 for John McCain with 120 in states too
close to call or, if RCP forces each state into redness or blueness however small the polling lead, it comes out 309-229 in favor of
Obama. I've been watching another electoral college map site maintained by Andrew S. Tanenbaum, a professor of computer science
who writes under the handle of Votemaster and who updates his map every day based on the latest polling. Unlike Real Clear Politics,
which averages several polls, Votemaster awards each state to whichever candidate is ahead in the most recent poll. I can picture
arguments for both methods and will try to monitor both maps to get the benefit of each. As of Thursday night, Votemaster says
Obama leads in states with a total of 320 electoral votes compared with 204 for McCain and two states
worth 14 EV that are exactly tied in the most recent poll. But one thing I like about Votemaster's map is that he has
more categories to indicate the size of Obama or McCain's lead in each state. Votemaster says Obama is ahead solidly (10 points or
more) in 16 states (plus the District of Columbia) worth 211 EV; ahead "weakly" (5-9 points) in five states worth 35 EV and "barely"
ahead (less than 5 points) in five states worth 74 EV. McCain has solid control of 11 states (77 EV), weak control of eight states (116)
and is barely ahead three states (11). Two states, North Dakota and Missouri, worth 14 EV, were exactly tied in the most recent polls
considered by Votemaster.

( ) Latino and Women Vote and Solid Base


Hogarth 7/1/08 [Paul, staff writer, Beyond Chron: San Francisco’s Alternative Online Daily
http://www.beyondchron.org/news/index.php?itemid=5826]
But anyone who closely follows the election online knows that Obama has solidified the Democratic
Party base – and is on a clear path to winning the presidency in November. After Hillary Clinton suspended her
primary campaign and endorsed Obama, pundits wrote (and still write) stories about disgruntled Hillary supporters who will vote for
John McCain in the November election. Women are not supposed to vote for Obama because, according to Geraldine Ferraro, he’s run a
“terribly sexist campaign.” Latinos are supposedly too racist to vote for a black candidate – and pundits say a sizable number will vote
Republican (ignoring the party’s xenophobic jihad on immigration policy.) But the facts are getting into the way of that theory. A
recent poll shows Latinos breaking 62-28 for Obama over McCain, with other polls showing similar
results. When you consider that Bush got 40% of the Latino vote in 2004, it’s obvious that Latinos are
deserting the G.O.P. in droves. Along with labor’s unprecedented get-out-the-vote effort to target that
community in November, Obama is likely to pick up either Colorado, New Mexico or Nevada – and
possibly all three states. And McCain has more to worry about Republican women deserting him than vice versa. Not only
have Democratic women united behind Obama, but polling shows McCain’s anti-choice record (once
women hear about it) is going to be a huge liability. “I'm sure there are female Hillary Clinton voters who will go for John
McCain in the general election,” said Katha Pollitt in The Nation, “but I don't think too many of them will be feminists. Because to vote
for McCain, a feminist would have to be insane.” Obama will win the general because he has a solidified lead in all
the states John Kerry won in 2004 – even swing states like Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.
While the blue states won’t be enough to win the Presidency, it prevents Obama from having to play
defense – giving him 252 electoral votes in the bag and shifting the battle into traditionally Republican
states.

( ) Independent candidates leach votes from McCain


CTV.ca, online newspaper news staff, 7-16-2008, “Obama leads McCain in new election poll”, NM,
http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20080716/us_poll_080716/20080716?hub=Politics
A new poll suggests Barack Obama has a seven-point lead over John McCain in the race to the White House,
but nearly 10 per cent of voters have yet to make up their minds. The Zogby poll, released Wednesday,
also suggests independent candidate Ralph Nader and Libertarian candidate Bob Barr would draw votes
away from McCain, thereby extending Obama's lead even further. When respondents were asked who
they would vote for if only given the choice between Obama, McCain and "someone else," most said
they would support the Democratic candidate: * Obama: 47 per cent * McCain: 40.3 per cent *
Other: 2.9 per cent * Undecided: 9.8 per cent
SDI 2008 7
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2NC AT: McCain Win (AT: Clinton Supporters)


( ) Obama will win – Clinton supporters approve—prefer our evidence because it
postdates theirs which is important because voters change their minds daily
San Francisco Chronicle. 7/16/8. Poll: Obama winning over Clinton backers in state.
http://www.dailynews.com/news/ci_9903025. AP.
California Democrats and independent voters who backed Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton have gravitated
in huge numbers to Sen. Barack Obama - a consolidation of support that has given him a 24-point lead
over Republican rival John McCain in the nation's most populous state, the latest Field Poll shows. The
poll shows that Clinton's supporters prefer Obama to McCain, 80 percent to 8 percent, and the Illinois
senator holds a 2-to-1 lead among California's likely female voters. However, the poll carries a margin of
error of 5.1 percentage points for its questions to 376 likely Democratic and nonpartisan voters asked about
Obama's running mate. That margin is far larger than the 3 percent error margin considered optimum for such
polling.

( ) Former Clinton supporters especially women will vote for the democrat, Obama, not
McCain, the Republican; that’s the Hogart 7/1 card.
SDI 2008 8
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2NC AT: McCain Win (AT: Independents)


Prefer the 1NC Cillizza 8 evidence because it talks about the 4 swing states that are key to
Obama’s victory and the independents that their evidence talks about may be spread all
over the country which gives McCain no advantage.
SDI 2008 9
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2NC AT: McCain Win (AT: Latinos)


Latinos will definitely vote for Obama, that’s Hogart 7/1 because of his favorable labor
policies.
SDI 2008 10
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2NC AT: McCain Win (AT: Obama Flip-Flop On Iraq)


( ) McCain has flip-flopped many times-immigration, detention centers, and financial
reforms
Joan Vennochi, Boston Globe reporter, 6/22/2008, Boston Globe, “Obama and McCain – flip-flop, flip-flop”,
http://www.boston.com/news/nation/articles/2008/06/22/obama_and_mccain___flip_flop_flip_flop/, AB
As a presidential candidate, McCain now opposes his own immigration plan. He backs the Bush tax cuts
he once opposed with contempt. While McCain presents himself as a maverick feared by lobbyists and
special interests, his campaign has many ties to both and includes staffers who were once lobbyists.
Last week, the Republican called for lifting the moratorium on offshore drilling, a dramatic contrast with his
strong support for upholding the moratorium during his 2000 bid for the Republican nomination. A former
prisoner of war, who suffered torture in Vietnam, McCain has called for the US detention center in
Guantanamo Bay to be closed and for torture to be banned. Last week, he criticized the US Supreme
Court for "one of the worst decisions in the history of this country" after the court ruled that detainees
should be allowed to challenge their detentions in US courts. McCain has also been trying to distance
himself even further from an earlier comment that it "would be fine with me" if the US military stayed in Iraq
"for a hundred years," a remark he qualified at the time with the condition that Americans were not being
injured or killed. Meanwhile, McCain is blasting Obama for opting out of public financing. But as Media
Matters for America reports, McCain is being asked by federal elections officials to show that he did not
use the promise of public money to obtain a $4 million loan to kickstart his once faltering presidential
campaign. Doing so would be disingenuous from a candidate who is routinely described as a champion
of campaign finance reform.

( ) the card doesn’t actually say that Obama will lose, it says it will give McCain an
opportunity to insult him
SDI 2008 11
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2NC AT: McCain Win (AT: McCain Electorals Montpoli)


( ) Prefer our evidence—our Montopoli card is from 08 so it postdates which matters
because the political environment changes over two years

( ) Prefer our evidence—There is no way that early polls could have been conclusive in ’06

( ) This is a straw person argument-the same article also talks about how Obama is
winning and will win the election—the entire argument is a wash—throw this out and
prefer the rest of our Uniqueness evidence
SDI 2008 12
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Obama Will Win


Obama is currently ahead in the electoral votes even though the popular vote does not
indicate it.
ERIC BLACK INK. 7/18. Electoral College snapshot II.
http://www.minnpost.com/ericblack/2008/07/18/2616/electoral_college_snapshot_ii AP.
Based on state-by-state polls, Barack Obama continues to occupy a dominant position on the Electoral
College map — far more dominant, in fact, than is reflected in national popular vote polls, where his
lead has recently fluctuated between zero and 9 percentage points with a Real Clear Politics average of 4.1
percentage points as of Thursday night. In the Electoral College, by contrast, Real Clear Politics scores
the current standings two ways: 255 electoral votes for Obama; 163 for John McCain with 120 in states
too close to call or, if RCP forces each state into redness or blueness however small the polling lead, it comes
out 309-229 in favor of Obama. I've been watching another electoral college map site maintained by
Andrew S. Tanenbaum, a professor of computer science who writes under the handle of Votemaster and who
updates his map every day based on the latest polling. Unlike Real Clear Politics, which averages several
polls, Votemaster awards each state to whichever candidate is ahead in the most recent poll. I can picture
arguments for both methods and will try to monitor both maps to get the benefit of each. As of Thursday
night, Votemaster says Obama leads in states with a total of 320 electoral votes compared with 204 for
McCain and two states worth 14 EV that are exactly tied in the most recent poll. But one thing I like
about Votemaster's map is that he has more categories to indicate the size of Obama or McCain's lead in each
state. Votemaster says Obama is ahead solidly (10 points or more) in 16 states (plus the District of
Columbia) worth 211 EV; ahead "weakly" (5-9 points) in five states worth 35 EV and "barely" ahead (less
than 5 points) in five states worth 74 EV. McCain has solid control of 11 states (77 EV), weak control of
eight states (116) and is barely ahead three states (11). Two states, North Dakota and Missouri, worth 14 EV,
were exactly tied in the most recent polls considered by Votemaster.

