Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Fiscal policy is carried out by the legislative and/or the executive branches of government. The two main instruments of fiscal policy are: 1 Government expenditures 2 Taxes. The government collects taxes in order to finance expenditures on a number of public goods and servicesfor example, highways and national defense. Expansionary Fiscal Policy. Expansionary fiscal policy is defined as an increase in government expenditures and/or a decrease in taxes that causes the government's budget deficit to increase or its budget surplus to decrease. Contractionary Fiscal Policy Contractionary fiscal policy is defined as a decrease in government expenditures and/or an increase in taxes that causes the government's budget deficit to decrease or its budget surplus to increase. Classical and Keynesian views of fiscal policy. The belief that expansionary and contractionary fiscal policies can be used to influence macroeconomic performance is most closely associated with Keynes and his followers. The classical view of expansionary or contractionary fiscal policies is that such policies are unnecessary because there are market mechanismsfor example, the flexible adjustment of prices and wages which serve to keep the economy at or near the natural level of real GDP at all times. Accordingly, classical economists believe that the government should run a balanced budget each and every year. Combating a recession using expansionary fiscal policy. Keynesian theories of output and employment were developed in the midst of the Great Depression of the 1930s, when unemployment rates in the U.S. and Europe exceeded 25% and the growth rate of real GDP declined steadily for most of the decade. Keynes and his followers believed that the way to combat the prevailing recessionary climate was not to wait for prices and wages to adjust but to engage in expansionary fiscal policy instead. The Keynesians' argument in favor of expansionary fiscal policy is illustrated in Figure 1 .
Assume that the economy is initially in a recession. The equilibrium level of real GDP, Y1, lies below the natural level, Y2, implying that there is less than full employment of the economy's resources. Classical economists believe that the presence of unemployed resources causes wages to fall, reducing costs to suppliers and causing the SAS curve to shift from SAS1 to SAS2, thereby restoring the economy to full employment. Keynesians, however, argue that wages are sticky downward and will not adjust quickly enough to reflect the reality of unemployed resources. Consequently, the recessionary climate may persist for a long time. The way out of this difficulty, according to the Keynesians, is to run a budget deficit by increasing government expenditures in excess of current tax receipts. The increase in government expenditures should be sufficient to cause the aggregate demand curve to shift to the right from AD1 to AD2, restoring the economy to the natural level of real GDP. This increase in government expenditures need not, of course, be equal to the difference between Y1 and Y2. Recall that any increase in autonomous aggregate expenditures, including government expenditures, has a multiplier effect on aggregate demand. Hence, the government needs only to increase its expenditures by a small amount to cause aggregate demand to increase by the amount necessary to achieve the natural level of real GDP. Keynesians argue that expansionary fiscal policy provides a quick way out of a recession and is to be preferred to waiting for wages and prices to adjust, which can take a long time. As Keynes once said, In the long run, we are all dead. Combating inflation using contractionary fiscal policy Combating inflation using contractionary fiscal policy. Keynesians also argue that fiscal policy can be used to combat expected increases in the rate of inflation. Suppose that the economy is already at the natural level of real GDP and that aggregate demand is projected to increase further, which will cause the AD curve in Figure
As real GDP rises above its natural level, prices also rise, prompting an increase in wages and other resource prices and causing the SAS curve to shift from SAS1 to SAS2. The end result is inflation of the price level from P1 to P3, with no change in real GDP. The government can head off this inflation by engaging in a contractionary fiscal policy designed to reduce aggregate demand by enough to prevent the AD curve from shifting out to AD2. Again, the government needs only to decrease expenditures or increase taxes by a small amount because of the multiplier effects that such actions will have. Secondary effects of fiscal policy Classical economists point out that the Keynesian view of the effectiveness of fiscal policy tends to ignore the secondary effects that fiscal policy can have on credit market conditions. When the government pursues an expansionary fiscal policy, it finances its deficit spending by borrowing funds from the nation's credit market. Assuming that the money supply remains constant, the government's borrowing of funds in the credit market tends to reduce the amount of funds available and thereby drives up interest rates. Higher interest rates, in turn, tend