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May24,2012
TableofContents
TableofContents
I. NatureofEngagement&Scope 3 5
II. SummaryofKeyFindings&Recommendations III. SituationalAssessment Background CurrentSituation CausativeFactors IV. KeyFindings V. Recommendations&NextSteps VI. Appendix
14 22 28 44 54 57
I. NatureofEngagement&Scope
NatureofEngagement&Scope
NavigantCapitalAdvisors(NCA)submitsthisExecutiveSummaryReport(theReport)atthe requestoftheThruwayAuthority(TA)to:(i)reviewandsummarizeapparentfactorsthatledtothe currentfinancialpositionoftheorganization,andto(ii)providepreliminaryrecommendations regardingareasofimmediateinterventionandfuturefocustoassisttheTAinrepositioningitselfto bestmeetitschallenges TheReport,subjecttothequalificationsandlimitationssetforthinAppendixA,summarizesthe reviewofhistoricalfinancialandoperatingreportsprovidedbytheagency,aswellascertainother publiclyavailableinformation.ConsistentwiththerequirementsoftheengagementtheReportis basedsolelyinrelianceupon: Specificpresentations,reportsandstudiespreparedbyTAmanagementforinternalpurposesas wellasforitsBoardofDirectors HistoricalfinancialinformationprovidedbytheTA; Certainpresentations,studies,bondissuancedocuments,reportsandanalysisregardingtheTA providedbythirdpartyconsultants,financialadvisors,theNewYorkStateDivisionofBudget, SAGECommission;and InterviewswithselectTAmanagementandBoardofDirectorsmembers
II. SummaryofKeyFindings&Recommendations
SummaryofKeyFindings&Recommendations
TheThruwayisfacinganurgentfinancialneedunrelatedtotheTappanZeeBridge
BondAnticipationNotes(BANs)totalinginexcessof$868MMmustberefinancedbyearly July Whilecertaincostcontainmentinitiativesareunderway,withoutdecisiveaction,currentcapital structureanddebtservicecoveragewillunlikelyabsorbtherefundingofBANswithlongterm debt,ortermingoutofBANs,inadditiontocontemplatedborrowingsrequiredtosupport ongoingcapitalneeds
Materialamountsofshorttermdebtwereutilizedin2009andextendedinto2012,but notreflectedinunderlyingcreditratios
Theboardapprovedaseriesofopaqueandpotentiallyrisky,shorttermBANsintheamountsof $681MMin2009,thenincreasedto$868MMandextendedin2011. Thispracticefollowedapriorperiod,from20002004,ofconsecutiveshorttermdebtissuances thatavoidedsignificantlyweakerdebtcoveragelevelsandalikelyratingsdowngradeatthetime Thedecisionappearstohavebeenmadewithashorttermfocusandnotnecessarilyafull appreciationforthepotentiallongtermconsequencesofrefundingonfuturecostofcapital, ratingagencyreviewandreaction,creditunderwritingimpact,andinterestrateenvironment uncertainty Questionsaboundabouttheprudenceofthedecisionatthetime,thatcreatedafunding mismatchofshorttermdebtvs.longtermassetsinaveryweakoperatingenvironment
SummaryofKeyFindings&Recommendations
The20052011engineeringdrivencapitalprogramwasputinplacewithoutadequatenet revenuestosupportit.Theprogramwasfinancedheavilywithdebt
In2005,theboardinitiateditsmostambitiouscapitalplantodate,withcostsestimatedtoexceed $2.7billionoverasevenyearperiod,fundedsubstantiallybygrowingdebtfrom$1.9billionin 2005to$3.2billionin2011 Theneedforthismagnitudeofcapitalspendingappearstohavebeenjustifiedbylifecycle requirementsofa50+yearoldhighwaysystem,withoutindependent,thirdparty,validating review.Atthecommencementofthisplan,theboardexpectedfuturerevenueadjustmentstobe requiredtorestorekeycovenantstoacceptableboardmandatedlevelsuponprogramcompletion Whilethecapitalprogramexpendedapproximately85%ofitsboardapprovedlevels, managementindicatesthatonly42%ofmajorrehabilitationgoalsand81%ofreconstruction goalswereachieved,suggestingtheneedformorereliablecapitalplanningandasset managementprocesses
Untilrecentappointmentsinleadership,theTAmanagementandBoardofDirectorstook anextremelypassiveapproachtorevenueenhancementandcostcontainmentinitiatives
From20002004,revenuegrowthstrendswerepreliminarydrivenbytrafficvolume;post2005, revenuegrowthwasfromtollhikes,whichwereoffsetbyrecessionarypressure,andEZPass discounting.Commercialandpassengertollsarenotrationalizedeithertopeerpricinglevelsor torecognizedisproportionatewearandtear.Performancetonontollrevenuesappearsaverage relativetopeers Historicalrevenuetrendsfrom20002004weremostlydrivenbymodestvolumeincreases inbothpassengerandcommercialtraffic,withnotollincreasesintroducedduringthe period.TrafficvolumeCAGRovertheperiodwas2.5%andtrafficrevenueCAGRwasonly 0.7%
SummaryofKeyFindings&Recommendations
Substantialpassengerandcommercialtollhikeswereintroducedin2005followedby modesthikesineachyearof20082010,however,trafficvolumessubsequentlyfelldueto:(i) recessionaryandgaspriceissues,(ii)regionaleconomicissues,(iii)traffic diversion,(iv) customerswitchingtodiscountedEZPass drivenbytollincreases,and(v)eliminationof certainbarriertolls,allofwhichcreatedmajorrevenuechallengesasanunprecedented capitalplanwaslaunched.Withthetollhikes,trafficvolumesdeclinedataCAGRof1.8% andtrafficrevenuegrew3.7% Commercialandpassengertolls(bothhighwayandbridge)onacentspermilebasisare relativelyinexpensivewhenbenchmarkedagainstcomparabletollway systems Commercialtollsarelowrelativetopassengertollswhenfactoringtherelativecontribution ofwearandtearbycommercialvehicles.Forexample,peraNYDOTanalysis,asingle maxload80,000poundgrossweightcommercialvehicle(typically5axle)causeswearand tearequaltoapproximately9,600passengervehicles(typically2axle),yetcommercialtolls areonly5timespassengertolls Nontollasa%oftotalrevenuesplacetheTAatthemedianrelativetopeerbenchmarking. IfTAachievedthetoptierofthebenchmarkat6.6%oftotalrevenues,anadditional$10MM ofincrementalrevenuecouldbeachieved Since2001,growthrateofexpenseshasexceededrevenuefurtherimpedingtheagencies financialperformance TheThruwaymustevaluateausteritymeasuressimilartoonestheStateofNewYorkhas taken,whereitexpectsitsStateOperationsbudgetinFY2013todeclineinclusive oflabor andbenefitcosts
SummaryofKeyFindings&Recommendations
TheTAcarries94%ofthebenefitcostswithasmanyas67%ofallemployees(activeand retired)not makinganycontributionfortheirhealthcarebenefits Ifallemployeesandretireescontributedatthecurrentrates,thiscouldyieldinexcessof $7.5MMofsavingstotheTA Whilenonpayrollexpenseshavebeenrelativelyflat,totaloperatingexpenseshavegrown 66%,from$257MMin2000to$427MMin2011,aCAGRof4.7% Hadtheboardofdirectorsandmanagementtimelyaddressedrationalizationoftolls, curtailmentofoperatingexpenses,employeehealthbenefitcontributionsandothermeasuresof costcontainment,itscurrentcircumstancemaylikelyhavebeenavoided
SummaryofKeyFindings&Recommendations
NewleadershipattheTAhasprovidedrenewedfocusonimportantrevenueandcost initiativesandtheseprocessesneedtobeacceleratedandsupportedwithappropriate forceamplificationiftheyaretobeeffective