Obama will win – Clinton supporters approve


San Francisco Chronicle. 07/16. Poll: Obama winning over Clinton backers in state.
http://www.dailynews.com/news/ci_9903025. AP.
California Democrats and independent voters who backed Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton have
gravitated in huge numbers to Sen. Barack Obama - a consolidation of support that has given him a
24-point lead over Republican rival John McCain in the nation's most populous state, the latest Field Poll
shows. The poll shows that Clinton's supporters prefer Obama to McCain, 80 percent to 8 percent, and
the Illinois senator holds a 2-to-1 lead among California's likely female voters. However, the poll carries a
margin of error of 5.1 percentage points for its questions to 376 likely Democratic and nonpartisan voters
asked about Obama's running mate. That margin is far larger than the 3 percent error margin considered
optimum for such polling.
SDI 2008 13
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***Link***
SDI 2008 14
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2NC Link Wall – US-China Coop


( ) Extend 1NC Link – Our Young 6/24 evidence says that energy policies will be popular
because A) it is tied in to both the economy and the environment – both issues the voters
care about and B) a majority of voters think it’s the top issue priority because of ending oil
dependence

( ) Alternate energy is massively popular with public – new polls prove


Marshall E. Purnell President, American Institute of Architects, CQ Testimony, 6/11/08
The American public believes the time is now to reduce energy usage and reduce the impacts of climate change.
The Tarrance Group and Lake Research Partners recently conducted a nationwide poll of voters and found that
74 percent of those polled agreed that "the government should take the lead in promoting real estate
development that conserves our natural resources." In addition, 71 percent of voters agreed that "the
government should immediately put into effect new energy policies that drastically reduce greenhouse gas
emissions." The American public supports conserving our precious resources, and believes that it is in the best
interests of our nation and the world to reduce our reliance on fossil fuel produced energy and move towards a
sustainable future. Reducing energy use in our nation's homes would be a major step towards that goal.

( ) Voters won’t perceive the spending aspect of the plan, it will be spun as helping US-
Sino relations
Collier, Chronicle Staff Writer, 7/5/2007 [Robert, "U.S. is pressured to help China curb emissions," lexis]
Ironically, the best way of winning congressional support for energy cooperation with China might be
to cast it as a solution for the bilateral tension, said Israel, who will soon introduce legislation to create a
$20 million program to fund joint research and development with Chinese universities on low-emissions coal
generation, as well as solar and wind energy.
"As long as many of my colleagues don't really believe in global warming, they won't care that China
is the No. 1 emitter," Israel said. "But if they believe that the United States is less secure because of
China's voracious appetite for energy, they will be more receptive to ways to reduce that appetite."

( ) Increased US-Sino energy coop is massively popular and bipartisan


Cantwell, Senator, D-WA, 5/22/2007 [Maria, "ON SENATE FLOOR, CANTWELL SPEAKS ON U.S.-CHINA
ENERGY COOPERATION," lexis]
"In a speech last month, Premier Wen acknowledged that China must focus on energy conservation and
emission reduction in order to both develop the economy and protect the environment. I think this is an
opportunity that is before us now as we are part of the Strategic Economic Dialogue with China. Increased U.S.-
China cooperation on energy and environment would have tremendous economic, environmental, and security
benefits for both our nations. It would help make U.S. companies better positioned for economic opportunities
both inside and outside China as we develop standards associated with our energy policy.
"I recently sent a bipartisan letter to the President asking for a comprehensive U.S.-China energy policy and
bilateral energy summit. I am proud to say that the bipartisan letter, signed by several of my colleagues on the
other side of the aisle -- Senator Smith, Senator Murkowski, Senator Voinovich -- also was signed by the four
chairs of important committees -- the Energy Committee, Finance Committee, Foreign Relations, and
Homeland Security Committee -- because I believe that they agree that this is an important opportunity for the
U.S. and China to work together. In fact, we said, in sending the letter to the President:
"The way we approach global energy issues will affect the international economy and the world's environment
for decades to come. A bilateral U.S.-China energy policy and a summit between our nations to focus on ways
to cooperate on energy issues would have tremendous economic benefits for both our nations.
SDI 2008 15
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2NC Link Wall – US-China Coop – AT: Money


( ) Their Coiler 7 card is terrible – it talks about taxpayers' reaction to sending direct
money to China. The aff gives incentives to US companies to work in China. If anything,
voters would perceive us giving money to ourselves for globalization. Thus, this card is
irrelevant.

( ) Their Coiler 7 doesn’t say anything about voters changing their votes due to spending
money.

( ) (Read Unpopular – Generic answers)


SDI 2008 16
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2NC Link Wall – RPS


Extend 1NC Link – Our Young 6/24 evidence says that energy policies will be popular
because A) it is tied in to both the economy and the environment – both issues the voters
care about and B) a majority of voters think it’s the top issue priority because of ending oil
dependence

Alternate energy is massively popular with public – new polls prove


Marshall E. Purnell President, American Institute of Architects, CQ Testimony, 6/11/08
The American public believes the time is now to reduce energy usage and reduce the impacts of climate change.
The Tarrance Group and Lake Research Partners recently conducted a nationwide poll of voters and found that
74 percent of those polled agreed that "the government should take the lead in promoting real estate
development that conserves our natural resources." In addition, 71 percent of voters agreed that "the
government should immediately put into effect new energy policies that drastically reduce greenhouse gas
emissions." The American public supports conserving our precious resources, and believes that it is in the best
interests of our nation and the world to reduce our reliance on fossil fuel produced energy and move towards a
sustainable future. Reducing energy use in our nation's homes would be a major step towards that goal.

( ) Doesn’t matter what congress thinks about the plan, the voters like it
FERSHEE, asst prof of law @ University of North Dakota School of Law, 2008 [Joshua P., “Changing
Resources, Changing Market: The Impact of a National Renewable Portfolio Standard on the U.S. Energy
Industry”, 29 Energy L.J. 49, lexis/ttate]
Public opinion polls, growing support from utilities, and continually increasing state RPS
legislation indicate that support for a renewable energy mandate is stronger than ever. However,
opposition remains strong. Rightly or wrongly, the majority of Americans appear ready to take a
calculated risk to find out if renewable energy can fulfill its promise. The question remains: Is
Congress?

( ) But, even if congress is important – we control uniqueness, RPS is now popular.

( ) Unique link turn – climate initiatives are uniquly polarizing – rps differs - supported by
both sides of the aisle
Manka, 2007, public relations professional
[Maria Surma, “Congress to Pass Federal Renewable Energy Standard?”, Green Options, February 28, 2007,
http://mariasurmamanka.greenoptions.com/2007/02/28/congress-to-pass-federal-renewable-energy-standard/,
Zhang]
The Dow Jones Newswire reports that Congress is “likely” to pass a renewable energy standard – in this instance
called a renewable portfolio standard (RPS) – in the next several months. Renewable energy requirements have
stronger support on both sides of the aisle as opposed to the more controversial limits on global warming emissions.
Prudential Equity Group analyst James Lucier went so far as to say, “An RPS can almost certainly be done this
year… It's one of the few things investors can count on in this Congress."
SDI 2008 17
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2NC Link Wall – RPS – AT: Plan Controversial


Completely irrelevant – doesn’t matter what the congress thinks of the plan as long as the
public supports it. Senators don’t decide elections.

Their cards indicate a specific time in which there was a fight. This has absolutely no
impact on the upcoming election.

(Read Unpopular – Generic)


SDI 2008 18
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2NC Link Wall – RPS – AT: GOP Backlash


If read Coile, June 18

Their Coile card never once talks about RPS, just a generic policy that the republicans
opposed – no risk of a link turn.

GOP senators don’t effect the election, voters effect the election.

Barkenbus and Sovacool or Garret 07

Their evidence is terrible – doesn’t talk about voter perception, just legislators.

