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Residential Sales Report

A RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BY THE AUSTIN BOARD OF REALTORS

April 2012
Sometimes the best answers aren't right under your nose. For example, the
most popular market indicator is home prices. But prices are what we call a
lagging indicator, because they reflect closed sales. Leading indicators are
forward-looking. Watch activity related to list price received at sale, days on
market and months supply of inventory to see how sellers might be regaining
their pricing power. Favorable supply-demand trends may be ticking away from
the buyer
Moral of the story:
y for the first time in years.
y
y Price is but a single
g
picture in the gallery.
New Listings in the Austin region decreased 1.8 percent to 3,690. Pending
Sales were up 34.8 percent to 2,841. Inventory levels shrank 26.8 percent to
8,679 units.
Prices enjoyed a boost. The Median Sales Price increased 8.0 percent to
$205,000. Days on Market was down 21.2 percent to 64 days. The supplydemand balance stabilized as Months Supply of Inventory was down 42.1
percent to 4.4 months.
When monitoring residential real estate activity, it is always important to keep
tabs on the overall economy and job growth. Preliminary Q1-2012 GDP growth
came in at 2.2 percent, which, while disappointing to some observers and
slower than Q4-2011, still signals economic expansion and not contraction.
Expedited bank processing and easing lending standards are also encouraging
developments.

Quick Facts
+ 8.1%

+ 8.0%

- 26.8%

Change in
Closed Sales

Change in
Median Sales Price

Change in
Inventory

Market Overview
New Listings
Pending Sales
Closed Sales
Days On Market Until Sale
Median Sales Price
Average Sales Price
Percent of List Price Received
Housing Affordability Index
Inventory of Homes for Sale
Months Supply of Inventory

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5
6
7
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Click on desired metric to jump to that page.

Data is refreshed regularly to capture changes in market activity so figures shown may be different than previously reported.Current as of May 10, 2012. All data from ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing.

Market Overview
Key market metrics for the current month and year-to-date.

Key Metrics

Historical Sparklines

New Listings
4-2009

4-2010

4-2011

4-2010

4-2011

4-2010

4-2011

4-2010

4-2011

4-2010

4-2011

4-2010

4-2011

4-2010

4-2011

4-2010

4-2011

4-2010

4-2011

4-2010

4-2011

12,913

- 2.0%

2,107

2,841

+ 34.8%

7,169

9,150

+ 27.6%

1,860

2,011

+ 8.1%

5,926

6,680

+ 12.7%

81

64

- 21.2%

88

76

- 14.1%

$189,900

$205,000

+ 8.0%

$185,000

$195,000

+ 5.4%

$261,662

$265,996

+ 1.7%

$246,860

$252,016

+ 2.1%

93.4%

95.6%

+ 2.4%

92.6%

94.4%

+ 1.9%

166

172

+ 3.3%

170

179

+ 5.4%

11,859

8,679

- 26.8%

--

--

--

7.6

4.4

- 42.1%

--

--

--

4-2012

Months Supply
of Homes for Sale
4-2009

13,181

4-2012

Inventory of Homes for Sale


4-2009

- 1.8%

4-2012

Housing Affordability Index


4-2009

3,690

4-2012

Percent of Original
List Price Received
4-2009

3,756

4-2012

Average Sales Price


4-2009

+/

4-2012

Median Sales Price


4-2009

YTD 2011 YTD 2012

4-2012

Days on Market Until Sale


4-2009

+/

4-2012

Closed Sales
4-2009

4-2012

4-2012

Pending Sales
4-2009

4-2011

4-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 2

New Listings
A count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month.

April

Year To Date
16,450

4,960
13,181
3,756

2010

12,913

3,690

-24.3%

-1.8%

2011

2012

2010

-19.9%

-2.0%

2011

2012

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

May

3,464

3,544

+2.3%

June

3,796

3,551

-6.5%

July

3,674

3,164

-13.9%

August

2,978

2,702

-9.3%

September

2,683

2,484

-7.4%

October

2,543

2,483

-2.4%

November

2,083

2,052

-1.5%

December

1,795

1,585

-11.7%

January

2,785

2,593

-6.9%

February

2,669

2,892

+8.4%

March

3,971

3,738

-5.9%

April

3,756

3,690

-1.8%

12-Month Avg

3,016

2,873

-4.7%

Historical New Listing Activity


5,500
5,000
4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 3

Pending Sales
A count of the properties on which contracts have been accepted in a given month.