Untilrecently,managementandtheBoardofDirectorsfailedtodemonstratefiscalresponsibility andcurtailtheballooningdeficits,electinginsteadtokickthecanfordecades,consequently allowingdebttogrowfrom$237MMin1990to$3.2billionaCAGRof13.1% TheChairmanoftheBoard,andExecutiveDirector,whowerebothappointedwithinthelast year,haveidentifiedcertainkeyinitiativesfocusedonnontollrevenue,costcontainmentand potentialtolladjustmentstoaddressseveraloftheaforementionedissues,howeverbroader supportandamandatetoacceleratetheseinitiativesareessential TheChairmanoftheBoard,ExecutiveDirectorandmanagementhavepreliminarilyidentified potentialcostsavingscurrentlyestimatedat$30MMfortheremainderofFY2012andpotentially $65MMforFY2013.Theseinitiativesneedtobevalidatedwithspecificactionplanstoensure effectiveimplementation
10
SummaryofKeyFindings&Recommendations
ShorttermActions(30 60days)
1. Considerimplementation ofappropriatetollincreasetoalleviateimmediatefinancialstress,andaddresstherefunding oftheBANs 2. Implementimmediatecostcontainmentinitiatives identifiedbymanagement,including defininglaborstrategiesahead ofcontractnegotiationsas wellascollaboratingwithrepresentedemployeestomodifyworkrulesandcontract limitationsthatimpedeproductivityandefficiencyoftheagency 3. Implementausteritymeasurestoeffectivelyrestrictfuturecapitalspendingprojects(i.e.,otherthatthoseprojects continuedforpublicsafetyandotherrelatedconcerns)untilcapitalplanningandexecutionprocessesarereviewedand remediatedtoensureproperprioritization, andtheefficientandeffectivedeploymentofcapital 4. ConsiderappointmentofathreememberSpecialCommitteefromtheBoardofDirectors,authorizedtoleada restructuringprocess 5. Authorizeanindependentthirdpartytoconduct,insupportoftheSpecialCommittee,athoroughtoptobottom agencyreviewtoidentify, prioritize,andassist inthedevelopmentofimplementationplansfornontollrevenue enhancements,costcontainmentandotheropportunitiesforperformanceimprovement,SeeAppendix C,(The IndependentReview) 6. Assess theeffectsofcontemplatedtolladjustmentsandcostcontainmentmeasuresbeingpursuedtoevaluatethe viabilityandexecutionsuccessofvariousconsideredalternativesindealingwiththeJuly2012BANsmaturityincluding: (i)refundingwithlongtermdebts,(ii)termingoutandrestructuring,or(iii)shorttermrollover 7. Delayformalapprovalofthe20122017CapitalPlan,beyondthosereceivedfor2012budgetandcontracts program,until confidenceisestablishedincapitalplanningandprojectprioritizationprocess,aswellastheexecutionofcriticalasset managementinitiatives
11
SummaryofKeyFindings&Recommendations
MediumtermActions(60 180days)
1. ConducttheaforementionedIndependentReview(seeAppendix C forIllustrative WorkPlan) a) Evaluaterangeoftollandnontollrevenueenhancementopportunities b) Assessorganizationaldesignandinteragencyrelationships c) Collaborativelyevaluatelabor, thirdpartycontracting andvendorprograms d) Reviewofcurrentcapitalplanandmaintenanceprograms
LongtermActions(180days+)
1. ImplementrecommendationsfromtheIndependentReview 2. Developacomprehensiverolling10yearintegratedstrategic,financialandcapitalplanwhichbalancescurrent operations,truecapitalexpenditureneedsandappropriateidentificationofrisksandcontingencies 3. Adopt optimizedbondpoliciesrelatingtothebestpracticesonprogrammaticdebtissuance
12
III.SituationalAssessment
13
SituationalAssessment
Background
TheNewYorkStateThruwayAuthority(TA)wasfoundedin1952bytheNewYorkState Legislatureasanindependentpubliccorporationestablishedtobuild,operateandmaintainthehigh wayasaselfliquidatingproject,financedthroughbonds.Originalconstructioncostswere approximately$1.0billion Therevenuetoretirethesebondswasdependentprimarilyontolls AboardofthreememberswasappointedbythegovernorwiththeadviceandconsentoftheState SenatetoestablishThruwaypolicy TheTAs570mileroadwayisthelongestcontinuoustollroadsystemintheworld.Itpassesthrough over23counties,92townships,13citiesand24villages TheTAiscurrentlycomprisedof2,818lanemiles,coveringthefollowingsegments:
Thruway Section Name
THE MAINLINE (New York - Buffalo) ERIE SECTION (Buffalo - Pennsylvania Line) NIAGARA SECTION I-190 (Buffalo - Niagara Falls) BERKSHIRE SECTION (Selkirk - Massachusetts Line) NEW ENGLAND SECTION (I-95) (Bronx - Connecticut Line) GARDEN STATE PARKWAY CONNECTION (Spring Valley - New Jersey) CROSS WESTCHESTER EXPRESSWAY (I-287) (Mainline I-87 in Tarrytow n - I-95 in Rye) Total
Mileage
426 70 21 24 15 3 11 570
14
SituationalAssessment
Background SummaryofHistoricalFinancials
Duringthe1990s,theTAenjoyedmoderaterevenuegrowthat3.1%annuallyoverthedecade,driven primarilybyconsistentincreasesintraffic From2000to2011,whileoperatingrevenuescontinuedtoincrease,atarateof4.1%annually, Thruwayoperatingexpensesfurtheroutgrewrevenuesatarateof4.8%annually AddedcostsrelatedtotheacquisitionoftheCanal,I84andothereconomicdevelopment projectsfurtherexceededrevenuegains,growingatanannualrateof4.4%overtheperiod
($inmillions) TotalThruwayReve nue (1) ThruwayOpe ratingExpe nse s Canal,I84,&Othe rOpe ratingExpense s Ne tRe ve nue s(afte rCanal,I84,&Othe r) Sr.Lie nDebtSe rvice Comme rcialPape r&BANsDe btSe rvice Ne tDebtSe rvice Ne tRe ve nue safte rDe btSe rvice NetRevenueusedforDSCR(2) DSCR(3)
1,307.4 40%
15
SituationalAssessment
Background HistoricalTrafficTrends
Fortheyears2000 2004,theTAenjoyedmodestyearoveryeargrowthinbothpassengerandcommercial revenues,withCAGRsof2.6%and1.0%,respectively,despitenoincreaseintollsovertheperiod
$700,000 $600,000 $500,000 200,000 $400,000 150,000 $300,000 100,000 $200,000 $100,000 $0 50,000 300,000
250,000
% ($inmillions) PassengerTraffic CommercialTraffic TotalTraffic PassengerRevenue CommercialRevenue TotalRevenue 2000 220.0 35.7 256 $239.3 $167.8 $407 2004 243.2 38.7 282 $264.8 $174.8 $440 Change 2005 2011 220.1 25.2 245 $403.9 $230.2 $634 11% 241.5 8% 32.5 10% 274
Passenger Revenue
Commercial Revenue
Passenger Traffic
Commercial Traffic
Source:DataprovidedinternallybytheThruwayAuthority
SituationalAssessment
Background TollViolationsandCollection
Since2007,theTAhasaccruedanaverageof$2.0MMinuncollectedtollviolationsand$5.2MMin feesonanannualbasis NonEZPass customersarefinedatalevelassumingfulldistance,becauseactualdistanceisnot tracked.Managementestimatestheincrementalrealizablerevenuetobeapproximately20%to 30%ofthetotalifthecurrentlegislationischanged
Targeted Realizable Revenue (3) ($ in 000's) 2007 $ 2008 2009 2010 2011 Average $
(1) (2) (3)
Source:DataprovidedinternallybytheThruwayAuthority
17
SituationalAssessment
Background TrendsinOperatingEfficiency
Theincreaseintollsin2005partiallyoffsettherevenuelostfromdecliningtrafficduringtheperiod, however,thehikeswereinsufficienttocovertherelatedoperatingexpensegrowth From2000to2011,operatingrevenuesgrewatarateof4.1%annuallyvs.operatingexpenses growthat4.7%annually
Operating efficiency improvements shown in '05 and '08-'10 are primarily due to toll increases
45.0% 40.0%
CAGR: 4.1%
tollincreases
18
SituationalAssessment
Background EmployeeCost&BenefitTrends
Laborcostsandbenefitshavegrownsignificantlyoverrecentyears
$350.0 $300.0 $100,000 $90,000 CAGR: 13.6% CAGR: 8.0%
Personal Services