(Read Unpopular – Generic)


SDI 2008 19
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2NC Link Wall – RPS – AT: Dems Oppose


Their Jenkins 07 is TERRIBLE. It does not say Dems oppose, it says Dems have dropped
the issue. This is a complete straw-person argument – if anything them dropping the issue
is a sign that the Democrats actually do support RPS because of the tone of the card.

(Read Unpopular – Generic)


SDI 2008 20
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2NC Link Wall – RPS – AT: Flip-Flop


They need to read a card saying a flip-flop in one policy is going to influence the voters.

Voters are going to be excited about ending oil dependency, they will not focus on changing
their vote due to a flip flop on one issue – that’s 1NC Young 6/24/08

(Read Unpopular – Generic)


SDI 2008 21
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2NC Link Wall – Feebates


Extend 1NC Link – Our Young 6/24 evidence says that energy policies will be popular
because A) it is tied in to both the economy and the environment – both issues the voters
care about and B) a majority of voters think it’s the top issue priority because of ending oil
dependence

Alternate energy is massively popular with public – new polls prove


Marshall E. Purnell President, American Institute of Architects, CQ Testimony, 6/11/08
The American public believes the time is now to reduce energy usage and reduce the impacts of climate change.
The Tarrance Group and Lake Research Partners recently conducted a nationwide poll of voters and found that
74 percent of those polled agreed that "the government should take the lead in promoting real estate
development that conserves our natural resources." In addition, 71 percent of voters agreed that "the
government should immediately put into effect new energy policies that drastically reduce greenhouse gas
emissions." The American public supports conserving our precious resources, and believes that it is in the best
interests of our nation and the world to reduce our reliance on fossil fuel produced energy and move towards a
sustainable future. Reducing energy use in our nation's homes would be a major step towards that goal.

Plan is net popular – Congress supports combining tax credits with mandates – Popular
with the public – view as job creation and relief from oil
Podesta et. al 05. (John, Chief of Staff under President Clinton and Visiting Prof of Law at Georgetown U,
“Taking Action on Oil Savings”, Center for American Progress, September 13,
http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2005/09/b1033079.html)
In the face of record-breaking oil company profits, progressives can offer decisive action and visionary leadership –
to provide immediate relief to working Americans, reduce long-term structural demand for oil, create real
transportation choice, and retool the auto industry for jobs in the markets of the future. Public opinion is with us.
Voters are looking for real answers and concrete action to break our dependence on oil.

Plan is revenue neutral – popular with public


Bernow 02. (Steve, founder and VP of the Tellus Institute which researched energy and the environment, PhD
and former prof @ Rutgers U, “Program Design Features for Feebate Initiative: Survey of Existing Feebate
Programs”, November 25, http://righg.raabassociates.org/Articles/Tellus_FeebateMemo_Nov25.doc.)
Revenue neutrality can be quite important in determining public opinion about a feebate. Anything other than
neutrality could be perceived negatively as yet another rise in taxes. Yet, in tough economic times state legislatures
are often interested in fresh sources of revenue. (In at least one recent case feebate legislation was deemed not
successful because it was revenue-neutral during a period when the state was actively looking for revenue-enhancing
measures1.) If a part of the revenues can be diverted to worthy programs (such as public outreach efforts to increase
environmental awareness), the effect of a feebate can be further enhanced. In any case, it is hard to keep a feebate
scheme completely revenue-neutral from year to year without adjusting the rate structure constantly to take into
account the composition of the new vehicle fleet, and some amount of the revenue must necessarily be used for
administrative costs.
SDI 2008 22
WHAM! File Title

2NC Link Wall – Feebates – AT: Perceived As Tax

Their Barnow 2 card is terrible – it says it might be perceived as a tax, but it never once
says that the people will oppose it

The plan is revenue-neutral so it won’t be perceived as a tax


Bernow 02. (Steve, founder and VP of the Tellus Institute which researched energy and the environment, PhD
and former prof @ Rutgers U, “Program Design Features for Feebate Initiative: Survey of Existing Feebate
Programs”, November 25, http://righg.raabassociates.org/Articles/Tellus_FeebateMemo_Nov25.doc.)
Revenue neutrality can be quite important in determining public opinion about a feebate. Anything other than
neutrality could be perceived negatively as yet another rise in taxes. Yet, in tough economic times state legislatures
are often interested in fresh sources of revenue. (In at least one recent case feebate legislation was deemed not
successful because it was revenue-neutral during a period when the state was actively looking for revenue-enhancing
measures1.) If a part of the revenues can be diverted to worthy programs (such as public outreach efforts to increase
environmental awareness), the effect of a feebate can be further enhanced. In any case, it is hard to keep a feebate
scheme completely revenue-neutral from year to year without adjusting the rate structure constantly to take into
account the composition of the new vehicle fleet, and some amount of the revenue must necessarily be used for
administrative costs.
SDI 2008 23
WHAM! File Title

2NC Link Wall – Cellulosic Ethanol


Extend 1NC Link – Our Young 6/24 evidence says that energy policies will be popular
because A) it is tied in to both the economy and the environment – both issues the voters
care about and B) a majority of voters think it’s the top issue priority because of ending oil
dependence

Alternate energy is massively popular with public – new polls prove


Marshall E. Purnell President, American Institute of Architects, CQ Testimony, 6/11/08
The American public believes the time is now to reduce energy usage and reduce the impacts of climate change.
The Tarrance Group and Lake Research Partners recently conducted a nationwide poll of voters and found that
74 percent of those polled agreed that "the government should take the lead in promoting real estate development that conserves our natural
resources." In addition, 71 percent of voters agreed that "the government should immediately put into effect new
energy policies that drastically reduce greenhouse gas emissions." The American public supports conserving our
precious resources, and believes that it is in the best interests of our nation and the world to reduce our reliance
on fossil fuel produced energy and move towards a sustainable future. Reducing energy use in our nation's homes would be a major
step towards that goal.

Cellulosic Ethanol is popular with the public


Business Wire 7 BIO Calls for Federal Investment in Ethanol from Cellulose, Lexis
The Biotechnology Industry Organization (BIO) today urged the Senate Energy and Natural Resources
Committee to commit to significantly reducing the cost of ethanol from cellulose by helping fund
research and incentives for commercialization. "We are going to miss a big opportunity to bring biofuels to the pump within the
next few years if we do not fund the necessary research into applied fundamentals, at both laboratory and commercial-scale facilities," said
Brent Erickson, executive vice president of BIO's Industrial & Environmental Section. "There is great public support for
doing more to make biofuels a realistic replacement for gasoline in the near future," Erickson
continued. According to a survey conducted in October by Harris Interactive([R]) on behalf of BIO, four in
five U.S. adults (80%) agree that national and state governments are not doing enough to promote
production of biofuels - fuels made from agricultural crops or plant matter. Further, 82 percent of adults
say national and state governments should provide financial incentives to biofuels producers to
encourage the production and availability of biofuels. More than two out of three adults (69%) would use American-made biofuels even if
these fuels cost slightly more than conventional gas. The Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee's Biofuels Transportation
Conference today is examining the research and infrastructure development needed to bring new biofuels to market.

Congressman have realized the negative impacts of Ethanol and will protect their
constituents
Lieberman 4/2/08 Senior Policy Analyst, Energy and Environment, Thomas A. Roe Institute for Economic
Policy Studies, The Heritage Foundation [Ben, Time for Second Thoughts on the Ethanol Mandate,
http://www.heritage.org/Research/energyandenvironment/wm1879.cfm]
The anger over high gasoline prices was the main impetus behind the 2005 and 2007 energy bills and their successively higher ethanol mandates.
The public may have mistakenly assumed that ethanol is cheaper than gasoline, but reality is beginning to
hit home. When everything is taken into account, including the lower fuel economy from ethanol-blended fuel, the mandate
is adding to the cost of driving—which is precisely why ethanol had to be mandated in the first place. The AAA calculates that ethanol has
recently cost 20 to 30 cents per gallon more than regular gasoline.[1] And that does not take into account the heavy taxpayer subsidies, including
a 51-cent-per-gallon tax credit, without which ethanol would be even costlier. Proponents insist that economies of scale will kick in and make
ethanol more affordable as the mandated levels are ratcheted up, but there is no sign of that actually happening. The opposite is more likely. For
example, ethanol costs more to transport than gasoline, and the expanding mandates necessitate usage well outside of its
Midwestern home base. Ethanol is also more expensive to use in the summer: It contributes to smog and in several
markets can be used only with a costlier base blend that compensates for this shortcoming; but this blend must be used year-round. Over the
longer term, the law requires that corn alternatives like cellulosic ethanol be used as well. Cellulosic ethanol—made from certain grasses, wood,
or crop waste—is currently far more expensive than even corn ethanol. It is only a matter of time before the public realizes
that the mandate is contributing to their pain at the pump. The media are belatedly picking up on this point.
Eventually, Members of Congress—at least those outside of the 10 or so Midwestern states where much of the corn and ethanol
production is concentrated—will realize that the mandate is a lousy deal for their constituents, and they may want
to do something about it.
SDI 2008 24
WHAM! File Title

