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OPPORTUNITIESANDCHALLENGES
April2012
SUMMARY
The Oil & Gas sector
Market trends in Colombia Exploratory and development wells drilled in Colombia Oilfield services sector SSPP Participation in Colombia's GDP and oil sector GDP Oilfield companies: operational income Oilfied companies imports F Free t d agreement (C l US) trade t (Col Challenges for the oil and gas sector in Colombia. C CAMPETROL EXPO OIL&GAS COLOMBIA 2012 O O O &G S CO O 0
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Markettrendsforhydrocarbonsin Colombia l b
CURRENTFIELDS In202065%ofexpectedproduction(1,300MBOED) ofEcopetrol,willcomefromexistingfields.
Source:EcopetrolS.A.,InvestorPresentation.Jan,2012.
UNCONVENTIONAL Potentialofunconventionalresources: Methane Hidrates(434,2TCF) Shales (31,7TCF) CoalBed Methane (7,5TCF) Thight Sands (1,2TCF) TarSands(23,762MMBPE). Tar Sands (23 762 MMBPE)
Source:ArthurDLittle.PotentialResourcesofUnconventional HydrocarbonsinColombia.Tomado deEcopetrol S.A.,Investor Presentation.Jan,2012.
OFFSHORE
Themarinebasinsrepresent50.6%ofthe country'ssedimentarybasins. y y
Source:ANH
For2012areexpectedtodrill3wellsinthe basinsoftheColombianCaribbeanSea.
Source:ANH
Exploratoryanddevelopmentwellsdrilled inColombia
www.campetrol.org
25%
1.20%
1.00%
0.20%
0%
0.00%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
8
Source:DANE,Supersociedades.Calculations:CAMPETROL
Source:Supersociedades (196firms).Calculations:CAMPETROL
9
$688 $589
USD$Millions (cif) )
$174
$172
$207
$235
2000
Source:DIAN
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
TheOil&Gas Sector:SuppliersOpportunities
M.PorterMatrix:Industry/LocalIndustryStrengths
Industryattractiveness
High Medium Low
1,2,6,7,21,24 1 2 6 7 21 24
17
3,4,12,13,15, 16,19,23,30
Localindustryst trengths
Medium
High
14,22,26,28, 29,32,35,36,37,38
34
5,8,9,10, 18,20,25,27
Low
31
Source:Oportunidadesdelacadenadehidrocarburosparalaindustrianacional(20092020),ANDIyANH
TheOil&Gas Sector:SuppliersOpportunities
Attractivenesstowardsindustryvs.Localindustrystrengths.
Industryattractiveness
High Drilling&Workover. Environmentalsmanagement. Operationsofoilfields. Oilfieldintegralmaintenance Crudeandwatertreatment. Maintenanceofrotaryequipmentforrefiningplants.
High
1,2,6,7,21,24 1 2 6 7 21 24
Drilling fluids. Filters. Wellding supplies. Chemicals Thermic isolation Packing units. Drilling pipes(andpipesaccessories) Maintenance of electrical and instrumentation for ofelectrical andinstrumentation refining units. Cables andelectric accessories.
Localindustryst trengths
14,22,26,28, 14 22 26 28 29,32,35,36,37, 38
Low
Medium
31
Mechanical seals andbearings
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Tariff year_1 year_2 year_3 year_4 year_5 year_6 year_7 year_8 year_9 year_10
www.campetrol.org
150 100 50 0
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Fuente:IADC.LADSColombia.
$ $470,171 ,
3%
$375,517 $331,052
2.14% 2%
$244,371 $195,320 0.90% $184,693 $143,561 $120,636 0.32% 0.30% 0.17% 0.26% 0.33% 0.17% $36,723 0.14% 0% 1%
0.24%
Income2011
(%R&D/Income) 2011
HUMANRESOURCESINCOLOMBIA
(Petroleumengineersgraduates)
400 350 300 250 200 155 150 100 200 50 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 numberofgraduates
Source:EcopetrolandANH
Numberofg graduates
240
230
100 0 KBPD
Challengesfortheoilandgassectorin Colombia l b
Operations
Industrialsafety:improvetheindicatorsof industrial incidents. TechnologyandInvestment inR & D:increasethe developmentof Colombian technologies. Humanresources:high technicalandprofessionallabor capacity. capacity
Externalfactors:
Transport: adequate infrastructure to transport crude Transport:adequateinfrastructure totransport crude. PhysicalSecurity:providesecurityfor allworkers inthe oilfields.
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19
CAMPETROL
Non-profit entity that seeks the economic, social Non profit and technical oilfield services sector in Colombia. We will be the guild leader of the oil industry in Colombia. We represent 168 companies and oilfield p p service assets present in Colombia. Representing 70% of total revenues in the sector of goods and oil services in Colombia.
20
Agenda
Technological Conferences: Building Up Strategies
Topics
Mature fields Security
Conference
Keynote Speech Panel Keynote Speech Keynote Speech
Theme
Colombia 2020: Vision of the future Case studies: How to increase the recovery factor? Security and defense a path to prosperity in the oil and gas sector in Colombia. Prospectivity and Development How to accelerate the learning curve in Colombia?: Reality and Future Success Stories: International strategies and Colombias challenges to promote R&D+i. R&D in the Oil and Gas Sector: How to do it? CSR horizons in Colombia: 2012 - 2020
CSR
Reflections on the HES best practices in the oil and gas sector.
Exhibition Space
2010:2.050m2 2010: 2 050m2 2012:8.000m2 2014:9.000m2 20 9 000 2 2016:10.000m2
OneonOneBusinessMatchMaking
Offer: Off OilfieldServiceCompanies Complimentarygoodsandservicecompanies Providers. Providers Demand: Operators that have or are planning Operatorsthathaveorareplanning tohaveE&PactivitiesinColombia. OilfieldServiceCompanies. Investors.
Thank You!