April

Year To Date
9,150

2,872

2,841

8,575
7,169

2,107

2010

-26.6%

+34.8%

2011

2012

2010

-16.4%

+27.6%

2011

2012

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

May

1,443

2,255

+56.3%

June

1,656

2,188

+32.1%

July

1,639

2,104

+28.4%

August

1,527

1,865

+22.1%

September

1,396

1,697

+21.6%

October

1,423

1,635

+14.9%

November

1,293

1,468

+13.5%

December

1,163

1,268

+9.0%

January

1,451

1,715

+18.2%

February

1,569

2,049

+30.6%

March

2,042

2,545

+24.6%

April

2,107

2,841

+34.8%

12-Month Avg

1,559

1,969

+26.3%

Historical Pending Sales Activity


3,500

3,000

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 4

Closed Sales
A count of the actual sales that have closed in a given month.

April

Year To Date

2,252
2,011

6,520

1,860

2010

6,680
5,926

-17.4%

+8.1%

2011

2012

2010

-9.1%

+12.7%

2011

2012

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

May

2,307

2,081

-9.8%

June

2,211

2,356

+6.6%

July

1,654

2,182

+31.9%

August

1,686

2,226

+32.0%

September

1,425

1,823

+27.9%

October

1,346

1,603

+19.1%

November

1,340

1,497

+11.7%

December

1,573

1,733

+10.2%

January

1,059

1,190

+12.4%

February

1,225

1,417

+15.7%

March

1,782

2,062

+15.7%

+/

April

1,860

2,011

+8.1%

12-Month Avg

1,622

1,848

+15.1%

Historical Closed Sales Activity


3,500

3,000

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000

500
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 5

Days on Market Until Sale


Average number of days between when a property is listed and when an offer is accepted in a given month.

April

Year To Date
81
66

2010

88
64

+22.3%

-21.2%

2011

2012

76
70

2010

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

May

62

76

+22.2%

June

67

72

+8.3%

July

70

74

+5.8%

August

72

77

+7.1%

September

77

78

+0.7%

October

88

80

-8.7%

November

86

80

-8.0%

December

92

84

-8.7%

January

88

83

-5.7%

February

93

81

-12.3%

March

92

79

-14.5%

Month

+25.3%

-14.1%

2011

2012

April

81

64

-21.2%

12-Month Avg

79

77

-3.0%

Historical Days on Market Until Sale


100

90

80

70

60

50

40
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 6

Median Sales Price


Median price point for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

April

Year To Date

$205,000
$185,000

2010

$189,900

$179,900

+2.6%

+8.0%

2011

2012

2010

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

May

$186,000

$192,000

+3.2%

June

$198,000

$198,000

0.0%

July

$211,555

$190,000

-10.2%

August

$194,000

$191,500

-1.3%

September

$188,731

$185,000

-2.0%

October

$190,000

$187,785

-1.2%

November

$179,500

$184,000

+2.5%

December

$189,000

$187,000

-1.1%

January

$184,500

$176,700

-4.2%

February

$185,000

$190,000

+2.7%

March

$182,250

$199,101

+9.2%

Month

$185,000

$195,000

+2.8%

+5.4%

2011

2012

April

$189,900

$205,000

+8.0%

12-Mo. Median

$190,000

$190,539

+0.3%

Historical Median Sales Price


$220,000
$210,000
$200,000
$190,000
$180,000
$170,000
$160,000
$150,000
$140,000
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 7