2NC Link Wall – Tradeable Permits


Extend 1NC Link – Our Young 6/24 evidence says that energy policies will be popular
because A) it is tied in to both the economy and the environment – both issues the voters
care about and B) a majority of voters think it’s the top issue priority because of ending oil
dependence

Alternate energy is massively popular with public – new polls prove


Marshall E. Purnell President, American Institute of Architects, CQ Testimony, 6/11/08
The American public believes the time is now to reduce energy usage and reduce the impacts of climate change.
The Tarrance Group and Lake Research Partners recently conducted a nationwide poll of voters and found that
74 percent of those polled agreed that "the government should take the lead in promoting real estate
development that conserves our natural resources." In addition, 71 percent of voters agreed that "the
government should immediately put into effect new energy policies that drastically reduce greenhouse gas
emissions." The American public supports conserving our precious resources, and believes that it is in the best
interests of our nation and the world to reduce our reliance on fossil fuel produced energy and move towards a
sustainable future. Reducing energy use in our nation's homes would be a major step towards that goal.

( ) Even if tradable permits are normally unpopular, the inclusion of grandfathering build
political support
Center for Clean Air Policy 99 - ( p.21 of TP Shared Negative Addendum)
SDI 2008 25
WHAM! File Title

2NC Link Wall – Tradeable Permits


( ) Plan will cause McCain to win:

( ) Plan is popular with Evangelicals – Nothstine 6/18 (p.6 of TP Shared Negative Addendum)

( ) Evangelicals key to the election – there’s still time but McCain must rev them up
Dallas Morning News, 7/6/08
It's a risky move, though, as religious conservatives have been instrumental to Republican victories for a
generation. Some social conservatives warn that the appeal to moderate swing voters will jeopardize
already lukewarm support from evangelicals.
"McCain is in grave danger right now of causing a good number of potential supporters to just stay home in
resignation," said East Texas evangelist Rick Scarborough.
Phil Burress of the Ohio Christian Alliance, who met privately with Mr. McCain a week ago in Cincinnati, said evangelical leaders
urged him to pick a social-conservative running mate and to talk more openly about issues they care about, especially abortion and gay
marriage.
"We need something from Senator McCain to help rev up our people," Mr. Burress said. "Our people are
flat. They don't seem interested."
The McCain campaign says it is committed to making evangelicals part of a winning coalition.
In recent weeks, it has created nine-member Christian-outreach teams in 14 battleground states and arranged the visit with Mr. Graham. It is scheduling
private meetings with local evangelical leaders, beginning with the session in Ohio.
In addition, the campaign has a 1,000-person e-mail list of social conservative and national leaders with influence in local communities.
Marlys Popma, who heads the McCain campaign's religious-outreach effort, said that while the Arizona senator is not as openly expressive of his faith as
Mr. Bush is, his record on abortion, same-sex marriage, home schooling and the appointment of judges is a strong selling point to social conservatives.
"The more they see the good stuff about John McCain and then compare him to Barack Obama, we're not
going to have a problem getting excitement out of our base," she said.
Ms. Popma dismissed Mr. Obama's active appeal to moderate evangelicals, which the Illinois Democrat highlighted last week on a tour touting values
such as patriotism, faith and service.
"Barack Obama can do everything he wants to meet with evangelical leaders. I have to believe that most of that is a shell game," she said. "He can do
everything he wants, but if they don't agree with him on issues, he's going to have a hard time selling himself."
Shifting from GOP
In 2004, 62 percent of white evangelicals said they leaned Republican, and almost 80 percent voted for Mr. Bush.
But a recent national survey by the Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life indicates a shift away from the GOP. According to the survey, half of
evangelicals now align themselves with Republicans.
Given that change, Ms. Simmons said, "we have to do a far better job appealing to independents and Democratic voters while still maintaining that base."
Mr. McCain has sought to mend fences damaged in the 2000 presidential campaign, in which he labeled some religious leaders "agents of intolerance."
But campaign stumbles have hampered efforts to corral evangelicals. Mr. McCain pursued the endorsement of San Antonio megachurch pastor John
Hagee, only to reject it - and that of influential Ohio pastor Rod Parsley - in a political dustup over remarks they'd made about Catholics and Muslims.
One supporter close to Mr. McCain said the Arizona Republican doesn't understand evangelicals the way Mr. Bush did.
"They know he's not part of them," the supporter said. "It's like he's observing them as if they are Martians."
Doug Wead, who headed Christian outreach efforts for former President George Bush in 1988, said the McCain campaign has bungled its rapprochement
with the religious right.
"Normally, you have to have it done two years in advance," he said. For the elder Mr. Bush's campaign, "we met with all the leadership by 1986. It was in
the bag."
Mr. Wead said the
problem is not that evangelicals will flock to Mr. Obama but that they won't work actively for
Mr. McCain in churches and communities.
"It's a priceless infrastructure that is built in with volunteers and paid staff," he said. "Some of the TV
ministries have mailing lists the size of the NRA, and to take them out, to have them unused is just deadly
for the Republican Party in three areas: voter registration, voter education and voter turnout."
Others say there is still time. But they warn that softening the appeal to religiously conservative voters to
gain moderate support is not a winning strategy.
"The fact is, McCain's moderates can't beat Obama's adoring groupies," said Deal Hudson, a conservative
Catholic leader and McCain supporter.
Voting against Obama
Even Mr. McCain's pitch to evangelicals goes beyond the religious right and to moderates whose faith-
based agenda also includes climate change, immigration, AIDS and poverty.
That's the group that Mr. Obama was targeting with a faith-based message Tuesday in Ohio, home of a massive voter turnout effort among evangelicals
by the Bush campaign four years ago.
McCain advisers believe religious-right voters will come around in November. The campaign's internal polls suggest that the Arizona Republican has a 60
percent margin of support among evangelicals over Mr. Obama. But diminished turnout in the group, particularly in close states,
could be fatal to Mr. McCain.
SDI 2008 26
WHAM! File Title

2NC Link Wall – Tradeable Permits – AT: Energy Prices Link Turn
Their Nothstine 6/18 card never once gives a warrant to why public would not like the plan,
just that congress doesn’t want to raise prices

Prefer our Young 6/24 Link evidence saying that voters will actually perceive alternate
energy as an end to oil dependence and will therefore like it.

(Read Unpopular – Generic)


SDI 2008 27
WHAM! File Title

2NC Link Wall – Nuke Power


Extend 1NC Link – Our Young 6/24 evidence says that energy policies will be popular
because A) it is tied in to both the economy and the environment – both issues the voters
care about and B) a majority of voters think it’s the top issue priority because of ending oil
dependence

Alternate energy is massively popular with public – new polls prove


Marshall E. Purnell President, American Institute of Architects, CQ Testimony, 6/11/08
The American public believes the time is now to reduce energy usage and reduce the impacts of climate change.
The Tarrance Group and Lake Research Partners recently conducted a nationwide poll of voters and found that
74 percent of those polled agreed that "the government should take the lead in promoting real estate
development that conserves our natural resources." In addition, 71 percent of voters agreed that "the
government should immediately put into effect new energy policies that drastically reduce greenhouse gas
emissions." The American public supports conserving our precious resources, and believes that it is in the best
interests of our nation and the world to reduce our reliance on fossil fuel produced energy and move towards a
sustainable future. Reducing energy use in our nation's homes would be a major step towards that goal.

Global warming concerns have made nuclear power popular.


Tribune Business News ’08 (9 Jul, Dee DePass, Financial and Political reporter for the Tribune Business
News, “An enriched opportunity for Alliant: As the appeal of nuclear power grows, Alliant Techsystems is set to
become a key player”, AB, Proquest)
The 'clear' in nuclear power ATK's foray into nuclear energy comes at an opportune time. After accidents at
Chernobyl and Three Mile Island put nuclear power in the hot seat, the idea of nuclear's carbon-
neutral energy production has found favor again amid worries about global warming.

Environmental activists are pushing nuclear power.