Health Insurance
Pension
Other Benefits
Source:DataprovidedinternallybytheThruway
$300.0 $250.0 $200.0 $150.0 $100.0 $50.0 $0.0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
CAGR:1.0%
Net Total Operating Expenses - Less Pension, Health Insurance, Irene and Lee
Source:DataprovidedinternallybytheThruwayAuthority
19
SituationalAssessment
Background CapitalProgramFunding
Asanassetmanagerwithaginginventory,theTA,intheory,hassignificantcapitalexpenditure requirements Theboardapproved20052011CapitalPlanauthorizedanunprecedented$2.7billionincapital expenditures,withtheobjectiveofsignificantreconstructionandrehabilitationforsubstantial lifecyclegains Tosupportthe20052011CapitalPlan,debtbecamealargersourceoffunding,growingfrom$1.9 billionin2005to$3.2billionin2011 Averageannualcapitalexpendituresincreasedfrom$233.7MMin20002004to$322.9MM2005 2011 AtthesametimeaveragePayGodecreasedfrom47%in20002004to31%20052011drivenby softernetrevenuelevels
500.0 450.0 $3,000.0 $3,500.0
400.0 350.0 300.0 250.0 200.0 150.0 100.0 $500.0 50.0 40% 48% 41% 46% 58% 58% 37% 46% 16% 20% 19% 18% $0.0 $1,500.0 $2,500.0
$2,000.0
$1,000.0
Net Revenues Used for Funding - Pay-Go (1), (2) Funding from Debt (3)
20
SituationalAssessment
Background GrowingDebtBalances
TheTAcreditprofilehasdeterioratedovertheyears NetRevenuedeclinescoupledwithincreasingcapitalprojectneedshaveresultedinmounting debtandrelianceonopaqueandpotentiallyrisky,shorttermfundingsources Totaldebtoutstandingmorethandoubledfrom$1.3billionin2000tonearly$3.2billionin2011 In2008,debtratingsweredowngradedtoA+andA1byS&PandMoodysrespectively
3.00x
In 2008, debt ratings were downgraded to A+ and A1, for reasons including:
Debt Service Coverage Ratio
2.50x
Recent and forecast erosion in DSC levels Recent negative traffic trends and growing debt service combined with the need to fund a large capital program. High fuel prices and regional economic conditions, Nationwide flattening out of travel growth.
2,500.0 1.99x 2,000.0 Pre-2005 toll increases 1.77x 1.50x 1,500.0 Beginning of economic recession 1.00x 1,000.0 2.00x
500.0
0.50x
0.00x
DSCR does account for the BANs which are excluded from the calculation In addition, the DSCR calculation does not reflect operating expenses incurred by the Canals
Bond Debt
DSCR
(1)Includesoutstandingcommercialpaperbalancesfrom20002004 Source:DataprovidedinternallybytheThruwayAuthority
21
SituationalAssessment
CurrentSituation PhysicalImpactofCommercialTraffic
CommercialtollratesattheTA,unlikeotherhighwaysystems,donotkeeppacewiththeimpactof therelativewearandtearfromcommercialvehicles Commercialtollsareonly5timespassengertolls Commercialvehicles,andoverweighttrucksrepresentthesinglegreatestdemandonNYStates infrastructurefrombothanengineeringandeconomicstandpointperastudyreleasedbyNYState DepartmentofTransportation; Anaveragepassengervehicle(typically2axle)operatingat4,000poundscausesminimal harmtohighwaypavementorbridges Pavementdamageincreasesexponentiallyasvehicleweightincreases Onelegallyloaded80,000poundgrossweight(typically5axle)commercialvehiclecauses wearandtearontheroadequaltoapproximately9,600passengervehicles Ifatruckisloadedto95,000pounds(15,000poundsoverweight/beyondthelegallimit),its pavementdamagingimpactwillnearlydoubletothesimilardegreeofthedamagecausedby 19,000passengervehicles
Source:NYStateDepartmentofTransportation 22
SituationalAssessment
CurrentSituation AssetManagement
Whilefairtogoodsurfaceratingshavebeenmaintainedontheagingassets,fundamentalrehabilitation needsareinevitable.Extensiverehabilitationandreconstructioneffortsalwaysyieldextendedlifespan valuerelativetomildmillandfilltypecompletions,however,givencapitalconstraints,refinementin decisionmakingontheselectionofalternativemeansofrehabilitationexecutioniscritical
NYS Thruway Authority 1988 - 2011 Annual Pavement Surface Condition Rating Average
10
NYS Thruway Authority 1988 - 2011 Annual Bridge Condition Rating Average
7.0
Excellent
9 8 7
Excellent
6.5 6.0
Good
Good
5.5 5.0
6
Rating
Fair
Rating
4.5
Fair
4.0 3.5
Poor
4 3 Historical 2
Poor
3.0 2.5 Historical 2.0
1
1.5
0
1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
1.0
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Year
Year
Canal Ratings Summary (5-7 implies "good or better" rating) Rating Structure Count % of Total 01234567None Total 39 10 12 74 214 313 99 21 54 836 5% 1% 1% 9% 26% 37% 12% 3% 6%
Source:DataprovidedinternallybytheThruwayAuthority
2011
23
SituationalAssessment
CurrentSituation SAGEBenchmarking
InformationprovidedfromtheSAGECommissionreportcomparestheNYDOTtotheThruwayAuthority, showingvariousdifferencesinthesystems Oneparticularcomparisonhighlightsthattheadministrative/supportfunctionsarestaffedatequallevels, thoughtheNYDOThasasystemoflanemilesmorethan15timesthesizeoftheThruwayAuthority
Department of Transportation RoadMiles Lane Miles Bridges Budget (1) DebtOutstanding TotalEmployees Engineering SystemMaintenance Administrative/Support BargainingUnits
15,102 ~43,000 Over7,500 $4.2 billion N/A 8,784 2,639 4,829 534 2
ThruwayAuthority
570 2,818 885 $1.1 billion $2.9 billion 2,767 (+1,120) (2) 193 2,018 556 4
Budgetand AgencyScope
Employees
(1) (2)
Includesoperationalandcapitalspend.NYDOTdataexcludesspendingonlocaltransitauthorities(e.g.,MTA). 2,767figureincludesCanalCorporation;additional1,120withinTA
Source:SAGECommissionStudy
24
SituationalAssessment
CurrentSituation Benchmarks
Comparedtothepeergroup,bothThruwaycommercialandpassengertollratesarerelativelylow
2L Passenger Tolls (Ticket Cash Rates) (1) Massachusetts Turnpike Maine Turnpike NYS Thruway Ticket Indiana Toll Road West Virginia Turnpike Central Turnpike (NH) Pennsylvania Turnpike Illinois Tollway JFK Highway (MD) New Jersey Turnpike Blue Star Turnpike (NH) Dulles Toll Road (VA) Chesapeake Expressway (VA) Pocahontas Parkway (VA) Delaware Turnpike Dulles Greenway (VA) Chicago Skyway $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 3.8 4.6 4.7 5.7 6.8 6.8 9.3 10.5 12.0 12.3 12.4 14.3 18.2 34.1 36.4 39.6 44.9 $50 Cents Per Mile
5H Commercial Tolls (Ticket Cash Rates) (1) Central Turnpike (NH) Massachusetts Turnpike Maine Turnpike West Virginia Turnpike Indiana Toll Road NYS Thruway Ticket Dulles Toll Road (VA) Illinois Tollway Blue Star Turnpike (NH) Pennsylvania Turnpike Chesapeake Expressway (VA) New Jersey Turnpike Pocahontas Parkway (VA) JFK Highway (MD) Delaware Turnpike Dulles Greenway (VA) Chicago Skyway $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 8.9 16.7 18.3 23.0 23.1 23.9 26.8 28.0 34.0 35.4 43.8 44.0 68.2 72.0 81.8 113.6 215.4 $250 Cents Per Mile
(1)
2Lclassificationincludesanyvehiclewith2axles,under7feet6inchesinheight
Source:DataprovidedinternallybytheThruwayAuthority
25
SituationalAssessment
CurrentSituation Benchmarks
Likewise,bothcommercialandpassengerbridgetollrates arelowincomparisontopeers