Average Sales Price


Average sales price for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

April

Year To Date
$261,662

$265,996
$246,860

$228,668

2010

$252,016

$230,857

+ 14.4%

+ 1.7%

2011

2012

2010

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

May

$236,487

$259,972

+9.9%

June

$265,235

$262,654

-1.0%

July

$275,446

$255,611

-7.2%

August

$257,321

$250,351

-2.7%

September

$241,609

$244,565

+1.2%

October

$255,409

$247,299

-3.2%

November

$243,559

$242,531

-0.4%

December

$245,024

$242,579

-1.0%

January

$241,053

$223,644

-7.2%

February

$237,568

$249,024

+4.8%

March

$241,250

$256,797

+6.4%

Month

+ 6.9%

+ 2.1%

2011

2012

April

$261,662

$265,996

+1.7%

12-Month Avg

$250,885

$251,749

+0.3%

Historical Average Sales Price


$280,000
$270,000
$260,000
$250,000
$240,000
$230,000
$220,000
$210,000
$200,000
$190,000
$180,000
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 8

Percent of Original List Price Received


Percentage found when dividing a propertys sales price by its original list price, then taking the average for all properties sold in a given month,
not accounting for seller concessions.

April

Year To Date
94.2%

94.8%

2010

93.4%

92.6%

94.4%

95.6%

-1.4%

+2.4%

2011

2012

2010

-1.6%

+1.9%

2011

2012

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

May

94.8%

93.4%

-1.4%

June

94.1%

93.8%

-0.3%

July

93.1%

93.5%

+0.4%

August

92.4%

93.2%

+0.8%

September

91.9%

92.9%

+1.1%

October

91.2%

93.0%

+2.0%

November

91.3%

92.8%

+1.7%

December

91.5%

92.6%

+1.2%

January

91.6%

92.9%

+1.4%

February

92.3%

93.6%

+1.4%

March

92.6%

94.6%

+2.1%

April

93.4%

95.6%

+2.4%

12-Month Avg

92.7%

93.5%

+0.9%

Historical Percent of Original List Price Received


99%
98%
97%
96%
95%
94%
93%
92%
91%
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 9

Housing Affordability Index


This index measures housing affordability for the region. An index of 120 means the median household income was 120% of what is necessary
to qualify for the median-priced home under prevailing interest rates. A higher number means greater affordability.

April

Year To Date

166

172

2010

170

179

158

154

+7.7%

+3.3%

2011

2012

2010

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

May

154

168

+8.9%

June

149

165

+10.4%

July

144

170

+18.2%

August

157

174

+10.7%

September

161

181

+12.6%

October

161

177

+10.3%

November

170

182

+7.0%

December

160

180

+12.1%

January

168

192

+14.2%

February

167

182

+8.8%

Month

+7.5%

+5.4%

2011

2012

March

171

173

+1.7%

April

166

172

+3.3%

12-Month Avg

161

176

+9.9%

Historical Housing Affordability Index


200
190
180
170
160
150
140
130
120
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 10

Inventory of Homes for Sale


The number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of a given month.

April

Month

13,099
11,859

8,679

2010

+7.7%

-26.8%

2011

2012

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

May

13,780

12,075

-12.4%

June

14,348

12,155

-15.3%

July

14,646

11,905

-18.7%

August

13,967

11,259

-19.4%

September

13,249

10,551

-20.4%

October

12,416

10,064

-18.9%

November

11,347

9,388

-17.3%

December

10,015

8,267

-17.5%

January

10,098

8,227

-18.5%

February

10,285

8,335

-19.0%

March

11,183

8,692

-22.3%

April

11,859

8,679

-26.8%

12-Month Avg

12,266

9,966

-18.9%

Historical Inventory of Homes for Sale


15,000
14,000
13,000
12,000
11,000
10,000
9,000
8,000
7,000
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 11

Months Supply of Inventory


The inventory of homes for sale at the end of a given month, divided by the average monthly pending sales from the last 12 months.

April

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

May

7.4

7.4

+0.6%

June

7.9

7.3

-7.4%

July

8.2

7.0

-14.9%

August

8.0

6.5

-19.0%

September

7.8

6.0

-23.1%

October

7.4

5.7

-24.1%

November

6.8

5.2

-23.0%

December

6.0

4.6

-23.3%

January

6.0

4.5

-25.3%

February

6.2

4.5

-28.1%

March

6.9

4.6

-33.9%

Month

7.6
6.8

4.4

2010

+7.7%

-26.8%

2011

2012

April

7.6

4.4

-42.1%

12-Month Avg

7.2

5.6

-21.6%

Historical Months Supply of Inventory


9

3
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

1-2012

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 12

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