to reduce or crowd out aggregate investment expenditures and consumer expenditures that are sensitive to interest rates. Hence, the effectiveness of expansionary fiscal policy in stimulating aggregate demand will be mitigated to some degree by this crowding-out effect. The same holds true for contractionary fiscal policies designed to combat expected inflation. If the government reduces its expenditures and thereby reduces its borrowing, the supply of available funds in the credit market increases, causing the interest rate to fall. Aggregate demand increases as the private sector increases its investment and interest-sensitive consumption expenditures. Hence, contractionary fiscal policy leads to a crowding-in effect on the part of the private sector. This crowding-in effect mitigates the effectiveness of the contractionary fiscal policy in counteracting rising aggregate demand and inflationary pressures
As seen in the above diagram when an economy is faced with a deflationary gap its aim is to push the real consumption function leftward so as to close this gap which usually reflects either lack of growth or unemployment. In other words what this fiscal policy aims at is increasing consumption and thus in turn reducing unemployment and/or recession. On the other hand when the economy is faced with an inflationary gap it aims at shifting the real consumption function rightward so as to close that gap and thus eliminate inflation. If however we examine the policies best fitted to increasing growth and combating unemployment, we will see that a fiscal policy is not always the best approach. In the case of equilibrium unemployment we see that there are several types of unemployment and thus several economic policies to combat them. In the case of frictional unemployment we see that the best policy to combat it is by reducing job dissatisfaction through increasing job information and by
reducing unemployment benefits so people have a disincentive to remain unemployed. In the case of structural unemployment we could increase education so as to eliminate occupational immobility and improve transportation so as to eliminate geographic immobility. Finally in the case of seasonal unemployment the government could spread economic activities for a longer time period. Thus from the above we conclude that in the case of equilibrium unemployment there is no point in using a fiscal policy seeing that this type of employment doesnt occur due to lack of demand. In the case of disequilibrium unemployment the government could either reduce government intervention in the labor market or reduce the power of labor unions so as to make the labor market more flexible to wage changes. Thus we see again that a fiscal policy has no exact purpose here because an increase in demand cant permanently secure that the economy will never fall in recession so that wages wont have to fall. In the case of the economy wishing to stimulate growth a fiscal policy could prove very effective seeing that it increases the two main elements of demand namely domestic consumption and investment thus will probably trigger development. However the government has to be very cautious in assuring that this rapid development wont lead the country to inflation or nonsustainable development. Also if the economy is trying to combat inflation and it tries to implement a demand side policy this may lead to a dramatic increase in unemployment which is what happened in the case of Spain when it was trying to enter the EU. Thus we see that while a fiscal policy does affect aggregate demand and does close the deflationary or inflationary gap the government due to several problems may not be able to stop implementing the policy exactly at the point when the gap has closed. This may cause inflation or unemployment to surge which is one of the main problems of demand-side policies, thus one may ask why the government prefers fiscal demand-side policies to supply-side policies. The fact is that despite their problems demand-side policies work faster than supply-side policies because the improvement in the factors of production supply-side policies aim at takes time to be fulfilled. Thus since the government needs to work fast so as to avoid an economic crisis a fiscal policy may prove to be more effective than a supply-side policy. Thus from the above we conclude that the purpose of a fiscal policy is to eliminate a deflationary or inflationary gap in the economy as fast as possible so as to prevent an economic crisis and through this to fine tune and control the economy.
Finally there is the issue of the fiscal drag that may make fiscal policies ineffective. This happens because if the government keeps increasing government spending with taxation levels remaining stable the government may move into recession and a deflationary gap might emerge. This can be explained by the fact that people earning higher income due to an increase in government spending will move to a higher income bracket and pay higher taxation something that will reduce consumption on their part and leas the economy to slowdown instead of growth. Thus from the above we see that fiscal policies are effective but in a very limited number of situations seeing that they often backfire.