2L Passenger Tolls - Round Trip Cash Tolls - 2012 NYS Bridge Authority Bridges Tappan Zee Bridge Port Authority - GW Bridge Port Authority - MTA - Whitestone/Throgs MTA - Brooklyn $0 $2 $4 $6 $8 $10 $12 $1.50 $5.00 $12.00 $12.00 $13.00 $13.00 $14
5H Commercial Tolls - Round Trip Cash Tolls - 2012 NYS Bridge Authority Bridges Tappan Zee Bridge Port Authority - GW Bridge Port Authority - MTA - Whitestone/Throgs MTA - Brooklyn $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $12.50 $32.75 $65.00 $65.00 $70.00 $70.00 $80
Source:DataprovidedinternallybytheThruwayAuthority
26
SituationalAssessment
CurrentSituation Benchmarks
Withnontollrevenuescomprising4.9%oftotalrevenues,theTAisinthemiddleofthegroup TheTAlagsitspeersinrelativecontributionfromnontollrevenues,particularlyconcessions Thisispartlymotivatedbyadesiretocompetewithlocaloffsystemconcessionoperators IftheTAmanagedtoachievethetoppeerat6.6%,itwouldgenerateanapproximate$10MMin additionalrevenues
NonTollRevenueasa%ofTotalRevenue
Illinois State Toll Highway Authority Ohio Turnpike Commission New York State Thruway New Jersey Turnpike Authority Floridas Turnpike System Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 2.5% 2.3% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 4.1% 4.9% 6.6% 6.5%
Source:VariousAgencyannualreports(2010)
27
CausativeFactors
Summary
Therearesevenmajorcausativefactorsthatappeartohaveledtothecurrentsituation: Decisionin2009toissueasignificantamountofshorttermBondAnticipationNotes subsequentlyupsizedandextendedin2011, resultinginanoverrelianceonopaqueand potentiallyrisky,shortterm debtfundingmechanismstofundlongtermcapitalneeds.Decision madeinfaceof: Realizationofaprotractedrecession andmotivationtocontinuetofundthecapitalplanto completion Falloutofmonolineinsureravailability ofcreditwraps Potentialratingsdowngradeandrelatedincreasesincostofcapital Avoidanceofweakerdebtservicelevels Ambitious,engineeringdriven,capitalprograminitiatedin2005,notratcheteddown significantlywhenrecessionaryheadwindswereencountered,andweakprojectexecution reflectedby: Lackofthirdpartyindependentreviewtojustifyspend Failuretoachieve targetedassetlifecyclecurveimprovements Insufficientcoordinationofstrategicandfinancialplanning,lackingannualassessmentof rolling10yearcapitalplan Suboptimalassetmanagementpractices Significanttrafficand revenuegrowthchallenges withabsenceofclearmitigationstrategies
28
CausativeFactors
Summary(contd)
Operatingcostgrowthoutpacingrevenueswithnocomprehensiverevieworactionplan identifyingandtrackingkeyinitiativestoachievemeaningfulcostsavings Failuretorecognizethestructuralsignificanceandnecessaryactionsrequiredintakingon responsibilityandfundingoftheCanals,I84,I287andothereconomicdevelopmentprojects Priortotherecentappointmentsinleadership,theTAhistoricallyhadsystemiccorporate governanceproblems.Thisresultedinapparentineffectivestrategicplanning,andchronically stymiedcorrectiveactions(withashorttermkickthecanphilosophy),compromisinglong termviability.Correctiveactionscouldhaveotherwisebeenachievedthroughproperrisk identification,contingencyplanning,andtheintegrationofstrategic,operating,financialand capitalplanningcyclesandgoals Diminishingandinsufficientfederalaidtomeetaggregatefundingneeds
29
CausativeFactors
UseofShortTermDebttoFundLongTermAssets
ShorttermfinancingwasusedtofundamaterialportionoftheTAscapitalplan
In2009theTAfounditselfatacrossroadsregardingthenatureofdebttoissuetofund$680MMof newcapexneeds Notwithstandingdecliningnetrevenues,adequatebondingcapacityexistedtofundlongterm debtthatmayhaveresultedinadebtdowngradesandassociatedincreasesinpricingby80120 bps Adebtdowngradewouldhavepotentiallyimpactedtheabilitytoissuewellpricedlongterm debt Theboardapprovedopaqueandpotentiallyrisky,shorttermBANs Decisiontakeninlightof(i)realizationofaprotractedrecessionandmotivationtocontinueto fundthecapitalplantocompletion,(ii)falloutofmonoline insureravailabilityofcreditwraps, (iii)potentialratingsdowngradeandrelatedincreasesincostofcapital,and(iv)avoidanceof weakerdebtservicelevels Questionsaboundregardingtheprudenceofthedecisionatthetime,including: Riskestablishedwithdebtmarketsperceptionsofpotentiallygamingthecapitalstructure withasizablepieceofneartermpaper Mismatchofshorttermdebtagainstlongtermassetsinaweakoperatingenvironment Potentialconsequencesofrefundingriskonfuturecostofcapital,dependingonratingagency review,creditunderwritings,andinterestrateenvironment
30
CausativeFactors
UseofShortTermDebttoFundLongTermAssets
Trendsondebtservicecoveragereflectarapidlyerodingcreditprofilewithcreditstatistics from20002004and2009onwardsimprovedthroughBANsissuance
4,500.0 4,000.0 3,500.0
CommercialPaper andBANprogram In2008,debtratingswere downgradedfromAA toA+ andAa3toA1byMoodys andS&P,respectively
3.00x
2.50x
3,000.0 2,500.0
2.00x
1.50x 2,000.0
1.20x (4)
1,500.0 1,000.0 0.50x 500.0 0.00x 1.00x
Bond Debt
DSCR
CausativeFactors
LackofSophisticatedCapitalPlanningandAssetManagementTools
Effectivecapitalplanningprocessesandassetmanagementcapabilitiesmustbeenhanced
Priorto2005,thecapitalplanningprocesslackedasophisticatedapproachtovalidateitsneeds, priorities,costeffectiveness,financialcapacity,andensureproperalignmentwiththeTAsstrategic goals.OutsideconsultantsandtheNewYorkStateOfficeoftheComptrollerfindingsechoedthis assessmentinpriorreviewsoftheAuthority The$2.7billion20052011TAcapitalplandidnotutilizeindependentengineeringconsultantsfor verificationofthenecessityandprioritizationoftheaggregatespendpriortoboardapproval Whiletheprocesshasbecomemorecentralizedandintegrated,additionalimprovementsare warrantedsuchas(i)improvedprojectscoping,prioritizingand costestimating;(ii)tighter coordinationwithstrategicandfinancialgoalsincluding10+yearrollingcapitalplans;(iii)andmore sophisticatedassetmanagementpractices,thatarecurrentlylackinginsystematic,consistent,robust, andinterpretablecontentdeficientinidentifyingalternativeinvestmentscenarioperspectives TAestimatesarethatwithonly70of570milesoforiginalroadreplacedandtypically3040yearsof usefullife,theremayexistover$5.0billionofpotentiallongtermoverhaulneedstobeenacted to reconstructandrehabilitatetheroadandbridgeinfrastructuretokeepitsafeandfunctional.This shouldbeindependentlyevaluatedbythirdpartyengineers Giventhemagnitudeofpotentialcapitalneeds,itiscriticaltheTAhasindependentengineering assessmentstosupporttheproperandmostefficientmeansformaintenanceofstateofgoodrepair
32
CausativeFactors
CapitalExecutionDidntAchieveGoals
Whilethecapitalprogramexpendedapproximately85%ofitsboardapprovedlevels, managementindicatesthatonly42%ofmajorrehabilitationgoalsand81%of reconstructiongoalswereachieved
$2,800.0 $2,600.0 $2,400.0 $2,200.0 $2,000.0 $1,800.0 $1,600.0 $1,400.0 $1,200.0 $1,000.0 $2,700
A B C
$455
$2,700 (455) (140) (140) (55) (80) 150 110 10 ? 200 $2,300
$10
H I
$2,300
20052011Capital Planat2011
CausativeFactors
SourcesofFundingw/TotalIndebtedness
