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Forward Looking Statements Certain statements in this presentation are forward-looking statements made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements include any statement that does not directly relate to any historical or current fact and may include, but are not limited to, statements regarding Expresss growth opportunities, strategy, and future plans, including plans for new stores, loyalty program, international expansion and new and expanding categories. Forward-looking statements are based on our current expectations and assumptions, which may not prove to be accurate. These statements are not guarantees and are subject to risks, uncertainties and changes in circumstances that are difficult to predict. Many factors could cause actual results to differ materially and adversely from these forward-looking statements. Among these factors are (1) changes in consumer spending and general economic conditions; (2) our ability to identify and respond to new and changing fashion trends, customer preferences and other related factors; (3) fluctuations in our sales and results of operations on a seasonal basis and due to store events, promotions and a variety of other factors; (4) increased competition from other retailers; (5) our dependence upon independent third parties to manufacture all of our merchandise; (6) our growth strategy, including our international expansion plan; (7) our dependence on a strong brand image; (8) our dependence upon key executive management; (9) our reliance on third parties to provide us with certain key services for our business; and (10) our substantial indebtedness and lease obligations. Additional information concerning these and other factors can be found in Express, Inc.'s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended January 29, 2011. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as otherwise required by law. Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation contains Non-GAAP financial measures, including Adjusted EBITDA. Adjusted EBITDA should be considered supplemental to and not a substitute for financial information prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) included in Express, Inc.s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission and may differ from similarly titled measures used by others. Please refer to slide 28 for additional information and a reconciliation of these measures to the most directly comparable financial measures calculated in accordance with GAAP.
SINCE 2007
STYLE AT THE SPEED OF LIFE
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Who We Are
FY 2011 Sales Breakdown
Launched in 1980 as a division of Limited Brands Over 30 years of brand history as a fashion authority for 20-30 year old shoppers Transitioned to a standalone company in 2007 One of the largest specialty retail apparel brands with over $2.0 billion in sales Distinctive point of view sexy, sophisticated, social Committed to style and quality at an attractive value
Mens Apparel & Accessories 36% & M en' Appar s el
Accessores, i 35%
Womens Apparel & W om en' s Accessories 64% Appar & el Accessores, i 65%
Men
High discretionary spend we believe greater than the average female specialty retail shopper
And Growing
Projected Population Growth by Age Range, 2010-2015 Specialty Retailer Market Share 2000-2010
27.6%
5%
28.2%
23.5%
(3%)
2000
2005
2010
Work
Teens
20-30s
How We Do It
Gross Margin
35.6%
31.7% 25.3% 26.3% 36.4%
FY2007
FY2008
FY2009
FY2010
FY2011
10
Growth Opportunities
Existing Stores
Marketing our brand, regaining historical sales levels across all categories and adding complementary assortments (shoes, fragrance, watches)
Operating Margin:
FY2006
~1%
FY2011
~13%
e-commerce Growth
10% 8% 5%
Potential growth to 13-15% of sales Untapped potential in both U.S. and Canada (minimal new stores in past 10 years)
Opened 27 new stores in U.S. + Canada in 2011 Planning approximately 30 new stores in 2012
New Stores
FY2009
FY2010
FY2011
Store Growth
Number of Stores ~695 576 591 609
International Expansion
Planning additional new stores in 2012 through partnership with Alshaya Selectively exploring opportunities in Latin America, Asia and Europe
At IPO FY2010 FY2011 FY2014E
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Growth Initiatives
Industry Sales / GSF
$611
(1)
$497
$494
Aeropostale
Banana Republic
American Eagle
Bebe
Gap
NY&Co
Go-to-Market strategy has increased relevance of in-store offering Expanding brand awareness by launching high impact marketing initiatives
18%
American Eagle
Guess
Gap
(1) (2)
Bebe and NY & Co. as of latest reported LTM. Aeropostale, Abercrombie & Fitch, Banana Republic, American Eagle, Gap, Express as of FY2011. Guess as of latest reported LTM. Gap, American Eagle, and Express, as of FY2011. EBITDA adjusted for non-recurring and one-time items.
Express
Express
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Launched Express.com in July 2008; launched mobile application in Q310 and Facebook store in Q211
20%
URBN
AEO
ANF
GPS
FY 2011
Source: Public filings. (1) Across all brands (e.g., Gap, Old Navy, and Banana Republic for Gap); Gap numbers are US only.