James M. Taylor 7/1/06, “WWF Australia Joins Pro-Nuclear Camp” o.z.
http://www.heartland.org/Article.cfm?artId=19337&CFID=5925006&CFTOKEN=69480619
Greg Bourne, CEO of World Wildlife Fund Australia, appears to have joined a growing list of
prominent environmental activists who support increased use of nuclear power. According to the May 9
Australian, Bourne has set out to convince other WWF officials to support increasing the use of nuclear
power. "The outspoken chief of environment group WWF Australia has gone to London to lobby the
international organization to overturn its anti-nuclear stance," reported the Australian. Changing Position?
While Bourne continues to argue Australia has alternative renewable power sources that make new nuclear
power plants in the nation unnecessary, he apparently believes global warming concerns mean an increase
in nuclear power production must be considered in the world energy market as a whole.
SDI 2008 28
WHAM! File Title

2NC Link Wall – Nuke Power – AT: Yucca/Waste Link Turn


( ) Extend 1NC Link – Our Young 6/24 evidence says that energy policies will be popular
because A) it is tied in to both the economy and the environment – both issues the voters
care about and B) a majority of voters think it’s the top issue priority because of ending oil
dependence.

Waste storage facility won’t be built until WAY AFTER the election only the immediate
action will be perceive – it is massively popular with public – new polls prove
Marshall E. Purnell President, American Institute of Architects, CQ Testimony, 6/11/08
The American public believes the time is now to reduce energy usage and reduce the impacts of climate change.
The Tarrance Group and Lake Research Partners recently conducted a nationwide poll of voters and found that
74 percent of those polled agreed that "the government should take the lead in promoting real estate
development that conserves our natural resources." In addition, 71 percent of voters agreed that "the
government should immediately put into effect new energy policies that drastically reduce greenhouse gas
emissions." The American public supports conserving our precious resources, and believes that it is in the best
interests of our nation and the world to reduce our reliance on fossil fuel produced energy and move towards a
sustainable future. Reducing energy use in our nation's homes would be a major step towards that goal.

Both parties support dry cask storage


Whitney ’08, staff writer, McClatchy Newspapers, Lexis, tk.
At a House Science and Technology Committee hearing Wednesday, expansion of nuclear power was viewed as
an opportunity. Gone are the days when lawmakers questioned the safety of reactor technology. Even among
those for whom waste is an issue, there is a high comfort level with storing used fuel in dry casks for decades at
the reactor sites while a more comprehensive solution is studied

Global warming concerns have made nuclear power popular


Tribune Business News ’08 (9 Jul, Dee DePass, Financial and Political reporter for the Tribune Business
News, “An enriched opportunity for Alliant: As the appeal of nuclear power grows, Alliant Techsystems is set to
become a key player”, AB, Proquest)
The 'clear' in nuclear power ATK's foray into nuclear energy comes at an opportune time. After accidents at
Chernobyl and Three Mile Island put nuclear power in the hot seat, the idea of nuclear's carbon-
neutral energy production has found favor again amid worries about global warming.
SDI 2008 29
WHAM! File Title

2NC AT: GOP Base Link Turn


( ) Extend the Cillizia 08 evidence - Gop base isnt Key to winning the election But
independents and Environmentalists are for Three Reasons
- Independents are key to winning 4 major swing states McCain cant win without them
- Independents are more dynamic to winning electoral points then presuading large
numbers of apthetic voters
- McCain is Already losing the those swing states

( ) Green wire 07 - Does not function as a link turn because it doesn’t say republicans care
either way about the global warming issue, only that “republicans lack attention to global
warming” and the card doesn’t imply this will lead to a lose in the elections

( ) The un-underlined section of the card specifies GOP base against the Carbon Tax not
alternative energy as a whole

( ) Alternative Energy is more Bi-partisan than Larry Craig


The FINANCIAL – 17/07/2008 “Chamber’s Energy Institute Announces New Policy Platform with Broad
Bipartisan Support” (DS)
http://finchannel.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=16987&Itemid=13
“We are long overdue for energy solutions that will keep our nation on track and our economy strong,”
said Tom Donohue, the U.S. Chamber’s President and CEO. “We are crafting ideas and building support
to help our elected officials move forward in a constructive way.” Tom Donohue and General James L.
Jones, USMC (Ret.), president and CEO of the Institute for 21st Century Energy, and more than two dozen
former senior executive and legislative branch leaders as well as industry officials urged America’s future
political leadership to expand the nation’s supply of affordable fuel and power from traditional and
alternative sources, bolster energy efficiency, and expand and modernize energy infrastructure. “With a
challenge as great and urgent as securing our energy future, America’s leaders must come together in support
of a sensible long-term approach that promotes economic growth at home and strengthens our national
security,” said General Jones. “How we solve our energy challenges will define who we are as a nation in the
21st century.” The bipartisan group of 27 signatories include former secretaries of Energy, State,
Defense, Commerce, and Treasury; former members of Congress; and national security experts. Their
collective public service spans over 300 years. The signatories are united in their views that energy is one
of the most significant economic and national security challenges of this century. “Our nation’s
dependence on foreign oil poses unprecedented challenges to our economic prosperity and national security,”
General Jones said. “The solutions to our energy challenges must begin with commonsense energy principles
upon which a comprehensive, coherent energy policy can be based.” The pillars encompass efforts to
increase energy supplies, address growing demand, and enable advancements in technology and
infrastructure. The 13 energy principles outlined in the open letter include accelerating energy efficiency
across all sectors; modernizing and expanding energy infrastructure; transforming the transportation sector
including greater use of alternative and renewable fuels; and expanding the use of nuclear power, coal, and
renewable energy as well as new domestic exploration and production of oil and natural gas. The open letter
advocates for reducing the environmental impact of energy use and increasing investments in climate change
research. The pillars call for addressing critical shortages in scientists and engineers through education and
training programs, incentives, and visa policies. Above all, the open letter shows that this is America’s
opportunity to demonstrate leadership in innovation and solve what is a global challenge. In addition to
these pillars, the open letter highlights the need for unprecedented bipartisan political leadership. By
committing to the Institute’s 13 pillars, policymakers can chart a new course for America’s energy future
by enhancing domestic energy resilience, preserving the environment, and creating new American jobs,
industries, and technologies.
SDI 2008 30
WHAM! File Title

2NC AT: GOP Base Link Turn


( ) GOP must strengthen credentials on energy and environment to avoid election defeat
National Journal, 10/20/07
As was indicated in the story on the energy bill in that same National Journal issue ["Fizzling Out?" p. 48], a
GreenbergQuinlan poll for the League of Conservation Voters after the 2006 elections showed huge numbers
of independents voting to change the leadership of Congress because they were dissatisfied with GOP
leadership on the energy issues that are so critical in the debate over addressing global warming. This data
and a follow-up survey suggest that this tendency will be even more pronounced in the 2008 elections.

( ) Turn - Alternate energy incentives cause GOP win co-opts criticism, steals a key issue
and inaction hurts incumbent party
Staunton, 6/24/08 (Dennis, Irish Times EU Correspondent, lexis)
WASHINGTON - With consumers fuming over the high cost of gasoline, Republicans and Democrats each want to
prove they alone offer the path to lower pump prices.
Republicans argue that drilling in coastal waters, Alaska and the Rocky Mountain West will boost oil supplies.
Democrats counter that alternative-energy development will free consumers from fossil-fuel captivity.
The problem, energy analysts say, is that neither solution will cut prices right now. Even over the long term, only a
marriage of the two approaches will work.
And neither party will agree to a wedding in an election year with the Oval Office at stake.
"The parties have a lot of incentive not to solve the problem and blame the other side," said Julian Zelizer, political-
science professor at Princeton University and author of several books on Congress. "Unhappy voters are the voters
people think can be swayed."
In the last month, Democratic Reps. Mark Udall of Eldorado Springs and Ed Perlmutter of Golden and Republican
Rep. Marilyn Musgrave of Fort Morgan have held news conferences at gas stations.
Lawmakers know they must offer fixes, with pollsters for both sides saying voters list fuel costs as a top concern.
There are no clear-cut solutions, however.
High gas prices have started to prompt less driving, but they're still too low to force rapid change. Oil would need to
hit $150 to $200 a barrel and stay there before private investment moves heavily into alternative fuels and
transportation, said John Kilduff, energy analyst at MF Global in New York.
Repealing Environmental Protection Agency limits on the sulfur content in diesel fuel would increase fuel supplies,
said Philip Verleger, an Aspen-based energy economist. But that's politically difficult.
Voters want anything that might work.
In a Zogby International poll this month asking what government actions people favored to lower fuel costs, 60
percent backed encouraging domestic drilling. Almost as many, 59 percent, supported cutting demand by boosting
fuel-efficiency standards, and 54 percent endorsed the use of alternative fuels such as ethanol and biodiesel.
The survey did not ask people to pick one option over another. Political advisers are coaching Republicans to talk
about more drilling and renewable energy. Democratic strategists suggest giving solutions that include cracking
down on oil speculators and pushing gas alternatives. They also advise blaming President Bush.
Playing both ends against middle
Presidential candidates are aiming for pleasing the political middle, analysts said.
"There is a choice that is before folks," said Hari Sevugan, a spokesman in Democrat Barack Obama's presidential
campaign. "Do we want leadership that's been tied to the folks making money from (high gas prices), or do we want
leadership that's fighting for us on this?"
SDI 2008 31
WHAM! File Title

2NC AT: Environment Not Key To Elections


( ) Extend Our Young 08 evidence – Voters Care not only about the environment because
it decreases our dependency on foreign oil but also because it interconnects to economic
issues, Prefer our evidence which specifically cites that 51% percent of Voters will decide
the next president based of his environmental platform

( ) Extend the Cillizia 08 and their own Perce 08 evidence, Both cards Claim Independents
are Key to winning the critical Swing states of Michigan, Colorado, Wisconsin, and
Minnesota. Even If they win Envrionmental issues are not important to the average voter,
we control the Link debate because Independents will decide the electoral college

( ) Energy independence and fossil fuel emissions are the key election issues
Belli, Managing Editor of E 2008 (Brita, E: the Environmental Magazine Vol. 19, Iss. 2 proquest)
And the momentum, fanned in large part by college students, is carrying global warming from the sleeper issue it
was in the 2006 midterm elections to a defining campaign talking point. In May, energy independence and global
warming trailed only health care as America's most important domestic challenge, according to Democratic pollster
Stan Greenberg. And by last October, the only issue appearing more than global warming in campaign ads was the
Iraq war.