Netrevenuesavailabletofundcapexhavecontinuedtodrop,dramaticallyreducingthe PayGo%andincreasingrelianceondebtissuance
In2008onwardseconomicconditions dictatedhigherusageofbondfunds
$500.0 $450.0 60% $400.0 $350.0 $300.0 50% 70%
CAGR 0011 Passe nge rRe ve nue Comme rcialRe ve nue Othe rRe ve nue TotalRevenue ThruwayOpe ratingExpe nse s
Pay-Go (%)
($ in millions)
40%
20%
Capital Expenditure (incl. Canal, I-84, & other facilities & equipment)
Pay-Go %
Source:DataprovidedinternallybytheThruwayAuthority
34
CausativeFactors
Traffic&RevenueGrowthIssues
Twodifferingrevenuetrendsareevidentfrom20002004and20052011
$700,000 $600,000 $500,000 200,000 $400,000 150,000 $300,000 100,000 $200,000 $100,000 $0 50,000 300,000
250,000
% ($inmillions) PassengerTraffic CommercialTraffic TotalTraffic PassengerRevenue CommercialRevenue TotalRevenue 2000 220.0 35.7 256 $239.3 $167.8 $407 2004 243.2 38.7 282 $264.8 $174.8 $440 Change 2005 2011 220.1 25.2 245 $403.9 $230.2 $634 11% 241.5 8% 32.5 10% 274
Passenger Revenue
Commercial Revenue
Passenger Traffic
Commercial Traffic
CausativeFactors
LackofNonTollRevenues
NonTollRevenues,particularlymorepredictableconcessionrevenues,remainflat
$50.0 $45.0 $40.0
Revenue ($ in millions
$35.0 $30.0 $25.0 $20.0 $15.0 $10.0 $5.0 $0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Other (1) 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Concessions
(1)IncludesInterestonInvestments,SundryRevenue,andSpecialHaulingRevenue Source:DataprovidedinternallybytheThruwayAuthority
CausativeFactors
OperatingExpenseGrowth
Operatingexpensegrowthhasmateriallyoutpacedrevenuegrowth
$450.0 $400.0
CAGR: 7.4%
$350.0
CAGR: 6.0%
CAGR: 4.4%
$100.0
CAGR: 3.4%
$50.0 $0.0
Finance & Accounts Canal, I-84 & Other Opex General Charges Undistributed (1)
CausativeFactors
LaborCostsandBenefits
Laborcostsandbenefitshavegrownsignificantlyovertherecentyears
$350.0 $300.0 $100,000 $90,000 CAGR: 13.6% CAGR: 8.0%
Personal Services
Health Insurance
Pension
Other Benefits
Source:DataprovidedinternallybytheThruwayAuthority
CausativeFactors
LimitedRealizedCostSavings
AmajorityofTAemployeesdonotcurrentlycontributetohealthcarecosts
Currently,theTAcovers94%ofthetotalhealthinsuranceexpensewithasmanyas67%ofall Thruwayemployeesandretireesnot contributingtotheirhealthinsuranceplans.Amajorityofthe contributorsarecomprisedofretireeswhopayasmallpercentageofthecostdifferencesofan individualversusfamilyhealthplan Theaveragegrossannualexpenseperenrolleeis$11,184whiletheaveragecontributionisonly$699 onaverageperemployee Ifallenrolleescontributedtotheirrelativecost,theTAcouldrealizeanestimated$7.5MMincost savings,withcontributionsnowcoveringablended19%ofhealthcarecosts
Active EE Enrolled CURRENT STATE Non-Represented Represented Retirees Total Average per Enrollee ALL EMPLOYEES CONTRIBUTE Non-Represented Represented Retirees Total Average per Enrollee
Source:DataprovidedinternallybytheThruway Source:DataprovidedinternallybytheThruwayAuthority (1)
Total Ees Contributing (1) 41 491 1,183 1,715 % 20% 19% 48% 33%
$11,184
($699)
$10,485
2,478 100%
$11,184
($2,112)
$9,073 $7,447,039 AB
TotalEstimatedAnnualSavings
DifferenceinTotalEEscontributingandEnrolleesinAllEmployeesContributescenarioisforEEswhooptoutandchooseaplanabovetheplanofferedattheThruwayAuthority
39
CausativeFactors
LongTermStructuralIssues
WhilenoncoreassetshavebeenapartofThruwayoperationsfordecades,therehavebeen inadequaterevenueandcostsavingsinterventionstooffsetthecarryingcostsofthese assets
$120.0 $1,574 $110.0 $1,400.0 $100.0 $1,600.0
CumulativeNonCoreDisbursements (since1991)
Cumulative Economic Development $58.5 Cumulative I-84 $174.4 Cumulative I-287 $46.4
$90.0 $80.0
$1,200.0
$1,000.0 $70.0 $60.0 $50.0 $600.0 $40.0 $30.0 $20.0 $200.0 $10.0 $0.0 $0.0 $400.0 $800.0
Gross Canal Disbursements Gross I-84 Disbursements Cumulative Non-Core Disbursements (1)
Source:DataprovidedinternallybytheThruwayAuthority
CausativeFactors
LongTermStructuralIssues
Aggressiverevenueenhancementandcostcontainmentinitiativesmustbepursuedto addresstheassetfundingmismatchingthathasbeenevidentfordecades
Currently,theCanalscostapproximately$80MM$90MMincapitalandoperatingexpensesannually, andareonlysupportedbyroughly$2MMinrevenues PriortothetransferoftheCanalassets,the1991TransitionAdvisoryCouncilreportreflectedthatthe TAhadstrongbondingcapacitywithafavorableeconomicoutlook CanalsintegrationintotheoperationsoftheTAhavebeenlimitedandtheCanalsdonotformpartof thecreditgroupthatisearmarkedforprioritycapitalfunding FederalaidhashistoricallybeenreceivedforpartialfundingofCanalcapitalneeds,howeverfederal aidfundinghasbeendecliningsince2004andcontinuestotaperoff Approximately50%ofCanalstructureconditionswererecentlyratedpoor/fairastheTAhas consistentlyconstrainedfinancialresourcestofundCanalcapitalprogramneeds TheTAshouldevaluatethecurrentpermitfeestructures,includingHydropowereasementsfor potentialrevenueenhancements AlternativeideasformaximizingCanalinfrastructurehavebeenconsidered,including:closing portionsoftheCanals;monetizingattractivenoncorelandownedadjacenttotheCanals;andpublic privatepartnershiprecreationaldevelopmentprojects.Howevertodate,nomeaningfulstrategyhas beenpursuedbytheTAboardormanagement
41
CausativeFactors
EffectivenessofGovernanceStructuresandProcesses
Historically,alackofcomprehensivestrategicplanninghascreatedanenvironmentof inactionandashorttermkickthecanphilosophy
Seniorexecutivesandboardmembershaveidentifiedmaterialshortcomingsoftheagencyincluding: lackofinnovation,lackofcostconsciousness,andweakinternalprocesses Historically, theBoardofDirectorsandmanagementdidnotpursuerevenueenhancementandcost savingsinitiatives.However,recentseniorappointmentstotheboardhaveinitiateddiscussions aroundsubstantial,identifiableinitiatives,yettheseinitiativeshaveyettobeembodiedinastrategic planningdocument PriorindependentreviewsontheTAspolicies,processesandoperationstoassesscurrent managementpractices,highlighteddeficienciesandprovidedrecommendationsforimproved organizationalefficiencyandeffectiveness.TheseareinvaryingstagesofexecutionbyTA managementhoweverthereappearstobelackofdefinitiveworkplans,withdiscreteactionsteps, andclearaccountability Organizationalchangesincludingconsolidationwithothertransportationagenciesanddivisionsoffer substantialpotentialsavingsopportunitiesbuthaveyettobeactedupon.Duplicatedivision consolidationatThruwayandCanalsalonecouldrealizemeaningfulsavings Currentlaborcontractworkrulesandcivilservicerequirementsmakeitdifficulttoeffectuate significantorganizationalchanges,howeveridentificationofpriorityissuesandchange implementationplansareessentialifanymeaningfulprogressistobemade AnextensiveindependentmanagementreviewwascompletedinMay2010.Recommendationsareat varyingstagesofcompletion,thoughcertainkeyrecommendations,suchasdevelopinga10year strategicplanthataddressescriticalorganizationalchallenges,haveyettobeapprovedbytheBoard ofDirectorsandexecutivemanagement