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Minimal new store openings between 20002009 as a result of dual-gender conversion process Identified ~250 additional potential new store locations ~150 malls and lifestyle centers in U.S. ~100 top malls in Canada Plan to open 30 to 40 stores per year over the next several years 3 to 4% average square footage growth
~660 ~660 ~630 ~630 609 609 591 591 23 23 (5) (5) 630 630 609 609 591 591 573 573 27 27 (9) (9) ~30 ~30 (9) (9) ~35 ~35 (5) (5)
(5)
660 660
~2/3 in U.S.
~1/3 in Canada (Opened six Canada stores in 2011)
2010 2010
Net Sq Ft Growth: 3%
2011 2011E
3%
2012E 2012E
4%
Existing Stores
Store Closures
New Stores
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New store design elevates brand while showcasing end uses in an easier-to-shop format Redesigned layout enhances product presentation and elevates overall shopping experience Provides more space to optimize growth of mens and accessory categories
Opened two stores in new format in June in King of Prussia and Kenwood Initial June testing results favorable
Plan to open all new and remodeled stores in the new format beginning in late spring 2012
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24
Historical Financials
Adjusted EBITDA ($ in millions)
$2,073
$1,906
$1,749 $1,796
$1,737
$1,721 $309
$363
17.5% $230 $177 $137 $86 4.9% FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 9.9% 13.3% 16.2%
7.9%
Stores:
658
Adj. EBITDA
Margin
25
Strong top-line momentum continued in 2011 with sales up 9% Comparable sales up 6% following a 10% increase in fiscal year 2010 Gross margin expansion of 80 bps in 2011 (vs. 2010) driven by our evolving go-to-market strategy Operating income up 36% to $271 million or 13.1% of net sales in 2011 compared to 2010 Paid down $169 million of debt in fiscal 2011 Repurchased $49 million of bonds in Q1 and Q2 Prepaid $120 million term loan on December 6th
$137 $1,906
FY2010
FY2011
FY2010
FY2011
Net Sales
Comparable Sales
Adjusted EBITDA
$363 $309 $230
FY2009 13.3%
FY2010 16.2%
FY2011 17.5%
26
Iconic lifestyle brand targeting an attractive customer demographic Advantageous go-to-market strategy driving consistent performance Significant opportunities to grow sales and margins Proven and experienced management team
27
EBITDA Reconciliation
February 4, 2007 through July 6, 2007 July 7, 2007 through February 2, 2008 Year Ended January 31, 2009 Year Ended January 30, 2010 Year Ended January 29, 2011 Year Ended January 28, 2012
Net income (loss) Depreciation & amortization Interest expense (net) Provision for income taxes EBITDA Non-cash deductions, losses and charges Non-recurring expenses Transaction expenses Permitted advisory agreement fees & expenses Non-cash expense related to equity incentives Foreign exchange (gains)/losses recorded in other income Other adjustments Adjusted EBITDA
($40.4) 48.2 1.8 0.5 $10.1 9.8 86.9 0.8 3.9 1.2 2.7 $115.3
($29.0) 79.1 33.2 0.2 $83.5 21.1 18.7 3.6 4.2 2.1 4.0 $137.2
$75.3 69.7 52.7 1.2 $198.9 12.1 5.9 1.7 7.2 2.1 1.9 $229.8
$127.4 65.1 59.5 14.4 $266.3 14.6 2.1 2.6 12.8 5.3 5.7 $309.3
$140.7 65.3 35.8 94.9 $336.7 14.0 10.1 (0.4) 3.0 $363.4
Adjusted EBITDA is a supplemental measure of financial performance that is not required by, or presented in accordance with, GAAP. EBITDA is defined as consolidated net income (loss) before depreciation and amortization, interest expense (net) and amortization of debt issuance costs and discounts and provision for income taxes. Adjusted EBITDA is calculated in accordance with our existing credit agreements, and is defined as EBITDA adjusted to exclude the items set forth in the table. Adjusted EBITDA is a measure by which our lenders evaluate our covenant compliance. Adjusted EBITDA is not a measure of our financial performance or liquidity under GAAP and should not be considered an alternative to net income as a measure of operating performance, cash flows from operating activities as a measure of liquidity, or any other performance measure derived in accordance with GAAP. Additionally, Adjusted EBITDA is not intended to be a measure of free cash flow for managements discretionary use, as they do not consider certain cash requirements such as interest payments, tax payments and debt service requirements. Adjusted EBITDA contains certain other limitations, including the failure to reflect our cash expenditures, cash requirements for working capital needs and cash costs to replace assets being depreciated and amortized, and exclude certain non-recurring charges that may recur in the future. Management compensates for these limitations by relying primarily on our GAAP results and by using Adjusted EBITDA only supplementally. We strongly encourage investors and stockholders to review our financial statements and publicly filed reports within the SEC in their entirety and not rely on any single financial measure.
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