( ) Energy is THE key voting issue in the election


Financial Times, 6/23 (Andrew Ward, journalist for the Financial Times, “Energy Concerns could swing Ohio
Result”, Proquest, pg. 6)
Describing himself as an undecided independent, Mr Daley supports Mr McCain's plan to lift the ban on
fresh offshore oil and gas drilling around the US coast. But he also favours Barack Obama's proposal to levy
a windfall profit tax on oil companies and invest the proceeds in renewable fuels. "We need to exploit all the
oil we have but, in the long term, we have to find alternatives," says Mr Daley. Energy has soared towards
the top of the election agenda as petrol prices have topped $4 a gallon for the first time. Three in four voters
say the issue will be "very important" in determining their vote - outranking taxes, terrorism and the Iraq war
- according to a recent poll by the Pew Research Centre. Asked who they trusted most to handle the energy
issue, respondents favoured Mr Obama over Mr McCain by 18 percentage points. "Voters are making the
simple conclusion that if you change the party in the White House, somehow things will get better," says
Larry Sabato, a political scientist at the University of Virginia.

( ) Energy policy is the critical election issue


Morris, 2008 (R. Beschloss, “Energy Policy Hinges on Election”, Desert Sun)
“With energy development rapidly becoming the presidential campaign's critical issue, there are several
happenings bringing the collision between the environmentalist partisans and the "Energy Now" protagonists
to a rapid showdown. Thursday morning, the OPEC chief minister predicted crude oil per barrel to rise to
$170 later this summer. He also added that U.S. gasoline could rise to $6 per gallon. The crude oil target is
$20 more than what I had predicted at the first of the year, along with $125 per barrel by Memorial Day. The
Obama campaign's position to forego drilling, in alignment with the "greens" is sending tremors throughout
Canada. Our neighbors to the north are worried the "climactic change prevention" lobby will convince the
Democratic president, if elected, to issue an executive order to prevent oil derived from tar sands to be cut off
from further U.S.-bound delivery. This is due to the high level of CO2 and greenhouse gases released by this
all important energy component, making up an increasingly significant part of shipments from Canada, our
No. 1 energy supplier. I had predicted this a month ago, when Canada demanded a release from the U.S.
Defense Department, which had earmarked a substantial segment of the tar sand-derived oil, before shipment
over the border. With Canada providing the single-most source of supply to alleviate the U.S. energy
shortage, a halt to such deliveries would prove catastrophic. We are told that the Canadians are already
contemplating alternative delivery targets in case Barack Obama is elected. It's becoming increasingly clearer
that the winner of the Nov. 4 presidential election will also determine the nature of America's approach to
energy survival for years to come.”
SDI 2008 32
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2NC AT: Economy Key To Elections


( ) Their National Journal 07 evidence says that in the primaries the party candidates
were very similar on energy and climate change, not Obama and McCain. Even if the
candidates were similar, after the plan McCain will be credited when Bush passes the plan
and this will differentiate the two candidates.

( ) Extend our Young 6/24 evidence that say that energy is the key issue with 51% voters
because people want to break their addiction to oil especially now .

Energy policy determines election


Staunton, 6/24 (Dennis, Irish Times EU Correspondent, lexis)
BARACK OBAMA and John McCain have clashed over energy policy, accusing one another of pandering to voters
as rising fuel prices have become a leading issue in the American election.
Nine out of 10 Americans identify energy policy as very or extremely important in deciding their presidential vote in
November, making it the top election issue, along with the economy.

Environment and energy are key issues – determine swing votes


PR Newswire, 11/7/07
With everyone paying attention to environmental issues -- even BP and WalMart are in the act -- it's no surprise that
people plan to take the planet into consideration when choosing their president. Over 30,000 adults across the US
were recently surveyed in the new Earthsense Eco-Insights Survey that profiles attitudes about global and national
issues, candidates, green products, eco-friendly companies and purchase intent. Concern about energy prices and the
environment resonates with more than half of all voters who indicate that it will have an extremely or strong impact
on their vote in the upcoming presidential primaries. The issue is particularly salient among Democrats, especially
likely John Edwards and Bill Richardson voters. More so than most other issues, the environment is politicized
across party lines. Swing voters place a level of importance on the issue more similar to registered Democrats whose
voting intentions are more firm; the importance of the issue for Republican voters lags by comparison.

Energy is the key issue – GOP must address


NPR, 6/24/08
GOP Must Address Climate Change Energy policy has been fueling the debate between Barack Obama and John
McCain this week. McCain has spent the past two days in California, promoting his proposals for greater energy
independence. He faced protesters and chants of offshore no more today outside a town-hall-style appearance in
Santa Barbara. Inside, McCain faced tough questions about his proposal to build more nuclear power plants and his
call to end the federal moratorium on offshore drilling, a ban he once supported. Recognizing that energy is a key
issue for voters, McCain has enlisted some top supporters to help sell his proposals. One of them is Republican
governor Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota. He's a national co-chair for McCain's campaign, and he's often mentioned as a
possible running mate.
SDI 2008 33
WHAM! File Title

2NC AT: McCain Is Not Coattailed To Bush


Extend our Farmar 08 evidence that Bush’s popularity is the only way for McCain to win
and that McCain can’t distance himself from Bush. It warrants that bush is toxic to his
party and that McCain is currently tied hand and feet to Bush

Public opinion believes McCain is tied to Bush’s policy


Timothy J. Burger, Bloomberg News staff writer. 7/16/08 Obama leads McCain in polls; McCain linked to Bush's
policies. http://www.rep-am.com/articles/2008/07/16/news/elections/354234.txt
A CBS News/New York Times poll gave Illinois Sen. Obama the lead, 45 percent to McCain's 39 percent,
among registered voters. Each has slipped 3 points since last month. The poll said 61 percent linked
McCain to President George W. Bush's economic policies, and 78 percent linked McCain to Bush's
Iraq policy. It has a sampling error of plus or minus 6 percentage points.

Latino voters prove that McCain is tied to Bush


Marcela Sanchez, Washington Post staff writer. 7/18/08 Latino Woes Curtail McCain's Wooing;
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/07/17/AR2008071701464.html
For months now, polls have shown that Latinos are favoring Barack Obama over McCain by margins of 2-
1 or better. Latinos, who largely favored Hillary Clinton during the primaries, have apparently had little
difficulty switching loyalties now that Obama has sealed the nomination. McCain is saddled with his
association with President Bush, and while that might have been a plus in the past -- Bush's
conservative social agenda attracted Latinos at historic levels in 2004 -- the national economy, and
particularly the state of jobs and housing, will make it hard for McCain to win those Latino votes.
Unemployment, for example, is disproportionately affecting Latinos. According to the Pew Hispanic Center,
Hispanic unemployment rose to 6.5 percent in the first quarter of 2008, well above the 4.7 percent rate for all
non-Hispanics.
SDI 2008 34
WHAM! File Title

***Impact***
SDI 2008 35
WHAM! File Title

2NC AT: LOST Impact Takeouts


( ) Group 2AC numbers___on the impact debate

( ) Extend 1NC Watkins ‘7 saying LOST is key to solve for leadership, power projection,
proliferation, terrorism, and economy because it helps the US pursue it’s most important
foreign policy objectives abroad including regulations of trade and shipping routes.
SDI 2008 36
WHAM! File Title

2NC AT: LOST Kills Economy/Power Projection


( ) Extend Watkins ‘7 saying LOST solves economy and power projection

( ) US Ratification Key to Economy – eez, continental shelf, telecomm and seabed mining-
prefer our evidence because it is more comparative and points out how the advantages
outweigh the disadvantages of LOST
Webb, 9/27/07 (Jim, Senator, FNS)
Our economic interests are advanced in numerous ways, including by codifying our right to an exclusive
economic zone out to 200 nautical miles, in which the United States has sovereign control over the resources
-- whether living or nonliving; by providing the means for international recognition of our sizeable
continental shelf, particularly off the coast of Alaska where we can export mineral resources; by setting clear
rules for laying of undersea cables, which are an essential component of the telecommunications
infrastructure; by establishing an international framework for deep seabed mining in areas outside of national
jurisdictions, which we have long expected would be subject to international regulations.