42
CausativeFactors
DecliningTrendsinFederalAid
Federalaidhasbeenmarkedlyreduced
$120.0
Federal Aid ($ in millions)
IV.KeyFindings
44
KeyFindings
UrgentFinancialNeed
TheThruwayisfacinganurgentfinancialneedunrelatedtotheTappanZeeBridge
BANstotalinginexcessof$868MMmustberefinancedbyearlyJuly AdditionalborrowingsareprojectedtosupporttheThruwayscapitalplanandoperations requirements,intheabsenceofalternativerevenueenhancementandcostcontainmentinitiatives Withoutdecisiveintervention,currentcapitalstructureanddebtservicecoverageisinsufficientto absorbtherefundingofBANswithlongtermdebt,ortermingoutofBANs,inadditionto contemplatedborrowingsrequiredtosupportongoingcapitalneeds TAneedstopresentacrediblerevenueenhancementandcostcontainmentstrategytosupportshort termandlongtermfinancinghorizonandrelatedfinancingneeds Thecostofissuingdebt,ifassumedavailable,isattractiveinthecurrentlowyieldenvironment relativetoTAsmostrecentlongtermdebtissuancescompletedpriorto2008
45
KeyFindings
FinancialForecastsShowImmediateInterventionWarranted
ConstraintsexistontheThruwayfinancesthatimperilitsfutureoutlookabsenttimelyintervention Absentcurrentandadditionalrevenueenhancementandcostcontainmentinitiatives,debtservice coverageisprojectedtofallbelowthe1.2xminimumrequirementby2013
NetRevenueShortfall$000s
$000s TotalRe ve nue (1) Ope ratingExpe nse s(1) Ne tRe ve nue s Ne tDe btSe rvice (unadjuste d)(2) Ne tRe ve nue safte rNe tDe btSe rvice DSCR CapitalExpe nditure (3) CanalOpe rating(4) EndingDe btBalance (5)
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
2012B 664.7 375.3 289.4 202.3 87.1 1.43x 384.0 55.7 3,164.9
2013E 668.0 389.9 278.1 259.6 18.5 1.07x 374.0 53.2 3,423.8
2014E 676.1 401.5 274.6 282.7 (8.1) 0.97x 377.0 54.8 3,684.2
2015E 685.2 413.5 271.7 308.1 (36.4) 0.88x 383.5 56.4 3,945.9
2012B NA NA NA
2013E
2014E
2015E
1.5x (14.1) (111.3) (149.5) (190.5) 1.6x (34.3) (137.3) (177.7) (221.3) 1.7x (54.5) (163.2) (206.0) (252.1)
46
KeyFindings
Unsupported20052011CapitalPlan
The20052011aggressivecapitalprogramwasputinplacewithoutadequatenetrevenues tosupportit.Theprogramwasfinancedheavilywithdebt
Priorto2005,thecapitalplanningprocesslackedasophisticatedapproachtooverallneeds,priorities, costeffectiveness,financialcapacity,andalignmentwiththeTAsoverallstrategicgoals In2008,theNewYorkStateOfficeoftheComptrollerfoundthattheAuthorityscapitalplanning processallowedpracticesthatdidnotsufficientlyconsidertheneedforaccountabilityand transparency Subsequentindependentreviewsin2010,indicatedthatsignificantprogresshadbeenmadeinthe areasof(i)establishmentofCapitalProgrammanagers,(ii)ExecutiveCapitalProgramSteering Committeeandinoveralltrackingofspendandremainingbudgets Whiletheprocesshasbecomemorecentralizedandintegrated,additionalimprovementsare warrantedsuchas(i)improvedprojectscoping,prioritizingandcostestimating;(ii)tighter coordinationwithstrategicandfinancialgoalsincluding10+yearrollingcapitalplans;(iii)andmore enhancedassetmanagementpractices,whicharecurrentlylackinginsystematic,consistentand interpretablecontentdeficientinidentifyingalternativeinvestmentscenarioperspectives In2005,theboardinitiateditsmostambitiouscapitalplanever,withcostsestimatetoexceed$2.7 billionoverasevenyearperiod.TheThruwayhadnoestablishedtrackrecordinexecutingaplanof thismagnitudenorhadtheyidentifiedrisksandcontingencieswithappropriatemitigatingreserves orotherbackstops ThemagnitudeofcapitalspendingappearstohavebeeninternallyjustifiedbyTAlifecycle assumptionsandrudimentaryinspections,andnoindependentengineeringconsultantswereretained forpurposesofverificationofneedandpriorityoftheexpenditurespriortotheboardapprovalofthe $2.7billionplan
47
KeyFindings
UseofShortTermDebttoFundLongTermAssets
Shorttermdebtwasutilizedthatwasnotreflectedintheunderlyinganddeteriorating creditratios
4,500.0 4,000.0 3,500.0
CommercialPaper andBANprogram In2008,debtratingswere downgradedfromAA toA+ andAa3toA1byMoodys andS&P,respectively
3.00x
2.50x
3,000.0 2,500.0
2.00x
1.50x 2,000.0
1.20x (4)
1,500.0 1,000.0 0.50x 500.0 0.00x 1.00x
Bond Debt
DSCR
KeyFindings
RefundingRiskConcerns
Therewassignificantrefundingriskcreatedwiththeutilizationofshorttermdebt
Theboardapprovedopaqueandpotentiallyrisky,shorttermBANs Decisiontakeninlightof(i)realizationofaprotractedrecessionandmotivationtocontinueto fundthecapitalplantocompletion,(ii)falloutofmonolineinsureravailabilityofcreditwraps, (iii)potentialofratingsdowngradeandrelatedpricingincreases,and(iv)avoidanceoftighter debtservicelevels Questionsaroundtheprudenceofthedecisionatthetime Riskestablishedwithdebtmarketsperceptionsofpotentiallygamingthecapitalstructure withasizablepieceofneartermpaper Mismatchofshorttermdebtagainstlongtermassetsinaweakoperatingenvironment Potentialconsequencesofrefundingriskonfuturecostofcapital,dependingonratingagency review,creditunderwritings,andinterestrateenvironment
49
KeyFindings
DebtServiceCoverageRatiosDecliningforYears
StructuralissueswithassetfundingmatchingwithintheThruwaysportfoliohavebeen apparentforyears,butyetThruwaymanagementandtheBoardfailedtotakeaction
$1,200 $1,100 $1,000 $900 $800
($ millions)
MinimumCoverageRatioof 1.2xperBondCovenants MinimumCoverageRatioof 1.5xperBoardResolution MinimumCoverageRatioof 1.7xperThruwayTarget In2008,debtratingswere 3.00x downgradedtoA+andA1 2.75x byS&PandMoodys, respectively 2.50x
2.25x
Debt Service Coverage Ratio
2.00x 1.75x 1.50x 1.25x 1.00x 0.75x 0.50x 0.25x 0.00x 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Total Revenue Net Debt Service Thruway Operating Expenses Pro Forma DSCR (incl. Canal, I-84 & Other)
Source:DataprovidedinternallybytheThruwayAuthority
Capital Expenditure (incl. Canal, I-84, & other facilities & equipment) Canal, I-84, & Other Operating Expenses DSCR
TheCanalsdonotformpartofthecreditgroupyethavetheirexpensesbornebytheTAresultingin DebtServiceCoverageRatiosthatarerepresentedtobehigherthaneconomicreality
50
KeyFindings
RevenueEnhancementandTrue CostReductionMustBecomeAWayofLife
Untilrecently,theTAmanagementandBoardofDirectorshastakenapassiveapproachto revenueenhancementandcostcontainmentinitiatives
Significantchangeswerenevertakentoaddressstructuralassetfundingmismatch Costcontinuedtoexceedrevenuegrowth Whileoperatingcostcontainmentwasinitiatedin2007tokeepnonpayrollbenefitcostsclosetozero growth,significantyearoveryearcostreductionshavenotbeenaddressed
$350.0 $300.0 $100,000 $90,000 CAGR: 13.6% CAGR: 8.0%
Personal Services
Health Insurance
Pension
Other Benefits
Source:DataprovidedinternallybytheThruwayAuthority
KeyFindings
RevenueEnhancementandTrue CostReductionMustBecomeAWayofLife
TheThruway,totheextentpossible,mustprioritizeandenactimmediatelyidentifiable nontollrevenueenhancementandcostcontainmentinitiatives
2012 ($inmillions) RevenueEnhancement HealthcareContributionSavings OtherEmployeeBenefits OtherOperatingInitiatives Equipment,Capital,andDebtServiceSavings Total(1) Impact 2013+ Impact
$1.00 $6.50 2.00 9.00 1.00 8.00 22.00 35.50 4.00 6.00 30.00 65.00
(1)NumbersareapproximatedfromdataprovidedbytheTA,andhavenotbeenreviewedbyNCA
TheBoardofDirectorsandmanagementhavepreliminarilyidentifiedpotentialcostsavingscurrently estimatedat$30MMfortheremainderofFY2012andpotentially$65MM2013.Theseinitiativesneed tobevalidatedwithspecificactionplanstoensureeffectiveimplementation Revenueenhancementinitiativesincludeactivelymarketinglandforleaseorsale HealthcarecontributionsavingsincludesadoptingNewYorkStateplanforretireesandemployees Otheremployeebenefits savingsincludeeliminationofsickleavebonuspaymentsandvacationbuy backsaswellasimplementationofselectfurloughdays Otheroperatinginitiativesincludeeliminationofadditionalpositionvacancies,reducestatepolice TroopTauthorizedheadcount,consolidationofEZPass walkincenters,reducedtolllanestaffing, reducedovertime,installationofautomatedtollmachines,amongothers Equipment,CapitalandDebtservicesavings relatetofinancingheavyequipmentpurchases
52
KeyFindings
RevenueEnhancementandTrue CostReductionMustBecomeAWayofLife
Otherinitiativesthatshouldbeexplored,orarebeinganalyzedinclude: GreaterintegrationwithCanaloperatingunits Thruwaydivisionalconsolidation Saleorleaseof landrightsalongkeywaterfrontareasonthecanal ExploretheSAGEcommissionfindingsfurthertounderstandThruwaypotentialsavings StrengthentollviolationcollectionprocessesandaddresslegislativeissueofdesignatingTA beneficiaryoffundscollected BridgeAuthorityconsolidationandrelatedimpactonrevenueandexpenses
53
V.Recommendations&NextSteps
54
SummaryofKeyFindings&Recommendations
ShorttermActions(30 60days)
1. Considerimplementation ofappropriatetollincreasetoalleviateimmediatefinancialstress,andaddresstherefunding oftheBANs 2. Implementimmediatecostcontainmentinitiatives identifiedbymanagement,including defininglaborstrategiesahead ofcontractnegotiationsas wellascollaboratingwithrepresentedemployeestomodifyworkrulesandcontract limitationsthatimpedeproductivityandefficiencyoftheagency 3. Implementausteritymeasurestoeffectivelyrestrictfuturecapitalspendingprojects(i.e.,otherthatthoseprojects continuedforpublicsafetyandotherrelatedconcerns)untilcapitalplanningandexecutionprocessesarereviewedand remediatedtoensureproperprioritization, andtheefficientandeffectivedeploymentofcapital 4. ConsiderappointmentofathreememberSpecialCommitteefromtheBoardofDirectors,authorizedtoleada restructuringprocess 5. Authorizeanindependentthirdpartytoconduct,insupportoftheSpecialCommittee,athoroughtoptobottom agencyreviewtoidentify, prioritize,andassist inthedevelopmentofimplementationplansfornontollrevenue enhancements,costcontainmentandotheropportunitiesforperformanceimprovement,SeeAppendix C,(The IndependentReview) 6. Assess theeffectsofcontemplatedtolladjustmentsandcostcontainmentmeasuresbeingpursuedtoevaluatethe viabilityandexecutionsuccessofvariousconsideredalternativesindealingwiththeJuly2012BANsmaturityincluding: (i)refundingwithlongtermdebts,(ii)termingoutandrestructuring,or(iii)shorttermrollover 7. Delayformalapprovalofthe20122017CapitalPlan,beyondthosereceivedfor2012budgetandcontracts program,until confidenceisestablishedincapitalplanningandprojectprioritizationprocess,aswellastheexecutionofcriticalasset managementinitiatives
55
SummaryofKeyFindings&Recommendations
MediumtermActions(60 180days)
1. ConducttheaforementionedIndependentReview(seeAppendix C forIllustrative WorkPlan) a) Evaluaterangeoftollandnontollrevenueenhancementopportunities b) Assessorganizationaldesignandinteragencyrelationships c) Collaborativelyevaluatelabor, thirdpartycontracting andvendorprograms d) Reviewofcurrentcapitalplanandmaintenanceprograms
LongtermActions(180days+)
1. ImplementrecommendationsfromtheIndependentReview 2. Developacomprehensiverolling10yearintegratedstrategic,financialandcapitalplanwhichbalancescurrent operations,truecapitalexpenditureneedsandappropriateidentificationofrisksandcontingencies 3. Adopt optimizedbondpoliciesrelatingtothebestpracticesonprogrammaticdebtissuance
56
VI.Appendix
57
Appendix A
58
AppendixA
ReportQualificationsandLimitations
ThisconfidentialreporthasbeenpreparedfortheThruwayAuthorityinconjunctionwiththePortAuthorityofNewYorkandNewJerseypursuant totheAgreement,datedasofNovember23,2011,assupplementedbythatcertainFirstSupplementtoAttachmentA,datedasofApril26,2012,by andbetweenNCAandthePortAuthorityofNewYorkandNewJersey. ThisreportcontainsinformationrelatedtotheNewYorkThruway Authority(theThruwayAuthority)andisbeingprovidedonastrictlyconfidentialbasis. Thecontentofthisreportisnottobeusedforanyother purposeand,exceptasmayberequiredbylaworanyotherregulatoryorgovernmentalauthorityhavingjurisdictionovertheThruwayAuthority, cannotbedistributedwithoutthewrittenconsentofNCAandmaynot,inanycase,berelieduponbyanythirdpartieswithoutNCAspriorwritten consent. Duetotimeandotherlimitations,thisreporthasbeenpreparedutilizinglimitedduediligence. Itisbasedonassumptions,forecastsandestimates madebythemanagementoftheThruwayAuthority,informationprovidedtoNCAbyThruwayAuthoritypersonnel,informationprovidedby industrysources,and,insomecases,assumptionsmadebyNCA,whichmaynothavebeenreviewedwithThruwayAuthoritymanagement. Any historicalfinancialinformationorotherinformationgivento,andsubsequentlypresentedbyNCAmaynotbereliable. Anyfinancialstatementsor otherdatacontainedherein,includinganyforecasts,arethefinancialstatementsandforecastsofThruwayAuthoritymanagement,notNCA.NCA hasnotsubjectedtheinformationcontainedhereintoanexaminationinaccordancewithgenerallyacceptedauditingorattestationstandardsorthe StatementsonStandardsforProspectiveFinancialInformationissuedbytheAICPA.Further,theworkinvolveddidnotinclude adetailedreviewof anytransactions,andcannotbeexpectedtoidentifyerrors,irregularitiesorillegalacts,includingfraudordefalcationsthatmayexist.Accordingly, NCAcannotanddoesnotexpressanopinionoranyotherformofassuranceonthefinancialinformationanddoesnotassumeresponsibilityforthe accuracyorcorrectnessofthehistoricalandforecastedfinancialdata,informationandassessmentsuponwhichthisreportispresented. Inadditionbutnotinanywayslimitingtheforegoing,itshouldbenotedthatthesourceofallfinancialinformationorother informationrelatingto theThruwayAuthoritycontainedintheTables,FiguresandbodyofthisReportwasinformationprovidedtoNCAbyThruwayAuthoritypersonnel. Itmustberecognizedthatanyprojectionsofresultsorbenefitssetforthintheattachedmaterialsarenecessarily,bytheirnature,inherently uncertain,andnowarrantyorrepresentations,expressedorimplied,isgiventhattheresultsorbenefitssetforthinsuchprojectionswillbeachieved orrealized,orotherwisewithrespecttoanyoftheinformationcontainedherein. NCAisneitheralawfirmnoracertifiedpublicaccountingfirm. Accordingly,theinformationcontainedhereinisnotintended tobeandshouldnot berelieduponaslegal,auditingoraccountingadvice.