( ) US Ratification Key to Heg-prefer our evidence because it explains how LOST’s


beneficial provisions are more important the negative ones
Hamilton, 8/27/07 (Lee, Director Woodrow Wilson Int’l Center and Former Representative, indystar.com,
http://www.indystar.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20070827/OPINION/708270327/-1/LOCAL17)
The arguments in favor of ratification are overwhelming. First, the treaty is critical to our national security.
The U.S. military depends upon freedom of movement on the high seas so that our navy can have right of
passage, and so we can transport military forces and equipment. The Convention guarantees that freedom,
doing away with burdensome and varying rules from coastal nations, and ensuring that we need not seek a
permission slip to pass through territorial seas. This also helps America -- and the world -- avert conflict.
SDI 2008 37
WHAM! File Title

2NC AT: LOST Empirically False


( ) Its Not Empirically False – Ratification Now is Key because the treaty is finally
becoming active
Negroponte, 9/28/07 (John, Dep Sec State, State Department Documents and Publications)
WE NEED TO JOIN NOW. Some may ask why, after the Convention has been in force for thirteen years,
there is an urgent need to join. There are compelling reasons why we need to accede to the Convention now.
Although the first several years of the Convention's life were fairly quiet, its provisions are now being
actively applied, interpreted, and developed. The Convention's institutions are up and running, and we -- the
country with the most to gain and lose on law of the sea issues -- are sitting on the sidelines. For example, the
Commission on the Limits of the Continental Shelf (which is the technical body charged with addressing the
continental shelf beyond 200 nautical miles) has received nine submissions and has made recommendations
on two of them, without the participation of a U.S. commissioner. Recommendations made in that body could
well create precedents, positive and negative, on the future outer limit of the U.S. shelf. We need to be on the
inside to protect our interests. Moreover, in fora outside the Convention, the provisions of the Convention are
also being actively applied. Our position as a non-Party puts us in a far weaker position to advance U.S.
interests than should be the case for our country.

( ) Without ratification we face the imminent threats of Hegemony collapse, economy


collapse, rampant proliferation, and a lack of port security
SDI 2008 38
WHAM! File Title

2NC AT: LOST Bad – Sovereignty


( ) LOST Ratification key to prevent perpetual unilateral use of force – their sovereignty
arguments are backwards – 4 reasons
- international agreements are vital to sovereignty
- constitution checks
- congress checks
- withdrawal procedures check
Moore, ’05 (John Norton, Prof Nat’l Security Law, Journal Int’l Affairs, 9/22)
Arguments against the convention are, in a way; a denigration of law; they seem to indicate that any international
agreement is an unwelcome infringement of U.S. sovereignty, when the contrary is the case. President George
Washington regarded the Jay Treaty with Great Britain as the most important achievement of his administration. No
one would accept a loss of U.S. sovereignty. At the same time, one of the most important sovereign rights is the
legal ability of states to enter into agreements, just as individual citizens in the United States have the right to agree
to contracts with one another. In fact, it is only children and the mentally incompetent who have no right to
contract. To deny the U.S. government the right to enter into agreements with other nations would deprive it of one
of its most fundamental rights, leaving it with few options short of expending the lives of its armed forces to
establish and enforce national rights. It should also be understood that under the U.S. Constitution, freedom of action
cannot be lost through international agreements. One widely-accepted precept of U.S. foreign policy is that a
subsequent act of Congress can override a prior international agreement. Further, critics fail to mention that because
of its sovereignty, the United States is free to withdraw from the convention.

We Straight Turn Your Sovereignty Claims – 4 Reasons


- ISA Inevitable US Ratification not key
- ISA Only has jurisdiction over mineral resources in deep seabed – not the water column
- US Has Already Rejected Claim of Sovereignty over Deep Sea Bed
- US Ratification Massively Expands US Sovereign Jurisdiction
Moore, ’05 (John Norton, Prof Nat’l Security Law, Journal Int’l Affairs, 9/22)
Myths Concerning National Sovereignty
Myth: The United States is giving up sovereignty to a new international authority that will control the oceans.
Nothing could be further from the truth. The United States does not give up an ounce of sovereignty in this
convention. Rather, as noted, the convention solidifies a massive increase in resource and economic jurisdiction for
the United States, not only to 200 nautical miles off our coasts, but to abroad continental margin in many areas even
beyond that. The new International Seabed Authority (ISA) created by this convention, which, as noted, has existed
for a decade and will continue to exist regardless of U.S. actions, deals solely with mineral resources of the deep
seabed beyond national jurisdiction--it has nothing to do with the water column above the seabed. The deep seabed
is not only an area in which the United States has no sovereignty; but one on which the United States and the entire
world have consistently opposed extension of national sovereignty claims.

LOST Directly Repudiates World Government, Expands Sovereignty and Is Crucial to


Free Market Principles and Property Rights
Moore, ’05 (John Norton, Prof Nat’l Security Law, Journal Int’l Affairs, 9/22)
Myth: The convention is an effort by the radical left to move toward world government. The reality is the opposite!
The convention includes a massive extension of national sovereign rights over the most important oceans
resources, including fish stocks and oil and gas, while protecting national sovereign rights in freedom of navigation
for all nations. As such, it is a direct repudiation of radical claims, urged by some, for an international agency to
control the oceans. Only seabed mineral resources beyond a broadly extended area of coastal state jurisdiction are
placed under the limited control of an international authority, and this was necessary to establish the exclusive
property rights needed by mining firms for minerals otherwise owned by no nation. Further, the ISA, as
renegotiated, adopts free-market principles as its core and is itself a rejection of the "New International
Economic Order." Also, the negotiations resisted any effort to stray into arms control as urged by some. In reality,
the convention is a triumph for both national sovereign rights and free market principles.
SDI 2008 39
WHAM! File Title

2NC AT: No Overpopulation Solvency


( ) Extend the 1NC San Gabriel Valley ‘5 saying that repealing GGR will decrease
overpopulation

( ) Increased support for family planning is key to lock in peak population


Richard Cincotta et al, Senior Research Associate, Population Action International, 2003, The Security
Demographic, p. 41
POLICY PRESCRIPTION In recent decades the world as a whole has moved fairly rapidly through the
early and middle stages of the demo- graphic transition. Average family size is now a bit more than half
of what it was in the early 1960s, and infant mortality has declined by two- thirds. Policies and investments
that improved family planning and related reproductive health services and brought more girls into the
class- room and women into the workplace are major reasons for this progress. Waning international
support for family planning services, however, renders uncertain the pace of further progress through
the transition.

( ) Increased family planning assistance can secure stable population size—Its not too late
to solve
Richard Cincotta et al, Senior Research Associate, Population Action International, 2003, The Security
Demographic, p. 40
Support for international family planning efforts has waned, however, in recent years—and at an
inopportune time.48The need for more and better quality reproductive health care, contracep- tives and
counseling is growing. Nearly 1.1 billion young people aged 15 to 19 are entering their re- productive years,
most of them unaware of the risks and responsibilities of sex and reproduction. Three million people die each
year from aids. And still, around 515,000 women perish annually from largely preventable pregnancy-related
causes, including about 70,000 deaths from unsafe abor- tions.49 Can the world change course? According to
demographers, it already has. Growth of global pop- ulation is decelerating more dramatically than was
anticipated even in the mid-1990s. The United Nations Population Division, the most widely consulted
demographic accountant on these matters, has set its 2002 medium variant projection—the one the division
deems most predictive—at 7.9 bil- lion people in 2025. That’s about 1.5 billion more people than today. But
it is also nearly 600 mil- lion fewerthan the same UN demographers had projected for 2025 just a decade
earlier.50Yet, the growth rate of population would be slower still if not for the fact that an estimated 38
percent of all pregnancies worldwide—some 80 million annually—are either unintended at the time or
unwanted at any time.51 The global demographic transition is still far from complete. While one-third of
the world’s countries have made their way fully through the transition, more than a third remains in
the early and middle phases. The future could see a continuation of today’s impressive declines in
fertility and childhood mortality, and a reversal in the hiv/aidspandemic—but only if policymakers support
and fund the policies and programs that make such change possible. If the relationships between the
demographic transition and conflict seen in the post-Cold War years hold in the coming decades, decisions
made today that affect funding that facilitates this momentous transition could have an enormous
influence, not only on demographic prospects, but also on the future of global security.
SDI 2008 40
WHAM! File Title

2NC AT: McCain Won’t Strike Iran


( ) Extend the Clemons 08 card, that McCain will strike Iran because he is crazy enough
to sing bomb Iran songs, his public view is that a war with Iran is inevitable and our
evidence is conclusive that McCain will be a war President

( ) Their Strobel 08 card merely states that he will call for sanctions as part of his solution
and it even states that he was unsatisfied with past overtures toward Iran. No where in the
card does it state that McCain will take the same actions as Obama.