59
AppendixB
60
AppendixB
KeyInitiativesfortheBenefitoftheTA
SAGECommissioncompletedapreliminaryTransportationAssessmentinAprilof2011 Focusofstudywastoevaluateopportunitiesforsharedservicesand/orfunctionsaswellasbest practicesbetweentheBridgeAuthority,NewYorkStateDOTandThruwayAuthority Assumednochangeinborrowingstructurebothforexistingdebtoutstandingandfutureborrowing needs Assumednonewfundingsources SAGEcreated7workinggroupsbyfunctionalrolesandidentified40+opportunities Majorpotentialsynergiesinclude:
SAGEInitiative Field supportconsolidation Field /coreactivityconsolidation Strategicrealignments EstimatedSynergies(1) $11MMto$17MM $29MMto$49MM $20MM to$37MM
(1)PotentialsynergyallocationtoThruwayAuthorityhasnotbeendetermined
61
Appendix C
62
Appendix C
IllustrativeWorkPlanforPhaseII
DraftworkplanforPhaseII I. Organizational&OperationalReview 1. FacilitatetheBoardofDirectorsevaluationoftheThruwayAuthoritysvision,mission,andstrategy tomeetthechallengesofthe21stcentury. a) Affirmorrevaluatecurrentstrategicmission b) Assistinimplementationofconcretestrategicplanningstructuresbasedon recommendationsdetailedfromindependentconsulting reports c) Assistindevelopmentofstrategicdashboard,whichwillfacilitateprioritizationand trackingofkeyinitiativesattheboardof directorlevelandthroughouttheThruway Authority d) AssistinSpecialCommitteeestablishmentofmission,includingsettinggoalsinreferenceto aboveareas e) Identificationofspecific actionsplansandforceamplificationforimplementationsupport Studypotentialorganizationalrealignmentstrategiesinlightofcurrenteconomicenvironment a) ReviewofcurrentRegional/Divisionalcorporatestructuretoidentify operationaland managementefficiencies b) Evaluatestrategies for integrationofCanalsystemoperationwithinThruwayAuthority c) Evaluateopportunitiesforcostsharingandcollaboration/outsourcingofserviceswithother stateagencies d) DetailedanalysisofpotentialbenefitsfromtheSAGECommissionstudy. e) Evaluateorganizationalbestpracticesascomparetootheragencies. f) Identificationofspecific actionsplansandforceamplificationforimplementationsupport TBD TargetDue Date Status/Comments
2.
TBD
63
Appendix C
IllustrativeWorkPlanforPhaseII(contd)
DraftworkplanforPhaseII 3. Comprehensive operationalandfinancialreviewofThruwayAuthority a) Identifyanypotentialrevenueenhancementopportunities i. Longtermstrategic/policyplansforimplementationofscheduledtolladjustments ii. Nontollopportunities(advertising, leasing,recreationalprograms) b) Benchmarkingoflabor,materialsandthirdparty servicesrelativetocomparableagencies andorganizations c) Comprehensivereviewofcurrentworkforce a) Evaluatenumber, classification,description,compensationofallrepresentedand nonrepresentedpositions d) Conductdetailedanalysisofunioncontractworkrules(inconjunctionwithspecialcounsel anddivisionmanagers),thecurrentapplicationofsame,andthepotentialcorrectiveactions toremoveimpedimentstoproductivityandefficiency,andestablishafoundationoffocus. e) Reviewofprocurementprocessesandproceduresforallmaterialsandservicespurchased anddevelopbestpracticesforimplementation. f) FurtherreviewandanalysisofThruwayAuthorityscostcontainmentprogramtoidentify additionalareasofimprovement. g) Identificationofspecific actionsplansandforceamplificationforimplementationsupport TargetDue Date TBD Status/Comments
II.CapitalPlanning&Financing 1. ComprehensiveCapitalProjectsAssessmentincluding a) Evaluationofexistingassetmanagementsystems andpolicies b) Reviewcurrentcapitalplanningprocessincludingprioritizationofcapitalspend,project trackingandreportingthroughoutalllevelsoftheorganizationfromBoardofDirectorsto projectmanagers c) Reviewstatusandcompositionof20122017capitalplanincludingassessmentofproject buildup,viabilityandnecessityinlightofliquidityavailabilityandbondingcapacity TBD
d) Identificationofspecific actionsplansandforceamplificationforimplementationsupport 64
Appendix C
IllustrativeWorkPlanforPhaseII(contd)
DraftworkplanforPhaseII 2. Assistindevelopmentoflongerrangecapitalplanningprocess(tenplusyears)including developmentofmoresophisticatedlongertermintegratedfinancialmodel.Supportevaluationof alternativecapitalstructuresassociatedwithresultsfromoperationalandfinancialreview,including scenariodiscussionsaroundfinancingofTappanZeebridgeproject. a) Identificationofspecific actionsplansandforceamplificationforimplementationsupport Assessmentandsupportofkeyfinancingandtreasurysupportinitiatives,including: a) BANsrefunding/termingoutobligations assessmentoffinancingalternativesandoptimal pathforwardincludinginterfacewithratingsagencies,preparationofkeysupportmaterials b) TappanZeeBridgereplacementfinancing assessmentofalternativesourcesoffunding, positioningofthestory,preparationofrelevantmaterialsandrelatedmodeling,support withkeyrelatedstrategicdiscussion(suchastieupwithBridgeAuthorityorcollaboration agreementwithNewburghBeaconBridge) c) Identificationofspecific actionsplansandforceamplificationforimplementationsupport TargetDue Date TBD Status/Comments
3.
TBD
65