( ) Their Slate Magazine 08 evidence that says McCain is not calling for military action is
terrible. It states that he is still keeping all his options on the table and refuses to consider
direct talks

( ) Their Hayes 08 card is terrible all it says is that McCain’s position is to “basically”
engage in some type of diplomacy

( ) Their O’Donnell card concedes that McCain is against peaceful visitations and that he
is concerned that if he does diplomacy it will make the US and Iran seem like equals.

( ) McCain makes attack likely due to his advisers


Guardian, 6/22/08
But there is another, very different side to John McCain. Away from the headlines and the stirring speeches, a
less familiar figure lurks. It is a McCain who plans to fight on in Iraq for years to come and who might
launch military action against Iran. This is the McCain whose campaign and career has been riddled with lobbyists and special interests. It is a McCain
who has sided with religious and political extremists who believe Islam is evil and gays are immoral. It is a McCain who wants to appoint extreme conservatives to the Supreme Court
and see abortion banned. This McCain has a notoriously volatile temper that has scared some senior members of his own party. If McCain becomes the most powerful man in the
world it would be wise to know what lies behind his public mask, to look at the dark side of John McCain. John McCain is an American hero in an age of war and terrorism. As young
Americans return in bodybags from Iraq and Iranian mullahs cook up uranium, an old soldier like McCain seems a natural choice in a dangerous world. He is the son and grandson of
warriors. Both his father and grandfather were four-star admirals. He was even born on a military base, on 29 August 1936, in Panama. And his life story reads like a movie script.
The young, rascally McCain, nicknamed 'McNasty' by his classmates, attended the elite United States Naval Academy in Annapolis, Maryland. He became a navy pilot, long before
Tom Cruise made 'Top Guns' famous, and began his first combat duty in Vietnam in 1966, carrying out countless missions. Then came disaster. He was shot down and held prisoner
for five years by brutal North Vietnamese captors. In his stiff gait and damaged arms, he still bears the scars of their tortures. His CV for the White House is written in his suffering as
military legacy has made John McCain a legend. But it has not turned him into a
much as in his career as a senator. That
peacemaker, at a time when most Americans desperately want the war to end. Anyone hoping for a new president who will quickly bring America's troops home from Iraq
had better look elsewhere. McCain has always supported the invasion of Iraq and he wants to support it until at least 2013, or perhaps for many years beyond. He believes withdrawal
would be a surrender to terrorists. That warlike spirit was on full display in Denver when McCain's speech was interrupted repeatedly by anti-war protesters. They stood up, unfurling
banners and shouting for a withdrawal from Iraq. When it happened a third time, McCain had had enough. In a voice suddenly filled with steely resolve, McCain broke from his
carefully scripted speech and gripped the lectern. He looked out at the audience and spoke slowly. 'I will never surrender in Iraq,' he rasped. 'Our American troops will come home
with victory and with honour.' The crowd cheered and chanted: 'John McCain! John McCain!' It was a perfect moment for unrepentant supporters of the Iraq invasion and a McCain
who still smarts from defeat in Vietnam. No retreat. No surrender. This time America will win. McCain believes in projecting American military power abroad. So it is no wonder that
the neoconservatives who pushed for war in Iraq have now regrouped around him. McCain's main foreign policy adviser is Randy Scheunemann, who was executive director of the
shadowy Committee for the Liberation of Iraq. Other leading neocons on board include John Bolton, America's belligerent former UN ambassador, Bill Kristol, editor of the Neocon
Another close McCain adviser is former
bible the Weekly Standard, and Max Boot, who has pushed for a US version of the old British Colonial Office.
CIA director James Woolsey, who has openly advocated bombing Syria. Such a group of warlike
counsellors has raised fears that McCain may strike Iran to stop its suspected quest for a nuclear
weapon, triggering a fresh war in the Middle East. The Republican candidate has openly joked about bombing Tehran. It was just over a year
ago, in the tiny borough of Murrells Inlet in South Carolina, and McCain faced a small crowd in one of his characteristic town hall meetings. As McCain stood on the stage, one man
asked him about the 'real problem' in the Middle East. 'When are we going to send an airmail message to Tehran?' the man pleaded. McCain laughed and - to the tune of the Beach
Boys' classic 'Barbara Ann' - began to sing: 'Bomb bomb bomb, bomb bomb Iran.' But some think McCain's joke may well become policy. 'I think a McCain presidency would be
very likely to strike Iran,' says Cliff Schecter, author of a new book, The Real McCain
SDI 2008 41
WHAM! File Title

2NC AT: McCain Won’t Strike Iran


War against Iran will be likely McCain is elected
Rodrigue Tremblay 7/18/08 Candidate McCain: A Risky Choice
http://www.opednews.com/articles/Candidate-McCain--A-Risky--by-Rodrigue-Tremblay-080716-766.html
Fifth, Sen. McCain is a neocon candidate. The Israel Lobby, indeed, and the Neocons, that is to say the
small clique of misguided ideologues who have whispered advice into George W. Bush's ears for years,
and who have begun whispering into McCain's ears, would be delighted to have a militarily hawkish
and neoconservative McCain in the White House. For them, this would be a dream come true. Their pet
project-a war against Iran-would become a reality. Sen. McCain was born on a U.S. military base in a
foreign country (Panama), and he is the son and grandson of military career individuals. That may explain
why he is enamored with anything military. This is a man who believes there is a military solution to any
political problem. He would be expected to follow the neocon-inspired so-called "Bush Doctrine." He would
also be expected to embrace the Neocons' imperialistic and extreme Right Wing Project for the New
American Century (PNAC) that calls for American global dominance. Armed with these two "doctrines",
Sen. McCain, if elected President, would stand ready to launch future gratuitous and illegal wars of
aggression around the world to ensure American supremacy. Those who liked George W. Bush will love
John McCain. They will get all the fireworks and more. Whether this approach is good for the United
States, for its economy and for its reputation, and for stability in the world, is another matter.

They say that McCain will use diplomacy but McCain advocates diplomacy backed with
the willingness to use American force
Ted Van Dyk, Staff writer of Crosscut. 7/9/08 Campaign strategy session
http://www.crosscut.com/politics-government/15695/Campaign+strategy+session/
On foreign policy issues, Obama reflects his party's greater emphasis on multilateralism, international
institutions, and identification with Third World problems, as well as its shunning of military options in
general. McCain is a greater advocate of assertiveness on behalf of American interests and of
diplomacy backed, in the end, with a willingness to use American force.

McCain will use military force in Iraq to strike Iran


Media Matters. 7/15/08. CNN again aired McCain's false suggestion that Obama opposed designating the Iranian
Revolutionary Guard a terrorist group. http://mediamatters.org/items/200807150003?f=h_latest
Foreman aired a clip of comments from a July 9 press availability in which McCain said: "It's my
understanding that this missile test was conducted by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard. This is the
same organization that I voted to condemn as a terrorist organization when a amendment was on the
floor of the United States Senate. Senator Obama refused to vote, called it provocative. " However,
Foreman did not note that Obama co-sponsored a bill in 2007 that would have designated the IRG a terrorist
organization. Nor did he note that Obama said he opposed the bill McCain referenced -- the Kyl-
Lieberman amendment -- because it "state[d] that our military presence in Iraq should be used to
counter Iran."
SDI 2008 42
WHAM! File Title

2NC Impact Overview – GGR


( ) DA o/w the case

Magnitude – Nuke war means everyone is either dead or is at a huge risk for cancer –
eventually everyone will be dead. Compared to unlikely advantages, our impact is bigger
because everyone will be affected.

Timeframe – overpopulation is already occurring so WMD conflict can come literally any
day now. Their advantages have to go through multiple steps to lower emissions and then
change energy policies – it will take multiple years.

Probability – every scientist with a brain realizes the human population is out of control
and the chance of fighting over resources is 100% because it’s human instinct. Their
advantages are extremely improbable due to the terminal defense.

Disad turns case: nuke war means dust in the air – exacerbates global warming. Nuke war
will kill the economy because key infrastructure will be destroyed. Plus, oil dependency will
be exacerbated because the middle east will be our enemies.

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